Crunchy Con

David Rieff on Israel and Gaza

Friday January 2, 2009

Categories: Islamic terrorism
David Rieff writes about the Israel-Gaza exchange on this blog (I post his e-mail with his permission): I've just read your thoughtful post on the Gaza imbroglio and think I understand why you arrive at the conclusions you do even...
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Comments
cb
January 2, 2009 4:09 PM

Rieff's flawed argument can be found when he says:

"And frankly, as long as the Israelis effectively --- I am not concerned with their intentions, though of course I know defenders of Israel consider this a crucial point --- make a decent life in Gaza impossible, I can't see sympathizing with their actions."

Wrong. It's not up to the Isrealis to make life in Gaza decent, it's up the inhabitants. And they've shown repeatedly that they're culturally incapable of doing so.

Zach Treed
January 2, 2009 4:11 PM

Interesting. David Rieff ought to have a beer with Pat Buchanan.

http://buchanan.org/blog/2008/12/pjb-bush-obama-and-the-gaza-blitz/

I should like to be a fly on the mozzarella sticks at that bar.

junk mail man
January 2, 2009 4:17 PM

I don't think the political strengthening of Hamas (by weakening it militarily) is something Israel is concerned about. If Hamas were to lose its political support, it would likely be because a more radically jihadist and more heavily armed group stood to take its place.

Democratic processes gave us Hamas after all.

Insane Kitten
January 2, 2009 4:25 PM

cb, what do you mean by "culturally incapable"? That phrasing veers close to racism, which I sure hope you don't mean.

Rod Dreher
January 2, 2009 4:36 PM

Why is it racist to observe what is plainly true: that the Palestinians are incapable of governing themselves by any standard we'd regard as successful? Culture is not the same thing as race.

I mean, look, I'm a Louisianian and I can tell you that we're culturally incapable of governing ourselves as well as, say, Minnesotans do. If you want good government, and efficient government, don't look to Louisiana. If you want to eat well, hear good music, and have a good time, well, there's a reason folks would rather go to New Orleans on vacation than Minneapolis.

Same with Italy and Norway. One has better government, the other has a better time. The Italians are famously incapable of good government. It's not because there's anything wrong with their genes; it's their culture.

Steven Donegal
January 2, 2009 5:14 PM

Nice try Rod, but CB didn't say that the Gazans couldn't govern themselves; he said they were culturally incapable of making a decent life for themselves. Now maybe that's true in Louisiana too, but I don't think you'll be the one making that argument.

Anne
January 2, 2009 5:16 PM

"Culturally incapable" would have to be culturism, not racism. If it's not nature or nurture what's left?

steve
January 2, 2009 5:28 PM

Israel should have been using the truce time to make inroads into Hamas power. Maintaining the blockade was not the way to go. You need to have a viable long term goal and plans. Hamas may have imported better weapons (they probably did anyway as weapons always seem to get through), but it may have helped reach out to the non-Hamas majority.

IMO, Hamas has been dictating activity way too much. Hamas wanted to incite Israeli attacks. When you are doing what the enemy wants, you ought to think twice about your actions.

Steve

Your Name
January 2, 2009 5:30 PM

Nice try Rod, but CB didn't say that the Gazans couldn't govern themselves; he said they were culturally incapable of making a decent life for themselves.

What's the difference, really? Most people might prefer to vacation in New Orleans, but most people I know would rather live in Minneapolis.

hattio
January 2, 2009 5:36 PM

rod,
You might consider, when evaluating whether the Palestinians are incapable of governing themselves by any standard we'd regard as sucessful, when they've had an opportunity. True, Israel pulled out 3 years ago or so. But they still control the borders. As long as trade is impossible, and you've got too many people crowded into a space that's too small to accomodate them, trade is going to be necessary. If Israel controls one of their necessities, are they really governing themselves?

Secondly, you might consider how long it took Americans to learn to govern themselves. At the time we won the Revolutionary War, we already had hundreds of years of practice governing ourselves (though of course, not completely). It took several years under the Articles of Confederation before we came up with the Constitution, and a Civil War and another hundred years of Jim Crow before we started to live up to the promises therein for EVERYONE rather than for the white majority.

