Jim Wallis: An Evangelical 'Tipping Point' on Global Warming
This latest contribution to The Washington Post/Newsweek On Faith online discussion responds to the question: International scientists have raised a new alarm about the dangers of global warming. Should care for the environment be a major priority for people of faith? Why or why not?It already is. The “greening” of evangelicals in particular is the major new development. The Religious Right tried to prevent this from happening, but they failed, and in so doing lost control of the evangelical political agenda. Key establishment groups like the National Association of Evangelicals (NAE) are now firmly committed to “creation care” and to the issue of global warming in particular. The best line in the last few years on this subject came from Rich Cizik, Vice President for Governmental Affairs at the NAE, who said, “I don’t think God is going to ask us how he created the earth, but he will ask us what we did with what he created.”
In February 2006, a full-page ad appeared in The New York Times heralding a new “Evangelical Climate Initiative” that was signed by 86 evangelical leaders, including 39 presidents of Christian colleges. The statement was released over the objections of two dozen of the most prominent Religious Right figures in America (all the usual suspects) who said evangelicals should stick to abortion and gay marriage. The Times ad was headlined “Our commitment to Jesus Christ compels us to solve the global warming crisis,” and the statement said, in part, “Love of God, love of neighbor, and the demands of stewardship are more than enough reason for evangelical Christians to respond to the climate change problem with moral passion and concrete action.”
The concern over global warming, in particular, is even stronger among a new generation of evangelical young people who have made environmental stewardship mainstream; it's virtually a consensus issue among their peers. Evangelicals tell me that global warming is a “life issue” for them and a fundamental part of Christian ethics. I’ve spoken to many secular leaders of environmental organizations who are beginning to realize how the new evangelical environmental movement could perhaps provide a “tipping point” for our response to the urgent crisis of global warming. If both the scientists and the evangelicals made this a common cause, there’s no telling how much could happen.






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Comments
I agree, Jim. I expect to read your endorsement of nice greenhouse-friendly nuclear power plants any day. :)
Posted by: timks | February 7, 2007 7:58 PM
Global warming (or "climate change", a term I prefer because it doesn't limit itself solely to warmer temperatures) is a "fundamental part of Christian ethics" for at least two reasons. 1. It has significant negative implications for human life (as well as non-human life). 2. To the extent that humans have exacerbated potentially harmful climate change, we have done so largely out of greed, avarice, selfishness, ignorance, and an unwillingness to sacrifice for "the greater good." In that sense, our actions that have contributed to climate change have been sinful.
Posted by: D4P | February 7, 2007 8:41 PM
Global warming (or "climate change", a term I prefer because it doesn't limit itself solely to warmer temperatures) is a "fundamental part of Christian ethics" for at least two reasons. 1. It has significant negative implications for human life (as well as non-human life). 2. To the extent that humans have exacerbated potentially harmful climate change, we have done so largely out of greed, avarice, selfishness, ignorance, and an unwillingness to sacrifice for "the greater good." In that sense, our actions that have contributed to climate change have been sinful.
Posted by: D4P | February 7, 2007 8:41 PM
It would be nice to see Evangelicals and scientists working together. p
Posted by: Payshun | February 7, 2007 9:09 PM
The trouble with signing a petition to "do something" about anything is that it leaves open the question of what should be done. Very few people are not at all green.
There are a series of questions that need to be answered as we approach the issue of global warming. 1. How have we experienced global warming to date? Science has largely answered this, so we move on to... 2. How can we use this information to predict what warming will take place in the future? Science has some ideas, but this is far from settled.
3. To what extent has man contributed to the present problem? The answer seems to be "somewhat".
4. If man changes certain behaviors, what tangible affect will this have on the phenomenon of global warming? This is not even close to settled. 5. How much will those changes cost, and will the benefits outweigh the cost? Or perhaps the better way of expressing this is, what changes will provide the greatest benefit for the cost? This is where politics has dislodged honest debate, as people are put into "care about our existence" or "care about companies, and not about our existence" camps. 6. What portion of the cost will be shouldered by American citizens. Will power players (such as China) refuse to make similar sacrifices, rendering these changes moot? 7. If the other power players don't change, what do we do?
