Crunchy Con

Novak: "Not since RFK"

Monday January 7, 2008

Categories: Democrats
Robert Novak on Barack Obama in New Hampshire: "Obamamania" reigns supreme -- generating enthusiasm not seen since the 1968 campaign of Robert F. Kennedy. He attracts new voters and generates support across ideological and party lines. In truth, he worries...
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Comments
Fr. Seraphim
January 7, 2008 9:00 PM

Yah, what a shame Ron Paul hasn't been able to generate any enthusiasm. Just compare the number of meetup groups, youtube videos, google, etc. of Obama and Paul. Embarrassing.

MargaretE
January 7, 2008 9:21 PM

Unfortunately, Paul just doesn't have Obama's charisma. It's all about the charisma.

Zoetius
January 7, 2008 9:48 PM

obama/ ron paul 2008

come on you know you want to

Donny
January 8, 2008 6:44 AM

JFK won by just 100,000 votes nationwide. Dead people voted for him in Illinois (of course). Nixon won "in a landslide." Reagan won "in a landslide" over Carter. Now the country looks more like it did when JFK was elected and Carter was pres, divided. If Obabm wins and tries to usher in his socialist agenda, the next Republican will win "in a lanslide." Americans do not want to "change" America. Not even "the youth." Sooner or later young people grow up, and want to keep what "they" have earned.

Donny
January 8, 2008 6:46 AM

I apologize to the memory of RFK, we really don't know what would have happned with his Presidency. (I clicked post too quickly.)

Bugg
January 8, 2008 8:28 AM

Is ANYONE going to asK Obama a tough question? Will ANYONE examine his wafer-thin record? Saying CHANGE every 3rd word is not an policy idea. Apparently we are so dumbed down collectively that we cannot wait but to fall all over a polite young man who can speak reasonably well.

I'm no fan of the Clintons, and I would never vote for her.But better the devil you know. I know that Robert Rubin running the economy was better than the current Bush crew by a lot, and that Clinton restrained his more liberal instincts afte his first 2 years were a policy disaster.We could live with that, if the soap opera would again get tiresome.

He's charismatic! He's a wonderful speaker! He makes you all gooey in the knees! He's dreamy! And we have no idea at all what Obama would be like as president. So when all these wonderful reporters continue to verbally fellate Obama on a daily basis, it would be nice if they occasionally got off their knees for a moment, looked up into their eyes of their hero and asked him how he would govern. But 2 years into the Obama Adminstration, we'll have more than enough tales of hackery, incompetence and sheer arrogance to make Jimmy Carter a comparatively potential Rushmore enshrinee.

Anonymous
January 8, 2008 8:46 AM

Hopefully we will have a Republican nominee who is willing to challenge Barack Obama on his empty-suitedness, assuming Barack gets the nomination.

Elizabeth Anne
January 8, 2008 8:57 AM

"obama/ ron paul 2008

come on you know you want to"

Yeah, that's about as likely as a David Duke / Jesse Jackson ticket.

Brian Horan
January 8, 2008 9:27 AM

Obama was smart enough to say 'no' to Iraq when the public (especially Republicans) was eating out of W's hand. That was when he was running for the Senate.
As far as socialist agendas, in terms of real dollars and outlay - Democrats have never proposed anything as expensive as Iraq. 600+ billion since "Mission Accomplished" and counting.
Clinton voted with the neo-cons again on making Iran a terrorist state. Then our intelligence agencies came out in overwhelming consensus determining that Iran had no nuclear weapons program.
Our country wants change.
Republicans would do well to stop falling all over themselves to say that Bush is their friend and a really good guy. After all he refused to fire Rumsfeld till Republicans lost the house.
Fox News and Republicans got their war in Iraq. Now they're gonna lose big time.

Irenaeus
January 8, 2008 9:35 AM

"Democrats have never proposed anything as expensive as Iraq."

Depends how one delimits a proposal and how one counts time. The so-called "War on Poverty" and its offshoots has chewed up much more money, to little effect. Or how about Social Security? That's been much more expensive than Iraq.

