Noonan to Bush: It's over
Powerful Peggy Noonan column today, calling on conservatives to throw the president overboard. Actually, she says he's thrown us overboard, so let's act like it. Excerpt:For almost three years, arguably longer, conservative Bush supporters have felt like sufferers of battered...
You're being generous to Noonan: she does lapse into the "I'm only the piano player" mode. It's fascinating to me that given the offenses you list -- the war in Iraq, the incompetence, the trampling of civil liberties, etc. -- folks like Noonan finally yell "enough!" over immigration. You can agree or disagree with Noonan or Bush on that issue but you can't help but wonder where all that outrage was when it was needed.
You're right about that, Roberto. Please note that I don't exempt myself from that accusation.
Furthermore, I think that conservatives will use their anger over the immigration bill as an excuse to vent their pent-up rage at Bush over their own woebegone political situation.
As the conservatives go through this self examination, not unlike autopsying a divorce, I hope they look closely at conservatism as policy. I see the arguments already falling similar to the apologies for failures of religion. "It's not the faith but the individuals that failed." Integrity and honesty might provide a reason to consider that it's the concept that's weak and the people just reflect it. I know right now everyone is believing the worst thing that could happen has happened and we need to just get through with getting through it. There is one thing that could happen that would pale to what has transpired. That is some assume the position that "they" failed and not "we". Looking back at Nam and the belief that we could have won for all the wrong reasons if we'd only done all the right wrong things is a perfect example.
Noonan's analysis is excellent, and RDreher does place the blame appropriately on Bush's fellow travelers. We at last had "one of our own" in the White House. We couldn't understand the perceived missteps, but hey I'm just a working Joe and I don't know what's going on behind the scenes. He is on our side, so it will work out. What a laugh...at our expense. A few comments: Harriet Miers - This was very distressing to conservatives. Not because it was interpreted as a Souter, Kennedy, O'Connor, Brennan, Warren sell-out with a left-moderate nominee. Instead, it was the lack of care, the lack of conscientiousness in approaching this SCOTUS nomination by the White House. Good heavens, the Supreme Court is one of the most important factors for conservatives and the White House, and they reach into their crony list? Katrina - The "blame Bush" reaction to Katrina was truly preposterous, and can only be attributed to left-leaning media or sheer stupidity. The amount of natural energy dissipated on the Louisiana coastline was greater than multiple Hydrogen Bombs. One cannot quickly fix the devastation inflicted by hurricanes by any amount of political will or expenditure of capital. The anti-Bush reaction to Katrina was basically "why didn't you stop this hurricane, why didn't you repair the wreckage faster?" Expending all the energy that the US consumes in one year and diverting it all to Katrina relief couldn't have fixed this situation any faster. People don't have to understand physics, just use common sense. The Iraq War - The VietNam-ization of this war continues. Limited warfare, limited troops, limited goals. The US should not engage its troops or resources in any military conflict without a commitment to total war. How many military failures do we have to suffer through to understand that unless we are willing to commit to destruction on the scale of the US Civil War, WWI and WWII, we will fail? I'm not advocating for total war at the drop of a hat, just the opposite. Unless the national need is sufficient or the national will is present for this kind of extreme military commitment, avoid military entanglements like the plague. Continued
The Drug Benefit - The idea of a "right to health care" sounds good, but people really don't know what they are saying. I don't have a right to food or shelter, far more basic than medicine. Are we advocating for the right to go into a supermarket and basically steal food? The Bill of Rights doesn't give us the right to any material good. When we claim the right to medicine, the right to be seen by a physician, the right to treatment at a hospital, we're talking about taking something that belongs to another person. We've seen today's Europe - let's avoid that fate at all costs. Immigration - The Bush apologists' equation of opposition to illegal immigration with racism is truly sad. Invoking one of the Left's most overused techniques shows their desperation. The funny thing is that while throwing accusations of racism used to be a pretty potent silencing weapon in the 80s and 90s, that ole dog just don't hunt no more. It's like water off a duck's back now. Opposing reward for criminal behavior is such basic common sense that inverse race-mongering demagoguery is just plain impotent. I look forward to 2008. The election will be less about the desirability of Democrats than a referendum on the governing by Republicans. One way or another the establishment Rockefeller RINO Republicans will reach ever closer to extinction. The loss of Chaffee-RI, Dewine-OH, Rob Simmons-CT and Nancy Johnson-CT in 2006 was well worth the short term pain. The reaction to the ram-rodding of the Immigration Bill of 2007 shows how the ground is shifting.
I think Noonan's column was excellent. As to those of us feel like passive victims, let me say that "regular joes" like myself do not have newspaper columns. Our outrage at Iraq (and other debacles) was not recorded. Instead the "anti-war" movement was lead by Cindy Sheehan, whose nuggets of wisdom included "Our soldiers are the real terrorists," "The people fighting the U.S. are freedom fighters," and "Bush and Israel killed my boy." I make no apologies for not joining that circus. I work in an environment made up almost exclusively of people who call themselves either conservative or Republican. I DON'T KNOW ONE PERSON HERE WHO SUPPORTED THE IRAQ WAR FOR EVEN FIVE MINUTES. I do now know a number of people who no longer identify themselves with either major party. As to liberals here who think our outrage did not come early enough or was loud enough: Please point us to evidence of your outrage against the illegal and immoral carpet-bombing of Serbia, or the slaughter of 80 men, women, and children at Waco. I could point out other examples, but they've no doubt also been consigned to the memory hole.
Speaking for myself, I guess it just took me awhile to understand that Bush just WON'T LISTEN to anyone outside his circle if it conflicts with his aims. I held my nose when I voted for him (the whole "compassionate conservative" label angered me, since I never viewed compassion and conservatism as mutually exclusive), and did the whole "lesser of two evils" thing. But now I see that surely we could have made a better choice of candidates in 2000. This time, I'll write somebody in (Tom Tancredo? Alan Keyes?) if I have to. Anyway, sometimes I can't help but wonder--could Al Gore have screwed things up worse? In the meantime, I have been re-reading the Declaration of Independence--it has been instructive and inspiring.
I'll just say that it's awfully rich for a supporter of universal private health care to criticize the Medicare prescription drug benefit...
Rod,
The problem is not simply that Bush had power, so everyone went along - "that we pretty much loved the guy - when he was a winner." The problems are deeper, and they are three. One - a remember a political leader in Ohio telling me on a bright and sunny day in Spring of 2000 that he was backing Bush "because we want a winner." The assumption was always that Bush could win - and so other questions did not get asked. Two - the American electorate, both conservative and liberal, are grossly ignorant of political philosophy and history. Television has degraded the debate so that "likeability" has become cosmically important. Once half-informed voters think they have a "bond" and a candidate has become "their guy" that bond becomes emotional. Do you remember the phone calls that came in to talk shows during the Miers fiasco? It was shocking listening to people who were literally choked up (or enraged) and saying "I just trust this man" and "I just know our president is doing the right thing" and worst of all "we have to follow our leader." It made me feel physically sick. Is this a Republic, or the Third Party Conference? Bush's anti-intellectualism does not just reflect his base, as sneering New York Times readers like to believe, it reflects most of the electorate. Finally, Conservatives view the press with such profound suspicion that it took a very long time for a lot of us to see that Bush is incompetent. When the press believes that everything which has happened in the last 6 years is Bush's fault, it is easy to see how the equal and opposite distortion - nothing is wrong with Bush - could take hold. Carter's incompetence was more apparent because he failed at literally everything he touched. Bush had some genuine successes, which he was not credited for, and so his base ignored the failures. A more profound understanding of history and political philosophy would inform the conservative hermeneutic of suspicion in filtering the press. I do not view Iraq as the grotesque failure you do by the way. Only an idiot would argue that Bush's incompetence is not on full display there, however
"Why would they speak so insultingly, with such hostility, of opponents who are concerned citizens? And often, though not exclusively, concerned conservatives?
It is odd, but it is of a piece with, or a variation on, the "Too bad" governing style. And it is one that has, day by day for at least the past three years, been tearing apart the conservative movement." Where were the conservatives when the Bush Administration was doing the same thing to moderates and liberals who disagreed with him? It's not the conservative movement only that has been torn apart by this Administration, it is the nation. Only now, it seems to me, has the nation reached consensus that the Emperor has no clothes, and that the Bush Administration is doing to the country what Enron did to its shareholders, employees, and customers. Funny how some of the same people are involved...
