Crunchy Con

Third time's a charm for GOP

Wednesday May 14, 2008

Categories: Republicans
Ruh-roh! The Republicans just lost a third House seat in a special election -- this one in Mississippi. When they lost Denny Hastert's seat in Illinois and Richard Baker's seat in Louisiana, they blamed weak candidates. Whose fault is this...
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Comments
RJohnson
May 14, 2008 9:05 AM

One definition of insanity is doing the same thing, over and over, while expecting different results each time.

Go ahead, GOP. Run the Wright ads. Tie local candidates to Obama and Wright. And when the GOP loses their filibuster margin and starts looking like the Whigs, maybe they will figure out something.

It's the economy, stupid.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 9:19 AM

Rod, you're right, this IS disastrous news for the GOP and especially for the GOP leadership in the House. The Democrats were very shrewd to run a CONSERVATIVE candidate for this seat in Mississippi. It's the same strategy they employed in 2006 (e.g., Heath Shuler in North Carolina). Very smart, very clever -- at least in the short run.

However, thera are two potential silver linings in all this:

(1) Where the Democrats run solidly liberal candidates in marginal Districts, they run the risk of losing. In my home state in New England, for example, the Dems picked up two Congressional seats in the 2006 elections. Both of these first-term Dems are seeking re-election in November. The hard-left, moveon.org incumbent, however, is in serious trouble of losing her seat and is behind in the polls. The other first-termer, though, is more moderate in his approach and appears in good shape to win a second term.

(2) In a national election with popular conservative candidates at the top of the ticket, down-ticket GOP candidates in conservative Districts should fare better in those circumstances than in a special election. In other words, Childers may have won as a CONSERVATIVE Democrat in a special election, but let's see how he fares this November when Mississippi voters in his district will be looking at a a very liberal candidate at the top of the Democratic ticket.

The silver linings notwithstanding, these off-year special election results ARE disastrous news for the GOP.

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 9:30 AM

Reaganite, is that a dirge you are whistling as you walk past that graveyard? The Democrats have run consistently conservative candidates in that Mississippi district for years, and it's always gone GOP.

It wasn't the type of candidate that changed this year, Reaganite. It's the electorate. They are tired of the GOP urinating on their legs and telling them it's raining. They are tired of the GOP spending our country into oblivion and sending our troops off to wars that should never have been fought. And they are tired of an administration that cares more for large corporate interests than the working folk in this country.

Take, for example, the bill being considered to provide some relief to homeowners in danger of losing their homes. The President is planning a veto of the bill because he is worried it might benefit some speculators. He had no problem with Bear-Stearns being bailed out of their hugely speculative ventures over the past years?

The President gave up golf for the war. A huge sacrifice. Lots of us have given up loved ones for their third, and in some cases fourth tour of duty in Iraq. Over 4,000 have given up their loved ones forever.

So please, let the President play golf. Let him play with a full bag of clubs...shoved where the sun won't shine.

Hunk Hondo
May 14, 2008 9:34 AM

I note that Vice-President Cheney had been brought in to save the day. There's a certain grim satisfaction in reflecting that, even in what should have been a bullet-proof Republican district, that may not have been the wisest thing to do.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 9:40 AM

RJohnson:

Interesting comment (at 9:05 AM), but I think you're mistaken on two counts:

First, you're right that it was dumb to try to tie the Dem. candidate in the special election (Childers) to Wright/Obama ... since, after all, Obama was not on the ballot and is not even the nominee (yet). And expecially since Childers -- as a conservative Democrat -- was rightly perceived by the voters there as having more in common with Ronald Reagan and John McCain than he does with Walter Mondale and Barack Obama. However, in conservative Districts this fall it will make plenty of sense to tie Democratic congressional candidates to the person at the top of the ticket and to any of their notorious "spiritual mentors." Guilt by association works, otherwise Obama wouldn't be trying to tie McCain to Bush 43. For the same reason, the GOP will likewise try to tie Obama to Rezko, Ayres, Wright ... and, while we're at it, to Michelle :-)

Second, it's not "about the economy, stupid." It's more about the war. Fatigue with this war is what PRIMARILY cost the GOP the Congress in 2006 (though there were other factors). Yes, the economy looks wobbly, but most people still say THEIR situation is fine -- they just think the other guy is hurting. I think it is anxiety about our situation in Iraq which is really driving the dissatisfaction with the GOP. In any event, we'll know for sure the day AFTER the November election, won't we :-)

Mhoram
May 14, 2008 10:08 AM

I'm a little confused; we've known for a long time that the GOP was going to take it in the shorts this time, right? Thanks to turning victory into stalemate in Iraq, spending like Liberal Democrats, treating tax cuts like a gift from Uncle Sam on our birthday, encouraging maximum immigration legal or otherwise, and doing nothing to advance conservative social issues, they've managed to annoy every part of the base except CEOs wanting to profit from cheap foreign labor. Did someone think the Republicans weren't going to take a beating this time? Based on what?

The presidency might be another matter, because the Dems have put up two weak candidates, but that doesn't change what's coming in Congress.

Other Jim
May 14, 2008 10:20 AM

The big thing is that conservatives hate McCain. Therefore, running a negative campaign fails because they hate everybody at the top. The GOP Congress needs to consider McCain an enemy and run on their own issues, such as drilling in ANWR, no carbon taxes, no amnesty, etc. We know McCain will sell out his own party to work with Dems, and Republicans sold themselves out with Bush. It's a Parliament of Whores. I want to see a chastity belt.

LeNi
May 14, 2008 10:29 AM

I don't think this is primarily a McCain issue. Yes, the conservative Republicans that I know don't like McCain. But many are planning to vote for him, because he will likely make more conservative judicial appointments than either of the Dems.

I've been responding to Republican fund raisers (email, snail mail, phone calls, etc.) for more than the last two years telling them that I was not going to send any more $$ support until the Republicans start acting like conservatives again.

I will vote for the more conservative candidate rather than stay home, but I know that all traditional Republican voters won't do that. Until elected Republicans start acting like the conservatives we thought we elected, many people will not send $$, or spend time walking neighborhoods, or staffing phone banks, etc. in their support.

LeNi

Simon
May 14, 2008 10:48 AM

The GOP's problem is its unquestioning support for the Iraq War.

While serving military personnel continue to support the war more than the general public does, the communities they come from -- mainly in the South, the Midwest, and small towns -- feel the strain. yet there is no nuance, no regret, no sublety to the way most Republicans approach the issue, and so there is no end to the war in sight.

It doesn't help, of course, that the Republicans proved to be unprincipled spenders over the past 8 years. Nor that such an astonishing number of blatantly corrupt GOP congressmen remain in office impervious to the demands of decency that they leave -- Larry Craig, Ted Stevens, David Vitter, Rick Renzi, Vito Fossella, John Doolittle.

