Crunchy Con

Gledhill: "Soul of Britain is dying"

Sunday May 11, 2008

Ruth Gledhill, the religion writer for the Times of London, says "it feels like the soul of Britain is dying." What's she talking about? A new report projecting further astonishing collapse in British Christianity. An excerpt from Gledhill's article: Church...
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Comments
Donny
May 11, 2008 10:02 PM

Please note, that the moral carcinogen of secularism (Humanism), and the other religions, is effecting ONLY Christians. Do the math Rod. More proof that Satan is still, alive and well on planet earth. Whatever happens to Brits is what they will deserve. Where secularism (Humanism) goes, the other forms of demonic powers and principalities follow close behind. Almost all of the blood within me came from the British aisles, but when you choose Humanism you choose your own death. The europeans have chosen their own method of demise.

Rod, when are you going to do the research and start calling secularists, liberals and progressives by their proper name: Humanists.

Daniel
May 11, 2008 10:33 PM

The question is: have the British failed Christianity, or has Christianity failed the British.

Donny
May 11, 2008 10:49 PM

Secularism, that is to say Humanism, has been embraced by the Brits. Jesus Christ is a choice. The Gospel does not change, and the Gospel clearly depicts these things happening. One thing is for sure, the Anglicans have failed Christianity . . ., when they became Humanists.

Lisa
May 11, 2008 10:53 PM

The cost of keeping a small church's infrastructure up is is my opin ion hopeless. We recently left a church the minister said aloud if anyone can not give they should not be here. I am still a Christian I still follow god but you can bet I will not go back to this church, If the minister would say in good faith i will cut my salary to help with this deficit I'd be impressed (won't happen) he makes more than the average husehold in our town, I also found out that no money has been going to missionary as all and plus is needed to attempt to keep this small club together, what would jesus say? Are these self fulfilling churces missing the boat? There are a lot of people who can not make their rent and their groceries but my guess is he'd say give anyway.
what a rig he has going

Mike Brown
May 11, 2008 11:02 PM

This is astonishing and disappointing. Demography and religious trends spell disaster for Western Culture in Europe.

However, I am somewhat skeptical of the ability of demographic analysis and forecasting to predict the future of religious life in particular cultures. Certainly, there is a significant downward trend in Christianity in Britain. However, religious life is significantly different than demographics as a whole, and there are far more causes for variations and course-correction in trends.

It would be interesting to see a study of the ability of demographic trends and forecasting methods to accurately predict future religious culture in societies - i.e.: how accurate have similar forecasts been that were made in 1900, 1950, and 1970?

It is altogether possible that something (and it could be any number of things, given the complexity of religious culture) could happen that would reverse this trend.

Goodguyex
May 11, 2008 11:24 PM

The British peoples (Celtic, Saxons, Angles,) were Christianized before the German people. So I think it is still possible for some rekindling to happen, especially with people of Celtic lineage.

Nonetheless, as Philip Jenkins points out, Christianity is heading to the "South". Christianity was not always centered in Western Europe. Before Islam it was more dominant in the Eastern Mediterranian and Northern Africa. So the point of dominance has moved before and it is moving again in our time. But as a believer I know it will be with us until the trumpets blow.

Bob
May 11, 2008 11:26 PM

The Christian faith is certainly in flux. As Philip Jenkins in "The Next Christendom" says, it may be fading in the West, but it is growing by leaps and bounds in Africa, Asia, and other parts of the Third World. And it is not the "liberal" Christianity of the West, but the most traditional form. When emerging Christianity confronts emerging Islam in the the third world, it will not be pretty.

Mark in Houston
May 11, 2008 11:52 PM

"People will still live in the British Isles, obviously, but they won't be the people of the Book. They will be some other people."

No, they won't be some other people, if you are implying they will no longer be British. They will be British people. (Or perhaps more accurately, English people, Scottish people, Welsh people, etc.) They just may not be Christian British people, and the definition of what makes a person British will change accordingly. That's unfortunate for Christians, but not a big concern to anyone else. This isn't something I'll be losing any sleep over. The pubs, theatres, castles and nightclubs will still be there.

godisaheretic
May 12, 2008 12:01 AM

yes, Christianity is diminishing as it is being examined with the modern knowledge and understanding of the British people...
no surprise there...
the supernatural stories of superstitious ancient men have very little chance of being found reliable...
it's only when unexamined as in the Third World that Christianity is showing some growth...
so...
what about these unreliable Myths across the pond here in the USA?
230 year old America has always been behind the curve of the much older European culture...
in another generation or two, Christianity in the USA most likely will diminish to European levels!!!
the Reality of God seems quite unconcerned with shrinking Christianity...
it's as if...
the Absent God is not connected to any of the Myths invented about God...

faith hope love joy peace to all...
Forgive God...

Mark in Houston
May 12, 2008 12:02 AM

And if you think I'm being flippant, it's obvious that the care and preservation of British Christianity isn't of much concern to the British people, and to be clear, I'll just limit that group to the Anglo-Saxon/Celtic inhabitants of Britain whose families have lived there for many generations, so why should this be seen as worrisome to us? Their society seems to be humming along pretty well (certainly as compared to other, more devoutly religious parts of the globe), and if the British people are for the most part comfortable with this development, why should others complain about it, unless the issue of concern is not so much a concern for Britain than a concern for a particular religious viewpoint?

I'll agree that the rise of Jihadist Islam is a problem in the UK (if that is one of the big issues of concern here), but there's lots of ways of dealing with that separate (and probably more effective than) telling British people to go back to their old churches.

Mike Brown
May 12, 2008 12:04 AM

"The pubs, theatres, castels and nightclubs will still be there."

Maybe they will, and maybe they won't. The reality is that those things grew out of a Christian culture. There is no question, though, that the marks of previous cultures tend to be eliminated as new cultures begin to dominate that geographical space. If current trends in Europe persist, what we know of the Christian culture in Europe (and all of the things that grew out of it) could be eliminated or relegated to being nothing more than historical novelties by an advancing Islamic population. This won't likely happen in our lifetimes, or even in the next 100 years. It could happen, however, in the space of 300-500 years.

