The problems with Palin
Obviously I've been as energized by McCain's Palin pick as have many other conservatives, hence my logorrheic blogging about it. I must say, though, that I have concerns. May as well get them out here: 1. Her lack of experience....
Rod,
I'd suggest adding serious doubts about her intellectual heft, something which isn't exactly a McCain strength either, in light of her foolish comment about the pledge of allegiance. That story (she's willing to fight for the pledge because the founding fathers wrote it) does point to your 3rd issue, as it seems an example of substituting moral proclamations for real thought.
Doug
I'd bet the pledge comment was taken out of context. She was talking about the phrase "under God," and she said "if it was good enough for the founding fathers..." I bet she was referring to the founding fathers' belief in God.
Whatever the problems with Palin, the truth is that she has taken the focus away from Obama. BO's appeal might just shrink when he's not always in the spotlight.
Brooks on McCain: "He really needs someone to impose a policy structure on his moral intuitions. He needs a very senior person who can organize a vast administration and insist that he tame his lone-pilot tendencies and work through the established corridors... He needs a near-equal who can turn his instincts, which are great, into a doctrine that everybody else can predict and understand."
Sarah Palin this is not. Yes, she is exciting, but it was also scary to see her demeanor which said, "Gee whiz I get to be VP!" and then to hear her actually say she wonders what a VP does all day.
Doug Cramer: "...in light of her foolish comment about the pledge of allegiance."
Yes, Doug, it's clear that Sarah Palin doesn't have your erudite knowledge and extensive experience and -- unlike other folks in the Commentariat -- didn't go to seminary or an Ivy League college or God knows what else.
But in the great scheme of things I don't think NOT knowing that the phrase "under God" was only added in 1954 to the Pledge (thanks initially to lobbying by the Knights of Columbus, incidentally) is hardly a disqualification for the Presidendy or the Vice Presidency.
Have we forgotten that Barack Obama confuses Memorial Day with Veterans Day (one honors those who died in battle, the other those who served); got the number of states wrong (no, Barry, not 57 but 50); and can't complete an unscripted sentence without at least uttering a minimum of ten "ahs" or "ums" ??
Rod: "I don't think Palin will be in any way a countervailing force on McCain regarding foreign policy."
Constitutionally, Rod, VPs aren't supposed to be. And I can't think of any VP in modern times that has been a "countervailing force" although others were certainly "contributing forces" (Cheney to Bush 43 and, to a lesser degree, Mondale to Carter). Apparently, during Roosevelt's third term Henry Wallace tried to be a "countervailing force" which is why FDR gave him the boot for Harry Truman at the 1944 DNC. Which, given Wallace's leftist orientation, was a Godsend.
BO's appeal might just shrink when he's not always in the spotlight.
It might just do the opposite. Polls were showing that people thought Obama was overexposed.
I give her a pass on the pledge thing as well. I'm sure there are many bright and competent people who don't realize how new the "under God" part is, or even the pledge itself.
Eagleton factor?
Good musings, Rod.
(1) Again, on experience, I'd say she's more experienced than Obama (and I don't think running a campaign that dethrones the Clinton's should count as 'experience' here, fwiw). So, again, bring it on -- let's have that debate. As you say, she's our #2 but he's their #1.
(2) Is McCain *really* that hawkish on foreign policy? (That's an honest question, not a rhetorical one.) I know he sang the *bomb bomb Iran* song, but watching the video, looked like he made a rather bad and impolitic vote. He's seen war. He's been tortured. He's been really critical of Bush on foreign policy (and domestic policy too) -- why anyone entertains this "Bush 3rd term" nonsense is beyond me. Given his experiences and his words and deeds *before* he was a candidate, I trust him not to do anything rash. (Palin too -- her son's in the military, so if she were ever in a position to do X or Y, she'd have her own blood in the fight, so to speak.)
I know he's said tough things about Putin and Russia lately. But really, I think a sensible Senator McCain will appear, not a 'candidate McCain', all bellicose and belligerent. And, God forbid, if we did find ourselves in another war, I'd trust him to manage it a heck of a lot better than GWB and his merry band of miscreants.
Rod: "She'd be good on domestic policy, I'm guessing..."
(no comment necessary)
Thomas Eagleton was removed as VP from the Democratic ticket in 1972, due to alleged psychiatric problems, casting doubt on candidate George McGovern's judgement. Nixon won the election.
Francis Beckwith on Andrew Sullivan's abuse of the Palin-Pledge non-gaffe.
Ok, this Alaskan Independence Party thing could be a problem after all.
The Party's Introduction page has this quote from its founder: "I'm an Alaskan, not an American. I've got no use for America or her damned institutions." h/t washingtonmonthly.com. This could be her "God damn America" moment if the press runs with it. Who knows?
Thank you -- a couple years before my birth, and history starts the day we're born:)
Rod hits the nail on the head. The big problem (or question) is not Palin but McCain. He probably belongs to the "John Nance Garner" school of defining Vice-Presidential duties in any case.
Experience?
Uh, don't look now, but Palin has more executive experience that Obama and Biden put together.
(Hint: neither of the Dem nominees have ANY exec. experience, unless you want to count being a "community organizer" -- whatever the hell that is.)
Palin and McCain should jam this phony experience question right down their throats by making it a central talking point.
McCain is very scary on foreign policy. He was making the rounds on TV and radio the day after 9/11 to attack Iraq and Iran. McCain has flip-flopped on almost everything since he lost the 2000 primary. I just read tonight that a group of right wing conservatives picked Palin. James Dobson was one of the members. Most of McCain's other VPs were pro-choice. There was a long list of things that came out today. Vegas started betting on whether she would be dumped.
Rod, you've put together a great set of objections/concerns. I'll respond to all four.
