Crunchy Con

Spending your rebate

Thursday January 24, 2008

Categories: Economics
Most of us are going to get checks from the government to encourage us to spend money to keep the economy from going into recession: Under the plan, as many as 117 million people would get rebate checks. Individual income...
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Comments
Irenaeus
January 24, 2008 6:49 PM

We have two priorities right now (1) paying off credit card debt and (2) saving money for the coming baby. (#1 is generated a little bit by prepping the home for baby.)

Now, about the house: can you not do it yourself? Or get some friends together and have a painting party with beer and pizza? There's a lot of stuff I can't DIY to save my life, but painting -- inside or out -- is relatively simple, *depending on* the house, one's health, one's time, etc.

I know it's not what your post is about, but this plan makes no sense to me. I'm all for the gov't giving me back my $$$ they harvested in taxes in the first place, but the bipartisan unity on this smacks of (1) pandering or (2) heartfelt desperation by the adults in each party, and God help us if it's #2.

John E.
January 24, 2008 6:52 PM

Car repairs and/or pay it towards reducing the principal on our mortgage.

Rob G
January 24, 2008 7:12 PM

Either paying off some credit card debt, or taking my daughter to Gettysburg for a long weekend. She's a bit of a history buff and wants to see the battlefield. This, by the way, is a trip I'd recommend to absolutely everyone. I did it myself last spring and found it incredibly moving, as well as fascinating.

Kathleen
January 24, 2008 7:16 PM

We (me and my new husband) are planning to pay down debt with it after giving a nice chunk to our church. We are getting entirely out of debt. We are just shy of 50 and plan to buy a house in this 'buyer's market' in the next year or so. So, all 'extra' money is going toward those goals.

Michael B
January 24, 2008 7:17 PM

I'm planning to take that money and buy some shares of stock while they are on sale, particularly some of the financials.

Rod - not to stick my nose in, but if you already have enough money saved up for a minor emergency, then it doesn't really make sense to save more money if you're carrying credit card debt. Your credit card is probably charging a higher interest rate than you will earn on your savings. Just food for thought.

jaybird
January 24, 2008 7:37 PM

In my dreams? A Gibson Thunderbird Bass Guitar.

In reality? Probably credit card debt, like everybody else.

Sheilagh
January 24, 2008 7:40 PM

First and foremost let me state the obvious and say this is really great news!! This winter's been a little too cold and expensive.


The rebate will go straight to the ever increasing property tax bill. Any left will go to new carpeting and wood floors so we can put the house on the market and God-willing get into a better school system.

Pax. Thank you Congress. :)

Sheilagh
January 24, 2008 7:43 PM

My .02 The painting really isn't so bad. If you can get through the scraping -that's the tough part- and you've got a good ladder, it goes fairly quickly.

Sarah L.
January 24, 2008 7:47 PM

We'll pay off some of the home equity loan we took to put an addition on our home.

sd
January 24, 2008 7:50 PM

The point of these stimulus packages is to inject money into the economy when the economy is weak. Thus using the money to pay down debt or to invest, while it may be the optimal answer for you, is not accomplishing the goals of the benefit.

If you want to do your part to help the economy, you should spend the money now. You can still be somewhat financially responsible in doing so though if you use the money to accelerate a purchase you know you are going to make someday anyway. That way the money gets into the economy now, when the economy is weak, and you save having to make the expenditure later, when the economy is (presumably) stronger, which puts the money back into your pocket in the future, which is kind of like saving.

Here's a couple of ideas:

1) I have a new baby at home (my first). I know that I will need to buy a child bed in a couple of years. A good use of my check would be to buy a child bed now and put it in the basement for the time being. That way I create near term demand for the company that makes the bed when demand is in short supply, and I'm effectively richer in the future by the amount of the bed because I don't need to buy it down the line.

2) Say you give $1000 to a food bank every year. Give them an extra $1000 now, but withhold your donation next year. That way the money gets circulating now and net-net you end up in the same place as if you had just saved the money.


In general, if you're going to spend the money its probably better for the economy if you spend it on labor-intensive goods. So a diamond necklace is bad - most of the cost is the cost of the diamond itself, which is a labor-free commodity. But buying a hand made table is good - most of the cost is the cost of the labor used to make the table.

