This may be counter intuitive, but I think the majority of people owning securities in the form of 401k, mutual funds, IRAs etc. is not necessarily always a good thing. Too many people were unconcerned with bad business practices, lay-offs, and reckless activity on the part of corporations as long as their stock price was going up. As a result we have seen two bubbles pop in less than a decade. Even worse, the pursuit of higher profits, has lead to things like outsourcing, lay-offs and reliance on China. Things that are not in the long term interest of the American middle class. So while your portfolio may have risen, the costs for the future of America have been great.
Joel
March 27, 2008 5:01 PM
Bear Stearns was a party in some $10 trillion (yes, trillion) worth of trades. If they had gone under, every one of those trades would have become suspect. So it is hardly unreasonable for the gov't to keep BS afloat long enough to wind down business in an orderly fashion.
That said, we do need a national discussion regarding how to regulate financial concerns. If the gov't is going to bail them out, it has a responsibility to regulate them.
John E.
March 27, 2008 5:13 PM
>>>But what makes us [conservatives] so willing to disbelieve that concentrating so much unchecked power in the hands of financiers will lead us to paradise?
Perhaps y'all still buy into the idea that material wealth is a sign of God's blessing on that individual, so it stands to reason that the wealthy man must be especially virtuous and wise to have earned God's favor.
BrianF
March 27, 2008 5:20 PM
I agree with Joel, what happened with Bear Stearns prevented a 1929 or worse meltdown. While there are some on this board that would welcome a 1930s style come-uppance upon America, I'm not ready to join them.
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 5:20 PM
No I disagree emphatically, mutual funds, or indeed stock prices are not the problem, the moral hazard in owning these investments is born by the investor. The "bubbles" we have experienced were NOT in pursuit of healthly and licit profits, but in pursuit of irrational and illicit usura vorax not most perniciously in private form but in the form of municipal debts, see the 1944 Aquinas Lecture here: http://www.acu.edu.au/library/find/past_exams,_digital_theses__and__collections/aquinas_memorial_lectures (inaugural event, scroll down to inception of the dated list)
A certain pope, Benedict by name, XIV by number, decried the antidemocratic 4% bond floated by the City of Verona in a local Italian encyclical that 50 years later was applied to the whole Church: Vix Pervenit.
Consider this, we are not shocked that in extremis citizens may be conscripted to defend homeland security, but we would be shocked if we were to have our money conscripted in like fashion? Well, that's what happens when the national debt is sold to China or the United Arab Emirates... the taxes on the income you earn by creative and productive free agency is now the income they earn as interest on the capital your government conscripted to defend you and your families security. What's mutual about that investment risk? NOTHING - the lender is guaranteed a return even if it means your grandchildren are left to pay it...
Sheilagh
March 27, 2008 5:23 PM
"... by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice?"
Mccain.
Matt
March 27, 2008 5:27 PM
Rod: "Here's what I don't get about conservatives. We are able to recognize the danger in Big Government; our understanding of the fallenness of human nature makes us rightly suspicious of the concentration of power in the hands of the state."
An interesting post, and something I'll have to chew on for a while before commenting. But I quibble with the quote above. I think the recent years of government under total Republican control dispels, or at least punches a HUGE dent, in the notion that conservatives "recognize the danger in Big Government."
Sure, there were some naysayers, but for the most part conservatives embraced--or at least condoned--bigger government (including a whole new cabinet position); reckless spending; foolish wartime tax cuts (a first in our Republic); and foolish foreign adventures all in the name of wiping out evil (see Bush's post-9/11 Cathedral address).
It's going to be a long, long time before any conservative can talk about the wickedness of big government with any sort of credibility.
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 5:28 PM
BrianF: while I disagreed with your former point and would wish to join you in you later sentiment, your mistake my vehemence as infidelity to the fiduciary wellbeing of all, that's the key Aristotolean precept behind "free markets" and "just price" - what we have experienced since the dawn of century of global warfare is not increased liberty but diminished liberty - our freedoms have been eroded by rampant secularism under the enlightenments separation of morals from faith. Political ethics are not absolute, the tyranny of relativism reigns supreme in the West. God's absolute truth is Love concommitant with Responsibility, which has sadly been left by the wayside in the rush to prosperity and progress...
Karen Brown
March 27, 2008 5:31 PM
I said what Brian said for years. I also said it in regards to privatizing Social Security, for instance. When everyone is invested, in some way, specifically in corporations and in the stock market, and see it as the one, and the ONLY source for their long term financial security.. then when the market goes down, and it does, EVERYONE is hit, and directly hit, in a way that people could only dream about in, say, the big crash of 29, or even that one in 87, or.. well, name another big crash.
But secondly, (and this may have very well been one of the reasons certain parties wanted it), everyone is personally invested in, pure and simple, the increasing profits of corporations, and it is hard to be objective, in that case, when it comes to the behavior, the means that corporations were using to be that profitable. Not only how immoral, or how unethical, but also how, basically, dishonest. Since, in the end, the profitability of stocks isn't really about how well a business is doing, but how well it is PERCEIVED a business is doing.
But sooner or later, reality strikes in a way even the best number shuffler can't disguise, and hits suddenly, and hits hard. In the form of a bankruptcy, or a buy out, and people are 'taken by surprise' and 'didn't see this coming'. And the taxpayers, and the average Joes are the ones, again, who take the hit, and who pay the bills, or whose jobs are downsized so they can't even pay THEIR bills, to solve the problem.
BrianF
March 27, 2008 5:44 PM
I used to think if more people owned shares in a public company, the better it would be for everyone. Now all the individual investor has accomplished is to provide the capital for these companies to move production to China and their software coding to India. On top of all that all we got out of it in the last 10 years is a market where 10,000 invested in an SP500 index fund in 1998 is still worth about 10,000. So you got that goin' for you, which is nice.
pb
March 27, 2008 5:51 PM
I think the recent years of government under total Republican control dispels, or at least punches a HUGE dent, in the notion that conservatives "recognize the danger in Big Government."
Sure, there were some naysayers, but for the most part conservatives embraced--or at least condoned--bigger government (including a whole new cabinet position); reckless spending; foolish wartime tax cuts (a first in our Republic); and foolish foreign adventures all in the name of wiping out evil (see Bush's post-9/11 Cathedral address).
Let's be fair and not use Republicans and "conservatives" interchangeably. The GOP in recent years is not "conservative" (and arguably has never been so) though it depends on conservatives for its base.
Sheilagh
March 27, 2008 5:51 PM
When I was listening to lectures by a Senior Aide to the Senate Banking Commission in 1990. All he talked about was the push to centralize and consolidate banks. The consensus of the US Gov't was that we needed banks akin to the National banks of other countries in order to be competitive and also to spread risk. Since it'd be unacceptable to create just one national bank, like the Bank of Ireland or the Bank of Scotland, they would allow giant mergers (formerly much more difficult to pass through anti-trust) to consolidate power.
Well they succeeded in doing what they began 18+ years ago. [I'd note that includes a Clinton admin BTW. Perhaps one silenced by the Whitewater and S&L scandals?] But instead of small scale corruption and mismanagement and the multitudinous closures of the early 1990's, now we have it on a national scale. No telling how many years it will take to undo. Regulation is a start but it can't create solvency.
As always I believe the burden will fall primarily on homeowners. How low WILL they go in dropping asking prices on their homes? Those who sell, those who stay, AND those who are forced into foreclosure will ALL be effected - with the worst blows being taken by those with high debt to equity ratios.
This is where a cushion becomes critically important. Save. Save. Save. -In secured CD's. Anticipate. Be prepared as much as you can be for rising costs.
If the Gov't wants to help all of these people in dire straights, they can do more to prevent the anticipated $4.00/gallon gas prices this summer.
It occurs to me that this will be akin to an involuntary Fast on a national level - Hopefully with some of the benefits of Focus. What's really important? What can we do without? And above all, we are never doing this all on our own.
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 5:54 PM
And lest my fondness for the Scholastics leaves me open to the accusation of anti-ecumenism, consider Murray Rothbard (a secular Jew) on the flowering of capitalism in medieval Italy: http://www.mises.org/rothbard/RothbardOnKauder3.pdf
and listen in to a podcast of the first five chapters of his "The Ethics of Liberty" here. He defends the market by means of natural law.
(Oh that we had Jurists who could defend the sanctity of life in the such robust fashion... but sadly our economy is victim to the same activist secularists as our courts, Kyrie eleison)
The whole housing mortgage business has been a creature of government. From tax exemptions, to the FHA, to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, to subsidies for first-time buyers, it's a creature of artifice.
What we have, once again, as with public transportation in New York City, is the socialization of losses. If there are big profits to be made, the fat cats lick their chops; if there are losses to be suffered, the gummint rides to the rescue.
It has been ever thus.
The GOP is not a conservative party in most senses, but the party of Big Capital, which is, as Marx knew, revolutionary. The Dems have become party of the new meritocracy (knowledge workers) and most minorities, but they too long ago made their peace with Big Capital. Each party buys off its less affluent supporters, albeit in different coin.
Lest I be Wright-boated for presenting this negative picture, I don't say "God damn America," but "God have mercy on America." (If Orthodox, repeat 40 times).
Tad
March 27, 2008 6:12 PM
You'd asked how many politicans in the past 25 years could have been elected to office by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice. Well, Ron Paul comes very close. Which makes me think I just might want to move to his district because the people there must have some sense.
