Pollster Frank Luntz for the past decade has issued warnings to his fellow Republicans that they did not want to hear, but never has he been so out of touch with them as he is today. "The Republican message machine is a skeleton of its former self," Luntz told me. "These people have no idea how the American people react to them."
Luntz sees a disconnect between Republicans and voters that projects a grim future for the party. That contradicts what House and Senate Republicans are saying to each other in closed party conferences. While Luntz views 2006 election defeats as ominous portents, the party's congressional leaders see only transitory setbacks and now dwell on bashing Democrats.
[snip]
Indeed, Luntz is not alone in his gloomy prognosis. Republican pollster Bill McInturff believes his party "underestimates" the 2006 outcome and thinks the outlook for Republicans is as dangerous as it has been "at any time since Watergate." Sen. Jim DeMint, a reform Republican from South Carolina, says the newly minority Republicans are like the Israelites yearning for the fleshpots of Egypt. The question is whether the party will heed warnings or follow the route of its leaders, who mainly want to trash Nancy Pelosi.
Woe is GOP 2008
Thursday February 1, 2007
Robert Novak writes today about GOP pollster/strategist Frank Luntz, who is so sick of Washington that he's setting out for the West Coast before what is likely to be a Republican collapse in 2008. Excerpt:
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Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.
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Blog Goliard: "Lead the charge Vin! Hope you come back alive! If you're too old, send your kids, Vin- you hero!"
Do you have *any* idea how tired, illogical, and utterly devoid of persuasive power this trope is?
Oh but I meant it. You supporters of the war are so brave! You make me proud to be an American.
Did you think I was being sarcastic? Oh so sorry it was misinterpreted, you brave hero!>
Blog Goliard: "Do you have *any* idea how tired, illogical, and utterly devoid of persuasive power this trope is?"
Is that a picture of you on your blog? You had better do some pushups, situps and run a few miles. Get in shape there so you too can be a hero and defend America in Iraq and stop that darn ad nauseam editis stuff. It just isn't good for you, or for America!>
Stop the ad hominem attacks. I'm feeling delete-ish this morning.>
The Republicans are no more out of 2008 than the dems were in 2000. Remember those days after the election, the days of counting? All Gore needed to do was look presidential and American opinion would have shifted to his side. Similarly, the party today that presents themselves with a distiguished ar of inevitability will win the day. America is divided right now, we are disenchanted, but we are fat and happy. So long as this continues the only thing that will matter in 08 is appearance.>
thats "air of inevitability" I meant. Where's my seceretary?>
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