You can't beat something with nothing
Spengler takes up the case of Ayaan Hirsi Ali, the courageous Muslim apostate who is now something of a fundamentalist atheist. She tells Reason magazine that, regarding the challenge to the West from Islam, "there comes a moment when you...
So who would you rather live among: devout Muslims, or ex-Muslim sex-and-booze athiests?
The implication that the West will crush Islam by force borders on the absurd.
True. It's a culture war, not a shooting war.
I think Steve Sailer put it best - that Spengler's columns are useful reminders
"that adventuring in the Middle East seems to appeal most to two sets of people:
- The not very bright sorts who get Iraq and Iran and Saddam and Osama confused.
- And the extremely bright but not quite stable sorts who can convince themselves of anything."
Define "devout."
She's the neocon's dream! If there were two or three like her, you'd have the start of a movement.
Connie, I (for one) honestly don't know. I'd rather live *among* devout muslims, but it depends on the government -- I wouldn't want to live under Sharia as one of the Dhimmi, for instance. Unless the other option was living under Hillary Clinton...:)
jaybird: great Steve Sailer reminders. Completely true.
Speaking of Sailer, I think he nails what is right and wrong about Spengler:
Spengler is clever and has original ideas, some of which might even be true.
way too profound (or wrong -- I can't tell which)
..looking for reasons to think the Spengler glass is half empty gets in the way of recognizing that the Spengler glass is also half full.
The same combination of grandiosity and dubiousness characterizes what now appears to be Spengler's most famous theory -- that Iran must go on the warpath now to head off a demographic crisis that it will face in, oh, say, forty years.
In other words, Spengler is simply an out-to-lunch lunatic...but a serious original thinker. And in a world of sycophant, PC media, that alone makes him worth reading. But finding the errors in Spengler's wacked-out theories is like playing "Where's Waldo" on a two mile long billboard.
Oooh, the sex and booze atheists. Because at least the sex and booze is out in the open. You can take it in excess or moderation or leave it altogether. If I want to get plastered and watch 24 hours of porn, I can do that. If I want to have a glass of wine and watch a PBS documentary, I can do that, too.
The devout, on the other hand, will toddle and lust plenty in one hand (usually behind closed doors) and then, publically, tell you how to live your life with the other. No thanks. Why should preachers have all the fun?
Of course Islam could be crushed by force. It would be time consuming, messy and involve doing lots of things that are unpopular now, but yes it could be done.
The only thing is that Europe, being a nothing more than a museum, is not worth the trouble. The muslims can have it.
The point is, Matt, that after a certain point sex-and-booze atheism is really not all that fun. It's cliche to pit the deliciously naughty sex-and-booze types against the dour, no-fun puritan types, and gleefully express one's preference for the former. It's also sophomoric and bears little relationship to the reality of most people's lives (the lucky ones, anyway) after about age 30. From the vantage point of being someone's mother, someone's wife, and trying to shape a meaningful and happy life for myself and my family, the sex-and-booze, cheerfully-nihilist, cynical-hipster mindset seems utterly useless, almost idiotic. It's a little like saying Britney Spears, pitiful train wreck that she is, is having all the "fun" people like me are missing. Thanks, but no thanks.
Matt, I think I would save getting completely plastered for watching a one hour PBS documentary, and sip the wine over the porn.
I leave off the scare quotes on documentary.
"The only thing is that Europe, being a nothing more than a museum, is not worth the trouble. The muslims can have it."
And one wonders why no one takes the Islamopanics seriously. This whole "Europe is on its deathbed and overrun by Muslims" meme is among the most anti-intellectual, nativist jibberish being circulated these days. And, of course, completely removed from the facts and common sense.
So who would you rather live among: devout Muslims, or ex-Muslim sex-and-booze athiests?
That's a classic "freedom and democracy versus totalitarian dictatorship" choice.
Under Islam, human beings have almost no rights. In a free society like America, you can choose whether or not you want to listen to modern Rock music and such.
