Crunchy Con

Peak oil apocalypse sooner than expected?

Tuesday November 10, 2009

Categories: Peak oil

An unnamed whistleblower at the International Energy Agency say that the world is a lot closer to running out of oil than previously thought. Excerpt:

The world is much closer to running out of oil than official estimates admit, according to a whistleblower at the International Energy Agency who claims it has been deliberately underplaying a looming shortage for fear of triggering panic buying.

The senior official claims the US has played an influential role in encouraging the watchdog to underplay the rate of decline from existing oil fields while overplaying the chances of finding new reserves.

The allegations raise serious questions about the accuracy of the organisation's latest World Energy Outlook on oil demand and supply to be published tomorrow - which is used by the British and many other governments to help guide their wider energy and climate change policies.

'There's suspicion the IEA has been influenced by the US' Link to this audio In particular they question the prediction in the last World Economic Outlook, believed to be repeated again this year, that oil production can be raised from its current level of 83m barrels a day to 105m barrels. External critics have frequently argued that this cannot be substantiated by firm evidence and say the world has already passed its peak in oil production.

[H/T: Sullivan.]

UPDATE: Sharon Astyk:

It turns out that an IEA whistleblower is alleging that the IEA, succumbing to US government pressure, has been understating the seriousness of our energy situation. And if you don't follow the IEA, you probably don't realize how extreme a statement that is - late last year the IEA announced that was predicting extremely high decline rates, of above 6% going into the coming decades. They claimed this stemmed not from peak oil, but from insufficient investment, but the numbers they cited were at least as dramatic as the most extreme peak oil advocates in many cases. So you want to pay attention when people say that the IEA has dramatically understated the concern.


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Comments
godisaheretic
November 10, 2009 11:06 PM

we burned wood...
we burned coal...
we burn oil...
we burn natural gas...

but just wait!
soon we'll have "new technology" to provide all of our energy!!
and it will be so cheap!!!
the primitive days of "burning" to get energy will be over!!!!

the bottom line:
Nature provides only finite resources...
and in the battle between Man and Nature...
in the end, Nature Wins.

when humanity becomes extinct, the world's energy supplies will finally be "sustainable".

faith hope love joy peace to all...
Nature 1, Man 0.

fish
November 11, 2009 12:09 AM

when humanity becomes extinct, the world's energy supplies will finally be "sustainable".


YAWN......aren't they missing you over at dieoff.com?

godisaheretic
November 11, 2009 1:05 AM

actually I don't expect to live until humanity is nearly extinct.
obviously.

but I do expect to live into the beginning of the decline of cheap and abundant natural resources.
hey, wait, the decline has already begun!
huh, you blink and see what happens?

burn burn burn... mankind's profound way of producing inexpensive readily available energy.
at least until the "new technology" comes along.

prosperity faith hope love joy peace to all...

Fling
November 11, 2009 11:00 AM

We need to adapt. Take a look at this article The Great Transition: http://www.scribd.com/doc/21656220/The-Great-Transition-Navigating-Social-Economic-Ecological-Change-in-Turbulent-Times

Abelard Lindsey
November 12, 2009 2:00 PM

This is as bogus as the killer virus story in the Ukraine. It should be obvious that this unnamed whistle blower is a speculator who is trying to spike the markets for his own gain. There is an "analyst" in Texas (name is Simmons or something like that) who has periodically done the same thing for the past decade.

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About Crunchy Con

Rod Dreher is an editorial columnist for the Dallas Morning News, and author of "Crunchy Cons" (Crown Forum), a nonfiction book about conservatives, most of them religious, whose faith and political convictions sometimes put them at odds with mainstream conservatives. The views expressed in this blog are his own.

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