Your idea of getting the house painted is good - almost all of the money flows to painters who could probably use it. And again, if you are certain you'd spend the money anyway in a year or two, its not fiscally irresponsible to just accelerate the expenditure.

Going out to eat a lot is great for economy - almost all labor in the cost. But if you have your own debts or financial issues to worry about, it may not be a prudent answer for you.

George
January 24, 2008 7:56 PM

Like you, Rod -- paint the house, inside. And yes, Irenaeus, you're right: I could do it myself, but it's a lot of wallspace to paint. And I'm lazy.

What concerns me was twofold, and now it's threefold. Previous commenters have talked about paying off debt. That does not accomplish what the rebate is supposed to do, and that's get the money moving thru the production side of the economy. You're paying money into the financial sector, and it will flow first to the investor, who will re-invest it somewhere. The cash will eventually get into some producer's pocket, but not quickly. I'm not saying you should not pay down debt -- that's wise for you to do. But it shows the rebate scheme will not work as hoped.

Secondly, lots of people will take their rebates and spend them WalMart, I say synecdochally (or however you spell it). So most of the cash goes to the Chinese, which means it flows into the financial sector for investment -- see above.

Thirdly, the rebate scheme is supposed to be stimulating the economy by pumping more money in. What has the war been doing for the last five years? How much of a deficit is needed to drive the economy? There's an old economic metaphor about more money can stimulate the economy or it can be "pushing on a string." If the ongoing deficits -- which are largely spent within the productive sector to buy stuff made domestically -- have not stimulated the economy, how will these rebates accomplish that?

I hope I'm missing something. If so, please tell me what it is.

I_Like_Dragyn
January 24, 2008 7:57 PM

Wait a minute, I know that I am missing something here:

So the National Debt has reached over 9 trillion... The value of the dollar is going down... And so our government's solution to the problem is to invent more money so we can place ourselves into more personal debt.

Didn't Germany try to do the same thing after World War 1?

Brent
January 24, 2008 8:07 PM

Not sure yet what we'll do. We're set to buy a house next month, we have credit card debt and student loans, and the lease on my wife's car is up at the end of August. Probably, most will go to credit cards, and the rest will be for home improvement.

Zoetius
January 24, 2008 9:02 PM

Buy Sushi, save the rest. Stop shopping. Changealleuah. It's time for the economic realignment!!!! The shopocalypse is upon us!!!!!

Salamander
January 24, 2008 9:03 PM

I'd like to say a nice vacation to celebrate our fifteenth wedding anniversary, but in reality probably just pay off our debts. Bo-ring!

william b
January 24, 2008 9:51 PM

What are you painting your house with Rod? A crushed ruby based lacquer? 8 Grand! :)

Max Schadenfreude
January 24, 2008 10:03 PM

I'm gonna spend mine on the tobacco tax.

Simon
January 24, 2008 10:07 PM

Slightly off topic: This has got to be one of stupidest Federal government schemes since Hoover and Roosevelt managed to parlay the 1929 stock market crash into a massive 12 year Depression.

Let's have the government throw money away it doesn't have and run up the deficit!! If we're lucky, people will blow it all quickly on stuff they don't really need! That will artificially inflate demand for goods and services! John Maynard Keynes lives!

I suppose this is the sort of economic twaddle we should expect now that the genius of G.W. Bush has been complemented by that of Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid.

Rod Dreher
January 24, 2008 10:26 PM

Shoot, William b, around here 8G is a bargain! I about died when we got the estimate, but it turns out that's a real good price. Ouch.

PetRock235
January 25, 2008 12:54 AM

If the government hands it out, it has to borrow. I wish newspapers would report that this largesse is not from the government, but ultimately from the taxpayer. Or the government can print money, debasing the currency, and penalizing anyone who has money in the bank or in T-bills, notes and bonds.

Marshall
January 25, 2008 1:06 AM

Why on earth is everyone so motivated to go spend this money as soon as possible? I understand the need to pay down your debts, but just because the government is giving me money that I gave them in the first place doesn't mean I have to turn around and do their bidding by blowing it on labor intensive goods and services. I've got a revolutionary idea for you America, put the money in your retirement account! Do anything but make yourself an accomplice to the governments attempt to devalue your currency.

maria
January 25, 2008 6:34 AM

Why wouldn't anyone like to paint his own house himself? When we painted our contryhouse it took several weekends but it was a great pleasure (we painted it orange).I'd rather demand money from anyone who want to paint it, like Tom Sawyer.

aaron
January 25, 2008 7:14 AM

We're getting ready to close on 9 acres of land, so a house mortgage, lot loan, two car loans and student loan debt....I should probably do the American thing and go buy a big screen HDTV, but I'm guessing it'll go to to the new lot loan.

