Crunchy Con

Palin flames out; can Huck pick up torch?

Wednesday October 22, 2008

Categories: Republicans
Daniel Larison, citing poll results showing that Sarah Palin has become a pretty unpopular figure, safely predicts that if she has a political future, it's in Alaska. Which leaves who as the candidate for social conservatives in 2012?: It seems...
Comments
Houghton
October 22, 2008 4:10 PM

If Palin's treatment is any indication, then I'd bet on no one being able to withstand the onslaught of a media in the tank for the DNC and complicit detractors within conservative ranks.

Anduril
October 22, 2008 4:11 PM

The failure of the campaign is likely to be misread as proof that it was McCain the deviationist could not articulate a coherent alternative to Obama, and so there will be a strong temptation to pursue an intensified base mobilization strategy in the next several cycles.

I think that's more likely than not, and hence am not all that sanguine about the possibilities for rebuilding conservatism from the ashes of McCain's probable defeat.

Hunk Hondo
October 22, 2008 4:15 PM

Does anyone know what General Petraeus' politics are? If he's a Republican, and if he's interested, 2012 may be his year.

Brian
October 22, 2008 4:18 PM

Riiiiight. Sarah Palin is so unpopular that SNL just had their biggest audience in 14 years. And she's so unpopular that the VP debate drew higher ratings than any of the presidential debates (obviously the American people love them some Joe Biden!). And she's so unpopular that she's drawing 10,000+ people on a daily basis all over the country. Methinks this analysis is somewhat flawed...

dana
October 22, 2008 4:27 PM

Brian,

No one is saying Palin isn't popular with the base. Hence the crowds at rallies.

As far as SNL, don't forget how many viewers are watching because SNL's political skits are hilarious and Tina Fey's impersonation in particular is terrific. Also don't forget how many SNL viewers are watching to see Palin ridiculed.

Palin's problem generally is that she is extremely polarizing and as a total newcomer, she has no substantive persona to fall back on.

Athelstane
October 22, 2008 4:44 PM

Huck might look a little less bad now, but how easily we forget how toxic he seemed to much of the conservative base this winter. His big government conservatism seemed too Bushian. He's personable enough, but he raises all the same red flags in Purple and Blue areas that Palin does.

He has to show he can expand his support beyond evangelicals. Otherwise, I don't see him getting very far.

It's a shame about Palin if she really is permanently damaged (even if we remember that America is the Land of the Second Chance - who would have thought Hillary could make a credible run for president back in 1994?). She was thrust into the white heat of national politics with no chance to get warmed up. She may not have had the chops for it, but we never really had a chance to find out if she did or didn't.

Jindal remains the man to keep an eye on - maybe more for 2016 than 2012. I think Eric Cantor is a man to watch as well.

Among the more established names, alas, there really are no very attractive faces right now.

steve
October 22, 2008 4:51 PM

Palin would have been a good candidate in 2012 if she had not been placed as a VP candidate this year. She could have been prepped on international and domestic affairs. A ticket with Jindal and McCain on it in 2012 would have ben tough to beat. McCain gambled away part of the party's future. For many of us, Palin will be forever an ill-informed, unprepared candidate who ran on arrogance and hubris. If she had put in even 1/10th the effort of a Reagan in preparing for national office, her ticket would be winning now.

While it is tempting to blame McCain here, I have come to beleive that he must be shcked about Palin also. McCain has lived and breathed foreign policy for years. I think it was probably inconceivable to him that a governor could be so ill informed. Too bad for McCain that Jindal was not 5 years older. Jindal has a much better fund of knowledge and grasp on policy.

Jindal/Huckabee is a pure domestic policy team. You should balance with some foreign policy type.

Steve


David J. White
October 22, 2008 5:00 PM

Brian,

As for the ratings for SNL and the vP candidates' debate, don't confuse popularity with curiosity.

Paul
October 22, 2008 5:00 PM
http://wholy4christ.com

What I would like to see in 2012 is a Bill Richardson/Huckabee third part ticket. That way we get brains, world leadership and Faith built in one.

