Crunchy Con

The other Iranian time bomb

Monday October 5, 2009

Categories: Iran
Not good. Not good.: For years now, Tehran has been working hard to acquire sophisticated Russian antiaircraft missiles that would make it far tougher for Israeli planes to stage a successful attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. One Israeli lawmaker, Zeev...
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Comments
Charles Curtis
October 5, 2009 5:11 AM

Part of the tragedy of this story is how this rhetoric on the part of the Israelis highlights exactly why Iran, as a rational state actor, really needs the bomb, to radically lessen the chances that they might be attacked by the likes of Israel or the United States.

Israel is irresponsible. They carry on about Ah-mah- diddly jad, when all he is demagogic rabblerouser, like GW Bush, only without real power. The presidency there is a figurehead position. The clerics control everything in Iran. All of this "Iran is dangerous" crap ignores the reality that if they actually ever attacked Israel (or God help them, the United States) they would receive a nation annihilating counter attack that would vaporize a significant percentage of their ruling class.

Israel, afterall, has over 200 bombs and air and submarine forces adequate to deliver them.

The real reason this is news is that Netanyahu and the Israeli Right need to keep demonizing Muslims so as to justify them ethnic cleansing the West Bank.


That is what that program of settlements is, by the way. Ethnic Cleansing. They need a major "catastrophe" to push it all the way through to it's logical conclusion.

Charles Curtis
October 5, 2009 5:29 AM

Gratuitous follow on comments..

The fact that Shiite Persian Iran is very likely to be the real winner of our foray into Iraq (60% Arab Shiite population) and the major threat to the Saudis (10 - 15 % Arab Shiite population, concentrated in the oil field regions) in our absence, explains our bellicosity even further.

They're a real (if only eventual, post oil depletion and outside actor withdrawal) threat to our buddies, the Saudis, and will (as I say) help the Israelis with a nice pretext to do lots more violence to their Arabs.


That's why we're hearing all this nonsense. Remember how Saddam was dangerous? It's the same lame line of bulls**t. The masters of propaganda now how to get us all in a tizzy.


Think about it. They're no crazier than the likes of Rick Santorum or Dick Cheny ..


Admittedly, that's pretty bats**t crazy.

Just not suicidal.

Charles Curtis
October 5, 2009 5:49 AM

More gratuitous unedited commentary:

Ahmad- diddly- jad draws the attention of the guy on the street, who is suffering economically, away from the fact that his own leadership is largely responsible for much of his plight.

He's a Persian version of a Republican. Distract the people with religion and culture, as your economy tanks right in front of your eyes, due in large part to decisions made by the fools in charge..

c.dale
October 5, 2009 6:10 AM

NO SERIOUS DISCUSSION can take place on nuclear arms reduction and non proliferation until full exposure takes place of the massive, secret ISRAELI nuclear arms arsenal in the Negev desert, that is currently completely outside of IAEA inspection.

To do so and ignore this ‘giant elephant in the room’, would simply be nonsensical.

It would lead to a situation whereby not only US foreign policy lies with the Israeli lobby but also global military and political control.
Such a decision would be indefensible.

There is an absolute imperative to control NUCLEAR WEAPONS and their proliferation.

The immediate danger that President Obama has to face is the reality of the fact that his immediate predecessor helped built Israel into possibly the 3rd most powerful nuclear state on the planet - the agenda for such totally irresponsible action, being incomprehensible.
To have made Dimona in the Negev the largest secret nuclear weapons store anywhere, cannot have been to ensure the safety of America, or Europe or the Middle East - but it has virtually ensured that, under the control of a political system that has little integrity, there will inevitably be a nuclear weapons strike in the region within the near future.

The region is now so unstable and the politics so unpredictable and the hatred so fierce, in the aftermath of the massacre in Gaza, that it is a merely a matter of time. That is the danger we face, in the UK, in Europe and eventually in the US and the Americas.

It will then not be a matter of oil or carbon footprints but of human survival on a planet blind to the dangers it faces and the absolute imperative to control nuclear weapons and the ambitions of those who will kill without compunction in order to achieve their aims. I have no doubt that Mr Obama is more aware of these dangers than I am - the point is, how far will he be opposed by the powerful, Israel lobby?
Iran is not the huge elephant in the room. Whilst America, Russia, France, China and Britain are considering reducing nuclear weapon stockpiles – Israel is increasing hers.