When I read Spengler, I like to imagine the text being narrated by Marlon Brando in his role as Colonel Kurtz from 'Apocalypse Now'.
"The horror...the horror"
Let's put it this way. How many people decide to leave the United States or Europe to live in Saudi Arabia or Iran? How many people decide to leave Saudi Arabia or Iran to live in the US or Europe?
I think it's clear that people vote with their feet for freedom over tyranny. Why the ambivilence between the two, as if it's a hard choice?
The title of this post is "You can't beat something with nothing." But isn't Ayaan Hirsi Ali evidence to the contrary?
The point is, Maisie, when you outgrow 'sex and booze', in that society, you can simply abstain. The 'sex and booze' group, last I heard, aren't forcing you to participate. Only allowing.
You can't say the same about the other group.
Of course, this is assuming there's all that much 'sex and booze' among atheists. Frankly, I've seen more sex, booze and scandal in the last few news reports on preachers and conservative politicians than this atheist has had in more than a decade.
I don't know if it is meant to be insulting... or envious wishful thinking.
Spengler misidentifies Hobbes as a Parliamentarian. He was actually a royalist who fled England after the cavaliers lost the English Civil War.
Other than that, it was a thought provoking read.
I question his claims of growing Muslim converts to Christianity, though. It may be true, but it reeks of overstatement.
Karan writes "Frankly, I've seen more sex, booze and scandal in the last few news reports on preachers and conservative politicians than this atheist has had in more than a decade.
I don't know if it is meant to be insulting... or envious wishful thinking."
It is neither. What we have is the media and opposition groups reveling in the faux pas of certain iconic conservative people, accusing them of hypocracy whereas the mass of people on the other side of the fence politically are already explicityly or implictly debauched so as to have nothing to report.
Karan writes "Frankly, I've seen more sex, booze and scandal in the last few news reports on preachers and conservative politicians than this atheist has had in more than a decade"
Posted by: Karen | December 4, 2007 9:44 PM
Karen, the media and the secular left absolutely delight in any example of immorality they can find in public figures who are conservative and/or religious. In their minds, hypocrisy is the number one sin – perhaps the ONLY sin - and they relish "outing" hypocrites from the other side, knowing they are basically protected from such outing, themselves. After all, it's virtually impossible to find a hypocrite from the secular left. When you espouse an "anything goes" approach to morality, no one can accuse you of privately falling short of your public standards.
Wow, dueling almost identical posts, claiming the opposing political view of total lack of ethics. After the post dealing with 'sex and booze' atheists.
I said THIS atheist. Me. Who, admittedly, doesn't have a high 'public standard' of morality, mostly because I don't go around touting my personal moral code publically, this is true. Nor do I try to go around imposing my private moral code publically, which is also true.
Which doesn't change the fact that those who do those very things have been a lot more active in sex and.. well, usually harder stuff than booze in the last year than I have in the last ten.
I guess the something Rod's referring to is fantasy and the nothing is reality without any fantasy at all.
I know quite a few atheists. I've not found any hedonistic alcoholic sex addicts amongst them. I've known a bunch of hedonistic alcoholic sex addicts though. Besides the depravity they had one other thing in common, no new fantasy after losing the one they'd been raised with.
The righteous wrong of any faith, Muslim or Christianity for example, haven't been down the road of ultimate truth. Oh, they've looked down it and were intimidated because it wasn't paved and lined with platitudes. Or they never saw it, it's tough to keep your feet on the straight and narrow when your head is in the clouds. You have to work at it.
If I was to decide one moment defined my atheism it wasn't the one when I faced death and mentally if not physcially waved the finger to the sky, just in case I was wrong you understand. No, the moment that defined my atheism was when I realized one day that I could forgive myself for being less than perfect, accepting my humanity if you will.
