I speculated below on how I thought the left would behave if Obama lost. It only seems fair to open up the same line of inquiry about the right in the event of a McCain loss. I don't think the...
I agree, McCain was never really claimed by many on the right so his losing will not bring any great sorrow. It will probably be a relief to many, they will be spared having to justify McCain's actions while in the White House. Most on the right have had enough of putting a good face on faux-conservatism in the past eight years. I don't know how many times I've heard things along the lines of "Well, Kerry (or Gore) would be worse!". In practice, there would be little if any difference between a McCain and an Obama presidency, anyway. Both are owned by the corporations as their votes on the "rescue plan" shows. Elections in this country are by and large a sham, carried on by two factions of what is really one large governing party.
Your suggestion of carrying on at a local level, forming communities and organizations to live in and support each other is also a wise and good one.
Don
October 18, 2008 11:30 AM
Well said Rod. I think we are getting what we deserve. A McCain loss will hopefully allow for a cleansing and regeneration of conservatism. In the mean time, my main concern is for my kids as we go through the coming turbulence. I can't help but think about how it was in the 1850s and compare it to today. Are the issues(especially abortion)and resulting passions rising to the same level as then?
Will Harrington
October 18, 2008 11:33 AM
I agree. Localism and building communities is the way to go. I wonder, given the coming federal entitlement budget crunch, if centripetal forces will weaken the Union as the federal government can no longer afford to provide services or resources to the state, or conversly, blackmail them into line by threatening to deny funding.
Stevereno
October 18, 2008 11:43 AM
The probability of Sen. McCain losing seems likely. I think Rev. Wright is a legitimate line of attack especially since Sen. Obama was so close to him for so long. Alas, Sen. McCain does not want to win bad enough.
I guess hope for two reactions from the Right and fear one other. The two I am hoping for: (1) serious introspection about what Pres. Bush has done to the Right and Republican party and brand and (2) serious substantive and consequential backlash against the MSM.
On the first point, Pres. Bush lacks rigor and humility. His arrogance, cock sure attitude, cronyism to enth degree, and aversion to hard work and learning from his mistakes have made him a disaster. He values loyalty above else - even else the people around him helped him make bad decisions.
On the second point, the coverage of this election cycle is journalistic malpractice. I hope what the MSM have done to pull out all the stops to get Sen. Obama elected has big consequences for them. Personally, I think an adversarial press is good for our democracy, but I think the ship has sailed and I can't imagine at this point redemption for the MSM. The MSM has failed the country with its complete lack of vetting of Sen. Obama. I guarantee you that if all the people who vote for Sen. McCain stopped watching the evening news casts of NBC, CBS and ABC that it would get their attention. They have driven their credibility down; let's hope their ratings follow.
The reaction I am afraid of is that social conservatives and the religious right will take the fall for Pres. Bush. Rod has said as much before and it is a valid concern. The party establishment picked him and most of policy mistakes should fall squarely on the Neo Cons. It's wrong to blame us. Pres. Bush won in 2004 because of social conservatives and the protection of marriage issue. Yet, we were left twisting in the wind and Pres Bush got fully behind social security privatization (barely mentioned in the 04 campaign) and comprehensive immigration reform (not mentioned at all in the 04 campaign). The country-club wall street set got what they wanted every time or Pres. Bush at least pushed for it. Tax cuts, a blind eye to illegal immigration, favorable regulatory policies, social security privatization, amnesty, etc. all got down or seriously pushed by Pres. Bush. We got some pretty good judges and some window dressing.
Chris
October 18, 2008 11:52 AM
I'm wondering why the right will respond to Obama any differently than it did to Clinton.
The major difference will be that the right won't have the ability to impeach, any more than the left could impeach Bush. But beyond that, the world didn't end with Clinton's election, and Clinton's achievements (not his politics, but his actual achievements) proved far more conservative than what's-his-name who followed Clinton.
The last eight years have been a disaster for conservatism, not the eight that preceded them.
That said, the GOP will respond the way the Democrats did after Gore lost. Lots of finger-pointing and claims that the GOP lost because its campaign wasn't harsh enough, because its platform wasn't pure enough, because its candidate wasn't right-wing (they'll say "conservative" but mean far right) enough.
And the world will go on...and we'll have meals with our friends and holidays with our families and do our best to keep our neighborhoods from falling apart. That is the fundamental optimism of conservatism, that as dangerous as the world always is life goes on.
polistra
October 18, 2008 11:56 AM
http://polistrasmill.blogspot.com
"a just result, given how badly Republicans have governed"
Exactly so.
But I think you're misestimating the probable outcome of a non-divided government. In theory a D pres with a D congress, or an R pres with an R congress, should be able to run full-speed-ahead, while a divided setup should be stalled.
But the facts show the precise opposite in recent years. Clinton couldn't get anything done when he had a D congress; his accomplishments began when Newt switched congress to R. And Bush did EXACTLY NOTHING during the four long miserable years when he had an R congress. The government started moving again when D took over congress in '06.
Catholic to the Core
October 18, 2008 12:04 PM
Redefining conservatism in the aftermath of an Obama victory will be long and arduous, and will ultimately not lead to electoral success. As to the process, there will be no consensus as to what the redefinition should encompass. To date, the movement has been disparate (libertarians, social conservatives, neocons, country club types, etc.), but has held together because of electoral success. Even at that, the movement has comprised only about 51% of the electorate in recent presidential elections. With an Obama victory and a liberal Congressional super-majority, the coalition on the Right will fragment, with no group large enough to represent a coherent voice in opposition. Obama and the Congressional Democrats will have their way in every conceivable respect. The Right will be hit by a tsunami of intrusive government, socialism, a disregard for life, contempt for traditional social values, and infringements on religious liberty. Those of us on the Right will be marginalized in ways that we hardly imagined.
Furthermore, as has been pointed out by others, the country is close to a tipping point with respect to who pays the freight and who collects benefits. If the Obama tax plan is enacted, we will have pushed past that tipping point, viz., those who pay no federal income taxes or who collect more in benefits than they contribute in taxes will have become a majority of the electorate. This constitutes a recipe for maintaining the status quo. Structural change will become impossible because most people will be happy with their lot and won't care about controlling spending, restricting the size of government, or any of the other issues that animate conservatives. In conjunction with the demographic changes that a forthcoming liberalized immigration policy will bring about, the conservative movement will shrink as a percentage of the electorate and in influence.
I am terribly pessimistic about the future. I will seek my solace in my family life, my religious faith, my enjoyment of nature, my love of J. S. Bach, and the like. My pleasures will be private ones. I will pull into my shell and try to disengage from politics and from civic involvement lest I succumb to despair.
Maggie
October 18, 2008 12:11 PM
Thoughtful conservatives with comments to soothe the soul of this Obama supporter--wow! I am serious with the following question: are you all representative of a large majority of conservatives, or are you outliers? By that, I mean: has the MSM used the excesses of the far right to portray all conservatives? I confess, I thought of you as a monolithic, intolerant, hate-spewing party until I read Rod's column and these wonderful accompanying comments. You give me hope, and I PRAY you are legion. (I believe in God, too, even if I am left of center ;-)
John E. - Agn Stoic
October 18, 2008 12:11 PM
Don
October 18, 2008 11:30 AMI can't help but think about how it was in the 1850s and compare it to today. Are the issues(especially abortion)and resulting passions rising to the same level as then?
No. Look up "Bleeding Kansas".
John E. - Agn Stoic
October 18, 2008 12:15 PM
Stevereno
October 18, 2008 11:43 AM
The probability of Sen. McCain losing seems likely. I think Rev. Wright is a legitimate line of attack especially since Sen. Obama was so close to him for so long. Alas, Sen. McCain does not want to win bad enough.
More to the point, the Rev. Wright is old news.
Start now with attack ads featuring Rev. Wright and the response will be a great big yawn.
Jim
October 18, 2008 12:22 PM
Agreed.
The Republicans didn't really think they could win this year, with Bush making every mistake in the book, a shaky economy, an endless war and the crowning touch of a financial debacle. As in 1996, they threw an old, cranky, wounded war vet into the breach.....I think the result will be similar.
Next time around, the GOP will decide they lost because they weren't ideologically pure enough and will offer up the likes of Palin or worse. I could live with Jeb Bush as president, but no Bush will ever occupy that office again.
Charles Cosimano
October 18, 2008 12:26 PM
Yep, hard times coming. I suppose that is why everyone with any spare change is getting ready by buying every share of stock they can get their hands on.
The smart money says the dow hits 12,000 by this time next year no matter who wins the election.
Rawlins
October 18, 2008 12:31 PM
Catholic To The Core: A possible good news heads-up postscript to your final line, in which you write:
"I will pull into my shell and try to disengage from politics and from civic involvement lest I succumb to despair."
~~~~~
Relax. If you have avoided 'despair' ore the last 8 years, you are officially immune.
AML
October 18, 2008 12:39 PM
If the Democratic Party wins a filibuster-proof Senate majority on Election Day, it likely will pass the misleadingly named Employee Free Choice Act which would increase the power of America’s labor unions by eliminating the secret ballot.
A couple of weeks ago I had a conversation with the owner of a small trucking company who is nearing retirement age. He said he enjoys the business but if this Act passes, he plans to close the company, as it would just not be worth the hassle to keep going. And that would be 50 more people out of work, in Michigan which doesn't need that hit.
Nothing Left or Right about that, just economics.
Scott R.
October 18, 2008 12:42 PM
What exactly is the "Mainstream Media" anyhow?
Anything but Fox?
Clive Moebeetie
October 18, 2008 12:49 PM
I will prognosticate the sooth:
The noise of Civil War shall long abide
Angrily, and red bleeds the landscape;
Darkened Towers of power falter—To die
From Famine, alas, they cannot escape,
For Pale Rider upon his pale horse rides.
Just Some Guy
October 18, 2008 1:30 PM
"I hope to be part of a constructive, creative group of conservative writers and thinkers who will help create a New Right."
Blessings to you on that project, but it raises a question in my mind: I expect there to be a lot of finger pointing and blame casting, a great deal of trying to lay the blame of the Republican defeat on some part of the conservative movement -- the neocons, the religious right, and the like -- and a consequent emphasis on ideological purity and a hunt for heretics. All of that would seem to be a countervailing force against any creative and constructive thinking and action. How are you going to deal with that?
And here's something I would be interested in seeing: For this project, who would you refer to for ideas and inspiration? In other words, I want to see a reading list for the New Right.
jim r
October 18, 2008 1:38 PM
Maggie:
You can rest assured that the desciption of the right as "a monolithic, intolerant, hate-spewing party" IS a creation of the MSM. The fact that you would even ask that question is evidence that they have done a great job of making people believe this.
I, and most people I know who lean to the right or even far right, are just normal people, believe it or not. Of course there are some who are intolerant and spew hate, just like there are some on the left who demonstrate the same behavior. And many of us (on both sides, I think) can become frustrated and say things that are more radical than we really believe. I could point out many examples of that in my own behavior, and in the behavior of others across the political spectrum, but that doesn't make me part of a monolithic, hate-spewing party any more than it does those who demonstrate the same behavior on the left.
It makes really disappointed and sad that someone who is thougtful enough to read this blog would even have to ask this question. What have I (we) done to deserve being thought of this way?
It doesn't change the fact that I will be disappointed by an Obama victory, but not by a McCain loss. Either of them will reduce our personal liberty, and they both have certainly shown that they believe that anyone who suffers any harm for any reason is a "victim" that needs help from a big brother government. For example-we have bailed out Joe Sixpack, with a tax rebate to spend more, Wall Street, with TARP and nationalization, and now we are back to another government bailout of Main Street. That mindset is what worries me about the future of the country. Barack Obama and a Democratic majority in Congress will hasten the arrival of the socialist, big government state. As it's still a free country, I am allowed to have such an opinion, but I don't think that makes me intolerant or hate spewing. I try to use reasonable arguments and respect that others have differing opinions, and that even if I disagree, they are as entitled to their opinions as I am to mine.
midtown
October 18, 2008 1:46 PM
I think the party will drift more in Huckabee's direction -- i.e., still conservative on social issues, more populist/centrist in economic policies, perhaps a slight bit more wary about getting involved overseas, and a little more conciliatory toward political opponents.
Or, the GOP might fall apart completely amidst fratricidal denunciations. After all, much of the party loathed Huckabee.
Scott Walker
October 18, 2008 1:51 PM
Just Some Guy, your reading list has to begin with Edmund Burke's Reflections on the French Revolution. Burke is the intellectual godfather of Crunchy Conservatism, and very far removed indeed from media buffoons such as Limbaugh or, worse, Hannity. It's a hard slog, but another useful book is Joseph Schumpeter's "Communism, Socialism and Democracy."
Best of all, of course, is the New Testament ;-)
Whenever I come across claims of media "bias" — and these are abundant from both left and right — I seem to hear a subtext to the effect of ", of course, can see right through this bias to the Truth, but vast numbers of my fellow citizens unfortunately lack my judgment, experience, keen intellect and all-around perspicacity."
As to the future of conservatism in the wake of next month's wreck, I think there is some possibility of the GOP fracturing or contracting (the late Walker Percy in his 1971 novel saw the Republicans morphing into the "Christian Conservative Constitutional Party" — note the catchy acronym). We're already seeing isolated instances of former luminaries being read out of the congregation, and I'll hazard a guess that beginning in November suspicious eyes will turn on GOP public figures who were perceived to have been insufficiently adulatory of the Warrior Princess of Wasilla.
My advice is: go the ideological purity route. Sure the purge will hurt, but you'll feel much, much cleaner and more compact when it's over.
Nightstalker
October 18, 2008 2:10 PM
I will definitely blame it on you and the other "must purge the movement of the commoners, impure, and intellectually nonconforming" conservatives that want a "movement" rather than trying to defend the American way of life from a concerted effort of destruction.
N0bama
October 18, 2008 2:37 PM
if mccain loses, i will be most surprised - and will rightfully blame bush.