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 6:31 PM
BrianF: Sorry but in the last 10 years is a market where 10,000 invested in an SP500 index fund in 1998 is still worth about 10,000. in euros that 10,000 has LOST value, see: https://admin.minyanville.com/assets/FCK_Aug2007/Image/eurospx.jpg by circa 20% - that's a destruction of real purchasing power, mostly under Chairman Greenspan.
As the young African American father, when asked about the price of a gallon of gas on PBS Nightly Business Report, succinctly retorted
"Heck when you have two kids to feed, you're more concerned about a gallon of milk costing $5"
Alicia
March 27, 2008 6:36 PM
Since the global economy is so much more interdependent than it used to be before the world was "flat" many of the financial protections that were put in place after the Great Depression are no longer able to do much.
Will it take another, global, depression for us to acquire the wisdom to put similar financial protections in place? I'm politically moderate, but definitely pro-government regulation. If the government is going to be asked to bail out large Wall Street companies like Bear Sterns to prevent a cascading collapse of the economy, then the government should certainly be working harder to put regulations in place to prevent this from happening in the future.
Steve
March 27, 2008 6:44 PM
Rod, you are being mean and judgmental towards conservatives. :-) Sorry, too much to pass up.
Wasn't it Frum in his last book who asked "Who made Republicans the party that must apologize for the excesses and corruption in every big business crisis?" Im sure I have badly misquoted but the idea is there.
There is a difference between believing in the market and giving those who run it free rein. I just always think of the big pendulum swinging. Too far to either side and things fall apart.
leslie
March 27, 2008 6:48 PM
Free market economists, such as Alan Greenspan, wanted unfettered economic growth without annoying government regulations. Why is everyone surprised at this meltdown?
Sheilagh
March 27, 2008 7:07 PM
Claire;
Something strikes me as fundamentally incorrect in this term "Aristotelian precept behind free markets and just price." Could you elaborate?
Do you mean Aristotle was not about Free Markets? As I recall, in the Nichomachean Ethics, he was much more concerned with the relationships of the family, with the key virtue being phronesis - practical wisdom,the exercise of prudence, the ability to balance rules, the ability to apply the right rule to the right situation, and how the interrelatedness of family members. I can't see Aristotle as a proponent of Free Markets.
Adam Smith's concept of Free Markets was based more on the coolness of Stoicism than the Aristotelian concepts. [Although I would agree that if a little more of the Nichomachean ethic had been applied and a little less of Adam Smith's gospel of the self interest, we'd no doubt be in a better place right now on Wall Street.]
In terms of Justice, distributive and rectificatory here are a couple of good definitions.
"Distributive justice deals with the distribution of wealth or honors among a group of people and should be given according to merit. Rectificatory justice deals with exchanges between two or more people and should always aim at restoring a sense of balance and equality between the people concerned" I see these ideas also as incompatible with the idea of a Free Market.
Off the top of my head, Inflated CEO bonuses run contrary to distributive justice. And rectificatory justice speaks for itself.
I wonder if it would do much good for our country to add a little more phronetic Nicomachean theory into the US financial system?
Does anyone have a sense of when the pursuit/expectation of riches or "financial security" became widespread. I remember complaining in the late 80's about how so many commercials seemed to be portraying every healthy American as a rising business leader or entrepreneur. Trading stocks made you cool. Was that desire marketed to us deliberately? Then our homes became "investments" too, or vehicles for acquiring disposable improvements from Lowes (as an investment). We became "foolish" for fixing what cost only a little more to replace -causing repairmen to disappear and forcing us to become even more of a disposable society. But people don't get rich as repairman, whereas a few do get rich running factories for replacements. Sorry I rambled, but I figured one of you could put all these things together with the main topic on this post for me.
Peter
March 27, 2008 7:19 PM
Sheilagh, in what sense would creating a bank like the bank of Ireland be unacceptable? Afaik BOI is just an ordinary commercial bank and not even the largest in the country.
Anonymous
March 27, 2008 7:29 PM
A half-century of financial regulation did not go out the window 10 days ago. It went out the window on January 20, 2001, when we got our own semi-literate Louis-Phillipe.
V
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 7:53 PM
Leslie: Alan Greenspan cannot be truely considered "free marketeer' since he held the reins to our fiat currency - we need free banking for true free markets (see Ron Paul et al for the details of that political philosophy)
In Exodus the term "lend" (in Hebrew lavah לוה) is not synonymous with the Hebrew term na'sha נשה for "debt price." Loaning involved binding oneself in a social contract to another (etymologically derived from "cleaving" as in conjugal covenants) cf.blueletterbible.org/lang/lexicon/image.cfm?img=1CF19F9C6FFFD068705E61363DE017A42
and freely subjecting oneself to a share in the risk of gains or losses of a fungible asset that would be invested (and consumed) in the enterprise.
Joe Marier
March 27, 2008 7:54 PM
Rod, you should check out Arnold Kling's commentary on the situation at his website. The whole unraveling fits within the Federal Reserve's historic power as lender of last resort, and its possible that taxpayers will end up ahead on the deal (Arnold knows more about mortgage backed securities than I do, and he thinks its possible). The Wall Street Journal also did a whole bunch of commentary (over the last hundred years) about the layers and layers of regulation that help lead to meltdowns like these.
N.B. such banking practices are not to be confused with rentals, since the capital goods in such business transactions are not fungible nor are they consumed in the enterprise. Any title their owner has can be mutually insured to protect himself from loss (as in merchant navigation, by becoming a member of Lloyd's of London).
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 8:12 PM
A fiat currency is a form of usury, or more strongly theft, since the value of the specie used by the citizenry is not in their power to determine (by merit of their subjective yet free marginal utility enterprise, commerce and trade) but is imposed on them by the exacting of interest in exchange for paper currency by the municiple administration (whether monarch or democratically elected public servant).
Sheilagh: Aristotle approved of the concept of subjective utility, paving the way for marginal utility as a means of determining just price in the marketplace. The virtue ethics of Aquinas avails itself of the "subjective" to refer to the "personal" ie that an honest broker will not sin, since he will lose his livelihood. This virtue ethic functions best in subsidiarity mode, ie the risk of corruption of sin is best controlled (I am my brother's keeper) when the exchange is public and between equal partners, not when it becomes secret and unequal (ie when the government presumes to interfere in the proper business of lower levels of competency)
Funny how Gentili's ‘silete theology in munere alieno!’ has been abandoned by the powers that be... they don't like having the tables turned...
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 8:21 PM
Sheilagh, the reason we have "Inflated CEO bonuses run(ning) contrary to distributive justice" is because we have absconded from business - we prefer to work for government and have them worry about our material benefits (insure us from ill health and infirmity in old age). The CEO's can only command such ridiculous sums because no one is equal to them in measuring their marginal utility. Most of us are slothful and prefer to have the fiscal markets earn us a dividend and a pension, and let the fiscal market players decide what the "price for hire" is for the labor of the "gambler of last resort". We have only ourselves to blame....
Karen Brown
March 27, 2008 8:23 PM
As the young African American father, when asked about the price of a gallon of gas on PBS Nightly Business Report, succinctly retorted
"Heck when you have two kids to feed, you're more concerned about a gallon of milk costing $5"
Unfortunately, the price of that gallon of gas is directly related to the price of that gallon of milk. And everything else. If there is one product out there whose price directly affects the price of every other good and service out there, it is oil.
Sheilagh
March 27, 2008 8:27 PM
Eighteen years may have fuzzed my memory. Hopefully not beyond recognition.:)
Can't recall how Bank of Ireland fits, except that at the time it had just purchased the Bank of NH.
His point was. . .
There were countries with large centralized National banks that provided better economies of scale. The US couldn't get their free market banking system down to one bank. But they could merge banks to create larger entities. And they could loosen restrictions on interstate banking and merging. Which I believe is what they did.
The language on banks is a little fuzzy too. I don't mean central banks like the EU central banks which are on par with the fed.
"What I don't get is how come the Wall Street gang gets to take home multimillion-dollar bonuses based on short-term profits made with reckless, risky investments ... but when those investments go bad, the US taxpayer has to bail them out."
1. You realize that a lot of those short-term profits are paid out in the form of stock options, which become worthless if the stock price happens to tank. A call option with a $70 dollar strike price is worth essentially zero, when JP Morgan buys you up for $2 (or $10). Many of Bear's employees lost pretty large amounts (both in absolute terms and as a percentage of their net worth). For example, former Bear Stearns chairman James Cayne lost some $978 million out of $993 million (those figures predate JPM's second offer at ~$10, so Cayne's holdings must have appreciated somewhat, but his losses are still huge). Now, I am not shedding any tears for him, or for anyone else at Bear Stearns, but the idea that they are somehow insulated from the effects of their own reckless behavior is not entirely true. This isn't a bad thing of course, its whats supposed to happen if the company you run goes under.
2. Bear wasn't insolvent before its counter parties started withdrawing funds and drained the company's $18 Billion cushion in the week before its collapse. If Bear Stearns where a bank rather than a broker, that would have been an old fashioned bank run.
3. It may not be pretty, but Bear couldnt be allowed to fail. It was a party to $10 trillion in trades, and had Bear failed... well I cant even imagine that. But the chaos that would have ensued would have been an order of magnitude greater than anything since the great depression. The Fed's exposure is only $29 billion (JP Morgan put up $1 billion for a total of 30, and under the terms of the agreement JPM would incur the first $1 billion in losses, with anything thereafter borne by the Fed).
