Ike '56
Reader Rob, a high school teacher, sent in this link to a four-minute Eisenhower campaign commercial from 1956. It's really something to watch it today, with its constant appeals to peace, and to grasp that a Republican president was appealing...
Give it a rest, my friend. Did Eisenhower say it was a mistake to defend our country in WW II?
Apples & oranges. WWII and Korea REQUIRED a draft because of the enormity of the military conflict. Thousands of soldiers on both sides died in brief battles (e.g., "our side" lost about as many in one month at Heartbreak Ridge as we have lost in the whole Iraq war), multiple nations were involved in the conflict (e.g., Chinese soldiers in N. Korea), and most observers consider our current professional military to have better education and skills than previous conscripted forces. Yes, the sacrifice was spread out more evenly due to the draft. For my part, I would rather have professional soldiers with enhanced ability than an equal number of conscripts who may be serving resentfully. If you really want to bring Ike into this conversation about Middle East policy, we could probably have some interesting discussions about the Eishenhower doctrine, the Suez crisis, and his foresight about the importance of oil in the region....
Very interesting question. In World War II, approximately 11.5% of the US population served in the armed forces (roughly 16M out of 140M). That's obviously dramatically different from the Iraq War. Like all hypotheticals, this is hard to model because there are so many variables. If we'd had even, say, 1 million troops deployed in Iraq, the security picture there would look very different, don't you think? Which means that the politics might be very different from what they are now, but not necessarily in the direction you seem to contemplate.
I wonder how different our politics would be if a draft had caused a large number of Americans to have to serve in combat in Iraq or Afghanistan, instead of our volunteer army. Pretty much what they were in 1968 or 1972.
World War II was a radical exception that many on both Left and Right mistake as the norm for American warfare. The country was completely united by the direct, unprovoked military attack on the US by the Japanese Empire, an attack many reasonable people viewed as a precursor to an all-out invasion of the American homeland. We were also united in opposition to Germany because Hitler had rashly declared war on us after Pearl Harbor (though during WWII Americans generally still viewed Japan, not Germany, as the main enemy). Aside from World War II, all American wars in which the US government resorted to a draft have been massively unpopular at home: -- The Civil War draft launched major riots in New York and might have led to Lincoln's defeat in 1864 had Sherman not smashed through the South.
-- After a brief period of pro-war fever in 1917-1918, Americans got a severe case of buyer's remorse over World War I, the first clear break with the principles of US foreign policy set forth in Washington's Farewell Address. The war party (Democrats, then) were driven from Congress in 1918 and routed on a historic scale in 1920. Wilson's League of Nations was a non-starter with the public, and the deposed German Kaiser became a figure of sympathy in the public imagination. -- Korea was a disaster, thanks to Harry Truman's insistence on letting tens of thousands of drafted American soldiers die there without trying to do anything more than preserve the status quo ante. Once again, the war party (Democrats) lost both houses of Congress and the White House in 1952. Truman's unpopularity at the end of his term was broader and deeper than that of any President in history other than Woodrow Wilson. -- Vietnam ... 'nuff said. Normally in wartime, Americans do not rally together to collect tin scrap and buy war bonds. And a draft only serves to sharpen the public's focus on WHY the particular war is being fought. And if national survival isn't clearly at stake, the public will oppose the war.
You could be right, Scurvy.
Simon's history primer is equal parts visionary verbiage and partisan pique; like a pair a sunglasses where one lense is polarized to help one better see, and the other dark enough to obscure an eclipse. But hey... I went through school depending on Cliff Notes, so like the mindset when they shout 'Last Call' in a Saturday night bar, it'll do just fine.
DRAFT NOW!! Male and female, rich and poor, gay and straight, everyone. No exemptions but medical disability. This lunatic war in Iraq will end in a week, tops. It's only while the mostly black children of the poor are killed that the ruling classes tolerate this situation. Send the Bush kids, the kids of congresspersons, into harm's way, the deal is done.
Susan, never give up! Even though the USSR folded, Cuba and North Korea still offer hope to our oppressed black folk. Now, please lead us in singing the Soviet anthem.