Simply declaring yourself to be "green" does nothing to answer any of these questions. Further, while I agree that evangelicals can work with scientists, I think scientists should stay as far as possible from politics, which certainly hasn't happened thus far.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 7, 2007 9:29 PM
I wonder how "green" the evangelicals are. How many of them drive gas-guzzling SUVs, eat, drink, sleep, and consume in wasteful ways? The beginning of any document that has "signatures" is a commitment to a lifestyle that, I dare say many evangelical "hipsters" are far from ebracing. Dissecting American consumerism is the key to this movement. In a few years, the young evangelicals will become the older conservative group, replacing the current ones who appeared at Woodstock 40 years ago.
Posted by: Antonym | February 7, 2007 10:02 PM
Jim Wallis, It is very encouraging to see the movement by some evangelical leaders toward support of poverty programs and protection of the environment.
Posted by: Mike Hayes | February 8, 2007 12:53 AM
I am one that has never bought into the 'global warming' craze. There are too many 'holes' in their theory and this same group has been telling me that the sky is falling for decades. NOW - that being said - I do believe that we should make every effort to reduce pollution anywhere and everywhere we can. There are a significant number of scientists that make a very good argument for the 1500 year warming that the earth goes through. They believe that we are in that warming cycle right now. Core drillings in the artic ice reinforce this theory. Al Gore will never buy into this because he can't make any money on this premise. Why is it that the US is being held to a higher standard than India and other countries that pollute much more than we do? Just my take...
Posted by: moderatelad | February 8, 2007 1:03 AM
The link between Mind and Social / Environmental-Issues.
The fast-paced, consumerist lifestyle of Industrial Society is causing exponential rise in psychological problems besides destroying the environment. All issues are interlinked. Our Minds cannot be peaceful when attention-spans are down to nanoseconds, microseconds and milliseconds. Our Minds cannot be peaceful if we destroy Nature.
Industrial Society Destroys Mind and Environment.
Subject : In a fast society slow emotions become extinct. Subject : A thinking mind cannot feel. Subject : Scientific/ Industrial/ Financial thinking destroys the planet.
Emotion is what we experience during gaps in our thinking.
If there are no gaps there is no emotion.
Today people are thinking all the time and are mistaking thought (words/ language) for emotion.
When society switches-over from physical work (agriculture) to mental work (scientific/ industrial/ financial/ fast visuals/ fast words ) the speed of thinking keeps on accelerating and the gaps between thinking go on decreasing.
There comes a time when there are almost no gaps.
People become incapable of experiencing/ tolerating gaps.
Emotion ends.
Man becomes machine.
A society that speeds up mentally experiences every mental slowing-down as Depression / Anxiety.
A ( travelling )society that speeds up physically experiences every physical slowing-down as Depression / Anxiety.
A society that entertains itself daily experiences every non-entertaining moment as Depression / Anxiety.
FAST VISUALS /WORDS MAKE SLOW EMOTIONS EXTINCT.
SCIENTIFIC /INDUSTRIAL /FINANCIAL THINKING DESTROYS EMOTIONAL CIRCUITS.
A FAST (LARGE) SOCIETY CANNOT FEEL PAIN / REMORSE / EMPATHY.
A FAST (LARGE) SOCIETY WILL ALWAYS BE CRUEL TO ANIMALS/ TREES/ AIR/ WATER/ LAND AND TO ITSELF.
To read the complete article please follow either of these links :
PlanetSave
EarthNewsWire
sushil_yadav
Posted by: sushil_yadav | February 8, 2007 3:44 AM
moderatelad, To what higher standard is the US being required to comply? I'm responding to: "... Why is it that the US is being held to a higher standard than India and other countries that pollute much more than we do?...".
Posted by: Mike Hayes | February 8, 2007 4:41 AM
sushil_yadav said, Subject : Scientific/ Industrial/ Financial thinking destroys the planet. sushil, Does our world frighten you?
Posted by: timks | February 8, 2007 4:48 AM
Kevin S. Thank you for your 7 questions. The fact that what we really know falls apart at question #2 really puts this issue into context. I am sure that the answers to the cost/benefit analysis questions (#4 and #5) are not favorable. The answer to #6 is also "yes" which makes the answers to the previous two questions even worse. However, it is your last statement that everyone has to understand. Politics has taken absolute control of this issue to the point where junk science is prefered over proper analysis. Christians must not only reject the ugly economics of these issues that are put forth by the right, but we must reject the over-the-top socialist agenda regarding conservation issues that come from the left.
Posted by: DBIX | February 8, 2007 5:29 AM
Sushil's post makes me anxious.
I am curious as to whether the environment will be front page news if a Democratic takes over the White House.