MI
January 25, 2008 7:58 AM

What I'm spending the rebate on: Savings. If I had any debt, I'd probably use the rebate to pay it down.

Irrelevant political commentary:

1. $150e9 sounds like a lot, 'till you recall that the 2007 US GDP was ~$14e12. Seems like a drop in the bucket to me.

2. Interesting how the budget deficit was suddenly been forgotten by both sides once they agreed that bread & circuses were now politically convenient (oops, I meant "necessary to the health of the American economy").

3. If the government is going to spend borrowed money in the name of stimulating the economy, why not do something useful with it along the way? $150e9 would buy (or subsidize the purchase of) a lot of nuclear power plants, or windmills, or hybrid vehicles, or cogeneration systems - any of which could make a decent dent in our consumption of imported oil & gas.

aaron
January 25, 2008 8:15 AM

3. If the government is going to spend borrowed money in the name of stimulating the economy, why not do something useful with it along the way? $150e9 would buy (or subsidize the purchase of) a lot of nuclear power plants, or windmills, or hybrid vehicles, or cogeneration systems - any of which could make a decent dent in our consumption of imported oil & gas.

Pffft, we want the money now, not 5 years down the road when energy prices are skyrocketing.

dhoff
January 25, 2008 8:39 AM

We need a new computer.

$8000 - WOW - I thought you lived in a small house? Side and you will never have to paint again.

Basil Seal
January 25, 2008 8:58 AM

I posted on this at the Cow and Acres blog(http//:cowandacres.blogspot.com).My first instinct was to send it back but upon further reflection I'll probably put the whole thing in my daughter's 529 plan account. After all it's basically her money.

MI
January 25, 2008 9:01 AM

Pffft, we want the money now, not 5 years down the road when energy prices are skyrocketing.

Given my druthers, we'd pursue energy independence in a more rational manner than spending money on the construction of government-owned nuclear plants or windmills. My point was that there are perhaps better ways of utilizing deficit spending than simply ladling out bread & circuses (i.e., rebates). Here's another one: Capital upgrades for the military. I suspect $150e9 could do much to halt the impending shrinkage of our Navy. I'm sure people on this blog could think of other ideas. Of course, such proposals have a downside, namely, that the politicians won't be able to ask, come Election Day, "Who do you have to thank for those rebate checks?".

gjoe
January 25, 2008 9:09 AM

I've been thinking of helping the Chinese manufacturing economy, or at least the retail segment of the American Economy-- that which may or not be owned by overseas investors.

We've also been thinking of shoring up Bank of America by giving them an influx of new cash (by paying off bar tabs for scotch I drank 4 or 5 years ago), or helping Chase increase their asset value (buy buying a $1,000 television with my $600 dollars and a $400 investment from Chase's Visa card)-- which would, again, help the Chinese manufacturers and overseas investors.

You see, free money from the government makes me feel like a true American Patriot and a globalized world citizen. Here I am, taking my free government money, and spending it with wanton abandon-- everybody wins. American retailers, Chinese sweatshop owners, Chinese sweat-ers, everybody. And I get a flat screen TV-- one of those big jobbies so I can watch Caeser Milan help old people to stop treating dogs like precious and precocious human beings. That's what real citizens do.

How absurd.

How patently absurd.

This is what we elect people to do? This is what we do with our republic? I used to think that the government ATM was only for the Chryslers or the needy, but this is a reminder that, as a nation, we're all pretty excited to be citizens of the welfare state.

Economic Stimulus, indeed. While we're standing with our hands out, the Federal Reserve has chosen to take the interest rate and drop it like it's hot. Cheap money for Wall Street, free money to Main Street, and we wonder why the US Dollar is weak? I'm trying to come up with a more reliable way to blow inflation through the roof, and short of guaranteeing that every Lotto player is a Lotto winner, I don't know a better method.