Responding to Lucius: Harriet Miers-agree with all that you said. Katrina- I don't think that the criticism was preposterous. The criticism was directed at Bush because he appointed the people in charge of FEMA. The public didn't expect things to be perfect, but the public was right to expect FEMA to mobilize in a timely manner. FEMA would need to kick into action if we were ever attacked by terrorists. They weren't ready. Iraq- Bush couldn't have gone into Iraq without public support. The base supported it.
Drug Benefit-People might not have a right to food, shelter, clothing or medicine. I might not have a right to any of those things, but I want to live in a country that cares about its'weakest. Especially, when that country is the richest nation in the world. Immigration- The Left might invoke the race card, but demagoguery isn't a tactic that only the Left uses with regularity. It's a favorite of the Right. Actually, I think that we could say that Bush won the White House in the last election because he was so much better at using the tactic. It hurts more when your own is using it against you.
Which of the GOP presidential candidates will be the first to break decisively and boldly with the president? I thought one already had, Dr. Ron Paul, congressman from Texas. He has never been a supporter of the Iraq war, even from the very beginning. He's quite boldly said that the GOP has lost its way, and he's all for radically reducing the size of government. To top it all off, he's ardently pro-life (he's been an OBGYN for decades). Take a quick look at his voting record: He has never voted to raise taxes. He has never voted for an unbalanced budget. He has never voted for a federal restriction on gun ownership. He has never voted to raise congressional pay. He has never taken a government-paid junket. He has never voted to increase the power of the executive branch. He voted against the Patriot Act. He voted against regulating the Internet. He voted against the Iraq war. He does not participate in the lucrative congressional pension program. He returns a portion of his annual congressional office budget to the U.S. treasury every year. He calls himself the most conservative Republican in congress, and he might very well be. Check out his platform here and see how many of his talking points line up with your own. I think you may be pleasantly surprised. http://www.ronpaul2008.com/html/Issues_fx.html
Watsy, thanks. My responses: Katrina- Whether FEMA was mobilized like D-Day or sat on their lazy rumps, they couldn't have fixed anything. The power of a hurricane is beyond comprehension. I don't think a FEMA dog & pony show ("Hey NBC, takes some newsreel footage of our helicopters flying around")really accomplishes much rather than window-dressing of advertising how effective they are. When it comes to hurricanes, all is ineffective when it comes to damage (however, evacuation saves lives). From the media reaction at the time, I really do think people were of the opinion "how could Bush let this damage (hurricane) happen?" Iraq- I agree with your indictment. Better to stick with Lucius' stance of "total war or sit this one out" than dabbling with warfare. War isn't for dilettantes. Drug Benefit- I've got no problem with caring for the country's weakest. But when people use a certain language, the language of Rights, we've got to know the probable outcome. A Right to something means I don't have to pay for this, that the government cannot stop me from accessing this, that I can have this and nobody can stop me. The Depression was a terrible time, but from discussions with my grandparents and parents, there wasn't the attitude that I have a constitutional Right to food, shelter or wages. Hammer the robber barons if we want (not that there were so many of those folks during the 1930s), but let's drop the language that we are constitutionally guaranteed the produce of another's labor. That is plain wrong. Immigration- Agree. Your comments were echoed by Larison.
But McCain stuck by Bush on the war, which has proved Bush's undoing -- and will prove McCain's. How can you say that? McCain is in full meltdown mode, and its all because of immigration. Don't kid yourself that the GOP is turning on Bush because they secretly agree with you in the Iraq war.
I don't know this Daniel Larison fellow, but I see on his "recommended sites" list is lewrockwell.com and Ron Paul's campaign website. That scares me. It scares me even more that these are the people you listen to now Rod.
Lucius You left out No Child Left Behind. If you have school teachers among your family or friends then you know what it has wrought.
Watsy: "It hurts more when your own is using it against you." You hit that nail on the head. It is no wonder that the name of Benedict Arnold has survived history, while that of General Cornwallis will warrant a shrug and a "Who?" Cornwallis, although far more damaging, is excused because he had integrity; we knew and expected him to be on the English side. Benedict Arnold, of far less import, was a traitor, a liar, a dissembler; he had no integrity. We thought we knew him and we had expectations that were not met. Turning on your allies, failing to keep promises, failing to live up to the commitments you've made, these all raise intense feelings of treason and betrayal. If your enemy stabs you in the back, whatever....it's expected, a fair battle, you knew the fox was a fox. It is truth in advertising. But when your friend stabs you in the back....oooooooo....it may say "vengeance is mine saith the Lord", but the anger of a voter scorned is a supernova.
To Rich, I honestly don't know much about No Child Left Behind, so I didn't comment on it. However, that didn't stop me from commenting on other topics I know nothing about (see above), so....give me a few minutes and I'll post something equally bone-headed and ignorant about Bush's educational policy failings. Heh.
Conservatives have a curious tendency to award global approbation or damnation as if that explained everything. Once Bush was a Good Person--for whatever reason--now he is a Bad Person. Peggy Noonan thinks he has hubris. Swell. The President has character flaws. Now there's a news flash. I think it would be more useful to ask Lenin's question--who/whom--more often. Who is doing what to whom? And why? Bush isn't making the choices he does at random. As a rational actor, he must be pursuing goals he thinks are worth risking the loss of voter approval. Perhaps he is serving interests from whom he stands to gain more. I'm not in a position to find out what those interests are. But I no longer cherish the illusion that my government is being run by the people, for the people.
Well, now that you're in Texas, Rod-- I have always been curious about the phenomenally fast rise of GWB (in the first primary campaign) from 'slightly stupid but nice Gov. of TX.' to Republican Nominee. I know that the Dresser Industries people were very involved in fundraising for GWB. But what's the "rest" of the story? Or is there one?
That sound you hear is the world's smallest violin, playing just for conservatives. Suddenly, Bush is no longer a conservative. (Jonah Goldberg, a few days ago, called him "liberal.") Noonan expresses shock that Bush would use such hurtful, inflammatory language against his own base. Rush Limbaugh told his audience he has been a water-carrier for the administration! He actually confessed that he helped keep the party faithful in line even though he may not have agreed or believed in the policies being espoused. (Of course, that's not as shocking as the fact that this confession was met by cricket chirping by his fellow travelers; Jesus, even when you guys are selling out, you're selling out.)
And, Rod, well, there's a quite colorful Internet trail regarding his pre-disillusionment thoughts on Bush, and even more colorful thoughts on those who disagreed with him. Whatever. Most of these guys sold their conservative ideology to this administration without batting an eye or asking for much in return. Now, they want to snatch it back and say that conservatism works, even though the man didn't. Despite the recriminations and hand-wringing, I just can't buy that most of these folks will act differently should a Republican win the White House in 2008. Whether they swoon over McCain's standing-at-the-gates-of-hell foreign policy; Romney's doubling of Gitmo; or Tancredo's hiring of a fictional TV character to hunt down bin Laden, most of these folks will likely be happy to pimp their principles for some faux-tough guy talk. It's very easy to trash a lame-duck president with talking points opponents have been using for years. I'd like to see some introspection on the part of Bush's water-carriers. What might Rod do differently with another Republican in the White House? Is there going to be more traitor talk about the opposition? More fear-mongering? My bet is, very little.
Lucius and Watsy, Your thoughtful and insightful exchange just made my day. Thank you. :) Not that I intend to hold either of you up as paragons of political discourse (though, personally, I think you'd do well), but you two represent the most glaring lack in the Bush administrations: thoughtful, honest and insightful dialog. I don't want my president to be right all the time. I do want my president to be righteous, to make good on mistakes, and be ready to consider those opposed to his policies as just as patriotic as he is. I've long since viewed Watsy as a patriot. I'm glad, Lucius, to be privileged to add you to that perception. Doesn't mean I'm gonna start agreeing with you (just ask Watsy), but if our country is going to heal its wounds, it'll be voices like yours contributing to the healing.
wm makes an interesting point. Were conservatives and Republicans slow to awake to the disaster that is Bush Jr. because they so distrusted the press they simply refused to believe their eyes? Last time I turned on Limbaugh, he had put aside the "drive-by media" spiel for a whole five or ten minutes.
If patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel, then it appears blaming the media is the last refuge for right-winger believers. Once they give up on that, they give up, period.
Would you rather have Gore? How about Kerry?
Kit, I believe that's "bogus patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel". :)
My wife is a public school teacher and she thinks that No Child Left Behind is a good step in the right direction on a long and difficult road. So do I.
