Crunchy Con

When Twelve Tribes go to war

Thursday October 2, 2008

(Big shout out to the Eighties with that subject line!) Beliefnet has up a fascinating political analysis of the "Twelve Tribes" on the American religious landscape, and how they're behaving this election season. (The "Twelve Tribes" concept comes as a...
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Comments
Anonymous
October 2, 2008 9:12 AM

but if you do, make sure you can explain yourself in the next life to the babies who died from abortion.

Baby in next life: Welcome to heaven.

Pro-choice candidate voter: How are you doing?

Baby in next life: Wonderful! We are in the presence of the Lord!

Joel
October 2, 2008 9:40 AM

I am anti-abortion, I am voting for Obama, and I will cheerfully explain myself in the next life thusly:

There's not a d***ed thing the President can do to stop abortion. Nothing. Zilch. Nada. If the President appoints conservatives to SCOTUS and Roe is struck down, abortion will not stop. No, the question of abortion will merely revert to the states, and within days of the fall of Roe the legislatures of 47 or 48 states will move decisively to legalize abortion in their own jurisdictions. The exceptions will be Alabama (maybe), Mississippi (maybe), and Utah (definitely).

Less than a week after the Utah ban is announced a real estate developer in the small town of West Wendover, NV (Utah state line, closest out-of-state point to Salt Lake City) will announce the construction of an abortion clinic in town. It will do a thriving business, and after several years of ridiculous profits that developer will send a Thank-You note to the Utah legislature.

John E. - Agn Stoic
October 2, 2008 9:42 AM

Look, if you are going to use that sort of sentimental twaddle as an argument, why not take it to the logical conclusion:

Pro - choice voter: Um, about that vote of mine...

Baby in next life: Don't worry about it! My Earthly life ended before I reached the age of accountability, so I went straight to Heaven.

Frog Leg
October 2, 2008 10:05 AM

Two questions Rod.

1) Are you aware that the abortion rate during the Clinton presidency declined at virtually the same rate as it had before and after?
http://www.guttmacher.org/presentations/trends.pdf

2) What do you think of Doug Kmiec's defense of his support for Obama?

Reaganite in NYC
October 2, 2008 10:10 AM

Rod: "But I do think having McCain in the White House significantly increases the chances of war."

Rod, a lot of folks who comment here believe that contention but I don't see any convincing evidence for it. Yes, McCain made a goofy song parody (lasting all of 5 seconds) back in the winter involving an aerial exercise over Iran ... but, aside from this anecdotal evidence what else? Reagan did something similar in 1983 (while getting ready to broadcast an Oval Office address), but his mocking comment then about military action against the old USSR certainly did not reflect his real views or his actions as President.

Much has been made by Obama about his 2002 speech opposing the action against Iraq, but he later backpedaled from that (in 2003 and 2004). And if you actually read the speech, Obama makes clear that he's no pacifist and he's not opposed to war in general. He's just opposed to what he called in the speech "dumb wars."

During the series of Democratic Presidential debates, Obama promised to go "back into Iraq" if Al-Qaeda regrouped there following a precipitous US withdrawal (Of course, the GOP candidates were all quick to point out that Al-Qaeda was already there.) And we're all aware of Obama's repeated promises to go into Pakistan (without notifying the government there) if he thought it might result in the capture of OBL. Gee, imagine how that action -- taken against an authentic Islamic state (unlike the secular Arab state that Iraq was under Hussein) -- would stir up the hornet's nest in that part of the country? Hmmm, can't see how that would promote peace.

When it comes to war and peace, McCain/Obama represent an historically classic contrast between those Presidents who have seen combat and those who haven't. McCain would be the first retired military officer since Dwight Eisenhower to take office. Eisenhower never took us to war and was strongly criticized by conservatives in his own GOP for his many overtures to the Soviet dictator Kruschev. Indeed, it was Eisenhower who warned against the military-industrial complex in his Presidential farewell address. It is individuals who have known the stench of war that are viscerally opposed to the stupidity of it. How could McCain (who has two sons in the military) or Palin (who has a son in the military) send our men and women in uniform needlessly into harm's way? It doesn't add up.

