Crunchy Con

Civil unrest and martial law in the US

Saturday October 4, 2008

Categories: Decline and fall
Several of you have privately pointed me to this story from last week in Army Times, which reports on the new, permanent mission of the 3rd Infantry Division's 1st Brigade Combat team. It's not Iraq; it's within the United States....
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Comments
jh
October 4, 2008 12:52 PM

I sear Rod you are becoming the Hal Lindsey of Poltical commentary nowadays. The Late Great Planet Earth by Rod Dreher :)

I must say for all those that complain about WHERE was the fed in New Orleans well if you wantt a repsonse to a National Disaster you got to prepare fo it.

If A nuclear Bomb goes off in LA and the Fall out is heading your way to Dallas shall we have the Louisiana and Texas State police handle the panic as you and your loved ones are trying to escape the clouds of death.

While I do appreciate the concerns I am pretty sure the ethos of American Culture will make sure that Martial law is not decalred at a drop of a hat if it occurs

Rufus Thomas
October 4, 2008 1:05 PM

The potential of these factors to intersect in a perfect storm whose outcome most of us would not be pleased with is one we should all consider and be prepared for going forward:

(1) The real and and ongoing possibility of catastrophic terrorist attacks by means of nuclear and/or chemical and/or biological means.

(2) The real and ongoing possibility of a catastrophic collapse of our financial system and therefore a major depression in our economy and possibly the global economy as well.

(3) The ongoing decline in cultural standards -- especially in terms of the moral and intellectual cultivation of future generations -- and the effect that such a decline has had and continues to have on the civic sustainability of our democracy.

(4) The election of a demagogic, would-be messianic President who springs from a politically radical subculture that regards American democratic norms at best as necessary evils and at worse as active impediments to its ultimate goals.

(5) The relative scarcity of impartial and non-partisan media and an impartial and non-partisan education system and culture industry in which the aforementioned demagogic, would-be messianic President could be subjected to critical scrutiny and in which dissent from his regime could be voiced.

(6) The ongoing erosion of civil liberties which said demagogic, would-be messianic President would do noting to reverse and much to accelerate.

Many things about the current Presidential campaign put me in mind of Milan Kundera's observation that totalitarian mindsets are characterized by two things:

(a) Their lyricism, their romanticism, their susceptiblity to poetry and to rhetoric

(b) Their absence of irony, their absence of a tragic sense of things, their inability to *laugh,* especially their inability to laugh at the source of the lyricism, the romanticism, the poetry, and the rhetoric by which they are so bewitched.

I for one wish we lived in less interesting times.




Rod Dreher
October 4, 2008 1:14 PM

JH, the fact remains that Congress did make the changes in the law that made it much easier for the US government to deploy federal troops domestically -- and Congress passed this act over the objections of many state governors. Read the Bovard story. You don't have to become a conspiracy theorist or a Soldier of Fortune-reading survivalist to be troubled by that, and to foresee how it could be misused.

Rufus, as to your scenario, my wife pointed out this morning when I told her about the Army Times story that J.H. Kunstler's novel "World Made By Hand" begins in an America broken up by a devastating epidemic hitting amid an economic collapse. It wasn't a single thing that broke the country, but the confluence of several major events and phenomena that overwhelmed the system's ability to cope.

sophia
October 4, 2008 1:16 PM

add to that the fact that the troops will have access to weaponry and tanks, that they will begin patrolling now to 'get citizens used to seeing soldiers on their streets', Executive order #51 (see the White House website), consider the 'pre-emptive' arrests (including journalists and people heading to a Sunday afternoon concert with their children), the painting of 'protest' as un-American and un-patriotic (unless it is organized by pro-lifers), quotes by both McCain and Bush saying that they always prefer to be dictators, ......

and then realize that the soldiers that have been assigned have just finished their tour of walking the streets of Baghdad and have not been re-acclimated to civilian life....

Laura
October 4, 2008 1:17 PM

"While I do appreciate the concerns I am pretty sure the ethos of American Culture will make sure that Martial law is not declared at a drop of a hat if it occurs"

And if you ask a frog, he will swear that you would NEVER be able to boil him. But we all know how easy that is... just keep adding hotter and hotter water, and pretty soon? Frog Soup.

That's what's happening to us. Our "representatives" and elected "leaders" continue to pass these potentially dangerous pieces of legislation (and sometimes the ridiculous - wooden arrows, anyone?), but it's buried in the 400-500 pages of pork legislation, and nobody is willing to read it.

If only EVERY piece of legislation passed received the same type of scrutiny that the recent "bailout" bill received. The scrutiny didn't matter this time, but perhaps if people realized that nearly EVERY bill looks like that, we wouldn't be so quick to re-elect the morons that are up there now.

John E. - Agn. Stoic
October 4, 2008 1:49 PM

Yet another reason not to live in a big city.

Shelley
October 4, 2008 2:04 PM

move to Alaska

So, my SIL, who is the daughter of P. Farrah founder of Home Depot....no kidding, I am serious.....and operates on the stock market all day every day, suggested that everyone have 3 months supply of food just in case there is, in her words, "a bank blip that causes supply line troubles", 3 months supply on money in the house and a way to have clean water. She said for me up here in Alaska, make sure I have wood heat. She said this is MOST LIKELY NOT going to be needed. But she felt that, especially given the way Alaska is isolated form the US supply line, that these would be important for us. She said she is NOT, I repeat, NOT an advocate of stuffing money under your mattress. However, she said, these are times never seen in our generation so being prepared is better than trusting. She said DO NOT pull your money out of the bank because that will devalue it for everyone if a lot of people do that and we will be using it for wall paper if that happens.

