Crunchy Con

Israel and Gaza: No way out

Friday January 2, 2009

Categories: Islamic terrorism
Daniel Larison opposes the Israeli attack on Gaza, and deplores what he considers the ruinously one-sided (pro-Israel) discussion in the US media. He also makes a legitimate point here: Already a fairly poor, miserable place, Gaza became more so after...
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Comments
RJohnson
January 2, 2009 10:19 AM

"That makes a lot of sense, but what was Israel's alternative?"

To answer that question, you have to go back to pre-1948 events, Rod.

Lasorda
January 2, 2009 10:34 AM

RJ: Rod means to ask what should Israel have done in 2008; in response to rocket attacks and Hamas' explicit threat to destroy it. Looking at pre-1948 events might be historically explanatory, but it doesn't answer the question of what Israel should do NOW. Should it commit suicide? What should Israel do? Someone answer!

Ostrea
January 2, 2009 10:45 AM

Israel should do what it is doing: defend itself. And if that requires killing every single Hamas member and Hezbollah member, then so be it. Hamas and Hezbollah bring death and destruction upon themselves and those around them. It is their choice.

Turmarion
January 2, 2009 10:49 AM

At the current time it seems as if there is no peaceful and morally palatable solution to the Israel/Palestinian problem. God help us all.

Grumpy Old Man
January 2, 2009 10:53 AM
http://globaloctopus.blogspot.com

Rod, you are better than the Zionist platitudes you are spewing.

The original crime was for a bunch of atheists to decide, in the name of the false religion they rejected, that they had a right to retake a country where their putative ancestors had been defeated in AD70, whether the present inhabitants liked it or not. That claim is not religiously supportable by any of the Abrahamic religions as traditionally understood.

The conflict derives from that fundamental fact.

The crimes of both sides since then flow from it.

Crimes such as both sides are committing are probably inevitable, but let them do their worse without our weapons and money.

Your name
January 2, 2009 11:14 AM

I think the English should start firing mortars and missles into the "No-Go" zones that Muslims have established within England, maybe blow up a bus or two. These are historically English lands, who do those Muslims think they are?

panthera
January 2, 2009 11:15 AM

Grumpy Old Man,
My Christianity is based on God's compassion for us. That is why he sent Jesus, a Jewish Rabi, to save us from ourselves.

What is the basis for your Christianity, apart from defining yourself through your considerable hatred for all and sundry?

Inquiring minds would like to know!

Duh-sciple
January 2, 2009 11:21 AM

Send in a highly trained, spiritually fit, prayerful, non-violent, demon exorcising, peace team, inviting both sides to repentance.

Be willing to take up the cross in sacrificial, suffering, redemptive love.

Duh-sciple

armchair pessimist
January 2, 2009 11:22 AM

It is hard for me to see how a state can effectively grind down a people who have embraced suicide killers as heroes.

But the Russians have done so splendidly in Grozny. It's all a question of will power.

Grumpy Old Man
January 2, 2009 11:27 AM
http://globaloctopus.blogspot.com
My Christianity is based on God's compassion for us. That is why he sent Jesus, a Jewish Rabi, to save us from ourselves.

What is the basis for your Christianity, apart from defining yourself through your considerable hatred for all and sundry?

If I have been expressing hatred, forgive me.

The rocketing of kindergartens (by Hamas) and the bombing deaths of little children (by Israel) revolt me, as do the efforts of some to rationalize the latter.

God is the lover of mankind, and condescended to be gazed at as a little child, to save us from death and sin. We, of course, continue to spit at him.

BTW, "Pantera" is the name given the Roman soldier that some Jewish texts claim fathered Jesus. I assumed you knew that, but maybe not.

Mike
January 2, 2009 11:36 AM

You can sum it up in two minutes flat. Hamas are a terrorist organisation with a sworn agenda. Remember when Neville Chamberlain appeased Hitler, Hitler went back for more. Hamas and their allies are not different. Given half the chance Hamas too would stoke up the boilers and engage in the final solution where Hitler left off. Israel has every right to protect its citizen’s regardless of the Palestinian cost. If the Palestinian are so stupid that they support the Hamas ideology then so be it they must pay the price. Remember Turkey in 1974 evicted 211000 citizens from their Northern Cyprus homes never to return. Today Turkey has the audacity to condemn Israel when Turkey is still illegally occupying Northern Cyprus with at least 40,000 armed personnel. In 1974 Turkey had the backing of both the USA and Britain. Today the USA and Britain have impudence to lobby for Turkey to become a member of the European Union even tho Turkey is still illegally occupying northern Cyprus. There can be no doubt that if Israel got serious the 1.5million people on Gaza could be eliminated with in hours. Fortunately Israel is only eliminating the leaders of Hamas and only a few civilians on the way through. Had they not had the sophisticated weapons the death amongst civilians would have been huge. May be the Israel should get some rockets of the type being used by Hamas to fire into Israel. The Israelis could then fire them back at the same rate as Hamas. I know for sure that the death rate on Gaza would have been catastrophic in comparison with the current results.

