Crunchy Con

2008: Empire's end

Wednesday December 31, 2008

Categories: Decline and fall
Patrick Deneen waxes philosophical on the final hours of this fateful year. Excerpt: When the history is written, it seems likely that not only will 2008 go down as the year when the fissures of the American way of life...
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Comments
Mark in Houston
December 31, 2008 6:25 PM

Yadda yadda yadda. More pompous piffle from Patrick Deneen. I have no doubt that the next couple of years will be hard ones, and some economic and cultural retooling will need to be done. But at the risk of sounding jingoistic, no one has ever won by betting against the United States of America, and I suspect Professor Deneen will join the set of losers who have done so in the past. Which is where he belongs.

Donald
December 31, 2008 6:28 PM

Occasional drive by poster here and once again, I'm surprised at how much I've come to appreciate your POV, though at times and on certain topics you drive me nuts.

But anyway, thanks for that endorsement of Alisdair MacIntyre--I've heard of him before, but knew very little about him. A quick glance at your weblink suggests I really ought to learn more.

Jon
December 31, 2008 7:01 PM

Re: it seems likely that not only will 2008 go down as the year when the fissures of the American way of life were made plain, but it will be understood to be the date when the beginning of the end of the American empire was made manifest.

Assuming we accept that thesis that America has an empire, I see no reason to assume that a couple years of a bad economy plus a war that's gone poorly means that we're about to join the ranks of banana republics. We had a horrendous economy in the 1930s, and Vietnam wasn't exactly a raging success-- yet American power endured and even grew after both episodes. I do believe that America's days as THE great power may be numbered, but I suspect we will remain a great power for a long, long time to come.

Robin Thomas
December 31, 2008 7:44 PM

This is the deal...special interests took over our government and RUINED our country. The lobbies write legislation, making certain that each and every industry gets its' own way, usually to the detriment of each and every industry! Think about it. The auto lobbyist pricks waged war against making more fuel efficient cars, and made our automakers less competitive as compared to the Japanese, therefore destroying the Big Three.
Similarly, the lobbyist pricks in the FIRE industries lobbied against regulations that would have saved us from the disaster that we are now having...and in doing so ruined their own industries in the long term(although the bastards were bailed out to come back and cheat us another day.)
The bottom line is that democracy cannot function without leadership. Our leaders have abdicated their responsibilities and they have allowed special interests to call the shots. This is insanity. I don't see how or why any person in a leadership position could behave in this manner; it's suicide.
Now, we have lost all respect for government. There is no way that we can believe in them or have any faith in them whatsoever.
It's distressing to realize that to get where we are today took corruption on a MASSIVE scale. It's sickening.
I'm sorry to have to post such negativity, and I truly wish that our leaders had had some integrity. There was really no reason for all of this stupidity, this suffering, this pain.
May God have mercy on us, and may God punish those who deserve it.

Scott Lahti
December 31, 2008 7:55 PM

"Wonder what Alasdair MacIntyre's doing for New Year's Eve..."

Probably attempting to eschatonize the immanent, while discussing libidinal pathology with Kraft-Ebbing MacIncheese...*

*From the authorised Life, Alasdair in Love and War

Baldy
December 31, 2008 7:57 PM

Empire? Pretentious twaddle.

In 6 years, the story will be written how a few courageous people decided to stop whining and start doing, and they turned the nation around, and set the people back on the right course of action.

After all, we're Americans. We do not depend on "empire" or "elites", nor do we as a nation sit around waiting to be fed by bankrupt politicians. Well, not unless Democrats have their way.

Right now, nobody's talking solution... But that'll come soon enough. It appears that this mass stupidity that elected Obama has to run a bit farther down the course before people finally realize how futile it is.