Hal
January 2, 2009 5:39 PM

EXcellent points. Why do so few ‘get’ what the day-in and year out reality is in Gaza (where my cousin Kathleen taught)? Proving anew that (firsthand) knowledge is power over knee-jerk dogma.

Thank you to Rieff and to you for posting his larger view when it is automatically seen as un-Biblical (per Christian TV)/ and/ or anti Semitic to question (per Jimmy Carter) the ongoing Israeli positions.

Richard
January 2, 2009 5:56 PM

Apart from the thrust of Rieff's post and email, which I find unpersuasive, I find this (naked and unsupported) assertion exasperating: "Geneva Conventions or no Geneva Conventions, [] the Israeli response is clearly in law a breach of the proportionality rule in the laws of war." Glenn Greenwald and many others have made this assertion (I won't dignify it by calling it an argument - for none of these writers have actually bothered to, you know, argue the point), but I have seen no citation for support of this assertion in any essay I've read so far and I have seen no description of what would constitute a proportionate response.

I say this not only because I tend to support Israel in its current actions but because I think that it's critical that we restrict words like this to a definite meaning: Much like tossing around casually words like "holocaust" or "racist" or "bigot," carelessly using the word "proportionate" to refer to something other than what is generally accepted in customary international law as proportionate threatens to blur the lines between acceptable and unacceptable behavior and, in the case of something as fragile and poorly defined as customary international law, either lead states in the position of Israel to expose their citizens to risk unnecessarily (by attempting to conform with the new - and arguably impracticable and unwise - interpretation of the word) or to toss the whole international legal regime overboard precisely because it would have this effect.

I would appreciate hearing from Rieff, or from any of the commenters here, what would constitute a proportionate response, in that word's technical sense, on Israel's part. I'm not sure what the precise boundaries of the principle are myself, but I'd offer the following as clearly not falling within the scope of the principle (whether because the action is not required or is not permitted by the principle):

1. Israel must respond only in kind. As the Gazans have indiscriminately rained down several thousand rockets on populated Israeli areas over the past several years, Israel has the right to rain down several thousand rockets (indiscriminately) on populated areas in Gaza over the coming months. The number of dead or injured Gazans is immaterial. (Similarly, if this is what is meant by proportionality, perhaps the Americans could have avoided the moral conundrum of dropping the bomb on Hiroshima and Nagasaki by raping and pillaging those two cities - it would have borne some relationship to Japanese aggression in the war (Rape of Nanking, etc.).

2. Israel can kill only as many people as have been killed by rockets from Gaza over the past several years. But they can kill whomever they like, whether combatants or noncombatants because Gazan rockets have killed indiscriminately. And they presumably can do so however they wish, whether by dropping bombs or by engaging in random execution-style killings of civilians walking down the street or Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails.

Again, proportionality under international law clearly encompasses neither of these acts as such. Rather, as I understand it, the principle of proportionality requires that force be limited to that amount required to achieve the (legitimate) military goals of the state wielding that force. Hence, in World War II, complete destruction of the German military - i.e., continued fighting until every last German soldier was dead or incapacitated - might have been justified if that were necessary to stop German aggression and liberate the concentration camps. (Liquidation of the civilian population, on the other hand, would have violated the laws of war going back to at least Grotius and would, therefore, generally be prohibited under this standard.) Note that the question of proportion is not measured by how many Allied civilians or military personnel had been killed but by what was necessary to achieve the goal of neutralizing German aggression.

If this is the standard and we assume that Israel's goal of preventing further rocket assaults on its territory is a legitimate goal, what precisely is disproportionate about Israel's response? Is Rieff, or any other critic of Israel's response (on proportionality grounds, not on grounds that the policy is unwise - a wholly separate question), willing to help draw these lines? If not, can we all agree that Rieff - and others like him - should just put the proportionality canard away until they've figured out what it actually permits? Because, absent some argumentation, it really sounds as though they're using the principle as a stand-in for their general queasiness about aggressive military action. I appreciate that queasiness, but it's not the same thing as the proportionality principle, and it's both disingenuous and, I would argue, dangerous to make assertions as if it were.