"Drug Benefit - The idea of a "right to health care" sounds good, but people really don't know what they are saying. I don't have a right to food or shelter, far more basic than medicine." Finally, the "pro-lifers" reveal their true colors. There is no right-to-life (excepting, of course, if one is curled up in a fetal position, in utero, and incapable of requesting food, shelter, or medical care.
Without food, who gets to live? No food, no live = right right to food = no right to life.
Many times without the adequate health care, there will be "no-life" for other individuals. These same basics that the compassionates would deny to those incapable of self-sufficiency may also extend to those yet unborn; the very ones that conservatives can recognize as having "rights."
If there is "no [recognizable] right to life, i.e. food, medicine," how can they then claim to be "pro" life at all?
Fallacy number one: Republicans are genetically superior to Democrats on defense. Fallacy number two: A "business man" in office will ensure competency. OK Now that that's out of my system-where were all the conservative Bush-haters in 2004? When all the evidence was present?
Did the Katrina disaster have to happen to convince the planet of managerial disgrace? Iraq need three more years? No-its the "immigration" issue. Whatever that is in Conservative code. The damage to conservatism is huge-and Bush will take down pro-lifers too. They came out in droves for this man. And unpackaged there own patholigcal attachments to Bush and other pet politics-including a rabid pro-war, anti-immigration (anti-"brown" politics), anti-welfare and pro-lifers let this slip into the prol-life/pro-Bush discussions.
The internet has our 2004 discussion out there.
And I keep reviewing them. And they are not pretty. And-by the by- Bush was called a conservative nearly uniformly by conservatives back then. Except by Pat Buchanan.
Franklin, I looked up the famous Samuel Johnson quote, and no, I believe I had it right the first time. Nothing "bogus" about it.
http://www.bartleby.com/73/1306.html
Kit, right you are. I just think "bogus" is at least implied. Sorry for being cynical. It's the end of a long day at the end of a long week.
My thought, reading this amazing Noonan column twice: You know things have deteriorated when Peggy Noonan's seat at the White House dinner for Queen Elizabeth goes to Elizabeth Hassleback.
The finger pointing and the mea culpas would seem a bit more the start of something productive if y'all worried less about coming "to grips with what this presidency has meant for the Republican Party and the conservative movement," and more about what it has meant to this nation. After the last 6 years, and given that we have to suffer this president for another 20 months, there's little enough reason to care about the Republican Party and the conservative movement. Worry, instead, about how to change the political tone in this nation, and how restore it from this tailspin.
Don't expect one ounce of compassion over the destruction of your party when the whirlwind comes November 2008. We Democrats are most certainly going to kick you while you are down to do our best to assure that you will not rise again for 20 or 30 years. The 3500 dead soldiers alone is bad enough, but the 25,000 wounded who will spend the next few decades suffering through a decayed system that cannot handle this many maimed vets earn you a special place in the room with no doors. As a former soldier I think what you have done to the Army and National Guard is an umittgated disgrace and I only hope we can rebuild before our enemies take advantage of our weakness. Rot in Hell.
Lucius: "We've seen today's Europe - let's avoid that fate at all costs" I dunno about Europe, but I've lived in Japan with nationalized health care for the past 26 years and it works. I'd really dread having to go back to the US now and thread myself through the maze of HMOs and private/public insurance issues.
Given this is beliefnet, one would think one would hear more about the administration's abandonment of core conservative--er, human--values. Where is torture (read: enhanced interrogation techniques) in all this breast beating?
Ryan Sager describes the GOP fusionist alliance of evangelicals and libertartians in his book "The Elephant in the Room", documenting how the "Reagan Revolution" was built on this fusionist foundation.
To Noonan's point, I think there are now actually three factions in the Republican party: 1) Traditional Fiscal Conservatives (libertarians) 2) Traditional Social Conservatives (evangelicals) 3) "Loyal Bushies" Category (3) is wildly over-represented in the blogosphere and the activist Republican base. They have been listening to their own B.S. for so long they actually believe they are the GOP. They are not. The historically successful fusionist alliance can be rebuilt with the right candidate, but to win the general election would require a candidate who can pull from moderates and marginalize the "loyal bushies".
One wonders exactly what kind of a conservative candidate would accomplish those objectives... Dr. Paul? - Love the guy, glad he is running, he is a delight in the debates, but he'll never be president.
To maintain that fusionist foundation, they'd obviously prefer a bona fide fiscal and social conservative, ideally with good family values and married to one wife. A real limited government Republican in the Ronald Reagan and Barry Goldwater tradition would be a welcome relief. As long as we builidng a conservative's dream candidate, someone who had experience in the private sector, and even better... lets make him a wealthy self-made enterpreneur. He must be tough on crime, strong on defense, pro-gun with an "A" rating from the NRA, support low taxes and limited spending, be rated a "Taxpayers Friend" by the NTU, be pro-business with an 85% +rating from the US Chamber of Commerce, and a 0% rating from NARAL indicating a perfect pro-life voting record. Gosh, wouldn't it also be great to also have a candidate who is an intellectual, an idea man, articulate, comfortable and coherent at a podium? Lets add those traits.
What the hell, lets go all out. Let's make him a decorated Vietnam war combat veteran who served with distinction and honor. Sigh, Now that would be a conservative candidate! And that is Chuck Hagel.
I wonder in this post - "Can Chuck Hagel save the GOP from the Bushies?"
I would like to add my voice to the chorus of those saying, "Cry me a river." The Republicans and neocons turning on Bush now are absolutely AMAZED that he would smear anyone who disagrees with him with dishonest terms. "My goodness," they say, "I just disagree with the President on policy and he demonizes me! How could he?" Do these people even live in the same country as the rest of us? Or is it different when he accuses liberals of wanting the US to fail, or that all Democrats side with the terrorists?
For the record, no one is asking liberals to feel sorry for conservatives.
To continue, the smart thing to do is to say, "So now you see what the rest of us saw for so long. Welcome to the club." Or something like that. It feels good to be a gloatish sore winner, of course, but how does it help change anything?
Great post, Rod, and a very manful admission of personal culpability. But will anyone learn from this? I tend to doubt it, looking at the conservative commentariat's idiotic embrace of the trio of Bush-style non-conservative candidates: Giuliani, McCain and Romney. What I don't understand is why people continue to give credence to commentators who were reliably wrong for so very long. It's annoying, because I was practically shrieking about what this administration would do to American liberties from my very first political column in 2001 and was branded - perhaps rightly - an extremist in return. So, is anyone going to start listening to the "paleos" and "extremists" now, or do we all need to sit through 8 more years of Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton before kicking out the neocons and pragmatists and returning to conservatives and principles?
Of course it really does not matter very much. Bush will leave office on schedule, Jan 20, 2009 at high noon to be replaced by--most likely a Republican because it looks like none of the ankle-biters running on the Democrat side can win the general election.
Go re-read wm's post above. It is exactly right, in my opinion. I volunteered for the Keyes2000 presidential campaign. I remember well when it was a foregone conclusion that W would get the nomination, Keyes warned conservatives that his election would spell disaster for the conservative movement and the nation as well.
How prescient he was. I have a good friend who is a learned and intelligent professional. Nonetheless, he has proven absolutely incapable of distinguishing internet scams and frauds of the most obvious sort. I have often why it is that he can't seem to have the same BS detector that the rest of us have? Similarly, some conservatives have recognized (myself included) that Bush was a fraud since day one. The interesting question is: why didn't conservatives see it? What was wrong with their BS detectors?
I have often why it is that he doesn't seem to have the same BS detector that the rest of us have?
Bush got elected and re-elected for one reason: he was the lesser "evil". McCain was his only credible primary opposition and his "maverick" streak wears pretty thin pretty quickly. The best the Dems could come up with in 2000 was Al Gore and he did win the popular vote (barely). Given that most people thought things were just peachy in 2000, Gore would have won handily if he wasn't so obnoxious and people weren't suffering a mild case of Clinton fatigue. In 2004, people were still fired up about the GWOT and the extent of the Iraq disaster wasn't apparent to most of us. The Dems had a couple of credible candidates in the primary (Gephardt and Lieberman - neither of which come off as "presidential"). But the Dems have been hijacked by the loony left so we wound up with John Kerry - even more obnoxious than Al Gore. Yet Kerry nearly beat Bush. So support for W was and is razor thin. His base defended him strongly mostly because the opposition is so, well, stupid (think Rosie O'Donnell, Harry Reid, and Nancy Pelosi). I think the reason that the immigration issue broke the dam is because it is an issue that affects so many of us "little people" so directly. Iraq is thousands of miles away and, for most of us without loved ones in the middle of it, is an abstraction. But an invasion of our country that impacts average people everyday (schools, traffic, crime, neighborhoods going down the tubes in the blink of an eye, the contempt that a fair number of Hispanics show for their hosts) was the last straw. I think the backlash would be even stronger if the average person (the masses that can't name their senators) had any idea of the numbers of people that will flood into this country should this wretched bill become law.