If you're not bothered by it, perhaps you don't think that Western Culture is worth preserving?

John E.
May 12, 2008 12:08 AM

>>>>
If you're not bothered by it, perhaps you don't think that Western Culture is worth preserving?
Posted by: Mike Brown | May 12, 2008 12:04 AM
>>>>

Or perhaps, like myself, one has an attitude of 'sufficient unto the day are the troubles thereof' and just can't get all that worked up about what might or might not happen 300 - 500 years from now.

r.r. rivers
May 12, 2008 12:19 AM

Sounds like the real fear here is the question of when this wave of apathy is going to hit the United States...since it isn't just Britain that's like this, it's all of western Europe. I imagine by the end of this century all churches will be in serious decline here. The fate of the mainlines will become the fate of the Evangelical churches. More kids drop out with every new generation. Jesus better come soon. Oh wait...he was supposed to come 2000 years ago...hope he didn't take a wrong turn on his cloud.

I mean seriously...can you imagine there being Bible believing Christians a few thousand years from now?

Didn't think so.

r.r. rivers
May 12, 2008 12:26 AM

And just so you know...I'm not celebrating Christianity's likely eventual demise in the U.S., but you know...time marches on.

Mike Brown
May 12, 2008 12:40 AM

"I mean seriously...can you imagine there being Bible believing Christians a few thousand years from now?

Didn't think so."

I'm pretty sure that people have been saying that very thing for the last 2000 years. All of them have been proven wrong. In fact, Gamaliel took that very attitude in Acts 5:33-39. He supposed that Christianity (assuming that it was false) would die out naturally, and rather quickly, at that. Not so much.

Let's consider the radical possibility that maybe, just maybe Christianity is true. If Christianity is true, then we have every reason to believe that there will be Bible-believing Christians a few thousand years from now, unless Jesus returns before then.

So the question isn't cultural, demographic, or academic. It becomes a theological question - whether or not Christianity is true.

r.r. rivers
May 12, 2008 1:47 AM

Lets consider an even more radical possibility...that some of it is true, enough to make it viable for a long time, but some of it isn't...so it won't be viable forever. On the basis of my experience I feel this is most likely the case. If Christianity is 100% true then why on earth does it take so much effort to demonstrate that it might be true to an educated and informed audience? Shouldn't it be easy?

I don't know...my time as an Evangelical was spent in constant fear and anxiety...just trying to answer one argument against it after another...and being angry at God for making such arguments possible. I don't miss those days.

r.r. rivers
May 12, 2008 1:57 AM

And there are obviously educated and well informed evangelical Christians...but they choose to believe inspite of the large body of evidence which indicates that there are numerous problems with orthodox Christian belief. That's their choice...but they're not going to convince anyone who doesn't want to be convinced.

rombald
May 12, 2008 5:48 AM

There seem to be several issues conflated here:

1. Is Christianity true? Give some evidence for or against.

2. Can a society operate without a spiritual basis of some sort? In other words; should people accept religion as a noble lie? I'm sympathetic to this sort of position, and there are obviously a lot of things wrong with British society that could be blamed on irreligion, but US society doesn't seem to be any more healthy, despite its religion.

3. Would a non-Christian England (or Scotland or Wales) be England? Unless you define England as Christian, I find it hard to argue otherwise.

4. Was the UK ever really Christian? This is doubtful. As soon as Christianity ceased to be effectively compulsory, many people stopped practising. Those sides of my ancestry who were urban-proletarian, rather than middle-class or poor-rural, were solidly irreligious.

5. Is the UK going to become Muslim? This is something that concerns me much more. Actual Muslim conquest is a separate issue, but, with respect to the Muslim minority in the UK, there are two hopeful signs: (i) there is a high level of apostasy, mostly to apathy, but in significant numbers to active atheism or Christianity; (ii) the latest wave of immigration is non-Muslim, being from Africa and eastern Europe.

harvey lacey
May 12, 2008 6:55 AM

Equating the demise of Christianity with the demise of of civilization is silly, really really silly. There was civilization before Christianity. There will be civilization after Christianity.

Christianity is a religion. Religions come and go because they're a demand thing. When there's a demand there will be a religion. It doesn't matter if you're wanting order like that offered by conservative faiths like Islam. Or if it's the reason offered by the humanists, what you want is what you get, or at least take, from the faith. Christianity defines this better than most religions. The same Bible gives us Christians who hate and Christians who love, go figure.

Reader John
May 12, 2008 6:57 AM

There's a possibility other than the collapse of Christianity in Britain or the renewal of Anglican, Roman Catholic, Methodist, Presbyterian and other traditions of the last millennium: Orthodox Christianity with a capital "O", the Christianity of the first millennium.

Fascination with the person, life and Resurrection of Jesus Christ is not likely to die out. Though Orthodoxy is not better suited to modern society - nobody can out-do the Evangelicals when it comes to scratching the itching ears of religious consumers - it's better suited to human nature, truer to the Bible and, in its self-understanding (and with considerable historic support), it's the Original from which Rome became schismatic but to which, sadly, the Reformers did not return.

That's small consolation to either secularists, who salivate at a world un-haunted by the Nazarene, or to Romantics, who just want things back the way they remember or dream. An Orthodox Britain would look much different than the Britain of recent memory. But as r.r. rivers says, time marches on.

weemaryanne
May 12, 2008 7:01 AM

"A viable culture without a viable cult? Good luck with that."

That's your best line ever, whether you meant it or not. Thanks.

As for the Muslims, I wonder whether some of the Westernized ones may not be looking around and noticing, "well, the neighbors don't seem to actually need imaginary friends, maybe I don't either."

What can I say, odd things have been known to happen.

Rob G
May 12, 2008 8:15 AM

"Equating the demise of Christianity with the demise of of civilization is silly, really really silly. There was civilization before Christianity. There will be civilization after Christianity."

