Fannie and Freddie: Deadbeats of the Decade
The feds are moving to take over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in a bailout that's going to cost taxpayers tens of billions of dollars. This ought to make us all mad as hell, that the mortgage giants got to...
As I e-mailed you last night, Rod, "Oh, hell..."
I beg to differ on one point, Rod.
The very last thing the Fannie and Freddie fiasco represents for Barack Obama is an opportunity.
That is because on the long list of Democratic party politicians and liberal and leftist institutions that have been beneficiaries of Fannie's and Freddie's (ahem) "largesse" is *Acorn* -- the Association of Community Organizers for Reform Now -- the leftist, Alinskyite outfit in which Obama served his much-trumpeted (by him) stint of time as a "community organizer," i.e. as a run-of-the-mill mau-mau man.
Others on the list include Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Rahm Emanuel, Barney Frank, Paul Krugman, Harvard University, the Brookings Institution, the Rainbow Coalition, PUSH, the Congressional Black Caucus, and the Congressional Hispanic Caucus -- and that's hardly an inclusive roll.
There are Republicans there as well, to be sure, but one commentator hits the nail on the head when he writes that Fannie and Freddie derive their "unique clout" -- especially on the left and among Democrats -- from "a combination of liberal ideology and private profit" -- a combination that we will see to see many, many iterations of in coming years, if Obama wins.
You heard it here first, folks.
In related news, Silver State Bank was closed today by the Nevada Financial Institutions Division, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was named Receiver.
Andy McCain was the director of the board of directors.
But John McCain was a P.O.W.!
Rod: Still, it's outrageous that it got to this point, and voters should look kindly upon whichever of the candidates vows to clean this mess up and keep it from happening again.
Suggestion that--we judge candidates--by issues--(clutches chest)--must fight off--heart attack from shock.....
;)
Are you kidding? No candidate on earth could make Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac understandable to the average voter; after all, most American are innumerate. (Sorry, but it's true.)
Look at the drilling issue. Even geophysicists who believe we should be drilling more, such as Kurt House at Harvard, know that drilling will have no appreciable affect on gas availability or prices in the next two decades, if ever. House calls it a "faith-based energy policy" and regrets that McCain, a man he admires, has taken up the "drill, baby, drill call." As House said recently in a piece in the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists:
"What we're watching is the thread of a decent argument--that when oil prices are very high, the United States should expand oil exploration and extraction--get oversold by liars and fools who cannot perform basic arithmetic."
http://thebulletin.org/web-edition/columnists/kurt-zenz-house/oil-to-drill-or-not-to-drill
Rod says: The NYT story says that McCain has long been critical of Fannie and Freddie, so it looks like it might be hard to pin this failure on him.
McCain has a history of saying one thing and voting for another.
Regardless of what people say on TV (and they say that the real estate decline is almost over), it is only the beginning. I was saying for a long time that a financial tsunami is coming and I came across a website where an analyst is using exactly the same words. If this guy is right, the picture is very scary. And the worsest thing is that per my observations I agree with many things he is saying.
http://market-ticker.denninger.net/
Sorry, the one above was from me.
Rod says: The NYT story says that McCain has long been critical of Fannie and Freddie, so it looks like it might be hard to pin this failure on him.
McCain has a history of saying one thing and voting for another.
Regardless of what people say on TV (and they say that the real estate decline is almost over), it is only the beginning. I was saying for a long time that a financial tsunami is coming and I came across a website where an analyst is using exactly the same words. If this guy is right, the picture is very scary. And the worsest thing is that per my observations I agree with many things he is saying.
http://market-ticker.denninger.net/
I'll agree that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are going to cost the taxpayers billions. I'll also agree with Kit Stolz that we're at the beginning of a financial unraveling (especially in housing) that is going to take years to complete.
The problem is that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac won't be the only outfits that are going to be in need of a taxpayer bailout. The Pension Benefits Guaranty Corporation is going to be up for $ 100 billion or so. Quite a few state pension funds are in the black; their managers are going to be sticking their hands out. Some of the larger corporations are no doubt going to be crying poverty, too. The real problem is this: the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bailouts are as nothing compared to the size of the unfunded liability for Medicare. The Medicare problem is, if my memory serves, some $ 40 TRILLION and growing fast. According to the actuaries, Medicare is already technically insolvent. Social Security and Medicaid ? Let's not even go there, people.
There is simply no way that the central government is going to be able to get the funds for all these handouts. The Chinese central bank is running out of money to lend us; their capital base is far weaker than it looks. Meanwhile, all those pensioners and subsidized-corporate-bondholders are going to be looking for money. And they vote.
There is a crash coming pretty soon (by 2020, at the very latest), and it's going to be a big one. I'm not at all sanguine about the United States surviving it, either; at least not as one country. There are simply too many special-privilege groups that will be vying for limited resources to keep things together peacefully.