Joel
January 8, 2008 9:36 AM

Why support Obama? Two reasons:

1) He's not Hillary;

2) He's not Republican.

For me, this time around, that's really all I need. Go Obama!

Alicia
January 8, 2008 9:36 AM

Bugg, you are exactly right. We have no idea if Obama would actually be able to accomplish anything in office. Not only that, though I don't regard him as "an empty suit" I haven't heard much, if anything, of substance coming out of his mouth in this entire campaign.

And I have a feeling, as a political moderate, I might not like many of his positions, that I might feel they are weak, or just plain wrong. I think he might an idealistic, but weak POTUS, though he might not be as self-righteous and smug as Jimmy Carter, all the adulation is bound to go to his head. Actually having to govern could be a rude wake-up call.

Nick the Greek
January 8, 2008 9:37 AM

Elizabeth Anne: apparently Ron Paul did praise Obama as being "incredibly fleet-footed" ;)

Brian Horan
January 8, 2008 9:48 AM

Republicans can dance around the war in Iraq all they want. Yes, 600+ Billion Dollars since Bush landed on the aircraft carrier is the most extravagant outlay in real dollars ever given for a federal government venture. It doesn't include long term costs for vets that Republicans would just assume forget about.
Why do you think the Bushies wanted to keep the Iraq war expenditures off the federal books each time they disclosed the yearly budget?
Social Security is a trust fund and not a tax. Don't be a dolt. When the national debt tripled under Reagan & Bush I where do you think politicians drew extra money from?
Republicans have brainwashed their blind legions into thinking Social Security is a tax.
Because Barak Obama didn't support Iraq when it was popular he is gonna offer a clear contrast to anybody the Republicans run minus Ron Paul.
The Fox News war machine didn't do Republicans any favors keeping Paul out of the New Hampshire debate they held.
Yes to change! No to war-mongers!

Rob G
January 8, 2008 10:04 AM

"For me, this time around, that's really all I need. Go Obama!"

There's nothing like deep intellectual analysis of an issue...

"Yes to change! No to war-mongers!"

Woodstock redivivus! "Imagine" as public policy!

Alicia
January 8, 2008 10:09 AM

Can you say "Icarus"? Just like so many of the Kennedy men, Obama may be destined to crash and burn, or to introduce "the new politics, same as the old politics." Just something for the Obama supporters to consider.

Uptown Local
January 8, 2008 10:09 AM

It takes a New Yorker ...

Bugg, thank you for continuing to hammer away at this point. I've been an early Obama supporter (not my usual type of candidate) who is more than tired of his lack of specifics. I had thought that by now he'd be speaking more substantively. I do think he's something of an empty suit. I'm not sure where this leaves me.
(By the way, I enjoy reading your Giuliani comments, although I'm to the left of you.)

Joel
January 8, 2008 10:13 AM

Bugg, Alicia, and Rob G.,

Hilzoy over at Obsidian Wings compiled a list of legislation sponsored by Obama so far in his career, both in the US Senate and in the Illinois legislature:

http://obsidianwings.blogs.com/obsidian_wings/2006/10/barack_obama.html

The list includes bills on nuclear non-proliferation, prevention of no-bid contracts in Katrina reconstruction, tort reform on medical malpractice, and a revamping of ethics oversight in Congress to ensure that the system is really bipartisan. Among other things.

It's true that I would support Obama even if he really hadn't accomplished anything, so repulsed am I with the other candidates. But when ignoramuses (*cough*) accuse him of being an empty suit, that requires correction.

Scott in PA
January 8, 2008 10:33 AM

Is al Qaida concerned about nuclear non-proliferation? Are any Muslim radicals concerned about nuclear non-proliferation?

Dale Price
January 8, 2008 10:33 AM

It's early yet. I hope the mania subsides to the point where his supporters can recognize that while you can make a reasoned, solid case to support him, you can also make a reasoned, solid case "to not to," to quote Mater from Cars. I'm not trying to imply that anyone has said such things, but reading Ezra Levant's embarrassing praise makes me think that it will happen.