But in a sense, those other things are just epiphenomena. The GOP has long been the national security party. On Iraq, they've blown a major national security issue, at least as far as the public is concerned, and they aren't willing to allow any second-guessing of it. Time for a housecleaning.

watsy
May 14, 2008 11:04 AM

I have to agree that it's the economy. Americans don't seem to pay much attention to Iraq. I never hear anyone talking about it at community functions. Gas prices? Dairy prices? Produce prices? Health care insurance mess- higher employee payouts and paperwork nightmare after receiving care? Those are the kinds of things that have people upset, disgusted, and ready to toss GWB, his corporate loving cronies and the GOP.

Conservatives might not vote for McCain, but older, white, blue collar Americans who normally vote for the Democrat might go for him. I have an uncle who said that he's voting for McCain because he's the best Democrat. My father agrees with me. McCain is too old for the job. That's something that the media isn't discussing because it's not politically correct to say something like that, but most people start to show signs of the normal aging process around that age. The brain starts to atrophy just like all the other muscles in our body, and it's harder to remember and be quick on our feet.

It will be an interesting election.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 11:14 AM

Mhoram:

Re: your 10:08 post, I hear your frustration as a conservative with the GOP. I agree with a lot of what you say .... HOWEVER ...

Your comment that the GOP did "nothing to advance conservative social issues" is something I keep seeing here and over at the Kuo blog ... and I think it TOTALLY wrong-headed.

Social conservatives aren't getting all they want out of Washington ... but they're getting a lot more than if you had Democrats in control of the White House AS WELL as the Congress.

Do you think that a President Obama would recommend folks like John Roberts or Sam Alito to the Supreme Court ... or would his nominees more likely line-up with Ruth Ginsberg and David Souter on the Court? How does the sound of "Justice Laurence Tribe" feel to you this morning?

Would a President Obama veto legislative attempts to sanction gay marriage and/or gay unions? Would he veto attempts to provide federal funds for the entirely gratuitious embyronic stem cell research? Would he veto attempts to overturn the federal ban on late term abortions? Would he veto attempts to abolish "don't ask, don't tell" in the military? Would a President Obama receive Pope Benedict XVI at the WH with the same affection and awe that we saw from President Bush this past April? Who is more likely to end up sleeping in the Lincoln Bedroom in an Obama White House: Rosie O'Donnell (with her "partner") or Elizabeth Hasselbeck (with her husband)?

Remember, this is a man who said (in a debate with Hillary) that his vote to put a hold on Terri Schiavo's extermination was his single biggest regret as a US Senator. Who single-handledly blocked in the Illinois State Senate a bill to ban late-term abortions ... because he was concerned about the constitutional ramifications of granting legal personhood to the fetus emerging from the womb. Who told a Pennsylvania audience about not wanting to wish on a young woman the "terrible fate" of an unplanned pregnancy. Who now wants us to think that he really didn't attend church at TUCC as often as he previously led us to believe.

Nothing would make social conservatives pine for the days of Bush 43 more than would four years of an Obama Presidency coupled with Democratic control of Congress.

Stop whining! No matter which party is in control of Washington, we are dealing with a cultural establishment (media, Hollywood) that is simply hostile to our values. Belief in the Gospel of Christ has been replaced, as has been noted recently on this board, with "Moral Therapeutic Deism" in the minds of at least two generations now. Social conservatives should stop blaming the GOP and get back to work at the grassroots level (and in non-political ways) to rebuild the culture. And be grateful for what little help we're able to get from Washington.

Susan
May 14, 2008 11:17 AM

It will be interesting. I'm noticing a lot of people my age (62) and older bringing up the age issue re Mr. McCain amongst ourselves. We know first-hand what being over 70 means (or those of us short of it can guess), and most of us don't think a man that age is up to the job. This too: seniors vote.

But really it's just time. The way we run things here, one party tires out, and then the other party comes in with fire in its belly and takes over and gets some things done and then tires out in its turn. Then we have a divided government for a bit while everyone admits all this, then we throw the party in power out of power and bring in the new-old guys who now have fire in the belly and so forth. Just every so often whoever is running the thing has run out of ideas. That's what's happened to the Republicans. They are not of themselves less able to bring about growth, they're just tired out. And they've made some serious mistakes both domestically (the economy) and internationally (the war), so it's time to get rid of them. Time for a change.

The Democrats will get some stuff done, and in due course they'll tire out in turn, and so forth.

Aristotle says the best form of government is the philosopher-king. This is great except that we can't find one, and if we did find one we can't solve the problems of succession. Churchill said the worst form of government is democracy except for every other form.

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 11:17 AM

Reaganite: "Second, it's not "about the economy, stupid." It's more about the war. Fatigue with this war is what PRIMARILY cost the GOP the Congress in 2006 (though there were other factors). Yes, the economy looks wobbly, but most people still say THEIR situation is fine -- they just think the other guy is hurting. I think it is anxiety about our situation in Iraq which is really driving the dissatisfaction with the GOP. In any event, we'll know for sure the day AFTER the November election, won't we :-)"

Well, if exit polls are to be believed at all, the war is not the top concern of voters this year.

www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/issues/index.html

According to this poll, the economy was top concern among 42% of the electorate. This parallels other polls that have been published in the last month or two. And if gasoline prices continue to climb over the summer (we're being told to look for $5.00/gallon here in Iowa) that concern will remain near at the top of the list.

Pocketbook issues always trump other issues. The reason is that if it is not your pocketbook feeling the squeeze at the moment, yours may be next. Job insecurity, continued inflation with food and energy costs, and continued uncertainty in the housing market are strong drivers for this concern.

If the GOP is going to salvage anything for this fall, they are going to have to do something significant, like override the veto that Bush is promising on the housing bailout bill.

As for your guilt by association, it's easier to associate someone with President Bush when they have a voting record to refer to in commercials. Showing how McCain so often supported the failed policies of Bush is fairly simple...just show the votes.

Making the case that Wright is going to influence Obama is less so. People are starting to tire of the sound bites. Their pocketbook is speaking louder than their television. And having talking head conservatives tell them that things are not really that bad does nothing to assure them that the GOP understands the nature of the problem. It makes them sound more and more like the party of the corporate interests and millionaires.


recovering ex-Pentecostal
May 14, 2008 11:26 AM

"First, you're right that it was dumb to try to tie the Dem. candidate in the special election (Childers) to Wright/Obama ... since, after all, Obama was not on the ballot"

Um, Reaganite, I hate to be the one to break the news to you, but neither was Wright on the ballot. The man isn't running to be the President and the electorate are smart enough to figure that out.

"in conservative Districts this fall it will make plenty of sense to tie Democratic congressional candidates to the person at the top of the ticket and to any of their notorious "spiritual mentors."

That makes no more "sense" than tieing Republican congressional candidates to John Hagee (who also isn't running to be the President).

"Guilt by association works, otherwise Obama wouldn't be trying to tie McCain to Bush 43."

McCain ties himself to Bush only instead of chanting "4 more years" it's going to be "100 more years".