CE
January 2, 2009 11:56 AM

I'm young and apparently poorly educated...can someone explain the "pre-1948 events" that led to the establishment of Israel? In layman's terms please!

Brent
January 2, 2009 11:59 AM

It has never been clear to me what political theory people use when they speculate that depriving a population of basic supplies will provoke dramatic political change for the better. Grinding a people down does not cause them to see the bankruptcy of their own leadership, but causes them to cling to it all the more as their last resort.

This is nonsense. A denial of history, reality and human nature. It is why he can not grasp the situation. The extended length of the conflict, short human memories, and rewriting history has resulted in a very distorted narrative being accepted.

Peoples that haven't had their will crushed will rise up and attack again.

Saddam is a good example. He rightfully felt he wasn't defeated in Desert Storm and his belligerence continued.

The Israelis have prolonged this conflict by not handing the arabs a decisive defeat. Instead they have allowed the hope of destroying Israel to continue. Every decision that results in that hope staying alive prolongs the conflict.

Zaccheus Treed
January 2, 2009 12:02 PM

Grumpy, not exactly. Individual Jews had been purchasing land from Arab nomads and Bedouins for decades before 1947. There was no nation of Palestine to "retake." It was only when the Arabs noticed that not a few but many Jews were buying up substantial parcels of "their" land that they started to band together and present themselves as the unified people of a nation-state, "the Palestinians," and to violently revolt against the Jewish "incursions." The United Nations stepped in and the rest is history -- history that does not rely on appeals to ancient texts or claims of ancestral ownership.

Rod's summary is spot-on. If they attack Hamas, as they've been doing passively, as they're now doing actively, they lose; if they do nothing, they lose. Precisely.

I would liken Israel's conundrum to that of a kid I knew growing up. In 7th grade he got into a hallway spat with a girl who happened to be one tough tomboy. She publicly challenged him to a fight after school. I remember him talking to me about it with fear in his eyes. Obviously I don't recall the exact dialogue but he said something like: "If I don't fight back I'll be the biggest loser in school for getting beat up by a girl. If I beat her down I'll be the biggest asshole for beating up a girl. So I can't win no matter what I do. If I lose, I lose. If I win, I still lose."

Just so.

Brent
January 2, 2009 12:17 PM

If I beat her down I'll be the biggest !@#$%^& for beating up a girl.

So the arabs(palestinians,)who declared openly, prior to the founding of Israel(1948) that they would never allow a Jewish state to be established and then once it was(on a tiny indefensible spot of land) that they would destroy it are comparable to a tough school girl daring a boy to break tradition with chivalry and have a round in the ring?

That is not credible.

Your Name
January 2, 2009 12:41 PM

"Grinding a people down does not cause them to see the bankruptcy of their own leadership, but causes them to cling to it all the more as their last resort."

This is nonsense. A denial of history, reality and human nature. It is why he can not grasp the situation.

Brent is right, and Larison is wrong. The Germans and Japanese were ground down in World War II, and they both -- esp. the Germans -- came to see the bankruptcy of their leadership.

toro toro
January 2, 2009 1:12 PM

"Twenty or so years ago, a (secular) friend of mine visited Ireland, and told me upon her return how startled she was to run across beautiful old buildings in Dublin that were being allowed to fall into ruin. She'd ask people why those buildings weren't being cared for, and was told that those buildings were British -- IOW, memories of the British occupation were still so raw that the Dubliners would rather see all reminders of the occupation fall to pieces than preserve something useful and beautiful.

That doesn't make the Irish uniquely evil. It just makes them human. Stupidly human, from a certain point of view, but human all the same."

A nice story but, writing from Dublin, it is - like the point it is supposed to illustrate - complete and utter nonsense.

Zaccheus Treed
January 2, 2009 1:14 PM

Brent, no analogy is perfect. I think you missed this analogy's point for its particulars.

hattio
January 2, 2009 1:17 PM

Rod says;

"And it is Israel's miserable fate to have to live next to such a people[those who prefer suicide bombing to peace]."