Sarah Palin's bigot following has hurt the campaign during the last few weeks. Somehow she left godly principles our of her speeches and has decided that rumours, smear tactics are more important that following the Sunday School lessons she learned about love, mercy and humility.

"Let there be no filthiness nor foolish talk nor crude joking, which are out of place, but instead let ther be thanksgiving." (Eph. 5:5)
"If anyone thinks he is religious and not bridle his tongue but deceives his heart, this person's religion is worthless." (James 1:26)

If you are going to claim to be Christian, then let you mouth proclaim Christ in all you say. Sarah Palin needs to ask heself "WWJD" before she goes on the campaign stump and starts talking. She needs to also tell tose raging bigots to shut up who keep yelling out "Kill him!" from the floor. John McCain has done this, why can't she?

fbc
October 22, 2008 5:10 PM

Palin's problem generally is that she is extremely polarizing

Amen. The pro-aborts and pseudo-sophisticates hate her.

Everyone else I know - not so much.

I've never seen a figure more popular and charismatic with non-political junkies than Sarah Palin. Suddenly all my non-political friends are gushing and wanting to talk about her. "Did you see Palin on SNL?" they ask over and over again. ("Yeah." "I've got kids - by now we've memorized the rap song" is my answer.)

So I'll agree - Palin is polarizing: if by "polarizing" 15% of the electorate hates her, everyone else loves her.

Yeah, let's dump her. And the Stupid Party rolls on.

Zoetius
October 22, 2008 5:19 PM

If any can revive real conservatism, particularly with a crunchy spin, it these two.

Until then, I think I'll be going for "That One"

MDSF
October 22, 2008 5:25 PM

As an American I'd be disturbed at the prospect of a preacher holding public office. As a Christian I'd be beyond disturbed by a preacher holding public office.

Joey
October 22, 2008 5:34 PM

I'd say Huckabee-Jindal, but still. Even then J might not be quite experienced yet, depending if we're talking '12 or '16.

God bless!

Michael Rittenhouse
October 22, 2008 5:40 PM
http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/16/secret-service-finds-no-basis-for-kill-him-smear/

Paul, the Palin rally people were yelling "Tell him!" not "Kill him!"

Jude
October 22, 2008 5:50 PM

As a former Ron Paul supporter (whose 'lunatic ravings' in all the debates are seeming somewhat prophetic now), I don't see how the Republican Party recovers from this without getting the young people excited.

That means that the Republican in question is going to have to appeal to the idealistic college-age demographic. Jindal and Huckabee may have some of that ability. Huckabee just gives me the shakes a little bit because he kept speaking at campaign stops in three-alliterative-point sermon form, and came off to me in temperament as Republican Jimmy Carter redux. Nice man. Little sense of purpose outside himself. And his comments about "putting God back in the Constitution" might sound great to a certain type of cocooned Christian, but it scares me as to what that might actually mean - and I am a Christian. Not to mention the fact that he couldn't win on comments like that.

To be honest, I just want a candidate that's going to respect everyone's rights to life and liberty (as well as privacy), and have a comprehensive and circumspect (including a plan to address the explosion of the poor urban birthrate were abortion to be outlawed) plan to go about that again. I want a candidate that will restore the powers of the Executive Branch to what they were well before the Bush Years (a whole lot less).

It's only what the Declaration and the Constitution grant us as rights. I don't think it's too much to ask that, at least, the candidate they put up would respect them. Please?

I didn't see that in Huckabee this last time around. But he seems to be a quick study. Maybe by 2012.

EddieInCA
October 22, 2008 6:03 PM

The problem with the conservative movement, right now and going forward, is that the two competing wings of the party are not in sync, nor is there anyone out there currently who can bring them together like Reagan did back in 1980.

1. You have a wing of the Republican Party that is strictly interested in Fiscal Conservatism, with only a nodding glance at Social Conservatism as a public policy principle. In this camp, you have the Rudy Guliani's, Michael Bloomberg, Arnold Schwarznegger, Susan Collins, Olympia Snowe, Tom Ridge, Christie Todd Whitman, etc.