"GOP will likewise try to tie Obama to Rezko, Ayres, Wright"

So the Swiftboating has already begun. No wonder the voting public distrusts Republican tactics so much.

recovering ex-Pentecostal
May 14, 2008 11:30 AM

"Would a President Obama veto legislative attempts to sanction gay marriage and/or gay unions? ... Would he veto attempts to abolish "don't ask, don't tell" in the military?"

Why would any sane (not to mention compassionate) person of either political persuasion do that?

Aren't ALL people created equal in America anymore? Why these special rights for betterosexuals?

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 11:35 AM

"Social conservatives should stop blaming the GOP and get back to work at the grassroots level (and in non-political ways) to rebuild the culture."

On this point I agree with you, Reaganite. Social conservatives have, for FAR too long, been looking to Washington for change. All the energy that has been thrown into political ends for the past 25 years...think of what might have been accomplished if they had thrown half that much energy into revitalizing their own communities. Think of what might have happened if they had been working not only to outlaw abortion but also to decrease their numbers through education and provision of services in their own communities. And think of how many people could have been off the food-stamp rolls if they had focused some of the energy on the hungry in their own community.

25 years of energy, and what do they have to show for it? 25 years of carrying water for the GOP...and do they even have a bowl of pottage to show for it?

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 11:36 AM

RJohnson:

Maybe you're right that it will be the economy and not the war. We'll know soon enough.

By the way, if it is the economy, what are Obama's credentials? Where does he stand on controlling wasteful government spending? Is he opposed to earmarks (like McCain)? Has he demonstrated the same political courage as McCain in going against his own party and "crossing the aisle" to hammer out solutions? Or is he rigidly partisan -- as his voting record in the US Senate suggests he is? How come he is rated the most liberal Senator, and is an extreme left-wing approach to the economy the way to get us back on track? As bad as things are now, won't they get a lot worse under Barack?

Does the "Audacity of Hope" pay the monthly mortgage? You may be right in saying that voters are getting tired of the "sound bites" but apparently not the ones in West Virginia who voted yesterday. Perhaps what they're tired of is all the hot rhetoric from a candidate who seems otherwise tongue-tied (and condescending) when he's not reading off the teleprompter.

Charles Cosimano
May 14, 2008 11:54 AM

It's the economy. Everyone at the corner bar where I do my polling talks about the price of gas. No one at all even mentions Iraq.

No one cares about Iraq anymore. It does not affect anyone who does not have someone in the military directly and thus at most it is an annoying something on the news that is quickly forgotten.

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 11:54 AM

"You may be right in saying that voters are getting tired of the "sound bites" but apparently not the ones in West Virginia who voted yesterday."

You mean the voters in a state where folks still believe Obama to be a Muslim?

Tell me, Reaganite, do you think Obama is a Muslim?

Lord Karth
May 14, 2008 11:55 AM

There's an old phrase, something to the effect of "Whenever the crops fail, kill the king". That's what's likely going to happen this fall.
BTY (Bush the Younger, for those of you in Our Studio Audience) is a Republican in a time of PERCEIVED economic hardship.

What people see--or, more importantly, what they are shown--goes a long way towards determining how they "think". People can easily see the numbers on the gas pumps going up--visibly. People can easily see the price of a loaf of bread going up---visibly. Even though most Americans still have jobs, health insurance and the like, when they see visible changes in things they did not see visible changes in before, they will be uncomfortable and react accordingly. This is particularly true when said people know little or nothing about how or why those changes are occurring---and this lack of knowledge describes the American commoner class to a T.

This economy is very far from being in the worst of shapes. I can recall the days of the "misery index", and believe me, brothers and sisters, times were a great deal tougher back in the late 70s than they are now. If unemployment was 10 percent, inflation was at 20 % and interest rates were at 18 %, then and only then would some of the sky-is-falling rhetoric I'm hearing be justified. Carter-Administration-level numbers justify Carter-administration-style rhetoric. The numbers we see now just don't. We can't even agree if the numbers show that we're in a recession, for pity's sake !

There is "discomfort" out there. As someone who regularly fills up a gas tank for 100-mile trips, I'll be the first in line to kvetch about gas prices. As someone who regularly buys bread for his family, I'll be more than happy to yell and scream and make a fuss about bread prices. But "discomfort" does not equal "disaster".

The first main part of the problem is that people tend to blame Presidents--and their potential successors in the same party--for hard times and give them credit for good times, even when said Presidents haven't had much to do with either. The scapegoat syndrome is always with us. That's why Barack Obama (Christ and His Saints help us !) is likely to win in the fall.

The second part of the problem is that the average commoner tends not to think long-term in making his/her/its political decisions. This is why politicians in democratic societies tend to be "pander bears"; their motto is "promise them anything and take the train out of town in the morning". All three of the significant candidates have been making some truly breathtakingly expensive promises---Clinton and Obama on health care, McCain on the military and potential military actions. Yet there has really been very little discussion as to how these promises are going to get PAID FOR. Cost later counts for little, the promise now counts for all.

This is why I am not a believer in "democracy", particularly its American manifestation. Mobs, after all, are all belly and no brain; all short-term appetite and no long-term thought. So get ready for President Barack Obama, people. And then stock up on popcorn and beer, for Big Fun will then ensue. Circuses, in fact, are a great deal of fun.

Until the lions escape, that is.

Your servant,

Lord Karth

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 11:57 AM

RJohnson: "25 years of energy, and what do they have to show for it? 25 years of carrying water for the GOP...and do they even have a bowl of pottage to show for it?"

Wait a second! You make it sound like social conservatives sought out the GOP ... when it was more that the Democrats under McGovern and Carter and their successors left the social conservatives out in the rain. Sixty years ago, it was lunch-bucket Democrats like Tip O'Neill and Henry Jackson who fought against abortion rights while the Rockefeller Republicans sat on the boards of Planned Parenthood chapters. The realignment which began in the 1960s has been well-documented. Can you blame the social conservatives for finding comfort in the GOP, and the GOP for eagerly welcoming them?

As for what the social conservatives "have to show for it": A lot more than had they stuck with the Democrats and continued waiting in the rain.

Moreover, don't lecture the pro-life movement on the need to provide services for the unwed and pregnant mothers. So many groups already exist today (thanks to the charity and love of Christians of all denominations) to help these young women. Plenty of energy is being directed here.

Balancing politics and grass-roots efforts is NOT a matter of "either/or." Rather it is "and/both." The pro-life and pro-family movements are quite capable (and have the means and the will) to combine political action with direct assistance to those in need.

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 11:59 AM

"GOP will likewise try to tie Obama to Rezko, Ayres, Wright"

You know, the Rezko issue might bite the GOP before this is over.

www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-rezko-rove-fitzgerald-web-apr24,0,2332070.story

"In the midst of a corruption trial that has provided plenty of fodder for political cynics, prosecutors alleged that political insiders in Washington and Illinois claimed to be working to choke off a criminal investigation launched by U.S. Atty. Patrick Fitzgerald.

