Crunchy Con

Free-market Republicans melt down

Thursday March 27, 2008

Categories: Economics

I'm not saying this is a bad thing; I don't know enough to say. But I am saying it looks like a pretty damn remarkable thing. So says the economics editor of the Wall Street Journal today:

The past 10 days will be remembered as the time the U.S. government discarded a half-century of rules to save American financial capitalism from collapse.

On the Richter scale of government activism, the government's recent actions don't (yet) register at FDR levels. They are shrouded in technicalities and buried in a pile of new acronyms.

But something big just happened. It happened without an explicit vote by Congress. And, though the Treasury hasn't cut any checks for housing or Wall Street rescues, billions of dollars of taxpayer money were put at risk. A Republican administration, not eager to be viewed as the second coming of the Hoover administration, showed it no longer believes the market can sort out the mess.

"The Government of Last Resort is working with the Lender of Last Resort to shore up the housing and credit markets to avoid Great Depression II," economist Ed Yardeni wrote to clients.

In principle, I'm not at all against government intervention in the market under particular circumstances. What I don't get is how come the Wall Street gang gets to take home multimillion-dollar bonuses based on short-term profits made with reckless, risky investments ... but when those investments go bad, the US taxpayer has to bail them out.

I get that if the taxpayer hadn't bailed them out, the collapse would have ultimately hurt the little guy in a pretty severe way. I'm just saying that there is an inequity here that ought to be sorted out by the political system. If these Wall Streeters are going to be able to count on public money to bail their private butts out when they get themselves in a crack, then their ought to be far stricter regulations put on their behavior. What on earth do we have Democrats for?

I refer you again to Prof. Deneen's commentary on all this, excerpted here:

Secondly - and more importantly, in my view - the fact that [Bear Stearns] was "so big it could not be allowed to fail" starkly reveals the fundamental bias in the current economic and political system toward massiveness and centralization. Note well: such largeness is constantly invoked against those who would commend smaller and more local forms of economy and banking as BETTER because, unlike economies of smaller scale, such large scale (national, international, global) enterprises ensure that no ONE local failure will result in deprivation. That is, in small economies, when a crop fails or a bank folds, the whole community is potentially shattered. A large scale economy theoretically spreads risk so that the consequences of small failures are minimized, much like a punch to a Sumo wrestler is absorbed by his gigantic girth. The fact that the failure of Bear Stearns was not permitted to occur because it would have potentially caused the collapse of the entire American and even international financial system suggests that this argument on behalf of bigness has always been false and beside the point. Further, the entire sordid subprime (and increasingly prime) fiasco has shown how this system has been designed to ensure that everyone is able to avoid responsibility - unlike a more local economy, in which responsibility toward one's community, friends, and neighbors is felt with some force.

NPR yesterday did a report on a prophetic book that came out last year: "The Trillion-Dollar Meltdown," that foresaw with uncanny accuracy events of the past few weeks. The author, Charles Morris, wrote the book last spring, when Bernanke and most everybody else was saying everything looked swell. What did he see that others didn't? Says NPR's Adam Davidson:

He was in the perfect position. He's not just a writer; he ran a company that created the software investment banks and hedge funds use to build these new, exotic credit instruments. And he saw how they used his software, and thought, "This is crazy," he says. "I was sure that people weren't keeping track of the trends so they had proper margins and collateral and so forth."

Morris said by 2007 he had warned every financial professional he knew. Nobody listened then, but we now know that Morris was right.

There's no telling how far we have to go before we hit bottom. I am curious, though, about how this present and future crash will change our politics and our culture. The two are intimately related, you know. Remember Moynihan's observation that culture precedes politics, but politics can change culture. The financial recklessness that engulfed Wall Street and Main Street both didn't come from nowhere, and it wasn't imposed on us from on high. No, the politicians that allowed this to happen came out of a culture that enabled it. A friend of mine who's a Catholic priest says he's fully aware of the weakness and corruption of the priesthood today, but it's a mistake to imagine that priests are minted in a factory in the Vatican's basement; they are human beings who are produced by the culture they serve, and as such reflect the strengths and weaknesses of that culture. Similarly, I'd say, we can say the same about politicians.

As I'm fond of asking: How many politicians of either party could have hoped to have been elected to national office over the past quarter century by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice?

Once more, Deneen:

We have permitted ourselves the self-deception of thoughtlessness, particularly a willed and irresponsible ignorance toward the future. Believing that technology will solve any problems we might create, we accumulate literal and metaphorical debts, borrowing aggressively against the future in the belief that our children and theirs will be able to continue borrowing against their children's future. Is this how a civilization raises its young, is this the legacy we wish to leave?

Already we can see our tendency is to blame other people for this confrontation with limits. It's the Chinese and Indians. It's the oil companies. It's Bush/Cheney. It's the Islamofascists. In the felicitous phrasing of Jason Peters, "it’s like heavy traffic. Heavy traffic is always other people. When you say 'traffic was terrible' you’re never talking about yourself." Well, folks, the traffic is terrible. But the last thing we should be doing is building more roads.

Here's what I don't get about conservatives. We are able to recognize the danger in Big Government; our understanding of the fallenness of human nature makes us rightly suspicious of the concentration of power in the hands of the state. But what makes us so willing to disbelieve that concentrating so much unchecked power in the hands of financiers will lead us to paradise? Is the financier any less human and more angelic than the government bureaucrat? Is he less susceptible to greed, to envy, and to all the ordinary vices that deform human character and cause us to behave in foolish and reckless ways? Law and culture are two gifts of civilization to help us order our liberty, and put constraints on individual action. Too much constraint, and you stifle life, growth and creativity; too little, and you have shipwreck.

