Ignatieff's Iraq mea culpa
Michael Ignatieff, the former Harvard politics professor who initially supported the Iraq War, has a thoughtful essay out today analyzing why he was so mistaken, and what being so wrong taught him about politics. Here's the heart of it: Fixed...
"Anyway, this is an important essay for everyone, whatever their political beliefs, to read, as it uses the particular case of Iraq to illuminate the universal error of substituting ideology for judgment, the difficulty of balancing principle with prudence, and the dangers inherent in pride -- that is, believing in your own righteousness."
Rod, my friend, just listen to yourself. You are substituting YOUR ideology for the judgement of others who know a hell of a lot more than you do about the war on terror. I believe our president and our military and our finally free-of-Clinton appointees in high places in our intelligence agencies know better than our chattering class. (No offence, just common sense and logic).
"Balancing principal with prudence"? You are saying the principal of our freedom to live in our own country without fear of evil people blowing us up should be "balanced" by what liberals define as prudence. You are saying the Vietnam war principal of fighting on jungle trails rather than where the enemy lives, was prudent. Our kids were getting their asses shot off in places the enemy chose to fight, as a result of that principal in a no-win war. Count me out of that kind of "thinking" regarding Iraq as well. Iraq is where the enemy is because they want to convert Iraq into a glorified war camp with trillions in oil revenue TO WAGE REAL WAR ON US. No amount of lobbying for surrender by the arrogant and judgmental Ignatieff and his ilk will change that. When he wrote "It is an obstacle to clear thinking to believe that America’s foreign policy serves God’s plan to expand human freedom", I thought of your* mistaken equation of the war on terror with what the president stated in his second inaugural address--the fact that all people want to be free. While the two concepts are indeed related, they are not the same, and I don't believe that intelligent people fail to see that.
"...the dangers inherent in pride -- that is, believing in your own righteousness."
Yes, there certainly are dangers inherent in pride, such as the unthinkable dangers in the pride of thinking oneself smarter and more righteous than the president, the military the intelligence community and the millions of Americans who know the truth about the cost of fighting evil.
If we don't stop the current international evil, our kids and grand kids will have to. That will be WW III for sure, and on a grand scale. But who cares about that cost?
*"The arrogant Romans couldn't believe that others didn't see things as they did. They thought themselves an exceptional people divinely appointed to rule and civilize humanity...To read PRESIDENT Bush's second inaugural address is to encounter the U.S. version of this fallacious world view...To read the news out of Iraq is to behold the cost of living by it." Rod Dreher, DMN July 7, 2007.
Didn't mean to capitalize President
Or, there could be some of us who still think we should have gone into Iraq, for prudent and prudential reasons, want us to reach a greater point of closure than "we're nearing a new election cycle," and don't think the fact that there was some overestimation of ease and response within Iraq points to total incompetence and malign thuggery on the part of the non-existent neo-cons.
You're starting to sound like Jonah on Crunch Con-ism -- you can't disagree without being a thoughtless, knee-jerking drone. There's a bunch of us who read the data differently, and see solid rationales for American force projection into the heart of the Middle East for a season, with (more, better, yes) civil affairs follow-up and development. Add in the need to get free of the Saudi relationship before we go down with the coming implosion, and i'm still baffled folks like Rod Dreher don't see how 9-11 isn't the cause of the Iraq invasion, but it was the catalyst for foreign policy not looking at megalomaniacs talking trash in the same way, especially when they had a proven tendency to vicious destruction of neighbors. The few myths out of liberated Kuwait were used to overshadow the fact that the officers who invaded Kuwait would happily obey orders to launch sarin-capped missiles somewhere in the general neighborhood of Tel Aviv. And who knows what a few missiles into Riyadh would have provoked (see the Posner book on how the Saudi princes have those oilfields wired).
But i don't then assume you're an emotive mushbrain. I'm more intrigued than ever to see why smart folk like you are buying the "never intervene anywhere" line from the left, and if we're not debating pacifism, the extent of justifiable force. We (the Bush administration, our elected officials) assumed force could do more than arms ever can, and the lack of reasoned debate on this leads smart guys like Obama to say "get out of Iraq, but i'd make things better by bombing Cambodia...i mean, Pakistan." That's attributing efficacy to force on the left that's out of line, even more than what (still isn't yet proven that) the Republicans can't do in Iraq.