2. You have a wing of the Republican Party is that is strictly interested in Social Conservatism, which only a nodding glance at Fiscal Conservatism as a public policy principle. In this camp, you have Mike Huckabee, Sam Brownback, Tom Coburn, Sarah Palin, etc.

On several issues, the two camps can agree: Strong National Defense, Smaller Government (in general terms, not specifically), and Freedom and Liberty.

However, on the majority of issues, there isn't one "conservative" position, and the different factions fight for their position as the "right" one.

What is the "Conservative" position on Health Care: John McCain's or Mitt Romney's?

What is the "Conservative" position on the War in Iraq: Pat Buchanan's or Dick Cheney's?

What is the "Conservative" position on Global Warming: John McCain's or Sarah Palin's?

What is the "Conservative" position on the 2nd Amendement: Rudy Guliani's or Mike Huckabee's?

My point is that until Conservatives can define what "Conservative Principles" are in the policy debate, they're left with "God's Will", which is a wonderful way to lead one's life, but it's a horrible governing philosophy.

As for Palin, she said today on James Dobson's radio show, that she's hoping for a Miracle on Nov. 4th, as did Dobson. If Obama wins does that mean that God was rooting for Obama?

trp
October 22, 2008 6:21 PM

Larison and the other conservatives who have been complicit in the MSM's auto-da-fe of Palin have ensured that Jindal, Huckabee, and other "unusual" conservatives will never be nominated.

Larison, Douthat, Dreher and the other neuroticons would withdraw their support from Jindal after one bad interview one nasty MSM story about Jindal's participation in an excorcism.

If not Jindal/Huckabee, who will it be? I'm guessing a Romney who doesn't have much to say on abortion, gay marriage, and all the other social issues motivating the MSM's hatred of Palin.

Rod Dreher
October 22, 2008 6:27 PM

Yeah, Katie Couric and Charlie Gibson, real Torquemadas, they are.

How can the MSM do an auto-da-fe of Palin if she won't have a press conference? She took some hard and unfair licks in the press -- I blogged on them early on -- but this myth that she's been tortured and ruined by the evil MSM is absurd. If you're a politician seeking national office, and you can't handle Katie Couric, you're really way, way out of your league. As she is, sadly.

dad29
October 22, 2008 6:32 PM
http://dad29.blogspot.com

Palin's problem generally is that she is extremely polarizing and as a total newcomer, she has no substantive persona to fall back on

You certainly can parrot Peg Noonan, Dana.

But can you back up that statement? I doubt it. She couldn't either--all she had was some gauzy WishSarahWasSmartLikeMe yappaflappa--not a single thing on her Alaska exec successes.

That wouldn't fit the narrative.

Brian's right. SNL's Palin audience tuned in for Palin, not Tina Fey, who was playing Palin (very well, might I add) for several weeks running.

As to Larison, he's wrong, too. What Larison, Noonan, and the other DC TwitterCrowd members are missing is this: Palin leads by example, not with hit-and-run dodgy political foofoodust.

The problem with Larison & al. is that they don't recognize that sort of leadership when it hits them in the face; they choose to ignore the crowds and the ratings.

They'd rather have their I'mSmarterThanYou club-meetings in the old familiar phone booth.

And they will.

M.Z. Forrest
October 22, 2008 6:32 PM
http://discalcedyooper.blogspot.com

People, particularly on the right, seem to think that people hate Sarah Palin. It just isn't true, at least in the numbers these people want to believe. (Conversely, these same people think that all Obama supporters are love sick fools.) Most people like Palin; they just don't think she should be anywhere near national office. Great to have a beer with, not who you ask to help you research Russian affairs.

Your Name
October 22, 2008 7:05 PM

Palin took "some hard licks in the press"? I could not go to the supermarket without seeing some disgusting headline about Palin on the covers of check-out line magazines. I've never seen anything like it. The Couric interview was nothing compared to the non-stop hyperbole and bile that has dominated the coverage of Palin. There is no way that a Jindal or a Huckabee could survive one tenth of the stuff thrown at Palin, and it will be thrown at them too because this sort of treatment is now mainstream. All the conservatives who were silent about Palin's treatment in this campaign--who saw it fit, instead, to obsess about the Couric interview--what will they say when Jindal and Huckabee get the same treatment? Probably something about how the GOP was foolish to nominate them in the first place.

steve
October 22, 2008 7:14 PM

"Larison, Douthat, Dreher and the other neuroticons would withdraw their support from Jindal after one bad interview one nasty MSM story about Jindal's participation in an excorcism."