AML
January 2, 2009 6:21 PM

Palestinians wants Gaza. Israel pulls out and gives it to them.
A
merican donors (many Jewish) donate $14 million worth of productive greenhouses to Palestinian government. Gazans loot and destroy greenhouses. Gazans complain about hunger.

Palestinians from Gaza send suicide bombers into Israel so Israel closes border. Gazans send thousands of rockets into Israel.

Gazans complain about hunger. Gazans break through border into Egypt. Egypt closes border. Gazans send more thousands of rockets into Israel specifically targeting civilians.

Israel makes productive country out of desert and malarial swaps. Palestinians build rockets and bombs. And complain.

Israel bad- Palestinians good. ??
Please explain.

Zach Treed
January 2, 2009 7:47 PM

Even those with an allergic reaction to Fox News may want to tune in to its report "Escape From Hamas," which they'll be running several times between Saturday and Monday ...

Correspondent Jonathan Hunt's investigation goes deep inside Hamas, through a series of stunning exclusive interviews with the son of a founding member of the Islamic terrorist group. Mosab Hassan himself became the leader of the radical Islamic Youth Movement, fought Israeli tanks and troops in the streets, celebrated suicide bombings and recruited young men to the cause. But that all changed when Mossab says he realized the true nature of Hamas and radical Islam, during a stint in an Israeli prison. He converted to Christianity and now -- despite an Al Qaeda death sentence hanging over him -- he speaks out for the first time about Hamas, an organization he says betrays the Palestinian cause, tortures its own members and will never honor any ceasefire with Israel.

Schedule here:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,474664,00.html

Your Name
January 2, 2009 10:51 PM

There is something incongruous in Israel attacking a non-state entity like Hamas in a non-state like Gaza. My published view is that there really is no such thing as non-state terrorism. Syria gives support to Hamas and refuge to its military wing. I urged Israel to intiate full-dress war against Syria last April, when war seemed imminent. It's hard to fight with a vicious dog; better to shoot the dog's master dead when circumstances allow, by which I mean the total destruction of Syria's military. An alternative would be an attack on Iran's nuclear weapons development capabilities. That said, Rieff is out of date on the demographics. The Palestinian territories are headed for the same catastrophic demographic decline that makes the Muslim world the fastest-aging part of the human family. That is not the problem, particularly as Israel's (Jewish) birth rate continues to rise. The problem is that there shouldn't be 1.5 million Palestinians in Gaza living off UN relief to begin with, and Israel should not have left the place in 2005. There is no way to make such a population viable, and the best thing for the international community to do is to withdraw refugee status and phase out aid, forcing immigration out of and eventual depopulation of that miserable strip of sand. The second-best thing to do is resign ourselves to a multi-generational war of attrition. That is not a catastrophic outcome, merely an annoying one.

absurdbeats
January 3, 2009 12:27 AM

Anyone care to see how well Israel governs itself without US aid?

Your Name
January 3, 2009 1:16 AM

Gaza is "threatening" to Israel in the exact same way that Cuba is "threatening" to the US or Taiwan is "threatening" to Red China. I.e., it isn't threatening at all, except in the feverish imagination of those who would love nothing more than to see the Israelis exterminate the Palestinians.

Gaza has 1.5 million plus people living in an area somewhat smaller than Philadelphia or Detroit. There is no visible modern industrial economy and the region survives on handouts.

The notion that Gazans cannot govern themselves because of some genetic or culutral incapability is belied by the fact that no one (Turkey, Britain, Egypt, or Israel) has ever allowed them to function as a modern city state.

Gaza obviously has no army, no air force and no navy. It has no ability to produce arms and armarment, and no ability to purchase them since its economy is essentially a nullity. If Israel wanted, Gaza could be flattened and decimated in a day.

If Israel REALLY wanted to coexist with the Palestinians, Gaza would seem like an ideal candidate for Israel to attempt to foster its neighbor to modern statehood to show how the two peoples could coexist and live side-by-side. Obviously that will never happen as it has not happened in 41 years and Israel shows no interest in doing anything but maintaining a status of blockade and seige.

rombald
January 3, 2009 1:57 AM

If one accepts a Huntingtonian analysis, why are the Israelis placed on the side of the West? Judaism is a horrid Middle Eastern hate-cult, with far more in common with Islam than with Europe or the USA.

