Anti-modern utopians and the Green Bubble
Really challenging piece by the young environmentalists Nordhaus & Shellenberger in The New Republic, pondering why the "green bubble" -- that is, cultural enthusiasm for environmentalism -- keeps bursting. Their bottom line: because it's a project through which the liberal...
Yes, it's really the case that we can't return to a pre-industrial past, especially a pre-agricultural one. Not without losing 95-99% of the human population first. The physics just don't support it.
Here's a tiny, minor modern example. I'm reading a lot of gardening and urban homesteading books. Many of them are based on scavenging - i.e. "Get grass clippings from your neighbors." "Pick up your neighbors' old newspapers." "Get vegetable scraps from the grocery store." (Old meme: my grocer runs a composting operation out in the country, turns the scraps into compost, and sells them back at $6 a bag.)
We were looking at our own garden though, realizing that as the garden grows, the grass clipping population goes down. We would still have enough to compost - but urban homesteading based on scavenging is *not* sustainable, not if *everyone* does it. A little Kant's imperative shows the whole thing to be shaky. There simply isn't enough biomass on 1/8th of an acre, esp. if there aren't leaves and clippings to scavenge.
Similarly, economy of scale in agriculture and manufactured goods are *why* we have material things (food and manufactured goods.) Every supposedly "self-sustaining homestead" (and this includes Amish communities too) is only able to proceed because of the larger infrastructure - which is based on economy of scale.
And economy of scale, with its vast demands for water and petroleum, is one of the major causes of environmental pollution, and destruction of lands and habitats.
Getting around it is pretty grim, because physics isn't about to be repealed anytime soon.
The specialization of labor works. I for one do not want to stop what I am really good at to become a bad farmer. I rather have some one who is devoting their life to that do it for me. That's what community is about. What we want is for everyone to do their part with a concern for the whole. I don't have enough power,money,time or talent to take on the whole by myself.
I don't think we need to return to a pre-industrial society to enjoy many of the goods that Rod advocates. We should make use of this economic crisis to simplify, simplify, simplify. Times are almost certain to get worse given Obama's slap happy spending policies and the draconian taxes that are coming, so it will soon likely be necessary for us all to return to basics to some degree. I grew up on a farm in Idaho and we did not eschew the modern world, but we didn't have so many things, repaired broken things, rarely ate out, bottled food in the summer for winter use, etc. We also were part of a strong church community that helped each other out in times of sickness or economic hardship. Our entertainment came from community sports teams, talent shows, church parties, weddings and the like. I don't live in Idaho any more (though my parents do) but I am still part of a strong church community that enriches my life immensely. I think what I most resent about the modern liberal agenda is the self-righteous harping about enviromentalism (I am sympathetic, but really don't know what to believe since I hear such different accounts from different sources!) while they make a sustained effort to destroy traditional community that centers around family (and this necessitates recognizing gender differences) and church, all in the name of equality and rights. Meanwhile, Obama is instituting more and more policies that control more and more aspects of our lives. I don't mean to sound nutty, but I've been reading James Kalb's The Tyranny of Liberalism, and I think he is right. The liberal agenda that seeks to organize life on the basis of abstract concepts that ignore how people actually organize themselves in families and communities leads to rampant materialism. If we encourage thick webs of family and local community in our social policies, we are far more likely to seek other goods and satisfactions than material ones. We should make use of this crisis not to completely eschew the modern world, but to return to some of the more satisfying pleasures of the past derived from strong interconnected community and sensible, frugal living.
Are Nordhaus & Shellenberger really making a meaningful argument here?
Modernity has nothing to do with the problem we have related to environmentalism, except in the sense that our laws are outdated. Generally, the most effective approaches to being green require people to pay for and clean up their own waste. Unfortunately our legal tradition didn't require people to clean up (nature magically did that) unless one rich person was causing a nuisance to another rich person who could afford to go to court to force the abatement of the nuisance. Businesses spent most of the twentieth century fighting against the idea that the state could stand in for the aggrieved neighbor. After all, it's much cheaper to make a mess that you do not have to pay for than to pay for that mess.
Well, we have discovered that nature can clean up some of our mess, but not all of the mess that seven billion people can make. We have to take responsibility for all of the mess we cause and the best way to do it is to make individuals and businesses responsible for the mess they make, whether they cause it directly or indirectly. I do want the poorer countries to become richer, but I don't want them to do it because we have exported our pollution to them.
New technologies are good and are, on the whole, less polluting. We just need to be certain that the pollution they do cause is either so insignificant that nature can take care of it all the time or that it is always cleaned up.
I think what I most resent about the modern liberal agenda is the self-righteous harping about enviromentalism (I am sympathetic, but really don't know what to believe since I hear such different accounts from different sources!) ...
Yes, it is offputting to listen to self-righteous yammering and the self-righteous folks tend to undermine their goals by being so.
The sources that are believable are much more easy to validate. Use sources that base their claims on established scientific research that has been validated by other researchers. Do not listen to people who have a political agenda and engage in science-denialism. If someone accuses scientists of lying without providing a clear explanation, supported by evidence, do not believe them. Remember that businesses have a long history of making fake science claims. Look at the cigarette industry and its fight against the evidence that cigarettes cause serious illnesses.
That is not to say that all businesses will lie all the time, but there will be those who are tempted to ignore the evidence or make false claims about what was found. Look at how long businesses and some politicians refused to acknowledge that human activity is a major contributor to changes in the world-wide climate. Are the solutions that are being discussed the best ones? I don't know, but I do know that those who refused to even acknowledge the problem have taken themselves away from the table when it comes to finding a solution. Such dishonesty may be a reasonable short-term solution, but is likely to cause everyone, the businesses that refused to acknowledge the problem included, more pain, more costs.
Captcha wins another one. I was the 9:12 poster.
Ef Schumacher is as pertinent today as he was 30 years ago. I don't have my copy of Small Is Beautiful in front of me, so I can't quote his exact words, but to paraphrase, he protested the false dichotomy between a society having $1 technology and $1000 technology. Why not $100 technology, he asked? Things that are simple and cheap to make that still allow people to escape from back-breaking labor. Google "intermediate technology" for more on this subject.
Nordhaus & Shellenberger are trying to fit the evidence (weak and sporadic support for environmentalism) to support their thesis (apparently environmentalism is only motivated by rich guilt).
