Also known as Hankslist.com
Hey, got some underperforming assets you'd like to unload on the taxpayer? Contact "Buy My Sh*tpile, Henry" at once! I'm thinking of putting all the crap we don't want anymore in a pile on the front lawn, and calling the...
I'll sell them my student loans cheap!
The people that should be terrified about this bill are the democrats. 2 trillion at the very least and no viability for any democratic spending proposals for years! Good luck raising taxes on the middle class they're squeezed already and will probably punt should things get worse. This of course will make matters worse......tax protests on the horizon and the very real possibility of violence in the near term. Once the government steps in to quell disturbances all bets are off and you are right back at square one as the credit markets seize up again because foreigners won't continue shoveling money at the US if social instability endangers the markets.
Let the banks fail and things can improve long term, bail them out and the misery lingers for a generation!
If the above assumptions are correct, the most likely scenario is that the American military umbrella will be reduced internationally. No sovereign nation accepts civil disturbances at home (due to financial seizure) to provide the expenses for democratic and financial security for others. The "social instability" will be in other lands as the American military is mandated by its government to reduce its "international footprint". And not coincidentally, if past trends hold true, capital will withdraw from these regions and return for internal investment to the United States and other secure areas. (The defense budgets of other first world nations most likely will be going up exponentially.)
Remember, you didn't hear about this from me ;)
Step II, Japan
The Winter Watch
"They don’t seem to be mentioned in the MSM that often, but Japanese financial and manufacturing firms promise to be among the new foreign overlords of the United States. I also believe that behind the scenes they were instrumental in setting up the strange brew of crony capitalist socialize losses, privatize gains economics now emerging in the US."
tinyurl.com/3e9obk
LOL...right. After overseeing the decline and fall of our economy for the past 14 years (with only the last 2 as the minority), you seriously expect us to believe that the congressional GOP will suddenly develop both gonads and ethics?
What are you smoking and where can I get some??? Remember, many of these folks were there when Gramm-Leach-Bliley was originally passed. They have been there campaigning on and passing tax cuts and wonderful, gourmet pork for their constituents.
We'll see what the final vote turns out to be. Assuming the Democrats get their wish list met (talk about another group that needs to grow a set) it will likely pass by extra large margins...maybe 90-6 in the Senate and similarly high margins in the House.
And then they come home to campaign. If the electorate has truly decided that enough is enough, these next few weeks should be torture for these bozos, especially in the GOP.
Ruffini is advising the GOP to put politics first and country last. If this is what passes for conservative leadership, we're doomed.
I wouldn't be much impressed by the naked cynicism Ruffini is pushing for.
"Ruffini is advising the GOP to put politics first and country last."
But this is exactly what the GOP has done for a number of years now. The only time you hear of abortion is when they need to get reelected. Once they are in office abortion goes back into the box for another 2-4 years. Same with "energy independence", yet another buzz-word during the GOP campaigns.
Face it, Ruffini is simply calling on Republicans to be Republicans and think of getting reelected first.
Uhhhhhh . . . Ruffini IS aware that SOMETHING has to be done, right? C'mon, PAT FREAKIN' BUCHANAN was on MSNBC this evening saying there had to be some sort of bailout, ledt there be a catastrophic crash.
The problem is, what kind? The Bush Administration's naked power grab-cum-welfare for the super rich is a non-starter. Or at least I pray so.
But SOMETHING has to be done, preferably involving some sort of commission, strong Congressional oversight and sweeping reform (and strict regulation) of the Wall Street "robber barons" and the Ponzi schemes they presided over.
The only way out is some form of socialism. I'd like my socialism straight up, please.
The Republicans need to realize they ARE over now. The Democrats need to realize they MAY be over. And what they all need to realize is that our choice, now, is between a dicey crash landing on a runway covered with defective Chinese foam . . . and flying United States Airways Flight 1929 straight into the ground.
Me, I'll take the defective Chinese foam. It only cost $1 trillion, and it just might work. Maybe. If we got a good batch.
http://revolution-21.blogspot.com/
Abdication of responsibility for political gain? I have mixed feelings about this plan for sure. Maybe there's a better plan. Frankly, it looks like the players who created this environment and those who took outrageous risks with extreme leverage are getting off scot free at taxpayer's expense. Just letting this one pass without Republican votes is terribly irresponsible.