That may be Israel's miserable fate, but that's not where most of the problems stem from. The problems stem from Israel's CHOICE to live among those people. Settlements are the issue. I'm not claiming that Hamas would all of a sudden start to be peaceful...they wouldn't. But if the only time there was Israeli soldiers interfering in Palestinian lives was when Hamas fired rockets at Israel, Palestinians would start to see the problem too. But, that's not the reality they face. They face the reality that Israeli settlers can move in wherever they want, even illegally, and wind up being protected by the IDF. Including the IDF now disrupting their lives in order to protect the illegal settlements. I've said it before and I'll say it again. If the IDF used the same tactics on illegal settlers it does on Palestinians, I would have no problem with their actions....but they don't.

celticdragon
January 2, 2009 1:22 PM

"This is nonsense. A denial of history, reality and human nature. It is why he can not grasp the situation.

Brent is right, and Larison is wrong. The Germans and Japanese were ground down in World War II, and they both -- esp. the Germans -- came to see the bankruptcy of their leadership."

You mistake "grinding down" through airpower with "grinding down" by means of all out ground invasion and occupation. The Blitz on London did not break the will of the English. On the contrary, their resolve was stiffened. The same has been found to be true for the Germans during the air raids by "Bomber Harris" and the 8th AAF. The Germans were not broken until their country had been blasted into next to nothing, and the Japanese had to hear the surrender form their own Emperor to believe it. Arguably, the Japanese would have kept fighting until the last bamboo spear was broken.

It is dangerous to use historical precedent in some cases when the culture and situation are not really similar. The Palestinians have embraced a nihilistic, murderous form of martyrdom and their irrationality is strengthened by Israeli attacks. I write in some detail here at my blog from a couple of years ago.

http://celticharp.blogtownhall.com/2006/08/02/clausewitz,_israel_and_the_new_primitives.thtml


"Israel, meanwhile, has found itself in much the same predicament as the Army of The Third Coalition at Austerlitz in 1805, caught between the hammer of Napoleon's Grande Armee and the anvil of the Pratzenburg Heights. Here and now, Israel is caught between an implacable, virulent ideology and its adherents on one side, with unrealistic world opinion, fed by Israel's battlefield missteps, on the other. As Israel continues to apply force, it reinforces world opinion and more importantly, reinforces Hezbollah's position within Lebanon. It is time for Israel (and us) to start thinking of how to deal with this new problem. It is certainly time for liberals to realize that Islamo-Facsism isn't going to disappear if we "act nice". Short of turning large sections of real estate into radioactive glass, bombing them doesn't seem to do much good either. We need to think of something soon, because the Primitives aren't waiting."

panthera
January 2, 2009 1:24 PM

Unfortunately, Your Name (and would you mind terribly taking on a screen name? "Your Name" makes it awfully hard to follow comments. Thanks!)
Anyway, unfortunately, the Germans saw very early on that the Nazis were a bad mistake. But it was too late by then to change things, the Nazis had a death grip on the police and all organs of protest.
This is precisely the problem with imposing religious beliefs such as denying the human and civil rights of gays upon government. Today, it is the fundamentalist/conservative/literalistic/followers-of-ancient-traditions Christians who have the upper hand. But tomorrow, it could well be enemies both of that group of Christians as well as those who oppose Christians such as myself who don't seek to usurp God's authority.
A point which is impossible to make to some people.

I support Israel. Not out of funky-wishing-to-force-God's hand grounds as so many fundi-s do, but because the Jews have built a fair, free, open, tolerant honest democracy. They didn't 'take' anything from the Arabs, they paid for it in honest currency.

The Arabs could have had peace and profited if they had not fallen victims of the same fundamentalist mindset as we gays are fighting against here.

Res: Pre-1948 history, sorry, CE - I am too prejudiced against Islam and Arabic culture to give you a neutral, unbiased view. Try reading several different sources on the matter. Basically, much of this conflict stems from decisions the British made in the 19th century, compounded by decisions taken immediately following on to WWI.

Yes, I know the story of Panthera, but that was not the source of my screen name. I would not be so arrogant. My very devout Catholic Grandfather used to call me his little Panthera as a child, his favorite Uncle's proper name was Panthera.

Grumpy Old Man
January 2, 2009 1:29 PM
Grumpy, not exactly. Individual Jews had been purchasing land from Arab nomads and Bedouins for decades before 1947. There was no nation of Palestine to "retake." It was only when the Arabs noticed that not a few but many Jews were buying up substantial parcels of "their" land that they started to band together and present themselves as the unified people of a nation-state, "the Palestinians," and to violently revolt against the Jewish "incursions." The United Nations stepped in and the rest is history -- history that does not rely on appeals to ancient texts or claims of ancestral ownership.
Well, sort of.