1. Lack of experience.
It's true, she's no 20-year veteran of the Hill ... but neither is Obama (nor, for that matter, is Pawlenty, Jindal, Romney or many of the others who were on McCain's "short list"). She was elected to the local City Council in 1992 (back when Obama was only a year out of law school) and served 4 years before putting in six years as Mayor before being term-limited. Defeated for Alaska Lt. Governor in 2002 before election as Governor in '06.
She's got more adminstrative and executive experience than Obama, who hasn't even held a hearing of the Senate sub-committee he chairs. In fairness, he and William Ayres (oops, I forgot we're not supposed to talk about THAT connection) did run an Annenberg-funded educational initiative in Chicago and I suppose that counts for something ... but they blew through tens of millions of dollors of grant money with nothing to show (and no financial accounting).
2. The Eagleton factor.
Perhaps, but there's also lots of stuff on Obama that's waiting to be fully explored in the coming eight weeks. Whooooeeeee !! :-)
3. Can she really govern? David Brooks says: "Palin shares McCain's primary weakness -- a tendency to substitute a moral philosophy for a political philosophy ..."
Given the "soak the rich" class warfare posturing we're hearing from Obama/Biden, I don't see them drawing much of a distinction between moral philosophy and political philosophy. Besides, there's much evidence that Palin has been able to work with Democrats in the Alaska legislature and has shown a pragmatic streak.
4. Does she bring enough to the ticket to compensate for McCain's weakness in foreign policy?
Would any other likely VP pick been able to do that, if elected. Ridge and especially Lieberman would only have REINFORCED his tendencies and not compensated for them; Romney would have been focusing on int'l economic issues; and, Pawlenty would have been the most acquiescent. Perhaps Bobby Jindal (whiz-kid Rhodes Scholar) could have fit the bill. Regardless, there's a plucky jauntiness to Palin that tells me that even Johnny Mac had better not underestimate her :-) Nor the rest of us!
Here's whats really bothering the Commentariat about Palin: She hasn't been part of the Washington-Cambridge axis all these years. Didn't go to Harvard or Yale. Hasn't appeared on any of the Sunday morning talk shows. Hasn't ever published an article in "Foreign Affairs" or an op-ed piece in the NYT or the WSJ. Probably would get lost on K Street in Washington. All these things are true of her ... as they were true for Ronald Reagan (who did just fine).
Reaganite:
All good points. But I think that you could expand on what's *really* bothering the Commentariat, i.e. she's young, beautiful, pro-life and conservative. She's feminine but tough (as contrasted with Hillary, who is definitely tough, but not feminine.)
Further, she doesn't fit the Left's stereotype of a religiously conservative woman in that she's not at all frumpy and she doesn't have a perpetual scowl on her face. She doesn't wear long dresses and doesn't look anything at all like those LDS women living on that compound in Texas.
But most importantly of all, they hate her because she chose to have that Down's Syndrome baby -- and although the Left champion's a woman's freedom of "choice", that choice must never ever be "Life."
In short, they hate her because she exposes their true nature by contrast.
I agree, there is a real gap in the Democratic party of how many governors we have who can kill and skin a bear with their own two hands while wearing a star spangled bikini.
We're not laughing at you, we're laughing with you.
I think the Pledge thing makes her look a bit dumb. It's certainly possible she meant the Founders believed in God being over us, but it's possible she means what it sounded like. The question, and answer, are ambiguous. Either way it's not good for her. I think my problems are similar to Rod's, but I might state a few differently.
On experience a concern I have is that she was Governor of a state that is very different than the rest of the nation in Geography, History, and maybe even overall culture. California, Reagan's state, is an outlier in many ways too but contains more things typical of the lower 48. If she were governor of Utah or Massachusetts or Hawaii this could also be a concern. She was also not governor all that long. So there's a risk that she is, or at least could be portrayed as, out-of-touch with the rest of America.
A concern I've developed on listening to her is she might be too focused on fossil fuel issues. Managing those is critically important in Alaska, hence if she did well at it it makes her a good governor for the state, but in the nation as a whole there's other things involved. I worry she does see these wars as "wars for oil", or natural gas anyway, and is okay with them being such. I guess I hoped she'd be a bit more open to alternate energy than she seems to be.
I still think she sounds like a neat lady who did many good things. It's just I'm naturally cautious and although I was actually very excited for a bit, my natural tendencies have reasserted themselves.
Anyway kudos to Rod for considering the problems in a serious manner. I doubt people like Sullivan would ever do that with Obama.
But most importantly of all, they hate her because she chose to have that Down's Syndrome baby
I think it's worth pointing out that this simply isn't true. It's like a liberal saying that the *real* reason conservatives don't like Obama is because he's black. You're projecting something onto people based upon your absolute worst thoughts of them, not how they actually think in reality. Choosing to have her baby is something that deeply and profoundly moves conservatives. In a cultural context, I don't think it's even on your average lefty's radar.
...she's young, beautiful, pro-life and conservative.
You could have something here. Youngish women with strong beliefs tend to drive lots of people up the wall, regardless of their politics.
The only good thing that may (MAY) come from a Palin run now is that you "conservatives" (the word really doesn't mean what it used to mean) will for once and all realize that the government has no business meddling in the private lives of its citizens. If you still insist that everyone needs to live their lives according to one particular dogma, then nothing good will come of this at all. We should not condemn Ms. Palin for any of her or her daughter's personal choices, nor should we exalt her for them, we should only acknowledge that the Palins are humans. So is everyone else, and if modern-day conservatives had learned to keep the social agenda in church and developed a concept of governing that included views other than their own, they might not be put under such scrutiny when one of their own comes down with a touch of Common Human-ness.