Wasn't there a poster under the Ron Paul thread who said his friend just left the country for a month because he anticipated marital law and foriegn travel restrictions soon?

Doesn't the Ron Paul essay say something is going to be happening but he didn't say what?

Do YOU have a food supply?

If I hadn't read this myself in Army Times, I would have thought all this was conspiracy theory, but it's not. I have to say that it might be comforting to have troops around should the unthinkable terroist attack occur and we may all be glad for it. If an economic collapse happens, then troops will not only do "crowd control", they will hand out food and such. I would HOPE American troops would treat American people kindly.

The scary thing is that the Bush Administration has found a way to legalize a lot of things that our fore-fathers learned from EXPERIENCE are BAD for freedom and democracy.(martial law, torture, pre-emptive anything) He seems to have "forgotten" that those early American leaders were opperating from direct contact with things like Napolean, the French Revolution, Prussian gov't suppression and so on. They were actually being WISE, as in learning from the mistakes of others.

Shelley

AnotherBeliever
October 4, 2008 2:13 PM

and then realize that the soldiers that have been assigned have just finished their tour of walking the streets of Baghdad and have not been re-acclimated to civilian life....

Posted by: sophia | October 4, 2008 1:16 PM

I can see where military assistance would be absolutely necessary in the case of a pandemic or biological or nuclear attack. We have the means to get supplies in, and to distribute them in orderly fashion, and to evacuate people over rough terrain. It might even be necessary to use physical force to enforce a quarantine. Nauseating possibility, but it would have to be a cordoned off sector, not a matter of keeping order street by street. And it would be best if any Active Duty types were placed under the command of a particular state for the duration of the operation. These limits need to be set NOW.

I wasn't aware that legislation like this had gone through a couple of years back. When the NYT is raising an alarm, you have to stop and think. We need to delineate clear boundaries, and quickly. Professional soldiers are not police officers. We come in mass disciplined numbers, carry heavy arms, and reserve always the right to self defense.

fbc
October 4, 2008 2:45 PM

Wasn't there a poster under the Ron Paul thread who said his friend just left the country for a month because he anticipated marital law and foreign travel restrictions soon?

It was my friend who recently left the country, but NOT because he feared the imposition of martial law. That was simply a side issue -- he feared that martial law would be imposed prior to his leaving, thus preventing his travel.

I think he's a bit loony. But every time I'm tempted to argue with his logic, I'm at a loss to do so. Still think he's crazy, but I'm keeping an open mind about this subject especially in light of stuff like this.

shelley
October 4, 2008 2:51 PM

fbc
Is your friend a fan of Richard J Maybury, author of What Ever Happened to Penny Candy and many other's in the series by Bluestocking Press? Very interesting serioes of books. Most people I know who think like your friend are familiar with Maybury, or are libertarian. There are a lot of them up here in AK.

I wonder if, after all, they may be more correct than I think. Like you, I am always at a loss for word to their arguments. On the other hand, it seems like so much of their world view is fear based. What do you think?

Rufus Thomas
October 4, 2008 2:52 PM

Rod,

My worse-case scenario would be something akin to what would have happened if a Great Depression-type economic catastrophe had begun in 1939 instead of 1929.

Or if a Pearl-Harbor-type attack had occurred in 1931 instead of 1941.

And if the President had been Huey Long or Henry Wallace.

And all that on top of a citizenry who were not only under-educated and misinformed by the governing elites, but also lacking in moral resources to weather hard times.

There some chance we'll all get to see what that would've been like in the next few years.


Chris Mills
October 4, 2008 3:14 PM

This is spectacular paranoia. The brigade has been assigned for a disaster relief mission, not a combat mission inside of the United States. Even if you pull one of us right off the streets of Baghdad we still can distinguish between Iraq and the US. We're not ticking time bombs just waiting to rape, pillage and oppress the citizens of the United States. If you actually knew some soldiers or had served your country you would know that.

Chris Mills

steve
October 4, 2008 3:34 PM

This is not surprising given our current administration. A small number of people in the executive branch have decided that they know what is best for the country. They have ignored treaties, laws and ethics by which we have functioned for years. They have not tolerated any dissent and have worked in secrecy.

The decision to torture is a good example. This decision was made absent any input from people who had real experience in interrogation. There has not been any monitoring to see if the program is actually effective. The law has been manipulated to achieve whatever end is desired.

The executive branch wanted carte blanche to engage in surveillance of anyone, anywhere without any oversight. How can this not lead to abuse?

I am not sure why the Insurrection act needed broadening. it already provided a lot of latitude. The National Guard is already present. This current act provides for too easily abused powers.

The actual training which these troops are undergoing seems appropriate. If there were a real national emergency, under the Insurrection Act, their skills would be useful. I suspect it is something they are working on also with an eye towards nation building. If you have been following the situation with the cartels in Mexico, with over 400 police dead there this year, they may also be needed to help on the border.

Steve

Rufus Thomas
October 4, 2008 3:35 PM

I'm sure I'll be called a "Cro-Magnon" or compared to a dog or to feces or some such by the usual suspects, but, honestly, can any kool-aid teetotalers out there tell me -- honestly -- that they aren't disturbed by this (a propos of the subject of this thread)?:

http://www.breitbart.tv/?p=188153

Watch the whole thing.

Then watch it again.

Corey Walls
October 4, 2008 3:39 PM

Thanks for an injection of level headed thinking, Mr. Mills.

The military and current administration are damned if they do, damned if they don't. Now they are faulted by the Crunchy "Con" for being too damned prepared for the worst.

You are hanging out in the paleo fever swamps on this site.