Even if 100% of that money where lost, thats $96.67 per American citizen, 0.2% of US GDP or 1.2% of the Federal Budget. Can anyone honestly argue that the deeper recession that would have followed had Bear defaulted would have been less costly than that? Further, all of the $29 billion wont be lost since the Fed has a 10 yr. window for the assets to appreciate: the assets that Bear pledged against the Fed's guarantee aren't worthless, they are just completely illiquid in current conditions. But sometime in the future liquidity will return to the credit markets, and the Fed will be able to recoup some money out of those securities (of course, it will be less than the nominal value of $29 billion).
That said, banks seem to have grown too large for their own good, and some additional regulation is definitely necessary, and not just for the banks. The entire real estate industry needs to have its regulations reviewed, along with a healthy dose of fraud prosecutions.
Sheilagh
March 27, 2008 8:49 PM
This would be the organization that controls and regulates National Banks in the US. The comptroller is appointed by the President with approval of the Senate. I believe it is here that mergers are allowed or disallowed, and financial solvency is audited for over 2/3 of the nation's deposited assets.
Large Banks Office
250 E Street, SW
Washington, DC 20219-0001
(202) 874-4890
Responsible for the largest national banks including Bank of America Corporation, Banknorth Group, Inc., Barclays Global Investors, Charter One Financial Inc., Citigroup, Inc., First Horizon National Corporation, Harris Bank, Hibernia Corporation, HSBC Group, Huntington Bancshares, Inc., J.P. Morgan Chase & Company, KeyCorp, LaSalle Bank Corporation, MBNA Corporation, Mellon Financial Corporation, National City Corporation, National Commerce Financial Corporation, The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc., Treasury Bank, U.S. Bancorp, Union Planters Corporation, UnionBanCal Corporation, Wachovia Corporation, Wells Fargo & Company, and Zions Bancorporation.
Large Banks Office
250 E Street, SW
Washington, DC 20219-0001
(202) 874-4890
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 9:13 PM
Karen: "If there is one product out there whose price directly affects the price of every other good and service out there, it is oil. " and we learnt that lesson under Jimmy Carter, so why are we still in the same place 30 years later?
Why did we let the oilmen continue operating their cartel?
Avery Lovins and his wife co-authored a great book with the brother of postWWII German Chancellor Von Weisaecker, and published it in German in 1995, where I first read it when I was working for a large American multinational. The positive message in the appeal to man's creative agency made by these modern defenders of entrepreneurship and global stewardship (in good Christian fashion, the von Weisaeckers were Lutherans I believe) was recognized by the British who published an English edition two years later.
The book "Factor Four -- Doubling Wealth, Halving Resource Use" http://weizsaecker.bawue.spd.de/main.php?docid=0003000000&id=10
has never been published in America. Our industries are more than a decade behind Europe in crossing the chasm to new technology, new markets, new wealth from a second Industrial Revolution focusing on the strategic increase of resource productivity. N.B. Factor Four has been translated into Chinese....
John E.
March 27, 2008 9:13 PM
>>>
You'd asked how many politicans in the past 25 years could have been elected to office by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice. Well, Ron Paul comes very close. Which makes me think I just might want to move to his district because the people there must have some sense.
Posted by: Tad | March 27, 2008 6:12 PM
>>>
His constituents have plenty of sense - they keep re-electing him because he makes sure they get every last bit of government money that they are entitled to under the government programs he rails and votes against.
And to guage how much debt the "gambler's of last resort" might dump on our doorsteps consider the wagers the banks have placed to avoid getting an education in commerce and trade (those ballooning bubbles are their increases in one fiscal year, my friends):
When Bear Stears' stock price fell from $150 to the current offer of $10/share, something like $20 billion worth of investors' money vanished -- poof!
Nobody's bailing out those unhappy owners -- many of whom were those very traders, I understand.
Joe Marier
March 27, 2008 9:44 PM
A third of BSC stock was owned by employees.
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 9:58 PM
And consider how the growth in these same credit instruments: www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2008/03/23/business/20080323_HOW_CREDIT_GRAPHIC.html
mimics the shape of the M3 money supply curve (institutional time-deposits, the repo rate credit the Fed offers commercial banks) www.nowandfutures.com/images/m3b.png
(note the Fed stop publishing this number, this chart is an estimate of the website authors complied with current data still made public.
In true "free" banking the physical currency supply (M1 central bank money, minted or printed in exchange for gold deposits) would match the commercial bank money (M2 and M3 supplied as loans on those deposits). But in fractional reserve banking this is NOT the case, the lender can loan out multiples of the reserve deposited (one dollar deposited can allow a bank to create at least eight dollars of money). But worse still is a fractional reserve banking system NOT based on gold deposits - here money is created out of thin air as a function of the Fed's repo rate.
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 10:01 PM
Currently the company is worth less than their former boss's last pay check...
Clare Krishan
March 27, 2008 10:12 PM
Sorry, I see Cayne waited to unload his stake in Bear Stearns until the deal was sweetened from $2 ($236 million market cap) to $10. So my 10.01 claim no longer holds.
Brian Horan
March 27, 2008 10:13 PM
"What I don't get is how come the Wall Street gang gets to take home multimillion-dollar bonuses based on short-term profits made with reckless, risky investments ... but when those investments go bad, the US taxpayer has to bail them out."
These are the corporate guys that wholly own the Republican party and are well on their way to buying out the Democrats.
We're bailing out the Iraq War Contractors, one formerly headed by Dick Cheney by staying in Iraq. Let's face it: If we stay fifty more years they're gonna have a civil war. Dick Cheney's company at one point in the Iraq orgy (more than a year ago) was only giving us 50cents back on every Federal Dollar spent and they're still contracting now. If that's not a pork bail-out, well call me James Dobson.
Donny (aka Republican lightfoot) Rumsfeld's only coporate accomplishment was Nutrasweet outside of government.
Condi Rice was an exec for Exon Mobile in the Middle East.
Bush had several flopping oil ventures of which he was the CEO funded by the bin Laden family so his dad wouldn't lose out on a gravy train.
The Wall Street Gang became it's own police force. Why do you think that Bush really believes polluters can regulate themselves?
What's sad is that the same people that are completely fixated on Wright are the ones that fell for all this. They're brainwashed with suburban 401K consumer culture and Hollywood Republican blood lust. And to boot, they're a powerful voting block that eats whatever Rush, FOX news, Pat Robertson, John Hagee, and other knee-jerk media feed 'em.
How many politicians of either party could have hoped to have been elected to national office over the past quarter century by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice?
Rush, FOX news, Pat Robertson, John Hagee, and other knee-jerk media try and make sure they can get another one of their own in.
Jerry Falwell helped bring down our first openly born-again president, Jimmy Carter. James Dobson and the new neo-Puritans will do their best. How else is Pat Robertson gonna do business with brutal dictators like Charles Taylor and wish death on Israeli moderates?
Sheilagh
March 27, 2008 10:16 PM
Interesting Chart.
Those balloons cover credit default swap increases of 5 of the top 25 banks. Serious times.
Missed your earlier post Claire. I'll have to check into the idea that subjective utility paved the way for marginal just price. I follow Aquinas' ethics and agree. But I'm not aware of the stretch in Aristotle's own work on the concept of justice and what constitutes a just price. It seems to be misconstrued. Aristotle would be more of a corrective to the current situation.
I'm fairly certain the Stoic patterns were the basis of Adam Smith and the Free Market and Aristotle's models were interpersonal. I don't see that there are any Aristotolean(sic) precepts behind "free markets" and "just price" But I'll look.
And on the point of distributive justice, not to be contrary, but it's not 'We' who've absconded. Rather it's the government that's abdicated its responsibility to protect stockholders who should receive those just distributions. :)
Rod Dreher
March 27, 2008 11:01 PM
Jerry Falwell helped bring down our first openly born-again president, Jimmy Carter.
Well, that's at least one good dead Revvum Falwell performed in his life, bless his heart.
Brian Horan
March 28, 2008 12:09 AM
Quoted from Rod:
"As I'm fond of asking: How many politicians of either party could have hoped to have been elected to national office over the past quarter century by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice?"
I'm just curious Rod, do you think Carter was honest? I studied business and from Econ. - I gather that the Carter folks miscalculated on factors that led to inflation.
But, Carter asked us to sacrifice. Heck, he had solar panels on White House grounds. He's done as much for peace as some Bush Administration folks and supporters have done for war.
Al Gore asked us to sacrifice, and yeah the polar ice caps are really melting.
Qouted from Rod again:
"A friend of mine who's a Catholic priest says he's fully aware of the weakness and corruption of the priesthood today, but it's a mistake to imagine that priests are minted in a factory in the Vatican's basement; they are human beings who are produced by the culture they serve, and as such reflect the strengths and weaknesses of that culture. Similarly, I'd say, we can say the same about politicians."
Well we did have a GOP congressman chasing pubescent teens. But I wouldn't go as far as to say that society accepts molesting kids.
Brian Horan
March 28, 2008 9:30 AM
Rod,
I think your Catholic priest friend has it wrong. I don't even think most pornographers would cover up molestations to save their institution.
Rod Dreher
March 28, 2008 9:43 AM
Brian, he wasn't talking about the molestation scandal per se; he was talking about how Catholics complain about the quality of the spiritual leadership of their priests.
And Brian, I actually praise Carter's "malaise" speech in "Crunchy Cons." But there's a difference between having your heart in the right place, and knowing how to govern. Yes?