Obama, on the other hand, would be the latest in a long line of recent Presidents who never saw combat and yet took this country to wars that many saw as unneccesary at the time (Woodrow Wilson, FDR and "W" come to mind). When war is nothing more to you than a drawing room excercise, the pushing of markers on a map, it can be difficult to face down the military advisers who urge you to take this or that course of action. Especially when you don't know anything about the military or military service.

There may be good reasons (in the minds of some) to vote for Obama over McCain. The avoidance of war is not one of them.

rombald
October 2, 2008 10:12 AM

Speaking as a non-Christian prolifer, this kind of argument always confuses me. Wouldn't the conversation run thusly:

Baby: Thanks for saving from the possibility of hell. Welcome to heaven!

Reaganite in NYC
October 2, 2008 10:12 AM

Rod: "But I do think having McCain in the White House significantly increases the chances of war."

Rod, a lot of folks who comment here believe that contention but I don't see any convincing evidence for it. Yes, McCain made a goofy song parody (lasting all of 5 seconds) back in the winter involving an aerial exercise over Iran ... but, aside from this anecdotal evidence what else? Reagan did something similar in 1983 (while getting ready to broadcast an Oval Office address), but his mocking comment then about military action against the old USSR certainly did not reflect his real views or his actions as President.

Much has been made by Obama about his 2002 speech opposing the action against Iraq, but he later backpedaled from that (in 2003 and 2004). And if you actually read the speech, Obama makes clear that he's no pacifist and he's not opposed to war in general. He's just opposed to what he called in the speech "dumb wars."

During the series of Democratic Presidential debates, Obama promised to go "back into Iraq" if Al-Qaeda regrouped there following a precipitous US withdrawal (Of course, the GOP candidates were all quick to point out that Al-Qaeda was already there.) And we're all aware of Obama's repeated promises to go into Pakistan (without notifying the government there) if he thought it might result in the capture of OBL. Gee, imagine how that action -- taken against an authentic Islamic state (unlike the secular Arab state that Iraq was under Hussein) -- would stir up the hornet's nest in that part of the country? Hmmm, can't see how that would promote peace.

When it comes to war and peace, McCain/Obama represent an historically classic contrast between those Presidents who have seen combat and those who haven't. McCain would be the first retired military officer since Dwight Eisenhower to take office. Eisenhower never took us to war and was strongly criticized by conservatives in his own GOP for his many overtures to the Soviet dictator Kruschev. Indeed, it was Eisenhower who warned against the military-industrial complex in his Presidential farewell address. It is individuals who have known the stench of war that are viscerally opposed to the stupidity of it. How could McCain (who has two sons in the military) or Palin (who has a son in the military) send our men and women in uniform needlessly into harm's way? It doesn't add up.

Obama, on the other hand, would be the latest in a long line of recent Presidents who never saw combat and yet took this country to wars that many saw as unneccesary at the time (Woodrow Wilson, FDR and "W" come to mind). When war is nothing more to you than a drawing room excercise, the pushing of markers on a map, it can be difficult to face down the military advisers who urge you to take this or that course of action. Especially when you don't know anything about the military or military service.

There may be good reasons (in the minds of some) to vote for Obama over McCain. The avoidance of war is not one of them.

Turmarion
October 2, 2008 10:15 AM

In fact, you might as well say that if you vote for McCain, you will have to be able to explain yourself in the next life to all the Iraqi, Iranian, and any other innocent civlians who will be killed as a result of the wars he may start or escalate. Or for that matter, those who voted for Bush will have some explaining to do to perhaps more than a million who have died as a result of his presidency.