"if modern-day conservatives had learned to keep the social agenda in church and developed a concept of governing that included views other than their own" James Sweet
TR: Yes and if the black church had done the same then they would've accepted that the Deep South would "develop" on their own so not have pressed for integration. Which might still sound sensible to many here.
Although even then the people like Goldwater, who opposed Civil Rights Acts because of states-rights rather than segregationism, were not wanting a particularly strong federal government. However on issues like abortion the states have only limited ability to set individual variation. Same-sex marriage is still decided at the state level, but it's never been brought in by a vote so far as I can recall. It's generally brought in by judicial fiat. There are those who want the Supreme Court to require it nationally.
And lastly I don't think there's ever been a universally agreed upon definition of "conservative" then or now. Although skepticism of social experimentation and judicial power seems pretty basic to the older definition as well.
Rod,
There are serious questions about Palin's commitment to the American union. She allegedly was a member of the Alaska Independence Party, a party that seeks Alaska's departure from the United States and an independent Alaska. How can we trust somebody who was once a member of that party to be loyal to the United States? This is much worse than Obama's reverend Wright problem. It is problematic in two ways:
1) Where do her ultimate loyalties lie? Even if she was not a member (which by credible reports she was), she gave a recorded address to their convention. That is very troubling. Why would somebody who is loyal to the United States address a secessionist party?
2) What was John McCain thinking in naming her with this serious question about her having either been a member of the AIP or at least having given a sympathetic address to their party? John McCain obviously has some serious gaps in his judgment that need to be considered in voting for him.
This can't go unanswered...
"she has a tendency to substitute a moral philosophy for a political philosophy. "
Hmmm.... here the writer demonstrates a profound ignorance of political philosophy. Until Machavelli, ethics was a subaltered science to politics!
As this guy never read Aristotle?
On foreign policy, I'm hopeful that McCain's outward toughness is a posture taken to let our enemies - you all do remember them, I assume? - know that we will go to war if necessary. His actual military experience and pedigree might in fact make him less adventuristic than a chickenhawk Dubya or an effete BHO in an actual crisis. He certainly knows how foot soldiers can experience "quagmire."
The biggest problem with GOP foreign policy is not a posture of toughness but the Messianic rhetoric of spreading democracy. Bush's second inaugural was totally unhinged in that regard, but the GOP has been seeking a raison d'etre, since the fall of Communism, and tax cuts aren't plausible forever.
Better a September surprise than an October surprise.
Oh. and Palin's daughter is the result of a progressive culture and not a conservative one.
Good to see that you are finally coming around on Sarah Palin. There were much better women GOP candidates that were overlooked because they are pro-choice.
I think it's worth pointing out that this simply isn't true. It's like a liberal saying that the *real* reason conservatives don't like Obama is because he's black. You're projecting something onto people based upon your absolute worst thoughts of them, not how they actually think in reality.
Posted by: Ben | September 2, 2008 3:29 AM
I'm glad you said that first, Ben. I had a similar, if not so politely worded, response in mind for fbc.
Having watched Palin be extensively interviwed the other night on energy policy, ANWR, etc- she is smart, knows her stuff, and shows good judgement. It made me even more convinced that she is a good pick.
Re the abstinence thing: the irony is that it shows even more why abstinence is the best policy. If her daughter had followed that policy, she wouldn't be pregnant today.
Rod, do you see Palin as a plus or minus for developing a sustainable energy policy — and how important an issue is this for you this year?
I know you were rightly skeptical of Obama's sweeping pledge to achieve energy independence in 10 years. Still, I don't doubt that Obama would make subsidizing alternate energy development a priority, and I think this is vital to the long term health of the US.
Whereas a Palin pick appears to signal that McCain's energy strategy will focus on domestic drilling -- which might be necessary temporarily, but doesn't do much for addressing peak oil concerns.
Ben (1.58 AM): which is why I'm betting the press won't run with it.
"Oh. and Palin's daughter is the result of a progressive culture and not a conservative one."
Ah.................the victim card. We've been waiting.
If it isn't the most conservative state, Alaska is at least the most libertarian one.
Why not just blame it on the long winters
There are morally and intellectually respectable arguments why *neither* Sarah Palin *nor* Barack Obama is qualified for the position that she or he seeks.
There are morally and intellectually respectable arguments why *both* Sarah Palin *and* Barack Obama are qualified for the positions they seek -- thought those arguments would be less convincing to me.
There are even morally and intellectually respectable arguments why Sarah Palin *is* qualified and Barack Obama is *not* qualified for the positions that she and he respectively seek -- since she seeks a less exalted position that has traditionally required less qualification than the one that he seeks.
However.....
There is absolutely no morally and intellectually respectable argument why Sarah Palin is *not* qualified for the position she seeks while Barack Obama *is* qualified for the one that he seeks.
What we have here is a case of two promising but unproven Vice-Presidential candidates -- one of whom is running for President and one of whom is running for Vice-President.
What we have here is, on the one hand, a politician with executive experience who has resisted the culture of corruption that she has had to face, and, on the other hand, a politician with no executive experience who has at best acquiesced to and at worst extended the culture of corruption that he has had to face -- by wallowing in bed with machine-political grifters and grafters, radicals and racist demagogues, terrorists, militants, mau-mau men and mau-mau women.
Other than this, the difference between the two comes down to these:
He's (half) black, while she's "only" white. Who cares?
He's a man, while she's "only" a woman. Who cares?
He went to Harvard, while she "only" went to the University of Idaho? Who cares?
He wrote two (unreadable) books about himself, while she "only" raised five children. Who cares?
He's run his mouth non-stop for the last two years, while she's "only" run her state. Who cares?
There are serious questions about Palin's commitment to the American union. She allegedly was a member of the Alaska Independence Party, a party that seeks Alaska's departure from the United States and an independent Alaska. How can we trust somebody who was once a member of that party to be loyal to the United States? This is much worse than Obama's reverend Wright problem.