Having learned more about Jindal I cannot see him hiding, or needing to hide, from the press. He does his homework. He is not going to just show up and say I am going to lead by example. He will be well informed and you can bet he will study all the pertinent issues, just like Reagan and Truman and everyone else who wanted to hold that level of office except for Palin.

Steve

Michael Bates
October 22, 2008 7:17 PM
http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/10/20/politics/fromtheroad/entry4531447.shtml

Rod, did you not see this from Scott Conroy of CBS News?

http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/10/20/politics/fromtheroad/entry4531447.shtml

"In the past two days alone, Palin has answered questions from her national press corps on three separate occasions. On Saturday, she held another plane availability, and on Sunday, she offered an impromptu press conference on the tarmac upon landing in Colorado Springs. A few minutes later, she answered even more questions from reporters during an off-the-record stop at a local ice cream shop.

"By contrast, Biden hasn’t held a press conference in more than a month, and Obama hasn’t taken questions from his full traveling press corps since the end of September. John McCain—who spent most of the primary season holding what seemed like one, never-ending media availability—hasn’t done one since Sept. 23."

I love trp's neologism: "neuroticons." I think he's exactly right. The same people who have written off Palin will write off Jindal (or Huckabee or anyone else) at the earliest sign of trouble.

When liberals decide to burn a rising conservative leader at the stake, conservatives really shouldn't be dancing around and hosing the victim down with gasoline.

To change metaphors, we really are in a cultural war, with one side attempting to obtain and use governmental power to advance their ideological hegemony and silence any opposition. Like it or not, Sarah Palin is one of the conservative standard-bearers in the battle to keep the Left from gaining total control over the Federal government. Repeating their baseless attacks ("she won't have a press conference") doesn't help the conservative cause.

Vern
October 22, 2008 7:18 PM
http://libertariansforpalin.blogspot.com/

It's simply beyond comprehension how you and other elites throw away an entire career on the basis of one bad interview! Every utterance is parsed to find support for the "she's out of her league" meme, while ignoring the substance of her record. She didn't get an 80% apporval rating by saying "you betcha" for two years. She gets stuff done! That pipeline deal was large and complex and required an ability to take on big oil and cross party lines. Same with the ethics bill and the tax changes and refund. She is very good once in office.

I realize you want an intellectual, but at some point do actions count for NOTHING?! Palin in 2012 is going to have been resoundingly re-elected, and will have 4 more years of acomplishments to add to the major deals already done in her first 2. Also, America will be suffering under a quivering mass of executive indecisiveness and equivocation unmatched since Carter. All Palin has to do his stay on her current pace of executive success up in AK and she'll easily be the front runner.

And you all to quickly forget Hillary's HUGE negatives coming off the end of the Clinton presidency. Yet, when her time came she was only beaten by not being far left enough - and actually credibly ran on being "the most electable one!"

MarcM
October 22, 2008 7:48 PM

Sounds to me like the GOP has the corner on the Kool-Aid market this time around. That's fine by me. The more the faithful walk lemming-like off the cliff behind Palins, Huckabees, and Jindals, the easier it will be for our country to return to a sane way of governing.

Mike Huckabee/Piyush Jindal 2012...if that be the case, then let's have a preview of the commercials.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=4YQs9whiZao

Don Altabello
October 22, 2008 7:51 PM

The problem with Huckabee, like it or not, is that he is too much of a preacher. A lot of people are very uncomfortable with that, myself included. He's also for the flat tax, which doesn't have very populist consequences in the real world.

Vern
October 22, 2008 8:05 PM
http://libertariansforpalin.blogspot.com/

The other thing to note is how focused the left's (and their allies in the MSM) attack have been on Palin compared to McCain. I haven't seen that much rage and angst since Reagan, which is very telling.