Rufus Thomas
October 4, 2008 3:50 PM

This offers a truly chilling illustration of the point made by Milan Kundera, which I cited above:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GExiNDBojfs

Rod Dreher
October 4, 2008 3:53 PM

Chris: e're not ticking time bombs just waiting to rape, pillage and oppress the citizens of the United States. If you actually knew some soldiers or had served your country you would know that.

Chris, my brother-in-law is an officer who returned this summer from a year in Baghdad. I'm not talking about the Big Bad Military, or the character of soldiers. I'm talking about powers the federal government has granted to itself to use the military in a way that our laws have traditionally guarded against. To misconstrue this as an attack on the good character of soldiers is to badly miss the point.

Marty
October 4, 2008 4:03 PM

Um, what about the Posse Comitatus Act? I realize that the Constitution is a dead letter, but really.....

Rod Dreher
October 4, 2008 4:07 PM

Besides, Chris, AnotherBeliever -- who is now on active duty in Iraq -- understands the importance of this. It's not about whether or not soldiers are good people. It's about what a future Commander in Chief might order soldiers to do against his or her own people, in the name of "helping" them.

Shelley, I looked for that Ron Paul interview from CNN online, but couldn't find it. I think, though, from looking at Paul's statements in the past day or so -- see www.ronpaul.com -- that the thing he's talking about is a depression coming -- this on the theory that what Washington is doing is only deferring the day of reckoning, and making it much worse.

Rod Dreher
October 4, 2008 4:09 PM

Marty, read the James Bovard article from TAC -- the one I linked to in the main part of the post.

Michelle Malkin Clone
October 4, 2008 4:19 PM

"When I decided to finally start a blog after years of reading other blogs and thinking, "I can do this, why don't I start a blog?" I knew that I wanted it to be a current events blog because that was my interest, I wanted to share with others what I found on the Internet and what I thought of it. But I didn't just want it to be a normal current events blog, I wanted to reflect my love of the Lord and my reformed Christian worldview. I believe that it would seep through my posts and that it wasn't necessary to be explicit about it. I believed that the name of the blog warned the reader that they weren't in for the views of a typical "evangelical," conservative, religious right Christian. Maybe I expected more of my reader than they were able to comprehend but I've been trying to remedy that with links in the sidebar and trying to publish posts about the distinctives of Reformed Theology (this being the first of many, I hope :-)"

steve
October 4, 2008 4:20 PM

He who does battle with monsters needs to watch out lest he becomes a monster himself. And if you stare too long into the abyss, the abyss will stare right back at you. -- Nietzsche

A lady asked Dr. (Benjamin) Franklin,"Well Doctor, what have we got, a republic or a monarchy?'
"A republic," replied the Doctor, "if you can keep it."

I think that the training which these troops are undergoing is good and necessary. It is potentially useful in many places. I have confidence in our troops. Having served, I do not see our troops as ticking time bombs. However, I do not trust our politicians. There are corrupt, power hungry pols who may abuse their power. The Romans recognized the potential for misuse of the army, so should we.

As Nietzsche points out, in this country we should probably be even more worried about those whose intentions are good. surrendering our liberties and behaving like our worst enemies is bad tactics/strategy. Worse, it risks permanently changing who we are. It has been tempting to label the Cheney, Addington, Feith, Libby, Gonzales, War Council group as evil. I suspect that they probably started out with good intentions. They engaged us in massive domestic surveillance, torture, (mostly incompetent) preemptive war to protect our liberties and freedom. They have posited that there is essentially no Constitutional limit on the power of the President when acting as the Commander-in-Chief. Viewed within this context, the change of the Insurrection Act is unsettling. At the least, we need an open discussion on these kinds of issues.

We have a Republic. Can we keep it? Some would say we are losing that battle.

Steve

Mark in Houston
October 4, 2008 4:43 PM

I'd agree this is something worth paying some attention to, but I wouldn't get too overwrought about it just yet. As pointed out, some degree of military involvement in domestic disaster preparedness is a good idea. However, the implications of this sort of thing are always worth watching and debating, particularly to the extent they can be used as precedent for more disturbing stuff.

Also, I can remember the days (back in the 1990s) when some people thought FEMA was a powerful Death Star-like federal entity that had the ability and desire to seize control of America when the right time came. Yeah, some people actually thought that about FEMA. Those were the days...

Franklin Evans
October 4, 2008 5:21 PM

Rufus, I spent much of the last 30 years in a sub-culture ruled by paranoia. We kept aspects of our lives secret, we avoided wearing anything that might remotely allow others to identify us, and we had our paranoia bolstered by true -- and anecdotal -- stories of one of our number being outed in a situation that resulted in loss of jobs, loss of child custody, and threats of violence. My GLBT friends would rightly assume I mean them, but they'd be wrong. I am a pagan. But I could easily truly mean them, or an ethnic minority, or a people of color.

I've spent much of the last 10 years trying to talk down the ones who remain paranoid. The stories continue to come up, not repeats of the older ones, but disturbing nonetheless. The vast majority of us continue to keep our spirituality hidden.

The point is not whether the paranoia is justified, or what to make of the stories that (arguably seem to) justify it. The point is that people act from fear.

There is no cure for it, and there is especially no remedy for a political class that uses fear to garner votes.

"People are stupid; given proper motivation, almost anyone will believe almost anything. Because people are stupid, they will believe a lie because they want to believe it’s true, or because they are afraid it might be true." -- Terry Goodkind, Wizard's First Rule

The only remedy is a shift in our culture, away from insularity, away from xenophobia, and towards respect for knowledge, competence and rationally justified authority. We are fools, governed by fools, and the lone voices of sanity are shouted down because they make us feel bad. I have long since dropped "gladly" from the end of "I do not suffer fools."