At the trial of Antoin "Tony" Rezko, prosecutors revealed Wednesday that former Rezko confidant Ali Ata was prepared to testify that Rezko told him in November 2004 of a plan to pull strings with then- White House political director Karl Rove and have Fitzgerald fired.

Prosecutors also sought to add the testimony of another admitted schemer suggesting that two of the state's most powerful Republican operatives wanted to take the heat off Rezko by dumping the hard-charging prosecutor."

Mhoram
May 14, 2008 12:03 PM

Regeanite, I agree that Democrats would be far, far worse on conservative social issues, but I don't know how many voters realize that. The main Democrat most of us remember was Bill Clinton, who didn't push things that far to the Left. Granted, that was because he had to spend all his political capital dodging scandals and because Republicans took over Congress in 1994, but I'm not sure most people remember much more about the 1990s than a climbing stock market and more-or-less status quo on social issues.

Yes, I'm thankful to George Bush for his Supreme Court appointments (and that's the primary reason to consider voting for McCain), but that still feels like playing defense. Most of the real work on social issues is being done at the state level or lower, which may be as it should be, but at those levels the differences between the parties aren't as stark, so the credit doesn't go so much to one party or the other there.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 12:11 PM

RJohnson asks the question:

"Tell me, Reaganite, do you think Obama is a Muslim?"

Let me ask a question of my own: Is Obama a genuine Christian, or did he join the Reverend Wright's church 20 years ago to get "street cred" on the south side of Chicago? And here's another question: Is he now sorry that he ever heard of Jeremiah Wright in the first place?

Truth be told, RJohnson, I'm not sure that Obama is much different than what his mother was and what she raised him to be: a so-called "free thinking" religious skeptic.

Here's whats really laughable about this whole thing: Six months ago Obama was trying to prove he wasn't a Muslim. Now he's trying to prove that he didn't really attend that many services in his Christian church (at least on those occasions when Wright was preaching like a peacock in heat).

What does it all prove? That Jeremiah Wright was right when he recently asserted that Obama talks and acts like a politician.

watsy
May 14, 2008 12:21 PM

Is McCain going to be all that far to the right on Supreme Court nominees? Bush came through because the evangelicals pushed him. I don't see McCain really caring what they say or think once he's elected.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 12:22 PM

Rjohnsn writes: "At the trial of Antoin 'Tony' Rezko, prosecutors revealed Wednesday that former Rezko confidant Ali Ata was prepared to testify that Rezko told him in November 2004 of a plan to pull strings with then- White House political director Karl Rove and have Fitzgerald fired."

What does it prove? That Rezko was imaginative in his scheming -- that's all! Of course he had a plan to pull strings with the WH. He was so desperate he probably had plans to pull strings with everyone - including no doubt the Kremlin, the Vatican and Buckingham Palace.

Does anyone think that Rove and the WH would have gotten within ten miles of this guy? C'mon, RJohnson, you'll have to try harder with something else :-) At least you got a smile out of me.

Bugg
May 14, 2008 12:23 PM

Obama is a Chicago Daley machine hack. There are some serious problems for the Republicans-overspending, the war, immigration, the economy.Mccain by rights should have a very hard road ahead. Yet one each, Obama is not positioned to take advantage; he would simply fall back on Carter-like silliness that got us nowhere in 1977.What has this man ever run beyond the Havard Law Review? Hillary Clinton by contrast could point to the economic policies of her husband as a serious counterpoint. obama doesn't even understand how capital gains taxes work.

Hope and change? Are you kidding? As a conservative, I fully expect Mccain to be a dissappointment, but he's still the lesser or evils with Obama. What I wasn't prepared to say at the outset of this campaign but which is clear now; Hillary Clinton other than on judges(admittedly a huge thing) might be no better nor any worse a president than Mccain.

jh
May 14, 2008 12:28 PM

I agree with Rod on this one this is a tough loss. We shall see if we can get this on back in a few months. In some ways I like the fact the Dems are putting up conservatives against these guys. SO it is not all bas

By the way when is this hardline Immigration stance that many in the party has going to save us?

I hate to say the Texas Polls as the Senate Race have me concern

Kit Stolz
May 14, 2008 12:32 PM

It's worth a chuckle to see what V-P Dick Cheney said a day before this election campaigning for the GOP candidate in Southaven:

"These are decisive times for America," Cheney said. "And whether the issue is the economy, or energy, or national security, the right answers are coming from Republicans -- not from Nancy Pelosi, or [Senate Majority Leader] Harry Reid, or the rest of the Democratic leadership in Washington."

Yep. A recession (according to the voters, not the experts); highest energy prices in memory, and two wars in the Middle East -- those are the "right answers."

If that's the best the GOP can do, they will be buried in November.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 12:48 PM

Kit Stolz:

You have a point. What's really going to be dicey for McCain is how to run as the candidate he was in 2000 without alienating those GOP voters who are totally in sync with the President and the VP.

The other day he came out with proposals involving global warming that ticked off the economic conservatives -- without really attracting the single-issue environmentalist on the hard left.

What's ironic is that he risks being saddled in the minds of voters with a war that he might not have pursued at all and in any event would have prosecuted differently (and more successfully).

On the other hand, he's demonstrated extraordinary personal courage both as a POW and in politics. By contrast, what's Obama got to show -- other than the ability to talk well when he's equipped with a teleprompter.

Yes, we can grouse all day long about Bush, but he's not on the ballot this fall. It's going to be Obama and McCain. Two very different people.

By the way, regarding the comment about McCain's age, he's not your typical 71-year old. Has anyone seen that spunky 96-year old Mom of his? There's something different in those genes :-) And we can be certain that Cindy and those kids of theirs have kept the old navy pilot quite young these past 25 years.

yelladawgNC
May 14, 2008 1:05 PM

There will indeed be a tidal wave in November; we're just seeing the first little indications of what's coming.

Before you question Obama's sincerity in regard to his Christian faith, it seems only fair that you take a minute or two to read what he himself has to say. The link below will take you to the text of an excellent speech he made two years ago about the role of religion in politics and his own story of coming to faith in Jesus Christ:

http://obama.senate.gov/speech/060628-call_to_renewal/

Obama is a brilliant and a good and decent man who wants to unite us and move us forward. If you want to know his positions and proposals on the economy and many other issues, go to his website and read instead of shouting ill-informed insults over the fence. Possibly the worst thing Bush has done in his eight years, apart from the colossal stupidity of invading Iraq, is to make it apparently impossible for people to have reasonable disagreements and rational conversations about political matters. But then, that might actually result in Americans seeing their common interests and uniting to pressure elected officials to GET SOMETHING DONE.