"The difference is we conservatives pretty much loved the guy -- when he was a winner." Whoa there! Hang on a second. The key thing in how all this played out was 9/11. That's why the base bonded with him, that's why it put up with so much for so long. Rally round the president and all that. It certainly didn't return him to office because he was a winner. Quite the contrary. Other than that, I agree with you.
Hello, conservatives. My symmpathy. I suggest that at this point you ask yourselves why the conservative movement has apparently failed so dismally at this point. Or *is* there a conservative movement?
A co-alition does not a movement make. Should we perhaps ask: is anything better than co-alition government even possible in this country now? Is government by interest-group the end of the American experiment?
And to those whose Republican principles are pre-Bush ones, why have you been so loathe to criticize the Bushes? The lack of opposition to this president by conservatives whose own principles have regularly been trashed by this man seems, from the outside, totally inexplicable. What happened?
So let s take a vote for the record, ladies and gentlemen. If we get stuck with one of the GOP frontrunners (Giuliani?) against Hillary in 2008, with Ron Paul (or Tancredo if you prefer) running as an Independent, how many of us will stand up for conservative principle ? Clearly no one here thinks any of the Big Three Republicans is a real conservative, but I certainly don t expect a conservative to win the Republican nomination by attacking Bush. Yet I m sure on this website, though hopefully not from Rod himself, we ll hear many commenters say how we must support the Republican candidate in the vain hope of winning the Culture War through politics. In my opinion, we need a competitive third party in this country. Make that two. Conservatives who want to leave the GOP must have a conservative option, and liberals who want to leave the Democratic Party must have a credible option too. In the 2006 midterms, many conservative voters voted for the Dems, which meant trying to end the Iraq War by voting for the party that had enabled it. Without a competitive third party, we weren t given the option of voting for a party that had actually been prescient, that had proven itself to be truly smart rather than just not as dumb as the other one. I know there are drawbacks to multiparty systems, but in a two-party system it is just too easy for a small, wealthy elite to take over both parties. In a multiparty system, any group that feels inadequately represented can form a new party. A choice, not an echo!
The conservative movement is too diverse of a group to be responsible for the actions of any politician.
Some conservatives opposed Bush's approach to the war on terror: The Patriot Act, warentless wiretaps, the Iraq war. But many prominent conservatives, including me, still support Bush quite a bit on the war on terror and still think that we must fight Al-Qaeda.
On the prescription drug bill. The Wall Street Journal editorial page, the Heritage Foundation and other prominent conservative institutions were opposed to it at the time. Similarly for No child left behind and "earmarks."
Bush openly campaigned in 2000 as a pro-Mexican immigration candidate. If some of us supported him as the "lessor of the evils" in a contest against first McCain and then later Al Gore, that's just the realities of politics. Who says that my single vote out of 100,000,000 votes cast is going to move the world?
Peggy Noonan's editorial is way, way, overblown.
She speaks for herself. But many conservatives still support Bush's views on the Bush tax cuts, free trade, the war against Islamic-terror, Gitmo, "enhanced interrogation techniques" and a host of other issues.
Most conservatives still are relieved that Sam Alito and John Roberts are on the US Supreme Court instead of whomever John Kerry or Al Gore would have put there.
Let's not eat too much of the "I hate Bush" organic lettuce just because we disagree with him on immigration.
The main mistake Peggy Noonan makes is believing that her views represent "true conservatism," when conservatives differ among themselves on issues such as free trade, the Iraq war, immigration (at least legal immigration), tax cuts and so on.
Back in January 2005 a newly reelected President Bush gave an inaugural address that argued that there is a connection between the US's national security and the success of freedom abroad. Peggy Noonan ridiculed Bush's democratic triumphalism and many other conservatives accused Bush of "Wilsonian" rhetoric.
But the idea that the success of liberty abroad is connected to US national security isn't new by any means.
Why did President Reagan give his famous "Tear down this wall" speech in Berlin, over the protests of the State Department and Colin Powell? Clearly Reagan saw a link between freedom in Eastern Europe (then held hostage by the Soviet Union) and US security.
Peggy Noonan has every right to voice her dissent on that issue.
But Bush did not betray conservatism by continuing the Reagan tradition of viewing the success of freedom abroad as important to security at home. Conservatism does not have a unified position on foreign policy.
Then there's the issue of political compromise and political reality that inevitably separates conservative pundits and activists from elected conservative politicians.
As an elected conservative politician, Ronald Reagan believed that higher FICA payroll taxes were part of a necessary compromise with US House speaker Tip O'Neal required to 'save social security.' Many conservatives vehemently disagreed with Reagan on that one. Similarly, many conservatives didn't like the fact that Reagan tolerated 200 billion dollar budget deficits, nor did they unanimously agree with the 1986 tax "reform."
But an elected conservative politician is often persuaded to do very unconservative things, sometimes to retain popularity among the larger public, sometimes to reach a "deal" with political opponents.
We conservatives can feel we have been betrayed only if we were born yesterday and don't remember Nixon's wage and price controls or the original President Bush's broken "read my lips" no new taxes pledge or Reagan's appointment of Sandra Day O'Conner and Anthony Kennedy to the US Supreme Court.
Noonan's column is long on self-righteousness and short on sober analysis, short on a sense of perspective and history.
>It feels good to be a gloatish sore >winner, of course, but how does it >help change anything? We'll help change things by rallying the Democrats to kick your behinds past the far side of the moon in 2008. Change things? How about instead of worrying how much I dispise the Republican party you focus instead on ensuring the 25,000 maimed veterans George Bush has created get the care they need. Every single one of them. How about you do something out of the ordinary for you so-called conservatives and push for a few less gold plated jet fighters in the arsenal so that every soldier and airman gets a 10% raise. Maybe push for a nickle gas tax to replace every Hummvee in the world with safer vehicles? Get started on that set of suggestions and then call me in ten years.
What a delightful person you must be. Though an orthographically challenged one. The word is spelled d-e-s-p-i-s-e.
Rod, I was going to react similarly to Richard's anger, but I held off. He may not be as rational in expression as we'd like him to be, but his voice (general/generic) has been silent for too long. I'm betting you'll remember the film "Article 99". Ray Liotta, Kiefer Sutherland, Lea Thompson, Forest Whitaker, several others. I think the recent tip-of-the-iceberg public disclosures from the VA point to something very rotten in that bureaucracy, and a whole passle of lessons from a previous generation that have not been learned. Who else are we to go to for redress and recourse, if not the administration responsible for overseeing that agency? And, when things get that bad, why is it we shy away from the reality of it when someone steps up and expresses righteous rage over it? Don't rock the boat. Be polite. Be soft, and quiet. Well, to borrow a phrase: silence is death. I think we need to hear/see more from the Richard Bottoms' of this nation. And Mr. Bottoms: while I will always have contempt for those who would try to focus attention away from the real problems by pointing at how they are being presented (as by you, for instance), that doesn't change the reality that if we are going to be heard, we need to find a middle place between passive silence and high-volume outrage.
Here's Jonah Goldberg on Rod Dreher's reponse to Peggy Noonan. I agree with it. If anyone should feel betrayed, maybe it's Bush himself. He warned GOP voters again and again and again what compassionate conservatism would look like. And, when he delivered, conservatives were shocked that he meant it (or didn't care because his poll numbers were high or they had other priorities in the form of judges and war). The phrase "compassionate conservatism" was always a backhanded slap at traditional conservatism (as I noted in 1998). Ramesh (and I) were saying "don't say you weren't warned" during Bush's first term. For just two examples, see Ramesh's "Swallowed by Leviathan" or see this speech I gave to the New York Conservative Party (if you can get past the really lame Howard Dean joke). Not to revisit old fights, but my problem with Rod's admonition is that it leaves out the fact that his Crunchy Conservatism actually rests on many of the same assumptions of Bush's compassionate conservatism. Conservatism, according to Crunchy Conservatism, has become too cold and calculating, too obsessed with the mighty dollar and the moral unimpeachability of the free market. Conservatism isn't spiritual enough, humane enough, activist enough, quoth Rod. "Hillary Clinton got a bum rap from the right," he admitted, "it really does take a village to raise a child." Well, this is pretty much the same indictment at the heart of compassionate conservatism, which speaks relentlessly of leaving no children behind.