Something needs to be done. Dealing with the bailouts on ad hoc basis was ridiculous and unfair and will be terrible for the markets and the economy. The feds arrange a quicky marriage for Bear; let Lehman fail; a shotgun wedding for Merrill; the Feds bail out AIG. This was not a plan. No one has the capital to buy the distressed securities so these securities cannot find a bottom. A death spiral.
A couple of suggestions (or framework ideas) for an alternative - banks need capital. Increase the FDIC insurance limit to help create deposit demand for the banks. Quickly phase out or jetison the money market federal insurance program.
"Quickly phase out or jetison the money market federal insurance program."
Yep...and watch that industry fail as well. If you threaten to take away the federal guarantee on the one financial instrument that houses most of the pensions that the middle class has struggled to build up, you will create a massive sell off as folks move to other instruments. The sell off will create HUGE losses for the middle class.
And we know that the companies handling these will be bailed out by the government, once again leaving the average Joe and Jane not only with no pension but also with increased taxes to bail out the companies that ruined them.
Sooner or later some pitchforks need to be brought to this picnic. Especially if the only group that keeps getting screwed over is the middle-class tax payer.
"A bailout may be inevitable, but so to can be the political benefit for Congressional Republicans if played correctly."
Weren't you asking for a Churchill? This sounds like playing politics in a national crisis.
Well, when 15 April 2009 rolls around, we can always opt out. In fact, we can protest with custom-made stamps that read "I object to the Pelosi Bail Out" and file the paperwork with that stamped in red on the front page.
Anyone with me???
;)
No taxation without representation
"Ruffini is advising the GOP to put politics first and country last. If this is what passes for conservative leadership, we're doomed."
Exactly. Ruffini is someone who went straight from college into the GOP politico salt mines, with no real time in the business world. Any Republican who spent even a few years in business wouldn't make the kind of suggestions he made, if for no other reason than the fact that his friends from the old firm would mock him ruthlessly and would remind him that the stock market went up last week after talk of a bailout of some sort emerged. What he knows about business comes from a couple of classes in college economics, at best. After this set of suggestions, which have everything to do with political point-scoring and nothing to do with good economic policymaking, you can write him off as a serious commentator on this topic. This isn't to say that the Paulson plan is the one that should pass, but that simply voting against any plan merely so you can have some talking points is contemptible.
Oh, and yeah, I'm back. Hurricane Ike didn't do much damage to me, other than a lack of power for several days and no internet at home until today.
"Well, when 15 April 2009 rolls around, we can always opt out. In fact, we can protest with custom-made stamps that read "I object to the Pelosi Bail Out" and file the paperwork with that stamped in red on the front page."
Nice try Laura, but this pig is whole-hog GOP, through and through. It was engineered by the Bush administration and is being pushed through by them. Congress will hang some nice clothing on it and put some lipstick on its snout, but it is still a pig...a Republican pig.
I hope the press begins holding McCain's feet to the fire regarding his consistent support for deregulation over the past years. That and his campaign's connections to the Wall Street banks that are being bailed out by this pork-belly bill.
While you are all asking for more regulations, no one seems to see the damage that the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 has created and helped fuel the problem that exists.
Herbert Hoover must be the hero of some here since he did nothing and we wound up with the great depression.
To put the blame on President Bush is simply wrong. Go back to Jimmy Carter if you want to be factual. And on all of the "regulations" that the Congress put on business. Much of it "social engineering".
To do nothing will kill the middle class. Their retirement is vested, good or bad, in the stock market or money market accounts. Wipe them out and what do they have?
There are some regulations that are good. Put back the "up tick" rule when it comes to short selling, for example. But we don't need bad regulation such as Sarbanes-Oxley.
I thought the Chrysler bail out was a bad idea, but the government actually made money on the deal. It will with AIG. It actually will with the mortgages since most of them will be repaid in full while the government only paid pennies on the dollar for them. Much of the "bad debt" is bad debt because of Sarbanes-Oxley, not because of reality.
Yes, there are bad debts. Yes, people who couldn't afford a mortgage for a house if interest rates went up even a little should not have been given mortgages, but is it the bank who has all the blame there? Is there no personal responsibility left? No one put a gun to their head to buy a house they couldn't afford. And when state regulators in California, for example, would not allow a bank to expand unless they offered "no verification mortgages", why blame the bank instead of the regulators.
I won't say that the current Paulson suggested legislation is the best, but it isn't the worst and it is far better than doing nothing.
Those who urge no action learned nothing from Hoover. Had he acted we might have been spared what Roosevelt did. Congress gave us this problem, some people, not just "the rich" profited.