Think about who benefits from maintaining the status quo and you'll understand who the politics of division serves: the oil companies, the insurance companies, the pharmaceutical companies, the war profiteers, and the wealthiest 1-2 percent. As long as we are at each other's throats instead of engaging in the political process and holding the feet of our representatives to the fire, they have absolutely no reason to change a system of which they are the chief beneficiaries. But it's OUR government, OUR democracy that's being strangled. There's still a chance we can make a difference and I am going to work and pray for the only candidate who isn't beholden to those special interests and who has the vision to lead and the ability to inspire. Obama `08!

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 1:08 PM

RJohnson: "Tell me, Reaganite, do you think Obama is a Muslim?"

Reaganite: "Let me ask a question of my own: Is Obama a genuine Christian, or did he join the Reverend Wright's church 20 years ago to get "street cred" on the south side of Chicago? And here's another question: Is he now sorry that he ever heard of Jeremiah Wright in the first place?

Truth be told, RJohnson, I'm not sure that Obama is much different than what his mother was and what she raised him to be: a so-called "free thinking" religious skeptic."


So...Reaganite...are you a Christian?

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 1:17 PM

Reaganite, maybe you don't follow Illinois politics. Living along the border of Illinois and being a native of that state, I keep track of the news from there. You say that Rezko was being creative, and dismiss this as speculation.

Others from around here disagree.

www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-kass-24-apr24,1,6520162.column

Republicans benefitting from the Daley machine antics in Chicago? Surely not!!

The Combine works for both sides of the aisle in Illinois, Reaganite. It's about power, not party.

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 1:24 PM

"On the other hand, he's demonstrated extraordinary personal courage both as a POW and in politics. By contrast, what's Obama got to show -- other than the ability to talk well when he's equipped with a teleprompter."

Obama needs a teleprompter to know what to say. McCain needs a minder, in this case Joe Lieberman.

blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/03/18/you-say-sunnis-i-say-shia.aspx

Maybe Lieberman should be the VP with McCain. He could at least keep in straight on which side is which in the war on terror.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 1:24 PM

RJohnson,

I'm not from Illinois and have never lived there. I don't follow Illinois politics. I'll cede to your superiority on this matter and will agree that there MAY be more here than meets the eye re: Rezko and his "working both sides of the street" politically. RJohnson, we all look forward to hearing more updates from you regarding Rezko.

By the way, do you think that talking about Rezko hurts Obama more? Or hurts McCain more? Just asking :-) By all means, let's all talk more about Rezko!

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 1:57 PM

"By the way, do you think that talking about Rezko hurts Obama more? Or hurts McCain more? Just asking :-) By all means, let's all talk more about Rezko!"

I think that as the Rezko case moves afield to other prosecutions it will begin to tarnish the GOP, at which point it will fall off the conservatives talking points list completely.

Daniel
May 14, 2008 2:06 PM

A candidate's whose wealthy wife refuses to open up her finances amid talk of questionable financial ties is not really in a position to to be talking about corruption, especially when he was one of the Keating Five.

Anonymous
May 14, 2008 2:10 PM

What has this man ever run beyond the Havard Law Review?

What has McCain ever run? Oh yeah, he run out on his first wife.

Eleazer Williams

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 2:23 PM

RJohnson: You answered a different question than the one I ask. You said that Rezko will tarnish the GOP (a questionable assertion, at best). I asked whether he will hurt Obama or McCain more? The fact that Obama has been a fixture in the corrupt world of Chicago politics hasn't hurt him any. Why, then, should Rezko's involvement with some sleazy GOP pols in the Chicago area hurt McCain, who's from Arizone?


Daniel: I am so embarrassed for you!! Haven't you trotted out these old canards before about Cindy McCain and the Keating Five? How tiresome!! Can't you come up with someone new and untried?

For your info, Cindy and John McCain signed a pre-nup when they got married ... so her finances are off the table. Hey, didn't Teresa Heinz Kerry slso choose to keep her finances off the table -- were you yelping and barking back in 2004 about that, Daniel? As for the Keating Five, McCain was cleared of all the charges -- which was about 20 years ago (or didn't they mention that in your DNC talking points?). The experience opened McCain's eyes to the rot in Washington and fueled his commitment to clean politics -- even at the expense of his own political popularity especially among fellow GOP Senators.

So give the old naval aviator credit for showing some humility and courage on this issue -- two qualities that Mr. Harvard Law Review might come to acquire with age and experience and polish off when he makes a second try for the WH in 2016.

Daniel
May 14, 2008 2:29 PM

Teresa Heinz Kerry ultimately released her tax information. A prenup has nothing to do with being the ultra-rich spouse of a candidate who declines to discuss her potentially controversial financial ties. Ask Geraldine Ferraro.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 3:04 PM

Daniel: Back in 2004, Mrs. Kerry never released her full tax returns. She kept holding out ... and holding out ... and eventually only provided the first two pages of her 2003 returns ... and that was it!!

You may recall, Daniel, that it became an issue only because her money had become a factor in the way Kerry bankrolled his Presidential campaign. Something about a home or two she owned being mortgaged to pay for his campaign back when his political fortunes were at rock bottom before his success in the Iowa caucuses. There's no hint of anything like that involving McCain and his wife. Thus Cindy McCain's personal finances are OFF the table.

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 3:11 PM

Reaganite: "For your info, Cindy and John McCain signed a pre-nup when they got married ... so her finances are off the table. Hey, didn't Teresa Heinz Kerry slso choose to keep her finances off the table -- were you yelping and barking back in 2004 about that, Daniel?"


But aren't the ethical standards of the GOP higher than those of the Democrats, Reaganite? The GOP chair in 2004 seemed to think so.

query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9403E0DE133AF936A15757C0A9629C8B63


"Ed Gillespie, chairman of the Republican Party, said Mrs. Heinz Kerry's finances were relevant to the campaign, especially because Mr. Kerry borrowed $6 million against the equity in a Boston town house they jointly own to keep his campaign afloat earlier in the year.

''It seems to me that that's a legitimate question,'' Mr. Gillespie said. "

Given that the corporate jet owned by Mrs. McCain has been used by the campaign quite a bit this cycle, the issue of her finances are made relevant by the intermingling of them with the campaign.

Reaganite: "As for the Keating Five, McCain was cleared of all the charges -- which was about 20 years ago (or didn't they mention that in your DNC talking points?). The experience opened McCain's eyes to the rot in Washington and fueled his commitment to clean politics -- even at the expense of his own political popularity especially among fellow GOP Senators."


George W. Bush thought it was relevant during his first campaign for President.

www.slate.com/id/1004633/

If it was worthy of Bush's attention in 2000, why isn't it worthy of our attention now?

Daniel
May 14, 2008 3:12 PM

There's no hint of anything like that involving McCain and his wife. Thus Cindy McCain's personal finances are OFF the table.

He rides in her jet as part of campaigns and doesn't pay for the trips. Ultimately, she and her wealth are helping to indirectly finance his campaign by relieving him of a signficant campaign expense.

She's not going to be able to hide her $100M estimated forture for long and will have to disclose some more tax info.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 3:21 PM

"Eleazer Williams" makes this very original and elegant statement: "What has this man ever run beyond the Havard Law Review?
What has McCain ever run? Oh yeah, he run out on his first wife."

