I don't have cable news at home, but I see that NBC and CBS are both projecting Huckabee the GOP winner, based on entrance polling. That says to me that it must be a solid win. Six in 10 Iowa GOP caucusgoers are religious conservatives, which obviously put him over the top. Now, the trick for Huck is to pivot to broaden his appeal outside of the faithful. I think he can do it. I really do. He's got to talk about populist things almost exclusively now. He's going to blow out of Iowa with lots of media attention. Huck's not going to have a shot at winning New Hampshire, but he's got to hope that McCain knocks of Romney there. If I were Huck, I'd focus heavy now on Michigan, which comes after New Hampshire. If Romney loses the first three contests in a row, it's over for him.
UPDATE: Wow, it's a Huckablowout! Huck's ahead of Romney, the No. 2 candidate, by 8 points! This. Is. Astonishing. Romney outpsent Huck by something like 20 to 1. And look what good it did him. National Review reports the Romney spin now is to call Huck a Republican Jimmy Carter. Quite a line coming from the GOP's Walter Mondale. Tough night for good ol' K-Lo.
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How on earth isn't Obama on the Democratic ballot, naturalmom?
Candidates are boycotting Michigan because they defied the Democratic party by moving up the primaary.
Candidates are boycotting Michigan because they defied the Democratic party by moving up the primary.
Yup. Michigan actually defied *both* parties in a sadly rare show of bi-partisanship. The Republican Party's punishment was to strip MI of half it's convention delegates. All of the GOP candidates are still running here, as it's still 60 delegates. The Democratic Party stripped MI of *all* it's delegates and "in support", most candidates withdrew from the ballot. (Hillary was running way ahead in the polls anyway, so some speculate that it was a good excuse for them save money by not having to campaign here.)
The big debate is whether or not the parties are bluffing. Some think that come convention-time, the delegates will be reinstated. We shall see...
I'm very interested to find out how many people who would otherwise vote in the Democratic primary, will cross over and vote in the GOP primary for the same reasons I am. We have an open primary -- no need to be registered one way or another -- so anyone can do it. If significant numbers of us do, it may have an effect on the outcome. I would expect that it would most benefit Giulaini (who might be popular with pro-choice and urban Democratic voters) and McCain, who has done well with independents here in the past.
naturalmom, thank you for two good posts. I am a republican in Maryland and the slate of candidates on both sides are terrible. On the democratic side if Hillary wins I believe it is a real loss if she goes on to win the general election. When she ran for the Senate in NY (my birth state) she promised she would bring jobs and prosperity to Buffalo. Buffalo now if signiicantly worse now than it was before her. Look at the economic numbers from there. I like Guliani because he started an Ethics company after leaving office and he also did a great job as the mayor of NYC especially right after 9/11, but I'm not married to him. We have a bottom of the barrel election this year and I don't really like candidates from either side. Michican is going through very hard times and I hope you are doing relatively well. Please write back and let me know how your part of Michican is doing.
B-Rad, Michigan *is* having hard times. My own sister and brother-in-law, who are in their 20's, had to leave the state to find good employment, even though they would have preferred to stay here near family. They looked for months before deciding to search elsewhere and are now in northern CA. That said, my area is doing better than some. I don't know anyone personally who is out of work right now, though one friend who is in the construction trade is seeing a pretty sharp drop-off in projects. That's probably the case nation-wide, however, not just here.
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