Crunchy Con

The ethics of strategic voting

Thursday February 21, 2008

Categories: Democrats, Republicans
A reader of this blog and a fellow north Texan wrote me yesterday to tell me he's a Democrat and an Obama supporter, and asked me to consider taking a Democratic primary ballot -- which is allowed in Texas --...
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Comments
tdr
February 21, 2008 9:32 AM

Rod, is Ron Paul on the ballot? If so, is he an option for you?

I_Like_Dragyn
February 21, 2008 9:42 AM

the best way to vote is to vote your conscience. Vote for the candidate whose views you would want to have in the White House. Even if that means to vote for Huckabee, you will have still voted who you believe would be best for your country.

Remember, every action that you do has consequences. Would you really want to look at Jesus when you die only to have him say, "So, you voted in the 2008 primary election out of political spite rather than personal conviction?"

John
February 21, 2008 9:48 AM

Vote for Paul or Huckabee.

Maybe I've been reading too much Larison, but I don't think it's a foregone conclusion that Obama is actually a stronger general election candidate than HRC.

Mike
February 21, 2008 9:51 AM

Hi Rod -

The more I listen to this Obama stuff, the more I am convinced that he will do more damage to this country than Hillary. First, we need to understand that Obama is MORE liberal than Hillary. He was rated the most liberal member of the senate. Second, Obama has a way of sounding like he is above ideology and wants to unify people that is very convincing at first and would very likely afford him a honeymoon period that could do a great deal of damage to our country. He is also fairly bulletproof in that any attack on him could be construed as racism.

Hillary would have no such honeymoon. From the first day of her presidency she would be criticized, scrutinized, and analyzed. Obama is so new that he has few enemies. Hillary has been struggling in her battles with Republicans for 16 years. We know what we'll be getting. And republicans can win back the house and senate in 2 years of a Hillary presidency, and the white house back in 4.

Frankly, I hope neither of them win. But this "cult of Obama" is terrifying.

Pauli
February 21, 2008 9:57 AM

I like #1 as a sincere vote and #3 as a strategic vote myself. I just can't imagine voting for such a pile of nothing with good vocal chords.

Before rejecting Quixoticism, I voted for Ron Paul for President in 1988 on the Libertarian ticket in my first vote ever. This exempts me from ever having to vote for the good doctor again, and I hereby absolve everyone else from following suit. I like some of his ideas regarding government non-interference in the free market, but the Fed Reserve windmill ain't goin' down and I'm not playing Sancho anymore. Pauli

tdr
February 21, 2008 9:58 AM

To the second commenter, I find it highly unlikely that when we appear before the judgment seat of Christ, He's going to make a big deal about our motivations for voting in particular elections. Somehow I just doubt that this will be the top priority in His judgment of us.

Simon
February 21, 2008 9:59 AM

I don't buy the conventional wisdom that Clinton is a weaker opponent for McCain than Obama would be. Obama certainly has a higher ceiling of potential support than Clinton does. Her best case scenario is probably 51% of the popular vote. But Clinton also has a higher floor. Her no-matter-what support is likely around 45%. McCain and Clinton would battle over a handful of tight states -- Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, Florida, New Mexico, possibly Missouri. Everything else is predictable.

The Obama phenomenon is a huge bubble. It could last through the election and deliver the Democrats a landslide win. But a well-run McCain campaign can pop the bubble, in which case Obama could be routed in November.

Anyway, Rod, if I were you, I'd take a GOP ballot and vote for Ron Paul, the only candidate of either party whose ideas have potential to make a lasting impact.

Insane Kitten
February 21, 2008 10:05 AM

I'm with Dragyn. Strategic voting only means you've given in to the cynicism of the process. Take Tammy's advice and stand by your man. Vote for Huck.

Franklin Evans
February 21, 2008 10:06 AM

Vote your principles, ideally casting it for the candidate who most strongly stands by his or her principles. An exact principle match being unattainable, vote for the candidate you believe is best suited to the office.