The Jewish settlement enterprise began when the Ottoman Empire controlled the place, but from fairly early the intent was to create a Jewish state. Jews were forbidden to hire Arab labor, for example.

The Arabs were not blind, and did not want to be outnumbered in their own country. That is when violence began.

Even though a relatively small minority in the late 'Forties, the Jews obtained a partition resolution from the UN (a body unworthy of respect), won the ensuing war, and established a state. Winning the war and establishing the state is no different from the way most modern states arose.

After 1967, when Israel overran the Jordanian and Egyptian-occupied segments of Palestine, as well as the Golan Heights, it has continued to expand and to oppress the locals. The locals have fought back with the weapons of the weak, such as suicide bombing and airplane hijacking.

Zionism as an ideology, of course, proclaims not just that "Hey, we won the war, so leave us alone," but they claim a religious/historical right to the land.

If they want to have a power struggle, so be it. Let's us stay out of it, and let's not get sucked into the ideological illusions of Hamas or the Zionists. In particular, let's not impute nobility to the Israelis.

Brent
January 2, 2009 1:57 PM

Here and now, Israel is caught between an implacable, virulent ideology and its adherents on one side, with unrealistic world opinion, fed by Israel's battlefield missteps, on the other.

And world opinion accounts for what? Nothing. How can it be an impedement to Israeli victory when it is nothing more than moral preening. No action will come of it. Except more condemnation.

Israel is not trapped by world opinion. They are trapped by their unwillingness to defeat the arabs in the war that started 60 years ago.

Israel values world opinion at their own peril. They need to ignore it.

panthera
January 2, 2009 2:11 PM

Grumpy Old Man, in fairness, shouldn't you point out who started the 1967 war? Egypt didn't blockade Israel and station all those troops there for nothing...if I see a gang of thugs approaching me with baseball bats, screaming "kill the fag", I won't wait until they hit me to prove that gays not only can throw balls, we can also shoot straight.

CE, this is precisely why you need to base your education in this sad mess on several different sources. If you listened to me, you'd find Israel innocent of all charges. Listen to some others here, and they are the sole aggressor.

This issue is inextricably intertwined with two pseudo-Christian themes. First, the nasty old 'Jews killed Jesus' refrain. Second, the 'since the last war will be in the Middle East, let's hasten it and force God's hand'. I find both distasteful, neither is can be justified.

Your Name
January 2, 2009 2:39 PM

The irony of all this is that Hamas was essentially created by the Israeli secret service back in the 60-70's as a counterweight to Arafat's PLO. The PLO was a secular Arab organization that included all Arabs, Moslem Christian, secular etc; The Israelis thought that Hamas, at the time a very small fundamentalist Moslem organization and quite innefective, would be an ideal organization to use as a wedge to divide the Palestinian nationalist. So they gave money, arms, trained the Hamas fighters, advised on political strategy etc;
The results are what you see know.

Kinda like what happened with the Taliban in Afghanistan.

Creating Frankenstein monsters seems to be the foreign policy of both Israel and the U.S.

the stupid Chris
January 2, 2009 3:11 PM

We have only the basic assumption that the Palestinians, like all people, ultimately want peace and prosperity. [Emphasis mine -- RD]

I reject that basic assumption. Why would one make it?

Rod,

Take time to visit to your Antiochian Orthodox brethren. Their views on this matter may well serve to inform and enlighten yours.

I recommend this because the Antiochians share one of the deepest parts of you, your faith, but not your culture. What you demonstrate above is a gross misunderstanding of a culture that is very different from your own. Their culture is different, but their humanity is not.

Ultimately what drives the divide between Israel and the Palestinians is that both sides want the same thing, peace and prosperity achieved by dominance over the other. Israel believes that there can be no peace unless they are absolutely dominant, which is why it was an Orthodox Jew who assassinated Rabin. Arafat set the Middle East back by decades because he feared making the agreement at Camp David would lead to his assassination by Palestinians, just as Sadat was assassinated by Egyptians. The problem is not that people don't want peace and prosperity; it is that the only way they'll accept it is if they're running the show.

And that's what is so vexing. What man among us would willingly accede to domination by someone else? We don't even allow our fathers that power, and presumably our fathers have our best interests at heart. Israel has dominated Gaza and the West Bank for decades, but demonstrably is no safer than it was in the 1960s.

panthera
January 2, 2009 3:32 PM

Dear Your Name
January 2, 2009 2:39 PM,
The irony of all this is that nobody cares what people have to say when they don't even enough respect to post a screen name.

steve
January 2, 2009 3:34 PM

What should they do? Big question. They should have started doing different things a long time ago, but let us limit ourselves to what they should do now.