Harvey, you miss the point, which is that Western culture, of which British culture is a part, is rooted in Christianity, whether you like it or not. Cut off the root and/or dig it up and the culture suffers. Of course there will always be 'civilization,' but of what sort? You should read the British philosopher and cultural critic Roger Scruton on this, who, by the way, was an agnostic of sorts until relatively recently, but has been saying this stuff for years.

"If Christianity is 100% true then why on earth does it take so much effort to demonstrate that it might be true to an educated and informed audience? Shouldn't it be easy?"

If you were an evangelical, and familiar with the NT you should know better than to ask this question. Don't you recall the bits about "foolishness to the Greeks," and "not many wise..."? The Church has been dealing with 'intellectual' opposition since day one. But the opposition isn't really so much intellectual as it is moral. The faith isn't rejected primarily because it requires intellectual capitulation but because it requires moral capitulation.

"I don't know...my time as an Evangelical was spent in constant fear and anxiety...just trying to answer one argument against it after another...and being angry at God for making such arguments possible. I don't miss those days."

I'd argue that some of the problems you describe may be with Evangelicalism and not with Christianity per se. But even if that's not the case, having a constant 'apologetic' stance and attempting to answer all questions and rebut all attacks doesn't make for a satisfying approach to a world view, no matter what it is.

harvey lacey
May 12, 2008 8:56 AM

Thank you for your reasoned reply Rob.

What I'd like to offer is this observation. Christianity today is not the same Christianity of the time of Christ. That is because people have modified Christianity, relativism alive and well, to fit their perceptions of their world. So what we're seeing isn't the survival of Christianity but the evolution of a religion.

Christianity and Islam have both flourished for the same reason. They both bring a message of a personal god with very simplistic explanations for the questions that cause religiosity. That works as long as the believer sees it all being about themself. But when the believer embraces instead an us the personal god stuff doesn't work.

It's part and parcel of maturity I guess.

Gibz
May 12, 2008 9:02 AM

It's impossible to really project things like this. Just because the current generation has low church membership doesn't mean the next won't. In 30 years, I'd be surprised if levels of Christianity in Europe aren't quite substantially higher than it is now, both because of people looking for meaning and because of people rebelling against their elders. Plus, kids have been growing up for almost 20 years without the cold war, so who knows how that's affected how people view the world.

r.r. rivers
May 12, 2008 9:27 AM

"If you were an evangelical, and familiar with the NT you should know better than to ask this question. Don't you recall the bits about "foolishness to the Greeks," and "not many wise..."? The Church has been dealing with 'intellectual' opposition since day one. But the opposition isn't really so much intellectual as it is moral. The faith isn't rejected primarily because it requires intellectual capitulation but because it requires moral capitulation."

Please dude! The supposed intellectual challenges the ancient world could raise against Christianity IS NOTHING compared to what can be leveled against it today from all sides. This aint contra Celsus man!
The moral capitulation is the easy part!

"having a constant 'apologetic' stance and attempting to answer all questions and rebut all attacks doesn't make for a satisfying approach to a world view, no matter what it is"

Are you advocating uncritical acceptance of tradition? No thanks hombre.


Rob G
May 12, 2008 9:38 AM

"Christianity today is not the same Christianity of the time of Christ. That is because people have modified Christianity, relativism alive and well, to fit their perceptions of their world."

While this is true to a certain extent with peripheral matters, the irreducible nub of the religion, the actual 'stuff' of the the faith hasn't changed, and indeed cannot change, or the religion described will then be something other than Christianity.

"Christianity and Islam have both flourished for the same reason. They both bring a message of a personal god with very simplistic explanations for the questions that cause religiosity. That works as long as the believer sees it all being about themself. But when the believer embraces instead an us the personal god stuff doesn't work."

I'll pass by the comparison of Xianity and Islam. As for the rest, the idea that the former poses a faith that's all about the individual is simply false, and is based on a relatively recent interp of the thing. You won't find it in traditional Orthodoxy or Catholicism, for instance, where great weight is placed upon the corporate nature of belief. As an old Russian saying goes, "The only thing you can do by yourself is go to hell."

Rob G
May 12, 2008 9:49 AM

"The supposed intellectual challenges the ancient world could raise against Christianity IS NOTHING compared to what can be leveled against it today from all sides."

Uh, afraid not. With the possible exception of the questions Nietzsche raised, the vast majority of the contemporary arguments against Christianity and/or theism have been seen before, albeit in different guises and with different words.

"The moral capitulation is the easy part!"

Ha! Try convincing a secularist of the need to abstain from sex before marriage...

"Are you advocating uncritical acceptance of tradition?"

Why would you think that? What I'm saying is that if you constantly feel the need to be on the defensive re: your world view, the problem may not necessarily be with your world view.

David J. White
May 12, 2008 9:58 AM

The question is: have the British failed Christianity, or has Christianity failed the British.

Well, Daniel, when Britain was strongly Christian (and had a strong missionary impulse), it came to control a fifth of the globe. Now that it has all but abandoned Christianity it can't even stand up to invasion and dissolution from within. So I think the answer to that question is pretty clear: The British failed Christianity.

rombald
May 12, 2008 10:12 AM

"when Britain was strongly Christian (and had a strong missionary impulse), it came to control a fifth of the globe."

So you're saying that Christianity helps people to be effective imperialists?

John E.
May 12, 2008 10:17 AM

>>>>
So you're saying that Christianity helps people to be effective imperialists?
Posted by: rombald | May 12, 2008 10:12 AM
>>>>

Without a doubt, that is true.

Peter
May 12, 2008 10:19 AM

No,he is saying Christianity == imperialism.

John E.
May 12, 2008 10:33 AM

>>>
Ha! Try convincing a secularist of the need to abstain from sex before marriage...
Posted by: Rob G | May 12, 2008 9:49 AM
>>>>

Anecdoctal evidence suggests that a large percentage of Christians aren't all that convinced either - just saying ...

r.r. rivers
May 12, 2008 10:38 AM

"Uh, afraid not. With the possible exception of the questions Nietzsche raised, the vast majority of the contemporary arguments against Christianity and/or theism have been seen before, albeit in different guises and with different words."