Consider the other end of the primary spectrum. In machine towns (like Philly), the general election winner is always determined by the party endorsement. I grudgingly accept voting to effect who might win in the general, but only as a last resort.

Texas Cynic
February 21, 2008 10:06 AM

Option 2. That might help insure an Obama win in 2008, and since between Islamofascism/terrorism and the economy the next President is going to have a job similar to the captain of the Titanic, a win by Obama will mean that the Democratic Party will be identified with those horrible years and will likely never recover. If he wins and does the right thing to save and maintain this country because Reality has a way of overcoming campaign rhetoric and promises, then his election will split Democrats between flaming liberals and those who support Obama in his conservativism, again ensuring the weakening of the Democratic Party. I see an Obama win as a win-win for conservatives and Republicans. :)

Derek Copold
February 21, 2008 10:11 AM

First, we need to understand that Obama is MORE liberal than Hillary.

That's based largely on voting records. Bear in mind that Hillary has been trimming her sails for sometime with an eye on the general election (falsely assuming she would be crowned the Democratic nominee after a few obligatory primaries and caucuses). Once in office, there probably won't be much policy difference between the two.

He is also fairly bulletproof in that any attack on him could be construed as racism.

That'll work a few times, but it'll grow real thin if an Obama White House were to use it all the time. Even liberals won't be able to stomach the "Don't attack my policies 'cause I'm black" line for long.

Hillary would have no such honeymoon. From the first day of her presidency she would be criticized, scrutinized, and analyzed. Obama is so new that he has few enemies. Hillary has been struggling in her battles with Republicans for 16 years.

And what exactly has it gotten the GOP or the country? The GOP became intellectually lazy, letting the Clinton's faults substitute for positive arguments. Obama will force conservative and the GOP to come up with sound policy counter-proposals or counter-arguments. An Obama presidency will do them a lot of good.

Think about the social effect of reelecting the Clintons, too. Do we really want the bully pulpit occupied by the gruesome twosome again? Do we really want another round of Clinton and his rotating bevy of "security risks", this time in the West Wing? Do we want the nasty, high-handed, Carvillian backroom operation?

I'm probably going to disagree with 95% of what Obama proposes, but, race aside, the fact that he's an intelligent and accomplished individual with a good family means he'll be a vast improvement over the previous recent occupants. Having read both his books, I can telly you that he understand both his arguments and this opposition's arguments, so he's able to provide something of a basis for compromise. His two major accomplishments on the national scene have been with Republicans: Lugar and the very conservative Coburn.

The fact is, we could do a lot worse than Obama, and we HAVE. Given the field, I'm going to go with him on Mar 4. Whether I vote for him in the general is another matter. I'm certainly NOT voting for McCain.

Pauli
February 21, 2008 10:12 AM

Chris Matthews scores a direct hit on Obama.

And if you haven't visited there yet, everything you need to know about the "Cult of Obama".

M.Z. Forrest
February 21, 2008 10:24 AM

Facing the same dilemma, on Tuesday I voted for Obama rather than Huckabee. I don't like McCain. I probably won't vote for any in the terrible trio come November. Obama is better than Hillary, of only because he voted against CAFTA.

cb
February 21, 2008 10:25 AM

Rod,

Got the same tough choice down here in Travis County (and, yep, that was my state senator who made a fool of himself on MSNBC). Aside from the presidential race and some of the state-wide judicial races, there is zero to vote for on the Republican ballot here. Sometimes I feel like Kyle Broflovski: "I'm just a Jew, a lonely Jew, on Christmas . . ." Maybe I should write in Mr. Hanky.

jh
February 21, 2008 10:41 AM

Good Grief. I don't like messing around in peoples primaries and its a precedent that should not be set.

That being said I am a Huckabee supporter and also like McCain. I hope for Huckabee to go out on a high note for his future and his issues so I hope you vote for Huckabee.

However Rod don't you have a problem. I mean I need to go back in your entries but I think I recall that you led the charge for the Dallas paper to endorse Huckabee. Now when we get to Texas you are not voting for him?