Rod, my friend, just listen to yourself. You are substituting YOUR ideology for the judgement of others who know a hell of a lot more than you do about the war on terror. I believe our president and our military and our finally free-of-Clinton appointees in high places in our intelligence agencies know better than our chattering class. (No offence, just common sense and logic).
What was I thinking? The judgment of the President and his team has proven so wise these past few years. Seriously, is sticking with the strategy of these guys really a function of "common sense and logic," or ideology? I think it's ideology, plus magical thinking -- the idea that Authority has some Gnostic insight into the conflict that's not available to us mortals, and that despite their proven and catastrophic failures, they should still be deferred to because of this mystical insight.
You're starting to sound like Jonah on Crunch Con-ism -- you can't disagree without being a thoughtless, knee-jerking drone.
Jeff, I don't believe that's true, but I do believe that given the record, people who still believe that the Iraq war was a justified cause, one well worth the cost, have to do a lot more than assert "we see things differently." There were smart people on the right who were warning against this war before it started, saying that it was a fool's game to think we were going to be able to democratize and straighten out Iraq. Conservatives like me refused to listen to them. Some of us even called them unpatriotic. Well, they were right, and on evidence, we were not. War supporters have a lot of explaining to do.
And I think you're inaccurately characterizing my position on intervention for purposes of creating a straw man. I explicitly said in my post that I don't believe that military intervention overseas should be off the table, only that we should be a lot less eager to engage in it than we have been. In what sense is that embracing a "never intervene anywhere" line?
It's very hard to take President Bush's "fight them there or they'll come here" rhetoric. He has done nothing to harden the border, unless those go getters at TSA telling 80 year olds to take off their shoes counts. In fact, he has done everything humanly possible to make our border a sieve.And but for some brave Congressmen of his sown party going agaisnt him, it would be even worse.
And thanks to his stupidity, "they're" here anway. Is there some burning need or demand to have more single male Arab students here? The latest-
http://www.abcnews4.com/news/stories/0807/444994.html
P.J. O'Rourke once noted that the Republicans are the party which resembles God-real, serious,actions have consequences,. While the Dems were th Santa party-easy, forgving, and unreal. Bush has reversed that. Take a look at this report(courtesy John Derbyshire)
"The conclusions, detailed in a report released Friday by the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction, a federal oversight agency, include the finding that of 2,797 completed projects costing $5.8 billion, Iraq's national government had, by the spring of this year, accepted only 435 projects valued at $501 million. Few transfers to Iraqi national government control have taken place since the current Iraqi government, which is frequently criticized for inaction on matters relating to the American intervention, took office in 2006."
No consequences. C'mon guys. Oh, all right, here's your check. Now be nice.
"I'm more intrigued than ever to see why smart folk like you are buying the "never intervene anywhere" line from the left, and if we're not debating pacifism, the extent of justifiable force."
The "never intervene anywhere" line doesn't come from the left, it comes from Jesus. Read Matthew 5:38 and explain your rationale for pre-emptive war. This is still a blog about 'beliefs' isn't it?
Dreher's mea culpa is long overdue, but at least it's here. And ideology isn't always a bad thing.
Ideology is too a bad thing, when it substitutes for thinking. It's mechanistic -- the idea that human problems can be solved simply by cramming everything into a formula. When Russell Kirk called conservatism "the negation of ideology," he was saying that human life is far too complex to be reduced down to a rational formula. Too bad many of those calling themselves conservative have forgotten this.
Religion is a form of ideology, is it not? Read Matthew 5:38. How do you translate that formula into pre-emptive warfare without violating the basic laws of that ideology?