Friend
January 3, 2009 3:30 AM

Without getting into the morality of the situation, it is always unwise to create or allow the creation of a large group of people who have nothing to lose, because people like that will do absolutely anything.

Not the kind of state anyone wants on their borders. The situation in Mexico, while not anything as bad, veers in that direction, to the great danger and discomfort of the United States. The problem there is to determine what we can do about it.

It is hard to believe that the Israelis, who are said to be intelligent, would deliberately create such a situation in Gaza, apparently without foreseeing the inevitable result.

Manfred Arcane
January 3, 2009 5:48 AM


Gaza is the world's largest open air prison. 70 percent of its inhabitants are refugees from what became Israel. No jobs, no hope and treated like dogs. Anything they do to rage against their plight is completely understandable (if not forgivable) and most people would do the same in their place no matter what their religion.

La cité dénaturée
January 3, 2009 6:32 AM
http://ouriel.typepad.com/myblog/2008/12/israel-response.html

Israel response might not be the best, but it's the only one that makes sense

Unless you live in an igloo in the antartic sea you won't have missed the news of this week end: Israel strike on hamas. What looks like a disproportional response is i believe close to the only option left to Israel digesting 2000 rockets launched blindly at its citizen for 3 years.

* Can Israel negotiate? no. Hamas does not want. They do not want to recognize israel, They do not want a truce. They do not want peace.
* Can Israel put pressure on the international community?no. No one really cares. Everyone talks. But no one dares to pressure Iran seriously, the only reason why Hamas has still financial ressources to maintain its power
* Can Israel involve arab governments in the process? they tried with Egypt, but that was a vain effort. And honestly looking back i think that beyond street demonstrations and media declaration arab countries don t give a damn about palestinians. They never did actually. But they need to show otherwise. This is good for image
* Can Israel stop the rockets? no. there is no technology able to do that. if you do let us know.
* Can Israel stay quiet? no. If your country was in the same situation there would be demonstrations in favour of a war.


So what is left? War. The worst answer possible. But probably the only one given the context. Until hamas stops ruling in Gaza there won't be peace with Israel. Fatah, the other party, is trying to take the power back but it does not manage. At this day peace would only be possible with the Fatah.

Maybe this will actively motivate the international community and arab leader to put pressure on Iran and stop and support to Hamas and give to palestinian a chance for peace. Honestly i doubt it. I think those extremists are ready to sacrifice any of their citizen and children: they already put all their militar infrastructures in the heart of civilian zones. On purpose. Why would they care?

Martin thinks Israel attack is immoral
and could lead to worse. i disagree on the first part (immoral is when
you have a choice) but agree on the second. I am worried about where
this could lead. I am worried about where this could lead.

Pliplup
January 3, 2009 9:44 AM

I believe the groovy interactive map you will find if you follow this link does a good job of illustrating the lack of proportionality in the spanking Israel is dishing out to Gaza: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/interactive/2009/jan/03/israelandthepalestinians

Scott R.
January 3, 2009 1:07 PM

Anyone care to see how well Israel governs itself without US aid?

Why shouldn’t we give them aid? We have the same mortal enemies.

Gaza obviously has no army, no air force and no navy. It has no ability to produce arms and armarment, and no ability to purchase them since its economy is essentially a nullity. And yet it has thousands of rockets to throw at Israel, as well as plenty suicide bombers – if the borders were open. Go figure.

IIf Israel wanted, Gaza could be flattened and decimated in a day.

Perhaps they should. If Israel does nothing, they’re hated. If they go to war, they’re hated. They’re Jews – they’ll be hated no matter what.

If one accepts a Huntingtonian analysis, why are the Israelis placed on the side of the West? Judaism is a horrid Middle Eastern hate-cult, with far more in common with Islam than with Europe or the USA.