I'd take Rod's laments about how we all should have turned on Bush earlier if only compassionate conservatism and crunchy conservatism didn't have so much in common. Indeed, now that he's aligning himself so much with so-called "paleos" it's worth also noting that Pat Buchanan considered Bush's compassionate conservatism a rip-off of his "conservatism of the heart."
Rod's right that the Bush years should foster introspection. So, for me, I can tell you that lessons like this are among the reasons I've become more libertarian in response to the Bush years. What I would like to know is why on domestic policy even as Rod has become so virulently anti-Bush, compassionate conservatism has made Rod more, well, compassionately conservative.
Here's a 1998 column from Jonah Goldberg describing his opposition to George W. Bush's term "compasssionate conservatism."
So yes, by all means let's turn our backs on this failed presidency, and save what we can, while we can. But let's not kid ourselves: Bush has failed conservatives, yes, but we have also failed ourselves. Talk about empty rhetoric.
Is this presidency any more of a failed presidency than the Nixon, Ford or George H W Bush presidency?
President George W Bush did better than President Reagan on conservative US Supreme Court justices. Reagan only appointed Scalia (and two moderates, Anthony Kennedy and Sandra Day O'Conner). Bush replaced the moderate O'Conner with the conservative Alito.
Bush cut taxes on capital gains and dividends and the economy is doing so well that our unemployment rate is at 4.5 percent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is closing in on 14,000.
Bush toppled two dictatorships: The Taliban in Afghanistan and Saddam Hussain's regime in Iraq.
Bush was reelected in 2004 when all of this, except for the US Supreme Court appointments, were already out in the open.
And what choice did conservatives really have? McCain ran against Bush in 2000, but McCain was even more moderate than Bush was. Could conservatives really have convinced themselves that John Kerry or Al Gore were closet conservatives or more conservative than George W. Bush?
Despite all the government spending which conservatives rightly oppose, the budget deficit is historically small, smaller as a percent of GDP than it was under President Reagan.
So, maybe all the self-righteous rhetoric should be dispensed with and be replaced by a sober analysis of where we go from here.
But can an advocate for organically grown produce really lead the conservative movement? Can someone who voted for the liberal Democrat opponent of Joe Barton really lead the conservative movement?
Your post on the Goldberg column was fascinating, AngelM. Here s the disconnect for me in Goldberg s speech (which is recent, isn t it?) How can he say at the same time that now Rod is aligning himself with paleos and that he s become more compassionately conservative ? Paleoconservatism favors some restrictions on the free market, to be sure, but it s never argued for rising government spending. As you say, Buchanan believed that Bush s compassionate conservatism wasn t compassionate or conservative. Is Goldberg trying to say that Rod has come around to Buchanan s view of compassionate conservatism? It seems to me that Rod has not advocated Bush-style compassionate conservatism for some time, despite some similarities. Goldberg may be presenting a false choice between Bush s compassionate conservatism and pure libertarianism, neither of which seems to be what Rod is choosing. One last point: I thought the conventional wisdom was that Bush presented compassionate conservatism to appeal to swing voters in his first campaign, and then dropped most of it due to its unpopularity. So is Goldberg claiming that Bush is still practicing compassionate conservatism ? A lot of people would dispute that. He seems to be serving only the interests of the super-wealthy in domestic policy right now.
Bush gave conservatives everything they wanted: lower taxes, crippled or ended regulation of indiustries, health and science policies shaped by religious beliefs, "privatization" of governmental services (mostly in contracts to friends and cronies of conservative politicians and funding sources), a GWoT that justifies the Unitary Executive and enables crackdowns on domestic enemies as well as the star chamber for enemies domestic and foreign, and two more SCOTUS Justices that will uphold the Unitary Executive. I don't see why conservatives have turned against Bush, or tried to re-label him as a "liberal." I mean, I understand why they've turned against him: he's widely despised by the country, which also believes the country is on the wrong track. That has to hurt, a little, when conservatives know they're right and the rest of the country is wrong. But I think you're all engaging in a kind of "kill the messenger" because you don't like the message. I think you'd be better off accepting the fact that most people don't like conservatism, and need to have it forced on them by one concocted national emergency after another.
The GWoT is perfect for that. Since every major Republican candidate has stated his support for an endless GWoT, complete with Unitary Executive powers, you really don't have a problem. Whoever your candidate is in 2008 will espouse the policies you like. Of them all, though, Fred Thompson looks to be positioning himself as the Next George Bush. He's hired a Rovian protege to help run his campaign. This is excellent news for conservatives, because Rove tactics are winning tactics. Whoever the Democratic candidate is will quickly be painted by the Republicans as someone who wants all your money, wants to force people to get abortions and marry a gay person, hates Christians, and will hand the keys of the White House to Al-Qaeda. What's not to like?
You finished up with the truth at least some conservatives out here have been saying for years. Where were the conservative pundits, and talk show hosts, etc. when Bush strayed? Even Peggy, as I recall, essentially justified some of Bush's worst policies because he was "one of us. Apart from some praising with faint damnation, the general conservative pundocracy was AWOL during the last 6 years. The attitude towards grassroots conservatives voicing their disagreement with Bush and imploring the Right to hold fast to the rule of law, instead of the rule of Bush, was to marginalize or silence them. The so-called conservative website "FreeRepublic" was emblematic. Any dissent towards Bush's policies got one banned from posting as being disruptive or a "Troll".
I count myself as one of many grassroots conservatives out here in flyover country proud to say "We tried to tell you so." Now, let's fix it. The only Republican who has a shot at the White House is Fred Thompson.
The attitude towards grassroots conservatives voicing their disagreement with Bush and imploring the Right to hold fast to the rule of law, instead of the rule of Bush, was to marginalize or silence them. The so-called conservative website "FreeRepublic" was emblematic. Any dissent towards Bush's policies got one banned from posting as being disruptive or a "Troll". I count myself as one of many grassroots conservatives out here in flyover country proud to say "We tried to tell you so." Yep. I too was banned from FR in 2000, because I dared criticize Bush. Good point - part of the problem is the tendency to see any criticism of Bush as prima facie proof that the speaker is one of "them"; i.e., a liberal.
Bottoms, Savage, Jesse, et al- Question becomes are we doomed to this binary choice between the lesser of 2 evils? These choices as evince by 2000 and 2004 are becoming more a choice among eveils than a heartfelt belief. As a registered Republican(in the bluest of states), I want to see who between Guiliani and Thompson is more inclined to get back to conservative Big C ideals rather than try to put together a Humpty Dumpty of a Reagan coalition that no longer exists. I want to vote for someone, not for a lesser evil. David Frum recently said that this perpetual homage to Reagan gets us nowhere unless and until who ever the candidate is looks to apply conservative ideas to today's problems.
And along those lines simply if the nominee is the platitudnous empty vessel Romney, than by all means Mr. Paul, you have my vote, on wahat ever line you run upon. Being in the wilderness for a few years after this debacle might even be best long-term. I see than there is clearly some ill will between Rod Dreher and Jonah Goldberg. But no matter how you look at it, Bush was telling us as far back as 1998 he was a big government guy. No Child and the prescription durg bill should have told us. the utterly stupid plan fopr the Iraq war should've told us. By the time Harriet Miers and Dubai came to pass, only then did we see his craven fecklessness in full. And it was because having choosen the lesser of evils twice we had little choice but to make the best of it. The thinking was akine to at least he stopped drinking; may be we could make a president out of the lug.And he wasn't a prissy whiny pompous ass like both Kerry and Gore.
Mr. Bottoms- I have come to see the error of this war in so many ways. We didn't come in heavy for reasons no one has explained; you don't fight a war by worrying about hearts and minds until after you win the freaking war, and you don't strut around with "Mission Accomplished" as this dolt did when you earen't close to done. We didn't plan for it's aftermath. And at this point, we have no real plan except more of the same. I regret deeply my votes for Bush. I hope those injured and dead soldiers haunt Bush every moment of the rest of his life.And I pray for them and ther Iraqi people. If however you place much faith in pols of any stripe I expect you will be, as we have been, greatly dissapointed and worse. Pary who ever the next president is does very little spare getting our men and women home safely.