Charles Cosimano
February 21, 2008 10:45 AM

What has ethics got to do with politics?

Derek Copold
February 21, 2008 10:54 AM

And if you haven't visited there yet, everything you need to know about the "Cult of Obama".

That state senator certainly embarrassed himself. But I think you'd get the same result if you pinned a dinghy Clinton supporter with the same question. Without resorting to google, what bills has Sen. Clinton co-written and seen passed? A lot of Republicans can name McCain's bills, but only because they find them so detestable.

Maclin Horton
February 21, 2008 11:04 AM

One thing anyone considering voting in the primary of the party you oppose should be aware of: the primary ballot in my state has a note at the bottom saying that by voting in this primary you pledge to support the party in the general election. I don't know how many other states have this sort of thing but where it exists it ought to at least trouble the conscience.

Eric W
February 21, 2008 11:11 AM

One thing anyone considering voting in the primary of the party you oppose should be aware of: the primary ballot in my state has a note at the bottom saying that by voting in this primary you pledge to support the party in the general election. I don't know how many other states have this sort of thing but where it exists it ought to at least trouble the conscience.

It depends on what the meaning of "is" (i.e., "support") is. :)

Just like a fall from greatness or into poverty may be the best thing to happen to a proud or self-destructive and hedonistic person, sometimes the way one "supports" a party is to vote for its candidates' defeat so it will learn to change its platform. One can define "support" in many ways.

Pauli
February 21, 2008 11:16 AM

the primary ballot in my state has a note at the bottom saying that by voting in this primary you pledge to support the party in the general election. I don't know how many other states have this sort of thing but where it exists it ought to at least trouble the conscience.

Maclin, that doesn't make any sense. What if there was a pro-life democrat someday that you wanted to support and he/she loses in the primary to a pro-choice democrat. Then in the general there is a pro-life republican running who you want to support because pro-life is your most important issue. Is it suppose to "trouble the conscience" that you are voting in both elections for the best candidate? I'm highly suspect of the agenda behind that fine print.

Peterk
February 21, 2008 11:20 AM

you forgot the best choice
take a ballot, vote for HRC and watch the dogfight at the convention.

itsmike
February 21, 2008 11:23 AM

I've attempted strategic voting before, and it never works - not enough people are thinking the same thing you are. Just vote for the person you want the most as President - if it's Huck, go for it.

Pauli
February 21, 2008 11:27 AM

I wrote "I'm highly suspect of the agenda" which is a bad phrasing, I probably meant to say something like "the agenda is highly suspect IMO" or something. I shouldn't be drinking this early during lent.

But my broader point is that no one should consider so-called "strategic voting" wrong. It's your vote, you can do what you want with it including the opposite of what's strategic, e.g., wasting it by writing in GOD. I would suggest that in an imperfect system, as all systems are, voting is best when done "strategically". But your vote belongs to YOU, not the government, not the party, not the community. It's your one round in the barrel, make it count.

M.Z. Forrest
February 21, 2008 11:30 AM

In Wisconsin Maclin, we have no such commitment. We don't even declare our party before receiving our ballot. We are just reminded that we can only vote in one party's primary, because if we vote in both party's primaries, our votes are invalidated. Wisconsin is one of the most liberalized primaries though.

Eric W
February 21, 2008 11:32 AM

Actually, I and others I know have been thinking of doing what Rod's friend suggested, as a way of trying to banish Hillary and her husband to oblivion or Siberia, whichever is more effective, so in this election and in this instance such strategic voting may indeed work.

Tonight's debate, and March 4, will be interesting.

John E.
February 21, 2008 11:35 AM

Vote for the person you'd be happiest to see as President. Duh...

ChuckDFW
February 21, 2008 11:51 AM

Seems to me that any vote should be cast in the best interest of the country.

I realize partisanship and philosophy are important, but given that November's choice will be between the Democratic and GOP nominees, wouldn't you want that choice between the two candidates that are BEST for the country -- as opposed to a candidate that will facilitate a particular outcome (e.g. a GOP victory)???