Yep, i over-reacted; you did not say "never anywhere." Granted. It's the tone of "only ideology could have made us think that there were reasons to invade Iraq" that riled me. The whole "we only went there for oil reasons" crowd . . . which you aren't . . . takes us back to a "if only we'd never" set of thought experiments that does us no favors in figuring out where to go with the next round of elections. Saudi Arabia and Israel are facts today, the justice of particular decisions in 1948 notwithstanding, the adoption of Henry Ford's assembly lines in 1905 notwithstanding, the development of interstate highways under Eisenhower in the 1950's notwithstanding. Shall we move towards greater localism and agrarianism today? Sure, i'm up for that debate, but in 2007 the insane pathologies of Saudi governance are part of the picture, as were the militant aims of the Baathist government in 1991-2002. So i'm aware that there we pieces/parts of the invasion that weren't handled brilliantly (check out some of Ike's blunders prepping for D-Day in 1943), but the basic idea stands as a necessary move in the new world environment revealed, perhaps sooner than some Islamists wanted, on 9-11. Iraq didn't help do 9-11, but their actions, and their role next door to a greater mess in Saudi Arabia, could no longer be benignly ignored after 9-11.
Say that Ignatieff's point is that energy independence can no longer be considered as a leftist or rightist issue, but a core principle for a nation that seeks freedom and autonomy, and you've got me thinking. But i'm not a misguided ideologue if i think that the Iraq intervention was a prudent move, which is what i read you saying. Sorry to have misrepresented you in my attempt to respond emphatically to a mischaracterization of conservative/religious supporters of the Iraq incursion.
Plus, i still want some of your recipies!
Bill:
Matthew 10:34
Luke 22:36
If you want to unthinkingly chery-pick scriptures, I can find my own that make Jesus look like a war monger. It's really not helpful. The verse you are quoting has much more meaning and depth than the simple minded trope you're pedaling.
>Ideology is too a bad thing, when it substitutes for thinking. It's mechanistic -- the idea that human problems can be solved simply by cramming everything into a formula.
Basically a good idea, but it's possible that we've just been using the wrong formulas. There could be some formulas that will give us some insight into the situation: http://www.isteve.com/cousin_marriage_conundrum.htm
Rod: So Prof. Ignatieff has - perhaps reluctantly - joined the camp that applauds Patrick Buchanan for getting the war "right" ab initio? Or the larger camp that now supports Ron Paul's quixotic presidential bid? Whom else might he be praising for their principled prescience?
>Whom else might he be praising for their principled prescience?
Steve Sailer? http://www.isteve.com/
Ignatieff doesn't mention the biggest failure: the failure to understand Islam, and how Islamic culture is essentially impervious to Western culture and how Western style reforms are doomed to failure in a country saturated with Islam.
If the Japan high command had failed to convince the emperor that the attack was justified, and Pearl Harbor's destruction had not happened, the US might have delayed at least another 12 months before entering the war in Europe. That assumes that some other similar blunder would not have happened in the meantime. The point is that if it hadn't been for that goad, Europe might easily have become Greater Germany instead, and we would have fought WWIII in the 50s or 60s with V-weapons delivering nukes to American cities and the US struggling to retaliate. Perhaps, in the 21st century, the Mississippi would be the American Wall, with Japanese hegemony in the west and German as the official language in the east.
See where idle speculation can lead? ;-D
The Gulf War I coalition regretted mightily the political necessity of stopping short of toppling Hussein at the time. Hindsight indicates that had Bush Sr. pushed on anyway, he might have had no worse a political fallout than Bush Jr. is having right now. Also, Hussein's commanders would have been caught unprepared, and the bulk of the trained military that went on to become insurgents now would have died in mass battles then. Has anyone reading this ever questioned why we "won" the "war" so quickly in 2003? Almost no open battles were fought, because the Iraqi army simply faded away into the shadows, knowing that an insurgency/guerrilla war was all they could hope to wage successfully... and look at them now, eh?
From my POV, Bush Sr. was a wuss for failing to heed his good intuitions and pushing on to Baghdad; Bush Jr. is a wuss for failing to wage total war from the very start, and instead trying to wage a politically pretty war to placate the naysayers at home. Actually, his biggest mistake was in thinking that initial success in Afghanistan -- an action completely justified as a response to 9/11 and validated by every major power in the world -- could be used to justify action against Iraq.
"simple minded trope"
I'm sorry it's too simple for you. Like Rod Dreher, you seem to want to dress your religious experience up in complex intellectual structures that prohibit the simple truth from being known. I understand that Matthew 10:34 is Ann Coulter's favorite retort as well. That sword has certainly divided those who express interest in what Jesus said.