DavidTC
October 18, 2008 2:40 PM
Just Some Guy For this project, who would you refer to for ideas and inspiration? In other words, I want to see a reading list for the New Right.
I don't know what books you should read in order to guide you, but there's a book you should read:
The Wrecking Crew, by Thomas Frank. It explains how conservative voters got duped into voting for people who systematically dismantled the government, by claiming it was the government that was the problem.
Look, conservatives, I understand that idea that the government should provide less services. The problem is that conservative politicians have, for a long time, used that as an excuse to provide less oversight, and to hire more contractors (Which cost more than just doing it ourselves.) and have no oversight over them, and so on and so on, to the point of rendering many parts, even parts everyone agrees should exist, unable to function at all.
You guys really need to sit down and rethink the whole 'Government is the problem' concept. The government is a tool.
Just because you guys think us people on the left have a hammer called government and think every problem is a nail, doesn't mean there aren't some actual nails and we don't need a working hammer.
Pakeha Tohunga
October 18, 2008 2:43 PM
Well, Rod, I can't possibly agree that McCain is not a good candidate. I supported him in the primaries in 2000, and I am supporting him now. In my opinion, if it were not for the Wall Street mess, McCain would be ahead in the polls and would probably win the election. People are just plain angry. And it's senseless anger. Forgotten are McCain's correct intuitions on the War in Iraq, his attempt to rein in Freddie and Fannie, and on and on. The splash from President Bush is drowning him. Now, I can certainly understand the drift of (most) Democrats and Independents towards Obama, in view of the current economic crisis(though I think they'll ultimately be disappointed in Obama's "Hoover" solutions), but I can't understand the defection of people like you. On just one issue close to my heart, human rights and justice for the preborn, Obama's appointees to the Supreme Court will set back the cause for a generation. I hope you will be happy that you helped contribute to that situation.
As for the future of the Republican Party, I see no one on the horizon capable of leadership other than Huckabee. One thing Republicans must get over is the obsession with cutting taxes. If we cannot regain fiscal responsibility, we're finished. (Both Reagan and Bush contributed to our downfall in this department.) I think our motto, after this upcoming defeat, should be "pay for what you want." Either reduce government spending or increase taxes to pay for it. The credit card mentality is a disease.
Will Harrington
October 18, 2008 3:07 PM
Heres another question. What if the GOP falls apart for the forseeable future. What happens to the Dem's coalition if there is no bogeyman? Environmentalists, socialists, labor unions, blacks, feminists, etc, etc, etc... How are they held together when their interests conflict? Who gets thrown under the bus? The only thing holding either side together was fear of the other. What happens when the power elite can't hold their base together?
jules
October 18, 2008 3:20 PM
I agree with poster Maggie. I'ts disheartening to see the conservative/Republican party diminished. It doesn't help the American public discourse re ideas and solving problems in this country.
Maggie
October 18, 2008 3:36 PM
Jim R: Thank you for your thoughtful reply. I actually WAS a Republican back when the GOP welcomed moderates and even had a "liberal" wing (i.e. Nelson Rockefeller). I'm a 65 yr old grandmother who cast her first vote for Barry Goldwater, but Nixon's "southern strategy" and Watergate soured me. I voted for Reagan in '80, but not in '84, and would have voted for McCain in 2000. What have you (conservatives) done to be thought of so harshly? Well, you elected the likes of Tom DeLay and GWB, and stood by silently when the "agents of intolerance" took over the party. I support the abolition of the Dept of Education and HUD for starters, but I don't know whether I'll ever be able to vote Republican again. Certainly not until you've "cleansed" the party of its very mean far right social conservative fringe.
I didn't leave the Republican party--it left me.
Rawlins
October 18, 2008 3:45 PM
(Crowds of onlookers cheering 'Maggie! Maggie!)
Reaganite in NYC
October 18, 2008 3:59 PM
Sorry, Rod, but I'm not going to take the bait on this one. It's far too early to predict who's going to win. Obama is ahead in the polls, but McCain has a track record of coming from behind. Everyone keeps looking to 1980 for an historical analogy and claims that Obama's challenge is the same as Reagan's was that year (reassuring voters that he's no radical). But it's the 1976 election which provides the more apt comparision (when Ford came from 33% behind to close within 2% of Carter on election day). Obama is not the "Democratic Reagan." He's just another Carter -- another inexperienced unknown with vague and impractical promises trying to ride the tiger of discontent.
An Obama victory would be terrible for the country but terrific for the Republican party. The patriot (and orthodox Christian) in me prays for a McCain victory, but the partisan in me could easily perceive political opportunities were the opposite to occur.
An Obama mandate would be a mandate for things he can NOT and will NOT deliver on (like a tax cut for 95% for all Americans). Instead he and the Democrats in Congress will push for things that will forever alienate those moderates and conservatives who cast an Obama vote. What's worse, the tax hikes and trade restrictions the Democrats will put into place will push our country from a recession into a depression. The ensuing pain and misery will bring new life to an old name in American politics: Herbert Hoover.
In the event of an Obama '08 victory, 2012 would be such a sweet year for Republicans, though it would have come after four years of great suffering to the country. That's why I hope for an Obama loss this year.
Jasper
October 18, 2008 4:19 PM
Will Harrington has made a valid point re the Democratic coalition. Let's also look at this from the GOP perspective. If the Democrats constitute a large majority in Washington, and Republicans become bit players, then the Republican Party apparatus will lose its value as a forum for voicing opposition points of view. In that scenario, the GOP may very well split apart into several different political groupings...The Club for Growth types in one party, pro-life activists in another party, libertarians in another, with the neo-conservatives probably migrating to the Democratic Party and calling themselves foreign policy realists.
If this comes to pass, our politics will have a very different look...an enduring left wing governing majority with no unified voice in opposition. For conservatives (of which I am one), a bleak future.
Pakeha Tohunga
October 18, 2008 4:33 PM
Maggie, I find your comments interesting, but I'm having a hard time getting a grip on where you're coming from. It sounds as if you're a socially-liberal Libertarian. Am I wrong? Anyhow, it seems to me that your suggestions/wishes would make the Republican Party "an echo, not a choice" (to play with the words of a well-known Republican).
I don't understand how you could vote for Goldwater but seem to miss the wing that included his old enemy, Nelson Rockefeller. The Republican Party was going nowhere under people like Rockefeller.
I also don't understand how you could have voted for Reagan in 1980, because it was his repackaging of the Republican coalition to include the "religious right" (which had been owned by the Democrats, especially under Jimmy Carter, but was disgusted with the Democratic Party's impotence in the face of militant Communism and its drift into abortionism) that made the Republican Party competitive again.
Are you saying that religious conservatives are the "very mean far right social conservative fringe"? Are they your "agents of intolerance"? Why? Is it their opposition to abortion on demand? If so, how are they any more mean and intolerant than, for instance, the Democratic icon Sargent Shriver? Is it their opposition to homosexual marriage? If that's the case, how are they more intolerant that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton?
I don't get this. It seems as if McCain is becoming a whipping boy and scapegoat for disappointed Republicans. His loss will be our loss, and the nation's loss. I'm proud of Joe Lieberman. Unlike so many fair-weather Republicans, he sees the light.
Dianne
October 18, 2008 4:48 PM
[First, joining Rawlins in crowd cheering "Maggie! Maggie!"]
The Chicago Tribune has endorsed Obama, the first time they have ever, in over 160 years, endorsed a Democratic nominee for president. They say:
"We do, though, think Obama would govern as much more of a pragmatic centrist than many people expect."
I think this is probably true.
They give a list of reasons why they believe this, which I won't quote, but you can read the endorsement here, if you want:
I like Rod's plan to focus on localism. That's what we should all be doing most of the time anyway, whichever party we prefer.
Jim
October 18, 2008 4:50 PM
Joe Lieberman!!!???
Lieberman knows that McCain is about the sole hope for the continuation of the Cheney/Bush/Kristol policies that favor a push into Iran for the sole purpose of punishing Israel's enemies. Invading a country just for saying bad things about Israel is insanity.
steve
October 18, 2008 5:16 PM
The Republican party needs to totally rebuild. Parties dont usually do that while in office. Somehow, the party of fiscal responsibility became the party of borrow and spend. Somehow it became the party that thought it proper and possible to invade other countries and completely reinvent them. The Republican party embraced tactics embraced by the secret police of North Korea. The Republican party has stood by while its chief executive has assumed powers approaching that of a monarchy when dealing with foreign affairs.
I have no idea what a reorganized party would look like. TBH, as long as the party is so influenced by talk radio and Fox, I do not think it will change much. I hope that serious thinkers of the party will hold sway, but after this election I have major doubts.
Steve
Insane Kitten
October 18, 2008 5:22 PM
It's far too early to predict who's going to win.
Reaganite's right, and as an Obama supporter I really hope that the campaign isn't getting too complacent. Next week he's passing through where I live-- Madison, WI! I mean, it's great to have him and all, but why's he wasting his time here? He's got this place sewn up!
I kind of think there will be a knee-jerk reaction from parts of the right that is going to look like the Arkansas Project all over again--"authors" writing books with the looniest conspiracy theories about Obama etc. However, it seems quite possible to me that this part of the right will be more marginalized in favor of a stronger philosophical realignment. (Why do I say this? Mostly from the thoughtful and provacative writing I see on this blog! :-) )That would be more stimulating and most welcome. I really don't want to relive the Clinton years.
Scott R.
October 18, 2008 5:29 PM
The patriot (and orthodox Christian) in me prays for a McCain victory
Are you saying that those of us who support Obama aren't patriots?
Because that's what frankly made Team Bush into such a bunch of jerks in the first place (well that, and a thousand additional reasons).
If you are saying that...then there is no hope that this country can pull together and I believe where 20 years at most from a civil war.
If you aren't saying that, well, carry on.
Rick
October 18, 2008 5:42 PM
He said he enjoys the business but if this Act passes, he plans to close the company, as it would just not be worth the hassle to keep going.
Man, I Republicans were supposed to be smart about business.
I keep hearing these scare stories...I mean anecdotes...from small business owners threatening to shut down their profitable businesses when Obama is elected.
If they really don't want to deal with higher taxes or increased regulations, have they ever considered selling their businesses?. Heck, I'd gladly serve as a business broker for your friend looking to sell his 50 employee trucking company, for a modest commission. I'm sure there are lots of folks who would love to buy it...even if taxes bump up a bit on their profits over $250k and they have to buy health care for employees and fill out a few extra forms.
In any case, don't worry about the employees. They'll be fine. If your friend has work to be done and needy customers, someone will step in to serve them...and they'll need your friend's employees.
In any case, don't worry about the employees. If your friend shuts down, there's no lack of enterprising Americans
steve
October 18, 2008 5:58 PM
The problem is that conservative politicians have, for a long time, used that as an excuse to provide less oversight, and to hire more contractors
Agreed. I used to be a government contractor in 1999. I was getting paid 40k. I found out my company was charging the government twice that for my services. Government workers were replaced by more expensive contractors and politicians got to claim that they reduced the size of the government workforce.
Pakeha Tohunga
October 18, 2008 6:07 PM
Jim, your following comment leaves me speechless: "Lieberman knows that McCain is about the sole hope for the continuation of the Cheney/Bush/Kristol policies that favor a push into Iran for the sole purpose of punishing Israel's enemies. Invading a country just for saying bad things about Israel is insanity."
First, I don't know anyone (including Cheney, Bush, or Kristol)who favors pushing into Iran--except as an absolute, desperate last resort. Our military is just too over-extended, and everyone knows it. The reduction of forces in the 1990s makes it impossible unless, I guess, we just marched out of Iraq into Iran.
Second, an Iran with nuclear weapons is feared by countries such as Saudi Arabia and Egypt, not just Israel. Achmadinajad's Shiite apocalypticism is a threat to the entire world. Comparing him to Hitler is not fanatical.
Third, the Islamic regime has almost destroyed Lebanon through it's proxy, Hezbollah, and has led to the death of many of our soldiers in Iraq due to its support of insurgents there.
What are your beliefs about Israel? I haven't heard comments like yours out of anyone except people who have a visceral dislike of that country.
steve
October 18, 2008 6:11 PM
"The patriot (and orthodox Christian) in me prays for a McCain victory
Are you saying that those of us who support Obama aren't patriots?"
This is a very common statement made by right wing zealots. The clear implication is that if you are not Republican, you are not patriotic. They just know that Obama is a crypto-Marxist/socialist. These kind of people get their information from very limited and approved sources. They generally are not well informed about history (see the constant comparisons between Truman, Reagan and Palin). A civil war? Hope not. Throughout our history the side which has governed incompetently and been voted out has accepted the results.
Steve
Maggie
October 18, 2008 6:20 PM
Pakeha: Thank you for your thoughtful post. Your characterization of me as a socially liberal Libertarian might be about right. I voted for Goldwater because I was an ignorant (sorry) 21 years old and had grown up in Indiana, where all things are Republican (well, were). I voted for Reagan because I was busy with other things and he was charming and non-threatening--kind of like Bush in 2000, the guy you'd like to have a beer with.
I really started paying attention when I was around 50, and my views have been largely formed by reading-history-for-fun and 35 years of working as a RN, caring for all strata of our society. I never met a welfare queen driving a Cadillac, but I met a lot of hard working men and women--black and white--who were beaten down by multiple adversities, some of which were of their own making, but more often, they weren't.
By agents of intolerance I mean Jerry Falwell, John Hagee, James Dobson, and their ilk. I don't advocate gay marriage, and I think abortion is a tragedy--but I abhor intolerance of any stripe, and I resent anyone telling me I'm going to hell because I haven't been "saved". C'mon, live and let live, and don't demand that our beloved Constitution enshrine religiously-driven ideology. Just as much, though, what completely turned me off has been the conservative spokesmen who positively demonized Democrats as the anti-Christ, and illegitimate governors when in office. Ann Coulter comes to mind, along with Tom DeLay and Grover Norquist, among many others. I don't want to re-live the Clinton years, either, Dianne, and Sarah Palin's crowds cause me to fear that if Obama wins, we will.