You’re a sick person Rombold. Get help.

the stupid Chris
January 3, 2009 1:13 PM

Why is it racist to observe what is plainly true: that the Palestinians are incapable of governing themselves by any standard we'd regard as successful? Culture is not the same thing as race.

The Palestinian state is like a high-school student council, allowed power within a very limited scope, and always subject to approval by the more powerful Administration next door.

In two days you've denied that Palestinians desire peace and prosperity, and declared that Palestinians are incapable of self-governance. You wonder why it appears racist? Try reading what you're writing.

Richard
January 3, 2009 1:17 PM

Pliplup,

Two sets of questions:

1. Did you even bother to read my comment above? The question of proportionality is not whether Israel's response is proportional to the damage that Hamas has inflicted upon it, nor to the nature of the attacks that Hamas has perpetrated. The principle of proportionality is not, repeat, NOT cousin to the principle of retributive justice, where the punishment must be in proportion to the crime. You will find absolutely no support for that interpretation of the proportionality principle in any authoritative international law treatise. (And even if it were, one would have to compare, not the two sides' conduct over the past several days, but the attacks by Hamas over the last several years with Israel's response in the past few days.) If you object to Israel's conduct on other grounds, then say so: Stacking up the relative damage each side has inflicted upon the other over the past week may be indicative of something, but it's certainly not relevant to the question of whether Israel's response has been proportionate to any legitimate military goal it might have. Is that concept really so difficult to understand, or are you, like Glenn Greenwald and many others, just so convinced that the underlying cause is unjust that you would find any response by Israel to be immoral? If so, again your problem is not with the principle of proportionality but with the existence of causus belli. But again, if that's your position, come out an say so.

2. What response by Israel would be proportional? And is that a rule that you would apply to other conflicts, such as WWII or, say, the Civil War? Should the North have merely responded tit for tat to aggression from the South? Was it immoral for the North to pursue total victory against the South? (Ditto for the Allies in WWII.) Can you not see that a tit-for-tat definition of proportionality is not only erroneous but also disastrous, in that it's likely to result in the prolongation of war and violence, turning it into a long-term conflict of attrition? Can you not see that this just doesn't make any sense?

P.S. I have to admit that the anti-Zionist (and borderline anti-semitic) Guardian is rather smooth in how the contextualize the conflict. One would almost think they had an agenda or something.

the stupid Chris
January 3, 2009 2:10 PM

Richard,

There's a huge difference between the US Civil War and WWI and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, which is that Israel does not wish to absorb Gaza or the West Bank, nor does it believe that occupation is sustainable as a long-term prospect. Israel has, after all, occupied both Gaza and the West Bank since 1967, and its current pullback (which has been going in jerks and jabs since '93) from both is neither total nor absolute, and driven by Israel's own internal situation rather than that of any Palestinian faction.

There seem to be two ways to achieve peace in the Middle East, one is by simply destroying forever the opponent. That is the position taken by Israel's right-wing as well as the right-wing of its opponents. The other is for Modernism to take hold in that region. Unfortunately, the latter is not going to happen in our lifetimes.

Richard
January 3, 2009 2:34 PM

tsc,

Thanks for responding, but I think you miss the point of my question. My purpose of asking about other conflicts was to determine whether there's a consistent principle of proportionality that folks like Greenwald and some commenters here would be willing to articulate, not to attempt to draw a parallel between those conflicts and the current unpleasantness in the middle east. As I understand your response, you question either the justice of Israel's cause or the wisdom of its current strategy. Those are legitimate questions, but they are distinct from the question of proportionality. If Israel's cause or military goals are unjust, by definition, no military action would satisfy the proportionality principle; if its strategy is misguided and wrongheaded, that may be help answer the question of proportionality but it is by no means determinative (i.e., it's possible for a policy to be strategically and politically wise but fail the proportionality test; it's also possible for a response to be proportional but militarily, politically, or strategically disastrous).

I apologize if I come across as obsessive about this, but I'm convinced its absolutely essential to maintain the meaning of terms - especially terms that purport to express legal concepts that are binding upon civilized peoples.

the stupid Chris
January 3, 2009 2:42 PM

As I understand your response, you question either the justice of Israel's cause or the wisdom of its current strategy.