Apparently most Alaskans are untrustworthy then, because they sure loved AIP Gov. Walter Hickel in the 1990s.
Funny, I don't recall the Hickel Administration launching rebellion.
And I wonder why the Obama Campaign would be so eager to appeal to all those secessionist rebels up in Alaska, given that Alaska's on their list of 18 target states.
And hey, great Democratic strategy to question Gov. Palin's "loyalty to the Union" when she has personally visited the National Guard troops under her command in Kuwait, and her eldest son is about to be deployed in Iraq.
"Ah.................the victim card. We've been waiting." jim
TR: That was silly. Teen pregnancies happened in the fifties. I think they happened a good deal more often than people act like. Back then they tended to expect they'd get married when it happened, which seems to be what they're doing. I'm not sure I'm for that, but hopefully the actual marriage won't happen until she's at least 18. Either way it's their business.
"If it isn't the most conservative state, Alaska is at least the most libertarian one." jim
TR: This, however, undercuts your argument a bit. Libertarians generally believe in the sexual revolution. Or at least they believe in the Old Western "rugged individualist" kind of sexual liberalism. So the other person can just say "fine she's a victim of a libertarian culture then."
"He went to Harvard, while she "only" went to the University of Idaho? Who cares?
He wrote two (unreadable) books about himself, while she "only" raised five children. Who cares?" Rufus T
TR: I think for many in the news media these two would unavoidably make one person less than another. A Democratic woman with five kids who went to the University of Idaho would, almost automatically, be less impressive than a published writer who went to Harvard. Harvard is a better rank school. And I think for many in the media or academia having five kids is rare or even considered bizarre.
Rod, thanks for your thoughtful comments. I apologize for making snarky comments about Palin during posts yesterday. What I had perceived as a mad rush to McCain/Palin had punched my buttons.
I, like you, am a theologically conservative Christian and a pro-lifer. If I thought Palin was capable of being a good VP (or governing as Pres, in the not-so-unlikely event of McCain's incapacity), I would be among her loudest supporters. Plus, if I thought she was a particularly good representative of traditional values, I would also be leaping on her bandwagon.
But you have honestly noted the legitimate issues about her capacity to be part of a national governing team. I would also add that (in my humble opinion) she is a poor representative of our cause. She strikes me as terribly inconsistent on "life issues". Although her heart is in the right place on abortion and euthanasia, I think she's awful on war, environment and capital punishment. I've been reading everything I can find about her policy stands, and have found no indication of what she may think about poverty, health care, pure food, globalization, sprawl, historic preservation or such. At best, that suggests to me that she doesn't worry much about those things. (And yes, those are issues in Alaska. My son worked as a commercial fisherman off Kodiak Island and can attest to that).
Perhaps even more troubling is that McCain passed over other good pro-life candidates to select Palin. Huckabee, for one, who is more experienced in government, has articulated an intriguing populist agenda and possesses smarts and good judgment. That McCain went for Palin suggests that the "commercial conservatives" within the GOP are simply trying to coopt social conservatives again.
I was a initially Giddy As A Schoolgirl about Sarah Palin; but now things are settling down a bit and the questions are starting to form in my mind. I haven't quite decided how I feel about this election.
- The experience thing doesn't bother me all that much. Historically, governors have proven to be better presidents than senators. And let's not forget Harry Truman, the guy from Missouri who sold hats. Most of what passes for "experience," in politics, amounts to "experience getting re-elected," which I suppose translates into "not upsetting anyone near election time" for years upon end. I am not sure how much of that entails "leadership" or the like, however.
- The lack of Ivy League education also does not faze me. I live near Boston, and know lots of Harvard, Yale, and Cornell graduates. While they are certainly smart, they are not necessarily all that much smarter than other people I know who either lacked rich parents or who were arguably smarter and decided that paying over $30K a year tuition was for suckers. And Bush 43 is a Yalie, and I think we have all agreed he is probably not the sharpest card in the deck.
- As far as Baby Trig; well, I applaud Ms. Palin's not having an abortion. With the sort of advanced testing available now (which is really pushed upon "mature" mothers), Down's can be detected as early as 11-12 weeks at which point many mothers quietly abort without having ever even announced the pregnancy. So I don't agree with people who say "What's the big deal? It would have been bad PR for the pro-life governer to abort at 5 months," since she theoretically COULD have aborted very early on without anyone knowing. She is obviously TRULY pro-life. Now, I am not sure how I feel about the VP having a 5 month old baby; I am probably projected here, but I know when my own children were 5 months old I was severely sleep-deprived and running purely on caffeine fumes. Though my children were all notoriously poor sleepers and liked to nurse approximately every 16.2 minutes round the clock; perhaps the Palin offspring are of easier temperment.
I guess I am just not completely comfortable with a mother at what is probably a more than full-time job, with an infant at home. Though it is true that for the first 3-6 months, babies are pretty happy to just be held and nurse and could conceivably be brought to work with minimum disruption.
- Bristol's pregnancy - Once again, I am glad that Bristol did not get an abortion. And I try not to look down upon pregnant teens; my mother-in-law married at 17 and my darling husband was born six months later -- you can do the math. Both in-laws continued their education and earned masters' degrees, albeit on a slower timetable as they had to juggle family obligations. They are still happily married 37 years later. My own grandma had a shotgun marriage, as far as I can tell; my great-grandpa went so far as to have a friend at City Hall alter my dad's birth certificate to make him appear to be born a year later (the official family story was that it was so that Dad wouldn't get drafted...but I don't know...). Still, I can't help feeling a vague sense of Britney Spears-esque foreboding...it may be my native New England snobbery showing, but it just seems so trailer-parkish (my own grandma WAS an Appalachian hillbilly, so in my elitist little mind it seems understandable for that sort of thing to happen).