cassie
October 2, 2008 10:18 AM

I'm presently feeding and acting as "grandmother" "tutor" "babysitter" etc. for many neighborhood children who were born to young single mothers who voted Republican, decided not to abort, and then watched the "family values" party take away all reasonable policies to help them raise their children, and watched their families 'shun' them as well and abandon them for their 'sin.' The mothers are now working 2 and 3 jobs and still not able to buy groceries, pay the rent, repair their cars, spend time with their children and actually be the parents they want to be. Sorry, but i am beyond sick to death of people who are so unattached from the needs of these mothers and who can pontificate about who did what that was morally wrong. To all of you, i'll think a whole lot more of your abstract positions and wringing of hands when you actually focus on the 1 in 3 children living in abject poverty and quit the nonsense that private charity can take care of them. BTW, the IRS reported the rate of charitable contributions from the top 1% of the American public who received the famous round of tax cuts from the GOP .... the average charitable contribution on their income tax returns was one half of one percent of their taxable income.

Case closed.

Russell Arben Fox
October 2, 2008 10:20 AM

As usual, people like me--opponents of abortion rights and regular church-goers who believe in expanded government services and progressive environmental policies--have no tribe. Unless I'm a Black Protestant. That might work.

treebeard
October 2, 2008 10:21 AM

Rod, you have just explained my reason for deciding to vote for Obama (after I went back-and-forth for a long time). Even though I disagree with him philosophically, he is clearly a man of character and integrity. I think he would at least be able to hold things together and to undo some of Bush's damage. McCain on the other hand could well bring disaster - no economic understanding, and a continuation of Bush's foreign policy.

Concerning this: I think he'll be even worse for the economy than McCain would (because spending will increase dramatically with a liberal Democratic president and a Democratic Congress). There won't be much money for Obama to spend. It's not like we have some gigantic surplus as we did in the 90's.

Concerning this: You are not absolutely forbidden from voting for a pro-choice candidate, but if you do, make sure you can explain yourself in the next life to the babies who died from abortion. How utterly ridiculous. That's like saying I'll have to talk with all of the people who were killed in the Iraq war because I voted for Bush. A vote is just a vote. There will be no grand meeting in heaven where every citizen who voted for a winning candidate talks to every single person who was harmed by the decisions made once that person took office.

The only person I'll have to answer to in the next life is Christ Himself, and I don't think He'll scowl at me and ask how come I voted for a pro-war candidate (Bush in 2004) or a pro-choice candidate (Obama this year). There are more important things He'll have on His agenda, and in any case I'll have a wonderful and all-purpose response: "Thank you so much for dying for me. I have nothing positive to say about myself. But Your blood has cleansed me from all sin."

Linda
October 2, 2008 10:23 AM

When Jeb Bush was governor, he faced similar questions about his support for the death penalty from his own Catholic community who oppose the death penalty. He gave a statement that said, in effect, that he'd examined his conscious and was at peace with his stance on the death penalty. Although Catholics still protested executions, his answer was sufficient to satisfy the "higher-ups" in the church, that his conscious was clear on the matter.

Nick the Greek
October 2, 2008 10:23 AM

This report just confirms what I already knew - that I don''t fit comfortably in any "tribe". These sort of reports are usually accompanied by an interactive quiz to find which tribe fits you the best, but I didn't see one, and I didn't recognise myself in any of the descriptions.

cassie
October 2, 2008 10:30 AM

re: McCain and war

for anyone not to understand that Bush is a diehard neocon who on the day after 9/11 publicly called for war with Iraq, then Syria, then Iran, and i can't remember who all else ....

McCain has ridiculed diplomacy, he clearly only believes in a military response, no matter what the threat --- notice for example that these same ideologues have now authorized the use of American troops (armed with weapons and orders to shoot) on American soil effective yesterday for humanitarian reasons and "they may be called upon to help with civil unrest and crowd control” .... like bank runs maybe? You can read it in Army Times.

If you look at his website, you will notice perhaps as I did that he has no foreign policy statements, and his section on National Security only discusses use of the military.

He yesterday stated his preference to be a dictator. He heads the neocon IRI. He has postured and railed about Russia and Iran in ways that distress all foreign policy experts. Add this to his explosive temperament, and i do not think it foolish to have major concerns.