Let's all of us just get along, okay? Life is hard enough without demonizing each other. I would like to see a forum in which thoughtful and sincere citizens of all stripes--left/center, right/center, Libertarians, could talk together. If we don't reach out to each other and listen, really listen, and COMPROMISE now and then, I'm very afraid Scott R. may not be too far off the mark. I've returned to Indiana to be with my very Republican family in my (ha ha) golden years, and I'm sorry to say that I see that racism is alive and well in the Hoosier state.
Peace be with you.
Damn Cynical
October 18, 2008 6:48 PM
Senator McCain will not lose.
Expect either a major terrorist (sic) incident or the assassination of Senator Obama in the final week of the campaign.
The Neoconservatives and Conservative power elite will not turn over D.C. to anyone but their own at this point and time.
Either, sadly, will be our October surprise.
armchair pessimist
October 18, 2008 7:17 PM
.
6 lines of text that convince me that the right will have a choice between a Carthegenian Peace and civil war.
Jasper
October 18, 2008 7:23 PM
In answer to Rod's question "What will the right do if McCain loses?", perhaps the best
answer is to do little and wait things out. Republicans in Congress (if there are any
left) should hunker down, spend a lot of time performing constituent services, do
whatever it takes to ensure their own re-election prospects, deliver an occasional speech
decrying the direction of the country, but above all provide no votes for the passage of
Obama's program. It is important that there be clear responsibility for the consequences
of the Obama agenda. Obama has asserted that he will assemble a governing coalition that
includes some Republicans. Let's not be co-opted. Let this be a Democratic show from
start to finish.
It is important to remain absolutely civil during this time. We should police ourselves
and not allow the type of hate that permeated left-wing blogs (Bush Derangement Syndrome)
to morph into Obama Derangement Syndrome on the right.
The redefinition of the conservative message will take time to formulate and should be
done as far away from the MSM as possible. They are no friends of ours. They will do
everything they can to undermine us.
In my view, conservatives should re-assert our claim of fiscal responsibility. In this
respect, let our actions speak for our values. Oppose earmarks. Oppose increases in
federal budgets. Oppose bailouts. Oppose ethanol subsidies. Do this repeatedly, vote
after vote, session after session, year after year. If our approach is cast as
rejectionism, that is fine by me. Rejectionism suits us well.
The last eight years represent a lost opportunity. It is entirely possible that
conservatives will not have the opportunity to govern again in my lifetime. If that be
true, it will be regrettable, but it is still important to fly our colors proudly and
stand for the right things.
Maggie
October 18, 2008 7:47 PM
Damn Cynical: You are what drove me, and many like me, out of the Republican party.
michael
October 18, 2008 7:55 PM
Mr Harrington, 'How will the Demos hold together?' -- an early indication might possibly be seen in solidly Democratic California. Proposition 8 on the ballot this November, if passed, would ban gay marriage. Now, you have the culturally liberal Democrats against the culturally less liberal Democrat Hispanics and others. What if the latter defeat the former?
steve
October 18, 2008 8:26 PM
Maggie,
DamnCynical sounds like a leftist conspiracy theorist, not a conservative or Republican.
Alex
October 18, 2008 8:59 PM
Maggie,
I would agree with Steve above that DamnCynical sounds like a leftists conspiracy theorist however it is not perfectly clear from his/her post.
But there were posts before on this blog regarding a terrorist act which might happen and bring the victory to McCain and these posts were from McCain supporters. If God forbid something happens to Obama, McCain will make a passionate speach denouncing that terrible act, Palin would not be even able to hide her happiness. But the reality is that they would be the enablers. And everybody who stayed silent while crowds was calling Obama the terrorist aslo would be enablers.
Bush won in 2004 because he incited the worst human feelings like fear and hate. What McCain does is much worse. Bush was saing that the terrorists are out there. McCain and Palin are implying that we may elect the President who himself is a terrorist. And McCain is talkig about uniting the country...
jim r
October 18, 2008 9:36 PM
Maggie, I have had the opportunity through work in a service industry to see many people who were suffering hard times. I used to be in a career where I got into lots of peoples homes every day, and one thing I noticed was there were a lot of folks within blocks of the church I attended who had a lot if issues.
I have also served on city council and school board, and saw how hard it is to remember you are spending someone's hard-earned dollars every time you approve a purchase or contract. I think this experience has made me very sensitive to some of the more ridiculous examples of waste in Washington.
It's crucial to the future of the Republican party that we find leaders who are concious of the fact that when they spend money, it's money that I have to work hard to earn. They have to be smart about it. That's a driving part of the liberty discussion I started earlier. We need leaders, whatever party they are from, who realize that government SHOULD NOT try and relieve any or all suffering. The government CANNOT accomplish this, and by trying will only bankrupt us. It also leads to the kind of class warfare that is destructive, as more and more people look to the government for relief. We need to di what we can for those who need it most. I am more than willing to support realistic help, but we cannot be all things to all people.
One example: I hear a lot of people using the present market downturn as a reason why privatization of Social Security is not safe, too risky for us. As a baby boomer, I always ask whether these people think my benefit is more secure since it is held by the government, as part of a national debt of more than $10 trillion. Where is the money going to come from when I retire to pay that back?
We need some grown ups who exhibit common sense. The only way we will get them is if voters decide to elect them. I would love to hear someone tell me why I should be hopeful this may happen.
ron chandonia
October 18, 2008 10:05 PM
I would love to see a movement that embraces both social conservatism and economic populism. But I suspect an Obama presidency will cement the relationship between (what passes in the popular mind for) economic populism and elitist social liberalism.
I am Your Name
October 19, 2008 1:38 AM
"Redefining conservatism in the aftermath of an Obama victory will be long and arduous, and will ultimately not lead to electoral success."
Conservatism doesn't need redefining, it needs implementing.
As I've said before, McCain is not a conservative, and none of the Bushes are.
Thomas R
October 19, 2008 3:22 AM
"One thing Republicans must get over is the obsession with cutting taxes. If we cannot regain fiscal responsibility, we're finished."
I agree. I also think they need to seem less nativistic. The "illegal immigration" thing is valid in some ways, but the way some of their punditts come-off I get the feeling many of them don't much want Mexicans coming here legally either. This is not a smart move as the native-born Mexican population is also likely to rise.
armchair pessimist
October 19, 2008 8:53 AM
Something weird happens when conservatives go to DC. The air there is poisonous to our beliefs, so the people we send there generally turn bad. We have no business being where the power is. Conservatism and big government don't mix, that's all there is to it. This need not mean capitulation and accepting helot status from the victorious left. By mass self-deportation to more congenial regions of the country, we can turn the red states redder and redder, until entire regions of the US become no-go areas to a government run by people we don't like and never will. I'll miss the East Coast but maybe there will be mountains in our Waziristan.
Presumably the Buckleys, Brooks, etc will prefer to stay put and be court jesters.
Reaganite in NYC
October 19, 2008 11:02 AM
Scott R. and Steve,
You criticized me for saying: "The patriot (and orthodox Christian) in me prays for a McCain victory, but the partisan in me could easily perceive political opportunities were the opposite to occur."
Too bad you misunderstand patriotism, which for me is not jingoism or exclusionist. It is simply about love of one's fellow countrymen and a regard for their welfare. My point was that the partisan in me could see the opportunities (for Republicans) in an Obama victory, but the part of me who cares solely for his country and our people would prefer a McCain victory. I sincerely believe that a McCain victory will result in less economic suffering in this country and fewer deaths on foreign battlefields than would an Obama victory.
You two were looking for something in my statement that is not there.
Just Some Guy
October 19, 2008 11:20 AM
Since my above post, I've been reconsidering my aversion to and impatience with conservative heretic hunting. I think I've romanticized the early years of the conservative movement and its high caliber of thinkers -- Russell Kirk, Harry Jaffa, Frank Meyer, Richard Weaver, Bill Buckley, and on and on. Then I remembered that very few of these people got along and were often trying to drum each other out of the movement. So maybe things have always been this way, and maybe that's the route back to a thoughtful conservatism, though I still can't say I have a taste for it.
steve
October 19, 2008 11:49 AM
"I sincerely believe that a McCain victory will result in less economic suffering in this country and fewer deaths on foreign battlefields than would an Obama victory."
Voting is a patriotic act. Everyone should vote. Your sincere belief is partisan, not patriotic. There are patriotic people who believe the exact opposite of what you believe. Of recent note, that would include Colin Powell. This appropriation of the term patriotic for partisan voting preferences is almost entirely a far right wing phenomenon as far as I can tell. This country has survived liberal and conservative governments. It will survive and prosper in the future. People who attempt to appropriate patriotism for their cause will, and should, be left out of our future discourse.
Steve
Reaganite in NYC
October 19, 2008 12:51 PM
Steve,
You clearly misunderstand patriotism. I assume that everyone who votes with the welfare of the country SOLELY in mind is voting with patriotic intent. That would include both McCain and Obama (and Nader and Barr) supporters for whom the nation's welfare is their SOLE criteria. My original point (which you have ignored in both of your comments) was to distinguish between the determination of partisan gain from an electoral outcome and placing patriotic concerns before all other concerns in shaping an electoral outcome.
maryQ
October 19, 2008 12:51 PM
I don't know, Rod. I don't mean to hijack a thread, I just want to calm the fears.
I may have drunk the KoolAid, but I really don't see Obama as the most serious threat to the causes you care about. I see him as actually a pretty soft landing for the crash of the current GOP. I really don't agree with this idea that he is the most radical left-wing politician to run for office.
I'll go out on a limb to say that I believe (and I could be wrong, and if so I will apologize profusely) he is the best hope for reigning in the pent-up rage of Democratic congress. I suspect that in his first week in office, he will pay personal visits to Reid, Pelosi, Conyers, Waxman, and any other Democratic senator or congress person salivating at the thought of payback, and say "Just chill. We need to stability, not retribution".
He's the best hope for marginalization of the strident cultural left.
Catholic to the Core
October 19, 2008 12:56 PM
Steve: "Voting is a patriotic act. Everyone should vote."
The first statement is correct. The second statement is not.
Purposefully not voting is a patriotic act if one views the ballot alternatives as equally dreadful and one does not wish to gave any of them an endorsement.
DavidTC
October 19, 2008 12:59 PM
I am Your Name Conservatism doesn't need redefining, it needs implementing.
As I've said before, McCain is not a conservative, and none of the Bushes are.
Have you guys ever considered teaming up with the communists? You can have drinks with them and moan about how, every time your perfect manner of government has been attempted, some jerks hijacked it, but this time you've found the right guy for the job. You can even rage against the, ha, 'liberal fascists'.
If a system of government cannot be implemented, and when implemented goes horrible wrong and destroys economies and lives, it does not matter how well it would work if actually implemented correctly.
Political ideologies are judged by the system of government they actually create, and yours, I must say, sucks. There are plenty of well-meaning conservatives, who truly think that the failure of conservativism is due to it not actually ever happening, but none of them actually go to the next step and think 'Why can't we implement this ideology? Is it, in fact, even possible to implement it as we imagine it? And what exactly are we imagining, anyway?'.
Seriously. You only get forty years of trying before someone else gets a turn. Stop whining about how your system is perfect if you could get it running, and start looking at the reasons it fails to start running, and fix that, and then hope the American people are ready to give a system called 'conservative' another try.
Reaganite in NYC
October 19, 2008 1:31 PM
Steve: "Voting is a patriotic act"
Doesn't that depend on the motive of the voter?
If a person votes out of selfish intent, is that patriotic? If someone votes out of greed or to "get one of my own kind" into office, is that patriotic?
steve
October 19, 2008 1:54 PM
Exactly. Voting for any particular candidate is a partisan choice. The person voting for your opponent is no less patriotic and no more.
"patriotism
One entry found.
Main Entry:
pa·tri·ot·ism
Pronunciation:
\ˈpā-trē-ə-ˌti-zəm, chiefly British ˈpa-\
Function:
noun
Date:
circa 1726
: love for or devotion to one's country
Voting for a particular party or candidate is in support of that candidate's views of how they wish to shape the country. A true patriot is devoted to their country and not a particular ideology IMO. The act of voting (usually, though it can be done insincerely) conveys some level of caring and devotion to the future of one's country. This defining of right wing ideology as patriotic, implying that left wing ideology is not, is vile. It is filth peddled by the radio blowhards and hacks. Actually, I do not express this very well. Go listen to Colin Powell's interview. I am sure he will also now be branded as unpatriotic.
Steve
Reaganite in NYC
October 19, 2008 2:14 PM
Steve: "Actually, I do not express this very well. Go listen to Colin Powell's interview. I am sure he will also now be branded as unpatriotic."
No one here has "branded" Colin Powell as unpatriotic. Why even raise this strawman? As for not expressing yourself well, perhaps you're being a bit hard on yourself. As far as I'm concerned, you're doing a good job of expressing yourself. It's your ideas that are problematical.
If patriotism is, to use the definition you supplied, "love for or devotion to one's country," then patriotism would be something that can be measured in gradations. Using the definition you supplied, it is NOT something binary as in pass/fail, solvent/bankrupt, black/white or patriotic/unpatriotic. In this sense, one make judgements about some act or another (including a particular voting choice) as being more patriotic or less patriotic.
After all, was it not Joe Biden who recently applied this use of the word "patriotism" in describing the willingness of citizens to be taxed?
If anyone in this campaign has questioned anyone's patriotism, it has been Joe Biden who has questioned the patriotism of voters reluctant to part with their money to fund government boondoggles and inefficiency and questionable programs and groups (including ACORN).
Maggie
October 19, 2008 3:38 PM
Give it a rest: any major party candidate is a patriot, and those of us who actually vote are patriotic citizens, regardless of party.