But they've got it entirely backwards: environmentalism isn't a popular political force because there isn't enough guilt. Especially in the developed world, the consequences of the most critically urgent environmental problems--climate change and biodiversity loss--simply will not be felt by the average citizen for the near future. It is something they feel they can put off, can downlist, for the very logical reason that they actually can put it off and downlist it. Weren't people warned decades ago about the viability of the Social Security trust fund, or how to pay for Medicare? Doesn't every young smoker know that, eventually, "those things'll kill ya"? Of course they do--but they put it off, because they know they can get away with doing that.
This is NOT a problem peculiar to environmentalism--it is basic human nature. What we have from the small, dedicated core of environmental activists is your classic "Idiocracy" scenario: given the current weight of those who choose to get involved now and those who choose to wait until the catastrophe strikes, the more an individual invests in environmentalism now the more likely they are to see that investment lose out for them.
Now, give us a QUICK and PERSONAL environmental problem--like, say, toxins in tainted food or medicine--and those get acted on lickety-split.
"Generally, the most effective approaches to being green require people to pay for and clean up their own waste."
Freelunch -- boo-yah! We need this line repeated, frequently.
This seems to be an environmental and economic version of the claim that modern people can't really ever embrace premodern, unreformed faiths without making these faiths devolve into just another "consumer choice." While there's some validity to this claim, it's not necessarily true: people grow into belief; belief changes them, so that what started as a "I need fulfillment choice" ends up having much deeper roots.
In the same way, people can decide to be "greener" and act accordingly. That they (we?) do this from an individualistic perspective--inevitable given our society--means that this choice is embedded in a system that makes premodern green living impossible. But just as in the case of "choosing" a religion, the character of the transformation can shift over time, become deeper, become more serious. Maybe we can hope that we grow into what is true over time, rather than embracing it in a superficial way.
I guess ultimately what I'm saying is truth has a transformative power of its own, both in its religious and other forms. If you take it seriously, it may transform you, beyond the parameters of the "you" who made the choice in the first place.
That said, if I never see another attempt to get people to be greener by buying more, it'll be too soon!
The elephant in the room here is religion.
If one assumes that Marx was at least half-way wrong, if one assumes that economic practices are as much the superstructural manifestation of an ideological base as the other way round, then one can't help but see why "green bubbles" in and of themselves are bound to burst.
"Green bubbles" constitute attempts to change economic practices *without* changing the ideological assumptions on which those practices are based.
We would probably be better off -- and certainly no worse -- if we had a modern economy made up of individuals with pre-modern or post-modern sensibilities than if we had a pre-modern or post-modern economy made up of individuals whose sensibilities were equally as modern as those which helped bring about the modern conditions from which they themselves have distanced themselves symbolically through blowing "green bubbles."
Instead of symbolically mimicking the economic practices of pre-modern cultures, we need to reinvestigate and to rejuvenate pre-modern ideas -- including traditional religion -- as a way of backing up to different forks in the road at which we could have taken better paths forward than the ones that we did.
Speaking on behalf of Radical Orthodoxy, John Milbank gets it right when he says "We oppose the modern, but we also seek to save it. We espouse not the pre-modern, but an alternative vision of modernity."
What's needed is a genuine traditionalism, not a Burkean conservatism or a leftist utopianism that can only ever yield unsatisfied nostalgic longing.
What's needed is a reinvestigation of tradition -- and especially of pre-modern traditions -- one that might redirect future progress in better directions than the ones we've been on and will continue to be on, barring some fundamental rethinking of our basic assumptions, as opposed to superficial revision of a few of our practices -- or barring some catastrophe.
We won't be truly posterior to our present conditions until we are truly post-modern, which will take becoming truly pre-modern -- at least virtually -- in how we think about things.
And we won't be truly post-modern (as Milbank understands) until we are post-secular.
And post-secularity is harder for our gauche-bourgeoisie to face than shopping at Whole Foods with canvas bags.
In any event it will take generations to turn things around and we should not expect to see much progress during our own lifetimes.
What we can hope for though is better prospects for future generations, and we can help prepare for those by teaching our children to unlearn the mistakes that we ourselves were taught to keep on making, to the point that it is hard for us to stop.
"why are the Republicans...not more admirably honest than greens...?
It's not an honesty competition, and there is no guaranteed reward, other than virtue, for that kind of honesty. I personally think that it won't be green hand-wringing or Republican indifference but pure supply/demand economics that will eventually drive the change back to a more localized, rural, agrarian culture. When cheap oil production eventually peaks and declines and all the oil-dependent minimum-wage urban jobs decline with it, small towns with cheap houses and farmland will attract lots of folks who'd rather grow animals and vegetables in the country than hustle scarce minimum-wage, fast-food and telemarketing jobs in the city.
I don't think of this change as a universal solution that will be embraced by all, or as a renunciation of modernity or a disappearance of big cities, but as an inevitable change that will work for increasing numbers of the disenfranchised living in the cities right now.
Nick the Greek,
One of the things we seem to forget is that even old, adequate technology like bicycles continues to improve. Bicycles became affordable for the masses by 1900 with a price around $50.00 (roughly $1,000 in today's prices). That bike might have been as mechanically sound as what you can get for $200 today (though there was no adjustable gearing). A thousand dollar bicycle today is superior in all respects to the product available then. Sewing machines and other tools have similar improvements.
[also 9:56 am]
That said, if I never see another attempt to get people to be greener by buying more, it'll be too soon!
Good luck with that. Marketing folks use whatever they can get their hands on to sell their products. Green, sure, works for them.
It is true that sometimes it is green to replace something that works, but inefficiently, with something that is more efficient, but most of the time, the greenest choice is to keep using what you have. Building new products has an impact, something the green marketers cheerfully ignore.
Yes, it's really the case that we can't return to a pre-industrial past, especially a pre-agricultural one. Not without losing 95-99% of the human population first. The physics just don't support it.
Physics as we know it does not support a human population of 7 billion (our current figure, give or take), let alone the 9 billion expected (on the basis of mathematical calculation) by 2040, even with our present technology, let alone a pre-industrial level.
Perhaps new ways of producing enough food and at the same time controlling environmental degradation will be developed which will allow such human population numbers. We'd better hurry up. The more likely result is the "losing 90% of the human population" scenario.