- The whole Bristol thing also makes me wonder about Ms. Palin's judgment; if MY oldest daughter was a pregnant teen, and John McCain asked ME to be his running mate, I would probably say "no thanks, we are having a bit of a Family Crisis right now, and I really don't want to see my daughter Dragged Through The Mud, so to speak, and have our difficulties aired on CNN nightly." So my maternal instincts are saying "geez, what kind of mother would do that, knowing that her child will get RIPPED APART by the press?" Here is where I acknowledge being a bit of a sexist; I know that many great leaders were terrible fathers and I can rationalize that by saying "Well, of COURSE he was a shameful excuse for a parent - he WAS off saving the free world from Hitler/Communism/whatever, it wasn't as if he had much time left over to play catch with Junior!" But I have a hard time translating that same understanding to a woman; perhaps I feel that fathers, by nature, have to go out and do stuff that takes them away from their families on a regular basis, but that mothers should have the home as their primary focus. I say this as a mother, myself. But I don't know if I'm RIGHT to think this way.
So I just don't know how I feel about anything ... I really cannot bring myself to vote for Obama, even though he seems like a very nice person, because he is just way too liberal for me and I cannot stomach his stance on abortion, partial-birth abortion and infants who survive abortion. But I don't know if I can vote for McCain, either...probably the best thing for conservatives would be if Obama won, turned out to be an awful President, and thus paved the way for Bobby Jindahl in 2012.
An article on the MSN homepage this morning, about Republican leaders expressing concern that the Palin choice was too quick, and that she wasn't sufficiently vetted, reminds me of why I finally decided to vote for Obama rather than McCain.
In my interpretation what happened, McCain was so irked that he couldn't name Joe Lieberman his VP pick, that he impulsively picked Sarah Palin without much consideration. That impulsive side of McCain is one of the main reasons why I think he lacks the qualifications to be Commander-in-Chief.
If Palin's daughter Bristol and Levi the expectant father become major tabloid fodder in the next couple of weeks, that could be a major problem. If I was running the McCain campaign, I'd try to turn this into a human interest story for the press.
This morning Mike Murphy, former McCain adviser in 2000, appeared on "Morning Joe". He's not too positive about the Palin pick. I've seen poll numbers that ABC released about independent and swing voters. There mostly pro-choice and liberal to moderate on the other social and economic issues.
If right wingers continue this hard right turn, they're gonna put more people off. Mr. Murphy said the only thing he could see this pick doing was solidifying the base. That's a problem when independents are growing and self-identified Republicans are shrinking.
One thing that turns liberals and moderates off is hypocrisy. Obviously the abstinence-only-program didn't work for Palin's daughter; so, why should folks listen to Palin? If Palin tries to speak about family values it may speak to Evangelicals only. Others, after learning about her daughter may question whether the moral platitudes are just a ploy.
In fact, Republican children hardly seem to be the paradigm of virtue. Huckabee's kid was facing animal abuse charges. The Bush twins we're trying to use Secret Service agents in a scheme to engage in under-age drinking.
Maybe the Republicans should stop trying to use their government positions to preach morality. Maybe they should focus on governing.
If Palin's smart, she'll try to convince folks she's a reformer in her speech. God knows what she'll say about foreign policy? She has no record whatsoever. I guess they're saying she was part of the "Independence Party" which wanted to secede from our 49 states. Hardly sounds patriotic.
Salamander: The whole Bristol thing also makes me wonder about Ms. Palin's judgment; if MY oldest daughter was a pregnant teen, and John McCain asked ME to be his running mate, I would probably say "no thanks, we are having a bit of a Family Crisis right now, and I really don't want to see my daughter Dragged Through The Mud, so to speak, and have our difficulties aired on CNN nightly." So my maternal instincts are saying "geez, what kind of mother would do that, knowing that her child will get RIPPED APART by the press?"
This makes sense to me. It probably shows that she's unreasonably ambitious. I doubt that's a dealbreaker for me, but still, this is a good point.
After I wrote my comment, I felt perhaps I was being too hard on Sarah Palin for accepting the VP nomination and exposing Bristol to public scrutiny and ridicule; but it seems that smarter people than I, like Patrick Deneen also had the same thought.
Salamander:
Great comments at 10:22 AM. Very thorough and comprehensive IMHO. Yes, the giddy feeling is being replaced by a sober assessment in my mind, too ... as it should be for all of us regarding ALL these candidates.
You wrote: "If MY oldest daughter was a pregnant teen, and John McCain asked ME to be his running mate, I would probably say "no thanks, we are having a bit of a Family Crisis right now, and I really don't want to see my daughter Dragged Through The Mud."
Good point and I respect your view, but I think Gov. Palin's readiness to say "yes" says a lot about the changing role for women in today's society. Eight years ago Al Gore was going through a "family crisis" of his own re: his son (Al Gore III) ... but no one suggested that he step down from running. Does this represent a double standard for men and women?
Of course you pointed this out yourself and noted also the "maternal instinct" factor.
One gets the sense that Father (Todd) and Mother (Sarah) probably work together a lot and share parenting/work duties. I think it's just a different way of life up there in Alaska than it is in the big cities, especially with the seasonal nature of his work. Although, let me also note that a lot of the younger couples in my Catholic parish here in NYC also tend to share the parenting duties (along with the responsibilities for "bringing home the bacon") in a way that would have boggled the minds of our grandparents :-)
One last thing: If Obama gets elected this year, please don't assume he'll turn out to be a one-term President ... and "thus paving the way for Jindal" in 2012. If Obama turns out to be a Carter, then your scenario works. But if he turns out to be a Clinton (in office for 8 years), do you really want the country to have to suffer that?
oops, the scandals keep coming with just a few hours since McCain gave us Democrats the "gift", clearly she was not properly vetted. Women in my office laughed, it was such a lame, obvious attempt to impress the women and pander the vote.