I expect maryQ is right, and we're all going to be lucky that obama isn't a far left ideologue. He has a first class intellect and knows this is a conservative country, and he will govern more centrist than far left. He will rein in Congress and work in a bipartisan manner.
I fully expect him to choose Colin Powell as his SecDef, and possibly Republican Senator Richard Lugar as Sec of State, as the two of them have worked closely together in the Senate on foreign affairs. (Lugar was the highly regarded Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations committee when the Republicans were in power all these years, and is a moderate.) Obama will pick the best people for the job, and do what is best for the country.
IF he wins. We can't forget that Dems have a deeply ingrained habit of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, and I still question whether he can win due to the better-hidden, but still rampant, racism in the USA.
Damn Cynical
October 19, 2008 5:16 PM
Obama will never become president.
The Neocons already have Yigal Amir warming up in the bullpen.
Sad, but true.
N0bama
October 19, 2008 6:49 PM
Obama will never become president.
I hope you're right.
allbetsareoff
October 19, 2008 7:00 PM
I've been telling both Obama and McCain supporters that Obama, if elected, will more closely resemble Eisenhower than some fantasy leftist in leadership style and policy priorities. (Interestingly, the Obama supporters are the most resistant to the idea.)
For those of you too young to remember, Eisenhower's signal domestic accomplishments were the last major infrastructure initiative, the interstate highway system; greater emphasis on education, mainly scientific in response to the Soviets' launch of Sputnik; and marginalizing the extremist Joe McCarthy wing of the GOP. On foreign and security policy, Ike got us out of a quagmire war, which Korea had become by 1952, and promoted containment and alliance-building over military adventurism. Obama's stated goals and probable strategies are quite similar.
Conservatives of the time were highly dissatisfied. The John Birch Society went so far as to characterize Eisenhower as a tool of the communists.
Leftists of this time will be almost as dissatisfied with Obama, who will govern as a realist. He will have no choice. (Neither would McCain.) The condition of the federal budget and the economy as a whole preclude far-reaching and expensive domestic policy initiatives. State-run single-payer healthcare will not happen. Widespread tax cuts will not happen. More troubling, the military will not be rebuilt and upgraded as quickly as we may need it to be. The money simply isn't there.
So, I doubt that conservativism will have an easy time rallying its disparate components in simple opposition to Obama, or even to congressional Democrats. Most of the new members that produced a majority in 2006, and most of those who will enlarge that majority this year, are populist and/or technocratic centrists, not hard-leftists. There are big differences between the Russ Feingolds and Bernie Sanderses and the Jon Testers and Mark Warners.
The surviving Republican congressional rump will be populated overwhelmingly by hard-rightists -- hopefully not as far gone as Maria Bachmann, the Minnesota congresswoman who recently demanded wholesale investigation of congressional liberals as "anti-American," but still highly unlikely to join coalitions to moderate legislation. In the near future, the congressional GOP's role will be pure opposition, similar to the role played by the McGovernite Democratic rump during the early Reagan years and the period in which Clinton compromised with the GOP on welfare reform and NAFTA.
So, any constructive new conservatism is going to have to develop at the state and local level, where ideological purity inevitably gives way to realism on policy and the strictures of keeping budgets in balance. It's going to be a long rebuilding process -- there are no more than two or three Republican governors of any distinction at present -- and it won't be helped by the Texas-style gerrymandering of state legislative districts, which has loaded so many GOP statehouse caucuses with hard-right ideologues and purged moderates over the past 10 years.
The Republican Party will not regain majority status until it moves closer to the center. Cosmetic "Sam's Club" populist gestures masking hard-right core policies won't cut it, because the GOP will be facing too many genuinely centrist incumbent Democrats.
Bottom line: Liberals will not get their fantasy leftist in Obama. Conservatives need to get over visions of a fantasy rightist a la Palin. As always, the party that holds the center wins.
prefer not to say
October 19, 2008 7:31 PM
I am intrigued by the fear-tinged defeatist thinking that goes into imagining an Obama win.
I am a democrat. I am an Obama supporter, although it took me awhile to get there. When my democrat friends and I get together and talk about an Obama win (which we see as pretty likely at this point, but not in the bag) we say things like:
1) Well, it's nice that people are voting for him, but it would be even nicer if they were doing so because of realistic, rational thinking, rather than simply panic about the economy.
2) Clearly Obama won't be able to do even 1/4 of the things he wants to do, and now, with the economy, he probably won't be able to do any of them. In fact, it would be AMAZING to hear him admit that now. THAT would be a real change.
3) Poor schlub. Whoever gets stuck with this economy will be blamed for it, even though he didn't create it. In fact, by the time the Republican war machine is through with him, most of the country will believe it was Obama's fault.
4) Republican majority at mid-term election. Clear Republican win in 2012.
To hear how many people on the right think that he will somehow set up a permanent and undefeatable regime that will splinter the Republicans into itty pieces is weird. It reminds me of how much of partisan politics is -- counter-intuitively -- driven by our conviction that the OTHER party is just moments away from eating OUR party alive, smashing our most dearly held hopes about the nation into dust.
The Truth
October 19, 2008 7:47 PM
I see a future for a libertarian / conservative hybrid but the damage done to the term "conservative" by President Bush is at least on par with the damage done to the term "liberal" by President Carter and Gov. Dukakis.
The Truth
October 19, 2008 8:00 PM
Ironically if a President Obama really does reverse some of the odious domestic spying policies of the Bush administration and roll back the power of the imperial presidency (and that's all a big "if") he may, at least in this regard, be more of a conservative than his predecessor.
steve
October 19, 2008 9:34 PM
Can one be patriotic and vote for a Democrat? Can one be patriotic and vote for Obama?
Steve
DocAmazing
October 19, 2008 10:24 PM
Given the economic crisis that is looming, Mr. Obama better get over being Eisenhower pretty quickly and get in touch with his inner FDR. We're going to need some hard-core Keynesianism over the next four-to-eight years--and a massive rollback of this privatization/deregulation stupidity that begat this economic mess in the first place.
Elizabeth Anne
October 19, 2008 11:26 PM
Reaganite - No one here, maybe. But hie thee over to Michelle Malkin's site and take a gander.
allbetsareoff
October 20, 2008 2:51 AM
Correction: The Minnesota nutjob congresswoman is Michele Bachmann. Not that I'd accuse her of being French...
neil
October 20, 2008 3:41 PM
I'm afraid the "Bush stole the election" nonsense we saw from large segments of the left in 2004 will find its match with what we will see from the right after this election. The pump is being primed with the ACORN stories, just as in 2004 their pump was primed with the vacuous stories of 'voter purges' and crooked Diebold machines.
Artemus
October 20, 2008 3:44 PM
Steve:
Yes.
Cheers!
oddjob
October 20, 2008 4:22 PM
"just as it did in some precincts of the left during the Bush years"
And did with even more niches and greater vigor on the right during the Clinton years. The extremes always have this problem, but it's especially strong on the right.
Former Republican
October 20, 2008 4:26 PM
But what if an Obama presidency isn't a disaster? What if it actually delivers on a healthy assortment of its promises, in ways that better most if not all Americans? Any thoughts, Rod, at this stage of the game?
Chris
October 20, 2008 4:46 PM
http://pacifiedcitizen.com
Your post is so welcome and refreshing. I'm on the left, and I believe that over the next four years both parties are going to come closer to the center - at least in terms of being more willing to accept the other side's point of view. I only worry that those on the extremes of each side have a good chance of derailing that process.
Let's fix the mistakes in our past, and move on. :-)
mc
October 20, 2008 4:49 PM
There's a logical fallacy in here, namely the "act locally no matter who wins," and this ellided sense of doom, as if Obama winning will cause that awful situation. Problem is, it's the Republican philosophy that has led the country to this point (yes, Democrats bought in, but Republicans led the charge for the past 3 decades).
You know, I'm with the Former Republican. What if Obama does what he said he'd do?! I happen to think the Republicans have lost the right to govern for about, oh, I don't know, the next generation or so. Until then, enjoy your Malkins and Limbaughs. Fight the good fight within the party, otherwise the fight will be lost.
Billy Bob Tweed
October 20, 2008 5:23 PM
Rod, "hysterical spite...in some precincts of the left during the Bush years." Wellll, the president did sell the public a lie, started a war that cost us a trillion and forever destroyed tens-of-thousands of lives. If the left was hysterical and/or spiteful toward Bush, perhaps they had good reason and even moreso a perfect role model for selective outrage, namely, the way the GOP lost the plot in the 1990s by telling the American tax-payer that Monica Lewinsky was the most pressing issue of the age. Where did that get us?
grandeur
October 20, 2008 7:05 PM
Thank you. Andrew Sullivan linked to this piece and I was so pleased he did. For the good of the country and everyone's peace of mind, I sincerely hope many in the GOP heed your very thoughtful advice
becca
October 20, 2008 8:14 PM
As an independent, I'm hoping that the present Republican party is completely destroyed this year. Then from the ashes, rebuilds itself with people like you -- wiser, more good-hearted, more focused on the things it used to value, like knowledge and justice. I cringe when I hear this word used, but lately I've just seen too much pure evil emanating from Republicans.
This country needs two strong parties to function well, as we know, so please hurry. But start by correcting the too-true quip I heard on the Daily Show: "Republicans love their country; they just hate half the people living in it."
Russ
October 20, 2008 9:05 PM
My wish is that if an Obama victory occurs(and I hope that it doesn't) will be for conservatives of all stripes to come together and finally get the resolve to defeat the New Left once and for all. One of the great attributes that conservatism has stems from the fact that it's not monolithic like the New Left and that many different opinions are welcomed within the movement. If conservatism ever strives to be a governing philosophy again, it must be proactive not reactionary.
Scott
October 20, 2008 10:22 PM
Republicans have brought this on themselves. Think about this for a second. You have created the conditions that have allowed for the election of a Black man President at least a generation ahead of time. Thanks by the way. Had not Bush so irresponsibly run this country, and had not the Republican Party so hatefully attacked Clinton, had you not played the game of exploiting our differences, had not voter suppression become a primary election tool for you, then you would not be finding yourselves in this wilderness. MC makes the point well. Republicans have forfeited the right to govern.
Americans are extremely pissed at what the Republicans have done to this nation. That's why we have chosen to buy the Presidency for Obama. We The People bought this election. The government will very soon be ours again.
You need to get rid of your hate filled losers like Limbaugh, Palin, Bachmann, Giuliani etc. There's a bunch of wannabe fascists that need to go. Until you clean house, we aren't going to give you another shot. Oh, and one more thing. No more nominating morons for President or Vice President. That foolishness will no longer be tolerated.
Scott
October 20, 2008 10:27 PM
Republicans have brought this on themselves. Think about this for a second. You have created the conditions that have allowed for the election of a Black man President at least a generation ahead of time. Thanks by the way. Had not Bush so irresponsibly run this country, and had not the Republican Party so hatefully attacked Clinton, had you not played the game of exploiting our differences, had not voter suppression become a primary election tool for you, then you would not be finding yourselves in this wilderness. MC makes the point well. Republicans have forfeited the right to govern.
Americans are extremely pissed at what the Republicans have done to this nation. That's why we have chosen to buy the Presidency for Obama. We The People bought this election. The government will very soon be ours again.
You need to get rid of your hate filled losers like Limbaugh, Palin, Bachmann, Giuliani etc. There's a bunch of wannabe fascists that need to go. Until you clean house, we aren't going to give you another shot. Oh, and one more thing. No more nominating morons for President or Vice President. That foolishness will no longer be tolerated.
BobN
October 20, 2008 11:19 PM
The thing is, had the GOP been listening to its opponents for the last few years when we BEGGED you to stop Bush, you wouldn't be in this position. Instead, full of hubris, you went all tribal and closed ranks. Big, big mistake.
Now, many sensible folks in both parties may have some advice on how to get beyond this point in your party's history but, frankly, I'm not sure you deserve any advice... yet. The party of personal responsibility needs to take some time to reflect on party responsibility.
I will make one suggestion, though. There's a Frontline special profiling both Obama and McCain. I suggest you watch it. It points out Obama's willingness, indeed eagerness, to reach out to the other side and hear their ideas. He has demonstrated in his work at the local level a sincere willingness to try to find common ground. That's not a sentiment that only he shares. Don't give up on working with him before you even try.
And one other suggestion. Tell your "leaders" who have tried to hard to make "liberal" a dirty word to put a proverbial sock in it.
William Beran
October 21, 2008 6:28 AM
To Scott:
You have created the conditions that have allowed for the election of a Black man President at least a generation ahead of time.
Direct quote.
At what point, Scott, would it be "time" for a "Black man" President?
Who gets to make the decision when it is "time"? There have been 43 Presidents. 100% of them have been white men. Can you tell us how many more white men should be President before it is "time" for a President who is not a white man?
How can you not be ashamed of yourself for writing that sentence? Or are you simply being "misread" as Michele Bachmann supposedly was?
Longdeshizi
October 21, 2008 2:30 PM
Scott is saying that many of the people voting for Obama harbor racial animus, that sans the current military and financial crises, would lead them to vote against the black candidate.
On the racism front, things have slowly been changing for the better in our nation. Many of us figured that in 50 years or so, racial prejudice would have reduced enough to allow a non-white to run successfully for president.
BUT, Bush has screwed us so royally that a significant portion of the electorate is actually voting on their perceived interests as opposed to their prejudices. That's why a Wright, Ayers or any nativist/fearmongering attack has floundered this year.
Bottom line: without Bush, there could be no Obama.
Joel
October 21, 2008 5:10 PM
Every President ends up being hated at some point. In four years the country will probably have turned on Obama and the GOP can run Jindal and win. All of this apocalyptic talk is overreaction to current events.
Scott
October 22, 2008 12:20 AM
To William:
I live a fact based world. Maybe its a liberal thing. You conservatives should give it a try. You would be surprised how well it works.