But as others here point out, human beings do not seem capable of addressing problems of this complexity and this scope. We're better at immediate threats. This one is a threat all right, but not of the sort we are equipped to counter.
So, what are we left with? "Green" movements by people who are alert and well-educated enough to see the outlines of the problem (and who have the wealth to think about such things instead of worrying about where their next meal is coming from) but which address largely the emotional anxieties of the "Greens" without actually doing much to solve the problem.
I hate to think that we're just going to sit here until we encounter whatever it is that will reduce the global human population by 90%, but I'm wondering if any other scenario is realistic.
Nordhaus and Schellenberger make their living by writing "bold" pieces for eastern, urban mags bemoaning the "death of environmentalism." Meanwhile, the real work of environmentalism goes forward in the way that Wendell Berry describes: with small, humble and humbling tasks that make no one rich or famous and get little attention from brainy mags like The New Republic. Dams that blocked passage of migratory salmon are being removed. Roads are being torn up in national forests. Wolves are returning to many states where they were wiped out decades ago. Elk are being reintroduced in Eastern states, while bighorn sheep and mountain goats are being reintroduced all over the West. In many areas, cougar populations are at all time highs. Lands that were drained and diked a century ago are being restored to wetland status. Streetcars and light rail and being put back into our cities. Bicycles are taking their place as respected modes of transportation. Farmers markets are springing up in nearly every city. A significant number of farmers are transitioning to organic practices, or at least reducing the amount of pesticides they use. Demand for backyard vegetable gardening supplies is skyrocketing. Consumer demand is shifting toward more efficient, green products. Landowners are placing conservation easements on their properties, to prevent them from being subdivided.
Don't pay too much attention to Nordhaus, Schellenberger and their ilk. I've worked in the environmental field for 30 years, and the movement is doing just fine, thank you. It is far deeper, and more diverse (culturally and politically) than Nordhaus and Schellenberger have ever wanted to admit.
Dang the Captcha. The 10:26 post under Your Name was mine.
Rod,
Why do you frame every single seemingly social responsible movement involving the dread "elites" (e.g. libruhls and city slickers) as some sort expression of their insecurity and anxiety? You then speculate (provide) an answer - they lost their down-home, churchy, rootin-tootin roots or something. You did this for the "local food" movement in a recent post and now this. Why? I can't understand why you think this way. I live in Ft. Greene Brooklyn. I go to the "local" food farmers market (i.e. small farms with seasonal produce from relatively near the city). Expression of my anxiety, Rod? Or because I want some fresh ramps? Or does that make me a mega-appropriator snob or whatever?
It's like you feel the need to cut this "coastal" culture you've half-imagined down. It's seems like projection - *you* possess class and status anxiety. I get it. I'm from a small middle to lower class PA town and many of my friends in the city were born truly wealthy, attended elite universities, or both. There's some culture shock. I feel like you've retained some resentments from when you lived in NYC. I understand the dissonance, I do. But realize it's within *you* and the people who're like-minded probably feel the same way.
One more thing:
I used to work in a biopharmaceutical facility for a major pharma company. We made a coagulation factor for hemophiliacs. It was a recombinant human gene engineered into animal cells, cultured en masse, purified and packaged. It was somewhat revolutionary for sufferers of that condition; before recombinant coag factor production, hemophiliacs had to get blood transfusions or use animal coag factors, leading to blood-borne disease and immune reactivity issues. Recombinant human coag factors eliminate this risk entirely.
And biopharm facilities are extremely expensive and state-of-the-art. We could not have them w/o our modern industrialized economy. Ditto for most of the rest of modern medicine, communications, and on and on and on. People like Rod who express desire for some sort of pre-industrial Jeffersonian utopia don't realize at *all* how good they have it, don't realize how much accumulated knowledge and technology (even the cheap kind)that they take for granted is a result of this effort and system. They think it's all Nintendo Wiis and plastic toys. It is not.
The opponents of modernity do not have to be resisted. It is sufficient to merely ignore them.
Charles Cosimano: yes, and I think the best way to do this would be to pop up on every thread on their blogs and say "look at me, everybody, I'm ignoring you".
Freelunch: Schumacher's point is that not everyone can afford a $1000 bike, but it is more and more difficult to find a simple $50 bike because everyone wants the adjustable gearing and other features that they could probably do without, nice though they may be. I'm speaking metaphorically here, I'm not a cyclist, so I have no idea whether this example is literally true or not.
This sort of thing enjoys a long history in the US, and all sorts of religious groups have gotten in the act throughout. There was a Catholic "rural life" movement decades before Matthew Fox and Rosemary Radford Ruether discussed environmentalism. (I won't get expelled from this blog for mentioning them, will I?) Regardless of inspiration or agenda, though, the movements crash because 1) farm work is damned hard; and 2) the folks doing it get tired of being told what to do. However, I guess laissez-faire doesn't always mesh with certain interpretations of communitarian ethics.
Nick the Greek: One of the things we have seen over time is that the entry level item is no longer made because it cannot successfully compete against the used market. If I, for example, have a budget of $8,000 for a car, I wouldn't buy a new car, even if it were available. I would buy a better used car that has a slightly shorter remaining life but a better resale value in the event I choose to sell it later on. At some point, the lack of demand for products that are the most basic will cause that product not to be built any more.
I do not know of a single wealthy enviro who has been more willing to give up their mountain house, or their lake house, or their private jet travel, or their cars than any Limbaugh conservative. They make sweet sounds of nature but are as selfish as anyone else (see Al Gore) and are as hypocritical as John Edward's was nattering on about poverty while bonking his "media advisor" and living in a 28,000 sq. ft. house. Sure, let's garden and compost and eat tasty fresh and organic veggies. This and all the rest will effect less than 1% of overall energy use.
Also, the $100 dollar technology will sometimes not do the job (see laughable's post about biopharma and hemophilia above), and who decides when the $100 is enough and not one penny more? Only the state, and we've seen what state run economies are and do.
We can never go back to agrarian society, or can only go their if 90% of the world's population is eliminated (which does seem to be the implied wish of radical environmentalists.) It is only more technology that can help us, not less. Just think if fusion energy could be developed and perfected, a clean, carbon free, limitless supply of electricity forever. Maybe a dream, but a more realistic one than that of many greens.
