Crunchy Con

Wheat rust and food security

Wednesday April 30, 2008

Categories: Decline and fall
Bill Gates recently gave $27 million to fight a new form of wheat rust. Why? Given global wheat shortages, the prospect that the ug99 strain of the fungus could wipe out Africa's wheat crop, and spread worldwide, has focused minds....
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Comments
Reaganite in NYC
April 30, 2008 5:20 PM

Rod, you're absoluely, right! This IS important. Thanks for the heads up.

BTW, I have to admit that I was one of those who rolled my eyes back when Gov. Huckabee mentioned food as a natinal security factor during the debates. Looks like Huck was on to something after all.

aaron
April 30, 2008 5:28 PM

But worrying about Wheat Rust would require the Huckinator to revaluate his evolution problem.

pb
April 30, 2008 5:34 PM

We should be talking about Federal food policy as a part of the problem, but not even Huckabee is willing to do that.

who knew
April 30, 2008 5:38 PM

RFDTV has been discussing this for awhile now. There is a team of scientists from some Midwest University (I think) in Africa studying the problem.

Not to appear naive, but won't having people, even if they are scientists, over there increase the chances of it ending up here? Isn't that how "Mad Cow" disease was spread? By people walking through one barn after being in an infected barn?

Also,if I remember right, the MOTHER EARTH NEWS ALMANAC claimed that it only takes a quarter-acre of wheat to feed a family of four through the winter. Perhaps we'd better plant some wheat in our lawns instead of grass seed this spring.

Huckabee was my second choice for President but he lost me when he went for that security chip id card thing. For a Baptist preacher, he hasn't spent much time reading the back of the Book. Might have read the book of Daniel though.

Karen Brown
April 30, 2008 6:01 PM

Well, I'd hope that a team of scientists would have some knowledge of how to prevent such spread through proper protocols.

You just disinfect the things you're wearing, assuming that's a likely method of transmission.

Grumpy Old Man
April 30, 2008 6:16 PM

Monoculture--the practice of planting vast acreage with a single, genetically invariant form of a crop--contributes immeasurably to the risk. Let's hope there are at least a few loony loners planting heirloom and local varieties of wheat.

I'm shopping for more handbaskets.

octopus
April 30, 2008 6:16 PM

elimination of monoculture plantings should be one of the top things on a "Federal Food Policy agenda"

brierrabbit3030
April 30, 2008 8:29 PM

I agree. The vast monocultures of crops has done this. There was once thousands of varieties of wheat. After Cargill, and Monsanto, and Archer Daniel Midland got done with the wheat crop, there are only a small number left. Grumpy Old Man is right. Lets hope some enlightened "loon" kept growing older heirloom varieties with some natural resistance. Why, oh why can't goverment and corporations learn anything. This has happened before in the seventies with the corn crop. And they make the same stupid mistake again.

aaron
April 30, 2008 8:36 PM

I had some Rust attack the wild strawberries proliferating my lawn (I don't use chemferts/pest/herbicides on it) in a few patches bordering my strawberry beds. Since my strawberries don't have it, I wonder if they infected the wild ones? Pretty fungus it is...

aaron
April 30, 2008 9:26 PM

On a slightly related note, a simple graphical representation of disappearing regional foods http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/04/29/dining/20080430_LIST_GRAPHIC.html

MI
April 30, 2008 9:31 PM

Query: does monoculture lead to higher yields?

brierrabbit3030
April 30, 2008 10:04 PM

No monocultures do not necessarily have higher yields, It just depends on the variety, climate and soil. Often to get higher yields, you have to use intensive petroleum based fertilizers, and pesticides. Nature hates moncultures. Smaller mixed fields of crops, of different grains, etc. Would have slowed the rust down. We just made a nice monoculture of wheat highway for it to follow around thw world. And wheat is particularly prone to disease, from what I understand.

Steve
April 30, 2008 10:20 PM

Just exactly whom do people expect to solve this problem? Government?

Steve

MI
May 1, 2008 8:00 AM

No monocultures do not necessarily have higher yields, It just depends on the variety, climate and soil. Often to get higher yields, you have to use intensive petroleum based fertilizers, and pesticides.

Okay, I should've been clearer: _All other things being equal_, do monocultures lead to higher yields? In other words, if we shift away from monocultures, will we be able to maintain our current level of food production without additional efforts (e.g., use more fertilizer, plant more crops, use different techniques)?