In the late 80's/early 90's, I remember hearing that global warming would decimate United States agriculture by transplanting warmer regions northward. Then, in the 90's, the crisis apparently passed. Now it's back.
I also remember growing up on those videos showing Austalians in sunhats because they were all getting cancer on account of the hole in the ozone layer.
When I studied in Australia, I wore a sunhat once, briefly, until a fellow student remarked "you goin' fishin' mate? You look like a poof in that hat."
They don't wear sunhats in Australia.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 8, 2007 5:31 AM
I want to echo the points raised by Kevin S. Especially in the category of spending millions of dollars on research in areas where there is little indication that we can make a significant difference. Yes, climate change seems to be happening, but as was in the news recently, it may be more nature tha man-made and thus little we can do about it. However, while we spin our wheels, there are other issues that can have more direct impact on people's lives that have yet to touched. Examples include: * Clean Drinking Water. * Clean Electricity for Refrigeration of medical Supplies and Food. * Sustainable, Culturally Appropriate technology. * Medical Research and Drug distribution for diseases like Malaria. * Studies to determine methods of prevention of such diseases prior to it becoming a medical issue. For example, DDT my not be viable due to the long term effects, but with it banned, what has been done to find a more friendly alternative. In my opinion, global warming, climate change, or whatever you want to call it, is in some ways a safe cop out to say one is doing something. It is so big and nebulous, it is easy to say that we are doing something of import with little real commitment.
Let's focus our efforts where we know we can do some good. The people dying of unsanitary water, preventable diseases, and a simple lack of food are here now. If we fail to address the issues right in front of us, I think we will be more culpable before God than we will over global warming.
Posted by: David B. | February 8, 2007 1:32 PM
Mike Hayes | 02.07.07 - 11:46 pm | # The Kyoto Protocol would have put restrictions on the US and other developed nations of the world but exempted India and other nations that pollute more than we do. UN screwing the nations that actually pay their share of operations of the UN.
Posted by: moderatelad | February 8, 2007 2:23 PM
David B. | 02.08.07 - 8:37 am | #
Let's focus our efforts where we know we can do some good. AMEN!!!!
Posted by: moderatelad | February 8, 2007 2:24 PM
Wow! How many of you have seen "An Inconvenient Truth"? Read the latest IPCC report for policy makers? They are both real science. If you can watch/read that and not see the trends then you are blind! I am NOT and environmentalist, but global climate change IS coming. Maybe soon, maybe 100 years. Why does the christian right not buy into this? The only one involved at a decent level is Rich Cizik! This is where Jim Wallis is wrong. He did sign the petition, and then REMOVED his name! Why? A bunch of evangelicals told him too! They told the NAE they did not support this and when enough complained, he removed his name. Look it up! There's an inconvenient truth for you Jim. Jim does go on to say he thinks the environment is important. I agree. Rich said it best for the christian right when he mentions the world being created and christians need to take care of it! Just like the rest of us! Yes, it will cost a lot. Yes, it might get painful. We as humans have created it. Every race, country, creed, RELIGION, etc. blah, blah, blah! The US is still the highest polluting per person. Read that again. That is why the world hopes we will take the lead on the environment. Without us, how much is going to change! We burn more fossil fuel than many CONTINENTS combined. Look at numbers for yourself! Forget that Al Gore is involved. I know that is hard for christians. You guys have been spewing about him since the election. You would think he won??!! It isn't important he narrated the movie. Look at the science. Look at the numbers, and then surf the net and you will see they aren't his. They come from SCIENTISTS. Or just look at the graphs. Maybe warming isn't right, but ASK YOURSELF THIS "What impact ARE we humans having on this planet?" Look at CO2, methane, etc. We are impacting this planet, and had better start taking care of it.
Posted by: Crippled Dogma | February 8, 2007 2:46 PM
Kevin S.,
Several of your answers to questions are wrong, based on the research I have done. There are questions at the margins, but there is virtually no dispute that human activity -- specifically the increased production of CO2 since industrialization -- has and will continue to cause significant warming because a dramatically enhanced greenhouse effect. This warming can be documented even taking into account predictable variations in temperature. While it is unclear how much reducing emissions can mitigate this trend, it is pretty clear that if we continue our trend of ever increasing emissions will cause the problem to get substantially worse.
Several of your questions are simply the wrong questions. The notion that the US is not obliged to act if major [sic] players like China do not act, when the US produces 25% of CO2 emissions, is, frankly immoral.