Rod: So Prof. Ignatieff has - perhaps reluctantly - joined the camp that applauds Patrick Buchanan for getting the war "right" ab initio? Or the larger camp that now supports Ron Paul's quixotic presidential bid?
Unlikely. While somebody who knows him better will probably scold me for making this comparison, I kind of thought of him as a member of the "Christopher Hitchens left" -- kind of flirting with the neo-conservative crowd after a long career in researching and reporting in the human rights community. He's currently left academia the deputy leader of the Liberal Party of Canada and is therefore unlikely to swing right.
Bah. The last sentence should read: "He's currently left academia to become the deputy leader of the Liberal Party of Canada..."
And what should we call those people who are gung-ho about the war but not actually over there fighting it?
Well, you could call some of us veterans, for one thing (right, i can hear the retort -- Cheney had other business, Bush "just" flew fighters over the Gulf of Mexico, not Tonkin, blah, blah). I'd like more veterans on the staff, including the kind of service Bush had in the reserves, but i'm not gonna say you don't get an opinion if you haven't served.
Those who imply that when convenient overlook the fact that they probably wouldn't like the policies that would be instituted if we had a Heinlein-style clause to earn voting privileges. Is all i'm sayin' . . .
Richard, I fail to understand the connection between your sarcastic comment (one with which I agree) and my text you quoted. My text, taken like that out of context, is in no way an accurate expression of my views.
Heinlein had some very interesting ideas about citizenship, the franchise, and the differences between patriotism and jingoism (for example). He expressed some of them in essays published in Expanded Universe. Beware of taking his ideas out of their fictional contexts. He was writing entertainment, and worked to appeal to the intellectual reader.
It wasn't sarcastic, maybe yours was and I didn't catch it. No worries.
I know I tend to call such "brave" men chickenhawks but maybe some other term applies. Hence the question.
As for Heinlein. My favorite book is Friday. Verhooven's over the top movie rocked for what it was.
Richard, no worries here.
Verhooven made an action thriller from a very cerebral book. Those of us who were hoping for some Heinlein philosophy on the screen were completely disappointed. Other than that, it was a good film for its ambitions... and I still have a crush on Dina Meyers. ;-D
He put an interesting idea in Friday's mouth. He felt that the death of courtesy is a sure sign of the impending demise of a society. I find myself in complete agreement with the idea and with Heinlein... and I take no comfort from it. It won't be the chickenhawks who kill us; we are doing quite an excellent job of it to ourselves.
And what of those who believed we were operating on imperfect intelligence at the start, expected exactly the kind of slog and hard building effort we have even now, and harbored no easy illusions about how quickly an Iraqi dream would arise out of the ashes of the Hussein era. We're underrepresented for sure, I tell you, everybody seems to be either 1. always have been against the war, but for the wrong reasons (Belief that America is always wrong, combined with a racist belief that Arabs are incapable of democracy) 2. initially for the war, but scarred by the horrible circumastances and reporting that have left over 3200 servicemen dead in Iraq...
Where are the other realists? I know personally, I expected this kind of mess. Honestly, I expected a decade-long rebuilding effort from the start --although I was rather suprised that we didn't go in and establish control at the beginning. Where are all the realists?
"Where are the other realists? I know personally, I expected this kind of mess. Honestly, I expected a decade-long rebuilding effort from the start --although I was rather surprised that we didn't go in and establish control at the beginning. Where are all the realists?" tom
I suspect, Tom, that many of us realists just don't think it's worthwhile to participate very often in discussions like this one--what good does it do?
Those of us who recall the president's warning that the war on terror will be a long, drawn out affair that will try our souls, just shake our heads in wonder. He and we saw it all before and pretty much knew it would come again. It has--liberals, libertarians, people with selective memories and asorted America haters don't change their spots. They just enjoy our hard-won freedoms; especially freedom of speech.
Then there are those of us who watched the mounting evidence concerning the Bush Administration's penchant for covering up, lying and giving partial answers that could be justified either way. I also watched as valid criticisms of both policy and action got the critics branded as "America haters", and I am left to wonder: in which country is it necessary to have the majority of the population in unquestioning lockstep behind the leaders? Is it a free nation, or one that is aimed towards dictatorship?
The man is not the office, Cleveland. I think it's time you acknowledged at least that.