The one indisputably bad thing that could come from an Obama candidacy would be the playing of a form of the race card against the To Not Tos, i.e., "You're not supporting him because he's black." That would get very ugly, very fast.

watsy
January 8, 2008 10:39 AM

Margaret is correct. You need to have a little charisma to win a political campaign. Hillary never had a chance because she's a boring speaker. Her only real chance at winning the presidency ended with the blue dress. Of course, she had nothing to do with that. But people would have voted for her to get Bill back if he hadn't miffed so many people off with the Lewinsky scandal.

I don't know if Obama would make a good president. However, he's very smart, and intelligence is one of the most important qualities that the leader of our nation must possess. You have to have a good understanding of economics, trade, the workings of complex systems, and culture to make the right decisions. You have to know what questions to ask the experts standing in front of you to know the right direction to take.

Hillary would go into the job with a higher baseline knowledge to do the job. However, Obama might be a quick study because he's very bright.

Who's honest and wants to do the right thing without personal agendas getting in the way? I'd trust Hillary to do an objective analysis of any subject and then attempt to do the right thing. I'm not sure about Obama. I'm neutral with him because he seems a little untested.

I could live with McCain. He's like Hillary and could go into office ready for the job. I think he's pretty honest. I don't trust Romney to do the right thing if it means that his rich buddies might take a hit. He's in it for himself. It's all about Mitt. Huckabee? I think that his learning curve would be a lot longer than Obama's. He's a little smarter than Bush(who isn't?), and he's definitely less arrogant and more interested the world outside of himself than Bush. I think that he'd read a newspaper and read the documents that crossed his desk. I think that he's as honest as Hillary, McCain, and Obama.

Our Congress limits what a person can do on the issues in so many ways. I think that issues are important, but personal traits like intelligence and integrity come first because it doesn't matter what they say they'll do on the issues if they aren't smart enough to understand the complexities of the system or if they'll sell their soul for personal gain.


Alicia
January 8, 2008 10:40 AM

Joel, thanks for your comments, though I would appreciate more civility, since people who don't agree with you may not be "ignoramuses." (Or, then again, we may be.) We may just have different life experiences and perspectives.

If you note in my comments above, I said I don't believe Obama is "an empty suit." I just haven't heard much of substance about what he believes (other than in hope and change) and what he would do as President. I think this is a legitimate thing to consider about this candidate. I suspect he may not be talking much about his positions not because he doesn't have any, but because he wants to avoid talking about them for as long as possible. That worries me a bit. What if he believes something really flaky?

Richard Barrett
January 8, 2008 10:59 AM

My dilemma is this--

Being the president, or any person in power, ideally takes the kind of person who would never want the job in a million years. Unfortunately, it takes exactly the opposite of this kind of person to accomplish anything. You can't trust a politician, but a non-politician isn't going to be able to get anything done. The system is designed to keep out the people who aren't already part of the problem.

Richard

DeeAnn
January 8, 2008 11:08 AM

Watsy,
What makes you think that Mitt's only in it for himself? What has he DONE that makes you say that? What did he DO as governor of Massachusetts that makes you say that? What did he DO as the head of the Olympics (for which he refused any pay, as well as refusing pay as the governor) that makes you think he's in it for himself?

If you want to know why he decided to run, it's because he wanted to serve his country. That's what he says and I believe him. Everyone that I have heard who actually knows Mitt says unequivocally that he's a man of high integrity. You may dislike him for his policy stances or that he's not as charismatic as Obama or Huckabee, but he's NOT dishonest. You may have a problem with someone changing their positions, but I don't. I've changed my positions quite drastically in the past 5 years and when I hear Mitt's explanation for his change, it rings true and I believe him.

watsy
January 8, 2008 11:44 AM

DeeAnn,

If I thought that he changed his mind on some issues because he gave them serious consideration and came to the conclusion that one camp was right and another was wrong, then I would have no problem with it. That's a sign of intelligence.

However, that doesn't seem to be the case with Romney. He changes his position to better serve his own personal political career. He's a chameleon.

His web site says this, so it must be true?

Dr. Phil quote:
The best predictor of future behavior is past behavior.

He may never have broken the law. He may make the right decisions when his own personal success isn't at stake. But I don't trust him to do the right thing if it means that it might cost him.

