Crunchy Con

Iraq's "defining moment"

Thursday April 3, 2008

Categories: Iraq
Well, this is just splendid. Turns out that what Bush called Iraq's "defining moment" has defined what an incompetent boob Maliki is, and how pathetic is the US-trained Iraqi Army. Excerpt: But interviews with a wide range of American and...
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Comments
PatientWitness
April 3, 2008 10:38 PM

I can't believe you used Bush and contemplate in the same sentence.

My son rotates back to Iraq in the Fall. I pray for him, for your brother-in-law, for all the men and women there, and for the Iraqi citizens as well.

David J. White
April 3, 2008 10:51 PM

I agree. I don't think Bush is cognitively capable of conceiving the possibility that he could ever be wrong.

Charles Cosimano
April 3, 2008 11:06 PM

May whatever powers that be keep your brother-in-law safe from harm.

marginal mystic
April 3, 2008 11:35 PM

Yes, may God preserve your brother-in-law and all our servicemen and women, subjected to repeated, and unprecedented, deployments. We will be paying for this folly in many ways, for a long, long, time.

But what of you, Mr Dreher? You who supported this war in the beginning? You who supported the Israeli invasion of Lebanon, not so long ago, and who posted links to articles calling for nuclear strikes, decrying just war limits, and even genocide (I think Podhoretz' suggestion that we should have killed all male Sunnis between 15 and 35 qualifies)? Have you learned anything?

I wonder; you still demonize the Palestinians and defend the Israelis, even though roughly ten times the Palestinains have been killed by Israelis than the obverse.

Lord have mercy.

Brian
April 4, 2008 12:31 AM

Along Marginal Mystics lines, the absolute certainty of those who (now) oppose the war is not unlike the certainty of Bush and his advisors (Cheney, Rice, etc.).

What I think both sides miss (though to a lesser extent, I think Bush and his advisors get this) is that it can go either way depending on our level of commitment to the effort. Good people can disagree what that level of commitment is.

But what will those who currently say this is terrible and never get better do if the situation improves in Iraq and they become a relatively successful democracy next door to Saudi Arabia who morphs into more of a UAE style country?

What then?

Anonymous
April 4, 2008 1:06 AM


But what will those who currently say this is terrible and never get better do if the situation improves in Iraq and they become a relatively successful democracy next door to Saudi Arabia who morphs into more of a UAE style country?

What then?

Don't worry about this. The chance of that happening is only slightly more probable than me sending Golden Gate Bridge to the Moon using my willpower.

There are no successful Islamic democracies. Sharia and democracy are not compatible.

There are failing Islamic democracies like Pakis and Indonesia and somewhat better democracy in Turkey based on state suppressing Islam.
Who knows how long Turkey will last as (semi) democratic country.

mik_infidelos
April 4, 2008 1:08 AM


But what will those who currently say this is terrible and never get better do if the situation improves in Iraq and they become a relatively successful democracy next door to Saudi Arabia who morphs into more of a UAE style country?

What then?

Don't worry about this. The chance of that happening is only slightly more probable than me sending Golden Gate Bridge to the Moon using my willpower.

There are no successful Islamic democracies. Sharia and democracy are not compatible.

mik_infidelos
April 4, 2008 1:34 AM

marginal mystic sez:


I wonder; you still demonize the Palestinians and defend the Israelis, even though roughly ten times the Palestinains have been killed by Israelis than the obverse.


Marginal, lets say you are in you home with your wife and baby daughter. You went into garage and upon returning you see 10 charming resistance fighters bravely raping your wife while your baby daughter is dead on the floor with her throat cut.

You, as any real man would, reach for your old trusted Uzi and dispatch brave Jihadis to their 72 virgins.

So, galant resistance fighters killed only your baby daughter. But you killed 10 of them.
By your own logic, you are the terrorist.

Are you insane or just simply antisemite?

marginal mystic
April 4, 2008 6:14 AM

mik- Are you insane or merely illogical? I am not aware of Palestinian gangs raping Israeli women; if this were happening I'm sure we would all be hearing about it ad nauseum.
Why don't you, instead of describing an imaginary horror and throwing out the old antisemite canard, put yourself in the place of real Palestinians? You know, the ones whose homes are razed, without trial, because they are relatives to someone accused of terrorism? Or whose child has been shot by Israeli police? Or who are detained indefinitely, with no legal representation and no trial? Who cannot get to work because of endless checkpoints and harrassment? Who are landless, though they walk by their ancestral homes daily?
None of this justifies Palestinian terrorism, but to only focus on that and not at all on Israeli oppression and brutality is to miss the context entirely.
Oh, but that's right, all those Palestinians killed by Israelis were shot in the act of raping somenone, right after they had killed a baby. Right.