Nietzsche?
What about Hume? Spinoza? Feuerbach? Lessing?
Umm...what about the sciences?
what about higher criticism of the Bible?

You're seriously ignorant if you think Paul had a harder time convincing the greeks than you would have convincing an anthropology or philosophy professor today.

That said...

Theism is easier to defend than Orthodox Christian belief...the two shouldn't be lumped together.

recovering ex-Pentecostal
May 12, 2008 10:44 AM

"When emerging Christianity confronts emerging Islam in the the third world, it will not be pretty."

Could someone please explain WHY faiths must "confront" each other? What's up with that?

World wide domination? Empire building?The joy of conquest?

"The reality is that those things [pubs, theatres, castels and nightclubs} grew out of a Christian culture."

Pardon me while I GUFFAW with laughter.

rick
May 12, 2008 10:49 AM

"The reality is that those things [pubs, theatres, castels and nightclubs} grew out of a Christian culture"

Reminds me of how Kierkegaard complained that only members of the Lutheran church could own brothels in Denmark.

Alicia
May 12, 2008 11:06 AM

It sounds like another aboriginal culture is dying off...who knows what will replace it?

Yes, there is certainly some sadness here. But, as someone who feels that identity politics have been very harmful I think more work needs to be done to figure out what the core identity should be. I tend to think citizenship first, then religion.

I agree with Rod that the religious crisis in Britain is very real -- I just don't know how one goes about reversing it when the pub and the soccer stadium seem to have replaced the church as the core institutions of British life.

MH
May 12, 2008 11:29 AM

Hmm, the "Modernity is Virus" thread claimed that Modernity infects other cultures an turns them into non-breeding, non-believers just like us. Now this thread claims that the native Brits are going to be overwhelmed by other religions/cultures. These two points of view seem to be in tension to me and only one can be correct.


Rod G: "The faith isn't rejected primarily because it requires intellectual capitulation, but because it requires moral capitulation."

From my point of view it requires intellectual capitulation before moral capitulation. The moral claims are only valid if I accept the existence of that specific God. For example many religions have food taboos, but neither of us likely accepts those food taboos as binding because we don't accept the existence of that version of God.

So you would need to convince me that your God exists before I'd accept the morality that God requires. Given the lack of evidence and evidence to the contrary, I choose non-belief in that specific God because it conforms with the evidence I perceive. I'm also not talking an abstract prime mover God, but the God of Abraham.


Someone else made the claim that it might be necessary to accept a noble lie to preserve society. This strikes me as fear based and not a good reason to believe. Granted it might be true, but I'd prefer to follow the ideals of the enlightenment and assume that the truth will not be harmful.

Franklin Evans
May 12, 2008 11:30 AM

Just to echo Mark in Houston and Harvey on one point: the Celt, Norse (Anglo-Saxon) and Germanic cultures that invaded/infused/informed the civilization as it developed in the British Isles is not the culture they have today. It is an amalgam, with interesting (and odd) combinations and tensions. The pre-Christian forms of each are gone, have been for a long time, but elements of them live on and are integral components of the current Christian culture of today and the historically recent past. There are distinct elements of Roman culture still there, both pre- and post-Christian.

The current "crisis" is the most recent incarnation of change. It's source is Islamic, but diverse within that as well. If one's POV is strictly Christian, by all means experience and express one's angst over it. In the meantime, though, be aware that the ghosts of the pre-Christian Celts and Norse are chuckling with great irony.

Tammy
May 12, 2008 11:34 AM

I knew England was home to lots of pagan worship (i.e., Druids). I know that many of our forebears came from there, but it seems to me that many of the "spook" shows I see on TV involving mediums investigating haints and boogers haunting places take place in the UK, Scotland, and Ireland. As a Christian myself, I've felt convicted at times about my enjoyment of watching such programs. I have watched them out of curiosity and for fun. I do, though, believe that spirits exist all around us--just that not everyone has the ability to sense or see them. I would think that they're (the UK's) fascination with the netherworld would make them more interested in Christianity than less so, but hey, what do I know....

Franklin Evans
May 12, 2008 11:54 AM

My cynical POV on it, Tammy, is that the UK is both easier to get to and a tourist draw for other reasons. I see it as cross marketing... um, as it were, all puns intended. ;-)

Bob
May 12, 2008 12:07 PM

Maybe if the Brits consumed a little more champagne and vodka they'd get back into the true 'spirit' of Christianity.

rr
May 12, 2008 12:22 PM

If trends persist, secularism or humanism won't last in the long run because it doesn't reproduce. In addition to being an untrue and vacuous belief, secularism is sterile as well. Not one nation in Western Europe today has replacement level birth rates. Not one.
The decline of Christianity in Europe is just part of the decline of Europe. By 2050, Christian churches in Europe may be at death's door. But if demographic trends continue, Europe itself will be a declining backwater with a strong Muslim population.
Christianity isn't doing well in Europe. But by its very nature, the current form of secularism cannot prosper because its adherents don't have many children and hence don't have a self-sustaining population. Of course things could turn around, but I'm not so optimistic that they will.

rr

John E.
May 12, 2008 12:22 PM

Why, if 'tis dancing you would be,
There's brisker pipes than poetry.
Say, for what were hop-yards meant,
Or why was Burton built on Trent?
Oh many a peer of England brews
Livelier liquor than the Muse,
And malt does more than Milton can
To justify God's ways to man.
Ale, man, ale's the stuff to drink
For fellows whom it hurts to think:
Look into the pewter pot
To see the world as the world's not.
--- A.E. Housman

little mermaid
May 12, 2008 12:27 PM

Proof that Britain is dying: Those "soldiers" who were taken hostage by Iran. They acted like little children. Not one of them showed backbone.

Maybe the Brits need to start reading Kipling again.