Alicia
January 8, 2008 11:53 AM

Watsy, I agree about McCain and Hillary being the Republican and Democratic candidates. However, if Obama runs against McCain (a good problem to have, actually) I will probably vote for McCain.

Jim
January 8, 2008 11:54 AM

Scott in PA,

Shouldn't we be worried about nuclear proliferation EXACTLY because we worry about nuclear weapons becoming available to an al-Qaida or any other terrorist organization for that matter?

This is what makes the situation in Pakistan so scary. Can we trust that the Pakistani military and nuclear scientists are sufficiently invulnerable to influence or infiltration by al Qaida that its nukes are secure?

DeeAnn
January 8, 2008 12:15 PM

Watsy,
Other than abortion, what issues has he changed his position on that bother you? The abortion change he has pretty much explained. He hasn't changed on gay rights, although everyone keeps saying that. In 1992 he supported gay rights, and at that time gay marriage wasn't a part of the discussion. Since then it has become part of the discussion and Mitt believes marriage is between a man and a woman, but he still supports equal opportunities for gays outside of that. No policy change there, just a change in society.

You know, the guy has only been a politician for 4 years (even though he ran for senate in 1992). I have no problem at all with someone's views evolving. He hasn't flip-flopped (meaning he hasn't gone back and forth on this views), they have evolved. I would expect any thinking persons views to go through some changes. Mine have evolved quite as dramatically. I used to be more of a moderate Democrat, now I consider myself a moderate/conservative Republican. Are my views now suspect because I've changed them as I've gotten older and looked more closely at the issues?

And I would agree on your Dr. Phil quote. Look at Mitt's past behavior. When he ran for governor, he had his aides write down all the campaign promises he made. Then he went about keeping them. Kept ALL of them (I think there were 90 or so). So, if he's saying in this campaign he will do something, he'll do his darnedest to follow through. He's not wishy washy, as the media like to portray, and he's not a chameleon. He's wicked-smart, a great businessman, data-nerd, highly ethical man. Look deeper than what the media is portraying and you will see the "real" man.

Bugg
January 8, 2008 12:32 PM

"Obama was smart enough to say 'no' to Iraq when the public (especially Republicans) was eating out of W's hand. That was when he was running for the Senate."

Not so fast. Obama, when asked but 2 days ago by the Times, pulled a jeff Spicoli-I DON'T KNOW.

Take a stand on the war he supposedly opposes-I DON'T KNOW.

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9407E2DF153DF935A15754C0A9629C8B63&sec=&spon=&pagewanted=2

"In a recent interview, he declined to criticize Senators Kerry and Edwards for voting to authorize the war, although he said he would not have done the same based on the information he had at the time.

''But, I'm not privy to Senate intelligence reports,''(ITAL-ME-he's not? what exactly does he DO-hang around the Senate all day giving hugs and candy?) Mr. Obama said. ''What would I have done? I don't know. What I know is that from my vantage point the case was not made.''"


Joel
January 8, 2008 12:41 PM

DeeAnn, here's a contest for you:

You list all the issues on which Mitt has been consistent over the past five years.

I will list all the issues on which Mitt has reversed himself within the past five years.

Whoever generates the longer list, the other owes him/her a steak dinner.

Want to do it?

DeeAnn
January 8, 2008 1:59 PM

Sure!

watsy
January 8, 2008 2:07 PM

Wikipedia:(I know it's not the gospel, but you have to start somewhere).

2002:
"We must make equality for gays and lesbians a mainstream concern." [59] In 2002, Romney spoke regarding domestic partnership benefits, saying, "All citizens deserve equal rights, regardless of their sexual orientation." Romney said that domestic partnership status should be recognized in a way that includes the potential for health benefits and rights of survivorship.[60][61]

Now let's look at Romney's web site:
Traditional Marriage. Governor Romney supports a Federal Marriage Amendment defining marriage as between one man and one woman.

That's it. Mitt no longer thinks that all citizens deserve equal rights. Show me on his web site where he would promote domestic partnerships? I couldn't find it. Basically, he's decided to leave gays in the dust to advance his own career.