Franklin Evans
October 4, 2008 5:28 PM

Rufus, I hope you read the following before responding to my first post, because I just realized that I left it open to be taken as an insult. That was not my intention at all.

Only you can decide if you've been "given proper motivation", and only you can step back and rethink your conclusions. You may be right, and no sane person will deny that. You may also be yet another victim of fear mongering; that doesn't make you either stupid or a fool. I can assert that because you've shown in your writing that you are capable of rational critical thinking... but no one can employ that skill who has been kept in ignorance, who has been conditioned to where hot buttons that are readily pushed by those in power.

I don't see myself as smarter or wiser than you are, or anyone else. I do see myself as less ignorant, which while not necessarily saying much, does allow me to keep my paranoia under control... more often than in the past, anyway.

Booji Boy
October 4, 2008 5:32 PM

This is interesting. I know there is a concern about the potential of Mexican drug gangs destabilizing northern Mexico and bringing that trouble into the US. A brigade of experienced counter-insurgency forces may be a useful augmentation to local and state police in fighting the projection of power within the US by well armed and financed Mexican drug gangs.

Kevin
October 4, 2008 6:21 PM

A) We lost the republic 150 years ago so that's hardly the issue.

B) I'm not sure have active duty soldiers is that big of a change from having a militarized police force, which has been a fact of American life for over a century.

c) The time for dictatorships of naked force is past in advanced societies. It's completely unnecessary. The powers that be can control the populace with education and the media far more effectively than with police state tactics. It's cheaper and easier too, far fewer rebellions to put down. Everyone stays fat and happy in their chains. If you control their minds there is no reason to control their bodies.

Rufus Thomas
October 4, 2008 6:22 PM

Franklin,

I invite you to reread my first post on this thread.

There, I begin by noting that it would take a perfect storm for the elements I've outlined to coalesce in the way that they would need to coalesce for the outcome I forsee to come about.

The odds of that storm talking hold are very long.

But shorter than I for one would like them to be.

I would argue that not facing those odds -- however long -- would be more fearful than to face them.

I would likewise argue that it takes more pretzel logic -- more paranoiac thinking -- to deny that the elements assembled now could *ever* yield the outcome I envision than it takes to imagine how they *could.*

In any event, paranoia was a factor in bringing us to where we have come -- the paranoia that made a demon of one failed politician; the paranoia that made an angel of another soon-to-be-failed politician; the paranoia that led one in ten of us (or more) to believe that the country already has turned its guns against us; the paranoia that could someday lead one in ten of us (or more) to take up arms against our countrymen and women on some angel's behalf.


Kevin
October 4, 2008 6:27 PM

"Rufus, I spent much of the last 30 years in a sub-culture ruled by paranoia. We kept aspects of our lives secret, we avoided wearing anything that might remotely allow others to identify us, and we had our paranoia bolstered by true -- and anecdotal -- stories of one of our number being outed in a situation that resulted in loss of jobs, loss of child custody, and threats of violence. My GLBT friends would rightly assume I mean them, but they'd be wrong. I am a pagan. But I could easily truly mean them, or an ethnic minority, or a people of color."

Funny, I used to be a pagan now I'm Christian. I had a whole lot less problems with "loss of jobs, loss of child custody, and threats of violence" as a pagan. About the worse thing you can be in American society today, in many people's eyes, is a Christian, one that actually believes in and tries to practice the faith that is (cultural Christians are excluded since there is nothing about them that sets them off from the [post-Christian, neo-pagan] society])

DavidTC
October 4, 2008 6:47 PM

Ah, so that was the plan. Break and use up the National Guard, so that emergencies at home require the national military, who don't answer to governors.

Paranoia aside, this is still a huge powergrab. We already have a force here to deal with exactly what they're talking about, but a) it's only under national control if the governor says so, and b) it doesn't have police powers when under national control.

People have been warning what's going on with the 'war on some drugs' for quite some time, but the 'terrorism' thing made it take a major leap forward. We do not need paramilitary police forces in this country, either via the police turning into the military or the military turning into the police.

But, at this point, it's 'normal' to see police running around in full body armor with semiautomatic weapons.

We don't need that, period. We do not need to have gun battles on the streets, we do not need to treat any problem as a war except actual invasions or maybe some other crazy hypotheticals like armed gangs taking over a whole town or a corrupt local police force that decides to have a shootout with the state or federal police, and we can use the National Guard for those situations.

If that results in drug dealers flushing their evidence down the toilet instead of having no-knock warrants, if that results in the inability to storm banks when bank robbers take hostages, if that gets a few cops shot because the default mode of operation isn't to charge in like invading soldiers but to politely knock on doors, so be it. I'm not trading liberty for 'security', and the 'security' of having police running around like that seems rather dubious to me in the first place.

Likewise, we don't need all the crap at airports, either. Put a bomb sniffer in there, sure, but no one's going to hijack a plane with pocketknife or blow it up with some absurd binary liquid explosive that mostly exist in fiction, and that would actually cost more that just renting a smaller airplane and flying it *into* the passenger jet.

And now...the ultimate pinnacle, the endgame of all this...the actual military running around stopping people who they think might have specific substances on them.

Kirk
October 4, 2008 7:38 PM

The panic will begin at Walmart:

Somewhere in America, a few people will start to hoard food and necessities, making large purchases of a month's supply (or more) of canned goods, bottled water, batteries, ammunition, etc. Others will take notice and do likewise.

A local television will report on the phenomenon.