Bob
May 12, 2008 12:37 PM

In addition to being an untrue and vacuous belief, secularism is sterile as well.

Yeah, there's nothing like miracles and mysteries to keep your birth rate up. This is why Christianity is fading; too many 'Christians' are have their heads (and genitals) in apocalyptic books and websites. Why reproduce or show one iota of stewardship if Jesus is coming back tomorrow? Spend that college tuition money on a new SUV and a trip to Disney World. (and a few cases of Grey Goose to keep that guilty conscience at bay)

Rob G
May 12, 2008 12:37 PM

"You're seriously ignorant if you think Paul had a harder time convincing the greeks than you would have convincing an anthropology or philosophy professor today."

That's not the point. Paul dealt with the intellectuals of his time, Irenaeus with his, Augustine with his, etc., etc., and Christian philosophers of today -- Benedict XVI, Alvin Plantinga, David Bentley Hart, Alasdair McIntyre -- deal with contemporary agnostics and atheists. Whether they deal with them to your satisfaction is another issue. But please disavow yourself of the silly notion that all the valid arguments and intellectual firepower is on the side of unbelief.

"From my point of view it requires intellectual capitulation before moral capitulation. The moral claims are only valid if I accept the existence of that specific God."

This implies that one can analyze the intellectual component apart from the moral one. That may work if you wish to reason your way to the god of the philosophers or some sort of general all-purpose deity, but without a certain amount of humility and (dare I say it) obedience, you will get no further than that, and certainly not to the Christian God.

"In the meantime, though, be aware that the ghosts of the pre-Christian Celts and Norse are chuckling with great irony."

I doubt it, as those pagans would have fared considerably worse under Islam, and if those ghosts are sentient, they undoubtedly realize this by now.


Franklin Evans
May 12, 2008 12:49 PM

Sorry, Rob, but you obviously missed the point of the irony: those ghosts' amusement is in their imminent need to make room on the Former Religious Hegemony bleachers. It's not that they wanted to survive, or that their treatment might have been different. The conquerors are about to be conquered, at least according to all the reports in this thread.

BTW, a superficial examination of history would prove you right: the primary mode of conquest by the early Christian powers was economic, not military. One may freely speculate that things might have been worse for those pagan-cum-Christian cultures against the Islamic sword.

rr
May 12, 2008 12:55 PM

Bob,

Except Christianity isn't fading. The areas of the United States ("red states") where Christianity is more prevalent are the ones with the highest birth rate. Christians aren't without their problems (and many Christians such as myself aren't dispensationalist), and certainly materialism is rampant all over the West. But demographic numbers are a stubborn thing, and they show that secularist aren't reproducing. Unless the future is one of overall social and economic decline that comes with population decline, the future doesn't belong to secularists.
Demographics throw a big monkey wrench into the assumptions that secularists stuck with the old postivist narrative left over from the nineteenth century about "science" and "progress" relegating religion to the past and the secular future being a better one.

rr

Rob G
May 12, 2008 1:37 PM

"Sorry, Rob, but you obviously missed the point of the irony: those ghosts' amusement is in their imminent need to make room on the Former Religious Hegemony bleachers."

No, I got that part. I just happen to believe that many pre-Christian pagans are now enlightened as to whom they should be cheering for. ;-)

Franklin Evans
May 12, 2008 1:42 PM

If you mean Bronx cheers, I'll vouch for that. ;-)

Jillian
May 12, 2008 1:57 PM

But demographic numbers are a stubborn thing, and they show that secularist aren't reproducing.

I wonder why there are so many around, and apparently in ever increasing proportion of the population(s).

It seems as if the Birth Rate Gospel isn't all it's cracked up to be...shouldn't e.g. the Southern Baptists be continuing to grow if it were true? The RCC?

Daniel
May 12, 2008 2:16 PM

The areas of the United States ("red states") where Christianity is more prevalent are the ones with the highest birth rate.

Except for Utah, they are also the poorest states with the lowest education levels. Study after study have shown that beyond Mormons, Christians don't have more babies; poor people have more babies.

mdavid
May 12, 2008 2:19 PM

rr, secularism is sterile

True. Ethnic fertility data for England is hard to come by, but for London we have:

Bangladeshi.......3.3
Pakistani.........2.8
Black African.....2.3
Indian............1.6
White.............1.3

(Fertility of Ethnic Groups in London 2003)

But this is no mystery. Caucasians were a big chunck of the world population at the height of their religosity and expansion, but modernity, wealth, and feminism have taken their toll:

(rough estimates)
1950: 25%
2000: 17%
2050: 10% (proj)
2100: 6% (proj)

Does anyone really think Europe/America/Canada/Oz will suddenly turn religious and patriarchal like old times within 40 or even 90 years? LOL; heck, the West is fighting over gay marriage. There will of course be rapid increases among the few local religious, especially in America, but not nearly enough to compete with immigraton or make a difference in worldwide numbers until well past 2100...and by then Westerners will be a negligible percentage of the world, and will simply fade into other cultures. Bye-bye.

Personally, I think it is kind of funny: even when confronted with hard data, arrogant Westerners still can't accept it's over for them. St John: For you say, I am rich, I have prospered, and I need nothing... How many times in history has a people risen from humility and obscurity only to fall into the trap of power, wealth, and finally decline? And then Jesus dutifully heads into the byways and backroads to find another humble tribe to invite to the party. Hello, Africa!

Alicia
May 12, 2008 2:22 PM

John E, thanks for your offering of the A.E. Housman poem. I've heard parts of it before, of course, but it's quite appropriate to the subject, I think. (Can't help but picture A.E. Housman as looking like the late, great John Houseman.)

Bob
May 12, 2008 2:22 PM

But demographic numbers are a stubborn thing, and they show that secularist aren't reproducing.
Your aversion to 'secular humanism' really has you tied up in intellectual knots, doesn't it? You're equating fecundity/fertility with spirituality. Rod's lamenting Islam's fertility as proof of Britain's demise. Which is it? Would you rather have more secular humanists or Muslims? Given Christendom's miserable environmental record, give me humanists any day.