The ability to forgive myself empowered me to forgive others, to accept their humanity just like I accepted my own. Now compare that position to the righteous wrong's perspective on the world. The righteous wrong can't forgive themselves and they sure as heck ain't gonna forgive anyone else either.
This whole "Europe is on its deathbed and overrun by Muslims" meme is among the most anti-intellectual, nativist jibberish being circulated these days. And, of course, completely removed from the facts and common sense.
Agree completely, Daniel.
Muslims are not on the verge of overrunning Europe. The demographic "analyses" that get you there assume that recent birth and immigration rates will stay the same over long periods of time. Almost laughable. And I do think that the people who originate these claims have an agenda.
It's too complex to reproduce satisfactorily here; you will just have to read the column.
It's too complex over there too, all the theological speculation and rambling, I'm not even sure Spengler knows what he's talking about.
Not "on the verge" but trending that way. Even Bernard Lewis, who in my opinion is rather soft on Islam, thinks Europe will be Islamic, but not till the end of the century.
So we should at least acknowledge that people disagree on this, and that the predictions by one group are not just "nativist jibberish". Also, the left wants the continued infiltration of Islam simply as a tool to vanquish the last vestiges of Western traditionalism. It's not as if they're going to admit this up front.
I found Spengler's analysis on Muslim apostates more likely becoming atheists than Christian converts interesting. That no doubt is what the European left is betting on.
"Also, the left wants the continued infiltration of Islam simply as a tool to vanquish the last vestiges of Western traditionalism. It's not as if they're going to admit this up front."
Speaking of nativist jibberish.
Of course Islam could be crushed by force. It would be time consuming, messy and involve doing lots of things that are unpopular now, but yes it could be done.
Not true, unless "unpopular" is a euphemism for exterminating 1 billion human beings. And even if, God forbid, one were willing to resort to something that heinous, it would be impossible to do for all practical purposes.
Islam has serious internal problems whose roots are found in their conception of God and His Will. The challenge of our era is for Muslims themselves to work those problems out in a way that both enables them to live peaceably in the modern world and is coherent with their religious tradition.
Maybe that can be done, maybe it can't. But guns and nukes are powerless to address that challenge.
BTW, Hirsi Ali has spent most of her public life as an athiest. That's why she became a friend of van Gogh. She's a chameleon who says whatever fits the moment--true or not--so it's understandable why there is some confusion. That she became a conservative darling is one of the great ironies of her constantly unfolding career.
I think we've be entirely too nice in dealing with Islam. We need humor, laughter, mockery, derision.
Clitorectomies and women as chattel?
Heaven as conceived by a masturbating 14-year old boy?
Arranged and "temporary" marriages?
A pedophile, murderous thieving prophet as a holy man?
Old men who know damn well having young boys do the suicide bombing culls the herd?
The entire religion, and it's debased culture, is a joke.Theri politcal systems are an embarrassment. Theri governments corrupt kleptocracies. And we should say so, forcefully and often.And do so while we a. leave the region to these savages and b. do everyhing we can to seperate ourselves in every way. And tell them exactly what we think of them and their groupthink psychotic stupidity.
Even Bernard Lewis, who in my opinion is rather soft on Islam, thinks Europe will be Islamic, but not till the end of the century.
Bernard Lewis is a fine scholar. I've personally found several of his books very informative and insightful.
But there's a reason why he's the neoconservative's favorite academic writer. And when writing about demographic trends in Europe, he's way outside his area of expertise.
Europe is less likely to become "Islamic" by the end of this century than the United States is to become a Spanish-speaking country. And without launching an immigration debate tangent, there's no chance of that happening either.
And do so while we a. leave the region to these savages and b. do everyhing we can to seperate ourselves in every way. And tell them exactly what we think of them and their groupthink psychotic stupidity.
