Crunchy Con

California crashing

Wednesday July 1, 2009

Hey California readers, how is the budget disaster affecting you? Check in and let us know....
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Comments
Observer
July 1, 2009 8:51 PM

Well, this sounds trivial but it sort of isn't.

The state and county courts in California are laying off clerical personnel in droves, and morale is in the tank, since everyone thinks they may be next. I'm not talking judges here (yet), but the people who sort the material, file stuff, keep the calendars, like that. It turns out (no surprise here) that these are the people who keep the justice system moving. I guess we need a judge or two, but if you can't get orders filed or find anything, there isn't much for the judge to do productively. (I'm affected because I'm a lawyer actually trying to get some work done.)

Now you would think that everyone under these conditions would get really hang-loose, and let stuff get through without crossing every "t", but what seems to be happening is the opposite. The courts are bouncing everything for the tiniest little reasons, so you have to do everything at least three times over. The backlog of routine matters must be enormous. (Oh, and filing fees are going through the roof, so if you can't or won't get along with your neighbors I hope you have a lot of money.)

The last time I talked to the clerk down at our local superior court, he said that he thinks we should shut the whole thing down and solve our disputes by gunfights in the parking lot, like the OK Corral. He said he figured he was going to lose his job anyway, and that way he could make out by selling tickets.

The reason I said that this seems trivial is that it's not the first thing you think of. Courts. I mean, really. However, people continue to die (probate) and be accused of crimes (criminal) and get in quarrels (civil), and if we have no orderly way to resolve these problems....well, I don't know what will happen. Six-guns at noon maybe.

Maeb
July 1, 2009 8:52 PM

Bus fares in San Francisco went up to $2. My uncle who works with the state budget in Sac. has had to pull several all-nighters over the last couple of months. My father who is a teacher was offered early retirement (didn't take it). A few much-loved state parks near me MAY be closed. When I go to get my license renewed I will need to make sure to check what the DMV's new, shorter work hours are.

Practically speaking, it hasn't affected me that much (although I do ride the bus!) On a macro level I think it has done what everyone predicted it would do: make Californians think long and hard about what our (collective) priorities are and whether or not our politicians are working to further those (collective) causes. Hopefully this crisis will have an ameliorative affect on the deeply ingrained, rank partisan politics in our state legislature.

Erica
July 1, 2009 8:52 PM

My daughter had math tutoring at her school and it was cancelled due to the teacher being laid off. Too bad. Wonder if the anti-SSM crowd realizes how much gay weddings could have helped California's economy. Guess it doesn't matter. "Our state is as broke as a joke, but hey, at least the gays can't marry, right?" How sad.

James P.
July 1, 2009 8:55 PM

I think California would prop up its credit rating better if it paid its debts with Confederate money rather than IOUs. California is the perfect example of "you can't have it all and balance the budget without tax increases while hosting millions of illegal aliens and giving unions and loon left Democrats absolutely everything they want and imposing more government regulation than any other state."

I feel bad for Californians. Education, especially, has taken it on the chin in ways hard for the rest of us to comprehend.

Maeb
July 1, 2009 8:59 PM

Just realized how flip my previous post sounded. It *is* devastating for many. My neighbor just lost her part-time job at not-for-profit that relied on state support. The organization, which provided medical advice and referrals for the developmentally disabled, has been dismantled. My neighbor, who also runs her own business, will probably be okay. But I doubt the clients of that organization will…

Observer
July 1, 2009 9:00 PM

I saw an article today which suggested that those state parks which take federal money (that would be, nearly all of them) will not close, but rather be seized by the feds if California attempts to close them. I didn't read this too carefully, because I think the threat to close the state parks was just the Governator throwing a hissy-fit, and trying to make everyone else as miserable as he is. The amount of money "saved" would be trivial.

It's just spiteful. "You won't rubber-stamp my budget stuff, I'll close your parks, SO THERE!"