Only the latter. As I wrote in another place: The Palestinians never miss the opportunity to miss an opportunity, the Israelis never miss the opportunity to overreact.

When it comes to maintaining the meaning of terms, I cite "The Last Emperor," If you cannot say what you mean, your majesty, you will never mean what you say. And a gentleman should always mean what he says.

Baldy
January 3, 2009 3:23 PM

This debate never ends, because the debate is based on what I consider a flawed premise...

That you can judge the merits of the action by using a bullet list of plus and minus items. Instead of making any attempt to understand the whole of the situation, Israel is judged on the basis of the "results" of its actions, and Hamas, et al, gets a pass on their continuing role of being a terrorism sponsor.

While Israel's critics continually harp that they are "disproportionate", they never, ever look at the continuing saga, they completley ignore how things got to where they are. A willful and deliberate blindness.

Everyone, even Hamas, knows exactly how the Palestinians got to where they are. They attacked Isreal and were defeated. NO Arab country will do anything but sponsor terrorism against Israel. They won't take the Palestinians as refugees, they won't take over the country, they won't even support them humanitarily.

To expect Israel to do anything but treat them as a national enemy is insanity. This requires little but knowing the facts up to now.

To pretend that each "event" is to be viewed solely in the light of that "event" is to be willfully blind, deliberately ignorant, and to promote a complete lack of critical thought and judgement.

Reiff's commentary fits in that mold very, very well. Sadly, though an apparently educated person, his depth of thinking rivals that of the stature of supine copy paper.

If Mexico declared its ultimate goal was the death of the US, and rained rocket attacks and other military actions on our borders, while at the same time declaring the justification for doing so was various short wars in our common past, you can bet your last dime that Reiff would not be calling for "proportional" responses of indiscriminate killings of Mexican citizens. Rather, he'd be calling for the lopping off of whatever government was behind it, and a re-establishment of a ( well, at least semi ) civilized government, one with legitemate goals to replace it.

You can bet, however, that there would be a certain segment of our so-called "intelligentsia" that would side with Mexico, and call for our disssolution as a "solution". Or, perhaps that we give Mexico "reparations" for "past wrongs" and our "racist policies".

There is no end to the depth of the "Hate America" ideology that motivates a large segment of this left-leaning smattering of idiots.

If we really cared at all about the Palestinians, there are ANY number of "solutions" that would be better than the grinding poverty and hopelessness they now endure, and have for a couple generations.

One, would be to simply declare there to be NO legitemate governemnt of the Palestinians (there simply isn't anyway) and put Israel in charge of the entire land mass and let them weed out the bad guys and go on from there.

While that might seem somewhat counter-intuitive, Israel has absorbed a lot of Palestinians into Isreal by immigration, and on average, they live much better lives than those who have gone to any other Arab or Muslim country.

The needs and interests of the Palestinians are not met by being subject to the terrorist machinations of Hamas, nor the utter incompetence and lower key terrorism of Fatah. And no other option to them is any better. Perhaps the "Status Quo is God" liberals will have a fit, but in practical terms, the Israelis are probably the best choice of administrators and educators to exist in the region.

This means putting aside all the religious and "ethnic" baggage and just taking a clear eyed look at the interests of a large group of people who have not had a free breath, or personal or corporate control of their destinies for their entire lifetime.

The Palestinians do not have any real "right" to be "ruled" by muslim extremists, nor has any muslim extremists any "right" to rule them.

Rather, they need a whole new generation of being exposed to the realities of what CAN be, rather than what they're force-fed daily. It would change the entire equation for the better. Nothing else has done anything but worsen things, especially for the daily lives of the Palestinians, who were best off when they were actually governed by the IDF.

AnotherBeliever
January 3, 2009 3:28 PM

Ground troops moving in as we speak. That's what I call precision targeting. But don't let the media backlash hit you on the way out, IDF...

Denton
January 3, 2009 3:37 PM

"Anything they do to rage against their plight is completely understandable (if not forgivable) and most people would do the same in their place no matter what their religion."

So, terrorism is justified. Nice...