I stated a simple conclusion based on observation of the way the generations are voting this time around. Under 30's heavily favor Obama, I think because they see his talent and not his skin color. Over 60's up until the economy melted down heavily favored McCain, I think because they see his skin color and were willing to gamble on the erratic McCain, up until they decided they could no longer afford their racism. Were it not for way the Republicans having f**ked this country, racism would have won this race for McCain. Hence my observation.
The obvious corollary is that the next Black candidate will have a lot less racism to combat because many of the racists will be dead, may they RIP. Thus, the Republicans have created conditions that enabled a Black man to be elected in part by racists because of his considerable merits. Their racism suspended by their fear of being mauled yet again by Republican fools.
William Beran
October 23, 2008 11:18 AM
Scott: thank you for your clarification, but I think you could have worded your original post differently. The conclusion I drew was a logical one.
Btw, when you say "you conservatives," I must do my Tonto line: what you mean "we," paleface? This is going to be the 10th presidential election I have voted in, and not once has the lever I pulled had an "R" next to the candidate's name.
Scott
October 23, 2008 10:01 PM
Hey Will,
Please accept my humble apologizes. Nothing is a greater breach of etiquette than accusing a fellow liberal of being a conservative ;-). I hope you can forgive me. From your original critique it was not entirely clear from which direction your comment came. It will be nice to vote on the winning side for a change.
William Beran
October 24, 2008 9:57 AM
Scott,
no need to apologize, bro.
Interesting, btw, that we meet here at the Crunchy Con.
I'm actually going to vote for my Republican Congressman (Chris Shays, CT 4th) because I think the loyal opposition needs more people like Chris Shays (and Rod Dreher, should he ever be a candidate for public office). But I'm so looking forward to seeing the words "president-elect Barack Obama" in the paper on 11/5.
Andy
October 29, 2008 2:09 AM
I’m not going to lie to you: I think we’re a deeply divided country. As long as people, with no sense of irony, write absolute dogma such as, “The Democrats always do this,” or “The Republicans only say that,” we’re in a lot of trouble. Thanks Crunchy Con, for the only right-leaning viewpoint that hasn't involved hate in the last 9 months. I'm almost proud to be an American. There's no irony intended there.
Ted Pratt
October 29, 2008 8:56 AM
If elected, Obama will destoy this country, force christian women to have abortions, and require eveyone to read the koran.
Pres Bush needs to step in and have Obama placed under arrest- he should then appoint McCain/Palin as winners, although I wish Palin were the one runing for president.
William Beran
November 3, 2008 10:29 AM
If elected, Obama will strengthen our nation's schools so that the children of Ted Pratt, if he has any, will know how to spell words like "destroy," "everyone," and "running," words that the average 5th grader knows how to spell.
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Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.
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I agree, McCain was never really claimed by many on the right so his losing will not bring any great sorrow. It will probably be a relief to many, they will be spared having to justify McCain's actions while in the White House. Most on the right have had enough of putting a good face on faux-conservatism in the past eight years. I don't know how many times I've heard things along the lines of "Well, Kerry (or Gore) would be worse!". In practice, there would be little if any difference between a McCain and an Obama presidency, anyway. Both are owned by the corporations as their votes on the "rescue plan" shows. Elections in this country are by and large a sham, carried on by two factions of what is really one large governing party.
Your suggestion of carrying on at a local level, forming communities and organizations to live in and support each other is also a wise and good one.
Well said Rod. I think we are getting what we deserve. A McCain loss will hopefully allow for a cleansing and regeneration of conservatism. In the mean time, my main concern is for my kids as we go through the coming turbulence. I can't help but think about how it was in the 1850s and compare it to today. Are the issues(especially abortion)and resulting passions rising to the same level as then?
I agree. Localism and building communities is the way to go. I wonder, given the coming federal entitlement budget crunch, if centripetal forces will weaken the Union as the federal government can no longer afford to provide services or resources to the state, or conversly, blackmail them into line by threatening to deny funding.
The probability of Sen. McCain losing seems likely. I think Rev. Wright is a legitimate line of attack especially since Sen. Obama was so close to him for so long. Alas, Sen. McCain does not want to win bad enough.
I guess hope for two reactions from the Right and fear one other. The two I am hoping for: (1) serious introspection about what Pres. Bush has done to the Right and Republican party and brand and (2) serious substantive and consequential backlash against the MSM.
On the first point, Pres. Bush lacks rigor and humility. His arrogance, cock sure attitude, cronyism to enth degree, and aversion to hard work and learning from his mistakes have made him a disaster. He values loyalty above else - even else the people around him helped him make bad decisions.
On the second point, the coverage of this election cycle is journalistic malpractice. I hope what the MSM have done to pull out all the stops to get Sen. Obama elected has big consequences for them. Personally, I think an adversarial press is good for our democracy, but I think the ship has sailed and I can't imagine at this point redemption for the MSM. The MSM has failed the country with its complete lack of vetting of Sen. Obama. I guarantee you that if all the people who vote for Sen. McCain stopped watching the evening news casts of NBC, CBS and ABC that it would get their attention. They have driven their credibility down; let's hope their ratings follow.
The reaction I am afraid of is that social conservatives and the religious right will take the fall for Pres. Bush. Rod has said as much before and it is a valid concern. The party establishment picked him and most of policy mistakes should fall squarely on the Neo Cons. It's wrong to blame us. Pres. Bush won in 2004 because of social conservatives and the protection of marriage issue. Yet, we were left twisting in the wind and Pres Bush got fully behind social security privatization (barely mentioned in the 04 campaign) and comprehensive immigration reform (not mentioned at all in the 04 campaign). The country-club wall street set got what they wanted every time or Pres. Bush at least pushed for it. Tax cuts, a blind eye to illegal immigration, favorable regulatory policies, social security privatization, amnesty, etc. all got down or seriously pushed by Pres. Bush. We got some pretty good judges and some window dressing.
I'm wondering why the right will respond to Obama any differently than it did to Clinton.
The major difference will be that the right won't have the ability to impeach, any more than the left could impeach Bush. But beyond that, the world didn't end with Clinton's election, and Clinton's achievements (not his politics, but his actual achievements) proved far more conservative than what's-his-name who followed Clinton.
The last eight years have been a disaster for conservatism, not the eight that preceded them.
That said, the GOP will respond the way the Democrats did after Gore lost. Lots of finger-pointing and claims that the GOP lost because its campaign wasn't harsh enough, because its platform wasn't pure enough, because its candidate wasn't right-wing (they'll say "conservative" but mean far right) enough.
And the world will go on...and we'll have meals with our friends and holidays with our families and do our best to keep our neighborhoods from falling apart. That is the fundamental optimism of conservatism, that as dangerous as the world always is life goes on.
"a just result, given how badly Republicans have governed"
Exactly so.
But I think you're misestimating the probable outcome of a non-divided government. In theory a D pres with a D congress, or an R pres with an R congress, should be able to run full-speed-ahead, while a divided setup should be stalled.
But the facts show the precise opposite in recent years. Clinton couldn't get anything done when he had a D congress; his accomplishments began when Newt switched congress to R. And Bush did EXACTLY NOTHING during the four long miserable years when he had an R congress. The government started moving again when D took over congress in '06.
Redefining conservatism in the aftermath of an Obama victory will be long and arduous, and will ultimately not lead to electoral success. As to the process, there will be no consensus as to what the redefinition should encompass. To date, the movement has been disparate (libertarians, social conservatives, neocons, country club types, etc.), but has held together because of electoral success. Even at that, the movement has comprised only about 51% of the electorate in recent presidential elections. With an Obama victory and a liberal Congressional super-majority, the coalition on the Right will fragment, with no group large enough to represent a coherent voice in opposition. Obama and the Congressional Democrats will have their way in every conceivable respect. The Right will be hit by a tsunami of intrusive government, socialism, a disregard for life, contempt for traditional social values, and infringements on religious liberty. Those of us on the Right will be marginalized in ways that we hardly imagined.
Furthermore, as has been pointed out by others, the country is close to a tipping point with respect to who pays the freight and who collects benefits. If the Obama tax plan is enacted, we will have pushed past that tipping point, viz., those who pay no federal income taxes or who collect more in benefits than they contribute in taxes will have become a majority of the electorate. This constitutes a recipe for maintaining the status quo. Structural change will become impossible because most people will be happy with their lot and won't care about controlling spending, restricting the size of government, or any of the other issues that animate conservatives. In conjunction with the demographic changes that a forthcoming liberalized immigration policy will bring about, the conservative movement will shrink as a percentage of the electorate and in influence.
I am terribly pessimistic about the future. I will seek my solace in my family life, my religious faith, my enjoyment of nature, my love of J. S. Bach, and the like. My pleasures will be private ones. I will pull into my shell and try to disengage from politics and from civic involvement lest I succumb to despair.
Thoughtful conservatives with comments to soothe the soul of this Obama supporter--wow! I am serious with the following question: are you all representative of a large majority of conservatives, or are you outliers? By that, I mean: has the MSM used the excesses of the far right to portray all conservatives? I confess, I thought of you as a monolithic, intolerant, hate-spewing party until I read Rod's column and these wonderful accompanying comments. You give me hope, and I PRAY you are legion. (I believe in God, too, even if I am left of center ;-)
Don
October 18, 2008 11:30 AMI can't help but think about how it was in the 1850s and compare it to today. Are the issues(especially abortion)and resulting passions rising to the same level as then?
No. Look up "Bleeding Kansas".
Stevereno
October 18, 2008 11:43 AM
The probability of Sen. McCain losing seems likely. I think Rev. Wright is a legitimate line of attack especially since Sen. Obama was so close to him for so long. Alas, Sen. McCain does not want to win bad enough.
More to the point, the Rev. Wright is old news.
Start now with attack ads featuring Rev. Wright and the response will be a great big yawn.
Agreed.
The Republicans didn't really think they could win this year, with Bush making every mistake in the book, a shaky economy, an endless war and the crowning touch of a financial debacle. As in 1996, they threw an old, cranky, wounded war vet into the breach.....I think the result will be similar.
Next time around, the GOP will decide they lost because they weren't ideologically pure enough and will offer up the likes of Palin or worse. I could live with Jeb Bush as president, but no Bush will ever occupy that office again.
Yep, hard times coming. I suppose that is why everyone with any spare change is getting ready by buying every share of stock they can get their hands on.
The smart money says the dow hits 12,000 by this time next year no matter who wins the election.
Catholic To The Core: A possible good news heads-up postscript to your final line, in which you write:
"I will pull into my shell and try to disengage from politics and from civic involvement lest I succumb to despair."
~~~~~
Relax. If you have avoided 'despair' ore the last 8 years, you are officially immune.
If the Democratic Party wins a filibuster-proof Senate majority on Election Day, it likely will pass the misleadingly named Employee Free Choice Act which would increase the power of America’s labor unions by eliminating the secret ballot.
A couple of weeks ago I had a conversation with the owner of a small trucking company who is nearing retirement age. He said he enjoys the business but if this Act passes, he plans to close the company, as it would just not be worth the hassle to keep going. And that would be 50 more people out of work, in Michigan which doesn't need that hit.
Nothing Left or Right about that, just economics.
What exactly is the "Mainstream Media" anyhow?
Anything but Fox?
I will prognosticate the sooth:
The noise of Civil War shall long abide
Angrily, and red bleeds the landscape;
Darkened Towers of power falter—To die
From Famine, alas, they cannot escape,
For Pale Rider upon his pale horse rides.
"I hope to be part of a constructive, creative group of conservative writers and thinkers who will help create a New Right."
Blessings to you on that project, but it raises a question in my mind: I expect there to be a lot of finger pointing and blame casting, a great deal of trying to lay the blame of the Republican defeat on some part of the conservative movement -- the neocons, the religious right, and the like -- and a consequent emphasis on ideological purity and a hunt for heretics. All of that would seem to be a countervailing force against any creative and constructive thinking and action. How are you going to deal with that?
And here's something I would be interested in seeing: For this project, who would you refer to for ideas and inspiration? In other words, I want to see a reading list for the New Right.
Maggie:
You can rest assured that the desciption of the right as "a monolithic, intolerant, hate-spewing party" IS a creation of the MSM. The fact that you would even ask that question is evidence that they have done a great job of making people believe this.
I, and most people I know who lean to the right or even far right, are just normal people, believe it or not. Of course there are some who are intolerant and spew hate, just like there are some on the left who demonstrate the same behavior. And many of us (on both sides, I think) can become frustrated and say things that are more radical than we really believe. I could point out many examples of that in my own behavior, and in the behavior of others across the political spectrum, but that doesn't make me part of a monolithic, hate-spewing party any more than it does those who demonstrate the same behavior on the left.
It makes really disappointed and sad that someone who is thougtful enough to read this blog would even have to ask this question. What have I (we) done to deserve being thought of this way?
It doesn't change the fact that I will be disappointed by an Obama victory, but not by a McCain loss. Either of them will reduce our personal liberty, and they both have certainly shown that they believe that anyone who suffers any harm for any reason is a "victim" that needs help from a big brother government. For example-we have bailed out Joe Sixpack, with a tax rebate to spend more, Wall Street, with TARP and nationalization, and now we are back to another government bailout of Main Street. That mindset is what worries me about the future of the country. Barack Obama and a Democratic majority in Congress will hasten the arrival of the socialist, big government state. As it's still a free country, I am allowed to have such an opinion, but I don't think that makes me intolerant or hate spewing. I try to use reasonable arguments and respect that others have differing opinions, and that even if I disagree, they are as entitled to their opinions as I am to mine.
I think the party will drift more in Huckabee's direction -- i.e., still conservative on social issues, more populist/centrist in economic policies, perhaps a slight bit more wary about getting involved overseas, and a little more conciliatory toward political opponents.
Or, the GOP might fall apart completely amidst fratricidal denunciations. After all, much of the party loathed Huckabee.
Just Some Guy, your reading list has to begin with Edmund Burke's Reflections on the French Revolution. Burke is the intellectual godfather of Crunchy Conservatism, and very far removed indeed from media buffoons such as Limbaugh or, worse, Hannity. It's a hard slog, but another useful book is Joseph Schumpeter's "Communism, Socialism and Democracy."