Yo, Eleazer, you got a problem with marital infidelity in politicians? Guess that means you didn't vote for John Kerry, Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan, Lyndon Johnson, JFK, Ike ... and even good old FDR "back in the day."

McCain's first wife has come out and said she plans to vote for him. She bears no grudges towards him. Please understand that the fundamental strain in their marriage had everything to do with an eight-year enforced separation (1965-1973) ... courtesy of his Communist Vietnamese captors at the Hanoi Hilton. You remember those folks, don't you? Could anyone's marriage hold up under those circumstances? Would you dare to be among those who might judge this man and his first wife? Could you?

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 3:25 PM

Reaganite: "I asked whether he will hurt Obama or McCain more? "

And I said that as other prosecutions come down the line it will likely hurt the GOP more. Do you not believe that this would affect the McCain campaign?

Imagine that an indictment of Bob Kjellander came out, say in mid-July. Kjellander is a long-time friend of Rove, who is an advisor to McCain.

Kjellander and a fellow named Nick Hurtgen have been investigated concerning funny deals with pension acounts. Hurtgen gave Kjellander a million dollars just before he (Hurtgen) was indicted back in 2007. Kjellander then gave $500,000 to Rezko, allegedly as payoff for a bond deal that is under indictment.

Kjellander's job, supposedly, was to get his friend Karl Rove to put the brakes on Fitzgerald's investigation of these (and other) allegations. According to investigators this is why money went from Hurtgen to Kjellander, with Rezko involved only through the bond scam.

The word is that more indictments are coming out this summer, and that there may be a plea in the works on the Hurtgen case.

By November the name Rezko may well be more associated with McCain's campaign than Obama's.

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 3:36 PM

"Could anyone's marriage hold up under those circumstances?"

My uncle spent four years in captivity as a POW in Italy and Germany, and his marriage survived. As a matter of fact, I know a number of men who served in Vietnam, some of them POWs, who had their marriage survive all the problems that came in those years after the war ended.

McCain returned from captivity in 1973. He met his current wife six years later, in 1979. He married her just one month after divorcing his first wife.

By the way, his first wife suffered a terrible car accident while he was in captivity. So that his morale would not suffer, she did not allow the Army to notify him of her accident or injuries. When he came home he learned of the accident, which left her about 4" shorter than she was before.

McCain wanted power. He saw a cute young thing and listened to his little brain, where all of his blood was at the moment. He bedded her for almost a year before making an honest woman out of her.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 3:37 PM

RJohnson writes: "If it (issues involving McCain) was worthy of Bush's attention in 2000, why isn't it worthy of our attention now?"

Aren't you trying to have it both ways? You criticize Bush for practically everything wrong under the sun ... and now you hold up his 2000 campaign operation as THE STANDARD in examining McCain's past. Apparently the issue you raised was a non-starter in 2000 and has spent the last eight years six-feet under. Good luck in resurrecting it :-)

Daniel writes: "He (McCain) rides in her jets ... " blah, blah, blah. Whoa, Daniel!! How do you know they are "her" jets? And how many trips? McCain is himself personally worth about 10-15 million dollars (mostly from sales of his two best-selling autobiographical books) ... and it just as likely that any plane they MIGHT use is leased or co-owned by them both. Besides, the impression we all get is that McCain pretty much rides in around in the back of that campaign bus and schmoozes with Linday Graham, Joe Lieberman and whatever reporter is looking for a some funny lines for their next story. Give it a break. There is nothhing there :-) Nice try, though!

Daniel
May 14, 2008 3:39 PM

"Give it a break. There is nothhing there"

I think your idol Reagan said the same thing about selling arms to terrorists in Iran/Contra.

Daniel
May 14, 2008 3:41 PM

Also, the jet is owned by her family's company. The records are pretty clear on that.

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 3:41 PM

"Aren't you trying to have it both ways? You criticize Bush for practically everything wrong under the sun ... and now you hold up his 2000 campaign operation as THE STANDARD in examining McCain's past. Apparently the issue you raised was a non-starter in 2000 and has spent the last eight years six-feet under. Good luck in resurrecting it :-)"

Hey...are you saying that Bush was wrong to mention it back in 2000? Was it a settled issue back then?

What issue was it that caused McCain to tank in South Carolina, Reaganite? Was it the allegations of insanity the Bush campaign made? Or was it the allegations of wrongdoing in the Keating Five scandal? Or was it the implication made by callers for the Bush campaign that the McCain's had a black baby?

And were you making any noise about any of these tactics back then?

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 3:45 PM

www.nytimes.com/2008/04/27/us/politics/27plane.html?_r=1&oref=slogin

"But over a seven-month period beginning last summer, Mr. McCain’s cash-short campaign gave itself an advantage by using a corporate jet owned by a company headed by his wife, Cindy McCain, according to public records. For five of those months, the plane was used almost exclusively for campaign-related purposes, those records show.

Mr. McCain’s campaign paid a total of $241,149 for the use of that plane from last August through February, records show. That amount is approximately the cost of chartering a similar jet for a month or two, according to industry estimates.

The senator was able to fly so inexpensively because the law specifically exempts aircraft owned by a candidate or his family or by a privately held company they control. The Federal Election Commission adopted rules in December to close the loophole — rules that would have required substantial payments by candidates using family-owned planes — but the agency soon lost the requisite number of commissioners needed to complete the rule making.

Because that exemption remains, Mr. McCain’s campaign was able to use his wife’s corporate plane like a charter jet while paying first-class rates, several campaign finance experts said. Several of those experts, however, added that his campaign’s actions, while keeping with the letter of law, did not reflect its spirit."

Family owned planes are exempt. Since he claimed the exemption, he owns the problem. The company asset is owned/controlled by a family member. That family member's finances should be relevant to the campaign.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 3:49 PM

RJohnson:

Bravo for your uncle and any other POW who managed to keep their marriages together after they returned. That is good. But it didn't happen that way with McCain and his wife. The eight years apart was clearly a factor. I'm not going to judge him on this and neither has any of his any political opponents over the past 20+ years (including Obama, Clinton, Huckabee, Romney in 2008). So who is "RJohnson" to judge him?

The first Mrs. McCain has made her peace with it. She supports McCain's campaign for the Presidency. You have made some really foul insinuations about McCain's motives in marrying his second wife. Neither his first wife -- nor his second wife, for that matter -- see it the way you do. How is it that you know better than they? What do you do, hide under their bed at night and take notes?

C'mon, "RJohnson", that "dog just won't hunt." If you're going to shill for Barack, you've got to come up with something better than this!

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 3:53 PM

"So who is "RJohnson" to judge him?"

A voter.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 4:05 PM

"RJohnson" and "Daniel" --

Let me commend you both on your industry (though not on your lack of accuracy or fairness) regarding the personal attacks you've been making against Senator McCain. Not sure who you guys are working for, but they probably have no idea what a great job you are both doing!! Man, your stuff comes with links to the New York Times (who else, of course) and Slate.com (naturally). A very impressive operation.