You judge the strength of a candidate by how much outrage they generate in the enemy camp. The left wants LOTS more "lovable losers" like McCain around so they can pile up more wins. When go from reasoned "I like him but ..." style opposition to incredulity and apoplexy, you know you've got a winner.

trp
October 22, 2008 8:18 PM

MarcM's video is a perfect illustration of the script that the left and the MSM have already written for Jindal--they had one ready for him, just as they did for Palin, just in case. Exactly a week after he becomes the nominee, newspapers, magazines, TVs will be saturated with stories along the lines of "Jindal is a know-nothing kook, a pathetic product of GOP's inept attempt at identity politics, bla, bla, bla," and uncourageous MSM conservatives will quickly accept the script.

Rufus Thomas
October 22, 2008 8:24 PM

I hope I don't sound like an entirely broken record here, but I have to agree with everyone who says that the willingness of Rod, Daniel Larison, Ross Douthat and the rest to join the establishment gang-bang of Sara Palin will have the unintended and unfortunate effect of more or less ensuring that Huckabee, Jindal, and any sort of crunchy, Christian, and/or populist Republican who tries to run for anything the next few cycles will get chewed up and spit out like Palin was, perhaps even worse.

The attempt of Rod, Larison, Douthat and the rest to shore up their credentials as "reasonable, acceptable" conservatives by piling on Palin will get them not a place at the table, but tossed off to the curb, along with any chance that any policy they'd like to see enacted will have a fighting chance for a long, long time.

One wonders how much gusto they'll have four years from now for reaping what they've helped to sow: Mitt Romney and Kay Bailey Hutchison in 2012.

DeeAnn
October 22, 2008 8:41 PM

Romney/Hutchison? Oh, yeah baby. That would be awesome.

stari_momak
October 22, 2008 8:53 PM

Apparently, those sixty five percent of use who are white Americans now have to have a 'person of color' on the top of the ticket. Yes, someone born to Hindu parents, commanding our armies who are so reliant on Muslim soldiers. That's Rod Dreher's world.

Reaganite in NYC
October 22, 2008 9:03 PM

Gosh, Rod, interesting idea ... but shouldn't you check first with David Brooks, Andrew Sullivan, Kathleen Parker, Chris Buckley (not to mention Colin Powell) to make sure they're OK with this :-) After all, what would the Republican Party or the conservative movement be without their contributions of discernment and wisdom?

Don Altabello
October 22, 2008 9:10 PM

Yeah--we should never question a person who can't even name a single supreme court decision they agreed or disagreed with.

Stevereno
October 22, 2008 9:18 PM

Interesting post. Newsweek had an article about the Republicans wishing for Gov. Huckabee in light of the Wall Street debacle. I was surprised you did not post about that (perhaps you did and I missed it).

Rod, I think your instincts are probably right, but I doubt Gov. Jindal would pick someone from the same region and basically same wing of the party. Don't get me wrong I think it would be terrific. That said, I think Gov. Huckabee's best path to the #1 job in the White House is through the #2. Lots of people are not going to accept a baptist preacher as president. The anti-Christian bias is very strong and been ingrained in the media too long. I was surprised to hear my own brother, who is not very religious, be very dismissive of Gov. Huckabee. People can only see baptist preacher and not successful governor for 10 and 1/2 years.

Rawlins Gilliland
October 22, 2008 9:51 PM

Sadly I hear Governor Huckabee interviewed on FOX last weekend and he was saying LOVELY things about Sarah Palin. In fact he was all over the Joe The Plumber yadayada. I expected better from him. I was very disappointed because he was my favorite. But he, like others, must face the underbelly ugliness that is being generated on the darker corners of the GOP, to wit you, Rod, David Brooks, Colin Powell, Peggy Noonan, et al........have addressed.

And whether you can accept this or not, a candidate who tries to win polarizing the old litany of 'social/religious' concerns will not win again in our lifetime. George W. Bush, and his people, who used those wedge issues to garner votes when they had no real interest in making that part of their 'political capital'........ has closed that post Pat Robertson/ Jerry Falwell wing of the GOP's office.. Witness how flat Sarah Palins’ attempts to re-light that flame are falling. Fritter-like (in terms of national numbers), I’d say. And all reports have it that even young evangelicals are not making the old list their new list.