Best of all, of course, is the New Testament ;-)
Acceptance and move on
Whenever I come across claims of media "bias" — and these are abundant from both left and right — I seem to hear a subtext to the effect of ", of course, can see right through this bias to the Truth, but vast numbers of my fellow citizens unfortunately lack my judgment, experience, keen intellect and all-around perspicacity."
As to the future of conservatism in the wake of next month's wreck, I think there is some possibility of the GOP fracturing or contracting (the late Walker Percy in his 1971 novel saw the Republicans morphing into the "Christian Conservative Constitutional Party" — note the catchy acronym). We're already seeing isolated instances of former luminaries being read out of the congregation, and I'll hazard a guess that beginning in November suspicious eyes will turn on GOP public figures who were perceived to have been insufficiently adulatory of the Warrior Princess of Wasilla.
My advice is: go the ideological purity route. Sure the purge will hurt, but you'll feel much, much cleaner and more compact when it's over.
I will definitely blame it on you and the other "must purge the movement of the commoners, impure, and intellectually nonconforming" conservatives that want a "movement" rather than trying to defend the American way of life from a concerted effort of destruction.
if mccain loses, i will be most surprised - and will rightfully blame bush.
Just Some Guy
For this project, who would you refer to for ideas and inspiration? In other words, I want to see a reading list for the New Right.
I don't know what books you should read in order to guide you, but there's a book you should read:
The Wrecking Crew, by Thomas Frank. It explains how conservative voters got duped into voting for people who systematically dismantled the government, by claiming it was the government that was the problem.
Look, conservatives, I understand that idea that the government should provide less services. The problem is that conservative politicians have, for a long time, used that as an excuse to provide less oversight, and to hire more contractors (Which cost more than just doing it ourselves.) and have no oversight over them, and so on and so on, to the point of rendering many parts, even parts everyone agrees should exist, unable to function at all.
You guys really need to sit down and rethink the whole 'Government is the problem' concept. The government is a tool.
Just because you guys think us people on the left have a hammer called government and think every problem is a nail, doesn't mean there aren't some actual nails and we don't need a working hammer.
Well, Rod, I can't possibly agree that McCain is not a good candidate. I supported him in the primaries in 2000, and I am supporting him now. In my opinion, if it were not for the Wall Street mess, McCain would be ahead in the polls and would probably win the election. People are just plain angry. And it's senseless anger. Forgotten are McCain's correct intuitions on the War in Iraq, his attempt to rein in Freddie and Fannie, and on and on. The splash from President Bush is drowning him. Now, I can certainly understand the drift of (most) Democrats and Independents towards Obama, in view of the current economic crisis(though I think they'll ultimately be disappointed in Obama's "Hoover" solutions), but I can't understand the defection of people like you. On just one issue close to my heart, human rights and justice for the preborn, Obama's appointees to the Supreme Court will set back the cause for a generation. I hope you will be happy that you helped contribute to that situation.
As for the future of the Republican Party, I see no one on the horizon capable of leadership other than Huckabee. One thing Republicans must get over is the obsession with cutting taxes. If we cannot regain fiscal responsibility, we're finished. (Both Reagan and Bush contributed to our downfall in this department.) I think our motto, after this upcoming defeat, should be "pay for what you want." Either reduce government spending or increase taxes to pay for it. The credit card mentality is a disease.
Heres another question. What if the GOP falls apart for the forseeable future. What happens to the Dem's coalition if there is no bogeyman? Environmentalists, socialists, labor unions, blacks, feminists, etc, etc, etc... How are they held together when their interests conflict? Who gets thrown under the bus? The only thing holding either side together was fear of the other. What happens when the power elite can't hold their base together?
I agree with poster Maggie. I'ts disheartening to see the conservative/Republican party diminished. It doesn't help the American public discourse re ideas and solving problems in this country.
Jim R: Thank you for your thoughtful reply. I actually WAS a Republican back when the GOP welcomed moderates and even had a "liberal" wing (i.e. Nelson Rockefeller). I'm a 65 yr old grandmother who cast her first vote for Barry Goldwater, but Nixon's "southern strategy" and Watergate soured me. I voted for Reagan in '80, but not in '84, and would have voted for McCain in 2000. What have you (conservatives) done to be thought of so harshly? Well, you elected the likes of Tom DeLay and GWB, and stood by silently when the "agents of intolerance" took over the party. I support the abolition of the Dept of Education and HUD for starters, but I don't know whether I'll ever be able to vote Republican again. Certainly not until you've "cleansed" the party of its very mean far right social conservative fringe.
I didn't leave the Republican party--it left me.
(Crowds of onlookers cheering 'Maggie! Maggie!)
Sorry, Rod, but I'm not going to take the bait on this one. It's far too early to predict who's going to win. Obama is ahead in the polls, but McCain has a track record of coming from behind. Everyone keeps looking to 1980 for an historical analogy and claims that Obama's challenge is the same as Reagan's was that year (reassuring voters that he's no radical). But it's the 1976 election which provides the more apt comparision (when Ford came from 33% behind to close within 2% of Carter on election day). Obama is not the "Democratic Reagan." He's just another Carter -- another inexperienced unknown with vague and impractical promises trying to ride the tiger of discontent.
An Obama victory would be terrible for the country but terrific for the Republican party. The patriot (and orthodox Christian) in me prays for a McCain victory, but the partisan in me could easily perceive political opportunities were the opposite to occur.
An Obama mandate would be a mandate for things he can NOT and will NOT deliver on (like a tax cut for 95% for all Americans). Instead he and the Democrats in Congress will push for things that will forever alienate those moderates and conservatives who cast an Obama vote. What's worse, the tax hikes and trade restrictions the Democrats will put into place will push our country from a recession into a depression. The ensuing pain and misery will bring new life to an old name in American politics: Herbert Hoover.
In the event of an Obama '08 victory, 2012 would be such a sweet year for Republicans, though it would have come after four years of great suffering to the country. That's why I hope for an Obama loss this year.
Will Harrington has made a valid point re the Democratic coalition. Let's also look at this from the GOP perspective. If the Democrats constitute a large majority in Washington, and Republicans become bit players, then the Republican Party apparatus will lose its value as a forum for voicing opposition points of view. In that scenario, the GOP may very well split apart into several different political groupings...The Club for Growth types in one party, pro-life activists in another party, libertarians in another, with the neo-conservatives probably migrating to the Democratic Party and calling themselves foreign policy realists.
If this comes to pass, our politics will have a very different look...an enduring left wing governing majority with no unified voice in opposition. For conservatives (of which I am one), a bleak future.
Maggie, I find your comments interesting, but I'm having a hard time getting a grip on where you're coming from. It sounds as if you're a socially-liberal Libertarian. Am I wrong? Anyhow, it seems to me that your suggestions/wishes would make the Republican Party "an echo, not a choice" (to play with the words of a well-known Republican).
I don't understand how you could vote for Goldwater but seem to miss the wing that included his old enemy, Nelson Rockefeller. The Republican Party was going nowhere under people like Rockefeller.
I also don't understand how you could have voted for Reagan in 1980, because it was his repackaging of the Republican coalition to include the "religious right" (which had been owned by the Democrats, especially under Jimmy Carter, but was disgusted with the Democratic Party's impotence in the face of militant Communism and its drift into abortionism) that made the Republican Party competitive again.
Are you saying that religious conservatives are the "very mean far right social conservative fringe"? Are they your "agents of intolerance"? Why? Is it their opposition to abortion on demand? If so, how are they any more mean and intolerant than, for instance, the Democratic icon Sargent Shriver? Is it their opposition to homosexual marriage? If that's the case, how are they more intolerant that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton?
I don't get this. It seems as if McCain is becoming a whipping boy and scapegoat for disappointed Republicans. His loss will be our loss, and the nation's loss. I'm proud of Joe Lieberman. Unlike so many fair-weather Republicans, he sees the light.
[First, joining Rawlins in crowd cheering "Maggie! Maggie!"]
The Chicago Tribune has endorsed Obama, the first time they have ever, in over 160 years, endorsed a Democratic nominee for president. They say:
"We do, though, think Obama would govern as much more of a pragmatic centrist than many people expect."
I think this is probably true.
They give a list of reasons why they believe this, which I won't quote, but you can read the endorsement here, if you want:
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/chi-chicago-tribune-endorsement,0,3472892,print.story
I like Rod's plan to focus on localism. That's what we should all be doing most of the time anyway, whichever party we prefer.
Joe Lieberman!!!???
Lieberman knows that McCain is about the sole hope for the continuation of the Cheney/Bush/Kristol policies that favor a push into Iran for the sole purpose of punishing Israel's enemies. Invading a country just for saying bad things about Israel is insanity.
The Republican party needs to totally rebuild. Parties dont usually do that while in office. Somehow, the party of fiscal responsibility became the party of borrow and spend. Somehow it became the party that thought it proper and possible to invade other countries and completely reinvent them. The Republican party embraced tactics embraced by the secret police of North Korea. The Republican party has stood by while its chief executive has assumed powers approaching that of a monarchy when dealing with foreign affairs.
I have no idea what a reorganized party would look like. TBH, as long as the party is so influenced by talk radio and Fox, I do not think it will change much. I hope that serious thinkers of the party will hold sway, but after this election I have major doubts.
Steve
It's far too early to predict who's going to win.
Reaganite's right, and as an Obama supporter I really hope that the campaign isn't getting too complacent. Next week he's passing through where I live-- Madison, WI! I mean, it's great to have him and all, but why's he wasting his time here? He's got this place sewn up!
I kind of think there will be a knee-jerk reaction from parts of the right that is going to look like the Arkansas Project all over again--"authors" writing books with the looniest conspiracy theories about Obama etc. However, it seems quite possible to me that this part of the right will be more marginalized in favor of a stronger philosophical realignment. (Why do I say this? Mostly from the thoughtful and provacative writing I see on this blog! :-) )That would be more stimulating and most welcome. I really don't want to relive the Clinton years.
The patriot (and orthodox Christian) in me prays for a McCain victory
Are you saying that those of us who support Obama aren't patriots?
Because that's what frankly made Team Bush into such a bunch of jerks in the first place (well that, and a thousand additional reasons).
If you are saying that...then there is no hope that this country can pull together and I believe where 20 years at most from a civil war.
If you aren't saying that, well, carry on.
He said he enjoys the business but if this Act passes, he plans to close the company, as it would just not be worth the hassle to keep going.
Man, I Republicans were supposed to be smart about business.
I keep hearing these scare stories...I mean anecdotes...from small business owners threatening to shut down their profitable businesses when Obama is elected.
If they really don't want to deal with higher taxes or increased regulations, have they ever considered selling their businesses?. Heck, I'd gladly serve as a business broker for your friend looking to sell his 50 employee trucking company, for a modest commission. I'm sure there are lots of folks who would love to buy it...even if taxes bump up a bit on their profits over $250k and they have to buy health care for employees and fill out a few extra forms.
In any case, don't worry about the employees. They'll be fine. If your friend has work to be done and needy customers, someone will step in to serve them...and they'll need your friend's employees.
In any case, don't worry about the employees. If your friend shuts down, there's no lack of enterprising Americans
The problem is that conservative politicians have, for a long time, used that as an excuse to provide less oversight, and to hire more contractors
Agreed. I used to be a government contractor in 1999. I was getting paid 40k. I found out my company was charging the government twice that for my services. Government workers were replaced by more expensive contractors and politicians got to claim that they reduced the size of the government workforce.
Jim, your following comment leaves me speechless: "Lieberman knows that McCain is about the sole hope for the continuation of the Cheney/Bush/Kristol policies that favor a push into Iran for the sole purpose of punishing Israel's enemies. Invading a country just for saying bad things about Israel is insanity."
First, I don't know anyone (including Cheney, Bush, or Kristol)who favors pushing into Iran--except as an absolute, desperate last resort. Our military is just too over-extended, and everyone knows it. The reduction of forces in the 1990s makes it impossible unless, I guess, we just marched out of Iraq into Iran.
Second, an Iran with nuclear weapons is feared by countries such as Saudi Arabia and Egypt, not just Israel. Achmadinajad's Shiite apocalypticism is a threat to the entire world. Comparing him to Hitler is not fanatical.
Third, the Islamic regime has almost destroyed Lebanon through it's proxy, Hezbollah, and has led to the death of many of our soldiers in Iraq due to its support of insurgents there.
What are your beliefs about Israel? I haven't heard comments like yours out of anyone except people who have a visceral dislike of that country.
"The patriot (and orthodox Christian) in me prays for a McCain victory
Are you saying that those of us who support Obama aren't patriots?"
This is a very common statement made by right wing zealots. The clear implication is that if you are not Republican, you are not patriotic. They just know that Obama is a crypto-Marxist/socialist. These kind of people get their information from very limited and approved sources. They generally are not well informed about history (see the constant comparisons between Truman, Reagan and Palin). A civil war? Hope not. Throughout our history the side which has governed incompetently and been voted out has accepted the results.
Steve
Pakeha: Thank you for your thoughtful post. Your characterization of me as a socially liberal Libertarian might be about right. I voted for Goldwater because I was an ignorant (sorry) 21 years old and had grown up in Indiana, where all things are Republican (well, were). I voted for Reagan because I was busy with other things and he was charming and non-threatening--kind of like Bush in 2000, the guy you'd like to have a beer with.
I really started paying attention when I was around 50, and my views have been largely formed by reading-history-for-fun and 35 years of working as a RN, caring for all strata of our society. I never met a welfare queen driving a Cadillac, but I met a lot of hard working men and women--black and white--who were beaten down by multiple adversities, some of which were of their own making, but more often, they weren't.