John Savage,
How can he say at the same time that now Rod is aligning himself with paleos and that he s become more compassionately conservative ? Paleoconservatism favors some restrictions on the free market, to be sure, but it s never argued for rising government spending. Rod Dreher's "crunchy conservatism," Pat Buchanan's "conservatism of the heart" and George W. Bush's "compassionate conservatism" all having one thing in common: they all support a larger role for government than Reagan/Ginrich conservatism or libertarianism supports.
Rod Dreher voted for a liberal pro-abortion Democrat candidate for Congress against Joe Barton in Texas and indicates hostility to standard conservatism because of the their belief in free market economics.
Pat Buchanan's views are similar to Dreher's. Buchanan has taken Socialist positions on forced unionization and "protecting jobs" in the US from foreign competition.
George W. Bush has argued that when people are hurting "government must move."
So, all three reject Ronald Reagan's line of "Government isn't the solution. Government is the problem." I personally am much more comfortable with George W. Bush's views on tax cuts (including reductions in high marginal income tax rates and lower tax rates on capital gains and dividends), free trade (including Bush's free trade agreements with Central American nations and Australia) and his general hostility to forced unionization than I am with Rod Dreher's mostly incoherent economic musings and Pat Buchanan's believe in imposing draconian economic sanctions on the United States via higher import tariffs.
Still, one should make the distinction between a conservative politician, who inevitably makes compromises with non-conservative politicians and people like us (and Rod Dreher and Pat Buchanan) who have never been elected to any federal office or even a high ranking state office like Governor).
It's easy to talk conservative (or describe Leftish ideas like trade protectionism or "buy locally grown organic food" as conservative) when you don't have to ask anyone to vote for you. It's quite a bit harder to govern as a conservative when a majority of the voting population holds a variety of non-conservative views on public policy issues.
Still, I wonder what alternatives conservatives really have, besides voting for a minor party candidates who is likely to receive 0.3 percent of the vote (as Pat Buchanan did in his 2000 race for President).
The alternatives to George W. Bush have been John McCain, Al Gore and John Kerry.
It would take an interesting redefinition of conservatism to argue that George W. Bush was not more conservative than those other viable alternative candidates.
It is also important to remember how fear after the events of 9/11 was used to bolster public support for the invasion of Iraq. (Cheney still claims that Saddam was behind the 9/11 terrorist attacks even though he was a secularist who was an enemy of the fanatic muslims.) Admit it--you bought it hook, line, and sinker. If we think that Iraq should have a democratic government and it was worth invading in order to overthrow a despotic dictator then why don't we hold Saudi Arabia to the same standards? Oh wait, they control OPEC--so never mind.
Angel- Tax cuts are meaningless unless and until you modify AMT. If you lower my marginal tax rate and then hit me with AMT, where's the tax cut? And as a tax attorney, that has become all too common for many middle class people.When I first eopned my business in 1995, less than 5% of my clients(largely EMTs, cops, teachers, nurses, firemen)paid AMT; now 60% pay AMT. And Bush hasn't taken even a step in the direction of ending it because he won't give up that revenue stream. Further, you total free traders act like everyone else follows Adam Smith's invisible hand in all their dealings when in fact they do not; they act in their best interest,as we should. So why should America not demand some element of fairness? And if you think globalization is such a wonderful idea, have you dealt with a customer service rep in Bangalore or Manila lately? Why are those jobs not done by Americans? That does not make pour economy stronger, just gives companies a cheaper wayt to treat customers like total crap.
If your big argument is that Bush was still preferable, based on the way he has run this war, I'd say no, a thousand times no. We lived through 8 years of Clinton and the sky didn't fall.I certainly hope Hillary! or Obama isn't the next president. But just demanding fealty because you supposedly suck less isn't an argument. If that's your big argument-we had no choice-it's really weak. And for the record in the 2000 primary I did vote for Mccain.
If the RNC keeps treating it base as you suggest-treating us like fools- it will die.And given that some RNC people actually think what you say is valid, that might not be the worst outcome. Keep going down this path and we'll even grease it for you. The RNC's bread&butter contributions-wise has always been small businesses. That's off at least 50% as of today, to the point thier clsoing phone banks and firing staff(I've had a few calls in late 2006 that didn't go very nicely; I suspect many other former contributors informed them likewise. Big business-those idiots who would sell us the rope to hang ourselves(as Lenin might say, if youw ant tot talk about calling people socialists)-give to both parties to cover their bets.
If you think this stupidity works, by all means, keep it up. You will be marginalized, not us.
Thanks Bugg. Evidently AngelM is unaware of the fine distinctions among Dreherism, Buchananism, Bushism, and other socialist ideologies. ;-)
Bugg,
As for the tax cuts and AMT issue, the Bush tax cuts have included adjustments to (though not a repeal of) the AMT. What has happened is that the "threshold" has been increased. The AMT was designed in the late 1960s (or perhaps the early 1970s) as a tax on "the rich." But bracket creep has made it so middle class people who use lots of deductions have been paying. But I don't believe that the Bush tax cuts were meaningless, partially because the AMT has been adjusted to some extent to counteract bracket creep.
Further, you total free traders act like everyone else follows Adam Smith's invisible hand in all their dealings when in fact they do not; they act in their best interest,as we should. So why should America not demand some element of fairness? It all comes down to "fairness" for whom?
If you are a producer of steel, you might want the federal government to protect you from the competition of foreign steel.
If you are a purchaser of steel, you might want the federal government to allow you to purchase steel without high tariffs or import quotas. So, I don't think the word "fairness" really illuminates the issue very well.
I'll put it this way. High import tariffs and import quotas and restrictions have the effect of a nation placing economic sanctions on itself.
Such an economic strategy might help some Americans. But it would make most Americans worse off.
Imagine if we made it illegal to purchase anything from outside the US, including Canadian oil. You're talking economic disaster.
In any case, the Republican party has been a free-trading party going back to Reagan's day. It's the Democrat party, in the pocket of Leftish advocates of forced unionization, that tends to be hostile to competition, including foreign competition. It's free market types who are always looking to rationalize economic decisions and dislike attempts to shield workers and businesses from competition just because there are some votes to be had in doing so. If your big argument is that Bush was still preferable, based on the way he has run this war, I'd say no, a thousand times no. That's fine. But in November of 2004 people who voted for Bush over Kerry knew that Bush had initiated war against Saddam Hussain's Iraq and that the war was difficult. I don't think Peggy Noonan or anyone else can argue that suddenly Bush has changed. Bush basically ran in 2004 as the war candidate while Kerry tried to keep everyone guessing with his "I was for it before I was against it" rhetoric. But just demanding fealty because you supposedly suck less isn't an argument. If that's your big argument-we had no choice-it's really weak. And for the record in the 2000 primary I did vote for Mccain. McCain's views on immigration are nearly identical to those of Bush. Not only that McCain was unhelpful in stopping the Democrats' judicial filibusters. There's a host of other Lefty things McCain has pulled in the last several years.
If the RNC keeps treating it base as you suggest-treating us like fools- it will die.And given that some RNC people actually think what you say is valid, that might not be the worst outcome. Keep going down this path and we'll even grease it for you. I haven't donated to the RNC or any Republican candidate for over a year, not based out of protest, but because I want to pay some bills instead.
As for "going down this path," in the 2008 primaries, Republicans can collectively decide which path they want to go down: the McCain path, the Guiliani path, the Romney path, the Hunter path, the Brownback path.
One path that isn't open in 2008 is the Bush path: he's term limited.
My opinion is that the 2006 Democrat takeover of Congress means that the nation will drift Left whether the next president is a republican or a democrat. So, I actually think we conservatives might, in a perverse sort of way, be better off with a democrat elected in 2008.
John Savage,
Evidently AngelM is unaware of the fine distinctions among Dreherism, Buchananism, Bushism, and other socialist ideologies. It's kind of hard to know nail down Dreherism because quite often Rod Dreher claims that "crunchy conservatism" isn't a political ideology. Instead, he claims that it is simply a lifestyle choice.
But getting back to Peggy Noonan's column.... How can any conservative honest say that he has been surprised by Bush's views on immigration? In 1994 Bush was elected governor of Texas while California voters approved proposition 187, which would have cut off public funding for illegal immigrants in education and health care. Bush announced as Governor-Elect that he didn't support prop 187. And when Bush ran for president in 2000 he said this about immigration: "Family values don't stop at the Rio Grande." So, as much as I disagree with Bush on immigration and on the Medicare prescription drug bill that passed in December 2003, I can't credibly claim that I Bush campaigned one way and governed another way. Peggy Noonan can't make that claim either, nor can Rod Dreher.
