The president's pyrrhic victory
I can understand why the anti-war left is angry at the Democrats for not holding firm on the war funding bill, and sending President Bush a no-strings-attached supplemental. But they need to chill. This victory is the last one the...
President Bush tends to have an enormous amount of trust in his own judgments, and tends to reject other points of view. This is not likely to change in September. Congress will have to be very strong and not cave in as they have done from the beginning.
I agree with you, but even more importantly, the American people are obviously not going to accept a "non-funding" mechanism as an end to this. They're going to demand, I think, more straightforward action.
The idea of not funding the troops - whether you like the cause or not - puts the troops in an even worse position (in peoples' minds - not sure if actually true). Voters will not tolerate venting their anger on the military. Nor should they. By the way - has anyone noticed how the darling of the anti-war Dems John Murtha is faring lately? Look at his recent spittle-laced tirade and tell me you want to follow him ANYWHERE. The Democrats really need to sump Pelosi, recruit Steny Hoyer, and take their game up a notch.
That should've said "dump Pelosi".
In arguably related news, a bird crapped on the President today: http://abcnews.go.com/Video/playerIndex?id=3209176
Nice, Jaybird. Nice. :) I hope this thing starts winding down by fall. Cuz that's round abouts when I'll be heading over there. If we start reducing troop levels, maybe it'll only be for 12 instead of 15 months. Purely selfish reasons.
AB, that's as good a reason as any. We'll pray for you. I meant to comment earlier on the CBS/NYTimes poll; aside from the obvious, er, credibility problem, if Americans trust the Dems so much, why is Congress' approval rating WORSE than GWB's? There's a serious gap between those two things.
I'm not sure we trust anybody currently. Guess it was time for a dose of healthy skepticism, so long as we don't end in disillusion. (Or dissolution. Or desolation. Sheesh, how many more of those are there?)
The President's stubbornness on the war and immigration don't serve him well in either case. I wish he was as stubborn in support of the war when he started it instead of trying to fight it with PC ROE. Now it's too late.
I supported the war. I will always support the troops, and give generously to Wounded Warrior. I will be at the local Memorial Day parade this weekend.If the intelligence is to be believed, we may even have a case for bombing Iran.
But I no longer see the point of American soldiers dying for this feckless a president, nor for as vapid and thankless an Arab/Islamic people and country as Iraq. In a way, I wish the Dems had in fact shown some nerve and defunded this fiasco. It would've been more honest.
We should fight this war on our terms and on our soil with a strong border. There's not much point of fighting anyone over there if they can enter our country at will.And another terrorist attack will happen again.
In either case-the war, immigration- I have zero confidence in Bush's ability to lead this country. He really has no clue, and it's positively frightening.
This president is so determined to stay in Iraq that I absolutely believe now that he would keep the troops over there even if the Democrats cut off all funding. That means sitting over there with no armor and no ammo.
Just to prove a point.
He would keep them over there without funding if there was any way to do that. The Democrats did the right thing. The timeline wasn't for an immediate withdrawal. The funding is temporary. It makes sense to wait for Bush to evaluate the surge before initiating a withdrawal.
I thank God Americas's security doesn't depend on Libertarians and Democrats.
As a progressive I'm mad that the dems didn't step out in courage. But as a politically minded person who can also think beyond the next day and who knows how to budget to get the most for his money, I think that the democratic party is being smart and is budgeting its politcal capital by waiting until it can get the majority of the people behind it in a firm way before forcing the president up against the wall. If there is to be substantive change in this country away from using our might for unjust reasons then democrats need to wait until more than just their base knows what they are doing and why they are doing it. They need to be more than just strong in their resolve, but also strong in their support from the voters. And based on the numbers from the Presidents approval rating, I can tell you that it is only a matter of time. The sad and mournful part though is that until the numbers change and the vote can be passed, more innocents will die in Iraq and Afganistan (and Roumor has it - according to ABC NEWS, in Iran too).
It is still annoying when a party talks a big game, then backs off. The won control over this issue, and they have a chance to make their power be known early and they did not go all the way.