Diamantina
July 1, 2009 9:01 PM

I am a Californian on SSI, which has a combination of federal and state contributions. At the beginning of the year, I received $907 a month. In April, it went back to 2008 levels -- $870 a month. As of today, SSI payments are $850 a month. The reduction in the SSI payments is completely due to the decreased state contribution, since the federal contribution has remained the same since January 2009, IIRC. Thank goodness I live with my mother, for if I had to fend for myself I would probably be on the streets by now.

JerryS
July 1, 2009 9:06 PM

1. Teachers are being laid off in droves. Three friends have been laid off in the last three months.

2. State Serivices are being cut across the board. DMV waits are runnning 3+ hours in parts of Los Angeles.

3. Bus services are being cut.

4. Afterschool programs are being cut.

5. Charter School funding is being cut.

Just for starters.

Until California revamps it's Property Tax Laws, the state is screwed. I live in a $1.4 million dollar house (due to appreciation and AFTER the current downturn), but my property taxes are almost the same as when I purchased the home 22 years ago. I pay less than $1300 per year, yes PER YEAR, in Property Taxes. It's a joke. I can and should pay more, but the system doesn't require it.

My cousin, who lives in NYC in a condo, pays more than $5000 per year in property taxes for a condo much smaller, and in a much worse neighborhood than my house in Manhattan Beach.

Maeb
July 1, 2009 9:09 PM

James,

I wonder about the "hosting illegal aliens" complaint--I know this is one that many like to blame for CA's budget woes, and no doubt illegal workers stress our education and healthcare systems...but then again, have you ever passed through any of the agricultural parts of California? Seems like this sector of the state's economy (no small part) is basically fueled by illegal workers. I wonder if NOT hosting them (kick 'em all out!!) would really be doing our economy any favors.

Maeb
July 1, 2009 9:12 PM

I agree with JerryS. Prop 13 simply must be reformed. Also, as I may have mentioned on this blog before, I was shocked at how low vehicle registration costs here in a state that has so many cars…in AZ (not exactly a "loon left" state) I was paying twice as much to register my car.

JerryS
July 1, 2009 9:19 PM

Maeb -

Remember, if you will, that the proposed "Car Tax" by then Gov. Grey Davis is what led to his GOP-led recall.

At the time, Davis claimed the state had much bigger problems than anyone was willing to confront.

Now, 6 years later, we're in a worse situation. Arnold has actually incresed the California debt, not lowered it as he so confidently predicted.

Somewhere Grey Davis is chuckling and saying.... "I told you so...."

Grumpy Old Man
July 1, 2009 9:19 PM
http://deadletter@cox.net

We have an utterly profligate and dysfunctional government. Both parties are to blame. The Democrats are utterly doctrinaire, prisoners of the unions and the "helping professions" and the racial patronage blocs. The Republicans want to put everyone who steps on a crack in prison and won't raise taxes even when warranted.

When Earl Warren (moderabe Republican) and Pat Brown (moderate democrat) ran this state and the defense industries were strong, the freeway system was built (perhaps they should have kept the trains, but the freeways were well done), the University became one of the bast in the world, the state was reasonably friendly to business.

After the Free Speech Movement, and the crazy Jerry Brown (who may come back, God Help Us) and his crazy Supreme Court, and massive immigration from the whole world, and the decline of aerospace, the exodus of Hollywood to Vancouver and Toronto, anti-crime moral panics leading to a maassive expansion of the prison system, the rise of public employee unionism and racial patronage groups, the state has been descending into Hell in the proverbial handbasket. Middle-class people, white and otherwise have been fleeing. Business will go anywhere to get away from high costs, high taxes, and insane regulations.

If the weather weren't nice, and earthquakes on hold for the moment, the place would empty out.

No different, really, from New York and New Jersey. A preview of what could happen to the country if the free-spending, pro-racial-preference, pro-immigration, sold-out-to-bankers, crackpot environmentalists get their way. Meanwhile, the GOP is clueless and still dominated by Neocon interventionism.

Pray for the Republic. God could save what men are doing their best to destroy.

So endeth the rant.