The consequence of doing nothing will cost far more than what Paulson has suggested.
If rank and file Repubs had a serious interest in fiscal responsibility, they never would have voted for GWB in the first place. Wasn't conservative economics professor Gramm one of the candidates in 2000, and lost? People need to get over the idea that Repubs are for responsible economics. There are only leftwing and rightwing welfare/warfare statists at this point.
Sarbanes-Oxley is not the problem. The problem is Reaganomics,which has carried forward long past his death. Deregulation at its finest. It has been a thirty plus year process for the principles of "Dutch from Dixon" to come to fruition (Ronald Reagan's nickname from his hometown from Dixon, Illinois), but now we have finally reached the end. Dutch is now there in the annals of financial history with Hoover, who grew up just down the road in West Branch, Iowa.
Look, folks, the fact is that there's $1 trillion or more in bad debt, sliced and diced into "securities," sprinkled throughout the financial system. Until it's filtered out of the system, all kinds of financial instruments are assumed to be shaky, even if they're not, and any number of banks and funds appear to be in danger of collapse, which they aren't unless everybody decides they are. That's how panic works.
Everybody from Henry Paulson to Paul Krugman has concluded that the best way to head off a panic is to take the bad paper out of the financial system and park it temporarily in the national debt. Desirable? No. Preferable to a domino-effect crash in the value of all securities and collapse of institutions that keep day-to-day economic activity going? Yes.
The constructive argument at this point is not whether there should be a bailout, but what form the bailout should take and what safeguards should be in place. Recriminations and ideological posturing are merely noise pollution.
MarcM, I am not referring to FDIC insurance. I said FDIC insurance should be increased. The point I am making with respect to money market funds is that they compete with Banks for capital and advantaging them is zero sum disadvantaging banks. Fed Funds is 2%. Yet, you can go to big stable bank and get a short CD for 4%. Why is that? Because banks are competing hard for deposits (capital) and are willing to pay up to get them. Making it harder for banks (traditional banks, not investment banks) only delays. We need a restoration of liquidity and credit and the fastest road there is healthy, well capitalized banks.
MarcM,
"Nice try Laura, but this pig is whole-hog GOP, through and through. It was engineered by the Bush administration and is being pushed through by them. Congress will hang some nice clothing on it and put some lipstick on its snout, but it is still a pig...a Republican pig."
Absolutely...it's one or two elected officials with a handful of appointed ones. That was my NON-PARTISAN point. Pelosi et al, as Speaker of the House, is representative of the window-dressing wrangling that we are currently seeing before they finally vote this pig through. And then we lose control over what happens to our taxes for the next coupla generations...
Taxation without representation
Personally, I can think of better ways to spend $700,000,000,000.00 dollars (did I get all the zeroes in?):
1. Let's have a year of Jubilee: cancel all mortgage debt (starting with the least financially stable amongst us) and then, consumer debt (at 24+% interest)... setting the slaves free. Why should multi-millionaires who have already proven to be criminally financially irresponsible have that kind of money and control?
B. Go after the post-modern Robber Barons: Indict those who have consistently raided healthy corporations, traded commodities they didn't own, engineered personal exit strategies that produced millions for themselves whilst leaving wreak and ruin in their wake. Liquidate ALL THEIR ASSETS; leave them one house, two cars, and some money in the bank (maybe $50,000...a shock to their system, I am sure); use those liquidated assets to help those who have become poorer or homeless because of their raider practices.
iii. If there is a bail-out, give Congress or an elected committee control over the mechanics of the bail-out so we have transparency and accountability. No more appointed financial whiz-kid gurus behind closed bank vaults.
And, MarcM? Rather than pointing fingers at the Republicans (and the case could be made this started with FDR...or, even, Alexander Hamilton and the Revolutionary War debt...), look at your own practices. How have you contributed to this mess? Have you wanted goods at unreasonably low, low prices? Double-digit returns on your investments? A job that pays thirty bucks an hour with an unlimited healthcare benefit at $5/month???
:grin:
Then you, too, are part of the problem, my friend. We have ALL been part of the problem...
Personally, I have bigger concerns: a Daughter who lives in China and my 14-month old GrandSon who has to drink imported milk and formula because of the corruption in the food industry. Just be glad you don't live there.
Post a Comment
By submitting these comments, I agree to the beliefnet.com terms of service, rules of conduct and privacy policy (the "agreements"). I understand and agree that any content I post is licensed to beliefnet.com and may be used by beliefnet.com in accordance with the agreements.