You have a choice here. I think we all have civic interest in seeing the best leadership possible NO MATTER WHICH PARTY WINS. That should be paramount.

AndrewE
February 21, 2008 12:21 PM

I would suggest voting your conscience.

Shawn
February 21, 2008 1:12 PM

If delegates are awarded proportionally, #1 makes more sense. By sending delegates pledged to Huckabee, it will force other delegates to win their support by including their views in the platform (or at least lending them an ear).

I'm going the second route.

Irenaeus
February 21, 2008 1:16 PM

Vote Huck -- it may matter at the convention one way or another 9Huck for VP? doubt it but anything is possible), and the better he does, the more relevant he'll be in 2012.

Larry Parker
February 21, 2008 1:30 PM

Rod:

Serious question -- you are INELIGIBLE to vote in local races? (I take it by edict of the DMN.)

What, the paper has cameras in the voting booth to determine whether you stop voting at the national races and not on the local races?!

If the DMN tells you, a la Len Downie of the WaPo, you can't vote at all and keep your job, that's one thing. I think it's appalling, but at least you know it going in.

But otherwise, who are your bosses to say who and what you can or can't pick and choose to vote for in the privacy of the voting booth?

Last I checked, you have personal as well as professional First Amendment rights of freedom of expression. Particularly once you pull the curtain behind you.

Eric
February 21, 2008 1:37 PM

I faced the same situation in Virginia. I was trying to choose between Obama, Clinton, or Paul. I voted with my conscience instead of playing games. The candidated for which I voted got 4%. ugh...

Anne E
February 21, 2008 1:48 PM

I vote for (1), and I think (3) is unethical- because it sabotages the efforts of sincere Democrats (like me) to select a decent candidate. When state Democratic parties hold open primaries, they are trying to enable participation by independents and moderate Republicans who might consider voting for the right Democratic candidate. Using it for sabotage is just plain slimy, in my book.

I voted for McCain in the California primary in 2000, but only because I intended to vote for him in the general election if nominated. (I liked McCain better in those days- I would not vote for him now.)

My ex’s family (southern ultra-conservatives all) always vote in the primaries for the weakest, most ridiculous Democrat they can find – and then vote for the Republican in the general elections. If a significant number of people do this, it weakens democracy, which is best served by two strong, ethical candidates of opposing views.

James
February 21, 2008 1:53 PM

Take the Democratic ballot for the sake of the local elections.

And then for each choice-- whether it's president or city commission-- vote your conscience. Choose the candidate who would to the best job.

Let's face it: who you vote for in the Presidential primary doesn't matter at all. Statistically, it's completely insignificant whether you vote for Huckabee, Obama, or Alan Keyes. But your voice DOES matter a whole lot more in the smaller, local races. And local politics will have a much bigger effect on your life and that of your neighbors than the next President will.

I live in a district that's gerrymandered to be Florida's only Black district, which makes it exclusively Democratic. It would be foolish for me to take an empty Republican ballot in the primaries, just for the sake of the presidential race. Local elections are much more meaningful, and I have a much greater say in local elections.

James
February 21, 2008 1:59 PM

(and I agree with Anne E that [3] is slimy, undermines the good intentions of sincere voters, and weakens democracy. Bigger than partisan tactics should be our sincere desire for the best candidates possible in the general election.)

Steve
February 21, 2008 2:01 PM

If you put your country first you vote for the person you believe to be the best candidate. If you put your party first you vote to mess around with the other party. I cant believe this is even a serious question on this blog. Our country is going down the tubes because we dont have enough children and then you post this stuff? When in doubt think about what you would tell your kids. Daddy just voted for the person who is against everything we believe. They wont hear or remember the explanation. Actions speak loudest.

Steve

Bill H
February 21, 2008 2:37 PM

I say (1), not because I have much to say about the ethics of (2) and (3) so much as the premises behind them are almost certainly false.