AMT has not been adjusted. The tax cuts are in effect meaningless to most people. At the time of it's inception, AMT impacted about 150 very wealthy AMerican. Now it's on the cusp of impacting 30% of Amiercans in the near term. If you're so worried about our economy, what about this revenue stream going to the government for more silly spedning as opposed to keeping it in the economy?
"It all comes down to "fairness" for whom?
If you are a producer of steel, you might want the federal government to protect you from the competition of foreign steel.
If you are a purchaser of steel, you might want the federal government to allow you to purchase steel without high tariffs or import quotas. So, I don't think the word "fairness" really illuminates the issue very well.
I'll put it this way. High import tariffs and import quotas and restrictions have the effect of a nation placing economic sanctions on itself."
Such an economic strategy might help some Americans. But it would make most Americans worse off."
We have the largest market for consumer goods in the world, and it has very few barriers to entry. Again, you green eyeshade types always pretend we're in some college eco textbook perfect world where everyone via Smith's invisible hand allows free movement of good and services. Newsflash-they don't; they act in their own self-interest, often to out detriment, with predatory pricing, loss leading, etc. in attempts to eliminate domesitc production of potential competitors. The Chief Exective shouls set trade policies that best protect the econimic interests of America, not pay homage to an ideal that other countries don't care about.
And as an oilman, why has Bush not made any discernible oil policy? WHy did he not make ANWR and coastal drilling a priority, but spedns what little capital he has on immigration? That isn't just an abdication of responsibility, it shows even when it comes to hisl supposed expertise, the guy is clueless.
While I understand where you're both coming from, I'm disappointed to see both you and Noonan go along with the "Bush screwed up Katrina" meme. The Federal Government did very well in that instance, but the press wouldn't have that narrative and I believe the GOP, simply embarrassed and suckered in by the emotionalism of the reportage, decided they'd simply go along with that one. The blame for the mess of Katrina belongs firmly with Nagin and Blanco, who were the people in charge of that city and state, before any gets put on Bush's already bowed back. He's made a lot of mistakes, yes...but for crying out loud, be fair.
Rod, my compliments on owning up to an error of judgment and of the failures of the modern so-called conservative movement. (Linked from Glenn Greenwald)
Would you rather have Gore? How about Kerry? little john | 06.01.07 - 4:23 pm | # Yes. Yes. Bush got elected and re-elected for one reason: he was the lesser "evil"... The best the Dems could come up with in 2000 was Al Gore and he did win the popular vote (barely). Given that most people thought things were just peachy in 2000, Gore would have won handily if he wasn't so obnoxious and people weren't suffering a mild case of Clinton fatigue. Bush won because the media decided to 'assassinate' Gore. They are still at it today. It's pure baloney and very effective RNC manipulation. I am a little stunned to see how unaware the conservative commentators here are of Rove and Company's Republican propaganda and vote suppression machine. But I guess the greatest trick the devil ever pulled, was to convince the world he doesn't exist and frankly belief in american conservatism requires not seeing many many things. www.dailyhowler.com www.tpmmuckraker.com
To continue, the smart thing to do is to say, "So now you see what the rest of us saw for so long. Welcome to the club." Or something like that. It feels good to be a gloatish sore winner, of course, but how does it help change anything? Rod Dreher | 06.02.07 - 4:50 pm | Maybe but the problem is that liberals genuinely feel that we can't trust republicans and conservatives anymore to be morally upright and fair. The Clinton impeachment Ken Star Whitewater baloney was the opening of the 'kill em all' political style from republicans. We are a long long way from Eisenhower and Rockerfeller. When your political party has engaged in the kind of partizan criminality it did under Bush, Delay and Rove; you start to question the character of republican voters. Who would support such a thing? Rod, how are you going to take the Republican party back so that someone like Hegel has more respect and support than dangerous assclowns like Roberts, Inhofe or Chambliss? You my friend have a long road ahead.
For all those who would like to read my own defense of economic nationalism as a conservative policy, I've now put it up at my own brand-new blog: http://bravenewworldwatch.blogspot.com To go back to the discussion we were having about the Goldberg column, Bugg: I was hoping Rod would get a chance to comment, but I m afraid I ll just have to try to answer my own question. I think Goldberg is confusing Bush s compassionate conservatism with what Rod now advocates. Goldberg was right in seeing that Buchanan thought compassionate conservatism was a fraud, and in fact it was just code for increasing certain types of entitlement spending, plus increasing regulation of education. Movement conservatives like Goldberg, who consider the slightest restriction on the market socialism , have missed the distinction between big-government conservatism (Bush) and small-government conservatism with certain restrictions on the free market (Buchanan, seemingly Dreher). Instead, they ve proposed a return to Reaganism , criticizing Bush for expanding government from an ultra-libertarian viewpoint, while lumping their enemies together with unpopular figures such as Buchanan. I don t consider myself part of a conservative movement . I don t think social conservatives have ever been offered a major-party candidate who was one of us, so I don t go for the Reagan nostalgia. Because we are a minority, we cannot expect to achieve the goal of returning the country to strict Christian morality through politics, at least not in the short term. When it comes to social issues, we need the monastic option. However, we can work politically with whatever groups will help us achieve goals that are feasible. Free-marketeers could help us achieve the goal of shrinking government, but to me that is not the #1 priority right now.
Noonan is right about one thing. At this point in history we don't need hacks. So why did she and almost all the rest of the right wing defend Bush's hacks with bared teeth for the last six years? Not only did they defend them they tore to shreds any non-hacks who saw fit to leave and give fair warning to the country that this emperor had no clothes. Have we already forgotten the treatment dished out to Paul O'Neil,Richard Clark, Joseph Wilson, Valerie Wilson, Scott Ridder, and even Powel and John Ashcroft, by the right wing. Noonan and her ilk are the real hacks here for failing to own up to their role in making Bush what he is today.
Bugg,
We have the largest market for consumer goods in the world, and it has very few barriers to entry. Again, you green eyeshade types always pretend we're in some college eco textbook perfect world where everyone via Smith's invisible hand allows free movement of good and services. I agree that wee aren't in "some college eco textbook."
Still, you haven't advanced your argument for import substitution (otherwise known as "trade protectionism" or "economic nationalism") very far at all.
If the US government were to make it illegal for anyone to import anything from outside the United States the result would be economic disaster.
Sure, such policies might lead to "full employment," but they would also lead to lower living standards because the US would be cut off completely from Canadian oil and a host of other items.
In theory at least, the US might be able to create all the resoures it needs to feed itself. But at much higher cost, which would translate into a lower standard of living for Americans.
Now, some advocates of import substitution say to this, "So be it. High living standards don't matter as much as a sense of community." Fine. That's what some believe.
Free market conservatives like me who support low or zero import tariffs prefer that US citizens have access to resources available outside the US.
A businessman who doesn't like competition might support import substitution and, thus, oppose what I am advocating.
Similarly, a businessman who wants to purchase materials from outside the US to help run his business might support my views on import tariffs and oppose your views.
People other than college economics professors and economics textbook makers have opinions on import tariffs.
Great Britain hasn't grown enough food to feed itself for over a century. Instead, British workers do things other than agriculture and import food from Canada, the US, Brazil, France and elsewhere.
If Great Britain were to make it illegal to import food from outside Great Britain, food prices would skyrocket and only British farmers and owners of large amounts of real estate would benefit.
Regarding Peggy Noonan's column..... I voted for Bush instead of McCain in the 2000 primary. I voted for Bush instead of Gore in the 2000 general election. I voted for Bush instead of Kerry in 2004. And I don't regret those votes in the least. But one has to laugh at someone who votes for George W. Bush when it really counts (in each of those three elections, especially the general elections of 2000 and 2004 against Gore and Kerry) and then says "I'm through with George W. Bush" once it is clear that Bush will not be on the presidential ballot in 2008 due to term limits.
Angel- No sooner do you post that you fall back into your eco textbook Invisible Hand Fantasyland.Break out the Guns&Butter graph, shall you?You must be a creampuff in any negotiation.
No one is saying put huge tariffs on imported goods. Just that when countries like China and Japan or any where make selling their consumer goods in our markets a priority, we should get some reciprication, even if it's relatively marginal. There's no such thing as total free trade; pelase get that nthrough your head, if you come away with nothing else. No one is saying that we should make anything illegal or court some disasterous protectionist policies, merely seek some equity in business dealsings.
Countries have interests which leaders should do their best to protect. And especially so when faced with an adversary looking out for it's own interests. If all we are as a country is a slave to the lowest price for good and services, we aren't much of a country at all.