Rawlins Gilliland
October 22, 2008 9:56 PM

By 20012 the expression 'Social Conservative' will have come to mean what it once suggested; someone who wants to dance but is afraid to ask someone they do not know.

steve
October 22, 2008 10:18 PM

"MarcM's video is a perfect illustration of the script that the left and the MSM have already written for Jindal--they had one ready for him, just as they did for Palin, just in case. Exactly a week after he becomes the nominee, newspapers, magazines, TVs will be saturated with stories along the lines of "Jindal is a know-nothing kook, a pathetic product of GOP's inept attempt at identity politics, bla, bla, bla," and uncourageous MSM conservatives will quickly accept the script."

Have to call BS here. People may disagree with Jindal, but he sounds as though he has seriously studied and thought about the issues. He has put in the hard work. That is one of the things which is most insulting about Palin. Hard work used to be valued by conservatives. Palin is just lazy. If she was initially contacted months ago, she had time to start prepping and she did not.

Steve

Kathleen
October 22, 2008 10:21 PM

Rod, and just in case let's start the Jindal - Huckabee write in effort NOW...it will tak that long to get on the ballot in every state :-)

Chris
October 22, 2008 10:21 PM

Rod, I laughed at your line "If you're a politician seeking national office, and you can't handle Katie Couric, you're really way, way out of your league."

Prior to the Palin interviews I'd always found Couric to be more of a lap dog than attack dog. If there was an MSM plot, it must have been to gum Palin to death.

Nightstalker
October 22, 2008 10:24 PM

There's really no politician that this group won't turn against, as soon as the press does - which is about the time it takes to get video produced.

They simply can't withstand the press onslaught and give in to it and 'see' what the opposition wants them to think.

Reaganite in NYC
October 22, 2008 10:37 PM

A lot of you are fantaszing if you think Jindal or Huckabee would not have been savaged (as Palin's been) had either been McCain's nominee this year.

Jindal: They've would have gone after his faith experiences; his actions as Gov. re; the death penalty; his support for a chemical castration law for sex offenders; etc.; etc.; etc. They would have sent teams of reporters to snoop around Baton Rouge and misconstrue the living daylights out of every part of the man's public record and private life.

Huckabee: Dittos to most everything said of Jindal. Add to that: the ethics questions; the "wedding registry" he and his wife posted when they left office; the goofy sons. We can be certain that the Clintons and their Arkansas cronies have a filing cabinet full of "dirt" on this guy that B.O.'s campaign operatives would have eventually managed to get their creepy hands on.

What's been done to Palin is what would have been done to Jindal or Huckabee had they been McCain's VP choice. Moreover, if either Jindal or Huckabee are on a ticket in 2012, the savaging of either will simply be delayed by four years.

The MSM media are determined to make this election about the "transformational" nature of Obama's election and the "post-racial" society his rise is meant to signify. Add to that the financial crisis and B.O.'s breaking his promise on campaign finance ... and it is hard to see how McCain's selection of Palin can be blamed for the current situation he and the Republicans are in.

recovering ex-Pentecostal
October 22, 2008 10:44 PM

"People can only see baptist preacher" [in Hucklebee].

No, Stevereno, we can also see the person who would change the Constitution to make it more in line with his version of what he thinks his God wants the Constitution to become - which is what scares the bejeezus out of us.

Houghton
October 22, 2008 10:48 PM

Oh, and let's not have any illusions about what the MSM and their complicit "conservative" detractors (aka Andrew Sullivan, the Walter Winchell of 21st Century journalism) will do with Jindal's infamous exorcism moment.

Sullivan will have a field day tarring Jindal with the same "Christianist" brush he painted Palin with, and who can wait for Sullivan's "Odd Lies of Bobby Jindal" series, in which he parses Jindal's every word, lifts whole sentences out of context and makes up his own trail of "odd lies" along the way?