Re: $50 vs. $1,000 bicycles
You can also spend $1,000 on a single speed fixed gear bike... that is the ultimate status symbol for a certain sort of SWPL person! "I just spent a lot of money on a bike that has NOTHING fancy on it!"
http://cgi.ebay.com/LEMOND-FILLMORE-SINGLE-SPEED-FIXED-GEAR-FIXIE-BICYCLE_W0QQitemZ300267117954QQcmdZViewItem
For the record, gears on a bike are useful, though you could probably get by with a single-speed in flat terrain. I wouldn't count gears as a deletable option, same as with a car.
I also wonder why we have to make the choice between either modernity, warts and all, or Stone Age living. Why not just a reasonably well-calibrated level of technology? Why not keep the good and flush out the bad?
Having a genetic disability I think I share a liking of modernity. It's hard to long for something that would've meant you'd die in infancy or, at best, live a life of near-total isolation where you can rarely leave your house.
I don't know if that means liking all elements of modernity or like "Modernism" at all. Still to me it's not liberal to be content in the modern world. Liberal would be wanting absolute autonomy, I don't, and Progressive would be wanting the things of the past to largely be abandoned. (I don't) I believe in continuity, I just don't believe in turning totally backward. I don't think that's liberal at all. Did Edmund Burke want to return to the Medieval era?
Freelunch: Schumacher's point is that not everyone can afford a $1000 bike, but it is more and more difficult to find a simple $50 bike because everyone wants the adjustable gearing and other features that they could probably do without, nice though they may be. I'm speaking metaphorically here, I'm not a cyclist, so I have no idea whether this example is literally true or not.
I am a cyclist. As to whether you can "do without" adjustable gearing, that depends on two factors: the terrain, and your physical condition.
These two obviously interract. If you are a 20-year-old superbly conditioned preying-mantis-type (I refer not just to the helmet and the spandex, but the body build) you don't need gears even in San Francisco. You can be a dumpy old lady in Amsterdam and be perfectly happy without gears, since all of Holland is as flat as a table. (In Amsterdam going over a culvert counts as a "hill".)
Since the vast majority of us are neither 20 years old nor preying mantises nor live in Amsterdam, most of us are happier - and more likely to cycle - if we have modern gearing.
However. In line with midtown's very sensible post, I'd point out that very solid, very reliable multi-speed bikes can be had, new, for about $350. $50 and $1,000 are not the only possible choices. All these arguments tend to unrealistic extremes.
Physics as we know it does not support a human population of 7 billion (our current figure, give or take), let alone the 9 billion expected (on the basis of mathematical calculation) by 2040, even with our present technology, let alone a pre-industrial level.
Hogwash. Crop yields have been increasing steadily for over a century. Millions of acres of farmland around the world are being abandoned because they are no longer profitable. Millions of acres are also still being farmed by animal and man power rather than machinery, and without the yield enhancing benefits of the green revolution.
But it's coming. In just the last few years I've seen powered irrigation and tractors becoming more common in India. I suspect much the same is happening all over Asia, and will in Africa too (if it isn't already). Feeding 9 billion people is not impossible. I'm not sure what "physics" math you are using to support that, but modern agriculture could likely feed many many more than 9 billion.
Feeding 9 billion people is not impossible. I'm not sure what "physics" math you are using to support that, but modern agriculture could likely feed many many more than 9 billion.
Perhaps.
But food isn't the only problem. Notice how we've just about fished out the oceans? Know anything about air quality? Rate of extinction of other species, with attendant degradation of the ecology? Know how many people have no access to clean, safe water, even at our current population?
Not to mention climate change.
And we may indeed have plenty of food, but there are still a lot of hungry people, even as it is. Any words on that?
And your 9 billion? Is it the idea that they will all be sterilized in 2040, or does this thing just keep going?
Does it ever stop? Will there be 18 billion in 2070? That's what the math says. Can we feed all of them too? How about 36 billion, when it doubles again? What will the quality of life be like for those 9 billion or 18 billion?
I guess I'm not sure where your argument goes. Are you contending that we can continue to double and re-double the human population of the planet indefinitely? I won't be alive in 2070, but there are people reading this right now who will be. I wish them a lot of luck, they're going to need it.
Much of the problem around emissions and energy usage will be self-resolving over time. LED lighting can produce the same output as incandescents while using less than a quarter of the electricity and producing far less heat. Insulating buildings has improved in the last couple of decades. The move to solid state drives will mean computers use less electricity and produce less heat. Electric drive trains for vehicle are far more efficient than mechanical ones.
There are two weak links holding back a revolution in energy usage. One is production costs. They are coming down for most of these technologies, and for things like solar panels. But it is a long slow process that most people don't notice.
The other big hurdle is batteries. Our current battery technology leaves a lot to be desired. We really need a 10-fold performance increase in batteries to see major changes occur, and they will need to use available materials - not some super-rare element that we can't easily obtain. What we could use is a massive X-Prize for a better battery.
Your Name
Birthrates are plummeting worldwide. Current projections are that world population will level off at around 10-11 billion then start declining. Air quality has been improving for decades and will continue to do so, unless you think people in India and China will fail to adopt westernized emission standards because they like breathing exhaust.
Overfishing is a problem, but there are things that can be done to mitigate it (such as providing incentives to let stocks recover.
But you are wrong about water. I've been in rural India. I've even survived a bout of Cholera - thank God for pedialyte. The water problem is not caused by population, but by poverty. They can't afford the kind of water treatment that we take for granted. You may want to blame poverty on overpopulation. That's a different discussion. But the fact is that most people who don't have safe water supplies now would have them if they had money.
So what exactly would you do about population anyway? A China style one-child policy?
The problem with the greens is that they have degenerated into left-wing nuts promoting a de-industrialist political agenda.
The developed world has largely solved the environmental problems. I lived in SoCal in the 80's and occasionally go there today on business. I can tell you the place is FAR cleaner than it was in the 80's. Its the same with Japan. Friends of mine who grew up in Tokyo in the 70's told me that it was like Mexico City in the summers. Today it is clean. Pollution is largely a problem of the developing world. I believe it is a part of the development curve (much like sweatshops) and the best way to get over the pollution problem is to get the rest of the world to develop as quickly as possible. Having lived and traveled in much of Asia, I stand by this conviction.
In my opinion, the greens were a positive force in the U.S. during the 70's when we really did have serious environmental problems. The problems began when the original baby-boomer activists left the green movement in the early 80's because they started having real lives, like families and careers and, thus, had no time for frivolous politics. The hard core de-industrial leftists began to hijack the movement in the mid-80's.