Franklin Evans
March 28, 2008 9:45 AM
An excellent discussion, to the details of which I have little to add, so I'll break with personal tradition and offer a short post. ;-)
"Power corrupts, and absolute power corrupts absolutely."
I believe we (humans) have learned that this is inadequate, and should be supplemented by something a bit more subtle, but of greater consequence.
"Power attracts the corruptable."
I encountered this concept in Frank Herbert's "Chapterhouse Dune":
All governments suffer a recurring problem: Power attracts pathological personalities. It is not that power corrupts but that it is magnetic to the corruptable. Such people have a tendency to become drunk on violence, a condition to which they are quickly addicted.
Our substance addiction is money, not violence, though one can easily lead to the other.
ChuckDFW
March 28, 2008 10:02 AM
If these Wall Streeters are going to be able to count on public money to bail their private butts out when they get themselves in a crack…
Hmmm. Interesting metaphors there :}
If I were a highly partisan liberal, I might be tempted to say “WE TOLD YOU SO!”. But I’m not.
Constructively, did you read/hear Obama’s speech today? I think there’s much that you could relate to from a ‘rethinking conservatism’ perspective.
This loss has not happened by accident. It's because of decisions made in boardrooms, on trading floors and in Washington. Under Republican and Democratic Administrations, we failed to guard against practices that all too often rewarded financial manipulation instead of productivity and sound business practices. We let the special interests put their thumbs on the economic scales. The result has been a distorted market that creates bubbles instead of steady, sustainable growth; a market that favors Wall Street over Main Street, but ends up hurting both.
…
Ironically, it was in reaction to the high taxes and some of the outmoded structures of the New Deal that both individuals and institutions began pushing for changes to this regulatory structure. But instead of sensible reform that rewarded success and freed the creative forces of the market, too often we've excused and even embraced an ethic of greed, corner cutting and inside dealing that has always threatened the long-term stability of our economic system. Too often, we've lost that common stake in each other's prosperity.
Let me be clear: the American economy does not stand still, and neither should the rules that govern it. The evolution of industries often warrants regulatory reform – to foster competition, lower prices, or replace outdated oversight structures. Old institutions cannot adequately oversee new practices. Old rules may not fit the roads where our economy is leading. There were good arguments for changing the rules of the road in the 1990s. Our economy was undergoing a fundamental shift, carried along by the swift currents of technological change and globalization. For the sake of our common prosperity, we needed to adapt to keep markets competitive and fair.
Unfortunately, instead of establishing a 21st century regulatory framework, we simply dismantled the old one – aided by a legal but corrupt bargain in which campaign money all too often shaped policy and watered down oversight. In doing so, we encouraged a winner take all, anything goes environment that helped foster devastating dislocations in our economy.
Hear, hear!
Marian Neudel
March 28, 2008 11:21 AM
I would like to go even further than Obama, by calling for a moratorium on the use of the term "The Economy." The economy is an amalgam of the decisions of human beings. If we insist on treating it as a singular noun, let's at least go back to our biblical roots and call it Moloch.
Sheilagh
March 28, 2008 12:01 PM
Obama's working the phronesis angle. Very good. :)
Franklin Evans
March 28, 2008 12:38 PM
V, I'm as unhappy with Bush as you could possibly ask, but your metaphor ignores (by implication) the fact that it was the foxes who designed and built the chicken houses. In my first career, I spoke with some of them. :-( This is not something to blame Bush for without seeing his place at the end of a long line of foxes from both parties.
Clare Krishan
March 28, 2008 12:39 PM
Beware of wolves in sheeps clothing, Obama may talk the talk but can he walk the walk?
The newly inaugurated Washington Nationals Park provides an excellent example of the public fleecing of our private purses in the municiple shell game favored by the top levels of the subsidiarity pyramid. Explore the seating arrangements at www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/sports/specials/natspark/?hpid=artslot : from a $335 zero-pitch plate perspective for the well-healed, up to a 75-degree pitched perch with the seagulls for $5. To me (uninitiated baseball non-spectator that I am) this smacks of rank extortion: ticket holders have already paid for the stadium
The city is seeking assurances that baseball will help meet construction cost overruns. Officials also want a $24 million letter of credit from baseball, guaranteeing lease payments in case a terrorist attack or natural disaster renders the new stadium useless for up to four years. The city says the letter is a requirement to obtain investment-level grades for $535 million in bonds that will be sold to finance construction."
The privately owned teams get to skim the cream (privatized gains) while the masses get to wipe up any spilled milk (socialized losses). It's a classic modus operandi of all 'protestant' work ethic, labor-value, Ponzi schemes, aka Roman Empire "bread and circuses" for the hoi polloi, the proles.
Sheilagh: re Aristotle and subjective utility, may I point you back to the link in my 5:54 post of yesterday (Rothbard on Kauder.pdf) strongly recommending Emil Kauder’s researches into the Aristotelian background, and his thesis that the Northern European anti-mystical-papist prejudices of Adam Smith et al “Retarded Acceptance of the Marginal Utility Theory” :
"...Catholics influenced by the Scholastics.. their economics was generally individualist methodologically, and stressed utility theory, consumers’ sovereignty and market pricing, and that Smith really set back economic thought by injecting the purely British doctrine of the labor theory of value, thus throwing economics off the sound track for a hundred years. Here I might add that the labor theory of value has had many bad consequences. It, of course, paved the way, quite logically, for Marx. Secondly, its emphasis on “costs determining prices” has encouraged the view that businessmen push up prices or that unions push up prices, rather than governmental inflation of the money supply. Third, its emphasis on “objective, inherent value” in goods led to “scientistic” attempts to measure values, to stabilize them by government manipulation, etc. "
[my emphasis in boldface]
DavidTC
March 28, 2008 12:39 PM
I think we all know what the real problem here is, the thing that the Republicans are avoiding saying:
The Democrats lost in 2004.
See, Kerry was supposed to win. He was supposed to be blamed for the mortgage disaster, he was supposed to be blamed for the forthcoming economic meltdown. He, of course, would be at fault, because he would have triggered it in 2005 or 2006, as soon as he figured out what was going on, because the sooner the insanity ended, the better for everyone.
And Katrina would have happened as Kerry was attempting to rebuild FEMA and the entire Federal government after Bush, and been handled somewhat poorly and Kerry would have gotten all the blame for it.
Also, Kerry was supposed to be blamed for the growing civil war in Iraq, and be blamed for 'losing' it when he cut our loses in 2006 or so as it became immensely unpopular.
The warrantless wiretaps should have never been uncovered until long after they ended.
Come on. Tell me I'm wrong. Tell me that isn't exactly what would have happened under a Democrat president. Or under a Democrat Congress, for that matter.
It's happened time and time and time again. Reckless spending, reckless economic control, reckless deregulation, reckless wars, all under Republicans, and the Democrats step in and get blamed for the whole mess.
But this time God smiled on the Democrats and caused them to lose in 2004. Thus exposing the actual problem.
Clare Krishan
March 28, 2008 2:15 PM
Sheilagh I agree with you when you identify that the key to a reform of our political discourse is "interpersonal" we suffer a surfeit of individual rights divorced from personal duty. But I fail to follow you here:
"not to be contrary, but it's not 'We' who've absconded."
Why should a stakeholder need a nanny state to protect himself from the unjust distributions of capital gains? He has a vote on the corporate governance of the enterprise he choses to invest in (or if he is an indirect investor, he can elect to drop that stake from his mutual fund portfolio). Are we to assume my taxes are to be used to bail out your imprudence?
"Rather it's the government that's abdicated its responsibility to protect stockholders who should receive those just distributions. :)
I would concede an argument that the nanny state may need to stand in for those folks confined to endure what passed for an education in our failing public schools in the last half century, as Ron Paul proposes, a large number of citizens are invincibly ignorant. Their capacity for risk assessment has been irreversibly handicapped, thus they have not the courage of their convictions to command a just price for their creative agency, and their understanding of interpersonal responsibility is practically nonexistent. Such are the victims of the fear-mongers par exellence that masquerade as our current political leaders.
Other Jim
March 28, 2008 2:19 PM
Economic Security. That's is what we've bought, and we now have neither economic liberty nor economic security. Franklin warned against it, but people were so scared during the Depression that they elected a quasi-tyrant who passed all manner of economic security programs. Social Security, Medicare, and the myriad regulatory agencies all serve one purpose: to buy security. The Federal Reserve has a similiar origin, to prevent crises in the banking sector.
People are genuinely scared of freedom in all forms, and when you start talking about a truly free market people get panicky. I think it is similar to peoples' fear of flying: we don't like the idea that no one is in control, that we can be at the mercy of unknown forces. But unlike a plane, no one can pilot the economy. Even the Federal Reserve has no idea what is happening and they have said so in speeches. The best information they have comes months after things have happened, and even with that info they cannot predict the future.
There are many Americans who really believe that if Social Security was abolished (for youunger workers, obviously older folks do rely on it), most people wouldn't save for retirement. That if Medicare was abolished or people bought their own health insurance, instead of through their employer, that people wouldn't have healthcare. That if the government didn't pay for schools, no one would be educated. That if the Federal Reserve didn't exist, our financial markets would fail. Well, our retirement system is failing. Millions of Americans don't have healthcare, costs are skyrocketing, and the program delivering healthcare for retirees is failing. A large minority of children in America aren't educated. And our financial markets just failed. There is no difference between the inner city school that has a 10% literacy rate and what happened to Bear Stearns. The cause is one and the same.