Posted by: sophie brown | February 8, 2007 3:36 PM
Crippled Dogma, Did you read any of the posts here? I don't think anyone said that climate change is not, or will not continue to happen. Have you read the IPCC report? That would be impressive indeed, considering the document is 1,400 pages long and will not be released until May.
This is the problem with films like "An Inconvenient Truth", moreso than the science behind it (which is not without its problems). They get people riled up, and then this issue becomes a battle of good and evil.
Notice that Wallis doesn't make any firm policy proposals here. He is not offering support for Kyoto, because he knows that Democrats won't support Kyoto. The reason Democrats won't support Kyoto is because it would be disastrous for America.
He is asking us to care. Okay, I care... Now what?
Posted by: kevin s. | February 8, 2007 3:56 PM
CP I am glad you care. I suggest that you begin talking to friends and neighbors about the issue. That is what my church is doing; here is our web site: www.moscowclimatechange.com. The community response has been tremendous. Perhaps you can look at your own behavior and see whether there are steps you can take to lessen your own carbon footprint. Did you know that every gallon of gas that you use in your car produces 22 pounds of carbon? Can you reduce your driving by 10 per cent? 20 per cent? Can you join others in your community in working for mass transit and other options that would reduce our use of carbon based fuels? Can you change your light bulbs and reduce your thermostat by 5 degrees?
Human behavior is malleable. We can change our priorities and change our course. It happens one person, one community, one church at a time. peace.
Posted by: sophie brown | February 8, 2007 4:15 PM
"Why is it that the US is being held to a higher standard than India and other countries that pollute much more than we do?" This same argument is made about China and the rest of the world. Should we have our behavior determined by anyone else? If it is the right thing to do then do it. Sounds like school kids, they are polluting to, make them stop first.
Posted by: butch | February 8, 2007 4:56 PM
"This same argument is made about China and the rest of the world. Should we have our behavior determined by anyone else? If it is the right thing to do then do it.'' And we are doing it. However, when it comes to international treaties, there is an international component, by virtue of them being international, wouldn't you agree?
Posted by: kevin s. | February 8, 2007 4:59 PM
"4. If man changes certain behaviors, what tangible affect will this have on the phenomenon of global warming? This is not even close to settled." Can we stand to lose the bet that if we don't change it will happen because of human behavior?
Posted by: butch | February 8, 2007 5:02 PM
"He is asking us to care. Okay, I care... Now what?" kevin s. | Homepage | 02.08.07 - 11:01 am | #
Act
Posted by: butch | February 8, 2007 5:13 PM
"And we are doing it. However, when it comes to international treaties, there is an international component, by virtue of them being international, wouldn't you agree?" If we can start a war unilaterally then we can act unilaterally in the war on pollution .
Posted by: butch | February 8, 2007 5:17 PM
Kevin, "Scientists should stay away from politics?" Sorry... I've had enough.
A scientist has just as much right to participate in the political process as anybody else. Why should a scientist have to "stay away from politics"? Scientists being excluded from the climate and ecological debate has led to industries and organizations with vested interests in obscuring the issue to control the debate for far too long. If the powers that be had listend to, rather than tried to discredit, the scientists who have been doing climate reasearch, global warming might not be such a problem. And it IS a problem. The almost unanimous scientific consensus is that global warming is real, and that is is caused by humans burning fossil fuels. Why would anybody have a problem with educated, informed EXPERTS with research on their side having input in the policy-making process? What useful purpose could be achieved by EXCLUDING them? It would be a little like the family of a sick person ignoring a doctor who might have the expertise to save the person's life.... Of course, this current administration is famous for ignoring expert advice if it does not conform to the political ends they wish to make manifest. Since when did political expediency take precedence over cold, hard, impirical research?
Posted by: Matt Channing | February 8, 2007 5:39 PM
Did you know that every gallon of gas that you use in your car produces 22 pounds of carbon? Perhaps there's some unseen chemistry going on but a gallon of gas doesn't even weigh 22lbs, for it to produce 22 lbs of carbon seems like some miraculous quasi-ex-nihilo creation going on. I'd prefer to see the chemistry on that.
Posted by: Aaron | February 8, 2007 5:41 PM
lol, ok just checked the epa website, I was wrong...
Posted by: Aaron | February 8, 2007 5:45 PM
If scientist don't have lobbyist then they have no place in politics!
Posted by: butch | February 8, 2007 6:02 PM
lol, ok just checked the RNC website, I was wrong.....