It was actually the cold fusion fiasco in 1989 that finally made me decide the greens were completely full of it. During the 6 weeks when the world collectively held its breath and thought cold fusion was real, many of the "leaders" of the green movement publically denounced cold fusion, saying it was a bad thing. This is when I decided they were full of it and that they really did not care about environmental issues and were using such only to promote a political agenda of de-industrialization.
Rich,
Hope you're right about all this.
Meanwhile, the real work of environmentalism goes forward in the way that Wendell Berry describes: with small, humble and humbling tasks that make no one rich or famous and get little attention from brainy mags like The New Republic.
Translation: The people harmed by it, for no practially measureable benefit, are unimportant and ignored by the media.
Dams that blocked passage of migratory salmon are being removed.
Mostly nonsense. One can hardly find ANY example of a dam removed that "released" migratory salmon. Generally, the emotional shouts were raised, and millions of dollars raised from far remote people to buy the political body off, as a response to closer or even local people attempting to better themselves.
Roads are being torn up in national forests.
Definitely true. And moronically stupid.
Wolves are returning to many states where they were wiped out decades ago.
Because they aren't compatible with the use of the land.
Elk are being reintroduced in Eastern states, while bighorn sheep and mountain goats are being reintroduced all over the West.
Does it give you wet dreams at night? Can you point to ANY ACTUAL benefit, other than the emotional gratification of people far away? I thought not. Meanwhile, the use of organized fundraising using the very methodology (guilt tripping the wealthy) is used to steamroll and destroy the local lives of millions, again, ignored by the media. Often, the hardship and pain is celebrated by those who see the rural idiots as the obstruction to their utopian vision.
In many areas, cougar populations are at all time highs.
Yeah, the stories of encroachment upon, and entanglement with human populations are rampant out west. I hope it's YOUR kid who gets mauled, of course.
Lands that were drained and diked a century ago are being restored to wetland status.
Wasting massive amounts of precious water, and implementing almost no measurable improvement of ANYTHING.
Streetcars and light rail and being put back into our cities.
Billions and billions of debt heaped upon our children for useless stuff nobody WILL EVER USE. Hope it made you FEEL better for a moment, at least.
Bicycles are taking their place as respected modes of transportation. Farmers markets are springing up in nearly every city.
This is the normal cycle of capitalism, where people seek and exploit niche markets. Healthy and good. But, I live 23 miles round trip to the nearest store of any significant size. And it's 1800 feet elevation change along the way. Not doing it on a bicycle.
A significant number of farmers are transitioning to organic practices, or at least reducing the amount of pesticides they use.
Actually, most have sought this for as long as they've been around. Recent technological improvements have made it possible, too. Good thing.
Demand for backyard vegetable gardening supplies is skyrocketing. Consumer demand is shifting toward more efficient, green products.
Landowners are placing conservation easements on their properties, to prevent them from being subdivided.
And creating lots of future problems. But hey, shift off problems to the future, for emotional gratification today... I mean, radical ideological gratification is definitely worth more than future problems, right?
The REAL resource limits of the Earth:
http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/progress/
This is John McCarthy's website. John McCarthy is an AI researcher at Stanford.
If you use conventional agriculture (no biotech), its around 15 billion people. If you use biotechnology to make food and extraterrestrial resource utilization (e.g. asteroid mining) for key Platinum group metals, the limits are around 30-40 billion people.
In any case, it is well-known that birthrates decline with industrialization. The fact this is a true for the Islamic Republic of Iran as it is for secular Europe suggests to me that birthrate decline is a universal phenomenon. In other words, population growth itself in not a problem. Societies and governments can afford to have a "neutral" policy on population growth.
Note that I did not say anything about the desirability of having this many people on Earth.
Snoozer:
[restoring wetlands]=implementing almost no measurable improvement of ANYTHING.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/9118570/
"2.7 miles of wetlands = 1 less foot of storm surge" sounds pretty measurable to me. I wonder how many fewer people in New Orleans would have drowned if the region's wetlands had been properly protected.
Your Name
I hope so too, and time will tell. One optimistic point is that food production and energy efficiency have been increasing for a century and that lots of resources are being dedicated to continuing that trend.
As I have long said, environmentalism does not start with random people using 15 less watts an hour because they purchased CFL bulbs.
It started with an office building adding a computer policy that shutdown down monitors after 10 minutes of idle, and saves 15 kilowatts a day.
It starts with a manufacturing plant that reuses coolant water, instead of just throwing it out, reducing electrical use and the load on the water and sewage system.
It starts with upping average MPGs slowly each year.
At the individual level, environmentalism is almost total nonsense. If 20% of the population was hardcore environmentalists, and they aren't if they were and reused Product X and thus bought half as much of it as the rest of population...we'd get exactly the same effect if we just put laws into place requiring such a product to be 10% less wasteful. The differences is, one of those is actually attainable.
And requiring that sort of stuff from businesses is exactly where the right has stood in the way. Oh, sure, they run around mocking individual efforts at environmentalism, but they won't stop recycling centers from being built.
But attempt to require that all companies stop wasting gallons of water for each doodad, and they'll leap into action to vote it down, yelling about the free market.
Fine, we say, and we attempt to operate in a free market manner forcing companies to pay for the entire cost of their stuff. If they make something, they should have to pay for disposing of it. They should have to pay for what they spew into the air. But no, that's not acceptable either, somehow.
No, that means we're being 'anti-business', and we should go back to extolling the virtues of hemp clothing or reusing toilet paper or some. We should go back to the imaginary environmentalism that doesn't actually do anything, instead of actually attempting to change the biggest resource wasters and pollutant and trash producers, which is so obviously the corporate world we don't even need to discuss it.
kurt9
I had a similar experience a couple of years ago. I was talking to a friend about CO2 and suggested using reforestation and even carbon scrubbing as possible approaches. This person said, quite angrily, "But that doesn't do anything about emissions! You would still have cars spewing pollutants!". When I pointed out that emissions wouldn't be a problem if there were some way to remove the carbon from the air she completely wigged out. "So you're just going to let cars continue polluting the air because we can clean it up?". She got very angry about it.