John E.
May 12, 2008 2:31 PM

My pleasure, Alicia - glad you enjoyed it.

mdavid
May 12, 2008 2:32 PM

Daniel Study after study have shown that beyond Mormons, Christians don't have more babies; poor people have more babies.

Not true; if you look at the 20 Pew's classifications of religious and isolate what the effect a person's religion has on having children independent of money, that is, what "propagation score" each religion gives:

Positive, religion is good for children:
1. Mormon 16.1
2. Muslim 5.0
3. Catholic 3.6
7. Greek Orthodox 0.6
8. Protestant (Evangelical) 0.5

Negative, demographic death ahead:
14. Atheist (2.3)
15. Non-Greek Orthodox (2.7)
16. Agnostic (3.4)
17. Secular (Unaffiliated) (3.8)
20. New Age (5.1)

So, while money is a considerable factor (0.44 correlation), religion also is a large factor.

Bob, You're equating fecundity/fertility with spirituality.

Yep. That's what the data shows.

Rob G
May 12, 2008 2:38 PM

"Given Christendom's miserable environmental record, give me humanists any day."

The miserableness of this record has been much exaggerated. See, among others, Wendell Berry on this, specifically his essay "Christianity and the Survival of Creation."

rr
May 12, 2008 2:45 PM

Bob,

Certainly wealth is a factor, but fecundity and spiritually seem pretty closely tied together in recent decades, especially when it comes to replacement level birth rates. Since Europeans are becoming secular and not reproducing in enough numbers while Muslim immigration increases the Muslim population in Europe, Europe will decline and may ultimately meet its demise (demise at least meaning belonging to Western civilization) through a combination of both. It's not an either/or scenario.
It's funny you bring up environmentalism. Actually, "secular humanism" easily has the worst environmental record. Communism, which was officially atheistic and hostile to religion, was the most widespread form of "secular humanism" during the twentieth century. In the 1970s and 1980s, something like one-third of Soviet rivers were polluted. The Soviets also brought us Chernobyl, while industry in many Eastern European nations were notorious for producing acid rain.

rr

Bob
May 12, 2008 2:47 PM

Bob, You're equating fecundity/fertility with spirituality.

Yep. That's what the data shows.

If that's the case, put a fork in it. Christianity's dead. And so are all the rest of the 'birth rate' religions. Anyone can and will reproduce. You've put sexual intercourse and procreation as the ultimate goal. Not one careless thought for planetary stewardship. He who has the most children is the most holy. How vain and short-sighted.

Jeff Sullivan
May 12, 2008 2:49 PM

"The reality is that those things [pubs, theatres, castels and nightclubs} grew out of a Christian culture."

Pardon me while I GUFFAW with laughter.

It is a laughable line in the sense that the items mentioned (pubs, theatres, castrels and nightclubs) don't exactly intone piousness - the exhortation of James 4:4 comes to mind (friendship with the world is enmity with God). But work backward for a minute. Would the pubs and theatres exist without the English tradition of liberty, borne of English mercantilism? If England had not been Christian, would it have embraced economic liberalism?

It's interesting to note that a huge number of countries that are not free are also without, or have turned their back on, a strong Christian tradition. I can not, therefore, believe that the oncoming demise of Christianity in Britain won't lead to a decline in the amount of liberty in that country. In fact, I would add that this trend has already begun.

rr
May 12, 2008 2:50 PM

P.S. By the most widespread form of "secular humanism" in the twentieth century I'm referring to something like one-third of the earth's population living under a Communist government during a good portion of the twentieth century, 1949-1989.
I should have also noted that Mao and Communist China also have an especially horrid environmental record.

rr

Daniel
May 12, 2008 2:51 PM

So, while money is a considerable factor (0.44 correlation), religion also is a large factor.

Except you proved my point. I noted Mormons as an outlier. Muslims aren't Christian, which was the point of my argument. Catholics are significant, but once you factor out Latinos the number is much smaller. Greek Orthodox are such a tiny tiny group that they have no real impact on the overall birth rate. And Evangelicals are breeding at rates of poor people. Is their birth rate a product of their faith or their economics?

Rob G
May 12, 2008 3:01 PM

"Evangelicals are breeding at rates of poor people. Is their birth rate a product of their faith or their economics?"

This seems to imply that most evangelicals are poor, which isn't true. But in any case, imagine what a difference it would make demographically if the evangelicals (and other Christians) stopped buying into the error of the contraceptive culture.

mdavid
May 12, 2008 3:08 PM

Daniel, Catholics are significant, but once you factor out Latinos the number is much smaller.

This is true. However, if we were to back out data for "orthodox" Christians (ones who take their religion seriously) we would see a much higher correlation. It's just hard to get this data.


And Evangelicals are breeding at rates of poor people. Is their birth rate a product of their faith or their economics?

All these fertility scores are with the economics factored out. Poor Evangelicals show very high birth rates, but these numbers have merely factored out the poverty effect. This probably slants the data against "evangelicals" a bit because I believe they are probably statistically poorer among whites. It's really tough to say; "evangelical" is merely a self-defined term that really means nothing, as they don't agree on any doctrine. Even Cathlics will call themselves "evangelical" - popular today, gone tomorrow.

Also: another weakness with the data is that many argue because the "true" Christian deliberately lives poor, Christianity has a much larger effect than the numbers will show once you pull the wealth factor out. There is at least some truth to this; many Christians I know make much less money than they would if they were secular.

Jillian
May 12, 2008 3:34 PM

Yep. That's what the data shows.

You don't reconcile that with the facts of church membership stagnation and decline. If Mormons are so prolific, why are their numbers stagnant? Why is the percentage of American population that calls itself Christian falling?