Alex
March 28, 2008 2:28 PM
Why everybody is so surpised about this real estate market crash. What is a mortgage? It is a loan secured by a collateral. These loans were knowingly given to people who could not repay them and the collateral went down in value. I do not blame people for their stupid decisions. I blame banks for giving loans to them. Will you as an individual lend money to somebody who can not repay it? Of course not. But we are talking about today's fees and today's bonuses for the top executives. Who cares what will happen tomorrow.
In Russian there is a word "numenclatura". It means people who are in upper management and they are always on the top and always manage. How many times did we see that a fired executive who failed to manage his/her company was hired by another company for the same managing position? They collected their today's bonuses and they know that their friends will always help them to be on top again.
Franklin Evans
March 28, 2008 2:58 PM
Other Jim, I believe I see your point, though some of your hyperbole is, well, um, ahem... but I submit that you are not looking at the right parts of the picture.
No boasting intended, but there is no one outside the bureaucracy that understands Social Security better than I do. There are some things to consider:
1) It was never intended to be a 100% replacement for a person's employment income. Prior to pension reform (ERISA 1974), it made the support burden on the previous generation bearable. After that, it became integrated in retirement planning and helped illustrate flaws. 401(k) and IRAs are two prominent results of that. I was there. I participated in the private discussions during the period prior to their creation, and had a ringside seat for the effects their creation had on retirement cost of living gaps.
2) Retirement planning is not based on raw numbers. It is based on a rational and reasonable analysis of the living expenses after retirement. Our retirement system is not failing; it is "failing" to meet the irrational and unreasonable expectations of a culture that cannot see beyond the more-money and more-things mentality.
Private pensions and Social Security are Very Good Ideas. Don't throw them out with the bathwater because of the squalling infants who mismanage them.
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Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.
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This may be counter intuitive, but I think the majority of people owning securities in the form of 401k, mutual funds, IRAs etc. is not necessarily always a good thing. Too many people were unconcerned with bad business practices, lay-offs, and reckless activity on the part of corporations as long as their stock price was going up. As a result we have seen two bubbles pop in less than a decade. Even worse, the pursuit of higher profits, has lead to things like outsourcing, lay-offs and reliance on China. Things that are not in the long term interest of the American middle class. So while your portfolio may have risen, the costs for the future of America have been great.
Bear Stearns was a party in some $10 trillion (yes, trillion) worth of trades. If they had gone under, every one of those trades would have become suspect. So it is hardly unreasonable for the gov't to keep BS afloat long enough to wind down business in an orderly fashion.
That said, we do need a national discussion regarding how to regulate financial concerns. If the gov't is going to bail them out, it has a responsibility to regulate them.
>>>But what makes us [conservatives] so willing to disbelieve that concentrating so much unchecked power in the hands of financiers will lead us to paradise?
Perhaps y'all still buy into the idea that material wealth is a sign of God's blessing on that individual, so it stands to reason that the wealthy man must be especially virtuous and wise to have earned God's favor.
I agree with Joel, what happened with Bear Stearns prevented a 1929 or worse meltdown. While there are some on this board that would welcome a 1930s style come-uppance upon America, I'm not ready to join them.
No I disagree emphatically, mutual funds, or indeed stock prices are not the problem, the moral hazard in owning these investments is born by the investor. The "bubbles" we have experienced were NOT in pursuit of healthly and licit profits, but in pursuit of irrational and illicit usura vorax not most perniciously in private form but in the form of municipal debts, see the 1944 Aquinas Lecture here: http://www.acu.edu.au/library/find/past_exams,_digital_theses__and__collections/aquinas_memorial_lectures (inaugural event, scroll down to inception of the dated list)
A certain pope, Benedict by name, XIV by number, decried the antidemocratic 4% bond floated by the City of Verona in a local Italian encyclical that 50 years later was applied to the whole Church: Vix Pervenit.
Consider this, we are not shocked that in extremis citizens may be conscripted to defend homeland security, but we would be shocked if we were to have our money conscripted in like fashion? Well, that's what happens when the national debt is sold to China or the United Arab Emirates... the taxes on the income you earn by creative and productive free agency is now the income they earn as interest on the capital your government conscripted to defend you and your families security. What's mutual about that investment risk? NOTHING - the lender is guaranteed a return even if it means your grandchildren are left to pay it...
"... by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice?"
Mccain.
Rod: "Here's what I don't get about conservatives. We are able to recognize the danger in Big Government; our understanding of the fallenness of human nature makes us rightly suspicious of the concentration of power in the hands of the state."
An interesting post, and something I'll have to chew on for a while before commenting. But I quibble with the quote above. I think the recent years of government under total Republican control dispels, or at least punches a HUGE dent, in the notion that conservatives "recognize the danger in Big Government."
Sure, there were some naysayers, but for the most part conservatives embraced--or at least condoned--bigger government (including a whole new cabinet position); reckless spending; foolish wartime tax cuts (a first in our Republic); and foolish foreign adventures all in the name of wiping out evil (see Bush's post-9/11 Cathedral address).
It's going to be a long, long time before any conservative can talk about the wickedness of big government with any sort of credibility.
BrianF: while I disagreed with your former point and would wish to join you in you later sentiment, your mistake my vehemence as infidelity to the fiduciary wellbeing of all, that's the key Aristotolean precept behind "free markets" and "just price" - what we have experienced since the dawn of century of global warfare is not increased liberty but diminished liberty - our freedoms have been eroded by rampant secularism under the enlightenments separation of morals from faith. Political ethics are not absolute, the tyranny of relativism reigns supreme in the West. God's absolute truth is Love concommitant with Responsibility, which has sadly been left by the wayside in the rush to prosperity and progress...
I said what Brian said for years. I also said it in regards to privatizing Social Security, for instance. When everyone is invested, in some way, specifically in corporations and in the stock market, and see it as the one, and the ONLY source for their long term financial security.. then when the market goes down, and it does, EVERYONE is hit, and directly hit, in a way that people could only dream about in, say, the big crash of 29, or even that one in 87, or.. well, name another big crash.
But secondly, (and this may have very well been one of the reasons certain parties wanted it), everyone is personally invested in, pure and simple, the increasing profits of corporations, and it is hard to be objective, in that case, when it comes to the behavior, the means that corporations were using to be that profitable. Not only how immoral, or how unethical, but also how, basically, dishonest. Since, in the end, the profitability of stocks isn't really about how well a business is doing, but how well it is PERCEIVED a business is doing.
But sooner or later, reality strikes in a way even the best number shuffler can't disguise, and hits suddenly, and hits hard. In the form of a bankruptcy, or a buy out, and people are 'taken by surprise' and 'didn't see this coming'. And the taxpayers, and the average Joes are the ones, again, who take the hit, and who pay the bills, or whose jobs are downsized so they can't even pay THEIR bills, to solve the problem.
I used to think if more people owned shares in a public company, the better it would be for everyone. Now all the individual investor has accomplished is to provide the capital for these companies to move production to China and their software coding to India. On top of all that all we got out of it in the last 10 years is a market where 10,000 invested in an SP500 index fund in 1998 is still worth about 10,000. So you got that goin' for you, which is nice.
I think the recent years of government under total Republican control dispels, or at least punches a HUGE dent, in the notion that conservatives "recognize the danger in Big Government."
Sure, there were some naysayers, but for the most part conservatives embraced--or at least condoned--bigger government (including a whole new cabinet position); reckless spending; foolish wartime tax cuts (a first in our Republic); and foolish foreign adventures all in the name of wiping out evil (see Bush's post-9/11 Cathedral address).
Let's be fair and not use Republicans and "conservatives" interchangeably. The GOP in recent years is not "conservative" (and arguably has never been so) though it depends on conservatives for its base.
When I was listening to lectures by a Senior Aide to the Senate Banking Commission in 1990. All he talked about was the push to centralize and consolidate banks. The consensus of the US Gov't was that we needed banks akin to the National banks of other countries in order to be competitive and also to spread risk. Since it'd be unacceptable to create just one national bank, like the Bank of Ireland or the Bank of Scotland, they would allow giant mergers (formerly much more difficult to pass through anti-trust) to consolidate power.
Well they succeeded in doing what they began 18+ years ago. [I'd note that includes a Clinton admin BTW. Perhaps one silenced by the Whitewater and S&L scandals?] But instead of small scale corruption and mismanagement and the multitudinous closures of the early 1990's, now we have it on a national scale. No telling how many years it will take to undo. Regulation is a start but it can't create solvency.
As always I believe the burden will fall primarily on homeowners. How low WILL they go in dropping asking prices on their homes? Those who sell, those who stay, AND those who are forced into foreclosure will ALL be effected - with the worst blows being taken by those with high debt to equity ratios.
This is where a cushion becomes critically important. Save. Save. Save. -In secured CD's. Anticipate. Be prepared as much as you can be for rising costs.
If the Gov't wants to help all of these people in dire straights, they can do more to prevent the anticipated $4.00/gallon gas prices this summer.
It occurs to me that this will be akin to an involuntary Fast on a national level - Hopefully with some of the benefits of Focus. What's really important? What can we do without? And above all, we are never doing this all on our own.
And lest my fondness for the Scholastics leaves me open to the accusation of anti-ecumenism, consider Murray Rothbard (a secular Jew) on the flowering of capitalism in medieval Italy: http://www.mises.org/rothbard/RothbardOnKauder3.pdf
and listen in to a podcast of the first five chapters of his "The Ethics of Liberty" here. He defends the market by means of natural law.