I realize that Rod is a Very Important Blogger / Newspaper Columnist and so might actually influence a few other people in their decision-making processes, but he's one out of several million voters in Texas (and even millions more in the country as a whole.) The chances that Rod's vote ends up "putting the Clinton campaign out of its misery" (option 2) or "boosts McCain's chances" (option 3) are so infinitesimally small as to be meaningless. In general, I think that strategic voting in an election where there are millions of voters is a bad idea, because your strategy is highly unlikely to have any impact on the election result -- so, just go with whomever you like the most and feel happy about it already!

(Yes, the proportional system that the Democrats use to allocate their delegates means that there's a slightly higher chance that a single person's vote could alter the outcome of the race by one delegate. But then, that's only meaningful if the whole enchilada comes down to one delegate, which is highly unlikely.)

IBreakCellPhones
February 21, 2008 2:49 PM

Larry,

As a fellow Dallas Countian, I think Rod's comment regarding ineligibility to vote in local races stems from the fact that he lives in an area historically dominated by Democrats. If he votes in the Republican primary, for many of those local races, there are no declared Republican candidates, and since there most likely will not be a write-in candidate, the Democrat will win by default, and Rod will have had no say.

watsy
February 21, 2008 3:06 PM

McCain, Obama, Clinton: All good choices! You can't lose, Rod. Vote for any of them.

Sheilagh
February 21, 2008 3:15 PM

My suggestion is (Seriously) to pray about it and then vote the candidate most in line with your values. Either to send a message to McCain or to send a message to Huckabee.

Re: Obama/Clinton - Do you really want to get mixed up in all that? Take a look at who's endorsing Obama [Duval Patrick/Teddy Kennedy/John Kerry, et al] and Who's endorsing Clinton [EMILY's LIST!!!,et al]. If you make one of those votes, there's NO doubt you are now considered a FRIEND to that endorser and you just did them a great big favor. Can you live with that? :)

Something to think about.

Ps. Don't buy the lie that your vote doesn't count, it always does in some way - morally, ethically,. . . You decide.

Eric W
February 21, 2008 3:17 PM

I don't see any ethical problems with 2) or 3) because those very same elected officials do the exact same thing and weigh the exact same strategies when they have to vote for or against a bill. :)

Larry Parker
February 21, 2008 3:25 PM

IBCP:

I didn't think of that possibility. (The political machines in New Jersey "slating" unopposed candidates generally make local primaries a waste of time here, too.)

Thanks for the clarification.

Sheilagh
February 21, 2008 4:37 PM

Still undecided?

Check out this RCP article on the Ivy League Populism of Hillary and Barack.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/02/ivy_league_populism.html

fbc
February 21, 2008 4:37 PM

Until people stop the insanity of trying to pick a winner, and begin voting their actual consciences, we will not have the true democratic-republic that our Founding Fathers intended.

Besides which, if you think your one little vote is going to change the outcome of the election, you're just being silly.

Ostrea
February 21, 2008 4:40 PM

In the past I have voted in the Republican and Democratic primaries, depending on the races at the time. On March 4th I will vote in the Democratic primary in Dallas because of my interest in some local races and I intend to vote for Obama, being the lesser of two evils. Come November, however, I will vote for McCain for President.

Mike
February 21, 2008 5:36 PM

Depends on how strong your interest in local races is. If you are desperate to do so, by all means... I remember in 2004 I was attracted to the GOP primary by state and local races (not in Texas) and wrote in myself because I couldn't stand Bush.

But if not, you might as well vote your heart and vote for Huck!

David
February 21, 2008 6:18 PM

Follow your heart and vote for Huck. Follow your heart.

On a related note - It looks like the McCain cruiser has sprung another leak and he's having problems with the FEC as well... Time to abandon ship! How do you say the "Titanic." Somehow I don't think many conservatives will send out a life-boat to rescue him and they will gladly watch his candidacy sink once again. Maybe McCain should have been a submariner and not an aviator!

ScurvyOaks
February 21, 2008 6:19 PM

Rod,

So you would only vote for McCain if Clinton is the Democrats' nominee? Would you vote for Obama against McCain, or would you sit it out? In either case, I'm stunned. Before I go all Jonah Goldberg on you, I'd love to hear why.