I can tell you why. In my mother's side of my family, where there's a lot of Christian identification, there's pretty abrupt generational difference in what Christian means. The oldest generation is all rockribbed reactionaries. The youngest are all social and nominal/passive Christians. When the social enforcement by the oldest generation ends, they'll admit to being for practical purposes agnostic. Of course, in statistical surveys they'll all register as Christian, high birth rate, and whatnot.

Daniel
May 12, 2008 3:45 PM

if we were to back out data for "orthodox" Christians (ones who take their religion seriously) we would see a much higher correlation. It's just hard to get this data.

And, at this point, the numbers are getting so small and so ill-defined, they become meaningless and merely anecdotes.


Bob
May 12, 2008 3:48 PM

P.S. By the most widespread form of "secular humanism" in the twentieth century I'm referring to something like one-third of the earth's population living under a Communist government during a good portion of the twentieth century, 1949-1989.

If that's your definition of "humanism" then my definition of Christianity is John Hagee, Jim Jones and Robert Tilton. I'm referring to humanists like Neil Postman, Isaac Asimov, Lewis Mumford, Stephen Jay Gould, Carl Sagan, Kurt Vonnegut, Richard Dawkins, Arthur C. Clark and countless other lesser-known humanists.

mdavid
May 12, 2008 3:55 PM

Jillian, I think there is a lot of truth to your anecdote, and the bulk of so-called "Christians" in the West are headed to secularism and extinction within a few hundred years. Materialism is a tough nut to crack.

However, there is a firm number of othrodox Christians floating around as well. Their growth rates are very large, but because their initial numbers are small when compared to the parent population they will likely be overwhelmed by other religious immigrants over time (especially in Europe).

rr
May 12, 2008 4:24 PM

It's not my definition of humanism, but Communism was certainly the most prevalent form of self-described "secular humanism" in the twentieth century. Communism was officially atheistic, claimed to be "scientific," "enlightened," and had a view of "historical progress" that was quite similar to nineteenth century Postivism. Communists also had an ethical system that wasn't based on religion, and they believed that Communism would lead to a better, freer society by bringing down capitalism and ultimately creating a classless society.
Many if not most atheist in the twentieth century world were in fact Communists. There really is no way of getting around this. The group of intellectuals you cite and their followers are minor secular humanist players in comparison to the impact of Communism. Hagee's views by contrast are held by a small minority of Christians. Most Christians today aren't dispensationalist and don't drive SUVS.

rr

Bob
May 12, 2008 4:47 PM

Many if not most atheist in the twentieth century world were in fact Communists. There really is no way of getting around this.

You're equivocating - contemporary humanist thought has very little, if nothing to do with 20th century Communism as practiced in USSR, China, et al. Nor does contemporary atheism ala Dawkins. This is the age old "no morality except through my religion" fallacy. Contemporary humanism concerns itself with the ethical use of the biological world as it effects the health and well-being of all humans and the environment. And it does this without resorting to assertions of miracles and claims of the supernatural to buttress their causes, or lack thereof.

And call it coincidence if you like, but our nominally Christian nation consumes more energy and generates more waste and pollution than any other nation on earth. More energy than non-Christian Russia, China and India combined. By orders of magnitude, compared to some 'developing,' non-Christian nations.

Rob G
May 12, 2008 4:57 PM

"contemporary humanist thought has very little, if nothing to do with 20th century Communism as practiced in USSR, China, et al."

No doubt due to a certain amount of desire for damage control. The most demonstrably atheistic regimes of the 20th century were also the most bloodthirsty. And please, none of the nonsense about communism not being inherently atheistic. Another name for communism is dialectical materialism. That second word implies atheism.

Bob
May 12, 2008 5:05 PM

And please, none of the nonsense about communism not being inherently atheistic.

I offered no such nonsense, it was all yours. Because some - not all - humanists are atheists, it doesn't follow that they are communists, or approve of communism as practiced today or during the 20th century, spy-vs-spy, cold-war.

rr
May 12, 2008 5:26 PM

Bob,

"Contemporary humanists" as you describe them as such a tiny group, and the focus on the environment is a very recent one. They simply aren't very representative of the vast majority of "secular humanists," people on this earth in the last century or more who 1) were atheists and/or denied the existence of the supernatural 2) exalted "science" and "reason" to a high level, pointing to it as the solutions to mankind's problems 3) believed in "historical progress" via science 4) had an ethical system not based on religion.
The vast majority of people operated under said assumptions in last century were Communists. Sorry, but if Communists weren't "secular humanists" then "secular humanists" are simply a small group of Western intellectuals. Of course THOSE group of "secular humanist" wouldn't have much of a negative environmental impact, because they are too small to be of much importance at all. Either "secular humanism" includes Communism, which means it has a pretty awful environmental and human rights record, or it doesn't and it is just a movement among intellectuals, perhaps comparable to Dadism or existentialism.
The high levels of pollution in Communist nations wasn't a coincidence. It was the result of a command economies run by officially atheist regimes. And even if you continue to deny that Communism was a form of "secular humanism," it clearly was atheistic.

rr

P.S. I may not be able to comment here again today because of time restraints.

Bob
May 12, 2008 5:34 PM

Either "secular humanism" includes Communism, which means it has a pretty awful environmental and human rights record, or it doesn't and it is just a movement among intellectuals, perhaps comparable to Dadism or existentialism.

I have no problem including Communism in "secular humanism" as long as you can include the incomparable material greed of the West and the imperial rape of the Middle East in Christianity, and if it doesn't, then it's just a movement among the superstitious, comparable to any other messianic cult.

blimy
May 12, 2008 5:47 PM

England's non-Christianity is not news. It was true when I lived there in 1989 and was probably true a generation or two before that. Most accounts I've read said the church basically lost it around the turn of the 19th-20th century when the church lost the working class.

I can attest that walking to church in 1989 on a Sunday morning was lonelier than being out on the street at 4 a.m. There was literally no one else about and you were always amazed to get to Mass and find the church actually 3/4 full. The situation among Catholics was better than among Anglicans ... still, I remember the "pro-life vigil" the Catholic Church announced. I went to find ONE person there.