Why either of the Big Two nominees would want the Presidency under such conditions is beyond me. Whoever is in the White Palace when the crash hits will be lucky not to be strung up and hanged by the mobs.
Your servant,
Lord Karth
That should have read "Quite a few state pension funds are in the RED."
Late-night color confusion strikes again; I think someone switched me to decaf without telling me.
Your servant,
Lord Karth
We understand, Karth, though you may want to switch to a good black loose tea for late nights. The crash isn't so bad.
The real problem is this: the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bailouts are as nothing compared to the size of the unfunded liability for Medicare. The Medicare problem is, if my memory serves, some $ 40 TRILLION and growing fast. According to the actuaries, Medicare is already technically insolvent. Social Security and Medicaid ? Let's not even go there, people.
Dude, that's not the same thing at all. With social services, that means the government has made promises of spending and than failed to collect the taxes to actually met those promises. There are, obviously, two simple ways to solve that problem: Less promises, or more taxes.
With Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, we are actually bailing out private corporations. Now, yes, there's an argument that they aren't 'really' private, but if so, that just moves the bailout one step out, because the FMs weren't running around making loans to people, they were buying mortgages from banks.
Frankly, the thing to do at this point is to, indeed, bail out the FMs...and to open several million investigations on whether or not the FMs were fraudulently sold loans, and not only go after corporations that sold them such loans, but realize that's criminal wrongdoing and lets us break the corporate immunity and go after the company executives personally.
Then, ultimately, I'd like to see it made illegal to make a mortgage loan with the intent to sell it to someone else, or by 'agents' who do not actually work for the company they are making the loans for. (They could be sold, but couldn't be intended to be sold at the time they were written. And maybe for two years they couldn't be sold at all.)
Selling loans, and having a system set up where banks are either immediately selling the loans, or simply making them on behalf of another company and getting paid a commission per-loan, or both (Where the banks make the loan on behalf of another company, who immediately sells it.) is just an incredibly stupid system.
It incentivises everyone sitting at the mortgage table (Except the person getting the loan, and sometimes even then.) to lie about the ability of the homebuyer to pay off the loan, because none of them suffer in the slightest if they can't.
Yes, yes, we can argue that the companies buying the loans screwed up and should have done more work insuring that they only bought legit ones...but mortgage-issuing companies were often operating illegally, which makes loan-buying companies who bought crap loans from them about as morally culpable as people who buy toys that, unknown to them, had lead in them. We have laws for a reason, because all people, and companies, can't always check that people who are selling to them are actually telling the truth.
This entry is arguably the most important entry on this blog today, if not this week, or month, or year. The nationalization of Fradie would normally be a story-of-the-year but the fact that its not dominating every front page and every minute of CNN just goes to show you how f'd the country is right now.
And yet, this thread has 12 comments and is starting to age. And all the various culture-wars threads have 50 comments or more.
This speaks volumes, and it does not bode well.
Mike and Karth are both correct...this thread is the single MOST important thread in months, but people don't understand why. Billions you say? It might actually be a TRILLION before it's over. People should be rioting in the streets.
Partisanship pales when you look at these housing bailouts. For months I wrote letters and emails to our "leaders," imploring them not to allow bailouts of any kind. And the American people were entirely on my side, numerous polls showed that fully 70% of the populace was strongly against the housing bailouts. So what did our fearless leaders do? They went ahead with the bailouts of course. Look at campaign contributions on both sides(maybe even more for Dems) and it's a who's who of Wall St., banking and real estate concerns. The corruption is so thick on both sides that it makes me sick to my stomach. We're talking about sums of money that take your breath away. And our leaders are totally unaccountable to the people in this regard. They have allowed profits to remain private while socializing losses via crony capitalism. This arch stupidity encourages moral hazard; there is no earthly reason for big business to play by the rules when they know that the government will cover any losses, even losses that have been caused by stupid and risky decisions. I am LIVID about this issue.
As I said before, the partisan debates are meaningless once you delve into what the big boys are doing behind the scenes. Our deficit is gargantuan and exploding as I write this, and the entitlement tsunami is coming at us as well...and none of the contenders mention any of this.
We are talking about numbers that are more dire than The Depression. If they keep printing money, eventually the dollar will indeed be totally worthless and crash, taking the world economy down as well. There is no longer any accountability for the money men, the Congress, the Fed, the Treasury, etc., as they all greedily ream the American taxpayer for sums that the next twelve generations won't be able to pay back.
God help us.
I so agree with this post! When the very same people that say they don't like socialism support bailing out large companies with tax-payer money you just have to wonder what is going on. We have to restore some sort of accountablility and some regulation to the financial sector. I have save 30% of my income for over a decade and because of poor returns on wall street it looks like I won't be retiring as scheduled. But the real problem is the moral hazard the results when you pay people to do the wrong thing.