Bugg
April 4, 2008 8:32 AM

As with Mr. Dreher, I supported this war from the outset. Since we now see the folly, should we be precluded from saying so? It's so much worse not to speak the truth, that this war is a debacle, and the surge is but a bandaid on a sucking chest wound.

If there's going to be a reassessment of what conservatism means it's goning to start with an examination of all these foreign entanglements as Washington warned us about over 200 years ago. Why should American soliders as per NATO's latest expansion folly be on the line if Albania or Croatia is attacked? Bush and the internationalists in both parties have to be stopped.

treebeard
April 4, 2008 9:34 AM

I supported the war.

What swayed me, besides the major newsmaking endorsements by people I respected, like Powell and Blair, was something far less noticed.

I read the testimony of an Armenian Christian pacifist, who visited Iraq before the war began. He was going to be a "human shield" in an attempt to stop the war and to show solidarity with the Iraqi people.

He came away from Iraq convinced that Saddam's regime was evil and destructive, and that many of the Iraqis actually wanted the war to come, to free them from their oppression. His description of the terrors he learned about defies imagination. He actually repented of his naivite and foolishness in presuming he understood what the people of Iraq really believed.

I'm not saying that the war was the right thing. In retrospect it has been a calamity and a disaster. Terrible as Saddam's regime was, I think it was better than the chaos and destruction now consuming Iraq.

But I remember on the eve of war, when Bush spoke to the nation, and then to the Iraqi people. He said that "soon the rape rooms will be gone."

Yes. That was worth fighting for. I'm sorry that Bush and his administration were so incompetent, and maybe this will stand forever as proof that no "preemptive" was is ever justified.

But I get tired of people saying "I told you so" who opposed the war from the beginning. It was never that simple. It was never just a matter of WMD. Saddam was brutalizing his people. Women were being raped, and the videos sent to their husbands. There was a children's prison in Baghdad. To be against the war was also to be in favor of that regime continuing (as well as the sanctions against Iraq, which were killing so many).

So let's not be so quick to judge people who were in favor of the war. I was one. I was swayed by an Armenian Christian "human shield" who realized that war was the only way for these people ever to be free. He talked to the families, who spoke under their breath. In retrospect, perhaps freedom became something worse. But it was never that simple.

Rod Dreher
April 4, 2008 9:57 AM

Thanks for that, Treebeard. I asked my brother in law last week in his visit home from Iraq if the Iraqis miss Saddam. He said no, not at all, no matter how bad it now is there.

I don't believe one has to affirm that Saddam was better in order to have regretted the Iraq war. I see the US stuck in a terrible situation, with no good outcome, only less bad ones. We oughtn't have done what we did. We don't have the responsibility for stomping out evil in the world. If we assume we do, we get into a world of trouble that we can't easily get out of.

Clare Krishan
April 4, 2008 9:59 AM

Gail Collins tongue-in-cheek slicing and dicing of the smoke-n-mirrors propaganda of obfuscation that clouds our view of an Emperor With No Clothes is a delight to read (if all this weren't so deadly serious...):

Here's a sample of her Black Hole Rating System ("Let’s prioritize. Rank all your causes for concern on a scale of: (!) = unfortunate development to (!!!!!) = Large Hadron Collider has a bad day.")

"Recently, the Iraqi government marched into Basra to route out the forces of the Shiite extremist-troublemaker Moktada al-Sadr. This did not seem like such a terrible idea at first glance, until it didn’t work.(!!!)

Then the C.I.A. chief, Gen. Michael Hayden, showed up on “Meet the Press” and gave the impression that the Americans had been blindsided by the whole affair. At least “in terms of being prebriefed or, having, you know, the normal planning process in which you build up to this days or weeks ahead of time.”

Even if there are only a half-dozen people in our Embassy who are fluent in Arabic — (!!) — you’d think we’d get cued in when the government starts a miniwar. (!!!)