1) Define their goals. As part of this they should, they should largely ignore international opinion, especially AIPAC and other American organizations. Israel should know what is best for Israel. Americans keep wanting to turn this into a morality play. This is mostly hard core politics. Hamas wanted to incite attacks. Israel does not have to do what its enemy wants if it will be detrimental in the long run.

2) Better information ops. I assume that one of their long term goals will be survival as a nation. They are surrounded and outnumbered. The surrounding governments are inept, corrupt and beset with their own internal problems. Hamas was elected not because it was a terrorist organization, but because Fatah was corrupt and incompetent. Israel needs to make it clear that the people of Gaza are now doing even worse under Hamas. They need to publicize Hamas shutting down medical clinics for ideological reasons, limiting financial opportunities. Hamas needs to be divorced from the people, so that negotiations can take place.

3) Israel needs to make it clear it will defend itself, while knocking off the stupid rhetoric. They have vowed to stop all rocket attacks. How? Kill all of Hamas? How? They do not have a big H on their forehead. How do you tell who is Hamas? Kill everyone in Gaza? That would be the end of Israel. A better response, IMO, would have entailed massive publication of the rocket attacks, an announcement that they would bomb known Hamas sites each day that they were attacked, and asking that anyone living next to Hamas sites please move (Hamas has no real air defense so this is prety safe). Offer financial aid to those affected. Make it very clear this is aimed at Hamas and not ordinary Palestinians. They tried bombing the heck out of a country to get them to renounce a militia. It made Hizbollah even stronger in Lebanon. Limited, targeted bombing, along with controlled re-opening of passage into Gaza would be my tact.

4) If rocket attacks persist and start killing Israelis in significant numbers, they have to use ground troops. Air power has not proved especially successful alone in most of these state vs non-state encounters. This will mean loss of lives. If the Israelis try to do this with indiscriminate killing, they will lose. It will be a difficult fight.

5) Resolve their internal politics. I still wonder if we would have sen this response if Netanyahu was behind in the polls.

Steve

Rawlins
January 2, 2009 3:38 PM

To the alterntive sentiment sense in Larison's column: What took you so long?

When one can, go see the marvelous Israel (animation) short film, "Waltzing With Bashir".

Grumpy Old Man
January 2, 2009 5:26 PM
Grumpy Old Man, in fairness, shouldn't you point out who started the 1967 war? Egypt didn't blockade Israel and station all those troops there for nothing...
True enough.

Moreover, the official Arab position at the time was no concessions, no negotiation.

Then Israel embarked on the ill-fated and profoundly corrupting settlement enterprise.

EricW
January 2, 2009 6:05 PM

panthera January 2, 2009 2:11 PM This issue is inextricably intertwined with two pseudo-Christian themes. First, the nasty old 'Jews killed Jesus' refrain. Second, the 'since the last war will be in the Middle East, let's hasten it and force God's hand'. I find both distasteful, neither is can be justified.

Well, it's not like "the nasty old 'Jews killed Jesus' refrain" was manufactured out of whole cloth. I.e.:

Matthew 27:1 Early in the morning, all the chief priests and the elders of the people came to the decision to put Jesus to death. 2 They bound him, led him away and handed him over to Pilate, the governor.... 24 When Pilate saw that he was getting nowhere, but that instead an uproar was starting, he took water and washed his hands in front of the crowd. "I am innocent of this man's blood," he said. "It is your responsibility!" 25 All the people answered, "Let his blood be on us and on our children!"

Acts 3:12 When Peter saw this, he said to them: "Men of Israel, why does this surprise you? Why do you stare at us as if by our own power or godliness we had made this man walk? 13 The God of Abraham, Isaac and Jacob, the God of our fathers, has glorified his servant Jesus. You handed him over to be killed, and you disowned him before Pilate, though he had decided to let him go. 14 You disowned the Holy and Righteous One and asked that a murderer be released to you. 15 You killed the author of life, but God raised him from the dead. We are witnesses of this.

Acts 4:8 Then Peter, filled with the Holy Spirit, said to them: "Rulers and elders of the people! 9 If we are being called to account today for an act of kindness shown to a cripple and are asked how he was healed, 10 then know this, you and all the people of Israel: It is by the name of Jesus Christ of Nazareth, whom you crucified but whom God raised from the dead, that this man stands before you healed.

I Thessalonians 2:14 For you, brothers, became imitators of God's churches in Judea, which are in Christ Jesus: You suffered from your own countrymen the same things those churches suffered from the Jews, 15 who killed the Lord Jesus and the prophets and also drove us out. They displease God and are hostile to all men.

Etc.