With friends like that.......

DeeAnn
January 8, 2008 2:13 PM

Here's Governor Romney's platform when he ran against Ted Kennedy in 1992:

Crime
Supports Death Penalty
Tough Mandatory Sentences for using a gun in a crime
Amend the Crime Bill to force judges to prosecute juvenile rapists and murderers as adults
Tough mandatory sentences for selling drugs to minors

Welfare
Require work with welfare
Stop paying welfare recipients for additional children
Drug testing for welfare recipients

Economy and jobs
Real-world job creation experience
Against Clinton tax increases
Against raising taxes on Social Security recipients
Actively recruits companies to bring jobs to Massachusetts
Supports the balanced budget amendment

Foreign Policy
Against invading Haiti
For American participation in the Gulf War
For tougher measure to stop illegal immigration

Social Issues
For retaining a women’s right to choose (changed position)
Fight discrimination of all kinds
For school choice through vouchers

Health Care
Against government takeover of health care (his plan in MA was NOT a government takeover. Done through free-market principals)
Against requiring employer mandates (his plan in MA did NOT have employer mandates)
Against increasing taxes to pay for the plan (his plan in MA did NOT increase taxes)

Congressional Reform
For term limits
Against taxpayer financed campaigns
For requiring Congress to live by the laws they pass

Glen
January 8, 2008 2:15 PM

I became a Reagan Republican when he asked in 1984,
"are you better off today than you were four years ago?"

Today I would answer that question with a resounding "No!"

Obama for me and millions of other Republicans who are tired of the GOP being hijacked by the religious right. The group that does nothing to prevent over population....and nothing to help a child once it's born into this world.

Glen Bentley
Lancaster, PA

DeeAnn
January 8, 2008 2:17 PM

Watsy,
These are two separate, though related, issues.

One has to do with redifining marriage. (which he and I are both against)

The other has to do with allowing people to have health benefits and survivor benefits (which I don't see a problem with and he is currently silent on this issue.)

He hasn't changed his position on the first issue. He might have on the 2nd, I don't know.

watsy
January 8, 2008 2:21 PM

Let's look at guns:

Wikipedia(old Romney):
"We do have tough gun laws in Massachusetts; I support them. I won't chip away at them; I believe they protect us and provide for our safety."[41] As governor, Romney signed a 2004 measure instituting a permanent Massachusetts ban on military style assault weapons, to take the place of a Federal ban, which was then about to expire. The bill made Massachusetts the first state to enact its own such ban on specific semi-automatic weapons and some shotguns with specific accessories, and Romney supported the law with the comment: "These guns are not made for recreation or self-defense. They are instruments of destruction with the sole purpose of hunting down and killing people."[42

August 2006
Romney joins NRA!!

watsy
January 8, 2008 2:23 PM

He might have on the 2nd, I don't know.

His silence on the issue is deafening.

DeeAnn
January 8, 2008 2:34 PM

Well, I personally have no problem banning semi-automatic assault weapons and don't see his membership in the NRA as a change on that position. One can be for assault weapon bans and still be a member of the NRA.

Peter
January 8, 2008 2:48 PM

Glen,

Reagan asked the question of whether or not you are better off today or 4 years ago in 1980 not 1984. When you are going to quote someone, get the facts straight.

watsy
January 8, 2008 2:56 PM

One can be for assault weapon bans and still be a member of the NRA.

That's like saying that one can be prolife and a member of Planned Parenthood. The NRA fights reasonable gun legislation at every turn by scaring the hunters into thinking that liberals are trying to take their trophy gathering tools away.

A person with integrity doesn't say that they sponsor reasonable gun legislation and give money to the NRA. Heck, even my Dad who's an enthusiastic hunter has stopped supporting the NRA.

Larry Parker
January 8, 2008 3:08 PM

Another, sad similarity to RFK:

The Secret Service reportedly has almost as many agents on Obama as they do on the President himself.

African-Americans I've spoken with, as I think CCers know, are terrified Obama will be assassinated. If the Secret Service is ramping up like this, I sense it's not just common sense but perhaps in response to a specific threat ...