I can't recall the last time I saw this much bull crap on one thread. If the American people really felt about surrender to the Islamo-fascists the way the Libertarians, Homosocialist Party and the anti-American media say they do, the war would have ended a long time ago. You can spin it and slice it anyway you care to, but the fact is that the American people want to win this war; for the sake of their families and their grand kids.
The president's poll numbers reflect our frustration with our Vietnam-like, half-assed efforts to end this thing: Muqtada al-Sadr should have been killed years ago when he was still in Iraq and showed his true colors; the "Surge" should have been the first tactic employed after Saddam Hussein's downfall; we should have announced in the UN years ago that Iran would be missing its navy and air force (a four or five-day job) if it continued to kill our kids by infiltrating men and arms into Iraq; etc. That's the major reason why the president's poll numbers are as low as they are--not as low as the numbers for that sorry bunch on the Hill, of course, but still low. And that's why the Democrats are eating crow, and why the Islamo-troglodytes are crying in their grog.
100,000 civilians have been killed in Iraq since this excursion began. Proportionately, that would be like the war deaths of *One Million* of our own men, women and children. If the tables were turned, Americans would not settle for that on our own ground. No wonder they want us out, particularly when there seems to be no letup in either violence or severe privation. Cleveland: what would you suggest the president do? AnotherBeliever: what is your impression about what our troops are enduring right now?
THis is something i've thought about for a while and I've come to what i think would be an unpopular solution. The success we had after WWII in nation building has also created a foreign policy trap. We think that nation building is part of war. Its not. We face very real threats in the world and, in iraq we faced an intransigent dictator who violated cease fire agreements and should, according to that agreement, have been taken out by Clinton. Bush did the right thing, but then he tried to pretond that iraq was Japan. We need a policy shift when facing threats. We have the power to defeat pretty much any threat we face, but we do not have the ability to rebuild a nation that does not already have a social structure in place to support such rebuilding. Both Japan and Germany had the secial and governmental discipline as societies to make such rebuilding successful. Iraq doesn't. Iraq shouldn't even be a single nation.
In Short we need to defeat and break the enemies that threaten us, but we should not then try to put them back together. That defeats the purpose and, as we can see, just creates greater chaos (maybe Sunni-Shi'ite civil war is Bush's ultimate goal?). We should help our allies, and let our enemies put themseles back together. In Iraq, in my opinion, we should help build up an independent Kurdistan (selling it to Turkey as a potential pressure valve for their own Kurdish problems) and leave the rest of the country to work out their own future.
Thanks for understanding, Rod. I hope you're right come September.
Since the jihadists know that the Petraeus report and the congressional review will occur in September, prepare to see an upsurge in violence in July and August. I've yet to be convinced that going into Iraq was a bad idea, given what we knew at the time. Having said that, I'll be the first to admit that the war has been prosecuted terribly. We should have jumped with both feet and kept jumping. Even if the "troop surge" is a success, we wouldn't hear about it in the media, so in a way it's a moot point. These are the same people that painted the Tet Offensive as a victory for the VC, remember? Make no mistake: the Democrats care about one thing and one thing only -- winning the White House in '08. From here on in, everything they do will have that goal as the background motive. Any success in the mid-East is a hindrance to this goal. Of course, this doesn't mean that the GOP deserves to win in '08. I don't think they do, as they've screwed things up royally both here and in the mid-East. But I still put more trust in any of the GOP candidates to defend us than I do in Hillary or Obama. Having either one of them as Commander in Chief would make me exceedingly nervous -- I don't think they take the jihadist threat seriously enough.
Rob Grano: "Make no mistake: the Democrats care about one thing and one thing only -- winning the White House in '08." The same could be said of Republicans, given that we've got a two-party system. Still, I don't think that assumption is necessarily true. Most sane people would welcome success in the Middle East. What they differ on is whether it's likely, how it might be achieved and whether it would be worth the cost. Yes, there will certainly be repugnant political grandstanding, but we should realize that work still goes on behind the scenes when the cameras aren't around.