Lord Karth
July 1, 2009 9:55 PM

If I may be permitted a question of the California members of Our Studio Audience....

Just what, exactly, does the Sacramento provincial government spend your tax dollars ON ? I'm from Upstate NY, and we've got problems of our own (led by a State Senate that is truly a Wonderful Gang of Happy Monkeys; they can't even get together to pass the most trivial of legislation), but you folks have a real prize-winner going on.

So tell me, I pray you---what do your Happy Monkeys DO with all that money they take in ?

Your (puzzled) servant,

Lord Karth

Michele
July 1, 2009 9:59 PM

JerryS, have you ever considered sending in more property tax dollars? I'm perfectly serious. If you feel you need to pay more, there would be nothing stopping you.
PS--I have a property (in WA state) that has been assessed at a slightly lower value than yours and my property taxes are 10 times what you pay per year. I'm feeling ripped off!

Observer
July 1, 2009 10:08 PM

Just what, exactly, does the Sacramento provincial government spend your tax dollars ON ? I'm from Upstate NY, and we've got problems of our own (led by a State Senate that is truly a Wonderful Gang of Happy Monkeys; they can't even get together to pass the most trivial of legislation), but you folks have a real prize-winner going on.

You know what? I don't know, and I don't know who does.

Oh. Well, the Comptroller doubtless has a spreadsheet displaying this information, but I can't find this data anywhere.

Until I see this information, I'm not voting to raise taxes. Just makes sense. You don't run out and get more money when you don't know where the money you do have is going.

Or I don't.

Lord Karth
July 1, 2009 10:33 PM

You might want to try Bing-ing "California state budget". I just ran it, and it came up with the official summary sheets for your province's '09-'10 budget. It made some references to "Proposition 98 expenditures" that I had to look up, but otherwise the information was there. It would take me a little bit to puzzle out exactly what programs are included in each spending category, but otherwise it's not dissimilar to the way NY province sets out its budget.

Either way, BOTH provincial governments spend WAY too sodding much.

I hope this helps.

Your servant,

Lord Karth

Observer
July 1, 2009 11:00 PM

Thank you, M'Lord, I'm off to have a look.

Prop 98 is education. Part of, not all of, the education budget.

Ralph Wiggum
July 1, 2009 11:00 PM

Sounds like Arnold turned into an economic girlie-man.

He could probably solve the budget crisis by making a few action films.

Amy Scott
July 1, 2009 11:34 PM
http://humblemusings.com

Here's what's wrong with America in one little story about common sense.

Want to know what CA is spending its money on?

"About 160 instructors and others get salaries for doing nothing while their job fitness is reviewed. They collect roughly $10 million a year....For seven years, the Los Angeles Unified School District has paid Matthew Kim a teaching salary of up to $68,000 per year, plus benefits. His job is to do nothing.

Every school day, Kim's shift begins at 7:50 a.m., with 30 minutes for lunch, and ends when the bell at his old campus rings at 3:20 p.m. He is to take off all breaks, school vacations and holidays, per a district agreement with the teacher's union. At no time is he to be given any work by the district or show up at school.

He has never missed a paycheck.

In the jargon of the school district, Kim is being "housed" while his fitness to teach is under review. A special education teacher, he was removed from Grant High School in Van Nuys and assigned to a district office in 2002 after the school board voted to fire him for allegedly harassing teenage students and colleagues. In the meantime, the district has spent more than $2 million on him in salary and legal costs."

Michele
July 1, 2009 11:55 PM

Amy, that union thing sure works out well for the taxpayers who have to pay for it, eh? (not)

The Sicilian Woman
July 2, 2009 12:10 AM

I work in the California State University (CSU) system. Most of the unions have given an advisory vote to the CSU chancellor's office for furloughs rather than layoffs, although we (or hopefully most of us employees) realize that stemming the damage through initial use of furloughs will only decrease the number of layoffs necessary to close the budget gap, not prevent layoffs completely. The situation is almost identical to that of California's other higher education system, the University of California.