By agents of intolerance I mean Jerry Falwell, John Hagee, James Dobson, and their ilk. I don't advocate gay marriage, and I think abortion is a tragedy--but I abhor intolerance of any stripe, and I resent anyone telling me I'm going to hell because I haven't been "saved". C'mon, live and let live, and don't demand that our beloved Constitution enshrine religiously-driven ideology. Just as much, though, what completely turned me off has been the conservative spokesmen who positively demonized Democrats as the anti-Christ, and illegitimate governors when in office. Ann Coulter comes to mind, along with Tom DeLay and Grover Norquist, among many others. I don't want to re-live the Clinton years, either, Dianne, and Sarah Palin's crowds cause me to fear that if Obama wins, we will.
Let's all of us just get along, okay? Life is hard enough without demonizing each other. I would like to see a forum in which thoughtful and sincere citizens of all stripes--left/center, right/center, Libertarians, could talk together. If we don't reach out to each other and listen, really listen, and COMPROMISE now and then, I'm very afraid Scott R. may not be too far off the mark. I've returned to Indiana to be with my very Republican family in my (ha ha) golden years, and I'm sorry to say that I see that racism is alive and well in the Hoosier state.
Peace be with you.
Senator McCain will not lose.
Expect either a major terrorist (sic) incident or the assassination of Senator Obama in the final week of the campaign.
The Neoconservatives and Conservative power elite will not turn over D.C. to anyone but their own at this point and time.
Either, sadly, will be our October surprise.
.
6 lines of text that convince me that the right will have a choice between a Carthegenian Peace and civil war.
In answer to Rod's question "What will the right do if McCain loses?", perhaps the best
answer is to do little and wait things out. Republicans in Congress (if there are any
left) should hunker down, spend a lot of time performing constituent services, do
whatever it takes to ensure their own re-election prospects, deliver an occasional speech
decrying the direction of the country, but above all provide no votes for the passage of
Obama's program. It is important that there be clear responsibility for the consequences
of the Obama agenda. Obama has asserted that he will assemble a governing coalition that
includes some Republicans. Let's not be co-opted. Let this be a Democratic show from
start to finish.
It is important to remain absolutely civil during this time. We should police ourselves
and not allow the type of hate that permeated left-wing blogs (Bush Derangement Syndrome)
to morph into Obama Derangement Syndrome on the right.
The redefinition of the conservative message will take time to formulate and should be
done as far away from the MSM as possible. They are no friends of ours. They will do
everything they can to undermine us.
In my view, conservatives should re-assert our claim of fiscal responsibility. In this
respect, let our actions speak for our values. Oppose earmarks. Oppose increases in
federal budgets. Oppose bailouts. Oppose ethanol subsidies. Do this repeatedly, vote
after vote, session after session, year after year. If our approach is cast as
rejectionism, that is fine by me. Rejectionism suits us well.
The last eight years represent a lost opportunity. It is entirely possible that
conservatives will not have the opportunity to govern again in my lifetime. If that be
true, it will be regrettable, but it is still important to fly our colors proudly and
stand for the right things.
Damn Cynical: You are what drove me, and many like me, out of the Republican party.
Mr Harrington, 'How will the Demos hold together?' -- an early indication might possibly be seen in solidly Democratic California. Proposition 8 on the ballot this November, if passed, would ban gay marriage. Now, you have the culturally liberal Democrats against the culturally less liberal Democrat Hispanics and others. What if the latter defeat the former?
Maggie,
DamnCynical sounds like a leftist conspiracy theorist, not a conservative or Republican.
Maggie,
I would agree with Steve above that DamnCynical sounds like a leftists conspiracy theorist however it is not perfectly clear from his/her post.
But there were posts before on this blog regarding a terrorist act which might happen and bring the victory to McCain and these posts were from McCain supporters. If God forbid something happens to Obama, McCain will make a passionate speach denouncing that terrible act, Palin would not be even able to hide her happiness. But the reality is that they would be the enablers. And everybody who stayed silent while crowds was calling Obama the terrorist aslo would be enablers.
Bush won in 2004 because he incited the worst human feelings like fear and hate. What McCain does is much worse. Bush was saing that the terrorists are out there. McCain and Palin are implying that we may elect the President who himself is a terrorist. And McCain is talkig about uniting the country...
Maggie, I have had the opportunity through work in a service industry to see many people who were suffering hard times. I used to be in a career where I got into lots of peoples homes every day, and one thing I noticed was there were a lot of folks within blocks of the church I attended who had a lot if issues.
I have also served on city council and school board, and saw how hard it is to remember you are spending someone's hard-earned dollars every time you approve a purchase or contract. I think this experience has made me very sensitive to some of the more ridiculous examples of waste in Washington.
It's crucial to the future of the Republican party that we find leaders who are concious of the fact that when they spend money, it's money that I have to work hard to earn. They have to be smart about it. That's a driving part of the liberty discussion I started earlier. We need leaders, whatever party they are from, who realize that government SHOULD NOT try and relieve any or all suffering. The government CANNOT accomplish this, and by trying will only bankrupt us. It also leads to the kind of class warfare that is destructive, as more and more people look to the government for relief. We need to di what we can for those who need it most. I am more than willing to support realistic help, but we cannot be all things to all people.
One example: I hear a lot of people using the present market downturn as a reason why privatization of Social Security is not safe, too risky for us. As a baby boomer, I always ask whether these people think my benefit is more secure since it is held by the government, as part of a national debt of more than $10 trillion. Where is the money going to come from when I retire to pay that back?
We need some grown ups who exhibit common sense. The only way we will get them is if voters decide to elect them. I would love to hear someone tell me why I should be hopeful this may happen.
I would love to see a movement that embraces both social conservatism and economic populism. But I suspect an Obama presidency will cement the relationship between (what passes in the popular mind for) economic populism and elitist social liberalism.
"Redefining conservatism in the aftermath of an Obama victory will be long and arduous, and will ultimately not lead to electoral success."
Conservatism doesn't need redefining, it needs implementing.
As I've said before, McCain is not a conservative, and none of the Bushes are.
"One thing Republicans must get over is the obsession with cutting taxes. If we cannot regain fiscal responsibility, we're finished."
I agree. I also think they need to seem less nativistic. The "illegal immigration" thing is valid in some ways, but the way some of their punditts come-off I get the feeling many of them don't much want Mexicans coming here legally either. This is not a smart move as the native-born Mexican population is also likely to rise.
Something weird happens when conservatives go to DC. The air there is poisonous to our beliefs, so the people we send there generally turn bad. We have no business being where the power is. Conservatism and big government don't mix, that's all there is to it. This need not mean capitulation and accepting helot status from the victorious left. By mass self-deportation to more congenial regions of the country, we can turn the red states redder and redder, until entire regions of the US become no-go areas to a government run by people we don't like and never will. I'll miss the East Coast but maybe there will be mountains in our Waziristan.
Presumably the Buckleys, Brooks, etc will prefer to stay put and be court jesters.
Scott R. and Steve,
You criticized me for saying: "The patriot (and orthodox Christian) in me prays for a McCain victory, but the partisan in me could easily perceive political opportunities were the opposite to occur."
Too bad you misunderstand patriotism, which for me is not jingoism or exclusionist. It is simply about love of one's fellow countrymen and a regard for their welfare. My point was that the partisan in me could see the opportunities (for Republicans) in an Obama victory, but the part of me who cares solely for his country and our people would prefer a McCain victory. I sincerely believe that a McCain victory will result in less economic suffering in this country and fewer deaths on foreign battlefields than would an Obama victory.
You two were looking for something in my statement that is not there.
Since my above post, I've been reconsidering my aversion to and impatience with conservative heretic hunting. I think I've romanticized the early years of the conservative movement and its high caliber of thinkers -- Russell Kirk, Harry Jaffa, Frank Meyer, Richard Weaver, Bill Buckley, and on and on. Then I remembered that very few of these people got along and were often trying to drum each other out of the movement. So maybe things have always been this way, and maybe that's the route back to a thoughtful conservatism, though I still can't say I have a taste for it.
"I sincerely believe that a McCain victory will result in less economic suffering in this country and fewer deaths on foreign battlefields than would an Obama victory."
Voting is a patriotic act. Everyone should vote. Your sincere belief is partisan, not patriotic. There are patriotic people who believe the exact opposite of what you believe. Of recent note, that would include Colin Powell. This appropriation of the term patriotic for partisan voting preferences is almost entirely a far right wing phenomenon as far as I can tell. This country has survived liberal and conservative governments. It will survive and prosper in the future. People who attempt to appropriate patriotism for their cause will, and should, be left out of our future discourse.
Steve
Steve,
You clearly misunderstand patriotism. I assume that everyone who votes with the welfare of the country SOLELY in mind is voting with patriotic intent. That would include both McCain and Obama (and Nader and Barr) supporters for whom the nation's welfare is their SOLE criteria. My original point (which you have ignored in both of your comments) was to distinguish between the determination of partisan gain from an electoral outcome and placing patriotic concerns before all other concerns in shaping an electoral outcome.
I don't know, Rod. I don't mean to hijack a thread, I just want to calm the fears.
I may have drunk the KoolAid, but I really don't see Obama as the most serious threat to the causes you care about. I see him as actually a pretty soft landing for the crash of the current GOP. I really don't agree with this idea that he is the most radical left-wing politician to run for office.
I'll go out on a limb to say that I believe (and I could be wrong, and if so I will apologize profusely) he is the best hope for reigning in the pent-up rage of Democratic congress. I suspect that in his first week in office, he will pay personal visits to Reid, Pelosi, Conyers, Waxman, and any other Democratic senator or congress person salivating at the thought of payback, and say "Just chill. We need to stability, not retribution".
He's the best hope for marginalization of the strident cultural left.
Steve: "Voting is a patriotic act. Everyone should vote."
The first statement is correct. The second statement is not.
Purposefully not voting is a patriotic act if one views the ballot alternatives as equally dreadful and one does not wish to gave any of them an endorsement.
I am Your Name
Conservatism doesn't need redefining, it needs implementing.
As I've said before, McCain is not a conservative, and none of the Bushes are.
Have you guys ever considered teaming up with the communists? You can have drinks with them and moan about how, every time your perfect manner of government has been attempted, some jerks hijacked it, but this time you've found the right guy for the job. You can even rage against the, ha, 'liberal fascists'.
If a system of government cannot be implemented, and when implemented goes horrible wrong and destroys economies and lives, it does not matter how well it would work if actually implemented correctly.
Political ideologies are judged by the system of government they actually create, and yours, I must say, sucks. There are plenty of well-meaning conservatives, who truly think that the failure of conservativism is due to it not actually ever happening, but none of them actually go to the next step and think 'Why can't we implement this ideology? Is it, in fact, even possible to implement it as we imagine it? And what exactly are we imagining, anyway?'.
Seriously. You only get forty years of trying before someone else gets a turn. Stop whining about how your system is perfect if you could get it running, and start looking at the reasons it fails to start running, and fix that, and then hope the American people are ready to give a system called 'conservative' another try.
Steve: "Voting is a patriotic act"
Doesn't that depend on the motive of the voter?
If a person votes out of selfish intent, is that patriotic? If someone votes out of greed or to "get one of my own kind" into office, is that patriotic?
Exactly. Voting for any particular candidate is a partisan choice. The person voting for your opponent is no less patriotic and no more.
"patriotism
One entry found.
Main Entry:
pa·tri·ot·ism
Pronunciation:
\ˈpā-trē-ə-ˌti-zəm, chiefly British ˈpa-\
Function:
noun
Date:
circa 1726
: love for or devotion to one's country
Voting for a particular party or candidate is in support of that candidate's views of how they wish to shape the country. A true patriot is devoted to their country and not a particular ideology IMO. The act of voting (usually, though it can be done insincerely) conveys some level of caring and devotion to the future of one's country. This defining of right wing ideology as patriotic, implying that left wing ideology is not, is vile. It is filth peddled by the radio blowhards and hacks. Actually, I do not express this very well. Go listen to Colin Powell's interview. I am sure he will also now be branded as unpatriotic.
Steve
Steve: "Actually, I do not express this very well. Go listen to Colin Powell's interview. I am sure he will also now be branded as unpatriotic."
No one here has "branded" Colin Powell as unpatriotic. Why even raise this strawman? As for not expressing yourself well, perhaps you're being a bit hard on yourself. As far as I'm concerned, you're doing a good job of expressing yourself. It's your ideas that are problematical.
If patriotism is, to use the definition you supplied, "love for or devotion to one's country," then patriotism would be something that can be measured in gradations. Using the definition you supplied, it is NOT something binary as in pass/fail, solvent/bankrupt, black/white or patriotic/unpatriotic. In this sense, one make judgements about some act or another (including a particular voting choice) as being more patriotic or less patriotic.
After all, was it not Joe Biden who recently applied this use of the word "patriotism" in describing the willingness of citizens to be taxed?
If anyone in this campaign has questioned anyone's patriotism, it has been Joe Biden who has questioned the patriotism of voters reluctant to part with their money to fund government boondoggles and inefficiency and questionable programs and groups (including ACORN).
Give it a rest: any major party candidate is a patriot, and those of us who actually vote are patriotic citizens, regardless of party.
I expect maryQ is right, and we're all going to be lucky that obama isn't a far left ideologue. He has a first class intellect and knows this is a conservative country, and he will govern more centrist than far left. He will rein in Congress and work in a bipartisan manner.
I fully expect him to choose Colin Powell as his SecDef, and possibly Republican Senator Richard Lugar as Sec of State, as the two of them have worked closely together in the Senate on foreign affairs. (Lugar was the highly regarded Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations committee when the Republicans were in power all these years, and is a moderate.) Obama will pick the best people for the job, and do what is best for the country.
IF he wins. We can't forget that Dems have a deeply ingrained habit of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, and I still question whether he can win due to the better-hidden, but still rampant, racism in the USA.
Obama will never become president.
The Neocons already have Yigal Amir warming up in the bullpen.
Sad, but true.
Obama will never become president.
I hope you're right.