Posted by: butch | February 8, 2007 6:06 PM
It's not that scientist should stay out of politics. It's that politicians shouldn't try to make science. That's why we're ten years behind the curve on this.
Posted by: sophie brown | February 8, 2007 6:19 PM
Global warming is a Leftist tool for bashing Capitalism. Beyond that it is anti-American, aimed directly at destroying our economic power specifically and western economic dominance in general. These "scientists" can't tell us with any accuracy what the weather will be 10 days from now yet we should believe them when they say that we will destroy the earth in 100 years, or whatever the current prediction is? The whacko Left and their fellow travelers have been predicting cataclysmic events of this nature for years. Let s see there was the new ice age, then there was overpopulation. Those didn t pan out so now it is on to Global Warming. I pray the Lord will protect us from evangelicals of the mold displayed on this Blog. Amen.
Posted by: Art T | February 8, 2007 7:31 PM
Ice Age - Global Warming - Climate Change. Chicken Little - The Sky is Falling. Again I believe that we should do all that we can so that we minimize pollution. BUT - I can not listen to the 'wackos' as they change their story like most people change their underwear. If the Gov't did not give them money for their cause - they would stop talking - then we would have more money to spend on making the planet better.
Posted by: moderatelad | February 8, 2007 7:56 PM
Soylent Green Is PEOPLE! You've got to tell them!
Posted by: fasternu426 | February 8, 2007 8:41 PM
Art: "Global warming is a Leftist tool for bashing Capitalism. Beyond that it is anti-American, aimed directly at destroying our economic power specifically and western economic dominance in general." moderatelad [who is always conservative as it turns out]: "Ice Age - Global Warming - Climate Change. Chicken Little - The Sky is Falling." That's right boys, it's all B.S. That's why even CEO's of large corporations are expressing concern over climate change. And St. Louis is in South America. And the sun rises in the West. Cigarettes cure cancer.
Posted by: Carl Copas | February 8, 2007 8:46 PM
"Why should a scientist have to "stay away from politics"?" So that we can be comfortable that his or her experimentation is independent and without ulterior motive.
"Several of your questions are simply the wrong questions. The notion that the US is not obliged to act if major [sic] players like China do not act, when the US produces 25% of CO2 emissions, is, frankly immoral." This doesn't mean that it is wrong to ask what we do if India and China would render our efforts moot by refusing to adhere to our standards.
These questions are necessary in the forging of sensible environmental policy. If you propose a policy to reduce carbon emissions that will cost Americans 40 trillion dollars, it isn't going to fly. The questions of what we can do, what good it will do if we do it, and what will it cost us to do it, are highly relevant to the debate.
Environmentalists would serve their cause well to consider them before asking people to apply their signatures to documents.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 8, 2007 9:46 PM
"Act butch | 02.08.07 - 12:18 pm | # " I drive a fuel efficient car, live 7 minutes from work, and we recycle. However, you haven't answered my question, which is what we are supposed to do about global warming.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 8, 2007 10:01 PM
kevin s -- in what sense are the authors of the report injecting themselves into politics as you mention? They just prepared the fourth installment of a report as they were mandated to do. What motives do you fear here? How is the self interest of climatologists served by advancing this position? On the other hand, those willing to take the contrary view are being paid handsomely by exxon funded think tank, and can get their mug on the fox channel and others who are still trying to frame this as a debate. That's where the money and glory lies.
China and India would not "nullify" conservation efforts within the united states. If people in this country were to significantly change their behavior, the problem of climate change would be reduced, regardless of what those in what other countries do.
I am glad your own personal behavior is sustainable. That's certainly a first step. But your fatalism is very dangerous. I know people very involved in this issue who believe that we have a window of opportunity to substantially reduce the rate of increase of carbon by changing us behavior.
As for India and China, they too are players in the international economy, subject to incentives and pressure like others. They are also generating a lot of this waste in the service of western materialism.
Can we do something? We have to try. This is a time when a little optimism and a little hope in human nature is the only viable alternative.
Posted by: sophie brown | February 8, 2007 11:17 PM
"kevin s -- in what sense are the authors of the report injecting themselves into politics as you mention?" Releasing hints of their findings months in advance of the release of the entire document, for starters. For people who are on board with the cause, this is some nice red meat. For those who are more nuanced, one wonders what the report really say, and if this isn't a political stunt.