If furloughs are approved, we will work two fewer days per month, amounting to a pay decrease of 9+%. I will be affected by that, of course, and, depending on how big the final budget gap is determined to be, I could be laid off, as well.

And all of this is addressing THIS fiscal year's budget cuts, not next year's. I expect to have my job for one year more, at most, and am definitely job searching.

trotsky
July 2, 2009 2:27 AM

For those who asked, www.ebudget.ca.gov is fairly informative if you like numbers.

Middle-class Californian (yes, there are a few of us). The state's problems have not affected my life, firsthand, in any notable way.

Even the IOUs, the banks will probably treat as cash. It's a testament to the powers of modern civilization that a government so badly run can continue to function passably.

That said, my city and county have laid off a number of sheriff's deputies and police officers, and a floor of the jail has been closed. Coincidence or not, there's been an unusual rash of burglaries in my neighborhood.

Charles Foster Kane
July 2, 2009 5:04 AM


California's problems aren't mainly financial or even political, they're consitutional. As America's Founders recognized, it's not enough to hope that wise and good people will be elected to office; you have to design the system itself carefully and in such a way that even greed and ambition will be channeled into policies that serve the public good.

Carefully designed is one thing that California's constitution definitely is not. It's a patchwork of various "reforms" dating back a hundred years, many of them driven by suspicion of politics and politicians. Well, when you disable the political system, guess what -- it no longer works well for you.

California needs fundamental (not piecemeal) constitutional reform, done right this time, and there are various proposals out there for what this might entail -- for instance:

http://www.newamerica.net/programs/political_reform/caconstitution

http://www.ucop.edu/cprc/documents/constrefrm.pdf

The one good thing about a huge crash is that it might finally get ideas like this out of the ivory tower and the think-tanks and inspire some real, action-oriented public discussion of them.

Denton
July 2, 2009 8:24 AM

"Wonder if the anti-SSM crowd realizes how much gay weddings could have helped California's economy."

What an idiotic argument. There aren't enough gays in the world to provide marriage fees enough to even make a dent in Califorinia's economic mess.

Greg
July 2, 2009 10:56 AM

This Californian left the state. I moved to Dallas yesterday. Every single person I know is laid off, waiting to be laid off or has taken a reduction in pay and/or has had their hours cut. Texas may not be a paradise, but at least I have a job and can find an affordable apartment. Although the furnace blast that hit me as my Southwest airlines plane door opened almost sent me to the ticket counter for a ticket back!

Christopher
July 2, 2009 11:03 AM

I agree with the poster who says that California needs constitutional reform. Government by referendum and amendment (prop 8 for example) is bad government. There is a reason that our founding fathers feared direct democracy and favored a representative republic. California is the poster child for many of the fears and problems described in the Federalist papers.

Christopher
July 2, 2009 11:04 AM

I agree with the poster who says that California needs constitutional reform. Government by referendum and amendment (prop 8 for example) is bad government. There is a reason that our founding fathers feared direct democracy and favored a representative republic. California is the poster child for many of the fears and problems described in the Federalist papers.

Kit Stolz
July 2, 2009 11:44 AM

As Kane said, the one good thing about this crisis is that it may force major changes. A group of huge foundations is launching an effort to rationalize the budgeting process, which could include a combination of flat tax (designed to take the volatility out of state income) and business tax (because business has quietly benefited enormously from Prop 13, more so than many homeowners).

We'll see about that. But what changes has it brought yours truly in CA? To date...nothing but a slight increase in my daughter's tuition at UC Berkeley...which is still, despite all the brouhaha, a tremendous bargain as a university.

Margie
July 2, 2009 12:37 PM

I'm employed by the state of CA and have just been notified of my 3rd furlough day a month. That's a 14% reduction in pay and it's made things tight in my one income home with 2 kids. But, for the most part our changes at home have been for the better: eating out less, fixing things rather than replacing them, being more serious about our garden, etc.
However, the state has also decided that we will all take the first 3 Fridays of the month off. Obviously, with such a bloated government, local businesses have grown up around the capitol to provide services to state employees. Closure of government offices kills their business. Friends who run a coffee shop have already laid off staff to bare bones and do most of the work themselves and now think they won't make it at all.

