Crunchy Con

Bush's Bonfire of the Mortgages

Sunday December 21, 2008

Categories: Economics

I keep pointing out that this fiscal catastrophe that's upon us has many causes. Greed on Wall Street, avarice on Main Street, a consumerist culture of indulgence, bipartisan bungling on lawmaking and economic policy, and so forth. But George W. Bush is just so damn ... culpable. The NYT today has a very long take-out showing how Bush's ideology and incompetence drove the subprime bubble. Here's is, for me, the choicest excerpt:

Within days, Bear Sterns collapsed, prompting the Federal Reserve to engineer a hasty sale. Some economic experts, including Timothy F. Geithner, the president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank (and Mr. Obama's choice for Treasury secretary) feared that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could be the next to fall.

Mr. Bush was still leaning on Congress to revamp the tiny agency that oversaw the two companies, and had acceded to Mr. Paulson's request for the negotiating room that he had denied Mr. Snow. Still, there was no deal.

Over the previous two years, the White House had effectively set the agency adrift. Mr. Falcon left in 2005 and was replaced by a temporary director, who was in turn replaced by James B. Lockhart, a friend of Mr. Bush from their days at Andover, and a former deputy commissioner of the Social Security Administration who had once run a software company.

On Mr. Lockhart's watch, both Freddie and Fannie had plunged into the riskiest part of the market, gobbling up more than $400 billion in subprime and other alternative mortgages. With the companies on precarious footing, Mr. Geithner had been advocating that the administration seize them or take other steps to reassure the market that the government would back their debt, according to two people with direct knowledge of his views.

In an Oval Office meeting on March 17, however, Mr. Paulson barely mentioned the idea, according to several people present. He wanted to use the troubled companies to unlock the frozen credit market by allowing Fannie and Freddie to buy more mortgage-backed securities from overburdened banks. To that end, Mr. Lockhart's office planned to lift restraints on the companies' huge portfolios -- a decision derided by former White House and Treasury officials who had worked so hard to limit them.

But Mr. Paulson told Mr. Bush the companies would shore themselves up later by raising more capital.

"Can they?" Mr. Bush asked.

"We're hoping so," the Treasury secretary replied.

That turned out to be incorrect, and did not surprise Mr. Thomas, the Bush economic adviser. Throughout that spring and summer, he warned the White House and Treasury that, in the stark words of one e-mail message, "Freddie Mac is in trouble." And Mr. Lockhart, he charged, was allowing the company to cover up its insolvency with dubious accounting maneuvers.

But Mr. Lockhart continued to offer reassurances. In a July appearance on CNBC, he declared that the companies were well managed and "worsts were not coming to worst." An infuriated Mr. Thomas sent a fresh round of e-mail messages accusing Mr. Lockhart of "pimping for the stock prices of the undercapitalized firms he regulates."

Mr. Lockhart defended himself, insisting in an interview that he was aware of the companies' vulnerabilities, but did not want to rattle markets.

"A regulator," he said, "does not air dirty laundry in public."

Bush put his old prep school buddy in charge of the federal agency responsible for regulating Fannie and Freddie! Words fail. He really is the Herbert Hoover of his time -- except Hoover didn't manage to get us into a bad war of choice too.

It will be a generation before people trust the Republicans with power again.

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Comments
Your Name!
December 22, 2008 8:33 PM

the GSEs very existence helped create the subprimes, which is itself a somehwat meaningless term. the fact is there was an implicit guarantee for ridiculous mortgages because washington and wall street were in cahoots and that was telegraphed to banks, who unloaded the mortgages immediately because they could. washington was too stupid to see the ramifications of this and gave the green light. the Fed wasn't financing subprimes either but they set the stage. this was all of a piece.

Jon
December 22, 2008 8:43 PM

Re: IBDeditorials gets the historical record right and documents the GSE impact on the housing market from 1933 to 2008:

This is ridiculous. The housing market didn't get inflated out of whack until the current decade. If it's ridiculous to blame the CRA (from the 1970s) for the current mess, it's doubley absurd to blame agencies that have existed for 70 years.
As I've said before I don't particularly hold George Bush to blame for this mess: there's a long, long line of miscreants, and the President is not even all that near to the front of that line. But those who trotting out ideological scarecrows, blaming ancient agencies or utterly unrelated social programs or women's suffrage for this mess are really, really wide of the mark.

pentamom
December 22, 2008 9:41 PM

Minor point of fact for "stupid" Chris -- Katrina didn't occur until 8/2005, eight months into the second Bush term.

Gary
December 23, 2008 3:24 PM

Fortune Magazine's Washington Bureau Chief Nina Easton: "I have to say I was flabbergasted when I read this story, flabbergasted....You cannot write a story about affordable housing policies and blame it on George Bush instead of the Democrats. I mean, it's just, it's outrageous."

the stupid Chris
December 24, 2008 3:10 AM

pentamom: Katrina seems like so much longer ago... but that's no excuse for inaccuracy, thanks for setting that aright.

As for the rest, there's blame enough to cover much of America with shame. Banks and mortgage companies that wrote bad loans knowing they would sell them off in securitized traunches to suckers who thought they'd found a low-risk high-yield investment. Regulators who were loathe to stop the borrowing that was funding our economic growth. Buyers and sellers who were gaming the system to get easy money.

And all those people vote for representatives who tell them what they want to hear, not what they need to hear.

What I find totally ridiculous is the portrait of Barney Frank as Beetlejuice. The notion that saying his name three times causes the entire GOP to roll over and play dead strikes me as partisan silliness in the extreme, the kind of thing that will keep The Daily Show and The Onion fresh for years to come.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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