I.e., it's part and parcel of the Church's Holy Scriptures, even if you delimit "Jews" to "the Jewish leaders" as some translators/commentators now do.

Brent
January 2, 2009 7:08 PM

@Zaccheus T

Fine. I missed the point.

Israel really is in a no-win situation. If they attack Hamas, as they've been doing passively, as they're now doing actively, they lose; if they do nothing, they lose.

I don't buy it. This is a win/lose situation.

If Israel doesn't respond to the war Hamas is bringing to them, they lose to Hamas.
Who do they lose to when they respond to hamas? World opinion? A real defeat for hamas, not some half baked UN sponsored cease-fire, is a win for Israel.

Israel's stumbling block is not world opinion, which amounts to nothing more than talk. It is their reluctance to defy world opinion.

Brent
January 2, 2009 7:59 PM

@celticdragon

You mistake "grinding down" through ... last bamboo spear was broken.

I read 'grinding down' to mean crushing their will. I don't see how it specifies air power or ground force.

It is dangerous to use historical ...are not really similar. The Palestinians have embraced a nihilistic, murderous form of martyrdom and their irrationality is strengthened by Israeli attacks.

And the Japanese didn't embrace a suicidal mindset? It took two nuclear weapons to convince them to surrender did it not? The losing side almost always rallies support before the defeat.

I write in some detail here at my blog from a couple of years ago.

I think that premise has been disproved by Gen. Petraeus. Al-Qaeda in Iraq, a stateless actor, has been defeated in battle.
Any group can be defeated regardless of origin, stateless or not. Human nature transcends culture, religion, and training. No human has infinite will. There is no new paradigm of war. It is still fundamentally about breaking the will of your opponent.

The Israel / hezbollah war is not a good example because Israel did not apply overwhelming force to hezbollah. Instead they applied force to the host country which wasn't in a position to control or defeat hezbollah. This left hezbollah relatively unscathed and able to fight another day.

DavidTC
January 2, 2009 9:09 PM

But there are. This is how the Palestinians have come to make cultural heroes of their suicide bombers. And it is Israel's miserable fate to have to live next to such a people. It is hard for me to see how a state can effectively grind down a people who have embraced suicide killers as heroes. But it is impossible for me to see how a state can stand idly by while such a people build their military strength. This is the tragedy of Israel and Gaza. Israel has no good choices, only less bad ones. The Palestinians, on the other hand, had a choice -- and they chose Hamas, in a free and fair election. Are they not to be held responsible for those choices?

Yeah, boy, that sure is a mystery how that just happened to happen. Israel just wandering around, minding its own business, when suddenly people in the land it happened to have conquered and occupied got pissed. Luckily, the PLO was defeated. Oh, wait.

Look, seriously, Rod, the incredibly pro-Israel slant to your postings are getting sorta silly. I always thought somewhat better of you. I expected you to be slanted towards Israel, but this extent is just craziness.

Pretending Israel is entirely innocent here is just dumb. As I've said, Israel is unwilling to solve this problem because the US backs it so fully. Whereas Palestine is unable to solve this problem because they have no leadership, and cannot have leadership, as it tends to get, well, killed by Israel.

It is up to Israel to be the adult here and actually stop pulling crap like this, which is exactly what Hamas wants. It is up to Israel to stop and remove settlements. It is up to Israel to get rid of the blockades. Palestine cannot start the process, as the Palestine political and societal process has been so damaged at this point that it is incapable of solving any problem. So Israel must start.

But as long as we are willing to support Israel's neverending war, it doesn't need to.

And this 'Hamas wants to destroy Israel' is crap. Sorry, but it is. That is the starting position/b> for bargaining, and it is, in fact, an entirely reasonable position to start with against a military enemy that wants you destroyed.

That does not mean Hamas would not be willing to settle for less, or that Palestines would accept not less over their objections and result in a total lack of support for them. If you think that, tomorrow, all Israel action stopped against the Palestine people, and the Palestines actually had a chance at a normal life, that they'd continue to support Hamas' rocket attacks in any way, you need to do some more thinking. (The attacks, however, would not stop, because of all the people lost so far and people getting revenge, but without support they would be easily contained.)

Goodguyex
January 3, 2009 3:09 AM

Well, many evangelicals and fundamentalists say that this particular confict and spin-off conficts is the pathway to the end times.

I can see a scenerio possibly developing in 2009-2011 with this Hamas/Iran/Russia/Israel mixture than could well make such a thing a reality.