(Oh that we had Jurists who could defend the sanctity of life in the such robust fashion... but sadly our economy is victim to the same activist secularists as our courts, Kyrie eleison)
oops mussing citation to podcasts: http://www.mises.org/story/2426
The whole housing mortgage business has been a creature of government. From tax exemptions, to the FHA, to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, to subsidies for first-time buyers, it's a creature of artifice.
What we have, once again, as with public transportation in New York City, is the socialization of losses. If there are big profits to be made, the fat cats lick their chops; if there are losses to be suffered, the gummint rides to the rescue.
It has been ever thus.
The GOP is not a conservative party in most senses, but the party of Big Capital, which is, as Marx knew, revolutionary. The Dems have become party of the new meritocracy (knowledge workers) and most minorities, but they too long ago made their peace with Big Capital. Each party buys off its less affluent supporters, albeit in different coin.
Lest I be Wright-boated for presenting this negative picture, I don't say "God damn America," but "God have mercy on America." (If Orthodox, repeat 40 times).
You'd asked how many politicans in the past 25 years could have been elected to office by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice. Well, Ron Paul comes very close. Which makes me think I just might want to move to his district because the people there must have some sense.
BrianF: Sorry but in the last 10 years is a market where 10,000 invested in an SP500 index fund in 1998 is still worth about 10,000. in euros that 10,000 has LOST value, see: https://admin.minyanville.com/assets/FCK_Aug2007/Image/eurospx.jpg by circa 20% - that's a destruction of real purchasing power, mostly under Chairman Greenspan.
As the young African American father, when asked about the price of a gallon of gas on PBS Nightly Business Report, succinctly retorted
Since the global economy is so much more interdependent than it used to be before the world was "flat" many of the financial protections that were put in place after the Great Depression are no longer able to do much.
Will it take another, global, depression for us to acquire the wisdom to put similar financial protections in place? I'm politically moderate, but definitely pro-government regulation. If the government is going to be asked to bail out large Wall Street companies like Bear Sterns to prevent a cascading collapse of the economy, then the government should certainly be working harder to put regulations in place to prevent this from happening in the future.
Rod, you are being mean and judgmental towards conservatives. :-) Sorry, too much to pass up.
Wasn't it Frum in his last book who asked "Who made Republicans the party that must apologize for the excesses and corruption in every big business crisis?" Im sure I have badly misquoted but the idea is there.
There is a difference between believing in the market and giving those who run it free rein. I just always think of the big pendulum swinging. Too far to either side and things fall apart.
Free market economists, such as Alan Greenspan, wanted unfettered economic growth without annoying government regulations. Why is everyone surprised at this meltdown?
Claire;
Something strikes me as fundamentally incorrect in this term "Aristotelian precept behind free markets and just price." Could you elaborate?
Do you mean Aristotle was not about Free Markets? As I recall, in the Nichomachean Ethics, he was much more concerned with the relationships of the family, with the key virtue being phronesis - practical wisdom,the exercise of prudence, the ability to balance rules, the ability to apply the right rule to the right situation, and how the interrelatedness of family members. I can't see Aristotle as a proponent of Free Markets.
Adam Smith's concept of Free Markets was based more on the coolness of Stoicism than the Aristotelian concepts. [Although I would agree that if a little more of the Nichomachean ethic had been applied and a little less of Adam Smith's gospel of the self interest, we'd no doubt be in a better place right now on Wall Street.]
In terms of Justice, distributive and rectificatory here are a couple of good definitions.
"Distributive justice deals with the distribution of wealth or honors among a group of people and should be given according to merit. Rectificatory justice deals with exchanges between two or more people and should always aim at restoring a sense of balance and equality between the people concerned" I see these ideas also as incompatible with the idea of a Free Market.
Off the top of my head, Inflated CEO bonuses run contrary to distributive justice. And rectificatory justice speaks for itself.
I wonder if it would do much good for our country to add a little more phronetic Nicomachean theory into the US financial system?
What would a Nico-Smith write?
Pax
Here's the link for my quote.
http://www.sparknotes.com/philosophy/ethics/summary.html
But would we really be happy? :)
[Aristotle's goal]
Spelling - It's Nicomachean.
Does anyone have a sense of when the pursuit/expectation of riches or "financial security" became widespread. I remember complaining in the late 80's about how so many commercials seemed to be portraying every healthy American as a rising business leader or entrepreneur. Trading stocks made you cool. Was that desire marketed to us deliberately? Then our homes became "investments" too, or vehicles for acquiring disposable improvements from Lowes (as an investment). We became "foolish" for fixing what cost only a little more to replace -causing repairmen to disappear and forcing us to become even more of a disposable society. But people don't get rich as repairman, whereas a few do get rich running factories for replacements. Sorry I rambled, but I figured one of you could put all these things together with the main topic on this post for me.
Sheilagh, in what sense would creating a bank like the bank of Ireland be unacceptable? Afaik BOI is just an ordinary commercial bank and not even the largest in the country.
A half-century of financial regulation did not go out the window 10 days ago. It went out the window on January 20, 2001, when we got our own semi-literate Louis-Phillipe.
V
Leslie: Alan Greenspan cannot be truely considered "free marketeer' since he held the reins to our fiat currency - we need free banking for true free markets (see Ron Paul et al for the details of that political philosophy)
In Exodus the term "lend" (in Hebrew lavah לוה) is not synonymous with the Hebrew term na'sha נשה for "debt price." Loaning involved binding oneself in a social contract to another (etymologically derived from "cleaving" as in conjugal covenants) cf.blueletterbible.org/lang/lexicon/image.cfm?img=1CF19F9C6FFFD068705E61363DE017A42
and freely subjecting oneself to a share in the risk of gains or losses of a fungible asset that would be invested (and consumed) in the enterprise.
Rod, you should check out Arnold Kling's commentary on the situation at his website. The whole unraveling fits within the Federal Reserve's historic power as lender of last resort, and its possible that taxpayers will end up ahead on the deal (Arnold knows more about mortgage backed securities than I do, and he thinks its possible). The Wall Street Journal also did a whole bunch of commentary (over the last hundred years) about the layers and layers of regulation that help lead to meltdowns like these.
Usury has no such claim to common good "societas," for the risk of consumption of the fungible in the enterprise is NOT carried freely by both, but "exacted" http://cf.blueletterbible.org/lang/lexicon/image.cfm?img=059E65EBD08CDD0D5FA9CC90AAD7020C5
from one in imposition of bondage on the other's productive or creative agency.
In Deuteronomy the term "creditor" is a much stronger Hebrew word
bah'al בעל possessor, husband, master, Lord (used of foreign gods e.g. Baal) http://cf.blueletterbible.org/lang/lexicon/image.cfm?img=1D67149052F8F67FFFEC3CD2111DBAAF0
N.B. such banking practices are not to be confused with rentals, since the capital goods in such business transactions are not fungible nor are they consumed in the enterprise. Any title their owner has can be mutually insured to protect himself from loss (as in merchant navigation, by becoming a member of Lloyd's of London).
A fiat currency is a form of usury, or more strongly theft, since the value of the specie used by the citizenry is not in their power to determine (by merit of their subjective yet free marginal utility enterprise, commerce and trade) but is imposed on them by the exacting of interest in exchange for paper currency by the municiple administration (whether monarch or democratically elected public servant).
Sheilagh: Aristotle approved of the concept of subjective utility, paving the way for marginal utility as a means of determining just price in the marketplace. The virtue ethics of Aquinas avails itself of the "subjective" to refer to the "personal" ie that an honest broker will not sin, since he will lose his livelihood. This virtue ethic functions best in subsidiarity mode, ie the risk of corruption of sin is best controlled (I am my brother's keeper) when the exchange is public and between equal partners, not when it becomes secret and unequal (ie when the government presumes to interfere in the proper business of lower levels of competency)
Funny how Gentili's ‘silete theology in munere alieno!’ has been abandoned by the powers that be... they don't like having the tables turned...
Sheilagh, the reason we have "Inflated CEO bonuses run(ning) contrary to distributive justice" is because we have absconded from business - we prefer to work for government and have them worry about our material benefits (insure us from ill health and infirmity in old age). The CEO's can only command such ridiculous sums because no one is equal to them in measuring their marginal utility. Most of us are slothful and prefer to have the fiscal markets earn us a dividend and a pension, and let the fiscal market players decide what the "price for hire" is for the labor of the "gambler of last resort". We have only ourselves to blame....
As the young African American father, when asked about the price of a gallon of gas on PBS Nightly Business Report, succinctly retorted
"Heck when you have two kids to feed, you're more concerned about a gallon of milk costing $5"
Unfortunately, the price of that gallon of gas is directly related to the price of that gallon of milk. And everything else. If there is one product out there whose price directly affects the price of every other good and service out there, it is oil.
Eighteen years may have fuzzed my memory. Hopefully not beyond recognition.:)
Can't recall how Bank of Ireland fits, except that at the time it had just purchased the Bank of NH.
His point was. . .
There were countries with large centralized National banks that provided better economies of scale. The US couldn't get their free market banking system down to one bank. But they could merge banks to create larger entities. And they could loosen restrictions on interstate banking and merging. Which I believe is what they did.
The language on banks is a little fuzzy too. I don't mean central banks like the EU central banks which are on par with the fed.
There were National Banks.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_bank
There are also Central Banks - not necessarily the same thing.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_bank
"What I don't get is how come the Wall Street gang gets to take home multimillion-dollar bonuses based on short-term profits made with reckless, risky investments ... but when those investments go bad, the US taxpayer has to bail them out."