To suggest it is folly to imagine he would be inclined to wage war is evidence of the writer's ability to ignore fact and reason and analysis in an attempt to minimize reason in favor of ideological 'we need to win' mentality.

Salamander
October 2, 2008 10:30 AM

Well, at one point, I was considering voting for a pro-choice candidate for the first time in my life, since there were slim pickin's on the pro-life side.

But Obama isn't just pro-choice, he is pro-abortion. Plus, I don't care for his other politics. He is just way too far to the left for my comfort level. I might have considered a moderate Democrat, but he is not moderate.

Mind you, I am not nuts about McCain and I don't think Palin is up to VP-ready level. So I am in a dilly of a pickle, as Ned Flanders would say.

Mark
October 2, 2008 10:49 AM

To Treebeard:

You have such total clarity about what will happen in Heaven. Sounds like you have had a near death experience. Scripture is clear that we will all stand before the judgment seat of God and give an account for the choices we made in this life. Did we use all of the wisdom and knowledge he has given us to build a civilization of life and love? Did we build His Kingdom? You can vote for Obama, but rest assured that your vote will:

1. Assure the signing of the Freedom of Choice Act that enshrines Roe v Wade in legislation and nullifies the Partial-Birth Abortion ban.
2. Help insure the installation of at least 2 new activist Supreme Court justices who will strike down all state laws that attempt to limit abortion on demand such as parental consent, 24 hour waiting periods, etc.
3. Insure federal funding for Planned Parenthood and other abortion providing entities to assist in their "work".
4. Nullify any restraints we currently have in place that prevent tax payer money from supporting overseas organizations that fund abortion.

It is unfortunate that you believe that God has no interest in the affairs of humanity on earth. (Very Gnostic approach) Apparently, you don't believe that God will care that much that you were complicit (by your vote) in the death of millions of children that he knit together in the wombs of their mothers. What a relief to not have to worry about the choices we make here on earth.

Charles Cosimano
October 2, 2008 10:52 AM

Economics always trumps morality. Right now morality is not even on the voter's radar.

Athelstane
October 2, 2008 10:57 AM

"You are not absolutely forbidden from voting for a pro-choice candidate, but if you do, make sure you can explain yourself in the next life to the babies who died from abortion."

And they would forgive, one presumes. But the horrific guilt one will feel one meeting them face to face will be terrible to bear. More than I can bear.

Comparisons to the Iraq War are utterly ridiculous. The object of the moral act is utterly different. The Iraq War may not have been just knowing what we know now; but the object was never to kill the innocent, even if this was sometimes the effect. In abortion, an innocent is killed every single time, by deliberate intention. An abortion is wrong in every single circumstance, without any exception whatsoever (no, double effect is not an exception). A law which permits it and subsidizes it is never a just law. Never.

Anonymous
October 2, 2008 11:07 AM

And they would forgive, one presumes. But the horrific guilt one will feel one meeting them face to face will be terrible to bear. More than I can bear.

And that is why Jesus bore your sins and guilt on the cross. The only person I recall from the Scriptures who said that his sin or guilt or punishment was more than he could bear was Cain, and in response God put a seal of protection on him. Will not Jesus's blood be at least as effective as Cain's mark? The only unforgivable sin is blasphemy against the Holy Spirit; even murder, whether willful or indirectly caused, is forgiveable. And if God forgives, only a hard-hearted person would expect the guilty person bear the pain and burden of his guilt longer than God would have him do.