The sad fact is the stability of the US economy depends on the oil underneath that region, and the trillions in dollar-based securities the OPEC countries hold. For that reason alone we will make no effort whatsoever to "separate ourselves" from these Muslim countries, and no one in our government will say one harsh word to Muslim leaders about their abysmal record on human rights. In fact, we see neocon plans to occupy Pakistan, and maintain a permanent presence in both Iraq and Afghanistan. And while Bush's disinformation campaign on Iran has hit a bump, expect to see the US entangling itself in Iran for decades to come as well.
Ridiculing radical Islam might make you feel good for a minute or two, but it does nothing to end the oil issue.
Slightly off-topic, but there's some pretty good theorizing out there that "Spengler" is an ex-LaRouchie named David P. Goldman. Which probably explains a lot.
Maise,
I was given a choice between living among devout Muslims or ex-Muslim sex-and-booze athiests. Ideally, I would choose neither. But because I chose the latter does not mean I subscribe to that "belief" (as far as the sex and booze go) system or choose to engage with it. (Incidentally, I have no idea why "sex and booze" was tied to atheism. I suppose that to some--or, hell, many--religious folks, atheism is not only a dismissal of a belief in a deity, but also of any sense of values, moderation, community and morality.)
From my perspective, "the sex-and-booze, cheerfully-nihilist, cynical-hipster mindset" is useless and idiotic. But the great thing about it, from my perspective, is that that mindset is not institutionalized. You can take it or leave it. For example, I have never been a heavy drinker. I average about one or two beers/glasses of wine a week. In college, most of my friends could charitably be called binge drinkers. Whereas my weekend night usually ended with a mild buzz, my buddies were on the verge of passing out. Yeah, I would get ribbed occasionally, but if getting an occasional teasing from friends gets you to down a fifth of Jack D., you are simply a weak-minded person with little sense of self.
You certainly could not say the same for a community ruled (without secular restraint) under Islam, Judaism or Christianity.
It's good you are trying to create a meaningful and happy life for your family. I am trying to do the same, but I understand that there are unsavory aspects of our culture, accept it where I must and fight it where I can, and shape the life I want for my family accordingly. I just don't feel that I need a preacher, iman, or rabbi (nannies, all) telling me I need to do it their way, lest I be struck by lightning or beheaded or smited or sent to hell. Thanks, but no thanks.
The ability to forgive myself empowered me to forgive others, to accept their humanity just like I accepted my own. Now compare that position to the righteous wrong's perspective on the world. The righteous wrong can't forgive themselves and they sure as heck ain't gonna forgive anyone else either.
Posted by: harvey lacey | December 5, 2007 8:21 AM
Harvey, could you please explain what you mean by the "righteous wrong." Are you referring to all believers in God, or just a certain subset? Since you believe God is a "fantasy," I assume you're referring to all believers. Am I correct?
Will-
We could drill everywhere-ANWR, the coasts.
We could increase and modernize refineries.
We could mine "clean" coal.
We could encourage new technology.
We could conserve more.
We could develop alternatices-solar, wind, natural gas.
But we haven't had leadership on this issue from our oilman president.
We all should know; don't get mixed up with crazy people, which is what Islam's adherents are.
We could drill everywhere-ANWR, the coasts.
Rod's buddy J.H. Kunstler is quick to say that there is approximately 4 years of oil underneath US territories, at today's rate of consumption.
We could increase and modernize refineries.
"We" could. Why isn't Big Oil doing it? Could it be that there's no profit incentive? Big Oil's ROI is less than McDonald's.
We could mine "clean" coal.
Remember all the fuss over TXU's proposed new coal plants? "Clean coal" is an oxymoron. The EROEI of coal liquids approaches 1.
We could...we could...we could...But we haven't had leadership on this issue from our oilman president.
There is precious little leadership on energy from anyone in Washington, Republican, Democrat or independent. Most of them still think juggling fleet fuel standards and corn-based ethanol is a good idea.
Again, the Muslims have most of the world's remaining oil, and they hold a lot of US debt, and that's why we will continue to be increasingly dependent on, and involved with them, regardless of their religious practices and culture. When, or if the US becomes energy independent, then you might see some effort to disentangle from our alliances with those crazy Islamists. Until then, the US will continue to tolerate Islam in all its manifestations.