"The man is not the office, Cleveland. I think it's time you acknowledged at least that." Franklin Evans
Franklin, I don't disagree with you; why do you assume I would support President Bush regardless of what he might do? I most certainly would not. In fact I wholeheartedly agree with your above comments that he is a wuss, like his old man. And why do you assume that I think all people who disagree with him are America haters. I certainly do not. In fact I sometimes disagree with him, and I am not an America hater.
Woody Hayes always taught his students and players not to assume, because it makes an ASS out of U and ME :-).
And while I think the president is a wuss (compassionate conservative, he calls it), he is a good, decent, God-fearing man of principle. I thank God every day that he won the elections, despite his political wussiness; leaving Clinton's CIA people and U.S. Attorneys in office, appointing softies such as Powell and Rumsfeld, not confronting the lying, unpatriotic "news" media when our country's security is at stake, etc.
What I was saying to Tom is that realists don't like to engage in these discussions. It does no good. No matter what we say, the president will continue to get a bad rap by the usual suspects in the liberal and libertine camps with selective memories about the war and the 12-year long events leading up to it. And even worse, there also exists a group of sorry people who are professional America haters, and people who hate the president so much that they want America to lose the war for their own political advantage. There also are people who are so morally depraved that, even though they know better, they themselves keep telling the lie that the president lied. (I am not lumping you in with depraved people, but I do think you are easily misled).
Realists know better than to get involved in these types of debates very often, unless they can make a living at it. Then they get threatened by liberals waving the vile, Socialist-like Fairness Doctrine flag. You ask, "I am left to wonder: in which country is it necessary to have the majority of the population in unquestioning lockstep behind the leaders?" The answer, Franklin, is the country whose "leaders" attack defenders of freedom and truth for political gain.
Cleveland,
Good answer, sir. I've learned to prod you gently to expand, rather than make assumptions... but I must respectfully point out that many of your assertions are also based on assumptions.
...people who hate the president so much that they want America to lose the war for their own political advantage.
There is a long list of evidence lacking to support such a statement, starting with any explicit statement from any person in your defined group. "[T]hey want America to lose..." is propagandist at best, and outrageous hyperbole at worst.
I think that you need to be a bit more supportive of such statements. While it makes an implicit request that you be more verbose, it is a valid request in one important aspect: in looking over the ordinary citizens (this blog, mostly) and the pundits, I see exactly no one who could possibly come close to wanting America to lose the war.
Let me give you a personal example. I've been handed that epithet more than once, in reaction to: I want the US to withdraw from Iraq with the greatest possible speed. If asked, I will qualify that statement with: Bush, as CiC, should give the order to withdraw in an orderly fashion, say over a six-to-nine month period. His field commanders bear the responsibility of carrying out that order. In the meantime, I publicly and with the greatest contempt thumb my nose at any person who would call such a withdrawal a surrender. Anyone stating that knows nothing of modern warfare, the technical and legal state of being at war, and the whole notion of aggressively seeking a goal and stopping short of it for good and valid reasons.
That snarky but no less accurate definition of insanity underlies my statements: doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.
You bear the onus of making statements that others have made. If you intend such statements to carry differences or differing shades of meaning from the intentions of those others, then I consider it proper for me (or anyone) to challenge you over the similarities.
I stand squarely with you in denouncing those (most of them) who seek political advantage out of the adversity of others. I will not sit still or silent when the rhetoric you write places you in that same camp that we both seek to denounce. Please, do clarify; but also, please, seek to be clear on the first writing.
I agree that I am rather too longwinded. I also strongly prefer that to the one-liners and throwaway snarks that define the rhetoric of nearly every national candidate.
FYI, something you can't know unless I tell you: I am currently reading Presidential Secrecy and the Law, by Robert M. Pallitto and William G. Weaver.
It uses Bush in many examples and descriptions, but it paints a terrifying picture of a presidency that over the last 30 years has gotten closer to being an office of dictator than at any time since they asked George Washington to be king. You might like Bush personally, and I will not second guess you, but as the holder of the office he has done more to make it an institutionalized monarchy than any 5 presidents before him.
I am outraged. It has strongly colored my recent posts, and it would be unfair of me to not disclose that fact.