This is what they write chapters in history books about, and they will ridicule the ridiculous.

aaron
January 25, 2008 9:18 AM

This is what we elect people to do? This is what we do with our republic? I used to think that the government ATM was only for the Chryslers or the needy, but this is a reminder that, as a nation, we're all pretty excited to be citizens of the welfare state.

Let's add bond insurers to the bail out list.

jaybird
January 25, 2008 9:28 AM


$8000 - WOW - I thought you lived in a small house?

Rod only uses certified organic paints, made with the finest crushed ochres and cobalt, in aesthetically-pleasing 16th century French monasteries by Orthodox craftsman/monks. It can get kinda pricey.

Rod Dreher
January 25, 2008 9:37 AM

Oh, if only. Yeah, our old house is 1,800 square feet, but the price includes doing small repairs, sanding the whole thing down, and using a better quality paint than the guy from whom we bought the place did. The Texas sun is absolutely brutal on wooden houses. The back side of our house gets a lot more sun than the front. You can see the difference in the condition of the paint job.

Matt
January 25, 2008 9:42 AM

We're saving it. Screw the federal government.

Neil
January 25, 2008 9:52 AM

We have a baby due in June, so might as well just wire transfer the payment to Babies R Us.

Neil

Sarahndipity
January 25, 2008 10:08 AM

Ummmm - we're going to save it. We have no debt aside from our mortgage, fortunately.

This "stimulus package" is so stupid.

Jeff Sullivan
January 25, 2008 10:25 AM

Rod - and everyone - go with paying off credit card debt if you have any that you carry. And then, follow this edict for life: credit cards are just a payment method. Don't use them if you won't have the money to pay them off within three weeks of your purchase. Make it a goal never to pay another cent on credit card interest. I haven't paid any since 1993...

If you have no credit card debt, pay down or pay off any other revolving debt (like lines of credit).

If you have none of that, pay down any expensive (interest rate over 10%) installment debt.

If you still have money from your tax rebate, save it. If your savings are in good shape, spend it on your house. If you don't want to do that, blow the whole works on frivolities or give it away.

Talk about sticking your nose in - I'm Canadian so I don't get one of these rebates, and no one asked for financial advice. But there's a bit anyway, from an ex-banker.

Oh, and Rod, just say the word, and I'll fly to Dallas at my own expense and I'll paint your house for half the cost you got quoted. A cot in your garage and three squares a day, and we're in business.

Jeff Sullivan
January 25, 2008 10:27 AM

Oh, wait a minute - you hiring me would be illegal. No green card, mon ami. Never mind.

Simon
January 25, 2008 10:42 AM

This is what they write chapters in history books about, and they will ridicule the ridiculous.

Well said, gjoe.

randi
January 25, 2008 10:54 AM

We will be saving our money just in case things go bad anyway. I think that this package is a band-aid for something that is a much larger problem in our society. In am by no means an economist or an expert--i am far from that--but I think that individuals and the government NEED to get out of debt or I expect that a year or so from now, we will be in the same predicament.

Franklin Evans
January 25, 2008 10:59 AM

Rob, the Gettysburg visit is such a wonderful idea. Sharing our history with our children should be a priority for every parent.

1) Avoid the "haunted tours". They're a waste of time and money.

2) Depending on her age and reading level, encouraging her to read Michael Shaara's The Killer Angels before the trip is highly recommended.

3) Depending on how finicky an eater she is, I strongly recommend dinner at Dobbin House Tavern. Expensive, but worth it.

Franklin Evans
January 25, 2008 11:03 AM

It looks like the link I tried to provide for the book failed to post. Here it is: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Killer_Angels

Mrs. Pringle
January 25, 2008 11:19 AM

We have no debt apart from our mortgage, so we'll either stick it in the short-term savings account (i.e. the bank, at a whopping 2% interest), or spend it on something. Hmm, on what though? My husband and I haven't discussed it, but I think my first choice would be to get the driveway repaved. He'll probably want to do something more entertaining, though.

Oh, and I agree with gjoe and Simon -- this whole thing is just absurd.

Mrs. Pringle

Ostrea
January 25, 2008 11:23 AM

Lap dances and drinks.

watsy
January 25, 2008 11:42 AM

Un-be-freakin-believable! We're in debt up to our eyeballs(probably, a cause of the recession), and the bipartisan solution is another tax break.