Your Name
December 31, 2008 9:26 PM

Baldy, totally disagree. Yes, as the only remaining superpower, the United States was starting to morph into an empire. Troops all over the globe. Protecting the sea lanes for other countries to enjoy an unhealthy balance of trade with our nation. This is textbook stuff. And stop the horsedirt about your assessment of Obama. Both parties were responsible for this situation. And the greatest failure was the Administration of George W. Bush. A few courageous people did take action. They turned their collective back on the neo-fascist policies of the Republican Party. The country over the next few years is going internal. Without question there is going to be a change. Probably be a reassessment of free trade. A substantial portion of American troops overseas are coming home. Can't afford it. If this occurs, America will return to being the preeminent mercantile nation on the planet. And without the presence of American troops, there will be civil strife in many parts of the world. (That is the downside of the crumbling of any empire.) Destabilization will occur in many regions. Because of this, capital will return to the US for safety. Obama might be a one term President. But a new day awaits. And a large part of it will be determined by which individuals, also known by many as politicians, lead this country.

Richard Bottoms
January 1, 2009 12:04 AM

And which party was in power for the eight years leading up to this great debacle? >>Cackle

Happy New Year.

godisaheretic
January 1, 2009 1:50 AM

Deneen is quite right when he touches on the idea of Unsustainable America. For those who think the USA will continue in its quality of life, there are two looming elephants in the room.

One is the population bubble, which will quickly get worse in the USA if border resources continue to be inadequate. The other is the near end of the cheap energy bubble which sustained American growth this past century.

There has never been a time where we have had more people and less cheap sources of energy. Increasing population and decreasing cheap energy is a formula for catastrophe.

The pessimists were more correct about 2008. It will be unfortunate if they are more correct than the optimists in 2009 also.

Got your 6+ month food storage yet?

prosperity faith hope love joy peace to all...
Happy New Year.

lancelot lamar
January 1, 2009 5:55 AM

Rod, you shouldn't be promoting Deneen uncritically. He often represents the worst kind of ahistorical Luddism. A little dose of Julian Simon would help him (and you) a great deal.

The historical fact is that resource scarcity is a constant in human history, and that Deneen's much derided "human ingenuity" has always, always evenually found a way around it one way or another.

Just recently, as it became clear that new technology is allowing thousands of trillions of cubic feet of previously unrecoverable natural gas to be accessed, we've seen prices for that plummet and drilling greatly slow. As prices increase, drilling will and prices will moderate again. It is clear now that much of the "peak oil" hysteria of the summer was driven not by oil at all, but by speculators driven to commodities by fearfulness of other markets. That bubble has now burst too, and oil and gas are at historic lows. Last night a tank of gas that cost us $80 this summer cost $27.

There is far more oil in the earth that has yet to be recovered than has been used in all of human history to date, although much of it is hard, expensive, or impossible to get right now. If the price is right, as with natural gas recovery from shale, "human ingenuity" will find a way to get it.

All the while advances are made in other technologies: wind, solar, tidal, hydro, and the holy grail of cheap, plentiful energy forever out of water, fusion. Yes, some of these are now only impractical dreams, but so was the shale recovery of natural gas 20 years ago until George Mitchell figured out to crack that egg (and add a couple of billion or so more, much deserved, to his net worth.)

This doesn't mean the salvation of mankind; the world is a mess and will always be until God's kingdom comes. But it is also not mankind's damnation, as Deneen has it.

But Deneen (and you at times) are trying to transfer your theologically based perspective of human folly and futility, also a constant, into doomy economic prognostications of our present historical moment. But this is folly too, as the "end of the world as we know it" has been fortold hundreds of times, and has always been true and always been false. The historical and economic situation is just too complex to reduce in the way Deneen is trying to.

You guys need to wise up.


Jon
January 1, 2009 7:55 AM

Re: For those who think the USA will continue in its quality of life, there are two looming elephants in the room.

Britain went from being the Great Power of the 19th century to a second rank power in the late 20th century. But the standard of living in the UK in 1970 was certainly higher than in 1870. Just because a nation loses its standing in world politics does not mean that its citizens will be immiserated.

Re: One is the population bubble, which will quickly get worse in the USA if border resources continue to be inadequate.