Walmart shelves will start to empty out in an uncharacteristic manner. More people will take notice.

The credit liquidity crisis will worsen, and some stores will announce that they no longer accepts credit or debit cards. Then, perhaps due to unrelated circumstances, a certain Walmart store or region of stores will be unable to process credit cards, debit cards, or checks.

News of this localized event will hit the internet and spread like wildfire, causing a mass panic of emergency buying. Grocery supply lines will not be able to keep up with the sudden increase in demand, thus creating shortages.

Mass hysteria is not far behind. People start running on their banks, their gas stations, and grocery stores simultaneously. There will be no choice but to declare martial law.

The edge of the abyss is closer than you think.

Shelley
October 4, 2008 8:29 PM

"The panic will begin at Walmart:"
~Kirk

Very funny.....I am betting on Costco actually!

Paranoia....hmm....my SIL said her recommendation are something that people should just do anyway....especially if they live in a hurricane zone, or like me, an earthquake zone.

What is the line between paranoia and living prudently or wisely....thinking ahead?

Also, what if you already live this way, buying in bulk from food coops and farmers, conserving heat and electricity, and so on? Is that a paranoid way to live?

Is cruchy conservativism synomymous with paranoia? Have you been accused of being paranoid Rod?
Shelley

Rob
October 4, 2008 8:38 PM

"This is spectacular paranoia. The brigade has been assigned for a disaster relief mission, not a combat mission inside of the United States."

Uh, Chris Mills, just which disaster would that be that we weren't expecting before October 1?

allbetsareoff
October 4, 2008 9:44 PM

All this apocalyptic survivalist chatter could too easily snowball into self-fulfilling prophecy. Yes, it's a good idea to keep an emergency stock of food and water, and a reasonable amount of ready cash. It is NOT a good idea to publicly fantasize about unrest and martial law.

We got through 9/11 without panic. We'll get through this crisis. Stay grounded, folks.

Grumpy Old Man
October 4, 2008 11:27 PM

"Ein Volk, ein Reich, ein Barack."

If martial law comes, it will be the left who impose it, all in the name of democracy, inclusiveness and tolerance, or most likely, child protection. Remember Waco? Remember the Texas Mormon compound?

They'll shoot you and send "grief counselors" for your kids.

michael
October 5, 2008 12:02 AM

Here in Los Angeles, I well remember that the 1992 riots were stabilized when the National Guard was brought in. I think we should care more about stabilizing the US than Iraq. The Army should be posted in every city where there is lawlessness: Detroit, DC, etc.

Franklin Evans
October 5, 2008 12:13 AM

As you requested, Rufus, I reread your post at 1:05pm. I deserves a reasoned response, and I urge other readers to reread it as well, as I will trim to avoid making this overlong.

(1) The real and and ongoing possibility of catastrophic terrorist attacks...

This is a primary factor in fear mongering. The price of an open society is attacks from those who would -- for whatever reason -- push us to act and react out of fear by curtailing our liberties. Ben Franklin had the right of it, and those who would easily give up liberty for safety deserve neither.

For me, this is the single, most important point in this or any context, and stands alone: we expect our citizens to be law-abiding and to contribute to the greater good without expectation of recompense. That is where liberty starts. The moment you surrender to fear, the moment you call upon citizens to expect the face of the stranger to hide criminal intent, you destroy any possibility of true liberty.

(2) The real and ongoing possibility of a catastrophic collapse of our financial system...

We have microeconomic examples of this every day. Local economies flourish and die because of just such collapses in their primary industries. I consider the mindset that wants 100% growth and prosperity one that has no understanding of commerce, capitalism and economic cycles. I have no illusions about the scope of a national-level banking collapse, but if that is what we've brought upon ourselves, the only prevention from it happening again is for those who created it to go down in the flames they set. I agree that this response of mine, out of context, is extreme and invalid, but in the larger context I insist that the points are both valid and important.

(3) The ongoing decline in cultural standards -- especially in terms of the moral and intellectual cultivation of future generations...

Again, something we've created, and should pay for. The apex of that decline (well, nadir) is the moral bankruptcy of a Congress and Executive that refuses to acknowledge more than two alternatives to the current crisis, and rams a bail out down our throats because "doing nothing" is the extent of their cowardly view.

(4) The election of a demagogic, would-be messianic President who springs from a politically radical subculture that regards American democratic norms at best as necessary evils and at worse as active impediments to its ultimate goals.

I respectfully submit that Ronald Reagan fit that profile exactly. Supply-side, trickle-down, Star Wars and "there you go again" all fit the bill.

(5) The relative scarcity of impartial and non-partisan media and an impartial and non-partisan education system and culture industry...

I further submit that the media is only as strong as the readership insists upon their being, the education system has long since been politicized and ruined by people ignorant of education process, and while I'm not sure what you mean by "culture industry", I speculate that it starts with freedom of speech and finds its failure in the demagoguery of culture, something within the realm of the people and frequently shown to be a complete failure when driven by political processes.

(6) The ongoing erosion of civil liberties which said demagogic, would-be messianic President would do noting to reverse and much to accelerate.

The only people to blame for that are the people who exercise their liberties. The liberty of the franchise has been spat upon by 50% of the eligible voters for decades. The party powers that be have routinely enjoyed that failure by manipulating the voter turnout as much as they could get away with.

I share your view of Kundera, and the accuracy of his observations. I ask you to apply them to every administration and Congressional majority regardless of party. When I let my paranoia out to breathe, it leaps to an immediate conclusion: we are one short step away from fascism, and it could come from either party. It became possible when our civic morality failed to uphold the balance that with liberty comes obligation to share it. Populism is not about feeling good. It's about peaceful co-existence.