AMH
May 1, 2008 9:09 AM

The federal government does such a great job with everything else; why not let them be in charge of food policy, specifically, managing the various grades and sub cultures of wheat. Great idea! While they're at it, they could set up a committee to hire the next coach of the Mavs and manage Miley Cyrus' career, too

who knew
May 1, 2008 9:52 AM

This goes back to a previous post of mine. "Government", whether U.S. or World (i.e. U.N.) seems to be finding more and more ways to get its paws on food supplies. They use subsidies to small farmers, corporate tax breaks and a policy of favoritism for Monsanto and other large agri-biz type farms and NAIS which I have mentioned here more than once(beating a dead horse, so to speak).

Once the wheat crop crashes, if it does, the government can easily begin a rationing program dependant on some type of I.D. (see: why I did not vote for Huckabee in the primary, above). For consumer safety, small farms can be taken over. Most people would not even care, they are so far removed from any idea how the food supply system works in this country.

In our area, one commercial fruit farmer already wants to outlaw allowing anyone but a licensed fruit grower to raise "stone fruits" like peaches, plum etc. You can't really blame him, there is some disease going around, spread by insects, I think. And it has been done before. Currents were illegal in New Hampshire at one time, I believe, because they were a host plant for white pine blister disease (I think). But how much more regulation can we put on people who just want to grow their own food.

stefanie
May 2, 2008 9:48 AM

Awhile back, the Wall St. Journal had an article about wheat prices in Africa. Seems that the sale of wheat has been very lucrative, especially when it has involved convincing Africans not to eat their native cassava-flour dishes, or to stop cultivating cassava at all.

Some of this makes me wonder how much of a boon agriculture has really been for the world. People in Northern Europe/Scandinavia were the last Europeans to adopt agriculture, and even in the 19th century, bread there was more of a treat for Christmas (like cake) rather than a staple of the diet. Given that wheat is related to allergies, as well as refined flour products being linked to diabetes, metabolic syndrome, etc., perhaps the whole issue needs a new perspective.

In northern parts of Europe, people cultivated oats and barley, and ate the grains whole (i.e. boiled oat porridge.) It may be that a *return* to truly traditional diets based on local, and a wide variety of "heritage" locally produced foods, is a way out of this mess.

Scott Lahti
May 2, 2008 6:48 PM

"Just exactly whom do people expect to solve this problem? Government?" - Steve

In other words, In Whom Do Wheat Rust? The ag world is poised for spiritual mutation, as the millennial grip of monoseedism gives way to polytransatlanticsubstantiation, the better to convert fat into mussel.

Barring some sort of *Deus ex Wheatena*, the world seems poised to chart a Wheat Rust Belt that will make of its unleavened forebear-of-the-factories namesake seem like a mere scrub-job for Brillo' my dreams...