From today’s Times, however, we now know that the Americans really were in on the planning. What they got short notice on, it seems, was Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki’s decision to go with something more spur-of-the-moment. This is the kind of free-spirited approach that works well when the goal is, say, throwing a small dinner party for six friends. But it tends to be less successful in matters like taking over a city by force.

Then the real surprise came when instead of proceeding in a strategically intelligent way, Maliki opted for the popular but controversial alternative of inept blundering.(!!!)

None of this really bodes well for whoever’s in the White House next year. Imagine President Barack Obama or President Hillary Clinton trying to extricate 158,000 men and women without benefit of “the normal planning process in which you build up to this days or weeks ahead of time.” Or, of course, if John McCain becomes president we can keep getting surprised for the next 100 years. (!!!!)

Anonymous
April 4, 2008 11:49 AM

Could it be that the clearly spur of the moment attack was to prevent word of the time and place of the offensive coming to Sadr? Considering the state of the Iraqi government and divided (to say the least) loyalties of many in it, it may have been a good idea for them.
Although the Sadrists were hurt and hurt badly, they remain in control of the areas they were in control of a month before. The Iraqi army has shown itself to be marginally untrustworthy, and unable to fight without massive American support.

Welcome to 4th and 5th generation warfare. The insurgents can win by not losing, the occupiers lose by not winning. As Napoleon said, "If you say you are going to take Vienna, take Vienna"

V

DavidTC
April 4, 2008 11:52 AM

“They went in with 70 percent of a plan. Sometimes that’s enough. This time it wasn’t.”

I believe '70% of a plan' is actually official US policy WRT the war in Iraq, so I don't understand Maliki being condemned for it. Maybe the US forces felt their experience with half-completed impetuously bad plans was being ignored.

The Watcher
April 4, 2008 12:22 PM

When self described conservatives turn into country hating liberals, one has to wonder what, truly, you have been drinking, Rod. Your logic, your words, are the precise same as the non-thinking, emotion-driven, unreasoned knee jerk reactionism as the left has.

I am apalled at your utter lack of any dedication to what you know. Ok, so we dispatched a dictator. There's been bumps in the road after the fact. Were you one of those ignorants who thought it would go easy? If this were the American Revolution, you'd have turned Tory on us already. THAT bit of warmaking went badly ALL the way to almost the end before it turned around.

Geeze, Rod, WE WON ALREADY. Yes, Saddam is gone. We won. Got it yet?

So, now that the dictator is dispatched, the press can report the grisely normality of the middle east life, and the barbarity with which they wantonly slaughter each other, you suddenly go "My GAWD, I WISH WE"D LEFT SADDAM IN PLACE". That was so nice and simple and easily packaged. We didn't have to know in such personal terms, the horror that is ORDINARY LIFE to the middle east. It was all "over there" and hidden behind iron curtains of controlled press coverage and barricades of information management.

Your commitment to freedom is no deeper than "gee, it got deadly and hard and we keep making mistakes, maybe freedom for Iraqis was a mistake. No, if that's your thinking, freedom FOR YOUR KEYBOARD IS A MISTAKE. How DARE you turn traitor to the cause of freedom!!!

I have never seen such a huge assortment of utterly juvenile and gutless pandering to emotion as this thread. The Iraqi army (how many months old?) gets into a tough situation and has to call for backup. This is proof the war was a mistake and that Bush has been the anti-Christ? How on earth can you live a semblance of a life if this is the utter and total lack of thought you put into anything more complex than gumball machine?

You bring shame to the notion of Conservatism with your utterly horrible tripe you're passing off as "thought". This isn't thought. This isn't the stern stuff of a conservative. This is the gutless, unprincipled, unreasoned, and uncommitted blather of an emasculated, pandering liberal.

And yes, I am proudly in support of our continued doing WHATEVER IT TAKES AT ANY COST WHATSOEVER to prevail in Iraq. And Afghanistan, AND EVERYWHERE ELSE IN THE WORLD OPPRESSION REARS ITS HEAD. Even if my children volunteer and end up doing the fighting. My father did just that. And he never gave up faith or conviction, like you have so casually tossed out the window. He fought the enemy in Europe, his uncle jumped out of an airplane to land in in the middle of the night in a country called France, near the ocean and occupied by Germans. Dad followed shortly after. Both survived. Many didn't. Not a one of them EVER even questioned, even though many of the French they were there to liberate had become collaborators and allies to the Germans.

