Populist prairie fire from the Right
My Sunday column, in which I reflect on the prospects of a healthy conservative populism, and highlight the nascent Kansas political career of our friend Caleb Stegall. I've said from time to time that 2010 should be an insurgent year...
Now that would be a (crunchy) Republicanism worth looking into! If a charismatic African-American can go from the State Senate to the White House in less than a decade, who knows what is possible in these troubled times?
Stegall in 2016? There would probably have to be continued implosion by the current GOP and continued hard times nationwide but as, Obama proved, you have to have the right man/woman at the right time.
I have to admit, the idea of lighting a match to the Republican party holds great appeal to me.
Your friend Stegall probably does have an automatic in with bird watchers, inasmuch as he is on the board of the Kansas Audobon Society, and he probably appeals to other white people who cling to agrarian roots while working in towns and eating fast food. But an inspiration to lead our nation, I really don't see it. Then again, having actually lived on ad lived from a subsistence farm, I don't think your crunchiness is really all that crunchy.
Isn't it worth noting that Palin entered politics for the same reasons that the beloved Stegall did. She saw corruption and dithering by her local representatives and decided to do something about it. Her national campaign was spent promoting McCain's split personality type of campaign, so I don't think it is fair to give her a final assessment based on those few months. I wouldn't count her out yet.
Your DMN article was a delight to read, Rod. And I've long enjoyed the snippets of Caleb's writings that you have shared here on the CC blog. I agree with most of what I read from him.
But there is one thing in your article that gives me some pause. Its this quote: "Stand up! Stand up on your own two feet. Stand on your own ground, with your own family and culture to love and care for. And if anyone comes to take that away, you give them hell!" Perhaps I am reading too much into it, but it implies that Caleb might support rolling back government environmental regulations, or at least putting land use decisions entirely in the hands of individual landowners. From my 30 years of experience in the environmental field (24 in government), I think that would be a serious mistake, one that would jeopardize the crunchy values that crunchy cons hold so dear. If you take the state environmental agency out of the picture and instead leave all of the decisions to individual landowners (or even towns or counties), then the boomers in the communities start subdividing the farms, running ATVs through the streams and filling in the wetlands. All too often, I have heard the boomers resist state environmental regulation with much the same language as quoted from Caleb above.
But perhaps I shouldn't make assumptions about where Caleb stands on land use or environmental regulation. I know he is active in Kansas Audubon, and as a fellow Audubon member myself I'm glad to hear that. I look forward to hearing in more detail what Caleb advocates in terms of land use planning and environmental regulation generally. Maybe I am reading him wrong.
Based on my experience, I think that Garrett Hardin was right when he said in his infamous "Tragedy of the Commons" that the only way to prevent us from ravaging our common resources is to rely on "mutual coercion, mutually agreed upon." And to my mind, that means that some level of land use and environmental regulation is essential. As you have said, Rod, human nature is inherently flawed (we Calvinists would say "depraved"), so we need rules.
Anyhow, I am encouraged by Caleb's foray into the political field. More power to him.
p.s. Rod, your article's take on the Palin phenomenon was rich. Loved it.
thank you, Robert, for your snide ad hominem attack on the blog's host. That was very helpful
I wish Caleb the best, and will very likely enthusiastically support him from my little home base here in Wichita if his as-yet hypothetical plans to shake up the Kansas GOP actually get that far. However, in so far as his general orientation and overarching approach are concerned, I share some of Bill's reservations. As Caleb knows, he and I share very similar (though not completely identical) aspirations for what we'd like to see our corner of America become, but we have very different (though not diametrically opposed) ideas about what would be necessary for it to achieve those ends. Caleb and many others who we could group in the "crunchy"/populist crowd are too quick, I think, to adopt vaguely libertarian, seccessionist-style responses to the complex problems of modern life (like, for instance, land use) rather than thinking in terms of populist engagement. Autonomy is an important expression of liberty, of course, but an "autonomy" that truly empowers people (and, in a sense, the land they live upon) is better called "sovereignty," and it depends, at least in part, upon the mutual action and submission that Bill wisely mentions.
Well, we'll certainly need some kind of neo-populism.
All the Republican leadership will do is trot out talk radio golden oldies ("Libruls! Gays! Socialists!"), while simultaneously stifling the red-hots. The "conservative" (read: right-wing) movement is back to what they do best--whine from a minority viewpoint, as the establishment goes on slumming.