Is there anyone at the DNC, or the Obama campaign, or at moveon.org, or at any of the other Soros-financed groups whom you would like me to write to on your behalf. I'll be happy to send them a letter of recommendation. Perhaps you're getting a little frustrated working the blogs and you'd like to do some field work. Or, better yet, work in press relations. There you get to hang out with the newsbabes and its a lot more glamorous than sitting in front of a computer and hashing it out with amateurs like me.

Just a thought :-) Let me know what you think. Perhaps we can arrange something.

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 4:11 PM

"You have made some really foul insinuations about McCain's motives in marrying his second wife."

This seems to be the season for such insinuations. We've seen foul insinuations about folks on the Democratic side of the aisle. Are you suggesting that the motivations of a Presidential candidate's actions are not to be questioned?

I seem to recall some foul insinuations being made about John Kerry's service record, or about Max Cleland's record. Is John McCain's military record above reproach simply because he is a Republican?

For example, there is this website: www.vietnamveteransagainstjohnmccain.com/cin_hacker_2.htm

Why are so many Vietnam vets speaking out against McCain?

The Swiftboaters are out, Reaganite. But this time there will be some return fire, and it won't be pretty at all. But this is what wins elections. Gone are the days of discussing policy and ideals of where a nation should go. Gone are days of arguing over the plans for the future of our nation.

We now have arguments about what a candidate's pastor said, or how many times a candidate has been married, or what their military record was. This is the reality of modern day political campaigning.

So yes, I have made some foul insinuations about McCain's second marriage. But I think maybe the final word should belong McCain and his ex. After all, they were there, and neither of us were.

"Sound marriages can be hard to recover after great time and distance have separated a husband and wife. We are different people when we reunite," McCain wrote. "But my marriage's collapse was attributable to my own selfishness and immaturity more than it was to Vietnam, and I cannot escape blame by pointing a finger at the war. The blame was entirely mine." - from "Worth the Fighting For" by John McCain.

Selfishness and immaturity, not the war. He also has mentioned in the book that he put more time into his naval career than into his marriage, even before he went to Vietnam. He admitted to several affairs before meeting his current wife, and he married her only a month after the divorce was signed with this first wife. She said of the divorce in a later interview:

"The breakup of our marriage was not caused by my accident or Vietnam or any of those things. I don't know that it might not have happened if John had never been gone. I attribute it more to John turning 40 and wanting to be 25 again than I do to anything else."

Wanting to be 25 again...middle age crazy. Of course it didn't hurt that we became crazy with a soon-to-be millionaire who was well connected in Arizona GOP politics.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 4:23 PM

RJohnson --

Terrific! That last post (4:11 PM) even included a link to a scurrilous anti-McCain website (financed by Soros, no doubt) and quotes from a McCain book (probably supplied by another Soros-financed website).

Gosh, you guys doing the anti-McCain mud-slinging are pretty slick. Mr. Soros apparently intends to get full value for his money in THIS election. He was pretty disappointed, you know, by the ROI he got from his efforts with Kerry/Edwards '04.

My offer of a letter of a recommnendation still stands. Surely, "RJohnson," you want to do something more interesting for the Obama campaign than trolling the blogs?

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 4:24 PM

Reaganite: "Let me commend you both on your industry (though not on your lack of accuracy or fairness) regarding the personal attacks you've been making against Senator McCain. Not sure who you guys are working for, but they probably have no idea what a great job you are both doing!! Man, your stuff comes with links to the New York Times (who else, of course) and Slate.com (naturally). A very impressive operation."

Why thank you! But if you don't like those sources, I can find the same information sourced at places a little more acceptable to you. FOX News and WorldNetDaily have carried the same or similar stories, covered by their own impeccably conservative reporters. Would that be acceptable to you?

Or maybe my last post, with quotes directly from McCain and his ex, might impress you on the issue. Or we can get court transcripts from Fyfe Symington's trial, or from the Keating trial, that might convince you.

yelladawgNC posted a wonderful quote today from John Stuart Mill that I will share here. It speaks a bit to the conservatives willingness to disregard sources of information that disagree with their preconceived notion of what is correct.

"Although it is not true that all conservatives are stupid people, it is true that most stupid people are conservative." - John Stuart Mill

RJohnson
May 14, 2008 4:28 PM

Soros financed website?


Pardon me while I fall off my chair laughing. Is the GOP hide so thin they they can't take what they dished out against Kerry and Cleland? It was OK to smear their military record with the Swiftboaters, but when the same card is played against one of their own we are to consider who is paying for the information?

Please tell me you do stand-up, Reaganite. I'd pay good money to see your act on stage.

By the way...are you a Christian? Somehow that question and answer was lost in our exchange.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 4:34 PM

RJohnson.

So now you're calling conservatives "stupid people." What a marvelous way to advance the debate.

You've made clear that you hate McCain and that you don't like conservatives. Why stop there? Why not tell us all here at "Crunchy Con" who you are supporting FOR President this year and what kind of Americans you think are NOT stupid? Go ahead, try to surprise us!

Zak
May 14, 2008 5:30 PM

RJohnson,
I'm not a Republican shill. I voted for Gore and Kerry, although I wasn't too pleased with either candidate. I did find the Karl Rove campaigning against them, including Swift Boat Veterans For Truth, despicable. Similarly, I find the kerfluffle over Obama's flag pin wearing (or lack thereof) abusrd. Your attacks on McCain strike me as very similar. The divorce issue is something that is almost 30 years old, it reflects poorly on his character at the time, which your quote suggests he realized. When Bush raised the Keating issue, it seemed to me like a cheap trick, because McCain had been exonerated. It seems like a cheap trick when you do it now, for the same reason. I understand disliking the Bush presidency - believe me, I do too, but I don't get how you can criticize the Bush/Rove style of politics, and then adopt it. Politics, as I think McCain and Obama both believe, doesn't need to be like that. Surely, they both indulge in it still sometimes (the 100-year war distortion by Obama and the Dems, the Hamas endorsement by McCain and the Republicans), but I think overall, they are attempting to run a cleaner campaign. Can't their proxies do the same thing?

I also wouldn't call Rove an advisor to McCain ("Informal advisor" seems appropriate, given that seems to often mean virtually nothing). The evidence seems slim - Rove has talked to some McCain advisors occasionally (and he provided some electoral maps!). He doesn't seem to be crafting strategy at all - and indeed, McCain's campaign strategy so far seems very different than the "play to the base" model Rove espouses.

Reaganite,
It does seem a bit hypocritical to gloss over McCain's past mistakes, when Republicans made such a big deal about Clinton's. And character attacks on Obama (whose personal life doesn't suggest any clear flaws, other than the lack of charitable contributions) do invite the same on McCain.

