Crunchy Con

Kunstler, on a roll

Friday September 21, 2007

Categories: Decline and fall

The foulmouthed Jeremiah of the Hudson River Valley lights into Alan Greenspan, who says in his new memoir that the Iraq war is about oil, and the rest of us'n. Excerpt:


[The housing bubble], of course, represents an insidious psychology. It could only happen in a culture that has come off the rails mentally, so to speak, as ours has in the sense that nobody has any sense of consequence, neither the leaders nor those who affect to follow the leaders. The leading religion in America is not evangelical Christianity, it is the worship of unearned riches, and its golden rule is the belief that is is possible to get something for nothing. Its holy shrines are Las Vegas and Wall Street. (And, by the way, has anybody heard the evangelical Christians complain about Las Vegas? They complain about a lot of things, but are themselves among the greatest believers in unearned riches -- given their preference for prayer over earnest effort in the service of solving life's problems.)

No, the American public, including the cheerleaders in the media, have only themselves to blame for the bitter harvest now underway in the asset and credit markets. And thus it would be a salutary thing for Baby Jeezus, or the forces of nature, or whatever powers guide the universe, to now kick the [expletive] out of them, so to speak, financially, because that is exactly what the American public is full of, from top to bottom, from George W. Bush at his lonely desk on Pennsylvania Avenue to the pitiful, bankrupt householders of Orange County and Boca Raton.

Now, as to the shock of Al's revelation that the Iraq war is about oil -- the media and the public have got this all wrong, too. The logic here seems to be that because the Iraq war is about oil it is therefore unnecessary, optional, a mistake, an indulgence, something we should not dirty our hands in. In fact, the Iraq war is not about oil, per se, so much as it is about America's behavior here at home, about the choices we make for how we live on this continent. None of those who complain most loudly about our military presence in Iraq have advanced any proposals for reforming how we live here -- and hence for our enslavement to oil, much of the world's remaining supply of which happens to be in the neighborhood of Iraq. When these complainers start complaining about the ubiquitous acceptance of suburban sprawl and abject car-dependency -- and this includes the environmental boy scouts out there who want to get merit badges for buying hybrid cars -- then they will deserve to be taken seriously. Until then, the American people have got exactly the grinding war that they deserve.

Patrick Deneen, the tradcon Georgetown prof, generally approves, but dissents a bit:

And, Kunstler is wrong to say that "the American people" have got "exactly the grinding war" we deserve: we don't have a war so much as a very small segment of our population. Our war critics and supporters alike are almost wholly unaffected by this war. Our republic does business as usual while our soldiers do the hard and deadly work of enforcing the non-negotiability of the American way of life.

By the way, my brother-in-law Mike is on his way to Baghdad now, having finished his stateside training. I talked to him last night to say goodbye. He was stoic, saying only, "I'm doing what my country asks of me." So he is. So we have. Men like him are sacrificing, so the rest of us don't have to.

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Comments
Will
September 22, 2007 10:31 AM

"I mean, no matter what happens, his message is: We're going to hell, and we deserve it."

Like a lot of sucessful authors, Kunstler knows that hype sells. The scary thing about Kunstler is that so many people seem to get a perverse kick out of the "we deserve it" meme.

brierrabbit3030-
September 22, 2007 10:43 AM

I read Kunstlers web blog, and enjoy it. His vulgarity makes me wince at times, but I get the uncomfortable feeling that he is going to be proved right, sooner or later. I do like the fact that he get everybody in his sights. No one ever accused Kunstler of picking political sides. Everybody gets it in spades. Nobody is better at pointing out how ugly our public spaces are, and how to fix them. His books should be required reading for public planners.

Will
September 22, 2007 11:08 AM

"Nobody is better at pointing out how ugly our public spaces are, and how to fix them."

You're right about the "pointing out" part, but Kunstler couldn't 'fix' dinner, as they say down south. Yes, McMansions and suburban spawl are unsustainable. Sneering at McMansions doesn't really fix anything.

armchair pessimist
September 22, 2007 11:15 AM

pyp's history lesson doesn't make pleasant reading but he's right. I'd only add that Constantinople was rich in politicans, lawyers, bureaucrats, clerics, and financial types--basically the readership of the New York Times. Constantinople was poor in fighting men. Nonetheless when it was too late, the defenders fought and died like heroes. Had they only stopped their silliness in time. Heartbreaking.

M_David
September 22, 2007 11:23 AM

Kunstler (and Deneen) need both a serious lesson in oil production and economics.

Having said that, Kunstler is spot-on on his cultural analysis. He understands the problem with suberbia and how we waste oil better than most.

I once read one of his checklists on how to arrange your life for the new era that is to come, and I found that I have already done every one, just like he has. I'm a freak! Not because I think the end of the world is going to happen, but because it is a good Crunchy way to live,

-- Get out of the Sunbelt while you can.
-- Look for a traditional small town to live in or very near.
-- Live where fresh water is assured.
-- Reduce your car dependency.
-- STOP urban lives lived in the rural setting.
-- Get out of debt.
-- Learn how to make yourself useful to other people.
-- Become involved in public life and community activities in anticipation of political crisis.
-- Learn to play a musical instrument. Produce your own entertainment

Amen.

HOWEVER: The problem with Kunstler (and to some extent Deneen and most Peak Oil panic guys) is that although peak oil is indeed true, they:

- don't work in the oil industry and don't know much about reserves or drilling, and wouldn't know an oil well from a water well

- have no concept of how much oil we have left (long time yet)

- don't take into account how much room we have for conservation that wouldn't effect our economy mcuh that will happen as prices rise

- don't grasp how coal and nuclear will dampen the effect of peak oil

- don't grasp how technology is creating wealth faster than resources are runing out. For example, LED lighting is dropping the cost of lighting (why oil was first sought out, kerosene lighting) by 10 times. This saves a lot of oil. This sort of thing never gets factored in to the panic attack.

But the main problem is that Kunster is that he does not understand how it is possible that the world grows richer every day in a world of fixed resources.

He is trapped in a failed economic model, thinking like Marx that RESOURCES, LABOR, CAPITAL are what make the world go around, and forgetting that PEOPLE, IDEAS, THINGS are what make us rich.

He is also a population control freak, and thinks more people make us poorer, when the opposite has been true - the more PEOPLE & IDEAS, more wealth and THINGS. He doesn't understand that resources never become short because man is clever and finds ways to maipulate and change them.

He needs to repeat every morning before he starts his rants: For all of human history, man has become richer. From the first stone tool kit of the first primative human until today. Only then might he pause before he chants about how we will become poorer for the first time ever due to one resource, oil, draining out.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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