Jeff
January 3, 2009 9:21 AM

Panthera ... If the Jews didn't kill Jesus, then who did? Three extra points for the right answer. BTW, the Panthera was an awesome sports car also!
Jeff

AnotherBeliever
January 3, 2009 12:39 PM

What is Israel supposed to do? Well, for one thing, precision target only enemy fighters. I understand it's a bit difficult to differentiate in an organization like HAMAS, but to start with, go for the mid-level guys, the guys actually responsible for obtaining and distributing rockets, for recruiting and deploying suicide bombers. Low level guys are too replaceable, high level guys could possibly be turned, along with those fighters they have influence over. This is best done from the ground, which is why I almost find myself advocating Israeli ground troops going in, though God knows that's not going to look good on Al Jazeera....

Simultaneously, there has to be, for want of a better term (and I don't like the term much) a "political" settlement. And I'm not talking about settling once and for all the division of Jerusalem or the right of return for refugees. God knows that's above the paygrade of HAMAS politicos. I've outlined a possible thread to take with the people of Gaza, about how HAMAS, while inspiring, is only leading to more insecurity and harder times. This idea has to spread at the grassroots level, and be authored and advocated by other Arabs, not Israelis. If this takes off at all, the Israelis have to be willing to talk with some pretty nasty sorts, on some level.

It's possible none of this will work. What's going on now is just adding fuel to HAMA's fire, though, so I'm just throwing out some CounterInsurgency ideas. The Israelis know what they're doing, though, so advice from a severely low level military intelligence type from the States is probably not helpful anyway! ;)

celticdragon
January 3, 2009 12:49 PM

"And the Japanese didn't embrace a suicidal mindset? It took two nuclear weapons to convince them to surrender did it not? "


The Emperor and some of his advisers decided to surrender and save their people from certain destruction. The Japanese people had not given up, and the army staged an unsuccessful coup to try and keep to war going.


"I think that premise has been disproved by Gen. Petraeus. Al-Qaeda in Iraq, a stateless actor, has been defeated in battle."

You make the common mistake of substituting a battle for the war. Al Qaeda can afford to trade territory so long as it has adherents to continue proselytizing and fighting. Al Qaeda is not broken at all, and radical Islam as a whole will likely continue to fight modernity and the West well beyond our lifetimes. We can try to control ground...but they try to control people. Petraeus did not use Clauswitz as a model for instituting his ideas on COIN warfare. (Clauswitz did not devote much time to dealing with insurgency. His focus was on set piece battles...but you should have known that, right?). Petraeus has focused on subverting the enemy.

"No human has infinite will."

Any person who is willing to blow himself up to kill you has the effective equivalent of infinite will, at least at that moment. He/she is trading their totality of self to kill you. A religion that trades rationality for nihilistic martyrdom cannot be negotiated with, deterred nor defeated in classical Clauswitzian war. You need something else.

to be continued...

celticdragon
January 3, 2009 12:51 PM

"There is no new paradigm of war. It is still fundamentally about breaking the will of your opponent."

I beg your pardon?

You seem to confuse an objective of war with the nature of war.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_von_Clausewitz

****
"Clausewitz used a dialectical method to construct his argument, leading to frequent modern misinterpretation. As described by Christopher Bassford, professor of strategy at the National War College of the United States:

One of the main sources of confusion about Clausewitz's approach lies in his dialectical method of presentation. For example, Clausewitz's famous line that "War is merely a continuation of politics," ("Der Krieg ist eine bloße Fortsetzung der Politik mit anderen Mitteln") while accurate as far as it goes, was not intended as a statement of fact. It is the antithesis in a dialectical argument whose thesis is the point—made earlier in the analysis—that "war is nothing but a duel [or wrestling match, a better translation of the German Zweikampf] on a larger scale." His synthesis, which resolves the deficiencies of these two bold statements, says that war is neither "nothing but" an act of brute force nor "merely" a rational act of politics or policy. This synthesis lies in his "fascinating trinity" [wunderliche Dreifaltigkeit]: a dynamic, inherently unstable interaction of the forces of violent emotion, chance, and rational calculation.[1]

Another example of this confusion is the idea that Clausewitz was a proponent of total war as used in the Third Reich's propaganda in the 1940s. He did not coin the phrase as an ideological ideal—indeed, Clausewitz does not use the term "total war" at all. Rather, he discussed "absolute war" or "ideal war" as the purely logical result of the forces underlying a "pure," Platonic "ideal" of war. In what Clausewitz called a "logical fantasy," war cannot be waged in a limited way: the rules of competition will force participants to use all means at their disposal to achieve victory. But in the real world, such rigid logic is unrealistic and dangerous. As a practical matter, the military objectives in real war that support one's political objectives generally fall into two broad types: "war to achieve limited aims" and war to "disarm” the enemy—i.e., “to render [him] politically helpless or militarily impotent." Thus the complete defeat of one's enemies may be neither necessary, desirable, nor even possible."