I worked in a factory where church attendance was uncontemplated, unknown. I guess you'd say the general attitude towards believers was "well, everyone needs a hobby."


rr
May 12, 2008 6:24 PM

Bob,

This will be my last post on this, but sorry, we just aren't going to agree. And I think you are just in denial on the basic facts with respect to the shared traits of Communism and "secular humanism." Sorry, but grouping Western imperialism with Christianity is much, much broader than the very specific set of things (the four points I listed previously for example) that Communists and the small group of thinkers you seem to think represents "secular humanism" hold in common.
The most popular form of atheism and secular humanism in the last century was shaped by works like Mao's "Little Red Book" than by anything Dawkins or Hitchens every wrote.

rr

AnotherBeliever
May 13, 2008 12:42 AM

Muslims are People of the Book.

Rob G
May 13, 2008 9:04 AM

"Muslims are People of the Book"

They just have the wrong book.

Bob
May 13, 2008 9:53 AM

The most popular form of atheism and secular humanism in the last century was shaped by works like Mao's "Little Red Book" than by anything Dawkins or Hitchens every wrote.

And the most popular form of Christianity in the last century elected George Bush to office.

Simon
May 13, 2008 12:57 PM

Bob, drawing a moral equivalence between George Bush and Mao doesn't exactly enhance your credibility.

Bob
May 13, 2008 1:48 PM

Bob, drawing a moral equivalence between George Bush and Mao doesn't exactly enhance your credibility.

Gee, I'm crushed. Who knew there were so many Bush loyalists hangin' at CC? See, from my perspective, the Bush administration has done more damage to the United States, Christianity and the concept of democracy than any other person or institution in the history of our fair country. The Bush administration, a Christian administration, told more lies and killed more innocent people than Mao ever did.

Come to think of it, comparing Bush to Mao is an insult to Mao.

pyrrho
May 13, 2008 3:07 PM

Bob: "The Bush administration ... killed more innocent people than Mao ever did."

Hmmm ...

Land Reform of 1949-53 = 2-5 million dead
100 Flowers Campaign = 0.5 million dead
Great Leap Forward = 14-43 million dead
Cultural Revolution = 0.5 million dead

Mao is up to 17-49 million dead, and I didn't even get to WWII and the Chinese Civil War.

I think Bush has a way to go before he catches the Great Helmsman.

Bob
May 13, 2008 3:30 PM

I think Bush has a way to go before he catches the Great Helmsman.

Yes, hyperbole got the best of me there. It'll be a while before Bush's legacy for death and deceit is fully realized.

Susan
May 13, 2008 5:21 PM

Lots of Polish Catholics moving to Britain. Anyone notice that? Or are only ethnic Brits eligible to be counted?

rr
May 13, 2008 5:23 PM

Bob,

I think Bush has on the whole been a pretty bad president. But your hatred of him and wild exaggerations of his administration, as well as your projection of the environmental indifference of a small group of American christians (small at least in comparison to the world total) is pretty telling. If you even remotely think that the Iraq war, or even Bush's environmental record, is anything near Mao's environmental record and death toll, you really need to go read up on all this a bit more.
One would think that the ocean of blood (something like 85 million killed in the 20th century) shed by atheistic Communist government and the massive pollution they caused just might make Bush's many idiocies not seem as bad. A little perspective would be nice here.

rr

Bob
May 13, 2008 6:10 PM

A little perspective would be nice here.

I suppose you're right. In comparison to Mao, Bush doesn't look quite as bad, but then Bush is still alive and his debacle in the Middle East is just getting started. The body count in Iraq is only what, 250,000 or so? America is still the world's number one polluter though. We use more energy than China, Russia and India COMBINED and our god-given right to consume at that voracious rate is non-negotiable, just ask Dick Cheney.

Jillian
May 13, 2008 7:25 PM


The body count in Iraq is only what, 250,000 or so?

To be honest, American actions might account for 50,000 of that. Iraqis themselves see Americans killing Iraqis as an unnecessary addition and intensifier to the basic fact of Iraqis killing Iraqis.

America is still the world's number one polluter though. We use more energy than China, Russia and India COMBINED and our god-given right to consume at that voracious rate is non-negotiable, just ask Dick Cheney.

Well, that may be, but some group of people will always be the world's greatest polluters some will be the greatest consumers of material resources.

We could provide some level of excuse for being one (or both) of those groups by uniquely having things of universal value to show for it. This has been the USA's line of argument, really. We had to consume lots of materials to prevail in WW2 and the Cold War. Presently, we claim to have to consume inordinately because we produce the great advances in science and technology, and providing of aid and democracy and higher standards of civilization and creativity and hope and other Good Things in the world.

Except that during the Bush/Cheney era the USA has flagrantly failed to hold up our end of the bargain in the eyes of the world- and those leaders and their colonialist ethos Party have claimed natural entitlement to own and use up the resources of the world.

Rob G
May 14, 2008 7:45 AM

"Except that during the Bush/Cheney era the USA has flagrantly failed to hold up our end of the bargain in the eyes of the world- and those leaders and their colonialist ethos Party have claimed natural entitlement to own and use up the resources of the world."

Hear, hear. It's impossible, IMO, to justify the current administration's unfathomable wrongheadedness.

Still, to compare Bush with Mao is blithering idiocy, moonbat loony-tunism, or a combination of both.

Alicia
May 14, 2008 1:17 PM

The soul of Britain appears to be flourishing in at least one respect -- Britain produces the greatest actors (male and female) in the world.

I love actors, and there are a lot of good American actors. But, Britain has an embarrassment of riches in this regard, thanks largely to the Bard.

Your Name
January 16, 2009 6:47 PM

THE WEST REFUSES TO SERVE JESUS BUT IT WOULD SERVE ARABS

Yes,the West is killing Christianity in the name of civilization, mordernization and freedom. But Westerners and their Children are going to pay a dear price.

Fortunately Africa and Asia etc are gradually abandoning Western Christianity for semitic Christianity, which is the original Christianity any way.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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