Why does our oil dependency involve tolerating Islam “in all its manifestations”?
They don’t have to like us to sell us something. The great thing about a market economy is that the buyer doesn’t have to tolerate the seller in all respects – only his price.
"We" could. Why isn't Big Oil doing it? Could it be that there's no profit incentive? Big Oil's ROI is less than McDonald's
Refineries and nuclear power plants have enormous regulatory and litigation costs.
no one in our government will say one harsh word to Muslim leaders
Sure, it's oil in America. But in Europe demographics is what prevents pols from saying anything bad about Muslims (who are Europe's fastest growing minority). France is a prime example with nearly 10% Muslim (and an even higher percentage of youth, as European Muslim birth rates are 3x that of whites). Plus, Europe must have more immigrants to keep the economy growing. So why should politicians slit their own throat by going after Muslims? Like Hispanics in the US, politicians won't even touch illegal immigration, let alone regular immigration, because they know making enemies with a growing minority is a political loser.
The long-term decline of birth rates in Europe has been going on now for 300 years. And over the last 100 years, the rest of the world has been making up the balance nicely. Europeans won't be missed.
Year: Percentage of world population in EU states
1900: 25%
1950: 22%
2000: 12%
2050: 7% proj (and this 7% is a heck of a lot less white native "European" than the 25% was back in 1900).
It absolutely makes me belly laugh at the raw arrogance of Europeans who think that they are somehow like immortal gods, and some "future" batch of children will rise up to save their culture. Because, you know, everything goes in "cycles." Pah. The truth is that every culture gets overrun sooner or later, and feminist Europe is incapable of breeding even at replacment. So now it's Europe's turn to go down, and who cares? They won't be missed, just like Constantinople wasn't. The future belongs to those who show up for it.
I'm sure you are right M_David but it is probably worth pointing out that 1900 was a peak for Europe , that North America has been declining since the 50s and that there are more Europeans alive now than there has ever been before.
Anyhow , I understand feminist being used as a negative even less than secular. If giving women equal rights to men leads to the decline and destruction of Europe does that make it any less the right thing to do? Morality only always leads to success if you assume it is nothing more than the result of evolution.
I found Spengler's article quite interesting, particularly his take on the Muslim version of God as capricious, and of the idea of "no limits on God" being identical to chaos. I think he is right. Of course, I can only submit to a God that has no limits, I can't worship that God (speaking for me) or love that God, I can only grovel.
I prefer not to worship a God that requires such groveling, even if He is beyond my categories and judgments.
As far as Rod's point about "not being able to replace something with nothing" I don't want to make you groan, Rod, but Paul Berman's book, "Terror and Liberalism" characterizes all forms of totalitarianism as arising in opposition to "secular liberalism."
I do believe it is possible for religion to co-exist with secular society, and I think we (all of us who are appalled by those trends)are responsible for "pushing back" against negative cultural trends. However, pushing back by means of fundamentalist totalitarian religion is the cure that is worse than the disease. Genuine freedom is to be found, I believe, in the middle ground between no limits and too many limits.
BTW, I just read the Reason Magazine interview. I think much of what Hirsi Ali has to say is great, and absolutely right on - of course I don't agree about military action, because I think the war of ideas is the on we have to win.
I understand feminist being used as a negative even less than secular.
I don't use "feminist" as a perjorative here. It's merely descriptive, and a better term than "secular," because while one could imagine secular women having an average of 2.1 kids, but not feminists by definition. For every career woman who has no kids, another has to have 4.2 just to break even. Fat chance of that. So who's gonna do the all breeding in a feminist culture? Imported slaves?
If giving women equal rights to men leads to the decline and destruction of Europe does that make it any less the right thing to do?
I offer no opinion on the morality of feminism, but I'm sure the Shakers felt they were morally superior too.