Brooks will wring his hands about all the snooty email he's getting from fellow New Englanders, who think Jindal is a little too Southern-fried-jumbalaya-crazy-Jesus freak for their tastes. Brooks will sort of agree with this hate mail, but will be too shy to say it outright. He'll continue to write meandering columns about "American greatness conservatism" -- which will seem increasingly hollow as America sinks and shrinks into bankrupt torpor.

Buckley will pen a column (glasses in teeth, no doubt) bemoaning Jindal's Southern temperament, and fondly remembering the time his father waxed eloquent about the laziness of the Asian subcontinent.

City Journal will wonder at the anti-intellectualism of picking a Louisiana first-term governor.

Peggy Noonan will pen more columns with lots of ponderous pauses, commas, and sentence fragments and dollops and dollops of faux patriotism -- while she whispers expletive about Jindal into live microphones on various 24-hour news channels.

But none of us will care by that point. America will be a very different, far less kind, much more hostile place to live. The "plenty of rich people to tax" will be poor. The middle class, no longer quite so middle, will be boiling with resentment under various official and unofficial speech intimidation tactics they've been subjected to, as well as an increasingly onerous tax burden. The entitlements bomb will be exploding. Islamofascism will be muscularly resurgent.

And these "conservative" voices will be completely irrelevant.

simeon
October 22, 2008 10:49 PM

Huckbee? Uh, he didn't do well at all in the weak field of the primaries. Maybe in four years, Americans will be over their Evangelical fatigue, but it's unlikely. For better or worse, Huckabee, as witty, charming, and successfull as he has been, has very limited appeal for the 70% of Americans who are not, and never have been Evangelical.

If anyone from the GOP is expecting to have a real chance of getting elected, they'll have to be against war, somewhat populist, and pro-life without seeming theocratic about it (probably not Evangelical). Does anyone like that exist? The GOP seems to have purged those who are against the war.

Charles Cosimano
October 22, 2008 10:51 PM

Hucklebarry/Jindhal? The idea is to make people vote for your party, not make them laugh themselves to death!

EddieInCA
October 22, 2008 11:12 PM

The problem with Huckabee and Jindal is...

...the majority of their policy positions are horribly out of step with the majority of the American people.

That's not an effective way to win national elections.

Rawlins
October 22, 2008 11:15 PM

My absolute thus far favorite ROD DREHER line this year:

"If you're a politician seeking national office, and you can't handle Katie Couric, you're really way, way out of your league."

Rod will concur that Aaron Neville had it right when he sang, "Tell It Like It Is".......

Kirk
October 22, 2008 11:48 PM

Cheers for Houghton's post at 10:38.

Nightstalker
October 22, 2008 11:51 PM
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122471822552260585.html?mod=rss_opinion_main

There's an interesting WSJ opinion bit on Palin.

Reflects some of my thoughts well.

Rufus Thomas
October 23, 2008 9:37 AM

More cheers for Houghton at 10:38.

The Big H needs a blog *right now.*

Roger
October 23, 2008 12:01 PM

The wonderful post by Houghton being hailed as "blog-worthy":

"But none of us will care by that point. America will be a very different, far less kind, much more hostile place to live. The "plenty of rich people to tax" will be poor. The middle class, no longer quite so middle, will be boiling with resentment under various official and unofficial speech intimidation tactics they've been subjected to, as well as an increasingly onerous tax burden. The entitlements bomb will be exploding. Islamofascism will be muscularly resurgent."

I think Obama is doing so well because you are describing the general impression most Americans have RIGHT NOW after 8 years of Bush expanding government, cutting taxes on the wealthy while trying to conduct 2 wars (one of them illegal), shredding the Constitution, spying on citizens, intimidating dissenters, limiting rights -- how is it that a majority can see this, yet the hard right-wing remain so blind?

Doesn't matter. A vast swath of "anti-American" Americans are about to have their say after 8 years of oppression and deception. It must suck to be on the wrong side of this tidal wave.

m
October 23, 2008 1:31 PM

Jindal doesn't look like Sarah Palin, like she loves to say. Jindal has no chance since most of Palin's supporter wouldn't vote for him.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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