Whilst the UK is proposing to reduce its nuclear strike submarine fleet to three, Israel is reported to be increasing its nuclear strike submarine fleet to five!

Where is the logic in this Kafkaesque scenario?

John E. - Agn. Stoic
October 5, 2009 7:49 AM

c.dale - how secret can the Israeli nuclear force be if it is generally known that it exists?

And the logic of Israel's actions is that that nation's nuclear weapons act as a check against direct attack from other nation-states.

Free Iran
October 5, 2009 9:20 AM

Look at a map of the Middle East.

Then ask yourself which country - Israel or all or any of its neighbors - more needs an invulnerable defensive capability, one which includes "the best defense is a good offense"?

(And while you're doing that, list all the Israeli technological and agricultural and scientific and medical discoveries and advances and developments that you unthinkingly use every day as a vital and necessary part of your life and job and health. Realize that if Israel is bombed into the Stone Age, the rest of the world will soon follow. "Would you like charcoal with that flint knife?")

PP Kozon
October 5, 2009 10:03 AM

Rod, what is not good about a country acquiring defensive weapons? It's amazing to me how bellicose Israel can be in the media, and then we chide Iran for having a secret nuclear enrichment facility. Perhaps it is secret because Israel has publicly threatened to blow it up? And now people are mad that they are acquiring anti-aircraft missiles, as if somehow depriving Israel of their "right" to destroy Iran's expensive infrastructure.

And yes, Israel's nuclear weapons need to be addressed. If not, we can only expect our credibility to shrink even further.

Bruce G
October 5, 2009 10:46 AM

It's amazing to me how bellicose Israel can be in the media, and then we chide Iran for having a secret nuclear enrichment facility. Perhaps it is secret because Israel has publicly threatened to blow it up?

Iran has threatened to wipe Israel off the face of the Earth. Israel has threatened to blow up a facility. Disproportionate reaction?

For all those worried about Israel's nuclear capabilities, I don't see Israel threatening anyone with them.

RobL
October 5, 2009 1:35 PM

I find 200 weapons in the hands of extremists in the middle east to be threatening to the US and to most other countries in the mid east.

Your Name
October 5, 2009 1:43 PM

Don't get suckered on the snow job the government's doing on Iran like you did on the same of Iraq. A second mea culpa will utterly ruin your professional credibility.

kenneth
October 5, 2009 4:00 PM

After seeing how we handled Iraq, what country in its right mind would NOT seek nuclear capability? Maybe we can get Colin Powell to come back and narrate how sattellite photos of an ice cream truck is actually a Russian anti-aircraft missle?

PP Kozon
October 5, 2009 4:23 PM

Bruce G,

Actually, the president and former supreme leader of Iran have said that "this occupation regime must disappear from the pages of time." Please note that Ahmadinejad was referring to the Israeli government when he said this (notwithstanding CNN's lousy translation). He was not referring to Israeli people. In other words, he is calling for regime change in Israel (sound familiar?). Indeed, Ahmadinejad has often likened his sought-after regime change to the end of the USSR - namely in that it was nonviolent. Iran has not threatened military action or violence of any kind against Israel. That being said, any possible connection with militant groups in Gaza needs to be examined, because such groups do perpetrate violence against the Israeli people.

Reality
October 5, 2009 7:11 PM

I don't know why this is being brought up once again on this board. Israel can not make a preemptive air strike on Iran without US consent. US forces presently control the airspace of Iraq and the Persian Gulf. How are they going to make the strike? Over Turkey? Georgia? Doubt it very much. And to carry this forward, if Israel attempts a preemptive strike, unauthorized by the United States, American forces should shoot them out of the sky. (Followed immediately by suspension of all American financial aid to the Israeli statelet.) The blowback to our American troops in Iraq and Afghanistan will be immeasurable.