The US's bad economy is driving illegal immigrants back to Mexico-- where they at least have family and friends they can turn to in need.

celticdragon
January 1, 2009 1:42 PM

"The historical fact is that resource scarcity is a constant in human history, and that Deneen's much derided "human ingenuity" has always, always evenually found a way around it one way or another."


Utterly and completely wrong. Go and read "Collapse" by Dr Jared Diamond (He is the Pulitzer winning author of "Guns, Germs and Steel"). A number of civilizations have collapsed due to resource scarcity and mismanagement. The Anasazi and Polynesians on Easter Island have been written of extensively. The Scandinavians completely died out on Greenland, and barely hung on to Iceland. It is hubristic in the extreme to claim that humans "always eventually find a way", and it does not square with the historical record.

lancelot lamar
January 1, 2009 2:47 PM

C.D.

Good grief.

Let's base world historical arguments about the future of the modern, technological age on stone age Easter Island and iron age Greenland!

Ridiculous.

My argument is completely valid; resource scarcity is a constant, and modern, technological civilizations, and even many ancient ones, found and will find a way.

You Luddites need to stop posting to the internet, which is entirely dependent on the consumer, technological, and scientific civilization you say is unsustainable and even evil. That way you can avoid hypocrisy and we can avoid your inane arguments.

PDGM
January 1, 2009 5:54 PM

It seems to me that Deneen is arguing two points, which he's linked, and that perhaps it might be worth it to sever. The first is that America has hit a real tilting point in its economic health, and that this will result in an end of American empire. The second is that this tilting point is based on a false idea about human ingenuity and human domination over nature. Deneen thinks that our recent financial collapses indicate that we've reached some kind of limit with our real control over the world; I don't know that this is true, or how we can make this prognosis so soon after the fact. Large historical judgments generally take a long time to arrive at, and the short view is often inaccurate.

I don't know that either of these points Deneen makes is true. I do wish that we were more humble and realistic in our sense of dominance over the natural world and its systems that we're dependent on for our being and wellbeing. Wendell Berry regularly argues for this point, and I for one think he is right. Those crying Luddite above need to think about whether this more general point is accurate: whether we need a greater degree of humility with respect to creation than we've had for the past several hundred years.


But whether we're really at a tilting point as a nation or empire is a different judgment altogether; I can see why Deneen might want to make the connection he does, but also can see why others resist his connecting these two. But the philosophical connection Deneen sees between general human arrogance and US hubris may be true, even if his sense of the future for the USA is untrue.

David J. White
January 1, 2009 7:48 PM

I agree with Lancelot, Celtic Dragon, and I will add something else: I believe that Lancelot is correct that human ingenuity has always found a way. That doesn't mean that every particular individual society or civilization or country has found a way out of its problems, or at least the way it might have liked (I am a classicist, after all), but we have survived as a species. In the modern world no society is as isolated as the Easter Islanders or the Vikings on Greenland were; no country in the modern world is going to be thrown back entirely on its own resources. We really are one interconnected world now. The problems of one country can resonate around the world -- but the solutions and advances of one country do, too. Just as the United States couldn't keep the atomic bomb to itself indefinitely, similarly the country that comes up with cheap energy solutions won't be able to keep those to itself, either.

Brian
January 1, 2009 11:10 PM
http://Whatever

Please. You could likely read the exact same post during the Gilded Age as well as the Great Depression. The Gilded age lead tot he roaring 20's and the Great Depression was followed by the unprecedented growth nearly unabated until now, and this period will likely be a blip on the map.

But stockpile your rice nonetheless. I'm having a(nother) cocktail.

Rod Dreher
January 1, 2009 11:28 PM

I see no contradiction between rice-stockpiling and bourbon-drinking. Drink while ye stockpile, brethren!

Jason
January 2, 2009 12:12 PM

Rod, this will sound scandalous and be much too broad a question, but here it goes: I'm not much into politics and was wondering if you could recommend some good reading on what it means to be a conservative politically, as well as the differences, politically, between conservatives and liberals. Thanks for your time—and your blog. -Jason

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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