OK, you're Mitt Romney. You get your clock cleaned in Iowa, a state where you spent massive amounts of time and money. You chalk up your loss there to Evangelical enthusiasm for Mike Huckabee. But what happens when you get your clock cleaned in New Hampshire by John McCain, by similar margins? Good grief, man, there aren't many Evangelicals there, and that's your next-door state! Still, you lost badly.
A week from today is the Michigan GOP primary. We'll know then whether Mitt Romney has been resurrected as amazingly as Huckabee and McCain were -- in which case the GOP presidential race is wide open -- or whether his campaign is history. The polls don't look good. Romney and Huckabee are in a virtual tie, with McCain about six points behind. McCain will likely get some bounce coming out of NH, especially since he won Michigan in 2000. But according to a Rasmussen poll -- a month old, mind you -- of likely Republican voters, the economy is the most important issue (Michigan's been suffering economically), followed by immigration. Both issues break better for Huckabee than either for Romney or McCain.
I think Huck's going to take Michigan, and I'm sure he's going to take South Carolina. If McCain outpolls Romney in Michigan, the anti-Huck sentiment is going to coalesce around McCain. I'd say we're looking at a McCain-Huckabee race to the finish.
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Mitt could still have chance in Michigan as he is a Michigan boy. It's gonna depend on how many people actually go out to vote in the primary. That said, we're being punished here in Michigan for moving our primary ahead of schedule. A lot of Dems are not on the ballot now. I think Hillary still is but Obama is not or vice versa. A lot of us here in Michigan are a little miffed by these puntive actions about moving up the election. The economy here is in the toilet and we're not getting any attention from the national candidates. Free trade has not been good for Michigan.
The glorious news so far: Giuliani has finished in single digits in both Iowa and New Hampshire.
Which means that the only candidate in this race who had the potential to be a worse president than Bush, is now DOA. Gloria in excelsis!
I not only think that McCain and Huckabee will be the last candidates standing on the GOP side. In one form or another, I think they're going to be the ticket. They've been very careful to avoid stepping on each other's toes while tag teaming Romney, and I expect they'll do the same to Guiliani further down the line (assuming he still has any steam at all left in him after the early states). If Romney loses Michigan, he's toast. No matter how he tries to spin it, there's no glory in a Massachusetts governor taking the "silver" in New Hampshire.
Michigan voters know the candidates. If you don't want the ones on the ballot, then do a write-in.
The GOP establishment loves Mitt Romney. What's that mean? Let's see, we've just finished 7 years of that.
1. Tax cuts to the rich.
2. More tax cuts to the rich!
3. Growing deficit, but who cares? Let's give a tax cut to the rich.
4. Morning news: Oil companies making the biggest profit in history! .
5. Secret energy meetings, fully supported by a Supreme Court justice who just happens to hunt with the defendant, followed by rising oil prices.
6. War followed by Halliburton reconstruction.
7. Torture.
8. Lots of talk about saving babies.
The GOP establishment loves Mitt because he'll do their bidding. The good ole boys will all get richer.
Stop it with the amnesty stuff. Anyone can see that it doesn't matter what people in South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, etc think. They haven't gone blue in years, and they probably won't start in 2008. Any smart candidate of either party will work really hard to make the minorities in Florida happy. Fences, deportation, and denying birthright citizenship is going to have the Hispanics flocking to the voting booth to vote Democratic.
I have found it interesting as I watched “nightline” after each election that they give everyone a chance to speak accept for Mitt. After Iowa they had Oboma and Hillery give a speech and they spoke personally with Edward. Then the talked to Huck and ignored Mitt. Last night they Had Hillery, Oboma and McCain give a speech and they Did not let Mitt say a word even though he has come in a stong second each time. They only made disparaging remarks about him. This is topical of the media coverage. Do we really want the media elite telling us who should be the next president.
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