Franklin Evans
October 5, 2008 12:21 AM

Kevin, I have no interest in doing your thinking for you, starting with the meaning and importance of my usage of "anecdotal", so I'll respectfully say just this: I am glad that your experience as a pagan did not include such bad events, and I am sincerely glad that you have found yourself in a faith that you call "home". Your view of things and your implication that it holds true for the general case is as false as that of the pagans who distrust and fear all Christians because of their treatment by a few locals, the consequences of which were reversed in nearly every instance where the pagan stood up and appealed to law and justice, appealed to people who in most cases were Christians.

Lord Karth
October 5, 2008 1:00 AM

Contrary to the assertions of some of the more panic-prone posters here (try saying THAT three times fast !), I seriously doubt we're going to see the End of The World coming out of this financial grief we've managed to inflict on ourselves.

What we're far more likely to wind up with is a quasi-Depression, lasting perhaps 15 years or so, where the central government first tries to jolt the economy into productivity (the Bailout), and then is forced to take steps to actually begin balancing its books after foreign creditors decide to stop or slow down their buying our central-government debt. Since spending is not likely to slow under either Dems or GOP in the White House, this will almost certainly lead to tax hikes of various flavors. These tax hikes will slow growth to next to nothing.

Eventually, however, the spending is going to have to stop. Since interest is untouchable (unless the central government repudiates or defaults on its debt, in which case all bets are off), and discretionary spending accounts for less than 25 % of the budget, there will only be two places to get the needed balancing from: defense and entitlements. I predict that defense will get slashed radically first, since the power of the current regime is based on maintaining the flow of entitlement money from taxpayers to beneficiaries.

In short, we're more likely to see our "democracy" come to a halt via redistributionist bureaucracy (which will keep the regime in power through maintaining transfers of income to what are essentially blocs of bribed voters) and a more explicit national socialism--probably under the guise of "fairness" and "sharing" and "civil rights"--than we are to see it come through a fiery collapse. We're going to get a whimper, not a bang.

The fatal American Disease is sentimentality, after all, not ruthlessness or hardheadedness.

Your servant,

Lord Karth

Rufus Thomas
October 5, 2008 9:45 AM

Franklin,
Franklin,

A few scattered responses with the proviso that they come prior to my first cup of coffee.

I should have made it clear the one of the components of my perfect storm is not merely the "fear" of a catastrophic terrorist attack, but the *actuality* of a catastrophic terrorist attack.

And I should also have made it clear that another component is a catastrophic economic collapse -- or perhaps even only a very deep and very prolonged recession -- taking place contemporaneously with the catastrophic terrorist attack.

So, in other words, my sense is not that people would give up liberty for "security" based only on the *possibility* of a catastrophic terrorist attack and/or a catastrophic economic collapse, but in the face of the *actuality* of *both* of those things having happened at once.

*That* would be the point at which an undereducated and demoralized public would be encouraged by a partisan media, education system, and culture industry (by which I mean popular culture) to cede emergency powers to the demagogic would-be messianic President ... excuse me ... I mean that altogether marvelous, inspiring, and articulate young man who alone has the intelligence and the insight to bring us together and to lead us through what will only by a temporary crisis to the sunlit uplands of Hope and Change that extend eternally before us.

I grant you that Reagan and every other President prior to the Reverend was somewhat demagogic, but not near as demagogic as the Reverend has been and not on near so massive a scale.

As for the would-be messianism, I don't think that's a fair charge to bring against Reagan, who presented himself more as a prophet of Emerson's Oversoul -- the American Civic Religion -- and not as the Oversoul itself incarnate as an altogether marvelous, inspiring, and articulate you man who alone ... well, you get my drift.

It's also worth noting that Reagan never had paramilitary units of children forming to shout in unison the details of his domestic policy, nor did he ever have children being forced by their mesmerized parents to engage in liturgical singing and dancing to deify his name.

One should likewise take note that such paranoia as Reagan could mobilize and exploit to his electoral advantage was much more grounded in reality that any that the Reverend and his surrogates have drawn upon.

The Soviet Union *did* pose a threat to the U.S. and to the whole world.

The 9/11 attacks by contrast were *not* "an inside job" as at least 1 in 3 of the Reverend's supporters continue to assert whenever they are asked, even 8 years on.

I'll end by saying that I don't believe as you assert that I believe that we are "one step" away from fascism or rather -- what I actually envision -- Chinese democracy.

I simply think that all of the several variables needed to produce that result are now in play.

And I simply reject the notion that prudent foresight constitutes "fear" -- which, you may have noticed, the Reverend is constantly warning against.

I wonder why.



steve
October 5, 2008 11:46 AM

We already ceded emergency powers to the current president. This administration has already declared that the commander-in-chief has few (none?) limits on his power in that role. This administration changed the rules on deploying the military that Rod described. This administration engaged in domestic spying, secretly engaged us in torture, ignored international treaties and US history to lock away Americans and foreigners with no recourse to any law, granted the VP a role never envisioned in the Constitution, engaged in preemptive war and used signing statements in an unprecedented number to ignore laws passed by Congress.

In short, this administration has shown us that in order to defend our freedoms, it is willing to deny and abridge any existing liberties for as long as it deems fit. Most of what some people are afraid Obama might do, has been done by Bush/Cheney. Will Obama reverse these? Maybe. Will McCain continue these policies. Almost definitely. His selection of VP tells us that he will continue as far to the right as possible.

Steve

AnotherBeliever
October 5, 2008 11:51 AM

"I, (NAME), do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States and the orders of the officers appointed over me, according to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice. So help me God."