Your Name
July 2, 2009 2:54 PM

I'm a financial advisor and work with businesses and individuals. There is almost a sense of hopelessness amongst baby-boomers that thought about retiring at 60 or 62. Now they assume they will need to work until 75 or longer. Businesses are hunkered down and many are just barely holding on. The system in CA is broken. It takes too long to build or expand a business, they are regulated to death and the layers of bureaucracy would test the patience of Job. Capital improvements take forever to get approved, the bidding process has been criminally hi-jacked by the unions, and consequently infrastructure is crumbling. We pay more and get less than just about anybody in the country. We must 1) Do away with gerrymandering. 2)Reign in public employee unions 3) Restructure the bidding process for public works projects. 4) Return fiscal control of such projects to the local governments. 5) Get rid of term limits, or extend the terms substantially. This is just a start . . .

polistra
July 2, 2009 3:32 PM

Agreeing with the amazement at JerryS's super-low Calif tax.

I'm in Washington; my house is valued at $70K (in other words 1/20 of Jerry's), and my property tax is $600 a year (in other words 1/2 of Jerry's.) Proportionally, I'm paying 10 times what Jerry pays, and I certainly don't feel overburdened.

JerryS
July 2, 2009 4:29 PM

From Warren Buffett:

The Wall Street Journal's Aug. 15 article about me, based on an interview that I gave one of your reporters about my association with Arnold Schwarzenegger's campaign, was seriously misleading in a way that caused far-reaching reverberations. For reasons that I will explain, I could not write to you about this matter until now.

The article, featured on the Journal's front page, carried a headline and opened with paragraphs devoted entirely to California taxes. That's fair enough: taxes were certain to be a major issue in the campaign.

In talking with your reporter, Joe Hallinan, I began by asking him to record the interview. He replied that his taping equipment was not working. Therefore, in verifying with him that what I'm about to recount is correct, you will have to rely on his notes. I do not expect you to find discrepancies, given that he asked me several times to repeat the key figures that I presented.

What I said in respect to property taxes was very specific. I gave him an example of three houses, two in Laguna Beach and one in Omaha.

* The first Laguna Beach house is a property that I bought in the early 1970s. It has a current market value of about $4 million and, because of the limitations embodied in Proposition 13, carried taxes of only $2,264 in 2003 vs. $2,241 in 2002.
* The second house, located just in back of the first, is one that I purchased in the mid-1990s. It has a market value of about $2 million and, simply because I bought it later than the first, carried taxes of $12,002 in 2003 vs. $11,877 in 2002.

--------
Here's the link: http://www.wealthandwant.com/docs/Buffett_Prop13.html
-------

As long as property taxes are based upon when you purchased your house, as opposed to market value, California is screwed.

trotsky
July 2, 2009 5:24 PM

While there are some extreme discrepancies in the high-dollar coastal communities, the variation in Prop. 13 tax valuations are not typically that extreme.

I bought in '02, and I pay about twice the property taxes of my next-door neighbor, who's lived in the house since the '50s.

The fact is market forces would tax a lot of middle-class residents out of their homes simply because they bought at the right time. I have uncle in Huntington Beach, retired cabinetmaker, whose house (which he's lived in since the '60s) is worth probably a million bucks. There's no way he could pay taxes based on the market value.

In the long run, the average house turns over every seven years or so as people move. Despite the occasional extreme case, the limit on valuation increases makes a lot of sense.

Observer
July 2, 2009 5:29 PM

The property tax situation in California is complex.

Because of our boom-and-bust real estate cycles, prior to Proposition 13 (which limits property taxes to whatever you were committed to paying upon purchase, plus I think a 1% increase a year) many people found their property taxes quadrupling because of price increases in the market. Unfortunately a quadrupling of the (theoretical) price of my home does not, in itself, confer on me the ability to pay such a huge increase, since the chance that my salary has also magically quadrupled is quite small. If market values behaved rationally this might not present as much of a problem as it does, but here, they don't.