1. You realize that a lot of those short-term profits are paid out in the form of stock options, which become worthless if the stock price happens to tank. A call option with a $70 dollar strike price is worth essentially zero, when JP Morgan buys you up for $2 (or $10). Many of Bear's employees lost pretty large amounts (both in absolute terms and as a percentage of their net worth). For example, former Bear Stearns chairman James Cayne lost some $978 million out of $993 million (those figures predate JPM's second offer at ~$10, so Cayne's holdings must have appreciated somewhat, but his losses are still huge). Now, I am not shedding any tears for him, or for anyone else at Bear Stearns, but the idea that they are somehow insulated from the effects of their own reckless behavior is not entirely true. This isn't a bad thing of course, its whats supposed to happen if the company you run goes under.
2. Bear wasn't insolvent before its counter parties started withdrawing funds and drained the company's $18 Billion cushion in the week before its collapse. If Bear Stearns where a bank rather than a broker, that would have been an old fashioned bank run.
3. It may not be pretty, but Bear couldnt be allowed to fail. It was a party to $10 trillion in trades, and had Bear failed... well I cant even imagine that. But the chaos that would have ensued would have been an order of magnitude greater than anything since the great depression. The Fed's exposure is only $29 billion (JP Morgan put up $1 billion for a total of 30, and under the terms of the agreement JPM would incur the first $1 billion in losses, with anything thereafter borne by the Fed).
Even if 100% of that money where lost, thats $96.67 per American citizen, 0.2% of US GDP or 1.2% of the Federal Budget. Can anyone honestly argue that the deeper recession that would have followed had Bear defaulted would have been less costly than that? Further, all of the $29 billion wont be lost since the Fed has a 10 yr. window for the assets to appreciate: the assets that Bear pledged against the Fed's guarantee aren't worthless, they are just completely illiquid in current conditions. But sometime in the future liquidity will return to the credit markets, and the Fed will be able to recoup some money out of those securities (of course, it will be less than the nominal value of $29 billion).
That said, banks seem to have grown too large for their own good, and some additional regulation is definitely necessary, and not just for the banks. The entire real estate industry needs to have its regulations reviewed, along with a healthy dose of fraud prosecutions.
This would be the organization that controls and regulates National Banks in the US. The comptroller is appointed by the President with approval of the Senate. I believe it is here that mergers are allowed or disallowed, and financial solvency is audited for over 2/3 of the nation's deposited assets.
http://www.occ.treas.gov/aboutocc.htm
And these are the nation's largest banks.
Large Banks Office
250 E Street, SW
Washington, DC 20219-0001
(202) 874-4890
Responsible for the largest national banks including Bank of America Corporation, Banknorth Group, Inc., Barclays Global Investors, Charter One Financial Inc., Citigroup, Inc., First Horizon National Corporation, Harris Bank, Hibernia Corporation, HSBC Group, Huntington Bancshares, Inc., J.P. Morgan Chase & Company, KeyCorp, LaSalle Bank Corporation, MBNA Corporation, Mellon Financial Corporation, National City Corporation, National Commerce Financial Corporation, The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc., Treasury Bank, U.S. Bancorp, Union Planters Corporation, UnionBanCal Corporation, Wachovia Corporation, Wells Fargo & Company, and Zions Bancorporation.
Large Banks Office
250 E Street, SW
Washington, DC 20219-0001
(202) 874-4890
Karen: "If there is one product out there whose price directly affects the price of every other good and service out there, it is oil. " and we learnt that lesson under Jimmy Carter, so why are we still in the same place 30 years later?
Why did we let the oilmen continue operating their cartel?
Avery Lovins and his wife co-authored a great book with the brother of postWWII German Chancellor Von Weisaecker, and published it in German in 1995, where I first read it when I was working for a large American multinational. The positive message in the appeal to man's creative agency made by these modern defenders of entrepreneurship and global stewardship (in good Christian fashion, the von Weisaeckers were Lutherans I believe) was recognized by the British who published an English edition two years later.
The book "Factor Four -- Doubling Wealth, Halving Resource Use"
http://weizsaecker.bawue.spd.de/main.php?docid=0003000000&id=10
has never been published in America. Our industries are more than a decade behind Europe in crossing the chasm to new technology, new markets, new wealth from a second Industrial Revolution focusing on the strategic increase of resource productivity. N.B. Factor Four has been translated into Chinese....
>>>
You'd asked how many politicans in the past 25 years could have been elected to office by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice. Well, Ron Paul comes very close. Which makes me think I just might want to move to his district because the people there must have some sense.
Posted by: Tad | March 27, 2008 6:12 PM
>>>
His constituents have plenty of sense - they keep re-electing him because he makes sure they get every last bit of government money that they are entitled to under the government programs he rails and votes against.
As he should, since that is his job.
see also "Resource Productivity – Good for China, good for the world"
http://weizsaecker.bawue.spd.de/index.html?loc=/main.php?docid=0004000201&id=90
And to guage how much debt the "gambler's of last resort" might dump on our doorsteps consider the wagers the banks have placed to avoid getting an education in commerce and trade (those ballooning bubbles are their increases in one fiscal year, my friends):
http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2008/03/23/business/23HOW_BALLOON.html
When Bear Stears' stock price fell from $150 to the current offer of $10/share, something like $20 billion worth of investors' money vanished -- poof!
Nobody's bailing out those unhappy owners -- many of whom were those very traders, I understand.
A third of BSC stock was owned by employees.
And consider how the growth in these same credit instruments: www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2008/03/23/business/20080323_HOW_CREDIT_GRAPHIC.html
mimics the shape of the M3 money supply curve (institutional time-deposits, the repo rate credit the Fed offers commercial banks) www.nowandfutures.com/images/m3b.png
(note the Fed stop publishing this number, this chart is an estimate of the website authors complied with current data still made public.
In true "free" banking the physical currency supply (M1 central bank money, minted or printed in exchange for gold deposits) would match the commercial bank money (M2 and M3 supplied as loans on those deposits). But in fractional reserve banking this is NOT the case, the lender can loan out multiples of the reserve deposited (one dollar deposited can allow a bank to create at least eight dollars of money). But worse still is a fractional reserve banking system NOT based on gold deposits - here money is created out of thin air as a function of the Fed's repo rate.
Currently the company is worth less than their former boss's last pay check...
Sorry, I see Cayne waited to unload his stake in Bear Stearns until the deal was sweetened from $2 ($236 million market cap) to $10. So my 10.01 claim no longer holds.
"What I don't get is how come the Wall Street gang gets to take home multimillion-dollar bonuses based on short-term profits made with reckless, risky investments ... but when those investments go bad, the US taxpayer has to bail them out."
These are the corporate guys that wholly own the Republican party and are well on their way to buying out the Democrats.
We're bailing out the Iraq War Contractors, one formerly headed by Dick Cheney by staying in Iraq. Let's face it: If we stay fifty more years they're gonna have a civil war. Dick Cheney's company at one point in the Iraq orgy (more than a year ago) was only giving us 50cents back on every Federal Dollar spent and they're still contracting now. If that's not a pork bail-out, well call me James Dobson.
Donny (aka Republican lightfoot) Rumsfeld's only coporate accomplishment was Nutrasweet outside of government.
Condi Rice was an exec for Exon Mobile in the Middle East.
Bush had several flopping oil ventures of which he was the CEO funded by the bin Laden family so his dad wouldn't lose out on a gravy train.
The Wall Street Gang became it's own police force. Why do you think that Bush really believes polluters can regulate themselves?
What's sad is that the same people that are completely fixated on Wright are the ones that fell for all this. They're brainwashed with suburban 401K consumer culture and Hollywood Republican blood lust. And to boot, they're a powerful voting block that eats whatever Rush, FOX news, Pat Robertson, John Hagee, and other knee-jerk media feed 'em.
How many politicians of either party could have hoped to have been elected to national office over the past quarter century by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice?
Rush, FOX news, Pat Robertson, John Hagee, and other knee-jerk media try and make sure they can get another one of their own in.
Jerry Falwell helped bring down our first openly born-again president, Jimmy Carter. James Dobson and the new neo-Puritans will do their best. How else is Pat Robertson gonna do business with brutal dictators like Charles Taylor and wish death on Israeli moderates?
Interesting Chart.
Those balloons cover credit default swap increases of 5 of the top 25 banks. Serious times.
Missed your earlier post Claire. I'll have to check into the idea that subjective utility paved the way for marginal just price. I follow Aquinas' ethics and agree. But I'm not aware of the stretch in Aristotle's own work on the concept of justice and what constitutes a just price. It seems to be misconstrued. Aristotle would be more of a corrective to the current situation.
I'm fairly certain the Stoic patterns were the basis of Adam Smith and the Free Market and Aristotle's models were interpersonal. I don't see that there are any Aristotolean(sic) precepts behind "free markets" and "just price" But I'll look.
And on the point of distributive justice, not to be contrary, but it's not 'We' who've absconded. Rather it's the government that's abdicated its responsibility to protect stockholders who should receive those just distributions. :)
Jerry Falwell helped bring down our first openly born-again president, Jimmy Carter.
Well, that's at least one good dead Revvum Falwell performed in his life, bless his heart.
Quoted from Rod:
"As I'm fond of asking: How many politicians of either party could have hoped to have been elected to national office over the past quarter century by preaching thrift, self-discipline and self-sacrifice?"