Bugg,
You missed my point entirely.
The issue for me is not what Japan's policy is regarding imported goods.
I am advocating that the US maintain low import tariffs or perhaps zero import tariffs so that citizens of the United States can purchase what they want.
The US should enact open trade policies, period. It should resolve only to have an open trade policy when China or Japan decides to do the same.
Bugg,
No one is saying that we should make anything illegal or court some disasterous protectionist policies, merely seek some equity in business dealsings. Sounds like high import tariffs, which I oppose.
All that does is bilk the US citizen and US business.
A US chocolate maker has to pay outrageous prices for sugar because the US sugar lobby has made it difficult, if not impossible, for US chocolate makers to buy sugar from the Central America.
This trade protectionism is a gambit designed to "protect American jobs." But the result is that the US chocolate maker loses business to Belgian chocolate makers because the Belgian chocolate makers can purchase sugar from Central America.
Big brother government on import tariffs is no better than big brother government on a host of other issues.
Bugg,
Let me correct a previous typo of mine.
The US should enact open trade policies, period. It should not resolve only to have an open trade policy when China or Japan decides to do the same. If Japan wants to enact economic policies that hurt Japan, that's no reason for the US to feel compelled to enact economic policies that hurt the US.
High import tariffs, like high taxes generally, are bad economic policy.
No wonder the Democrat party, beholding to unions, is more supportive of high import tariffs than is the Republican party.
Still, the GOP does have a few "bad apples," like Duncan Hunter. On issues other than trade, I like Congressman Duncan Hunter quite a bit. But I wish he's pull his head out of you know where on trade and tariff issues.
Kinda missed where it says in the Constitution the USA is required to to place the highest value on total open trade regardless of how it impacts on our own people and industry. Nor is the Constitution some economic suicide pact. This would be news to both the Federalists and the Jeffersonians.
"The US should enact open trade policies, period. It should not resolve only to have an open trade policy when China or Japan decides to do the same." You, my dear Angel, are living in your own private Idaho. And one without much jobs and industry, but which I suspect has no problem calling Bangalore or Manila when your new printer, produced in a different 3rd world dump on the cheap, sucks.
Bugg,
Kinda missed where it says in the Constitution the USA is required to to place the highest value on total open trade regardless of how it impacts on our own people and industry. I didn't say that the constitution requires open trade. The constitution only speaks to the trade issue in the sense that it gives the federal government the power to determine the nation's trade policy at the exclusion of the states. You, my dear Angel, are living in your own private Idaho. And one without much jobs and industry, Quite the contrary. I am stating my preference for the federal government to leave us alone as we go about deciding what to buy.
The federal government should not try to make life more expensive for the American citizen and the American business by placing obstacles in their way as they decide what to purchase.
Things are expensive enough without the federal government imposing high taxes and high tariffs.
And it's not surprising that the Democrat party, the party of forced unionization, is more enthusiastic about high import tariffs than is the Republican party. The Democrat party is all about protecting people and businesses from competition and sending the American consumer and the American taxpayer the bill.
Bugg,
but which I suspect has no problem calling Bangalore or Manila when your new printer, produced in a different 3rd world dump on the cheap, sucks. If I get bad service from one company, I have the right to consider alternative companies.
Low or zero import tariffs do not force anyone to buy anything. Low or zero import tariffs simply lower the cost, making things more affordable for US citizens and US businesses.
Tell the US chocolate maker how great import substitution is as he loses business to Belgium because Belgium allows its businesses to buy Carribean sugar while the US makes it nearly impossible for the US business to buy Carribean sugar. So, the US business is forced to pay 3 to 5 times the world market price for sugar so the sugar farmers in Florida and Louisiana can sell their product without competition from the Carribean.
Unfortunately, when trade policies are negotiated, sugar is often left out of the trade deal because the sugar lobby is so powerful in the US.
The intricacies of global economic interdependence didn't use to be so complex. Just as we are facing in the US with the disappearance of the middle class, the world used to have a very wide gap between the well-off nations and the not well-off nations. Just as the British Empire faded, so has number who occupy each side of the gap (no, I do not see that the gap has changed much, do you?). The US, Europe and Japan are no longer the focal points for manufacturing and trade. Interdependence is upon us, and the anti-globalists can gnash their teeth all they like over it. Angel offers an excellent example with chocolate. Chocolate in some form is in our shopping cart every week; I read the labels on the packages and I compare the unit prices on the shelves, and Belgian (actually, most non-US) chocolate is consistently less expensive than US-made. The free marketeers get no credibility with me. They continue to lie most times their lips move. So long as trade is politicized, there can be no such thing as free trade; I cannot find a more oxymoronic phrase than "free trade zone". Competition means that my company will succeed on a list of aspects: quality of product, price (of manufacture as well as sale), customer satisfaction and cost of replacement. Replacement is not just for cars and computers; it also applies to weather-related changes in supply of produce, for example. The final factor, one that looms large, is the American Right of Entitlement. Bosses express it in terms of lording their wealthy lifestyle over others. Middle and lower management love their little in-your-face perks like having an attractive personal assistant get coffee. Peons love the idea of acquiring those perks some day, and in the meantime use gossip and bullying to get their jollies over their fellows. That and more -- exaggerated to make a point -- gave us such terrible ills as labor unions (if you think their socialist rhetoric is what makes employers quake, think again...), govt-created unemployment programs, welfare and food stamps, and millions of children in poverty. Socialists have some pretty good ideas. Sure, they've come up with some very crappy ways to implement them, but what is more important to you: 100 individuals together worth 500 billion dollars and more, or health care that is both affordable and available to nearly everyone. You cannot have both, q.e.d.
"The free marketeers get no credibility with me. They continue to lie most times their lips move. So long as trade is politicized, there can be no such thing as free trade; I cannot find a more oxymoronic phrase than "free trade zone"." If all we are about is as per Angel a never-ending search for the cheapest price for good and services, consequences to our fellow man be damned, we woud be totally soulless.
The goal of socialism, if not so explicitly stated, is to avoid politicizing trade (economics) as much as possible. In a moral society, "cheap" does not equal "that which requires the least amount of money". "Cheap" should mean "that which does not injure someone at some point between source and consumption." That's my view of consequences. I think we are in close agreement, Bugg. Strange days, eh? ;)
You mean Bush isn't one of us?
It was so hard to tell when he put up protectionist measures for steel and farming, passed the prescription drug benefit, increased the size of government and started spending like a drunken sailor on shore leave, and simply *forgot* that 9/11 was Bin Laden's baby. This isn't revisionist history for ALL of us. I didn't like him then, I don't like him now. He's was then and remains an idiot. The Original RINO.
Matt,
It was so hard to tell when he put up protectionist measures for steel and farming, passed the prescription drug benefit, increased the size of government and started spending like a drunken sailor..... I agree that Bush has not been a "conservative" (by my definition) on every issue during his presidency. I don't believe conservatives of any stripe are obligated to support Bush on any issue.
What is amusing to me is when Peggy Noonan, who supported Bush in the tight 2004 presidential race, now says she can no longer support Bush at a time when it's clear Bush will never be on the ballot again. If one is going to opppose someone in politics, it makes sense to do so when it might have an impact.
Personally, I voted for Bush in 2000 and 2004 and I don't regret those votes even as I realize that Bush has made decisions I disagree with.
Take the steel tariffs issue.
I opposed Bush when he put those steel tariffs in place. But I supported him when he removed them (he was probably influenced by companies that could not compete as long as they were forced to buy more expensive American steel while their competitors were purchasing less expensive steel from Korea and elsewhere.) Bugg wrote: If all we are about is as per Angel a never-ending search for the cheapest price for good and services, consequences to our fellow man be damned, we woud be totally soulless. People shop for the lowest price all the time, whether it's for gasoline, cars, washing machines, food, clothing, stereos.... And many Americans are on a limited budget. So, telling them that they must spend 20 percent more on a product to support an American worker who may or may not be "gouging" them isn't going to fly for most Americans if they have any choice in the matter.
Import substitution is all about denying American consumers and American businesses choice. It's about raising taxes (tariffs) on them so that they are manipulated by those higher import tariffs so as to purchase products they would not purchase otherwise.
If a Canadian can pull oil out of the ground in Canada for 20 dollars a barrel while it takes 40 dollars to pull a barrel of oil out of the ground in the US, does it really make sense to force the American consumer to pay double the price to heat his home?
That's why import substitution sounds good in theory but not in practice.
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