It's only while the mostly black children of the poor are killed that the ruling classes tolerate this situation. Proportionally, whites have the highest casualty rate when you compare the casualty percentages to their equivalent age cohorts. From Steve Sailer's blog: http://isteve.blogspot.com/2007/04/iraq-after-four-years-death-gap.html "It's widely assumed that American minority soldiers are suffering a disproportionate number of deaths in the current war. Yet, according to iCasualites, 74,4% of all American fatal casualties in the Iraq war have been suffered by non-Hispanic whites. In 2004, non-Hispanic whites only made up 67% of the total population, and, more relevantly, only 61% of the 25-year-olds, which might be about the representative age of the fatalities. So, young whites are dying in Iraq at a per capita rate 86% higher than young minorities."
Proof again that perception (or prejudice) is seldom fact. And by the way, a ton of Hispanics are certainly a high percentage of our servicepersons. Where (and I am a good old fashioned centrist Liberal here) would one get the idea that this 'volunteer' army and its dead and dying is primarily black and poor? In all due respect, (I mean that) that sounds like something Rosie O'Donnell says.
I wonder how different our politics would be if a draft had caused a large number of Americans to have to serve in combat in Iraq or Afghanistan, instead of our volunteer army. And I wonder how different our politics would be if the nature of war caused a large number of Americans to have to fight with swords, pikes and halberds, instead of with artillery and assault rifles. But it's an academic question. The nature of conflict has moved on from mass conscript armies because of our technological advantages. It takes too much training and experience to be of any use employing advanced systems to be left to two-year (or even longer) draftees. The antiwar types of right and left who all through 2004 and even now kept repeating "I smell a draft!" with such certainty remind me of the hippies who were sure Nixon was going to put them all in concentration camps. Delusional, all of them. In a way this is all very reactionary, so that I don't understand why you, Rod, and especially Larison, aren't actually happy about it. This is a return to the "cabinet wars" that we haven't seen since the 18th century, leastways not since before the French Revolution made war a "People's Struggle". One king makes war on another, professional soldiers die, and most of us just go through the day and read about it on page 3 or 4 of the morning broadsheet. Check out the Orwell essay where he looks at the edition of London Observer that first reported the victory at Waterloo--it was the fifth item after society news and advertisements! ("SANGUINARY BATTLE IN FLANDERS. COMPLETE DEFEAT OF THE CORSICAN UPRISING.")
So more people chatting around the watercooler this morning talking about American Idol and Paris Hilton in jail than suicide bombers and IEDs in Baghdad is actually a return to that Little England state of affairs that I often think Crunchiness is yearning for.
Simon's history primer is equal parts visionary verbiage and partisan pique; If only HaloScan would allow me to publish the partisan pique parts in red, so they could be distinguished clearly from the visionary verbiage.... :) Seriously, though, Rawlins: Aside from the extreme case of World War II (where we were directly attacked by a major military power), when in U.S. history has a wartime draft NOT been deeply unpopular?
Somehow, I doubt Ike was advocating the "stick our heads in the sand" approach to international threats that is essentially being pushed by "antiwar" advocates these days.
Proof again that perception (or prejudice) is seldom fact. Prejudice, properly meant, is never meant to be a fact, only a probability. And by the way, a ton of Hispanics are certainly a high percentage of our servicepersons. They're slightly overrepresented in the casualties.
Where (and I am a good old fashioned centrist Liberal here) would one get the idea that this 'volunteer' army and its dead and dying is primarily black and poor? Blacks are overrepresented in the military. That's true. The problem is that a lot of people simply assume that this overrepresentation will translate into combat death ratios. It doesn't, and that's because minorities tend to favor military careers that give them technical training that can be used on the outside.
Whites, OTOH, tend to go for combat jobs in greater numbers than other ethnicities, expecting to go to college once they get out. I did something similar. Instead of going into a more useful avionics field, I selected a job on a combat transport as a cargo loadmaster. Not much use in the civilian world, but lots of fun and travel.
They don't turn out Republican Presidents like they used to. That's for sure!
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