What I do know is that women who are treated "equal" to men and thus find themselves working in careers head-to-head with men are absolutely going to say, "Screw that 3 kid family thing!" And this is exactly what we see. And more power to those women; why shouldn't they? But the cold, hard fact still remains: feminism = death.
M_David:
Doesn't that argue for policy positions to try to help women balance home and work lives?
Which are usually, ahem, liberal/Democratic positions?
Simon:
Glad you agree that Latinos are integrating, for the most part (we can set the illegal immigrant issue off to the side for the moment) into American culture.
The great thing about a market economy is that the buyer doesn’t have to tolerate the seller in all respects – only his price.
Saudi Arabia is our #2 provider of oil. Has a US president ever reproached the decidedly non-democratic kingdom of Saudi Arabia for its deplorable record on human rights? Does anyone dwell on the pesky fact that most of the 9-11 hijackers were Saudis?
Sure, we in the peanut gallery can rail against the Saudi Kingdom all we want. And OPEC just refused again to raise oil production to ease oil prices on US citizens.
Japan and Europe are more dependent on Middle East oil that the US is, since the US gets much of its oil from Mexico and Canada.
We should not forget that oil is part of the world energy economy. If the oil in the Middle East magically disappeared one evening, it would impact the entire world economy. It would impact China, India, Japan, Europe, Australia and the US too.
A previous commenter had it right. Buyers and sellers in a market transaction don't have to like each other or subscribe to identical religious beliefs.
That's why market economies are so much more efficient than all other alternative economic systems.
Rereading Rod's blog entry, particularly the title, I just want to add, a system that has flaws, like secular liberalism, is not "nothing" unless you are an absolutist for whom anything but a strict fundamentalism is "nothing."
Just because Ayaan Hirsi Ali no longer considers herself religious does not mean that her beliefs rest on no solid philosophical foundation. Replacing a conservative religiosity with "live-for-today" hedonism is not the only option available when one rejects religious belief.
Alicia (the self-described "Christian agnostic).
That's why market economies are so much more efficient than all other alternative economic systems.
I cringe when I hear 'market economies.' Our 'market economy' has enormous overhead costs if you factor in the what Wendell Berry called the "long and highly vulnerable lines of communication and supply." Our supply lines are policed by the US Armed Forces and intelligence services, which consume more petrol than most European countries, and leaves a trail of war-scarred veterans and broken families. If you factor in all the externals, our market economy is not always efficient. Right now our market economy is in precarious shape, even conservative economists are saying the R word.
M_David: Doesn't that argue for policy positions to try to help women balance home and work lives?
I don't think low birth rates "argue" for any law. There are literally hundreds of policy positions that will increase birth rates: say to outlaw women working or going to school, or to ban birth control or abortion. But why should we? If people don't want kids, hey, it's a free country. We have a right to die out, dammit :-).
Regarding adjusting social services to increase birth rates: been tried, don't work. Those places best at allowing women to balance home and work always seem to have the lowest birth rates. Make sense, too; once you get women well educated and working careers, they don't want children. Never let it be said that feminists can be bought!
Which are usually, ahem, liberal/Democratic positions?
Yep. Just like welfare, liberal solutions always seem to, ahem, make the problem worse.
M_David:
I was trying to give you an out from the barefoot and pregnant argument; but obviously, it didn't work.
BTW, I wasn't talking about "social services" per se; I was talking about government regulation of business (horrors, I know) a la the Family and Medical Leave Act and the Americans with Disabilities Act.
At the risk of repeating myself, low birth rates are:
a) the only way to maintain a world consistent with crunchy values
b) the only way to maintain a world, period
c) the only alternative to overpopulation
d) inevitable in any culture that values education and prosperity, or evolves to the point where it can value them.
I can't get past the first sentence. "Fundamentalist atheist"? It makes no sense. If you don't believe in pixies are you a fundamentalist? Give me a break.
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