****

Take particular note of the final two sentences. Martin van Creweld at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem has moved away from the Clauswitz model to take modern constraints into account.

From "The Coming Anarchy: Shattering The Dreams Of The Post Cold War" by Robert Kaplan.

"Just as it makes no sense to ask 'why people eat' or 'what they sleep for',"writes Martin van Creweld, a military historian at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem, in 'The Transformation of War' "so fighting in many ways is not a means to end but an end. Throughout history, for every person who has expressed his horror of war there is another who found it the most marvelous of all the experiences that are vouchsafed to man, even to the point that he later spent a lifetime boring his descendants by recounting his exploits." When I asked Pentagon officials about the nature of war in the twenty-first century, the answer I frequently got was "Read van Creweld." The top brass are enamored of this historian not because his writings justify their existence but, rather, the opposite: van Creweld warns them that huge state military machines like the Pentagon's are dinosaurs about to go extinct, and that something far more terrible awaits us.


****
If you are going to debate this, it would help if:

A. You read some of the relevant material and...

B. You could cite such material to back up your argument.

celticdragon
January 3, 2009 1:23 PM

"And world opinion accounts for what? Nothing. How can it be an impedement to Israeli victory when it is nothing more than moral preening. No action will come of it. Except more condemnation."


Can you really be that ignorant? I am reluctant to think so, but you seem to actually believe what you wrote. It is world opinion that shape POLICIES of the constituent governments of the world, but not in your world, it would appear. Rather, it seems you are part of the "Go it alone" cowboy school of diplomacy/warfare:

"The Israel / hezbollah war is not a good example because Israel did not apply overwhelming force to hezbollah. "


Riigghhtt...

And Israel doesn't need help with trade, energy, food and diplomatic efforts to get moderate Arab states on board for various initiatives.

Nope.

Bomb and bomb again, because that works SO WELL, eh?

Airburst a HAVE NAP missile with a plutonium warhead over the Bekaa Valley, maybe? What next?

I will leave it here, except to note that this is what I get for trying to have a serious discussion with an unserious person. You can always try being a "bomb 'em so more!" blowhard over at Small Wars Journal or Abu Muqawma, but they will most likely ignore you, as I shall at this point.

Scott R.
January 3, 2009 1:34 PM

The original crime was for a bunch of atheists to decide, in the name of the false religion they rejected, that they had a right to retake a country where their putative ancestors had been defeated in AD70

Grumpy Old Man (or should I say Grumpy Old Jew Hater),

Do you sleep well at night knowing that you say the same things the Nazis did?

Just curious.

EricW,

It’s your responsibility – not the Jews' – to deal with those chapters from your bible. Those chapters have inspired Xians throughout the ages to torture and murder Jews. While we suffer physically, your souls are poisoned for not purging that hatred.

EricW
January 3, 2009 2:10 PM


Scott R. January 3, 2009 1:34 PM EricW, It’s your responsibility – not the Jews' – to deal with those chapters from your bible. Those chapters have inspired Xians throughout the ages to torture and murder Jews. While we suffer physically, your souls are poisoned for not purging that hatred.

Hey, Scott R., I'm Jewish, FYI.

And Christian.

And human.

MaartenK
January 4, 2009 8:19 AM

"This is how the Palestinians have come to make cultural heroes of their suicide bombers. And it is Israel's miserable fate to have to live next to such a people."

The Palestinians fight the war with their means. What else can they do against Israels overwhelming military force? I think Israel is the major agressor in this conflict. 5 Israelis and more than 500 Palestinians died in this conflict. Or is a Jewish life more worthy then a Palestinian one? It is the Palestinians fate to live next to such aa people.

EricW
January 4, 2009 2:47 PM

Or is a Jewish life more worthy then (sic) a Palestinian one?

Considering the Palestinians sacrifice their own women and children to fight the Israelis by making them suicide bombers or by placing them in weapons storage locations, whereas the Israelis do all they can to protect their citizens, and even use their own hospitals and doctors to care for wounded Palestinians, one could say the answer to the question depends on whom you ask.

The Palestinian terrorist would answer, "Yes."

The Israeli government would answer, "No."

Hossein
January 7, 2009 10:50 AM

US and European people pay tax and their governments give it to Israel to kill women and innocent children. Hamas was selected with Palestine nation vote. Why Israel surrounds Gaza and don't let wounded persons receive food and drug? Isn't Israel a occupier?? Isn't this an unfair war? Who has equipped Israel with F16 fighter plane?
I think Democracy and Human right is a big lie in West.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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