1) A preggers daughter with "daddy's" my space site saying he did not want to have children(until it was taken down today)--good old fashioned shotgun wedding/romance. The boy wanted the action, not to be a new Daddy.
2) New Impeachment probe(began in July) with recently fired state official accusing her of abuse of power, firing him because he would not fire her ex brother in law, a state trooper. Hell hath no fury like a woman's sister scorned. She just hired a private defense lawyer this week to defend her on those allegations made BEFORE she was ever a serious choice for VP, so they are not politically-motivated.
3) Hubby alleged to have a DWI
4) Took a record number of earmarks as Mayor and now as Gov, tho she claimed to be against them last week.
5) She was a member of a weird Independent Party for a long time that had the platform for Alaska to Secede from the Union--she didn't even want to be an American back then
All of this and probably more secrets to be revealed, with only 2 years as Governor, no national experience, Green Acres small-town mayor before that. No international experience at all.
He really messed up his first big decision. "Mavericks" sound cool when venting, but in the real world, it is the quiet gentle patient plodders like Reagan and Roosevelt who get things done.
From Rufus T: What we have here is a case of two promising but unproven Vice-Presidential candidates -- one of whom is running for President and one of whom is running for Vice-President.
Yep - a point E.J.Dionne implicitly admitted (unintentionally) in his column in Sunday's WaPo:
There are many who say that in choosing Palin, McCain has taken the issue of experience off the table. I disagree. Now, the balance on experience shifts toward the Democrats, and it's not just for the obvious reason that Joe Biden is manifestly more qualified than Palin.
Even that's arguable (depending upon what 'more qualified for the vice-presidency' means), but if you want to make that argument it's hard to avoid the rebuttal that Biden is also manifestly more qualified for the presidency than Obama. At least McCain-Palin is ranked correctly.
Reaganite,
This is a bit of nit-picking, but your example contrasting Al Gore and Palin isn't correct. You say the Albert Gore III incident took place in 2000, but that is not true. His son had run-ins in 2003 and 2007.
I certainly agree with the larger points that the family dynamic is something that none of us can know, so any conclusions we reach on Palin's judgement, ambition or what-no are all informed by our prejudices and assumptions, and little else.
And of course, I felt this same way about the use of the young Michelle Obama's college papers. Conclusions that she hates America, has a chip on her shoulder or otherwise is an angry person only demonstrate the viewpoint and prejudices of those who dare to assume they know what's in her heart and soul.
One gets the sense that Father (Todd) and Mother (Sarah) probably work together a lot and share parenting/work duties.
Based on what? Palin is a blank slate on which we project our wants and fears. The truth is, we know almost nothing about her. We know nothing about her actual accomplishments, we clearly don't know much about her family. After 18 months, we know quite a bit about Obama; I mean, the man's written two memoirs. We know a lot about Biden after his decades of life in Washington. We know a lot about McCain after his decades in Washington.
Palin, on the other hand, is a mystery. No real record of accomplishments. She has been sold as reformer, but with no real evidence. She's been sold as a paen of social conservative values and her lifestory is supposed to be a reflection of her values, yet we aren't supposed to ask questions about her pregnant teenage daughter and what that means in the big picture.
Alicia,
With all due respect, I think McCain's "impulsive" choice of Sarah Palin as an associate shows much better judgement on his part than Obama's presumably "calm," "cool," and "collected" choices of William Ayers, Michael Pflaeger, Antoine Rezko, and Jeremiah Wright as his associates. If those presumably "considered" choices are signs of Obama's much-vaunted "intelligence" or of the "education" one receives in the Ivy League, then give me Sarah Palin and the University of Idaho any day. Again, with all due respect.
Reaganite said: "Eight years ago Al Gore was going through a "family crisis" of his own re: his son (Al Gore III) ... but no one suggested that he step down from running. Does this represent a double standard for men and women?"
Yes, of course it does. Like it or not, there IS a double standard. It has loosened up considerably since my own childhood, way back in the halcyon days of the early '70s, but it is still there. As I said before, I don't know whether I am *right* to question this arrangement, or simply projecting my own bias.
James Curtis said: 1) A preggers daughter with "daddy's" my space site saying he did not want to have children(until it was taken down today)--good old fashioned shotgun wedding/romance. The boy wanted the action, not to be a new Daddy.
I didn't see the actual Myspace page, but read about it somewhere else. Sounded like quite the trailer-park stud, apparently. Although I guess we cannot fault Sarah for her daughter's questionable taste in boyfriends; though one would have hoped that her proficiency with firearms would have served to deter the hornier lads.
2) New Impeachment probe(began in July) with recently fired state official accusing her of abuse of power, firing him because he would not fire her ex brother in law, a state trooper. Hell hath no fury like a woman's sister scorned. She just hired a private defense lawyer this week to defend her on those allegations made BEFORE she was ever a serious choice for VP, so they are not politically-motivated.
I still think this is pretty much a non-issue.
3) Hubby alleged to have a DWI It was 22 years ago. I know plenty of respectable people who did stupid things 22 years ago, learned their lessons, and did not do them again. Heck, even Obama did stupid things in his youth, and then he wrote a rather whiny book about it!
4) Took a record number of earmarks as Mayor and now as Gov, tho she claimed to be against them last week. Don't know enough about this to comment.
5) She was a member of a weird Independent Party for a long time that had the platform for Alaska to Secede from the Union--she didn't even want to be an American back then Great. She and Michelle Obama will have lots to chat about. I actually think this one is kind of cool, mainly because I occasionally entertain fantasies about seceding from the state of Massachusetts and/or the Union myself.