About a week later I had almost the exact same conversation with a relative. He said almost exactly the same things she had and got almost as mad as she did. It was unthinkable to both of them to continue living in a world where anything came out of an exhaust pipe, regardless of what could be done to clean it up. I had much the same reaction as you did to the cold fusion announcement. They didn't want to address carbon. They wanted either "magic cars" or no cars at all.
FWIW, one drives a high-end Euro luxury car, the other drives a full size pickup.
I didn’t read that particular article on greens, but as a regular New Republic reader I can confidently predict that, even as we speak, someone is composing a response either for the article’s comment section or for one of the magazine’s own blogs. In this response, someone who knows this stuff better than I do will point out that the article’s authors are understating the achievements of environmentalism, which in fact has had many successes in its relatively short life: reducing acid rain in the Northeast, cleaning up what were once open sewers with names like “Lake Erie” and “the Thames,” preventing automative exhausts from building up to the point of making the Los Angeles basin literally uninhabitable, eliminating fallout from above-ground nuclear tests, creating more energy-efficient cars and appliances, reforesting and restoring various wildlife habitats, and so on.
What produced these solutions was a combination of measures: new regulatory regimes (the Clean Air and Clean Water Acts, federal fuel-efficiency standards, sulfur dioxide cap-and-trade), international agreements and pressures (the Montreal Protocol, the Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty), improved and add-on technologies (smokestack scrubbers, catalytic converters), and so on. Further such improvements are on the horizon, and while big challenges remain, there is enough concern among those elites mentioned in the New Republic article to ensure that serious efforts to respond to them will continue – provided one thing: that Republicans are not given control of the government again. When they’re in power, progress stops or is reversed, because the GOP is a party controlled by a coalition of know-nothings, wacked-out holy rollers and agents of the major polluters. The known-nothings include people like John Boehner, who said just a couple of days ago that it’s “comical” to suggest that atmospheric carbon dioxide is carcinogenic, which he apparently thinks is what scientists and environmentalists are saying. (For the uninformed: carbon dioxide is not a problem because it causes cancer but because it traps sunlight in the atmosphere and oceans. For the Republican leader of the U.S. House not to understand something so basic is outrageous political malpractice.) The holy rollers include people like Sen. James Inhofe who think that burning as much fossil fuel as possible is God’s will, and anyway the End is Nigh, so who cares? And the agents of industry include people like former oilmen George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, and of course Sarah “Drill Baby Drill” Palin, who on these issues also qualifies as a wacked-out holy roller. (Strictly speaking, Palin’s an agent not just of industry but of the Socialist Republic of Alaska, which happens to sit atop fossil fuels that the state’s residents control in collectivist fashion and license to oil companies for their personal profit.)
It’s true that even if the U.S. and other Western countries have enlightened leadership, they can’t unilaterally solve the problem created by development in countries like China and India. But the leaders of those countries don’t want an uninhabitable planet either, and there are various pressures they will respond to as part of a coordinated worldwide policy – again, as long as Republicans have nothing to do with it. Indeed, the main environmental challenge of our time is defeating Republican candidates for office, because without that, nothing else that’s good for the planet is ever likely to happen.
Snoozer, there was a dam on the Sandy River, about twenty miles from where I'm sitting right now, the destruction of which has opened hundreds of miles of upstream rivers and tributaries for salmon and steelhead. Those of us who actually live here think it's a Very Good Thing. I don't know about wet dreams, (and why so damn snarky, anyway?) but, yes, I think that it's terrific that native species are being re-established over their former ranges. I prefer living in a world with elk and mountain goats and cougars and wolves. It's okay for herons and ducks to have some wetlands, instead of Federally subsidized alfalfa growers.
It's odd that you, who comes across as a conservative, are so set against actually conserving. It's even odder that you as a Christian apparently despise so much of God's creation, things that you think provoke wet dreams, such as elk and mountain goats.
The whole article sounds like typical TNR contrarianism.
Environmentalism has had many successes in its relatively short life: reducing acid rain in the Northeast, cleaning up what were once open sewers with names like “Lake Erie” and “the Thames,” preventing automative exhausts from building up to the point of making the Los Angeles basin literally uninhabitable, eliminating fallout from above-ground nuclear tests, creating more energy-efficient cars and appliances, reforesting and restoring various wildlife habitats, and so on.
What produced these solutions was a combination of measures: new regulatory regimes (the Clean Air and Clean Water Acts, federal fuel-efficiency standards, sulfur dioxide cap-and-trade), international agreements and pressures (the Montreal Protocol, the Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty), improved and add-on technologies (smokestack scrubbers, catalytic converters), and so on. Further such improvements are on the horizon, and while big challenges remain, there is enough concern among those elites that the New Republic talks about to ensure that serious efforts to respond to them will continue – provided one thing: that Republicans are not given control of the government again. It is outrageous that a major political party is controlled by people like John Boehner, who said just a couple of days ago that it’s “comical” to suggest that atmospheric carbon dioxide is carcinogenic – as if anybody thought that was the problem. And this is to say nothing of former oilmen like Bush and Cheney, religious millennarians like Sen. James Inhofe, and of course Sarah “Drill Baby Drill” Palin.
It’s true that even if the U.S. and other Western countries have enlightened leadership, they can’t unilaterally solve the problem created by development in countries like China and India. But the leaders of those countries don’t want an uninhabitable planet either, and there are various pressures they will respond to as part of a coordinated worldwide policy – again, as long as Republicans have nothing to do with it. Indeed, the main environmental challenge of our time is defeating Republican candidates for office, because without that, nothing else that’s good for the planet is ever likely to happen.
The Water Crisis, A Practical Solution
The Water crisis is the most serious problem humanity has ever faced. Water pollution has infused the entire food chain with neurotoxins, poisons and pharmaceuticals, all of which damage the health and survivability of man and planet. The cause is our modern, water based sewer system. We flush all of our disposables down the drain, into the sewer system where more chemicals are added and then finally pumped back into our water system. Water based sewer systems are the prime polluters and our use of them has proved to be full of unintended and unanticipated horrors. The use of water based sewer system wastes and contaminates the entire water supply with pollutants and nutrients that if captured and recycled, could provide sufficient agricultural nutrients to ensure a sustainable food supply.
One practical solution to the water shortage is to replace our centralized water based sewer system with on site, waterless toilets and recycle grey water. Grey water is the water from the kitchen and shower and can be recycled, on site and reused for landscaping. This will reduce our demand on the water source by 80 percent while simultaneously creating a sustainable, renewable, agricultural resource, namely, organic nitrogen.