Whoever thought freedom was free easy, they deserted the cause like you have. The blood of too many men to count cries up from the ground at you - "You'll give up on so easily, what we paid so much to give you???"

You ALL shame the name "American", with your utter lack of any principle or conviction, and have sacraficed ALL on the alter of political expediency. Your attitudes and words bring FAR more fear into my heart for the future than any threat of financial collapse or claimed ecological mayhem. You've given up on the only thing that makes us able to take those on and prevail.

May God save us from your fake "reasonableness".

Peter
April 4, 2008 2:52 PM

Unrelated to any messup in Basra but I saw an interesting article on CNN this morning. Apparently the U.S. military spends $88 a soldier per day on fuel ($3.15 a gallon for gasoline). Iraqis pay $1.36 a gallon due to government subsidies.

Steve
April 4, 2008 3:34 PM

I think the take home here is not so much the inadequacy of the Iraqi Army and Maliki, but rather how entwined Iran is in Iraq now. Iran has ties with all the major Shia players now, not just Sadr. There is still no love lost between the Sunnis and Iran. Sadr has shown himself adept at getting out of things if they look as though they are going to go bad.

If I were in Iran's position Id be pushing the Shia to stop fighting each other and work on getting the casualties down. The neocons running this think we have won anyway. Reinforce that opinion, then as soon as we leave its all there for the taking. Oh, if you are interested in following iraq/Afghanistan events the Small Wars Journal blog lists all the war relevant articles in major publications everyday.

Steve

AnotherBeliever
April 4, 2008 3:44 PM

They aren't terribly bad fighters, friends, really. The Iraqis can fight. Or else we would not be having this discussion at all, now would we? They have managed to bring the world's best equipped, and arguably best-trained and best-disciplined military to a virtual strategic standstill with little more than explosives, old AK-47s, arty shells, ingenuity, and some walkie-talkies. The only reason we're currently succeeding is because some of them have switched sides, not because we have out-fought them.

The Iraq army has organizational and logistical issues. And divided loyalties. THAT's the main problem right there.

We owe it to the children of Iraq to gain and maintain stability. We started it, we are responsible for it. But we are providing the best conceivable training ground for a generation of Jihadists by remaining where we are. And we are not exactly refreshing our own forces or equipment.

We are between a rock and a hard place here. There are no right decisions here. Only less wrong ones.

AnotherBeliever
April 4, 2008 3:48 PM

Steve, yeah, that would be the smart thing for Iran to do.

weemaryanne
April 4, 2008 7:17 PM

George W. Bush is plenty old enough to see the truth, if he wanted to see it. I doubt he'll change his mind as he ages.

DavidTC
April 6, 2008 7:46 PM

The Watcher
Geeze, Rod, WE WON ALREADY. Yes, Saddam is gone. We won. Got it yet?

You know, it's people like this that inspire decidedly unChristian thoughts in me.

Hey, buddy. The point isn't 'to win'. If we wanted to win a war, we should have invaded Cuba. We would have won that one easily.

There are only two reasons to fight wars, and none of them are 'to win'. The first reason is that the country is empire-building, and the second is to solve a serious internal governmental problem, like stopping someone else from empire-building or stopping genocide.

Those are the only two rational reasons you'd send your army into someone else's country. Note I haven't made any claim about morality or ability or what qualifies as a 'problem'...just that those two are literally the only reasons rational leaders of countries would go into other countries. To gain control of the country, or to alter that country's behavior.

Winning the war is a means to those ends, not an end in and of itself. You can win a war and not accomplish either of those goals, you can lose a war and still accomplish those goals. (Most 'border disputes' result in the invading force retreating back and thus technically 'losing', but a statement is made about what the invading country will tolerate and where the line is, so they 'win' in what they are trying to accomplish.)

In Iraq, even if you assume there was some sort of serious problem there to start with (Saddam was nowhere near the worse dictator in the world, and most of the daily problems people faced was due to sanctions, not Saddam.), there's no one way that we can reasonable be interpreted to have stopped said problems. The point wasn't to win the war, the point was to stop the problems. We didn't do that. We gave them a lot more internal problems. We have not succeeded in Iraq.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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