I don't think we should bail-out Fannie and Freddie and I agree they are deadbeats. But I also understand the economic argument that we can't let the largest holders of mortgage loans to go belly-up and the cost to the country and the economy and homeowners--both in the U.S. and internationally--could be devestating.
The story, however, represents the failure of sound economic policy and the failure of the market. It also points out one of the most important flaws in unregulated capitalism. The mortgage loan crisis occurred because of the unregulated market. Instead of creating safe-guards, we listened to hedge fund managers instead of economists and supply-siders instead of rationalists or pragmatists.
I'd like to think that this would encourage voters to begin asking hard questions about the economic policies and regulatory plans of the candidates. I'm not convinced they will.
Daniel,
The fact that you regard quasi-socialist Government Sponsored Enterprises or GSE's like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac -- both of which are much more closely linked to the Democratic than to the Republican party and both of which have been and are being opposed by John McCain -- as examples of "unregulated capitalism" only goes to show your profound and indeed your insulting degree of ignorance on this as on so many other questions. Fannie and Freddie are designed to privatize profit and to socialize loss -- to privatize profit for the many, many liberals and leftists (among others) who wallow with them in bed each and every day, and to socialize loss by passing the tab on to average citizens of all sorts who already can expect a wide array of massive direct and indirect tax hikes under the Obama regime that the Democratically-controlled Congress now preparing to bail out F-and-F would so dearly like to see. Your precious Obama's precious ACORN is just as closely tied to F-and-F if not more so than any imaginary Fat Cat or Daddy Warbucks lighting his cigar with dollar bills in your fevered dreams. Take an aspirin, get some sleep, and most of all *hush* when you clearly have no clue what you are talking about.
I understand what the intention of Fannie and Freddie are and were. That, once they came under the control of private shareholders and directors, they lost that vision is part of the problem. The collapse of Fannie and Freddie also represent the depth of the mortgage crisis, which was caused by the unregulated market.
Take an aspirin, get some sleep, and most of all *hush* when you clearly have no clue what you are talking about.
Such a pitiful little man you are.
Daniel,
You neglect to mention that the "private shareholders and directors" under whose control Fannie and Freddie have come are mostly political hacks from the Democratic party, which for that and for other reasons bears at least as large a share of the blame for the current mortgage crisis as anyone else -- just ask Chuck Schumer what he thinks about that.
On other fronts.....
Actually, I'm not so little. In fact, I'm rather tall.
But thanks anyway for pitying me -- I'd expect nothing less from Saint Daniel of the Bleeding Heart.
Well there's still the rest of 2008 and all of 2009 for someone to top Fannie and Freddie until they can claim the title Rod's offered them. Should their management get an IgNobel prize for economics?
Daniel - Rufus is right, you are not well informed - Bill Clinton opened the flood gates to the unregulated financial feeding frenzy in '99
from "More Awful Truths About Republicans" at mises.org/story/3098 (add http://)
Thus spake Jeffrey Tucker 'The NYT is reporting that the bailout and nationalization, I mean conservatorship, of Freddie and Fannie is going to be far worse than expected by anyone not reading the Austrian economists at Mises, for example our local boy Don Rich (instructor of economics, finance, and political science at Montgomery County Community College in Blue Bell, PA, teaches economics, government, and history at Delaware County Community College in Exton, PA.) had this to say three weeks ago:
cited www.mises.org/story/3062missing Don Rich citation:
http://mises.org/story/3062
I never mentioned Democrats or Repulbicans. I was merely questioning the wisdom of the unregulated marketplace. Yes, Freddie and Fannie are loaded with Clinton cronies. Yes, the elimination of regulations occurred on Clinton's watch, at the behest of a Republican Congress following traditional Republican-backed ecnomic and market policy.
A pox on everyone's house (assuming it isn't in foreclosure).
Daniel,
So a pox on everyone's house, but just much less of a pox on the Democrats' house, despite the fact that they deserve much more of the blame in this particular case.
Makes good (non)sense to me ... considering the source.
If you had even one tenth of the integrity that you pretend to on this point you could never spend one tenth as much time as you do on this blog repeating left-liberal and Democratic party chattering points.
I and others here would give you an easier time than we usually do if you would just once in a while break with your flock or whatever group it is in which parrots fly.
My friends (to borrow a favored McCainism)
cited from comments thread at www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?view=DETAILS&grid=&xml=/money/2008/09/07/ccfreddie107.xml (addwe need to start looking at who are true friends are when our own Government bails out China (whose sovereign wealth funds hold a lot of the debt paper at both GSEs) at the expense of our banks and pension funds (Sovereign Bank here in PA held 15% or around $500 million in common stock which equals zilch this morning, most corporate pension funds are likely to be 5% down, which doesn't sound like much but GET THIS, that more than the capital cushion these behemoths operated under, which was only 3%. That means they could lend aka "guarantee" 97% of NOTHING so long as they held cash-in-hand of 3cents for every dollar.... )
http://)
The UK press is all over this one - blaming us for the global business freeze...