PS. Rezko is bad for republicans and democrats, but mostly in the state of Illinois. But whereas he's connected by 1 degree to Obama, it takes 3 degrees to connect him to McCain, and one of those is Rove, who isn't really a McCain advisor, as I argued above. I just hope Rezko brings down Blagojevich, although it will probably just benefit Lisa Madigan.

Reaganite in NYC
May 14, 2008 5:42 PM

Zak,

Appreciate the comments. You're right that all this is more than meets the eye. Restraint is needed here. As for the whole Illinois scene, it is something that is very confusing to a lot of us, including me. It's hard to know just who is connected to who. Very murky.

Anonymous
May 14, 2008 7:38 PM

The Swiftboaters are out, Reaganite. But this time there will be some return fire, and it won't be pretty at all. But this is what wins elections. Gone are the days of discussing policy and ideals of where a nation should go. Gone are days of arguing over the plans for the future of our nation.

Pul-leeze! That went out the window around the time the Federalists started the rumor Jefferson was boinking Sally Hemmings. In the 1820s and 30s, the idea of real political discourse was to have your supporters roll a large papier mache ball from town to town. Remember Lincoln's Wide-Awakes?

Eleazer Williams

Chris Mills
May 14, 2008 9:28 PM

Could you all stop attacking each other? All of your posts seem to be running on rage, but perhaps I'm wrong, online communication lacks capacity to communicate sarcasm properly.

McCain's past acts seem like fair game, of course that would make Obama's relationship with Ayers and Wright fair game as well.


Chris

yelladawgNC
May 14, 2008 11:06 PM

Since when hasn't Ayers/Wright been "fair game"? For three solid weeks it was the only game in town and will undoubtedly be again. But it doesn't matter; the Republicans played the Wright card in Mississippi and came up empty.

People can see that Obama is a decent, intelligent, fair-minded man. You can call him whatever names you like, but you can't conceal that fundamental truth. The haters aren't going to win this time. And people are completely fed up with the Republican party, its empty promises and its lies, and most of all, with the drunk driver they put behind the wheel.

And yes, I'd say voting for George Bush even once was a stupid act; voting for him twice was supremely moronic. And the rest of us have had to live with the consequences.

yelladawgNC
May 15, 2008 8:15 AM

from the daily kos this morning re: the GOP's third straight loss:

Slate: Panic at the House (news round-up)

NY Times: Republican Election Losses Stir Fall Fears

canada.com: GOP officials despair as 'safe' seats choose the other team

globeandmail.com: Wake up and smell the disenchantment

cqpolitics: GOP Seeks to Rebrand After Childers Victory (good luck with that, boys)

AFP: Shaken Republicans look to McCain as savior (good luck with that, too)

WaPo: After String of Losses, Republicans Face Crisis

Reuters: US Republicans scramble in wake of defeats

USAToday: Republicans fear public has lost confidence (pssst... they have)

AP: Third House loss shakes GOP, raises fears for fall

MSNBC: GOPer compares brand to bad 'dog food' (points for originality and honesty)

You get the picture. But then again, you knew that.

So, imagine this: The GOP that has always despised and derided John McCain

Senator Thad Cochran had this to say: "The thought of his being president sends a cold chill down my spine. He is erratic. He is hotheaded. He loses his temper and he worries me."

now turns to him as 'savior' (see AFP). Meanwhile McCain tries to make nice to the GOP base (and of course, the press, which is McCain's base)

Imagine, reporters protecting a candidate from himself! But, then again, since the reporters on the bus liked Mr. McCain too much to report on his gaffes, he really didn’t need protection. His candor was without consequence. It was another blandishment to the press.

but that won't stop reporters who are fascinated by trainwrecks from writing about the GOP implosion.

The real interesting trick will be to see how McCain is going to pretend not to be a Republican while Republicans wrap their arms around McCain in a death hug, not merely pretending to like him but pretending to be him. The more they succeed, the more he fails. The more he succeeds, the more they fail.

Of course, the odds are that they'll all fail. The bullshit is just too pungent to pretend it's not there, and it isn't the most effective way to sell authenticity and change to a voting public that has rejected the party standard bearer (George W. Bush) as a miserable failure. At the same time, the GOP is bitterly divided, even though they're smart enough not to constantly talk to reporters about it (a trick Democrats have never mastered).

Novak: McCain, GOP in Trouble as Obama Wraps it Up

The claims that McCain has a united Republican Party behind him are greatly exaggerated. We find considerable opposition on the right, ranging from economic conservatives (who consider him too green) to evangelicals. The biggest problem is that he does not realize he has a problem.

Welcome to the 2008 election.

recovering ex-Pentecostal
May 15, 2008 11:01 AM

Reaganite,

"RJohnson.

So now you're calling conservatives "stupid people." What a marvelous way to advance the debate."

Like you "advanced the debate" when you implied that gay citizens aren't worthy of equal treatment before the law, and that they shouldn't be allowed even to serve their country in the military. I noticed you didn't bother to even address the issue after I questioned you on it (May 14, 2008 11:30 AM).

Likewise, for you it seems fair game to continuously try to link Obama to Wright and yet avoid the links between McCain and Bush (May 14, 2008 11:26 AM).

Selective much?

Reaganite in NYC
May 15, 2008 11:21 AM

recovering ex-Pentecostal:

I just double-checked the postings from yeserday. I didn't post any comments yesterday on this thread at either 11:30 AM or 11:26 AM. So what the heck are you talking about ??? Moreover, the allegations you make (gay citizens aren't worthy of equal treatment; linking Obama to Wright but not McCain to Bush) are totally bogus. You either misunderstood or purposely misconstrued what's been said.

Please dispense with the sniping. Why don't you provide us, rather, with a positive argument or insight (either pro or con) on the particular issues that are up for discussion here.

Thanks in advance !

Simon
May 15, 2008 12:04 PM

But it doesn't matter; the Republicans played the Wright card in Mississippi and came up empty. People can see that Obama is a decent, intelligent, fair-minded man. You can call him whatever names you like, but you can't conceal that fundamental truth.

Mississippi shows that a socially conservative Democrat who refused to endorse Obama or Clinton cannot be tied by Republicans to Obama.

It does not follow logically that Obama himself is immune to the political damage caused by his long association with Jeremiah Wright.

Reaganite in NYC
May 15, 2008 12:51 PM

Simon,

Good point. If this new Dem. Congressman from Mississipi (Childers) is already running away from Obama/Clinton and the national Dem. party, then for the sake of his long-run political survival he'll be secretly hoping for a McCain victory in November. Victory by Obama in November will force him to choose during the 2009-2010 Congressional session between the (liberal) President from his party and the (conservative) voters back home. If he sides too often with a President Obama (or a President HRC), he'll be plenty vulnerable when he runs for reelection in November 2010.

The same is true for all these conservative Democrats recently elected from conservative Districts. They'll all be thinking about their survival in November 2010 when they secretely cast a ballot for McCain in November 2008 :-)

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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