Daniel: "Palin is a blank slate on which we project our wants and fears. ... We know quite a bit about Obama; I mean, the man's written two memoirs."
Daniel, we're getting to know a lot more about Sarah Palin (including her daughter) than most people might care to know.
As for Obama, how much can we actually verify about his life? Including what's in those "two memoirs" he's written? Columnist Charles Krauthammer noted the oddest thing about Obama at last week's DNC: no one from his pre-2004 past (with the exception of Michelle) showed up to vouch for the guy. It's odd because with all previous Conventions the Presidential nominee arranges to have old school buddies, war buddies, the 2nd grade teacher, old neighbors, law school friends, old business colleagues, etc., etc. show up and speak at the convention or be available to the press. Nothing for Obama! Why?
Of course, the Reverend Jeremiah Wright WAS his "spiritual mentor for 20 years" ("Like a father to me") and might have vouched for him --- but was busy getting new sermons prepared for the fall season, one supposes.
Likewise, Professor William Ayres who hosted Barack's first ever campaign house party (back when B.O. ran for State Senate in 1996) might have made it .... but apparently Professor Ayres was at the annual reunion of the Weathermen Underground.
How strange, too, the way the Obama campaign gets nervous when reporters try to poke around in Obama's past ... and the way they have kept old friends and family shielded from the media. What are they hiding? And why is the MSM letting the BO campaign get away with this?
"The Perfect Stranger" was the title of Krauthammer's column, and it expresses brilliantly the Jay Gatsby-like nature of this self-made political creation.
We know quite a bit about Obama; I mean, the man's written two memoirs.
Both of which are riddled with fictional characters and situations and more "on the other hands" than a Hindu god.
Reaganite, this isn't about Obama. We've had 18 months of campaigning, he's sat through hundreds of interviews, he's had every corner of his life examined.
Palin, we've known for a weekend. She's a blank slate. We should be able to ask some questions, starting with a list of her actual accomplishments as opposed to her campaign promises. She's raised taxes. She built an ice rink. She's taxed oil companies. She tried to get her brother-in-law fired. Beyond that, all this "executive experience" seems shockingly thin.
Daniel,
Obama has never sat for an interview with an impartial interlocutor and he keeps even his legions of fawning and fainting sycophants in the mainstream media as far from him as he can.
Even liberal reporters acknowledge that Obama's operation is even more secretive and even more self-serving and ethically suspect than that of George W. Bush -- the previous Ivy League educated empty-suit to seek the Oval Office based not on accomplishment but on personality.
The skeletons still lurking in the Lightworker's closet will make Bush's DUI and National Guard "service" look like mere baby teeth by way of contrast.
People write their own life stories -- their memoirs -- when they are concerned to pre-empt the biographies of them that will be written when they die or later on in their lives.
That Obama chose to write his memoirs at such a young age speaks volumes on both his ambition and his self-regard.
It also says much about how desperately concerned he seems to be about "cockroaches" that will scurry out from under the "deadwood" and "debris" of his past, once it is overturned.
Jeremiah Wright was just the first of many such "cockroaches" who are going to be "squashed" by Obama in the next few years if he becomes President and perhaps in the next few weeks, if there are journalists instead of jesters left in the court of The Man Who Would be (Martin Luther) King.
Face it, Rod, you've jumped the gun in your embrace of Sarah Palin as a new face of conservatism. She is a seemingly attractive but largely unknown quantity from a mostly overlooked state, which, on the rare occasions when it attracts attention, looks to be a swamp of corruption, cronyism, petty vendettas and wacko ideology, in which she stands somewhere between knee-deep and neck-deep.
Palin arrives on the national stage as a budding insurgent - but only budding, not having gone through the seasoning to outgrow small-town machinations, too-recent dalliances with extremists and protege/surrogate links to the likes of Ted Stevens.
Her premature elevation reinforces the case you've sometimes made: That an exhausted party should be put out of power for a spell for its own good. It's obvious that the Republican Party has shot its bolt for the time being, that it needs to regroup, rethink its ideology and governing philosophy, and properly nurture a new set of leaders.
Good post, Rod, but it highlights why I was *never* excited about Palin as the VP pick. There were so many better choices McCain could have made - my bet was on Romney - that this choice made McCain look desperate. Seeing that he and Palin are willing to drag Bristol Palin into the national political spotlight for their own political gain just sealed my opinion on that score, and I am ashamed of them both.
Rufus, I'm not sure if you were posting here a few months back, but I was just as up-in-arms about Jeremiah Wright's demagoguery as anyone else.
In fact, I was often accused of being a right-winger (I'm a moderate) and a bigot for suggesting that the Obamas should have had the courage and common sense to resign from their church much earlier than they did. Oprah used to belong to that church, too, but she had the sense to leave it many years ago.
I'm not crazy about Obama's past associations, but those associations are not yet a "deal-breaker" for me. I regard Obama as a talented politician, but hope that, if he is elected President, he will show himself capable of more political courage than he has shown in the past.
Reaganite, you said:
"If Obama gets elected this year, please don't assume he'll turn out to be a one-term President ... and "thus paving the way for Jindal" in 2012. If Obama turns out to be a Carter, then your scenario works. But if he turns out to be a Clinton (in office for 8 years), do you really want the country to have to suffer that?"
I'm hoping and praying that, if Obama is elected, he turns out to be more like Clinton (minus the zipper problem, naturally) and less like Jimmy Carter. I would be happy to "suffer through" eight years that were like the Clinton years (minus the Lewinsky scandal and the impeachment hearings). But then again, Bill Clinton is my favorite President of my adult lifetime, in much the same way as Ronald Reagan appears to be yours.