Franklin, you are trying to change the subject of my reply to Tom; it's not about you or me. It's about why realists don't want to engage in useless debates like this. To-wit:
After attempting to take me to task for not proving that there are people who hate the president so much that they want America to lose the war for their own political advantage, and for not proving that America haters exist (BTW, I've got a nice bridge to sell you), you repeat your unsubstantiated, calumnious assertion that the president lied. Prove it, Franklin. "You bear the onus of making statements that others have made", remember?
You know very well that I can't prove that Bush lied (something I may have implied, but did not state directly), because presidential secrecy has become so entrenched that the attorney general can lie to Congress with impunity. That, by the way, is a direct and unsubstantiated claim that Gonzales has in fact lied every time he said "I don't know" or "I don't remember". That is my opinion about him.
But the Bush claim has got to be a no-brainer, my friend. For what purpose is that much secrecy except to keep lies from public scrutiny? Occam's Razor, sir. If you can come up with a simpler explanation, I'd like to see it. In the end, also, if we find that people have been lying on his behalf, he is the buck-stopper and will rightly wear the same label.
Of course there are people out there who hate Bush, and there are those who would like to make hay from that hate. They are so few, and have so little impact on the national discourse, that I insist on some sort of substantiation of the claim or even implication that makes mentioning them of any value. In short: what's the point?
And, your turnabout is quite fair play. I can and do sound like liberal pundits, and I need to better distance myself from most of them for the simple reason that I share your view of them: flapping gums, pithy phrases, content close to zero and of no redeeming value. You will, I hope, forgive me for having a similar opinion of most conservative pundits, our kind host being a notable exception.
I know, Franklin is lecturing again. I don't really mean it to sound pompous or condescending, it just comes out that way. :-) But I must ask you: which realists engage in rhetoric that implies importance to a group of people who hate Bush?
"Of course there are people out there who hate Bush, and there are those who would like to make hay from that hate. They are so few, and have so little impact on the national discourse, that I insist on some sort of substantiation of the claim or even implication that makes mentioning them of any value." Franklin
I am happy for you, my friend, Franklin, that nobody is following this thread any more, but, since you insist: QUOTE
More Democrats are Admitting that Winning in Iraq is Bad for Them
Posted by Kim Priestap
Published: Aug 7, 07 02:34 PM
First Congressman James Clyburn acknowledged it, and now other Democrats are too. Investors Business Daily has an editorial that further illustrates how the Democrats are now laying aside all pretense and are admitting that a win in Iraq is bad for their party:
If you have good news, they don't want to hear it. Reid, Pelosi, Murtha et al. want to hear no progress, see no progress, speak no progress.
A spokesman for Pelosi admitted as much by saying Democratic leaders are "not willing to concede there are positive things to point to" in Iraq.
They are like gamblers who don't want their team to score if it ruins the point spread. The Democrats don't want us to win if it ruins their chances in 2008.
Not willing to concede that there is good news from Iraq, Rep. Nancy Boyda, a Kansas Democrat, got up and walked out at a recent hearing of the Armed Service Committee when retired Gen. Jack Keane said that "progress is being made" by the good guys, American and Iraqi.
Using the imperial pronoun, Ms. Boyda said that "there was only so much (good news) that you could take until we, in fact, had to leave the room for a while . . . after so much of the frustration of having to listen to what we listened to."
You know, things like this from Gen. Keane: "We are on the offensive and we have the momentum."
We have come to know how frustrating it can be for a Democrat to hear that we just might be winning in Iraq.
Boyda's concern was that the rest of the country might hear it, too. She expressed concern that Gen. Keane's remarks "will, in fact, show up in the media and further divide this country." Too late. END QUOTE
Nolo contendere. I can't help one parting shot, though: is it also possible that after numerous statements by such military experts as Rove and Cheney about the impending victory in Iraq, that some people really are just sick of hearing good news that quite possibly will turn out to be false, q.e.d.?
Only one flaw in that reasoning, but a fatal one, i.e., Rove and Cheney aren't the people giving the good news. It's comming from, for example, (are you sitting down?) your "bible",the New York Times reporters.
I have my own problems with the current incarnation of the fourth estate. You may, from now on, assume that there is no "bible" out there, at least not as far as I'm concerned.
I've created a very large supply of grains of salt. I use it liberally... all puns intended, of course. ;-)
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