I've been telling both Obama and McCain supporters that Obama, if elected, will more closely resemble Eisenhower than some fantasy leftist in leadership style and policy priorities. (Interestingly, the Obama supporters are the most resistant to the idea.)
For those of you too young to remember, Eisenhower's signal domestic accomplishments were the last major infrastructure initiative, the interstate highway system; greater emphasis on education, mainly scientific in response to the Soviets' launch of Sputnik; and marginalizing the extremist Joe McCarthy wing of the GOP. On foreign and security policy, Ike got us out of a quagmire war, which Korea had become by 1952, and promoted containment and alliance-building over military adventurism. Obama's stated goals and probable strategies are quite similar.
Conservatives of the time were highly dissatisfied. The John Birch Society went so far as to characterize Eisenhower as a tool of the communists.
Leftists of this time will be almost as dissatisfied with Obama, who will govern as a realist. He will have no choice. (Neither would McCain.) The condition of the federal budget and the economy as a whole preclude far-reaching and expensive domestic policy initiatives. State-run single-payer healthcare will not happen. Widespread tax cuts will not happen. More troubling, the military will not be rebuilt and upgraded as quickly as we may need it to be. The money simply isn't there.
So, I doubt that conservativism will have an easy time rallying its disparate components in simple opposition to Obama, or even to congressional Democrats. Most of the new members that produced a majority in 2006, and most of those who will enlarge that majority this year, are populist and/or technocratic centrists, not hard-leftists. There are big differences between the Russ Feingolds and Bernie Sanderses and the Jon Testers and Mark Warners.
The surviving Republican congressional rump will be populated overwhelmingly by hard-rightists -- hopefully not as far gone as Maria Bachmann, the Minnesota congresswoman who recently demanded wholesale investigation of congressional liberals as "anti-American," but still highly unlikely to join coalitions to moderate legislation. In the near future, the congressional GOP's role will be pure opposition, similar to the role played by the McGovernite Democratic rump during the early Reagan years and the period in which Clinton compromised with the GOP on welfare reform and NAFTA.
So, any constructive new conservatism is going to have to develop at the state and local level, where ideological purity inevitably gives way to realism on policy and the strictures of keeping budgets in balance. It's going to be a long rebuilding process -- there are no more than two or three Republican governors of any distinction at present -- and it won't be helped by the Texas-style gerrymandering of state legislative districts, which has loaded so many GOP statehouse caucuses with hard-right ideologues and purged moderates over the past 10 years.
The Republican Party will not regain majority status until it moves closer to the center. Cosmetic "Sam's Club" populist gestures masking hard-right core policies won't cut it, because the GOP will be facing too many genuinely centrist incumbent Democrats.
Bottom line: Liberals will not get their fantasy leftist in Obama. Conservatives need to get over visions of a fantasy rightist a la Palin. As always, the party that holds the center wins.
I am intrigued by the fear-tinged defeatist thinking that goes into imagining an Obama win.
I am a democrat. I am an Obama supporter, although it took me awhile to get there. When my democrat friends and I get together and talk about an Obama win (which we see as pretty likely at this point, but not in the bag) we say things like:
1) Well, it's nice that people are voting for him, but it would be even nicer if they were doing so because of realistic, rational thinking, rather than simply panic about the economy.
2) Clearly Obama won't be able to do even 1/4 of the things he wants to do, and now, with the economy, he probably won't be able to do any of them. In fact, it would be AMAZING to hear him admit that now. THAT would be a real change.
3) Poor schlub. Whoever gets stuck with this economy will be blamed for it, even though he didn't create it. In fact, by the time the Republican war machine is through with him, most of the country will believe it was Obama's fault.
4) Republican majority at mid-term election. Clear Republican win in 2012.
To hear how many people on the right think that he will somehow set up a permanent and undefeatable regime that will splinter the Republicans into itty pieces is weird. It reminds me of how much of partisan politics is -- counter-intuitively -- driven by our conviction that the OTHER party is just moments away from eating OUR party alive, smashing our most dearly held hopes about the nation into dust.
I see a future for a libertarian / conservative hybrid but the damage done to the term "conservative" by President Bush is at least on par with the damage done to the term "liberal" by President Carter and Gov. Dukakis.
Ironically if a President Obama really does reverse some of the odious domestic spying policies of the Bush administration and roll back the power of the imperial presidency (and that's all a big "if") he may, at least in this regard, be more of a conservative than his predecessor.
Can one be patriotic and vote for a Democrat? Can one be patriotic and vote for Obama?
Steve
Given the economic crisis that is looming, Mr. Obama better get over being Eisenhower pretty quickly and get in touch with his inner FDR. We're going to need some hard-core Keynesianism over the next four-to-eight years--and a massive rollback of this privatization/deregulation stupidity that begat this economic mess in the first place.
Reaganite - No one here, maybe. But hie thee over to Michelle Malkin's site and take a gander.
Correction: The Minnesota nutjob congresswoman is Michele Bachmann. Not that I'd accuse her of being French...
I'm afraid the "Bush stole the election" nonsense we saw from large segments of the left in 2004 will find its match with what we will see from the right after this election. The pump is being primed with the ACORN stories, just as in 2004 their pump was primed with the vacuous stories of 'voter purges' and crooked Diebold machines.
Steve:
Yes.
Cheers!
"just as it did in some precincts of the left during the Bush years"
And did with even more niches and greater vigor on the right during the Clinton years. The extremes always have this problem, but it's especially strong on the right.
But what if an Obama presidency isn't a disaster? What if it actually delivers on a healthy assortment of its promises, in ways that better most if not all Americans? Any thoughts, Rod, at this stage of the game?
Your post is so welcome and refreshing. I'm on the left, and I believe that over the next four years both parties are going to come closer to the center - at least in terms of being more willing to accept the other side's point of view. I only worry that those on the extremes of each side have a good chance of derailing that process.
Let's fix the mistakes in our past, and move on. :-)
There's a logical fallacy in here, namely the "act locally no matter who wins," and this ellided sense of doom, as if Obama winning will cause that awful situation. Problem is, it's the Republican philosophy that has led the country to this point (yes, Democrats bought in, but Republicans led the charge for the past 3 decades).
You know, I'm with the Former Republican. What if Obama does what he said he'd do?! I happen to think the Republicans have lost the right to govern for about, oh, I don't know, the next generation or so. Until then, enjoy your Malkins and Limbaughs. Fight the good fight within the party, otherwise the fight will be lost.
Rod, "hysterical spite...in some precincts of the left during the Bush years." Wellll, the president did sell the public a lie, started a war that cost us a trillion and forever destroyed tens-of-thousands of lives. If the left was hysterical and/or spiteful toward Bush, perhaps they had good reason and even moreso a perfect role model for selective outrage, namely, the way the GOP lost the plot in the 1990s by telling the American tax-payer that Monica Lewinsky was the most pressing issue of the age. Where did that get us?
Thank you. Andrew Sullivan linked to this piece and I was so pleased he did. For the good of the country and everyone's peace of mind, I sincerely hope many in the GOP heed your very thoughtful advice
As an independent, I'm hoping that the present Republican party is completely destroyed this year. Then from the ashes, rebuilds itself with people like you -- wiser, more good-hearted, more focused on the things it used to value, like knowledge and justice. I cringe when I hear this word used, but lately I've just seen too much pure evil emanating from Republicans.
This country needs two strong parties to function well, as we know, so please hurry. But start by correcting the too-true quip I heard on the Daily Show: "Republicans love their country; they just hate half the people living in it."
My wish is that if an Obama victory occurs(and I hope that it doesn't) will be for conservatives of all stripes to come together and finally get the resolve to defeat the New Left once and for all. One of the great attributes that conservatism has stems from the fact that it's not monolithic like the New Left and that many different opinions are welcomed within the movement. If conservatism ever strives to be a governing philosophy again, it must be proactive not reactionary.
Republicans have brought this on themselves. Think about this for a second. You have created the conditions that have allowed for the election of a Black man President at least a generation ahead of time. Thanks by the way. Had not Bush so irresponsibly run this country, and had not the Republican Party so hatefully attacked Clinton, had you not played the game of exploiting our differences, had not voter suppression become a primary election tool for you, then you would not be finding yourselves in this wilderness. MC makes the point well. Republicans have forfeited the right to govern.
Americans are extremely pissed at what the Republicans have done to this nation. That's why we have chosen to buy the Presidency for Obama. We The People bought this election. The government will very soon be ours again.
You need to get rid of your hate filled losers like Limbaugh, Palin, Bachmann, Giuliani etc. There's a bunch of wannabe fascists that need to go. Until you clean house, we aren't going to give you another shot. Oh, and one more thing. No more nominating morons for President or Vice President. That foolishness will no longer be tolerated.
Republicans have brought this on themselves. Think about this for a second. You have created the conditions that have allowed for the election of a Black man President at least a generation ahead of time. Thanks by the way. Had not Bush so irresponsibly run this country, and had not the Republican Party so hatefully attacked Clinton, had you not played the game of exploiting our differences, had not voter suppression become a primary election tool for you, then you would not be finding yourselves in this wilderness. MC makes the point well. Republicans have forfeited the right to govern.
Americans are extremely pissed at what the Republicans have done to this nation. That's why we have chosen to buy the Presidency for Obama. We The People bought this election. The government will very soon be ours again.
You need to get rid of your hate filled losers like Limbaugh, Palin, Bachmann, Giuliani etc. There's a bunch of wannabe fascists that need to go. Until you clean house, we aren't going to give you another shot. Oh, and one more thing. No more nominating morons for President or Vice President. That foolishness will no longer be tolerated.
The thing is, had the GOP been listening to its opponents for the last few years when we BEGGED you to stop Bush, you wouldn't be in this position. Instead, full of hubris, you went all tribal and closed ranks. Big, big mistake.
Now, many sensible folks in both parties may have some advice on how to get beyond this point in your party's history but, frankly, I'm not sure you deserve any advice... yet. The party of personal responsibility needs to take some time to reflect on party responsibility.
I will make one suggestion, though. There's a Frontline special profiling both Obama and McCain. I suggest you watch it. It points out Obama's willingness, indeed eagerness, to reach out to the other side and hear their ideas. He has demonstrated in his work at the local level a sincere willingness to try to find common ground. That's not a sentiment that only he shares. Don't give up on working with him before you even try.
And one other suggestion. Tell your "leaders" who have tried to hard to make "liberal" a dirty word to put a proverbial sock in it.
To Scott:
You have created the conditions that have allowed for the election of a Black man President at least a generation ahead of time.
Direct quote.
At what point, Scott, would it be "time" for a "Black man" President?
Who gets to make the decision when it is "time"? There have been 43 Presidents. 100% of them have been white men. Can you tell us how many more white men should be President before it is "time" for a President who is not a white man?
How can you not be ashamed of yourself for writing that sentence? Or are you simply being "misread" as Michele Bachmann supposedly was?
Scott is saying that many of the people voting for Obama harbor racial animus, that sans the current military and financial crises, would lead them to vote against the black candidate.
On the racism front, things have slowly been changing for the better in our nation. Many of us figured that in 50 years or so, racial prejudice would have reduced enough to allow a non-white to run successfully for president.
BUT, Bush has screwed us so royally that a significant portion of the electorate is actually voting on their perceived interests as opposed to their prejudices. That's why a Wright, Ayers or any nativist/fearmongering attack has floundered this year.
Bottom line: without Bush, there could be no Obama.
Every President ends up being hated at some point. In four years the country will probably have turned on Obama and the GOP can run Jindal and win. All of this apocalyptic talk is overreaction to current events.
To William:
I live a fact based world. Maybe its a liberal thing. You conservatives should give it a try. You would be surprised how well it works.
I stated a simple conclusion based on observation of the way the generations are voting this time around. Under 30's heavily favor Obama, I think because they see his talent and not his skin color. Over 60's up until the economy melted down heavily favored McCain, I think because they see his skin color and were willing to gamble on the erratic McCain, up until they decided they could no longer afford their racism. Were it not for way the Republicans having f**ked this country, racism would have won this race for McCain. Hence my observation.
The obvious corollary is that the next Black candidate will have a lot less racism to combat because many of the racists will be dead, may they RIP. Thus, the Republicans have created conditions that enabled a Black man to be elected in part by racists because of his considerable merits. Their racism suspended by their fear of being mauled yet again by Republican fools.
Scott: thank you for your clarification, but I think you could have worded your original post differently. The conclusion I drew was a logical one.
Btw, when you say "you conservatives," I must do my Tonto line: what you mean "we," paleface? This is going to be the 10th presidential election I have voted in, and not once has the lever I pulled had an "R" next to the candidate's name.
Hey Will,
Please accept my humble apologizes. Nothing is a greater breach of etiquette than accusing a fellow liberal of being a conservative ;-). I hope you can forgive me. From your original critique it was not entirely clear from which direction your comment came. It will be nice to vote on the winning side for a change.
Scott,
no need to apologize, bro.
Interesting, btw, that we meet here at the Crunchy Con.
I'm actually going to vote for my Republican Congressman (Chris Shays, CT 4th) because I think the loyal opposition needs more people like Chris Shays (and Rod Dreher, should he ever be a candidate for public office). But I'm so looking forward to seeing the words "president-elect Barack Obama" in the paper on 11/5.
I’m not going to lie to you: I think we’re a deeply divided country. As long as people, with no sense of irony, write absolute dogma such as, “The Democrats always do this,” or “The Republicans only say that,” we’re in a lot of trouble. Thanks Crunchy Con, for the only right-leaning viewpoint that hasn't involved hate in the last 9 months. I'm almost proud to be an American. There's no irony intended there.
If elected, Obama will destoy this country, force christian women to have abortions, and require eveyone to read the koran.
Pres Bush needs to step in and have Obama placed under arrest- he should then appoint McCain/Palin as winners, although I wish Palin were the one runing for president.
If elected, Obama will strengthen our nation's schools so that the children of Ted Pratt, if he has any, will know how to spell words like "destroy," "everyone," and "running," words that the average 5th grader knows how to spell.
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