Political Atheist
October 2, 2008 11:21 AM

Reaganite in NYC,

I had been hoping that what you're saying about McCain might be true - it has been the case that Presidents who talk tough do so in order to gain leverage in negotiating with hostile powers - but I'm finding that the evidence points otherwise. For who is advising McCain? Isn't it likely that the neo-cons, after being shown the door by Dubya, are seeking to make a comeback in a McCain administration? One of McCain's main foreign policy people is Robert Kagan, Iraq war booster turned revisionist (it was a necessary war but executed poorly). I think it's likely that he'll spend much of his Presidency learning many of the same lessons that Dubya learned at terrible cost, but of course the whole country will be in much worse shape in having another President who has to come to grips with the limits of American military power. Athens met its political demise by constantly elevating expansionist leaders who kept getting the city-state embroiled in conflicts it couldn't win - it can't be ruled out that a similar fate awaits us. As one reader put it in another combox (sorry, I do not recall the name at the moment), it is surely unwise to believe that a politician will lie in accordance with one's own personal wishes. Of course someone like De Gaulle was willing to run grave personal risks in order to get the French out of Algeria, but I just don't see McCain as another De Gaulle who will extricate us from an impossible situation in the Middle East - I suspect that McCain is too much an optimist, albeit an angry one, to face up to intractable dilemmas. It takes a tragic recognition of human fallenness in order to realize that a crisis is intractable in the first place.

Also, Reagan was forceful, but also possessed a geniality and good humor, a capacity to maintain his emotional balance when under personal attack, that McCain has thus far shown to lack.

elmo
October 2, 2008 11:27 AM

Rod, you left out part of Abp. Chaput's exhortation to the faithful regarding voting. In addition to being able to justify one's vote in the next life, it's also the duty of Catholics to, having voted for him or her, press their candidate on the issues of life. For example, if I were to vote for Obama, according to the archbishop, once he is in office, I am called to lobby him to change his position on abortion. The same would be true with McCain on torture and ESCR. He says being a faithful citizen doesn't mean just casting our vote; it also entails being an active part of the political process.

Political Atheist
October 2, 2008 11:34 AM

As for God not being angry about the deaths of so many Iraqis - it's also horribly naive to think that any war will not take the lives of innocents. Remember that it was supposed to be a "cakewalk," that it would be easy and that it would actually benefit the Iraqi people? It's true that no war has been fought on American soil since the Civil War, so maybe it's understandable that so many of us would have scant idea about how war transforms an entire society, the fact that war constitutes its own uncontrollable reality. So many in Iraq, especially children, have died not only in terrorist bombings but also from preventable causes, from the absence of a doctor who would have been there under normal conditions, from drinking polluted water, from the general breakdown of social institutions that accompany any shattering upheaval.

Sometimes I wonder whether morality is simply the most attractive and socially acceptable form of human cruelty.

elmo
October 2, 2008 11:42 AM

Look, if you are going to use that sort of sentimental twaddle as an argument, why not take it to the logical conclusion:

Pro - choice voter: Um, about that vote of mine...

Baby in next life: Don't worry about it! My Earthly life ended before I reached the age of accountability, so I went straight to Heaven.

So by the reasoning implied above, the merciful thing to do is kill all babies, so that they will all go to heaven.

Anonymous
October 2, 2008 11:49 AM

So by the reasoning implied above, the merciful thing to do is kill all babies, so that they will all go to heaven.

Well, since limbo has been eliminated, infants can again behold the beatific vision. So, what's the problem?

John E. - Agn Stoic
October 2, 2008 11:51 AM

So by the reasoning implied above, the merciful thing to do is kill all babies, so that they will all go to heaven.
Posted by: elmo | October 2, 2008 11:42 AM

Yes, which is why I characterized the argument as a whole as 'twaddle'.

treebeard
October 2, 2008 11:55 AM

Mark,
I won't respond to your comment in detail. I'll only say that you know absolutely nothing about me. So cut the patronizing crap.
- treebeard

elmo
October 2, 2008 12:02 PM

John E. I agree your take on the statement is sentimental twaddle. It's also not what Abp Chaput said.

AnotherBeliever
October 2, 2008 1:26 PM

I am tribeless, unsurprisingly. Somewhere between Moderate Evangelical, Mainline Protestant, and Latino. Which pretty much reflects the various strains in my family. It's hard to pigeon-hole people.