David
February 21, 2008 8:57 PM

Who most corresponds to your heart? Follow your heart.

Troy
February 21, 2008 10:24 PM

GIVE OBAMA YOUR VOTE! GIVE ME ANYONE BUT A CLINTON! I voted McCain in the Delaware primaries, I think the odds are towards the Democratic nominee, who ever it maybe(especially after the last 8 yrs.) And for all you Reps, who won't vote McCain in the general election, you're stupid. You'd rather have a Liberal Democrat than a Republican, who has proved himself to be the most worthy candadite from our party. Get over your pissy-fit and be realistic.

From A Very Irate First Time Voting 18 yr. old!

Pocket Rocket
February 22, 2008 12:35 AM

Due to the Law of Unforeseen Consequences, it is always best to vote your conscience. At least if you wind up making the wrong choice, it will have been for the right reasons.

Rod Dreher
February 22, 2008 12:42 AM

Scurvy, I'm not going to vote Democratic. I find it very hard to consider voting for McCain, because of his views on the war and on immigration, and for reasons of his temperament (he's got an extremely incandescent temper, one so bad it makes me worry about his judgment, seriously). I'd do it to keep HRC out of the White House, but I don't think I could muster up the wherewithal to vote McCain to keep Obama out.


Max Schadenfreude
February 22, 2008 8:42 AM

Try to vote such that you maximize the likelyhood that McCain never becomes president.

There's little difftween Obama, Hillary, or McCain when it comes to the Liberal/Conservative continuum. If conservatives MUST have a liberal in the White House, we should at least work to ensure that the liberal is from the liberal party.

At this point the ideal set up would be a conservative Congress and either O or Hill in the White House. Keeping my fingers crossed.

REMEMBER: Vote Obama or Hillary!!

ScurvyOaks
February 22, 2008 12:05 PM

Thanks, Rod. McCain's temper worries me, too.

I do think HRC is the lesser of two evils on the D side, though. Strange to say it, but she's grown on me somewhat.

As much as I like Obama's speeches, I'm worried that he's a con artist: that all that purple rhetoric hides purely blue convictions. I kind of suspect that Michelle Obama's lack of the politician's "filter" means that what she says is what they both really think. If so, there's a lot there that distresses me.

Trey
February 22, 2008 1:26 PM

I think strategic voting is fine. But I'm torn by what to do...

Do I vote for HRC b/c Obama is in favor of killing full-term babies (aka Partial Birth Abortion)?

Do I vote for Huckabee b/c McCain is a supporter of using tissue from murdered babies for research (aka embryonic stem cell research.)?

Do I vote for McCain b/c he is the best of the three candidates that appear to have some possibility of winning?

I know someone who is voting for Hillary b/c they think she is an easier candidate for McCain to defeat...

I'm just not used to having to make these complex choices, being a Texan. :) We don't usually have any impact on the race!

Eric W
February 22, 2008 6:31 PM

I just read the Democratic and Republican sample ballots.

One of the first statements is (the quotes are there, too):

"I am a [Democrat/Republican] and I understand that I am ineligible to vote or particate in another political party's primary election or convention during this voting year."

So, what if one is not either a registered Democrat or a registered Republican? Can one vote? (I don't mean physically; I mean ethically.)

Eric W
February 22, 2008 6:43 PM

That's "participate," not "particate."

I called a person who is connected with the Obama campaign and asked about this, and she said she was puzzled by that first part, too. While I said that I could easily assent to the latter part (i.e., I can't vote in both), I was going to have to think about whether I could assent to the first part, since I am not a registered anything (and for that reason I have never voted in any primary before now).

Part of me thinks that if I am not registered with the Party, I'm in a sense "crashing the party" by voting in the primary.

Ah, decisions, decisions....

Marian Neudel
February 22, 2008 7:33 PM

Strategic voting negates the whole point of the secret ballot. This would be a far better polity if everybody voted for the person they considered best qualified, regardless of the strategic outcome.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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