No Mix toilets collect urine and feces in separate places, the toilet bowl has two drains, one, in the front for the urine and one in the back for the feces. The feces are dry composted and the urine is processed for agricultural purposes. Separating toilets protect the water supply and provide a renewable, safe, low cost source of nitrogen, enough to greatly reduce our dependence on foreign natural gas and oil. The important key is to separate the valuable, nitrogen rich urine, human urine is 18% organic nitrogen, at the source, before it is mixed with feces and before it is flushed into the water supply.
The economic potential of capturing human urine is stunning. Human urine is 18% organic nitrogen and has been used in agriculture for thousands of years. Sweden, Germany, Holland and many other countries have been using and processing human urine for agricultural purposes and to protect the environment from water based sewer systems. Human urine is the only renewable, sustainable and economically feasible source of nitrogen available to humanity and it is free.
What is the economic value of human urine? Here is how it works, the value of comparative petroleum derived fertilizer with the same 18% nitrogen content is approximately $10.00 a gallon and requires a massive polluting industry that is not renewable. The average person produces 2 liters of urine a day or roughly $5.00 worth of organic nitrogen. A city like Miami flushes down the drain 10 to 20 million dollars worth of nitrogen a day and spends another fortune to do it. Integrated Recycling is the future of our economy and could replace taxation in funding community services. The cities will become fertilizer factories and urban and suburban farming and food production could provide a sustainable, local food supply. Schools and churches could be nurseries and local gardening centers, hubs of city and urban agriculture and recycling. This could be a sustainable, local system that is a renewable doable foundation for local economies. Local food production is the basis of all economies and the missing component in modern cities.
This kind of integrated recycling is highly profitable and turns three life threatening problems, water shortage, water pollution and imported oil into one sustainable, environmentally positive and economically beneficial solution.
Water based sewer systems unnecessarily wastes and pollutes our most valuable resource, clean water. There is only one water supply for the entire earth. We share this single resource with 6.5 billion other humans and with all living organisms. Water should be regarded as our most important natural resource and shared birthright. Water is the first thing mankind must agree to share according to the highest collective principle. Water is the tie that binds us together, for better or for worse.
Water is the blood of the earth and a true sacrament, something we all share, something that is absolutely necessary for life. We should not pollute the water supply with chemicals, insecticides or human disposables that can and should be recycled to insure a healthy and sustainable future.
Modern, water based sewer systems could be the worst idea mankind has ever adopted. Common sense informs us not to defecate in the drinking water but that is exactly what we currently do in every city of the land. We do it without thinking. That is the problem. We are not thinking right. It is possible, conceivable, that the water crisis could be THE reason people begin to think of ourselves as truly united with everyone else on the planet, known and unknown, united in our fears, hopes and desires. 6.5 billion Separate destinies have become one destiny for us all …
No, Mr. Middleton, your solution is not remotely viable. First, you attack a false problem. Water that has gone through sewage treatment is immediately potable. Yes, you can drink it directly and safely from the output. Water has always been part of the water cycle. It doesn't disappear. We only have shortages if we have a huge number of people who live in deserts who want their deserts to look like the beautiful parts of New Jersey. If you want to live in a place that looks like Morristown, don't move to Phoenix or LA.
At least a few cities do use their waste treatment facilities to create safe fertilizers like Milorganite.
No, one day's worth of urine is not worth $5.00 to anyone. I have no idea where you got that number from.
Artie: It's not an honesty competition, and there is no guaranteed reward, other than virtue, for that kind of honesty. I personally think that it won't be green hand-wringing or Republican indifference but pure supply/demand economics that will eventually drive the change back to a more localized, rural, agrarian culture. When cheap oil production eventually peaks and declines and all the oil-dependent minimum-wage urban jobs decline with it, small towns with cheap houses and farmland will attract lots of folks who'd rather grow animals and vegetables in the country than hustle scarce minimum-wage, fast-food and telemarketing jobs in the city.
Yes, I read World Made by Hand. It's bunk. Nor are the low-educated, minimum-wage earners going to move out of cities and into the bucolic countryside, to happily till the soil. For one thing, land costs money - and the more arable it is, the better the water, the more it costs. For another, land comes with taxes - and you'd better have some job to pay them, or the land isn't yours anymore. Who collects taxes in WMBH? A stunning literary omission there.
Read the Little House on the Prairie series of books to discover that even 19th century farming/homesteading was highly dependent on manufacture and a sophisticated (for the 19th c.) transportation infrastructure. The plows, salt pork, nails, guns, lead for ammo, store cloth bought by homesteaders were manufactured in cities and shipped around by rail. People living on the land did not make these things; they sold their crops to buy them. Somehow money has to get into the system. Rural poverty is devastating, and that's what you're looking at in this idealized situation.
Rich, what I say isn't "hogwash," because the "crop yields" to which you refer have been the result of *technology* (starting with the McCormick reapers which displaced so many agricultural workers in the 1910s-1920s), and particularly petroleum- and agri-chemical-based technology. But if I read Rod and others right, that's precisely what "crunchy cons" *and* Greens want to stop. Ditto with genetically modified crops. The whole point of the "peak oil" hysteria is that petroleum *won't* be available to run modern high-tech agriculture.
ms, your comments are one of the two most sensible in the thread. Simplify, definitely - but keeping in mind that all that simplification takes place within the context/infrastructure of a modern society. We aren't going to make our own canning jars - but at least if enough people are doing it, you will be able to find them, and they'll be reasonably priced.
The second eminently sensible comment belongs to laughable, who points out quite rightly that pharmaceutical research is not done in a "world made by hand." Nor is semiconductor manufacture, or the servers and phone lines required for the internet (which enables us to have this conversation in the first place.)
Be careful what you wish for.
This article is a joke - I am amazed that this is what passes for intelligent discourse nowadays. Rod - is there any issue that we as a people face which you are not willing to blame on the liberal elites? It is amazing how much power they have and how powerless you poor helpless little non liberal elites are.
freelunch - I live outside Morristown - and if you do too then you know we have water problems here. Pollution - development which does not allow the aquifer to be recharged (lawns will finish us off), right outside of Morristown we have three municipalities in the last 10 years whose entire municipal well system was polluted with known carcinogenics. New deeper wells had to be dug in all those towns and until that happened, people in those towns got their water from tanks placed on each block. So much water is being drawn out of the Pine Barrens aquifer that the sea water has come in and now in south Jersey we have desalianation plants. We have a water problem - not just in the third world but in the US. Ask a Nebraska farmer about water. Look at the Colorado River - it once flowed freely into the Gulf - it now ends 150 miles before the Gulf in a muddy delta.