"Most sane people would welcome success in the Middle East." I wish I could believe this, U.R., but given what I know about Vietnam I have my doubts. There were a lot of folks back then perfectly happy to see us lose. Why should today be any different?
Define success in the Middle East? A stable government in Iraq, selling us their oil cheap? The administration changes position on this as often as they dump employees they view as unloyal. A year ago I was in favor of staying long enough to clean up our mess. As I've mentioned before, now I believe that regardless of if we stay ten more minutes or ten more years the minute the last Marine if airlifted off the roof of the embassy the sectarian slaughter begins. That being the case, get our guys out now, there is not a lot of point feeding any more of our soldiers into that meatgrinder. At absolute worst, we know the war ends January 2009, regardless of the party claiming the White House. At least the national nightmare of the Bush Administration will finally be over. Phil
"Most sane people would welcome success in the Middle East" I would welcome Lisa Liu if she came knocking at my door wearing nothing but a smile. However, I do not plan my day accordingly.
"In Iraq, in my opinion, we should help build up an independent Kurdistan (selling it to Turkey as a potential pressure valve for their own Kurdish problems)" Let me know how that sales pitch goes. I have some refrigerators in Antarctica I have to unload.
"In Iraq, in my opinion, we should help build up an independent Kurdistan (selling it to Turkey as a potential pressure valve for their own Kurdish problems)" Turkey is making plans to invade Northern Iraq in wake of this week's bombings by the PKK...
2004- "I voted for the war in Iraq before I voted against it" 2007- "I voted against the war in Iraq by voting for it" Hell with it. Hey Rod, do you have any room for a crayola Buddhist athiest in that commune you keep talking about starting up? I'm a pretty crackerjack gardener. Kim M
Dunno about the polls cited here. I have heard a few (emphasis few) positive reports out of Iraq recently. I certainly can't guarantee that Iraq will improve between now and September. I fail to see, however, how Rod can be so certain that Iraq will be either the same or worse 4 months down the road, and "this victory is the last one the president will have."
I meant to comment earlier on the CBS/NYTimes poll; aside from the obvious, er, credibility problem, if Americans trust the Dems so much, why is Congress' approval rating WORSE than GWB's? There's a serious gap between those two things. I've puzzled over this general phenomenon before, and I think approval ratings for the president are not easily comparible to those for the congress. People generally say they like their own representatives but hate congress as a whole. I think the public focuses on the loudmouths from other side of the political spectrum, the gross pork/earmarks and special interests that have infected congress. But they still like their representatives. It is reasonable, then, for an individual to think that the reps he/she likes can get enough like-minded reps to band together and do something positive on individual issues while still disliking the institution as a whole. Presidential approval is a more straightforward thing.
MER, I have a feeling that, if they aren't white conservative Republicans, the person you addressed doesn't care who dies as long as his point is made.
I agree with Bug; we need to seal the border. I have no doubt that they are going to hit us again, and I bet that it will be worse than 9/11. I'm sorry to say this, but if you read up about it, this is the conclusion from the experts in the field.
"No wonder they want us out, particularly when there seems to be no letup in either violence or severe privation. Cleveland: what would you suggest the president do?" MER They DO NOT want us out, MER. You must be the only person in the world who believes that (assuming you do believe it). The Islamo-fascists want us out so they can replace their lost base (Afghanistan), and consolidate it with Iran and Syria; complete with oil--a deep pocket for continued mayhem--and a strategic location to cut off our oil supplies. That would mean ALL OUT WAR, MER, SO BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR. Of course, the Homosocialist Party also wants us out, just so they can say "See, Bush lost the war. Look at the mess he left us--no peace with the Islamo-fascists, no more cheap oil, and nuclear bombs! What do you expect us poor Democrats to do about it?".
What I suggest the president should do is in the forth paragraph of my 3:57 am comment.