Dale Price
January 8, 2008 4:18 PM

I became a Reagan Republican when he asked in 1984,
"are you better off today than you were four years ago?"

Today I would answer that question with a resounding "No!"

Obama for me and millions of other Republicans who are tired of the GOP being hijacked by the religious right. The group that does nothing to prevent over population....and nothing to help a child once it's born into this world.

Yet Reagan's pro-life views and alliance with the "Religious Right" didn't bother you in 1984?

Dale Price
January 8, 2008 4:19 PM

The HTML Tags are absolutely worthless for more than one paragraph.

Try again:

I became a Reagan Republican when he asked in 1984,
"are you better off today than you were four years ago?"

Today I would answer that question with a resounding "No!"

Obama for me and millions of other Republicans who are tired of the GOP being hijacked by the religious right. The group that does nothing to prevent over population....and nothing to help a child once it's born into this world.

Yet Reagan's pro-life views and alliance with the "Religious Right" didn't bother you in 1984?


Robert W.
January 8, 2008 4:25 PM

DeeAnn, I would like to kindly remind you and other folks that an assault weapon is defined as fully automatic, not semi-automatic. And it's been illegal for an ordinary citizen to own an assault weapon since 1934. Ms. Feingold only brought about the illegalization of about 147 guns that look like assault weapons.

Robert W.
January 8, 2008 4:33 PM

To watsy; The constitution doesn't say we are therein granted the right to own guns for hunting. Rather, it cites our God-given right to keep and bear arms that we might defend against all foes, foreign and domestic. Therefore, we have the right to own state of the art rifles, handguns, and everything else an enemy might possess. And it doesn't say just for the military and police, it iincludes every American citizen.

Robert W.
January 8, 2008 4:36 PM

Dale, are you trying to convert us all to atheism? Wouyld you have us burn all religious books (the Talmud, Bible, Koran, et al)?

Dale Price
January 8, 2008 5:30 PM

Dale, are you trying to convert us all to atheism? Wouyld you have us burn all religious books (the Talmud, Bible, Koran, et al)?

Robert W: I am at a complete loss. To what statement of mine are you referring?

DeeAnn
January 8, 2008 5:33 PM

Robert,
Thanks for the clarification. I'm really not up on gun jargon or rights issues. I don't own a gun and probably never will, and I don't know much about them.

watsy
January 8, 2008 6:00 PM

Robert,

Thanks. I believe that is the crazy NRA position. Who needs a military when the Constitution grants us the right to own our own nuclear powered missiles?

That, DeeAnn, is why I don't trust Romney as far as I can throw him. He knows how crazy the NRA is, and he's willing to throw all of the sensible positions that he took as the governor of MA to win the GOP nomination.

I didn't say that the Constitution protected hunters. I said that the NRA plays on the fears of hunters to get money from them.

DavidTC
January 8, 2008 6:14 PM

The Secret Service reportedly has almost as many agents on Obama as they do on the President himself.

Charismatic progressive leaders tend to get shot and killed in ways that are never fully explained.

mm
January 8, 2008 6:51 PM

Robert W:
You are incorrect about the illegality of fully-automatic weapons. These weapons are classified as Class III, requiring only a special permit to own, dispensed from ones local sheriff. Ownership of such weapons, (the H&K MP5, for example), is completely legal for private citizens.

Again, ownership of such is under the complete jurisdiction of county sheriffs, not "The Feds".

The 1993 "assault weapons ban" largely focused on Colt AR-15s with "three points" against them. The three points were, a pistol grip, flash supressor and I forget the third one. If a rifle had two out of three, is was okay to sell. If it had three out of three, is was defined as an "assault weapon" under Clinton.

High capacity magazines, i.e. the ability to hold more than 10 rounds, also fell under the Clinton ban. As a result, is was not uncommon for a $30, 13-round magazine for a Glock (.40cal) to sell for upwards of $125.

The ban on high-cap magazines was only for their manufacture, not their sale. Of course, now that the ban is no longer, high-cap magazines are back to their normal market price. As are 3-point AR-15s
(and other SKS type rifles).


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Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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