Being a unusually well-educated platoon, with those issues with authority typical (ironically) among people who choose to join the military, we've actually sat around and discussed this oath, on one of those long dark nighttimes waiting for our flight out of or into the desert or guarding some random icy ditch in the tundra north of Fort Drum, I can't recall. At any rate, we concluded that our first obligation was to the Constitution, and that its enemies could be foreign or domestic. Then we are answerable to the President, and so on down the long chain of command to us, at the very bottom. This sort of ensures, theoretically, that if one level of said Chain of Command goes Dr Strangelove, we don't.

Also, we are obligated to resist clearly illegal or immoral orders. If told to do something wrong, you ask for clarification. If the order stands, then you have to respectfully disobey. But you also have to face the consequences of this action. Thus, they system still stands, despite and individual breakdown. You could end up imprisoned, discharged without honor, or in extreme duress, executed on the spot (this hasn't happened since Korea at least, but immediate execution is still legally on the books.) But you are obligated to do the right thing. "I was just following orders," will not serve as justification. Not after Nuremburg.

Again this all rather hypothetical, I just wanted to reassure people that soldiers are not indoctrinated to blindly follow any order. There are safeguards. Whether they would stand up to Armageddon, I don't know. I still don't think Armageddon likely. In the words of the Late Great Douglas Adams, "Don't Panic."

steve
October 5, 2008 12:25 PM

AB- There is much historical precedent for good people following bad orders. While I trust the vast majority of US soldiers to do the right thing, it is better to never put them in the position of having to choose.

Let us look at our recent engagement in torture. The military had a long history of a black and white view on torture. It is wrong. I think the new FM reinforces this idea. Putting it back into practice helped make the SOI's decision to come to our side possible. Yet it is also clear, that many in the military, under the influence and or orders of superiors engaged in or abetted torture. They were convinced that it was good for their country and its safety IMO. They should never have been placed in that position. I believe in this country and its principles. We stand up well to external threats. It is the well meaning zealot within our own ranks who is our biggest threat IMO.

Steve

Rufus Thomas
October 5, 2008 1:35 PM

Steve,

Does the Reverend honestly strike you as a man intent upon a modest, non-imperial Presidency?

He strikes me and many others like me as a man with no intention whatsoever of foreswearing even one of the Caesarian prerogatives available to him, and in fact as a man intent upon acquiring however many more as circumstances will permit ... and, unfortunately, those circumstances may present him many more opportunities for further laurel leaves.

Franklin Evans
October 5, 2008 1:37 PM

Rufus, from where I sit you did well despite the lack of caffeination.

I have just a couple of addenda on my part...

We seem to be viewing the same mindset from different angles. I submit that we have plenty of importance to learn from those differing points of view. I am heartened that we can agree on the danger of the consequences of the mindset, and I do not view our conflict on some details as a detriment.

I hope you don't mind my repeating a quote I've used a few times recently. I believe it bears repeating, and has equal application to both sides:

"He is interested in two things and two things only: making you afraid of it and telling you who's to blame for it. That, ladies and gentlemen, is how you win elections." -- "The American President", screenplay Aaron Sorkin.

Bear
October 5, 2008 2:05 PM

Maybe the 3rd ID is being given such training because the Pentagon is starting to realize that the National Guard is getting pretty tapped out from the rapid tempo of oversea deployments.

Or looking at it logistically, in the event of an extreme domestic emergency, would it be quicker to bring your local Guard unit home from Kabul, or tap the active unit on post down the road?

AnotherBeliever
October 5, 2008 2:24 PM

It would be quicker to have most of the Guard at home.

Steve, you are right. In the Armageddon scenario which folks around here continually like to wave in the air, few would choose rightly under tangled loyalties. There is far more precedent for "just following orders" than there is for principled resistance, in our history, or anyone else's.

As far as seizing power. It is harder to go backward than forward in that, isn't it? Regardless of political persuasion.

steve
October 5, 2008 3:03 PM

(I am about to say something which may be construed as positive about George Bush. Feel free to skip this post.)

Bush, once he got Cheney/Rumsfeld/Addington/Feith etc. out of the way, made some good decisions. He chose Gates for SOD and Petraeus to lead in Iraq. The military, again, totally renounced torture and he did not interfere with that decision. He has opened some channels to Iran, as Gates has suggested in the past. He is again looking at Afghanistan. He is working on a timeline with Maliki in Iraq.

Why bring this up? I think Obama will be tempted to keep much of what Bush has implemented and coerced. OTOH, he has clearly prepared and thought about what he will have to deal with. His advisers are a very good group IMO. I think he is more likely to run a WH with a single chain of command. Col. Lang has written a lot about this, as has Myers, but I think that a poorly run WH allows too many rogue elements to flourish. There is no accountability. Obama does not strike me as being a risk taker by temperament. He seems more likely to seek advice from multiple well informed sources. I expect a centrist foreign policy with a left-leaning domestic policy. Finally, a President neds his party to govern. The inherent inability of the Dems to work together is a kind of plus here.

McCain is much more of a risk taker by temperament. He has a smaller, more insulated group of advisers, short on serious thinkers. I expect him to not relinquish any of what Bush has established. He is on a crusade. He says over and over "I know how to....", but never tells us how. (Find Osama, win in Iraq, keep Iran from getting the bomb) McCain has signaled that he is hewing as far right as he can. His tax policies will put us further in debt than Obama's. He has had little interest in domestic affairs. What if he follows throug and puts his VP in charge of many domestic issues? We do not need a domestic Cheney. On foreign affairs, McCain seems much more like the Imperial President who is stuck in the past. At some point we need to stop fighting Vietnam and the Cold War over again.

