Crunchy Con

[Erin] A Pre-preemptive strike?

Tuesday November 20, 2007

Categories: International

In one of my posts yesterday, I used Pope Benedict XVI's phrase, "the dictatorship of relativism."

Today's news out of Pakistan gives us a look at the other kind of dictatorship--the one that involves the kind of leader who handles challenges to his election by suspending the Constitution, firing several Supreme Court judges and replacing them with a new court of eleven, which then obligingly overturns all of the serious challenges to his election (leaving one minor one to be dealt with; it's widely expected to be dismissed).

As troubling as the news out of Pakistan may be, I found this New York Times op-ed even more troubling. Is it really the time, now, to begin a national conversation about the feasibility and options for a military solution to the problem of Pakistan in the event of a complete destabilization of the country? Unpleasant as it is to have to deal with Musharraf (even given the expressed hope that the United States can reopen a conversation between Pakistan's current leader and Benazir Bhutto on the topic of power sharing) it's hard to overlook the appearance that he has the current situation well in hand; there's little evidence to suggest that events will quickly, or ever, escalate to the point where the sort of power vacuum envisioned by the authors of the op-ed will occur; but the piece itself suggests that we may not want to wait that long:

The task of stabilizing a collapsed Pakistan is beyond the means of the United States and its allies. Rule-of-thumb estimates suggest that a force of more than a million troops would be required for a country of this size. Thus, if we have any hope of success, we would have to act before a complete government collapse, and we would need the cooperation of moderate Pakistani forces.

When we went into Iraq, we did so having been assured repeatedly that Iraq with its weapons of mass destruction posed an immediate threat to the safety of the American public. Now, it seems, we are no longer supposed to act only when a country becomes an immediate threat, but "before a complete governmental collapse" in order to ensure the stability of a country like Pakistan whose nuclear capabilities might otherwise fall into the wrong hands.

Such an action would not merely be a preemptive strike; it would be a pre-preemptive strike, a series of military actions taken to guarantee that a country doesn't trend toward becoming a threat. Although I certainly want America and Americans protected from terrorists, I also want America to remain America, and I can't even imagine any of the founding fathers accepting acquiescently the notion that the government of the United States has the power to fight an embryonic "pre-war" in an effort to maintain the status quo of our relationship with another sovereign nation. To be blunt, I can hardly imagine a less American idea.

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Comments
Larry Parker
November 21, 2007 12:03 PM

Did Judith Miller write that editorial?

Alicia
November 21, 2007 1:47 PM

Newseek online had an article about Pakistan a few days ago -- a rather optimistic piece, I thought, but I didn't have time to read it all the way through. Pakistan is a very complex society, and Musharraf is not Saddam Hussein, nor is Benazir Bhutto a saint. IMO, Musharraf's actions are about one thing - survival (I mean physical, not just political survival.)

I'm not excusing what he did, but I don't think that Americans know enough to intervene in Pakistan even if we had the wherewithal to do so.

If the Iraq war taught us anything, it seems to me, it taught us to have greater humility, to proceed with greater caution when it comes to foreign intervention, and, for Heaven's sake, to educate ourselves about those parts of the world that concern us (which pretty much means the whole world).

Will
November 21, 2007 1:49 PM

If the 1930s Left could do this, why can't Save Darfur et al do likewise? All they need is enough volunteers & donations; they can hire Blackwater for training if need be.

D'oh! What was I thinking? Problem solved!

MI
November 21, 2007 2:39 PM

D'oh! What was I thinking? Problem solved!

To repeat: I'm not saying such militias are guaranteed to succeed. My point is that, for those who argue that we should intervene militarily in Darfur (and I'm not saying you're one of them), participating in such militias strikes me as a far more appropriate (or at least, a less inappropriate) use of their time, labor, & money than lobbying for US military action. If these people are so willing to send other people off to fight & die for their Darfurian cause celebre, why shouldn't they be the first in line to go over?

Peter
November 21, 2007 3:33 PM

MI - I'm not sure where I picked it up. It was either in the economist and somewhere else or in multiple different issues of the economist.
Even a repeat of the figures you mention for 2006 could be in favour of europe if all the eu exports were in euro.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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