Snoozer, there was a dam on the Sandy River, about twenty miles from where I'm sitting right now, the destruction of which has opened hundreds of miles of upstream rivers and tributaries for salmon and steelhead. Those of us who actually live here think it's a Very Good Thing.
Why, of course you do. You don't need any real results, it's all about feeling, isn't it?
I don't know about wet dreams, (and why so damn snarky, anyway?)
Because I'm so 'dam' tired of all the pathetic juvenile nonsense used in our state to decide adult matters. Oh, and pathetically stupidly, too.
but, yes, I think that it's terrific that native species are being re-established over their former ranges.
Why, of course you do. Nothing happens to you. No loss, no hurt. No living destroyed, no land you used to love taken from you by people far away, sitting in comfortable homes and shielded from consequences of thier emotional tantrums. Why, you love it. Feel wonderful about yourself, and when told that others are hurt by your whimsical fantasies, just paint it over with self righteous rhetoric.
I prefer living in a world with elk and mountain goats and cougars and wolves.
Like hell you do. You live in a cement jungle, or in a heavily urbanized, slightly forested hilly terrain. ( oh, did you know that I just happen to live in Oregon, too?) You DO NOT LIVE WHERE THESE THINGS ARE GOING ON. No, you live far, far away, and don't give a damn about the hurt you cause untold people. After all, you're righteous and can post whole paragraphs praising your own love of the fine wonderful fantasies you portray about restored salmon and wolves and all those other sleeptime images you cling to.
It's okay for herons and ducks to have some wetlands, instead of Federally subsidized alfalfa growers.
You have absolutely NO idea what you're talking about.
It's odd that you, who comes across as a conservative, are so set against actually conserving. It's even odder that you as a Christian apparently despise so much of God's creation, things that you think provoke wet dreams, such as elk and mountain goats.
Oh, look at that. You can make up all kinds of nonsense and post it, pretending wisdom and knowledge of everyone's thoughts and beliefs and ideals.
Now, let me explain something. I have actually LIVED where the elk are. Where the mountain goats are. Where the wolves are. Where the salmon spawn. Where the ducks summer over. Where the deer and moose and elk wander my front yard, and the geese and ducks live in my back yard. I actually KNOW something about all of them, and not the selective bits of tripe that political organizations filter out to you to make you sit, dreamy eyed, fawning over yourself and your oh-so-superior Visa card as you raise money to empower them to live like kings and then wreak havoc on other people's lives, while having not a freaking clue how to accomplish a damn thing worth doing, but yet telling you how righteous and perfect you are for having given them money.
You really don't mind the raised electricity rates that have arrived with the advent of the "stakeholder" tax on all things good. You even tax yourself some more so those "green" guys can live with massive salaries and in places you can only dream about.
And, because people like those you so indifferently and self-righteously want to suffer needlessly have worked and built and created things, you have all you need to continue exploiting and destroying without a second thought. Oh, and posting about how wonderful and righteous you are for having done so.
Somehow I rather doubt you think that I "despise" all of Creation. Or that I don't consider being a steward of God's world a serious obligation. But, maybe you do. Doesn't really matter to me. The fact is, you've decided that YOU are the superior being, ensconced in your little mecca of liberal hell on the west side of Oregon, and that you, by virtue of your own judgement about yourself, have the right to impose your will on everone else, no matter what it does to them, and how utterly without results your plans will be.
That's the WHOLE problem with the "green" movement. And why it made no progress at all. Because it sought to "educate" those close in to the issues raised. And getting laughed at for being wrong, stupid, and ignorant. Now, they have a new approach. Raise money in New York for 'wolves in Montana' and raise money in DC and California for "water for suckers" in Klamath Lake. This way, there is no and never will be ANY accountability laid at the feet of the environmentalists for the massive harm and wrongs they have committed against both people and the land they so dishonestly claim to care about.
Raise votes in Tri-Met for a mountain in Malheur county. Lobby the I-5 corridor from Salem to Troutdale to destroy logging in Joseph. Wipe out the businesses and lives of 20 thousand people? Who cares? They were evil loggers and miners anyway, and you can justify your actions by just saying "I really LIKE clean air and water and trees!".
Did anything good happen? Well, no. But you are never called to account for your actions, nor the harm you caused others in your self righteous quest. You're insulated by a self generated cloud of fantasy virtue.
May God be the one to judge. Because I'm ready to jail the lot of you - for life, at hard labor.
Get a freaking grip, Snoozer. I grew up in Montana, among ranching folk. I know all about living around wildlife, having put in my time living in a cabin in the foothills of the Cascades. I've mucked out a cow stall, and parted out elk. Not that it matters, but I am far from being the wealthy liberal of your fantasies. I don't even know any wealthy liberals. My Dad insured lumbermills all over Washington, Oregon and Idaho, and Montana, and I traveled to his accounts with him when I was a kid. I know what a green chain is. I have hung out with, got drunk with and played rowdy songs with loggers. I hate what happened to small mill towns all over the Northwest when some idiots got worked up about the spotted owl. I think that hardcore Greenies are mostly exciteable SWPLs with no more knowledge of the natural world than what they can get from Nova. You don't know anything about me, but you feel free to lob your Rush Limbaugh talking points as a substitute for thought. You, Snoozer, are exactly the reason people with half a brain are fleeing what passes for conservatism in this country. You have this image in what I suppose you consider to be your mind, and to hell with anything that might contradict it. Arm waving and table pounding is not argument, but I suppose it's all you know. Rave on, Snoozer.
Snoozer, I live in Oregon as well, and do know what I am talking about. Have lived in Montana, too. If you want to engage in respectful discusssion, fine. Otherwise, find another hobby. Rod began with a thoughtful post, and we need to respond in kind.
Anti modernists have always had the opportunity to start ground up communities away from civilization. The problem is they always fail because people actually like modernity.
By seizing the power of the state they hope, like the communists, to force people to live the lifestyle until it sticks.
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