I'm just curious Rod, do you think Carter was honest? I studied business and from Econ. - I gather that the Carter folks miscalculated on factors that led to inflation.
But, Carter asked us to sacrifice. Heck, he had solar panels on White House grounds. He's done as much for peace as some Bush Administration folks and supporters have done for war.
Al Gore asked us to sacrifice, and yeah the polar ice caps are really melting.
Qouted from Rod again:
"A friend of mine who's a Catholic priest says he's fully aware of the weakness and corruption of the priesthood today, but it's a mistake to imagine that priests are minted in a factory in the Vatican's basement; they are human beings who are produced by the culture they serve, and as such reflect the strengths and weaknesses of that culture. Similarly, I'd say, we can say the same about politicians."
Well we did have a GOP congressman chasing pubescent teens. But I wouldn't go as far as to say that society accepts molesting kids.
Rod,
I think your Catholic priest friend has it wrong. I don't even think most pornographers would cover up molestations to save their institution.
Brian, he wasn't talking about the molestation scandal per se; he was talking about how Catholics complain about the quality of the spiritual leadership of their priests.
And Brian, I actually praise Carter's "malaise" speech in "Crunchy Cons." But there's a difference between having your heart in the right place, and knowing how to govern. Yes?
An excellent discussion, to the details of which I have little to add, so I'll break with personal tradition and offer a short post. ;-)
"Power corrupts, and absolute power corrupts absolutely."
I believe we (humans) have learned that this is inadequate, and should be supplemented by something a bit more subtle, but of greater consequence.
"Power attracts the corruptable."
I encountered this concept in Frank Herbert's "Chapterhouse Dune":
All governments suffer a recurring problem: Power attracts pathological personalities. It is not that power corrupts but that it is magnetic to the corruptable. Such people have a tendency to become drunk on violence, a condition to which they are quickly addicted.
Our substance addiction is money, not violence, though one can easily lead to the other.
Hmmm. Interesting metaphors there :}
If I were a highly partisan liberal, I might be tempted to say “WE TOLD YOU SO!”. But I’m not.
Constructively, did you read/hear Obama’s speech today? I think there’s much that you could relate to from a ‘rethinking conservatism’ perspective.
Hear, hear!
I would like to go even further than Obama, by calling for a moratorium on the use of the term "The Economy." The economy is an amalgam of the decisions of human beings. If we insist on treating it as a singular noun, let's at least go back to our biblical roots and call it Moloch.
Obama's working the phronesis angle. Very good. :)
V, I'm as unhappy with Bush as you could possibly ask, but your metaphor ignores (by implication) the fact that it was the foxes who designed and built the chicken houses. In my first career, I spoke with some of them. :-( This is not something to blame Bush for without seeing his place at the end of a long line of foxes from both parties.
Beware of wolves in sheeps clothing, Obama may talk the talk but can he walk the walk?
The newly inaugurated Washington Nationals Park provides an excellent example of the public fleecing of our private purses in the municiple shell game favored by the top levels of the subsidiarity pyramid. Explore the seating arrangements at www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/sports/specials/natspark/?hpid=artslot : from a $335 zero-pitch plate perspective for the well-healed, up to a 75-degree pitched perch with the seagulls for $5. To me (uninitiated baseball non-spectator that I am) this smacks of rank extortion: ticket holders have already paid for the stadium
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/nl/nationals/2005-12-02-stadium-location_x.htm
with c. $500 million in municiple bonds, why do they have to rent a seat in something they already own?
The city is seeking assurances that baseball will help meet construction cost overruns. Officials also want a $24 million letter of credit from baseball, guaranteeing lease payments in case a terrorist attack or natural disaster renders the new stadium useless for up to four years. The city says the letter is a requirement to obtain investment-level grades for $535 million in bonds that will be sold to finance construction."
The privately owned teams get to skim the cream (privatized gains) while the masses get to wipe up any spilled milk (socialized losses). It's a classic modus operandi of all 'protestant' work ethic, labor-value, Ponzi schemes, aka Roman Empire "bread and circuses" for the hoi polloi, the proles.
Sheilagh: re Aristotle and subjective utility, may I point you back to the link in my 5:54 post of yesterday (Rothbard on Kauder.pdf) strongly recommending Emil Kauder’s researches into the Aristotelian background, and his thesis that the Northern European anti-mystical-papist prejudices of Adam Smith et al “Retarded Acceptance of the Marginal Utility Theory” :
[my emphasis in boldface]
I think we all know what the real problem here is, the thing that the Republicans are avoiding saying:
The Democrats lost in 2004.
See, Kerry was supposed to win. He was supposed to be blamed for the mortgage disaster, he was supposed to be blamed for the forthcoming economic meltdown. He, of course, would be at fault, because he would have triggered it in 2005 or 2006, as soon as he figured out what was going on, because the sooner the insanity ended, the better for everyone.
And Katrina would have happened as Kerry was attempting to rebuild FEMA and the entire Federal government after Bush, and been handled somewhat poorly and Kerry would have gotten all the blame for it.
Also, Kerry was supposed to be blamed for the growing civil war in Iraq, and be blamed for 'losing' it when he cut our loses in 2006 or so as it became immensely unpopular.
The warrantless wiretaps should have never been uncovered until long after they ended.
Come on. Tell me I'm wrong. Tell me that isn't exactly what would have happened under a Democrat president. Or under a Democrat Congress, for that matter.
It's happened time and time and time again. Reckless spending, reckless economic control, reckless deregulation, reckless wars, all under Republicans, and the Democrats step in and get blamed for the whole mess.
But this time God smiled on the Democrats and caused them to lose in 2004. Thus exposing the actual problem.
Sheilagh I agree with you when you identify that the key to a reform of our political discourse is "interpersonal" we suffer a surfeit of individual rights divorced from personal duty. But I fail to follow you here:
Why should a stakeholder need a nanny state to protect himself from the unjust distributions of capital gains? He has a vote on the corporate governance of the enterprise he choses to invest in (or if he is an indirect investor, he can elect to drop that stake from his mutual fund portfolio). Are we to assume my taxes are to be used to bail out your imprudence?
I would concede an argument that the nanny state may need to stand in for those folks confined to endure what passed for an education in our failing public schools in the last half century, as Ron Paul proposes, a large number of citizens are invincibly ignorant. Their capacity for risk assessment has been irreversibly handicapped, thus they have not the courage of their convictions to command a just price for their creative agency, and their understanding of interpersonal responsibility is practically nonexistent. Such are the victims of the fear-mongers par exellence that masquerade as our current political leaders.
Economic Security. That's is what we've bought, and we now have neither economic liberty nor economic security. Franklin warned against it, but people were so scared during the Depression that they elected a quasi-tyrant who passed all manner of economic security programs. Social Security, Medicare, and the myriad regulatory agencies all serve one purpose: to buy security. The Federal Reserve has a similiar origin, to prevent crises in the banking sector.
People are genuinely scared of freedom in all forms, and when you start talking about a truly free market people get panicky. I think it is similar to peoples' fear of flying: we don't like the idea that no one is in control, that we can be at the mercy of unknown forces. But unlike a plane, no one can pilot the economy. Even the Federal Reserve has no idea what is happening and they have said so in speeches. The best information they have comes months after things have happened, and even with that info they cannot predict the future.
There are many Americans who really believe that if Social Security was abolished (for youunger workers, obviously older folks do rely on it), most people wouldn't save for retirement. That if Medicare was abolished or people bought their own health insurance, instead of through their employer, that people wouldn't have healthcare. That if the government didn't pay for schools, no one would be educated. That if the Federal Reserve didn't exist, our financial markets would fail. Well, our retirement system is failing. Millions of Americans don't have healthcare, costs are skyrocketing, and the program delivering healthcare for retirees is failing. A large minority of children in America aren't educated. And our financial markets just failed. There is no difference between the inner city school that has a 10% literacy rate and what happened to Bear Stearns. The cause is one and the same.
Why everybody is so surpised about this real estate market crash. What is a mortgage? It is a loan secured by a collateral. These loans were knowingly given to people who could not repay them and the collateral went down in value. I do not blame people for their stupid decisions. I blame banks for giving loans to them. Will you as an individual lend money to somebody who can not repay it? Of course not. But we are talking about today's fees and today's bonuses for the top executives. Who cares what will happen tomorrow.
In Russian there is a word "numenclatura". It means people who are in upper management and they are always on the top and always manage. How many times did we see that a fired executive who failed to manage his/her company was hired by another company for the same managing position? They collected their today's bonuses and they know that their friends will always help them to be on top again.
Other Jim, I believe I see your point, though some of your hyperbole is, well, um, ahem... but I submit that you are not looking at the right parts of the picture.
No boasting intended, but there is no one outside the bureaucracy that understands Social Security better than I do. There are some things to consider:
1) It was never intended to be a 100% replacement for a person's employment income. Prior to pension reform (ERISA 1974), it made the support burden on the previous generation bearable. After that, it became integrated in retirement planning and helped illustrate flaws. 401(k) and IRAs are two prominent results of that. I was there. I participated in the private discussions during the period prior to their creation, and had a ringside seat for the effects their creation had on retirement cost of living gaps.
2) Retirement planning is not based on raw numbers. It is based on a rational and reasonable analysis of the living expenses after retirement. Our retirement system is not failing; it is "failing" to meet the irrational and unreasonable expectations of a culture that cannot see beyond the more-money and more-things mentality.
Private pensions and Social Security are Very Good Ideas. Don't throw them out with the bathwater because of the squalling infants who mismanage them.
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