C. Jeff Dyrek
August 9, 2008 10:13 PM

The Food Shortage Problem is the next big step in the Global Warming Crisis
What exactly is happening.
1. In 2007 - 2008 Summer in Africa, there was a 70% to 100% loss in wheat due to a fungus on the crops. This huge loss in wheat has left the African people and their animals starving and moving in a mass exodus to the cities. South Africa had riots over the super inflation of the cost of wheat and other foods. New York Times, New Strain of Wheat Rust Appears in Africa: Reuters lobal Wheat Loss: African Agriculture, Agricultural Practices causing Global Loss of Top Soil: News International, World Wheat Production in Peril from Stem Rust Outbreak in East Africa: Beliefnet,
2. In 2007 Iran had lost 50% of it's crop due to wheat rust. This is a huge loss for the farmers and the worlds food supply of wheat in this region.
3. In the Summer of 2007 the North Pole's Arctic Ocean turned into what is called Pancake ice, small pieces of ice that may be as large as a state or as small as your yard. The Arctic Ice Cap is normally a single unit of ice that prevents it from being flushed out of the Arctic Ocean. But in 2007 the smaller pancake ice allowed the ice to be flushed out of the Arctic Ocean taking with it the algae and plankton that grows under it. Because of this loss in algae and plankton, the Krill, a shrimp like creature, had no food and it is now claimed that 80% of the Krill have died. The Krill are the major food source for seals, whales, salmon and other sea life in the Arctic Regions. There was one article that was titled, "Salmon $40 per pound." Have you ever watched the program, "The Deadliest Catch." Well, the deadliest catch is the fishing expedition that brings back no fish.
4. In the costal waters of France, 2008, they are having an 80% to 100% loss of oysters due to a herpes like virus. This is causing a food shortage right now, but they are saying the real food shortage will come two years from now. Already it is bad enough that many restaurants are closing because a lick of oysters. If this is happening in France, as the report states, other Mediterranean states are having the same problem.
5. CCD, Colony Collapse Disaster, or CDC Complete Colony Desertion, of our bees have been costing American fruit farmers billions of dollars in crop loss over the last several years. This dollar loss represents the reduction of fruit being produced. The bees are dying due to an intestinal virus killing complete bee colonies. NewScientist Paralyzing Virus a Suspect in Disappearing Bees, UK Telegraph Government Figures Show Decline of UK Bees, The Sydney Morning Herald Eerie Saga of the Vanishing Bees, The Milford Daily News Honeybee Deaths Still on the Rise,
6. Ethanol is using anywhere from 10% to 20% of American corn for the production of this alternate fuel source. In some countries, there is a 50% usage of their crops to be sold as fuel, reducing the amount of food for our worlds ever growing population. In some countries the rice prices have inflated to more than 600% making the Dollar a day wage not enough to feed their families.
7. The ground water levels are going lower and lower as in the Ogallala Aquifer. The Ogallala Aquifer covers parts of Wyoming, most of Nebraska, down into Kansas, Oklahoma, and into Texas which in size makes the Great Lakes look like a pond in comparison. The problem is that these states have been heavily pumping water from this aquifer, very heavily, for about thirty years now. A recent article talked about an irrigation manufacturing company, making seven thousand of these huge water sprayers a year. The water in this now 80% gone leaving only 20%. The replenishment rate is mush lower than years earlier due to lower rainfalls and thinner snow caps. In less than five years these states will not be producing crops due to lack of water. Water Encyclopedia Ogallala Aquifer, Wikipedia Encyclopedia Ogallala Aquifer, Choices Magazine Ogallala Aquifer, USDA Ogallala Aquifer, USGS Newsroom Water Level Changes in the High Plains Aquifer, Environmental Defense Fund, Planned and active ethanol plants in the Ogallala Aquifer.
8. Midwestern U.S. Floods destroyed more than nine million acres of farm land. In the summer of 2008 tremendous rains, called the five hundred year flood, has destroyed huge sections of farm land. One of the suspects in this five hundred year flood were the fires in California creating condensation nuclei for rain droplets to form, just like seeding a cloud. This resulted in a huge loss of crops in Iowa, Missouri and Illinois.
9. Glacial Melt. Many of the rivers around the world are fed by glaciers. Glaciers store the water from snow in the winter to be used to feed the rivers in the summer. In the Tibetan Plateau, over the past ten years, the glaciers are two thirds gone. These glaciers feed the huge Yellow and Yangtze Rivers in China which are used to irrigate the rice fields for the 1.4 billion population. these same glaciers, on the other side of the Tibetan Plateau, feed the rivers flowing into the one billion plus population of India. When these glaciers are gone, the food supply is gone and billions of people will have nothing to eat. This is happening all over the world. One glacier that I climbed in Longyearbyen Norway was two thousand feet thick in 2005. In 2006 the glacier was gone.
10. Dead zones in the oceans. These dead zones are caused by pollution of various types flowing from the mouths of rivers emptying into the ocean. For example the Mississippi River dumps into the Gulf of Mexico and there is a two hundred mile dead zone as a result. The source of the pollution was traced to the use of tiles so farmers can drain and make more land usable for farming. The herbicides, insecticides, and mainly the fertilizers that are used to enhance the growth of the crops are causing algae to grow around the mouth of the Mississippi depleting the oxygen content of the water and causing the fish and shellfish to die. The tiles also reduce the amount of ground water and subterranean aquifers are drying up as mentioned with the Ogallala Aquifer.
11. Rising sea levels are now invading lowlands with salt and brackish water preventing many plants from growing. This is happening in the southern United States, Bangladesh. and in many parts of southeast Asia. As the glaciers and surface ice melts, the sea level rises. As the polar ice melts, the oceans have a tendency to raise in temperature and also rise in volume. This is a cycle that Global Warming is causing and if we don't immediately do something to stop it, we don't have a chance.
Step by step and in an ever increasing rate, we are losing our life giving sources of food that we need to feed the ever growing population of planet earth. We are sucking everything out of the ground and from under the ground and putting it into the air and oceans. We are seeing the effects of Global Warming and Global Climate Change right now and we need to act NOW! With man's influence in the temperatures of the earth, combined with the natural temperature cycles and all in coincidence of the increase of other pollutants, increase in population, destruction of carbon storage mechanisms, wars, political unrest, social pollution, and the increase in the intensity of solar storms, we are going to have a very rough ride on a soon to be sinking ship, the spaceship Earth.
Article by C. Jeff Dyrek, Webmaster,YellowAirpane.com, U.S. Navy Veteran, Arctic Explorer and North Pole Expedition Leader.

Your Name
December 9, 2008 8:58 AM

Would like to know if the spraying of fungicides has an effect on this rust ie stobeleriens(Amistar)as this is a new fungicide ,and should not have ressistance build up as yet.

Thank You

Nigel Wood

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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