"You might consider, when evaluating whether the Palestinians are incapable of governing themselves by any standard we'd regard as sucessful, when they've had an opportunity. "

They have opportunities every day. There's an old saying, "Palestinians have never missed an opportunity to miss an opportunity."

Baldy
January 3, 2009 4:01 PM

Democratic processes gave us Hamas after all.

Not even in the slightest.

A democratic process would have been to have parties with diverse viewpoints debate and educate the people...

Only a fool would think that happened. Rather, the Palestinians, tired of the utter incompetence of Fatah, voted "change" in the same mindless manner in which we got Obama.

Much to the same ends, sadly. Life went dramatically downhill.

Fatah, under the gray pervert, was corrupt, incompetent, and couldn't even carry out the terrorism they often dreamed of. Although given massive aid by Israel and the UN and US, they could not manage to turn on the water, collect the garbage, or keep the power on. Much less administer a garden.

We threw out Bush with anger because he failed to make the case for his actions, and let his political opponents define an unreality that is the basis for the fanatical BDS that is still evident, even among Republicans. His failure to lead and to engage the people is a reasonable case to criticise, but using that as the context, we elected a complete blank wall of unknown (except to those paying attention) and are now about to reap the whirlwind of radicalism.

And reaping the whirlwind of radicalism is all the Palestinians have had happen to them for years now. Hamas is even less interested in the water, power, garbage than was Fatah, and has occupied itself instead, in building military force and exterminating vocal opposition.

Just about every reader of this forum (and I'd exclude a few of the BDS sufferers who have self imposed delusions) could administer better than either Hamas or Fatah. No reasoned or even vaguely competent leadership has or can emerge from within, due to the repressive nature of Hamas, who views anyone with stature as a threat to be eliminated.

To what other middle easter nation could you turn, and get "competent" and worthy administration?

This is why the seemingly unlikely Israel is the obvious answer.

If that were to occur... In less than two decades, real leadership can and would appear.

allbetsareoff
January 3, 2009 4:06 PM

Like most people in this country, I don’t keep close watch on the Israeli-Palestinian/Arab conflict. Why? Because both parties are intractable, making the problem insoluble. So, the better-informed outsiders are, the more numbers they can identify to the right of the decimal point in pi, and that’s as useful as the information will be.

Some observations:

– Israel’s founding rationale, as a homeland for European Jews who were persecuted and ultimately slaughtered en masse, is losing its relevance as the generation of Holocaust survivors and the original Zionist settlers die off. The country’s status as a refuge from persecution and/or genocide now applies to Sephardim from Islamic countries and Ashkenazim from the former Soviet bloc. These groups, plus ultra-Orthodox émigrés, mostly from the U.S., form the core of support for the Israeli hard right, which populates the Jewish settlements in Palestinian territory and opposes any meaningful Israeli concessions in negotiations.

– Continuation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict doesn’t just contribute to the growth of radical jihadism, but is its critical life-support mechanism, at least as far as conflict with non-Islamic countries is concerned. (How many suicide bombers would line up to do battle with Western pop culture and multinational capitalism?) The only other promising targets for a jihadist mass movement would be corrupt and oppressive Arab states such as Syria, Egypt and Pakistan, which have failed to build economies that can productively employ their young men, who subsequently vent their frustrations and testosterone in jihad. (Once oil wealth dries up, you can add Saudi Arabia, the gulf states, Iran and the Central Asian “-stans” to the list of regimes that don’t answer to and deliver for their people.)

– Israel’s pre-1967 territory will be majority Arab within a generation or two; these Arabs are not Palestinians but Israeli citizens. The growth of this population, and its representation in the Knesset, accounts for the unwieldy coalitions that Israeli politicians have to form in order to govern, and the policy stalemates that have plagued Israel’s recent governments.