The Democrats will continue their little inter-party squabbles, pouring money down Wall Street's gullet in the meantime. In light of the Republican collapse, it's easy to forget that the Democrats haven't really re-thought much from the '90s--they just let Bush and Co. do most of the work while they fundraise and campaign.
It would be nice to build on the developments of the past 3 years, where political dinosaurs retire/lose, more races are competitive and new blood comes in. New ideas are the next step. The liberal/conservative dichotomy doesn't hold up anymore...if it ever did?
"I hope Caleb runs an outsider campaign to get the GOP nomination. His could be a great test case for a new conservative populism in this country."
Then the test case would fail. Jefferson County, KS has a population of 20K. Only three years of service there likely wouldn't create a statewide profile, and he'd have to start his campaign in late 2011.
How could he fund his campaign, especially considering that he's already alienated his county party?
And wouldn't his localist sympathies make him prefer the state legislature to the national one?
There might be a "populist praire fire" in politics, but I seriously doubt it. It ignores the demographic shift occurring in the nation. Presently, Kansas only has six (6) electoral votes. Only on occasion, and in tangential articles, is the demographic shift discussed. One was printed today in the DMN. Texas is projected to gain three (maybe four) US House of Representatives' seats in the 2010 Census. Most all of it is the result of explosive growth of the Hispanic population. Last year, Texas accounted for the largest numerical increase in the country of Hispanic population, ahead of both California and Florida. I doubt very much that the populist rural prarie fire plank will be attractive to this Hispanic electorate. In August of 2005, Texas joined Hawaii, California and New Mexico as majority-minority states. With these new demographic projections, has Texas become a majority-Hispanic state? (In the 2000 Census, New Mexico was closest to this distinction with 43%.) And assuming "comprehensive immigration reform" is passed. (Code word for amnesty.) The politics of Texas, and other high-populated states, changes immediately.
A major problem with his reform perspective is that he's a lawyer. Is there any class of citizens who have brought more misery or ignorance upon the populace than lawyers?
What the U.S. needs is a Christian Democrat party to openly advocate for the wisdom of the West and the culture of the ages.
What's the difference between populism and socialism? The Socialists thought up the ideology follow it. Populists lack perspective. They eventually do the same thing - create the nanny state. Socialists do so because they believe in the nanny state as a moral imperative to "save" imperfect people with perfect government. Populists do it because they're in government, and have the "child with a hammer problem", which is "When all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail".
This is why I reject populism. It is the expression of people of limited and narrow vision. Populists believe THEY are the solution to other's problems, and seek goverment to empower themselves to "do stuff". Without the restraints of conservative judgement, both do all the same damage of unrestrained government excess.
Basically, no real conservative ever wants "populism". It is the opposite of conservative belief.
To add the thread's perspective... there is no and cannot be a "populism" movement from the right. Well, there could be, but it amounts to rejection of the view of limited government, and the adoption of unlimited belief in government.
Definition of Populism -
Take the wealth of the rich (anyone more successful than you) and give it to the poor and the middle class. (which includes you). In addition, build up an unhealthy chip on your shoulder about anyone who is smarter, works harder and gets more than you. Never consider the advantages that you have over others, but get really angry over the advantages others have over you.
In the republican version, include anger at immigrants and blame them for any and all of your personal shortcomings.
In both the democrat and republican versions, inherited wealth is untouched and considered somehow more valid than wealth that has been earned by the current generation.
Feel free to add to this definition.
There isn’t going to be any “populism” from either side of the aisle in 2010. A large part of the electorate is still going to be self-satisfiedly preening at itself in the mirror over being “advanced” and electing a black man President. No prairie fires there.
The next large part will be the heads of the large corporations and their hangers-on; they want bailout money, and in quantities. They'll (continue to) get it; campaign contributions will do that.
Another large part of the electorate is going to be too busy trying to keep above water financially to care overmuch about politics. They’ll take one look at the various bailouts that the Government is going to be throwing around and asking where their bailout is. Populism requires anger to fuel it. What motivates this segment of the populace is fear. No spontaneous organizations here.
The other major part of the electorate that will be trying to act their shoe size rather than their age is the Boomers. They’ll be looking to guarantee that their entitlement programs remain intact, and they won’t care overmuch if taxes go up (as they certainly will). Time to cooperate and compromise with the New Obama Establishment; no protests to be had here.
American politics in the next 20 years won’t be about “raising less corn and more Hell”. Rather, it will bear a strong resemblance to the old wag about “democracy”: three wolves and a pig deciding on what to eat for dinner.
Your servant,
Lord Karth
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