Wow! Zing, zing, zing!
People are naaaaa....sssssss....teeeeeeeeee (nasty)
Who would ever want to serve in the highest offices in our land?
The 4 most mentally ill people in the nation:
Obama
Biden
McCain
Palin
Praying that someone will give them a break.
The right and the left are unbelievable
20/20 vision on the sins of others
In need of eye transplant surgery to see their own faults
How does that work?
I withdraw my 2012 candidacy immediately
Peace,
Duh-sciple
Alicia,
Again with all due respect, I can't comprehend how you could possibly see John McCain's decision to pick Sarah Palin as his running mate as grounds not to vote for him, while simultaneously citing that decision as validation for your previous choice to vote for Barack Obama.
As I've written here before, Sarah Palin is more qualified to be Vice President than Obama is to be President. In fact, it is arguable that she is also if anything more qualified to be President than Obama himself, since she at least has *some* executive experience, which historically has been a much more predictive indicator of competence in the Presidency than legislative experience has been, even when that legislative experience has been more extensive than the executive experience that could be claimed by a rival candidate.
In any event, Obama has put his time in legislative office to very little use besides glad-handing his way further on up the greasy pole, by consorting with whatever machine-political grifters and grafters have been within his reach. To the very limited extent that Obama has done anything at all of any substance while in office, it has been to vote as partisan and as stringently leftist a party-line as any candidate possibly could in American politics today.
Obama then is a singularly poor choice for the vote of anyone concerned with political reform or anyone with moderate views -- both of which I take you to be.
In any event, how can a Vice-President who (a) has a child with Down's Syndome and (b) has a teenage daughter who has an unplanned pregnancy be so far beyond the pale as that prospect seems to be for you, when a President mentored by (a) racist demagogues, (c) terrorists, and (c) possible felons seems not to be a prospect so far beyond the pale as to cost him your vote?
I just don't understand your thinking here. You tend to show good sense, so your stance right now surprises me. Please don't take offense. None is intended by me. : )
At least McCain is showing some consistency, if only as a maverick. If Obama wants credibility for reaching across the aisle, do you think HE might have been the one to choose Lieberman as his VP pick?
Hi, Rufus. No offense taken. The suggestion by the MSN article I cited this morning was that some Republican leaders believe Palin was insufficiently vetted. For me, this confirms what I already believe about John McCain.
I like McCain, but I think the downside to being a maverick is that, looked at from a different angle, one person's maverick is another person's loose cannon. One of the reasons I've decided not to vote for McCain is, as I said, what seems to be an unpredictable, impulsive side to his temperment.
And, in all honesty, I think I would have had more faith in the McCain of 2000 than in the McCain of today. Not because he has had to compromise to get elected, but because I believe he is "past his prime."
As to Obama's qualifications vs. Sarah Palin's qualifications, both individuals have shown themselves to be talented politicians. Sarah Palin is an extremely interesting and impressive woman, who has only 2 years of executive experience at the state level. She may well have a bright future ahead of her in the national Republican Party.
From everything I hear of Chicago politics and of Obama's history, his rise to become the first African-American nominee of a major party in U.S. history is a truly impressive feat. I am uncomfortable with some of his past associations; and I agree that his legislative track record is considerably shakier than those who are trumpeting suggest.
However, I am willing to give Obama a chance. Perhaps this will change after I watch the Republican National Convention. I'm going to try and keep and open mind this week, and will let you know if I change my mind. :-)
Alicia,
I hear you. And I'm not saying vote for McCain -- though all the attacks on Sarah Palin incline me to do so, for perhaps misguided reasons of chivalry and class solidarity.
Just don't vote for Obama.
If Obama can be elected President, then vetting for personal character or professional qualification means nothing anymore -- at least in Presidential politics.
I can't imagine Obama passing any kind of vetting that Palin would fail, except a snob's sniff test.
But like I say, this campaign has enter such a heart of darkness with regard to gender, social class, and religion, that as at least a would-be gentlemen, a country mouse, and a Christian, I can help but fall back on the atavistic stances that this whole campaign has been about from the very start.
The Democrats seem desperate *not* to get *my* vote.
Fine.
They won't. : )
Alicia, you said:
"I'm not crazy about Obama's past associations, but those associations are not yet a "deal-breaker" for me. I regard Obama as a talented politician, but hope that, if he is elected President, he will show himself capable of more political courage than he has shown in the past."
I'm curious if you have seen some evidence that would indicate Obama might show more political courage than he has shown in the past, or if this statement is just based on hope. It sounds to me like buying into the Hope and Change meme and I'm not aware of any evidence of political courage.
His past (supposedly) associations with some unsavory characters are a deal breaker for me.
Good Morning Rufus, and Hello, Jim R. I respect your decision not to vote for the Democrats, Rufus. I left the Democratic Party a couple of years ago, myself, and registered Republican. My choice would have been for a moderate third party if one such existed.
However, this year, I have decided that supporting the Democratic candidates is the lesser of two ills, for the reasons I mentioned above. In fact, what I heard on the Today Show this morning suggests that the ethics investigation into Sarah Palin's conduct may be more serious than at first claimed.
It certainly looks as if Palin abused her Gubernatorial power and authority in order to attempt to have her ex-brother-in-law (a creep and a jerk, but that is besides the point) fired. If these allegations turn out to be true, Palin is the last person I want to serve as our next VP.
If this is the case, I think I was right to say that McCain acted impulsively in picking a VP who has not been sufficiently vetted.
If I can add one thing, I also wonder why many of the people who have been criticizing Obama supporters for treating him like the Messiah are now falling all over themselves to hero-worship someone they hardly know at all. My Obama-worshipping friends drove me nuts. But it would be nice to see a little consistency from the folks who are now infatuated beyond reason by Palin.
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