Prop 13 has introduced, however, further complexities into the market. People who buy homes and stay in them for a long time pay taxes at a rate far below that paid by people who bought more recently. That in itself might be OK, but it does form a substantial disincentive to sell one's home and buy another. Thus the market has become somewhat "sticky," with results which would be better evaluated by an economist than by me. Because property tax revenues are limited, California has a high, progressive income tax, a very good thing in itself in my opinion (since it taxes the very people who do have the money to pay), but an income tax is also very sensitive to economic downturns such as the present one.

(People say that income and sales taxes are "dependent on economic prosperity" which I think translates out to, tax people who do have money to pay the tax, which ought to be a good thing, I'd think, as opposed to taxing people who do NOT have the money to pay.)

But it's pointless to whine about all of this. Prop 13 is quite popular among California homeowners, just as rent control is popular among renters; neither one is likely to be revoked, even if both are outstandingly bad ideas.

trotsky
July 2, 2009 6:33 PM

Observer,

While it's intuitively appealing, I've never heard any evidence that California real estate turns over less often than anywhere else. The people most affected (or their heirs) have so much equity that there's a counterbalancing incentive to sell, take the money and run to Oregon or Nevada.

Your Name
July 3, 2009 12:02 AM

James P. and Maeb

The illegal alien question is a tricky one. I live in, not "pass through," an area in CA on the border of the US/Mexico where the top industry is agriculture. The following comments are based on my observations and also those of Mexican-born and Mexican-American friends and co-workers, and are in response to Maeb's questions about aliens financially burdening education and healthcare resources in this type of area.

I see how much the industry depends on alien labor - legal or illegal. I also see how education and healthcare are burdened, if not abused. Numerous families have their kids cross the border and attend K-12 local schools (one family will buy a house on the US side, just to have a US address for school purposes), overburdening them with students who don't speak English and, for the most part, never bother to learn it well because of the local culture. At least a couple of my Mexican-American co-workers are unhappy with the situation, including the abuses regarding finanical aid in higher education.

A friend of mine who works in emergency room admissions at a local hospital sees illegals get free medical care all of the time, thanks to California State, in addition to seeing the legals who go to the emergency room (paid for by CA State) at a higher cost for things as trivial as a headache and such (seriously), when these same people could have gone to a doctor's visit for much lower cost. But they're not paying the bill, so they abuse the system. She sees this on a regular basis, with some of the offenders showing up in the emergency room at least a couple times per month. Keep in mind this information comes from my friend, a Mexican-born woman (now naturalized), a single (divorced) mom who is barely making ends meet on $11/hour and who is too proud to take public aid. She is disgusted at how our system is abused.

I'm certainly aware that abuses, here or elsewhere, are not limited to any one particular ethnic group. I'd support comprehensive crackdowns on abuses across all racial/ethnic/gender lines. (Easy to say, of course; I'd love to say I have a plan for this, but I don't.) However, as this post is California-specific and Maeb's comment focused on agricultural areas, I'll say it's the Hispanic population within my local demographics that appears to be at the forefront of burdening state and local resources in terms of education and healthcare. Question is, do the decreased labor costs outweigh the education and healthcare costs? Doubt it.

Erica,

"Wonder if the anti-SSM crowd realizes how much gay weddings could have helped California's economy."

I'm with Denton. First, state fees and money spent on "Industrial Wedding Complex" sized festivities for gay weddings wouldn't save CA's budget problems. Second, I'll bet our gay brothers and sisters are feeling the employment and economic crunch just like the rest of us; so, even if they could get married, do you think they'd be crazy enough to spend Industrial Wedding Complex sized dollars, pumping them back into the economy? I'm guessing many of them would spend less. I've seen articles on how couples are spending less on weddings in these times. Makes sense. I can't see how gay couples would be very different.

Michele
July 3, 2009 12:23 AM

polistra: I didn't even know you could buy a house in WA for $70,000!

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Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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