AB- Not with a bang but a whimper. I dont think we are likely to see Armageddon. More likely we see a long period of erosion.

Steve

Marian Neudel
October 5, 2008 5:54 PM

"I'm not sure have active duty soldiers is that big of a change from having a militarized police force, which has been a fact of American life for over a century."

And what nobody else seems to have mentioned is the enormous increase in the number of PRIVATE police, which have outnumbered their public-sector colleagues since at least 1974. In the Roman Republic, and during the Middle Ages, private police forces/armies were THE major threat to public order. Is nobody watching?

Jim
October 5, 2008 10:19 PM

Interesting bit of info. considering the talk about the Fed de-monetizing the dollar & the stuff about the the "North American Union" & the "Amero" to replace the dollar. All this crap could never pass a vote but under a "nation emergency" who knows what might be tired.

Kristen M
October 5, 2008 11:36 PM

Rod, Section 1076 was repealed in its entirety by HR 4986: National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2008.

That means that the Insurrection Act now stands in its 1807 form. So, while it's still possible for the President to declare martial law, he will have a slightly harder time doing it legally.

will w.
October 6, 2008 5:00 AM

harder? apparently you havnt done much research. at this point, if theres any reason at all, natural disaster,terrorist act,civil unrest or whatever else may be covered under the "other" definition. the president has the power. he can enforce martial law quickly and legally. dont you people realize whats happening? the constitution is being warped and distorted to fit the needs of the money hungry controlling powers that be. this bailout will fail, simple as that. check the market, nothing has improved, in fact other countries are feeling it too. i just pray to god that nothing bad happens between now and the elections. if it does were all in trouble. we all sit back and do nothing as our dollar devalues around the world. why?...because were more concerned with american idol than the american constitution. where does it say ..we the eople should pay our taxes and in turn pay the rich to bring down our economy? will my debts to the bank be gone now?will i get stock in these "bad debt" companies? nope, cause im the little guy taking it up the a$$!!!

tom jefferson
October 6, 2008 5:32 AM

Being a unusually well-educated platoon, with those issues with authority typical (ironically) among people who choose to join the military, we've actually sat around and discussed this oath, on one of those long dark nighttimes waiting for our flight out of or into the desert or guarding some random icy ditch in the tundra north of Fort Drum, I can't recall. At any rate, we concluded that our first obligation was to the Constitution, and that its enemies could be foreign or domestic. Then we are answerable to the President, and so on down the long chain of command to us, at the very bottom. This sort of ensures, theoretically, that if one level of said Chain of Command goes Dr Strangelove, we don't.

Also, we are obligated to resist clearly illegal or immoral orders. If told to do something wrong, you ask for clarification. If the order stands, then you have to respectfully disobey. But you also have to face the consequences of this action. Thus, they system still stands, despite and individual breakdown. You could end up imprisoned, discharged without honor, or in extreme duress, executed on the spot (this hasn't happened since Korea at least, but immediate execution is still legally on the books.) But you are obligated to do the right thing. "I was just following orders," will not serve as justification. Not after Nuremburg.


i sure hope youre right. but honestly i think you are the exception to the rule. most active service members i know and have spoken to flat out said "i am a soldier , i just do what i'm told" it is not to question why but to do or die seems to be the concensus. my brother has served 2 tours in iraq and is based in georgia with the 3rd id. most training excercises that are being done in the 3rd id is nothing new to him. its not much different than the training for what they do in iraq. its just american soil now.and the difference being they will use non-lethal weapons. the training is for urban combat and search and seizures. they'll be going door to door confiscating our weapons in direct violation of our right to bear arms.all under the guise of martial law. but then what? they have our guns and were sheep easily controlled then. soon after the north american union will form and we will undeniably see a new world order. will amero's be something we can take home? can we put it in our piggy banks? probably not. maybe a id card? maybe a chip? either way its heading towards a "we the rulers" counrty instead of a "we the people". just food for thought. and just pray im dead wrong, i do!

ProTruePatriots
October 7, 2008 12:03 PM

Regarding latest manuerver from George Bush - can anyone further elaborate on why he just passed a bill that allows for unauthorized and unidentified so-called police officers or CIA agents to enter your home, arrest you without cause, and never have to identify themselves. Basically anyone claiming to belong to the authority of the US government (authentic or not-authentic) can do anything they want. What is this?

Advice for investing in your future - do not put your money in any stock exchange or financial markets. Hedge funds are NOT regulated and should be, no-one should be able to short-sell anything (THIS SHOULD BE ILLEGAL!), no bank bailouts or corporate bailouts either, bring jobs back to America - without jobs, what do you base the stock market on? We have not had real growth for over 15 years.

I used to be a financial advisor and I did not lose one penny to this financial market dump. Because I pulled my money out long ago when I could see the signs of US productivity erosion.

I look to China and India to rise up as global leaders real soon. They are productive and wise in their trade agreements. America has performed like idiots and that is why we are here today. We have failed to elect leaders (for any office) with intelligence and integrity for the past 30 years. This is what American's get for sticking their heads in the sand and only focusing on Abortion.

Matt from Mansfield
October 26, 2008 9:55 AM

IT MAKES SENSE TO ME, THAT THEY ARE PREPARING FOR THE ELECTION, AND THE “PEOPLE” WHO FIGURE WE ALL GET FREE TV’S IF WE SMASH A STOREFRONT WINDOW. OBAMA, WIN OR LOSE, THE BLACKS ARE GONNA GO CRAZY! IT'S ALL ABOUT CROWD CONTROL.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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