Charles Curtis
October 5, 2009 9:52 PM

I'm going to get the last word here, and say again, for the umpteempth time that any true Zionist (defined as someone who really cares for real Israelis and their safety) should oppose the Israeli Right/Likud.

Attacking Iran and pursuing increased settlements on the West Bank would - will - both have catastrophic consequences for Israel.

Not to mention for the United States, since we are seen throughout the Muslim World as being linked to the hip with Israel (2 billion + in aid every year folks, plus all sorts of diplomatic and other support - far and away our largest foreign beneficent, doubly so when you consider the 2 billion or so that we shovel Egypt's way to maintain Mubarak's corrupt regime, and so Camp David, which is more or less entirely to benefit Israel.


"Free Iran" - Dude, if you look at the map and see Iran's position from their point of view, you see two large U.S./NATO Armies on either side (Iraq & Afghanistan), American fleets in the Persian (or as the Arabs have "Arab") Gulf to the South, a more or less unfriendly Sunni regime in Pakistan, instability in the Caucuses and Central Asia to the North, haunted by both nuclear armed Russia and China not all that far away, a strong pro- Western/Israeli allied Turkey to the west..

I think the Iranians have a lot to be afraid of. Mostly, they're afraid of us. And our Israeli client state.


And they should be. All this talk is not a game. There's nothing the likes of Rumsfeld, Cheney, King Abdullah, and Netanyahu would like, than to bomb them, even start a ground war with them.


The Iranians remember what happened in 1980. Just as much as we remember what happened in 1979.


Everyone remembers violence done them, and tends to forget the violence done the other guy.

But if you really want to understand "your enemy" and either defeat him, or else make peace with him without violence, you need to remember history, and try (I say, please just try, Rod) looking at it from their point of view.

I used to be a Leon Uris "Exodus" Zionist, just like you, Rod.

Then I went and learned Arabic, lived in Turkey, lived in Egypt, traveled throughout the Middle East, met a lot of Arabs, a lot of Turks, some Israelis, a few Persians, Christians, Jews and Muslims, and realized..

That we are being fed a whole heaping load of propaganda.


The Iranians are rational actors. They will never attack Israel with an nuclear weapon. Neither will Pakistan (who already have the bomb, and are just as crazy as the Iranians, only you will never hear ablout it, because they are our "allies.."


But whatever. "Your Name's" probably right, Rod. You shouldn't get bellicose without understanding what you're talking about. Your support of the Iraq boondoggle has empowered your new bete noire in Iran.. It's a Shiite triumph, when we ultimately leave..

You get that right?

Athanasius
October 6, 2009 6:06 PM

While conservatives love to bandy about Santayana's warning, "Those who do not know history are doomed to repeat it," they remain hopelessly unable to see the forest through the trees.

They remember the Munich Treaty as a lesson against appeasment, but they fail to recall a more recent and salient one, which happened less than ten years ago: Neo-cons LIE. Prevarication, subterfuge and outright lying are acceptable if it helps advance the greater good envisioned by the neo-con annointed. The same people who lied to us to get us into Iraq are now lying to us to get us into war with Iran.

An eight year old knows not to trust someone who's falsely cried wolf before. It's a pity "smarter" people haven't learned to do the same.

Athanasius
October 6, 2009 6:18 PM

Bruce G wrote: "Iran has threatened to wipe Israel off the face of the Earth. Israel has threatened to blow up a facility. Disproportionate reaction?"

I take it, then, you're fluent in Farsi? Or, like most of us, do you simply take at face value whatever someone says Ahmadinejad says? I have heard quite a different interpretation of what Ahmadinejad said and prefer not to spill more American blood and waste more American treasure on a war based upon what someone said someone else said.

Your Name
October 6, 2009 6:28 PM

Free Iran wrote: "(And while you're doing that, list all the Israeli technological and agricultural and scientific and medical discoveries and advances and developments that you unthinkingly use every day as a vital and necessary part of your life and job and health...")

In other words it's acceptable, if a society is technologically superior or has made more "contributions" to world history, to wipe out or oppress a less sophisticated society or nation?

Does the same apply to the more gifted intellectually? Is their disregard for others made acceptable by their brilliance?

Leopold and Loeb would, no doubt, concur.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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