– The real solution to this, and most of the other crises in the Middle East, is a systematic redrawing of the map of the region that would provide secure, contiguous homelands for groups that currently are oppressed or endangered minorities: Jews, Christians (Catholic-Maronite, Orthodox, Armenian and Coptic), Kurds and Islamic religious/ethnic subgroups such as the Alawites and Druze. A peaceful, multi-ethnic, multi-religious society being inconceivable for the forseeable future, the Mideast needs a Congress of Vienna- or Versailles-style settlement to replace the botched Anglo-French map drawn after World War I. (Remember, Egypt, Syria and Persia/Iran are the only historically real countries in the region – every other state is a colonial construct.) Close call, I’d say, as to whether such a thing would be harder to pull off than an Israeli-Palestinian settlement.

hattio
January 3, 2009 4:08 PM

Denton,
You say they've had opportunities....when? That was the question. Quoting old sayings doesn't answer it. It merely claims you know the answer.

Baldy
January 3, 2009 4:11 PM

Sorry about the bungled italics...

The first sentence only... should be a quote.

AnotherBeliever
January 3, 2009 5:32 PM

" allbetsareoff
January 3, 2009 4:06 PM

– The real solution to this, and most of the other crises in the Middle East, is a systematic redrawing of the map of the region that would provide secure, contiguous homelands for groups that currently are oppressed or endangered minorities: Jews, Christians (Catholic-Maronite, Orthodox, Armenian and Coptic), Kurds and Islamic religious/ethnic subgroups such as the Alawites and Druze. A peaceful, multi-ethnic, multi-religious society being inconceivable for the forseeable future, the Mideast needs a Congress of Vienna- or Versailles-style settlement to replace the botched Anglo-French map drawn after World War I. (Remember, Egypt, Syria and Persia/Iran are the only historically real countries in the region – every other state is a colonial construct.) Close call, I’d say, as to whether such a thing would be harder to pull off than an Israeli-Palestinian settlement."

I would argue that is precisely the combination of ethnic-nationalism and self-determination that has led to so much of the violence of the past 80 years. A lot of this, of course, dates back to 1919 with the settlement of World War I, which fueled everything from German aggression to Iraq's current borders to the establishment of Israel. But even aside from the consequences of the 1919 settlement, in countries all over the world now, small ethnic and religious groups are taking up arms and demanding independence. Where does this all end? Do we want Mindanao to end up looking like the Balkans, a patchwork of neighborhood sized ethnic enclaves armed to the teeth at each other? Do we want this in Kashmir, in the Congo? Ethnicity is no good way to draw borders, because ethnic groups are malleable, they overlap, they divide nuclear families and religions. Self-determination is one thing, but groups should be encouraged to achieve this within the scope of VIABLE multi-ethnic nation-states with defensible borders.

Christopher Mohr
January 3, 2009 5:40 PM

Another Believer -

I know this is sort of off topic, okay entirely off-topic, but I am wondering what you think of the role of chaplain in the military? I ask because, I'm interested to know what benefit our soldiers are getting out of the chaplains (from your experience out in the field). I'm also probably going to be one (yes, the third or fourth Buddhist chaplain in the US military, and as I understand it the first one in the NG) - after my packet is approved by the chaplain board.

the stupid Chris
January 3, 2009 9:08 PM

Baldy,

Rather, they need a whole new generation of being exposed to the realities of what CAN be, rather than what they're force-fed daily.

That's rather wishful thinking. It requires not just a change in the behavior of the Palestinians, but also of the Arab world and the Israelis. Gaza is a tiny place, not even the size of a county in the United States, and the Palestinians there don't live in a hermetically sealed environment, they swim in the waters created by their neighbors.

Which is not to excuse Palestinian behavior one iota, but to point out that much of what they get force-fed daily originates in Egypt and Israel, not in Gaza proper.

em
January 3, 2009 9:46 PM

please educate youselves ,who could govern or live like that?

http://www.annainthemiddleeast.com/

Tom S
January 5, 2009 10:58 AM

The populations of Gaza and Israel have to see what a vision of peace is, how it will be implemented, and the tangible benefits of the peace. There have been little windows of this, but nothing consistent. A major part of the problem is that Israel--in large part due to the circumstances of its founding--has a political system that allows its most extreme opponents (in Israel and among the Palestinians) to drive its policy.

As a result of this, attempts to arrive at a peace process are held hostage to Hamas (or whichever radical group that succeeds them), and the extremist settler movement, to the detriment of most Israelis and Palestinians.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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