Kimberly
October 2, 2008 1:49 PM

More abortions occured under the Bush and Reagan Administrations than under the Clinton Administration. I recently learned this at Sojourner's website. There are several reasons this could be the case- bettter access to birth control, more funding to social programs to help disadvantaged mothers, etc. Whatever the case, logically speaking, if fewer babies die under Democratic Administrations, the one-issue right wing abortion voters should be voting Democratic. This fact has resolved my ambivalence about supporting Barck Obama. The law does not have to change to for unborn babies to be born.

Turmarion
October 2, 2008 2:05 PM

I think I lost the post, so I'll try again. By the logic of Archbishop Chaput, those who voted for Bush had better be able to justify themselves before the innocent dead (by some estimates as high as a million, but minimally in the tens or hundreds of thousands) from the war started and pursued by Bush. Ditto McCain supporters, who might expand war to a frightening degree. And I agree with John E. that this kind of reasoning is sentimental twaddle that tries to subsitute for real, difficult, concerted thought, prayer, study, and soul-searchng.

JH
October 2, 2008 2:30 PM

The point that everyone here seems to be missing is that the morality of abortion is not about whether or not the dead baby goes to heaven, or what supporters of pro-choice candidates will have to say to them. The moral position of abortion is clearly defined by this commandment: Do not murder. Jesus sums up the law in two commandments that may be further distilled to the following statement: Love God, love people. The act of abortion displays neither love for the person being murdered nor for the God who created them.

elizabeth
October 2, 2008 2:31 PM

It is hard to believe that Obama can spend more than Bush and Co. have done! How can you take your self seriously and make that argument?

As for abortion, above posters are absolutely correct that overturning Roe will not be likely to prevent abortions. It will just make some women travel a bit farther to get them. You want to reduce abortion, give people hope for the future.

Anonymous
October 2, 2008 2:45 PM

The moral position of abortion is clearly defined by this commandment: Do not murder. Jesus sums up the law in two commandments that may be further distilled to the following statement: Love God, love people. The act of abortion displays neither love for the person being murdered nor for the God who created them.

Is the God who gave the "Do not murder" commandment the same God who ordered the wholesale slaughter of various peoples (e.g., all the people of Jericho - man and woman, young and old, ox and sheep and donkey), and told Joshua to kill not only the guilty Achan, but also his sons, his daughters, his oxen, his donkeys, and his sheep - for Achan's crime?

Thomas R
October 2, 2008 11:16 PM

"More abortions occured under the Bush and Reagan Administrations than under the Clinton Administration. I recently learned this at Sojourner's website."

I assume you mean the Bush Sr. administration. Going by "Factcheck.org" abortion has declined under Bush Jr. by about 8% from what it was in Clinton's last year.

In addition to that for six of Clinton's years we had a Republican Congress, that's unlikely to be an option here. At least not at first.

Thomas R
October 3, 2008 5:05 AM

"Baby in next life: Welcome to heaven.

Pro-choice candidate voter: How are you doing?

Baby in next life: Wonderful! We are in the presence of the Lord!"

Traditionally the Catholic view was that the unbaptized may live in a state of perfect natural happiness, but that they are denied the presence of the Lord and the believers for all eternity.

Benedict XVI seems to have wussed out on that, but I don't think he put in ex-cathedra so to me it's still the more plausible position based on Catholc tradition. The exception to it, as I recall, is babies who are killed as part of a persecution of Christ or Christianity. So if the mother is thinking "I'm going to abort this baby just to spite Christians" than the baby may go to heaven. However I'm guessing such things almost never happen.

Anonymous
October 3, 2008 1:16 PM

I assume you mean the Bush Sr. administration. Going by "Factcheck.org" abortion has declined under Bush Jr. by about 8% from what it was in Clinton's last year.

Abortion rates peaked in 1978-82 and have declined quite linearly since- declining more greatly during the late Clinton years, and declining again after a spike up (the only one seen since 1980) during the early years of Bush Jr.

In addition to that for six of Clinton's years we had a Republican Congress, that's unlikely to be an option here. At least not at first.

The data suggests that policies and attitudes and politicking have very modest effects on what Americans do as a whole. The "pro-life" political movement exerts no notable, let alone significant, effect on numbers. So it is in effect a cargo cult.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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