I'm going to put the money under my mattress. Just kidding. My husband wouldn't let me. We won't do anything different. It will go into the checking account in the bank and go towards day to day bills.

I have to give Rod a little credit. He's not going for any of that cheap, illegal immigrant labor down there in Texas if he's paying $8,000.

I don't think that Rod has the time to do this blog and paint his house. Seriously, painting looks easy, but it's very time consuming.

We decided to paint a door and our shutters last fall after getting quite a few estimates. The door became rather time consuming because we chose to paint it red and didn't know that red was tricky. We finished the shutters on the first level of the house, and then my husband said, "Well, I've accomplished what I wanted to accomplish until spring." The leaves that hid the second floor shutters have since fallen, and I have to say that our house looks pretty silly.

Mike
January 25, 2008 12:09 PM

Does anybody know if this is going to be a real rebate, or just an advance on your next years tax refund, like the last time Bush did this?

Jim
January 25, 2008 12:09 PM

I'm with the "ridiculous/absurd" opiners. The best thing individuals could do is pay down our personal debt and not buy one more thing that we don't need. But this stimulates the economy how?

DavidTC
January 25, 2008 12:09 PM

I'm all for lower taxes on lower income people, but this method is just dumb. Everyone's just going to spend it on their debt. (Which is, I suspect, the real point of this, to keep people from defaulting on their mortgage. Until the next president shows up.)

If you want people to spend money, why not come up with some sort of rebate system? We could even tailor it towards things that are useful for other reasons, like rebates towards the purchase of central heating and air, to save energy. Or student grants. Or computers and net connections for low income families.

Just handing people the money means the ones in trouble, the ones already not spending money, won't spend it either, but use it on debts. Which is all well and good, but won't actually accomplish anything for the economy.

So we'd be better paying off our debt, or just throwing the money away to tighten the supply to fight inflation.

SiliconValleySteve
January 25, 2008 12:18 PM

Spend it on needed home repairs now while folks need the work and defer maintenance when the economy is hot. That is the best strategy for the economy, your community, your fellow working man and your own personal finances. The herd says "I gotta have X" when everbody else is getting X. Resist and run against the herd. You'll be much happier and wealthier in the long run. But, always maintain your minimum long-term savings whenever possible.

SiliconValleySteve
January 25, 2008 12:35 PM

Oh, and I don't need to entertain this problem as my modest Bay Area lifestyle with my schoolteacher wife puts me over the limit. If you all saw my house, cars and vacation plans, you'd laugh at any attempt to call us "the wealthy." We're just payin for the populist pork barrel that keeps the uncompetitive regions afloat.

Andrea
January 25, 2008 1:09 PM

Food, gasoline and private school tuition - same as everything else that I earn.

Insane Kitten
January 25, 2008 1:23 PM

I think I might finally get that bridgework done my dentist's been after me about. No more gapmouth for me!

book-publishing veteran
January 25, 2008 3:51 PM

How much do most of you expect to get? You're talking as if you're expecting several thousand dollars each. I won't be getting very much, and I'm not sure this program is worth the effort and expense of sending the checks out.

Re: savings accounts (Mrs. Pringle, above). You can do better than that. I bank by telephone with ING Direct (no connection to them whatsoever) for savings, and there are online banks with even higher rates.

Larry Parker
January 25, 2008 11:27 PM

I'm hanging on for dear financial life as it is. Whatever creditor(s) need to be paid first at the time I get the check.

DavidTC
January 26, 2008 12:46 PM

SiliconValleySteve
Spend it on needed home repairs now while folks need the work and defer maintenance when the economy is hot.

I like that. Put up some new weather-stripping, buy a new air-compressor for your AC/heat pump, buy a heat pump if you don't have one.

stefanie
January 27, 2008 8:43 PM

We will have two kids in college starting September 2008. 'Nuff said.

Amy
April 1, 2008 2:16 AM

Rod,

I hope this will find it's way to you, as this is an older post. But I've come up with an alternative way to use the money.

Give It Away

The story that this tells about the American people is a sad one. We're likely to be facing a serious recession, yet none of us can wait to get our hands on this money to spend it on . I think there is a better way.

I'd appreciate it if you'd take a look and share your thoughts.

Thanks!

Amy

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November 29, 2008 4:41 AM

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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