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Comments
DavidTC
March 28, 2008 12:39 PM

I think we all know what the real problem here is, the thing that the Republicans are avoiding saying:

The Democrats lost in 2004.

See, Kerry was supposed to win. He was supposed to be blamed for the mortgage disaster, he was supposed to be blamed for the forthcoming economic meltdown. He, of course, would be at fault, because he would have triggered it in 2005 or 2006, as soon as he figured out what was going on, because the sooner the insanity ended, the better for everyone.

And Katrina would have happened as Kerry was attempting to rebuild FEMA and the entire Federal government after Bush, and been handled somewhat poorly and Kerry would have gotten all the blame for it.

Also, Kerry was supposed to be blamed for the growing civil war in Iraq, and be blamed for 'losing' it when he cut our loses in 2006 or so as it became immensely unpopular.

The warrantless wiretaps should have never been uncovered until long after they ended.


Come on. Tell me I'm wrong. Tell me that isn't exactly what would have happened under a Democrat president. Or under a Democrat Congress, for that matter.

It's happened time and time and time again. Reckless spending, reckless economic control, reckless deregulation, reckless wars, all under Republicans, and the Democrats step in and get blamed for the whole mess.


But this time God smiled on the Democrats and caused them to lose in 2004. Thus exposing the actual problem.

Clare Krishan
March 28, 2008 2:15 PM

Sheilagh I agree with you when you identify that the key to a reform of our political discourse is "interpersonal" we suffer a surfeit of individual rights divorced from personal duty. But I fail to follow you here:

"not to be contrary, but it's not 'We' who've absconded."

Why should a stakeholder need a nanny state to protect himself from the unjust distributions of capital gains? He has a vote on the corporate governance of the enterprise he choses to invest in (or if he is an indirect investor, he can elect to drop that stake from his mutual fund portfolio). Are we to assume my taxes are to be used to bail out your imprudence?

"Rather it's the government that's abdicated its responsibility to protect stockholders who should receive those just distributions. :)

I would concede an argument that the nanny state may need to stand in for those folks confined to endure what passed for an education in our failing public schools in the last half century, as Ron Paul proposes, a large number of citizens are invincibly ignorant. Their capacity for risk assessment has been irreversibly handicapped, thus they have not the courage of their convictions to command a just price for their creative agency, and their understanding of interpersonal responsibility is practically nonexistent. Such are the victims of the fear-mongers par exellence that masquerade as our current political leaders.

Other Jim
March 28, 2008 2:19 PM

Economic Security. That's is what we've bought, and we now have neither economic liberty nor economic security. Franklin warned against it, but people were so scared during the Depression that they elected a quasi-tyrant who passed all manner of economic security programs. Social Security, Medicare, and the myriad regulatory agencies all serve one purpose: to buy security. The Federal Reserve has a similiar origin, to prevent crises in the banking sector.

People are genuinely scared of freedom in all forms, and when you start talking about a truly free market people get panicky. I think it is similar to peoples' fear of flying: we don't like the idea that no one is in control, that we can be at the mercy of unknown forces. But unlike a plane, no one can pilot the economy. Even the Federal Reserve has no idea what is happening and they have said so in speeches. The best information they have comes months after things have happened, and even with that info they cannot predict the future.

There are many Americans who really believe that if Social Security was abolished (for youunger workers, obviously older folks do rely on it), most people wouldn't save for retirement. That if Medicare was abolished or people bought their own health insurance, instead of through their employer, that people wouldn't have healthcare. That if the government didn't pay for schools, no one would be educated. That if the Federal Reserve didn't exist, our financial markets would fail. Well, our retirement system is failing. Millions of Americans don't have healthcare, costs are skyrocketing, and the program delivering healthcare for retirees is failing. A large minority of children in America aren't educated. And our financial markets just failed. There is no difference between the inner city school that has a 10% literacy rate and what happened to Bear Stearns. The cause is one and the same.

Alex
March 28, 2008 2:28 PM

Why everybody is so surpised about this real estate market crash. What is a mortgage? It is a loan secured by a collateral. These loans were knowingly given to people who could not repay them and the collateral went down in value. I do not blame people for their stupid decisions. I blame banks for giving loans to them. Will you as an individual lend money to somebody who can not repay it? Of course not. But we are talking about today's fees and today's bonuses for the top executives. Who cares what will happen tomorrow.

In Russian there is a word "numenclatura". It means people who are in upper management and they are always on the top and always manage. How many times did we see that a fired executive who failed to manage his/her company was hired by another company for the same managing position? They collected their today's bonuses and they know that their friends will always help them to be on top again.

Franklin Evans
March 28, 2008 2:58 PM

Other Jim, I believe I see your point, though some of your hyperbole is, well, um, ahem... but I submit that you are not looking at the right parts of the picture.

No boasting intended, but there is no one outside the bureaucracy that understands Social Security better than I do. There are some things to consider:

1) It was never intended to be a 100% replacement for a person's employment income. Prior to pension reform (ERISA 1974), it made the support burden on the previous generation bearable. After that, it became integrated in retirement planning and helped illustrate flaws. 401(k) and IRAs are two prominent results of that. I was there. I participated in the private discussions during the period prior to their creation, and had a ringside seat for the effects their creation had on retirement cost of living gaps.

2) Retirement planning is not based on raw numbers. It is based on a rational and reasonable analysis of the living expenses after retirement. Our retirement system is not failing; it is "failing" to meet the irrational and unreasonable expectations of a culture that cannot see beyond the more-money and more-things mentality.

Private pensions and Social Security are Very Good Ideas. Don't throw them out with the bathwater because of the squalling infants who mismanage them.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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