"I wish I could believe this [sane people want victory], U.R., but given what I know about Vietnam I have my doubts. There were a lot of folks back then perfectly happy to see us lose. Why should today be any different? Rob Grano"
Right on, Rob!!
"At absolute worst, we know the war ends January 2009, regardless of the party claiming the White House. At least the national nightmare of the Bush Administration will finally be over." Phil Phil, I don't know how to break this to you, but we have not just been fighting Iraqis. We are fighting terrorists who want to kill you, me, our families and our way of life. No matter what happens in Iraq or who wins the election, we will be fighting them somewhere for a long time after 2009. Your Party knows this very well, but is lying to you about it, just so it can win in 08. I was there for 30 years, Phil, watching them operate--they have become liers. Everything they do now is based on lies, and a handful of Republicans are just like them. As to the "national nightmare of the Bush Administration", Americans today live better than any people since Adam and Eve. I pray to God He lets that kind of nightmare continue for my kids and great, great, great grand kids, at least. And if you think today's war is a nightmare, you better pray to whatever god you believe in that we win in Iraq and Afghanistan, and that Iran does not build its nuclear bombs. Phil, you don't have a clue as to what a real nightmare is. So, please, just get out of America's way--this isn't about politics; it's about life or death for many Americans, and for the survival of our way of life. "MER, I have a feeling that, if they aren't white conservative Republicans, the person you addressed doesn't care who dies as long as his point is made." Scott R.
Do you know how bigoted that sounds, Scott R.? If you have anything informative to add to the debate, just say it.
'Of course, the Homosocialist Party also wants us out, just so they can say "See, Bush lost the war. Look at the mess he left us--no peace with the Islamo-fascists, no more cheap oil, and nuclear bombs! What do you expect us poor Democrats to do about it?".' Indeed, Cleveland. If they win in '08, they can blame Bush & Co. for all that's going wrong, make no effort to fix it other than increase taxes and government spending, and go back to their main job, which is maintaining the poor minorities on the white liberal plantation. With the 8 - 12 million Mexican immigrants that will then be legal, they'll have their work cut out for them. But I'm sure they'll manage - the plantation owners always do.
Every time I find myself leaning closer to conservatism, someone like Cleveland inevitably comes along to set me straight.
Cleveland.... You are jumping to a lot of conclusions about my post. The question at hand is Iraq, and the fact it's been a disaster from its moment of inception. I'm fully aware that there are again terrorists in Afghanistan, and it was absolutely 100% the right thing to do to go in and get them. It's too bad we don't have the resources to finish that job, as they seem tied down elsewhere. It's also too bad we have not seen fit to honor our commitments to try to rebuild that society, but what would you expect with the black hole that Iraq has become, sucking in all available rescores.... All things considered, at this very moment, yes, I suppose that life in the US is good. Nightmare was probably not the best descriptive word for the situation we are in, because when you wake up from a bad dream you find that reality is not what you were dreaming of. Hangover might be a better term, because the next few presidents, regardless of what their party affiliation is, is going to have to deal with a nuclear Iran (unless the Israelis do something about it) and any other middle eastern country that can lay their hands on the bomb, a broken and demoralized military, China, resurgent nationalist Russia, Sunni and Shiite sectarian violence, unsecured borders, Hugo Chavez, radial Islam, North Korea, and a spending spree in this country that has saddled us with trillions more of debt. I do have a clue. We won the war and lost the peace. Our military commanders told Washing EXACTLY what was needed, and Washington told them to pound sand...remember Rumsfelds comment about going to war with the Army you have...sad to say but the next 20 years or so are going to be a nightmare. We will see a nuclear exchange somewhere, and will be powerless to stop it because we chose to fight an imaginary enemy in Iraq instead of the real one. My God is a god of free will. Men will suffer the consequences of their actions or inactions. Blame for the current situation rests squarely on the shoulders of the man who responded so poorly to the aftermath of 9/11. The next candidate I vote for will be the one who stands up and offers vision and direct to spend wisely, secure the country, and win the peace. So far, none of the current crop meets that standard. Cheers....Phil
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