Jim Rogers: US 'More Communist Than China' at Lew Rockwell blog
The Fannie-Freddie bailout is "socialism for the rich," says Jim Rogers. Not for "homeowners in trouble" - not that that's a good idea - but for "Wall Street and the big banks." Actually, Jim, this is just more fascist corporatism: an FDR-style big government-big business partnership against the rest of us. BTW, Ron Paul warned against all of this, years ago. And wait a minute, Jim, you're right. This is socialism: national socialism.
Chapter V in Thomas L. Friedman's latest is subtitled "China for one day"
GOD FORBID!
I seriously think our elites have lost their marbles!!!
I'm going to do all in my power to help Ron Paul get my hubbies vote (I'm a British citizen, so no franchise for me, and no pity either - my pounds just got more valuable as your dollars dipped)
Blame Bill Clinton all you want. But just like NAFTA, don't pretend this wasn't Clinton bowing to wishes of the right and implementing their stupid economic ideas.
The fact that Clinton regularly decided to be 'economically conservative', which apparently means 'letting businesses do whatever they want with no regard for the American people' is a completely valid condemnation of Clinton. It is not, however, a very useful condemnation of the left.
As for the fact that Democrats run Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac...those two organizations were not mismanaged. They were defrauded by banks selling them loans they misrepresented as a lot better than they were.
Of course, the mere existence of a organization that bought loans sight-unseen was just asking for that sort of fraud to hurt it, but it's worth pointing out that it seemed to operate okay until the Bush-caused housing bubble and the Bush Administration lack of regulation of banks that were selling it loans.
It's not like this is some problem that's been building since its creation...the loans that are failing now are recent loans. 2006 is the biggest foreclosure year. Loans made under the regulation of Clinton are fine. (And are, in fact, the only thing keeping the system afloat right now.)
David, sorry but the wee banks weren't fraudulent -- they were coerced into competing to make more crazy risky deals than their brethren in the consumer credit industry by the massive market manipulation of the GSEs (bigger than the top 10 US private banks combined). If we believe you, pray Anatole Kaletsy at the Times of London is right...
"All this really does add up to the biggest government intervention in any market economy since the Second World War. If this programme is not sufficient to put the US economy and financial system back on its feet, it is hard to imagine anything else that could. ( |_Clare_Krishan_ adds: if you're a logical positivist, of the German historical school maybe, but as a Catholic Christian convinced of human concupiscence ... NOT |(*) )
Anyone betting against this package is, therefore, betting that the US economy is doomed to irreversible and inevitable decline. Such a bet has always been wrong in the past and is likely to be wrong again this time. So Sunday's probably was the Big One - and a US economic recovery is now assured."
business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/columnists/article4699475.ece (add http://)
and hope no more "black swans" crop up like that that occured at the LSE Monday:
www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?view=DETAILS&grid=&xml=/money/2008/09/08/bcnlse508.xml (add same)
___
* progress is not inevitable, the Roman Empire ceased to exist when it failed to assert moral rectitude of the simple pagan kind, with their own version of fiat currency bank failure and subsequent lack of fortitude of public fiduciary trust. Their culture imploded under the pressure of the invading hoardes... civilization as they knew retreated to Christian centers of community - Rod's much vaunted "Benedict Option." I'm no chicken little, but betting none of the big 4 (POTUS/V-potus) candidates has experience of the "since the Second World war" kind, not even he of the Hanoi Hilton...
As if to prove my point about Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac being far too complicated for the Average Joe to understand, today the Republican V-P candidate revealed that she doesn't know how they work:
"Speaking before voters in Colorado Springs, the Republican vice presidential nominee claimed that lending giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had "gotten too big and too expensive to the taxpayers." The companies, as McClatchy reported, "aren't taxpayer funded but operate as private companies. The takeover may result in a taxpayer bailout during reorganization."
Economists and analysts pounced on the misstatement, saying it demonstrated a lack of understanding about one of the key economic issues likely to face the next administration.
"You would like to think that someone who is going to be vice president and conceivable president would know what Fannie and Freddie do," said Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research. "These are huge institutions and they are absolutely central to our country's mortgage debt. To not have a clue what they do doesn't speak well for her, I'd say.""
Frankly, I don't really blame her. I used to be a financial reporter, and I had difficulty understanding them myself. But it points up the hazard of running a crackerbarrel candidacy against the pointy-headed elites...as does, for that matter, much of the Bush administration.
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