"How is the self interest of climatologists served by advancing this position? On the other hand, those willing to take the contrary view are being paid handsomely by exxon funded think tank, and can get their mug on the fox channel and others who are still trying to frame this as a debate." You have more or less answered your own question. Fame and job security await those who can make their case persuasively to the American people.
"China and India would not "nullify" conservation efforts within the united states." Sure they would. If America adopts rigorous emissions standards, and reduces our "carbon footprint" or whatever by 20%, but China and India double their per capita output, they will have rendered null any effort on our part, and then some.
When we forge policy to protect the environment, and ask Americans to make a governmentally mandated sacrifice, then we should have some reasonable expectation that our actions will remedy the problem. If it will not remedy the problem, and the reason is that other countries will exacerbate the problem, then this is a tough sell. And it is a sell you will have to make if you want real policy change.
"But your fatalism is very dangerous. " I am not adopting a fatalistic attitude. Nowhere did I say that nothing can be done. I just want actions that will have tangible results. I would argue that generic calls to "act" are useless and are detrimental to the cause in that they allow people to be "green" without any real responsibility (Nancy Pelosi and Ted Kennedy are sterling examples of this on a personal level).
"As for India and China, they too are players in the international economy, subject to incentives and pressure like others. They are also generating a lot of this waste in the service of western materialism. " Materialism isn't a Western ideal. Asia has whole-heartedly embraced the concept. You are correct that they are subject to foreign pressure. How best to apply this pressure? Will, say, France be as willing to apply to pressure, or will they act as a market for Chinese goods which violate environmental treatises, thereby undermining international efforts?
History shows that they will, and they will profit handsomely from their behavior (you know, western materialism and all that). What then, will we do? I want an answer to this before I endorse wholesale policy changes.
"Can we do something? We have to try. This is a time when a little optimism and a little hope in human nature is the only viable alternative." I am curious as to what you mean by a little hope in human nature. Forgive me if I am wrong, but it seems that what you are clearly advocating is a governmental solution designed to counteract the natural progression of western materialism. Materialism, certainly, is a bi-product of human nature.
Point being, it isn't as simple as being "green" or acknowledging that global warming exists. This isn't a good vs. evil proposition.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 9, 2007 12:05 AM
So the best you can come up with for politicization is that some conclusions were leaked in advance? Do you know the source of leaks? Was it the scientists? How many of them? Does it impact their conclusions. In any event, I understand the agitation of the scientific community, and their desire to generate more publicity about this issue, because we've ignored it for years. I have friends in the field and they are speaking out for the first time ever, because they understand that they have been called to do so. You can't compare the fame and notoriety of the climate change contrarians with those scientists who are part of the consensus. The former have sought to make names for themselves and have found corporate backers. The latter are nameless volunteers. Do you know the names of any of the authors of the ICCC (sp?)report? I doubt it. Your case for politicization and self interest simply doesn't fit the facts. If the US reduces its consumption by 20% that will make a major difference for carbon levels REGARDLESS of what developing countries do, because we are one of if not the largest generators of carbon waste. Conversely, if the US doesn't act the problem will never be solved. In addition, when the US becomes engaged in this issue, and begins to act on its own, it will be an position to put pressure on developing countries, and we won't have to rely on france. Again, without the US the likelihood that effective pressure will be placed on developing countries is nonexistent. Am I advocating government intervention? No, I am advocating a change in consciousness. I am hopeful that the better angels of our human nature -- not our greed or obsession with bigger and more -- will lead individuals and communities to come to terms with their own overconsumption of fossil fuels. Of course, we'll need government action. But mostly we'll need a change of heart.
Posted by: sophie brown | February 9, 2007 12:58 AM
I wonder if the ICCC will even address the issue of DHMO (Dihydrogen Monoxide, also called Hydronium Hydroxide and Hydric acid)?? According to the CDC, It was responsible for 3,306 deaths in the United States in 2003 alone. 80% were men. For every child 14 years and younger who dies from DHMO exposure, five receive emergency department care for nonfatal injuries. DHMO is one of the main greenhouse gasses. DHMO WHen the levees failed in New Orleans, many of the deaths were a result of exposure to significant ammounts of DHMO.
http://www.dhmo.org/environment.html Just what are they going to do about DHMO???
Posted by: fasternu426 | February 9, 2007 2:16 AM
Carl Copas | 02.08.07 - 3:51 pm | #
The same scientist that are currently talking about global warming/climate change were trouting the coming ice age when I was in junior high. I am in favor of taking care of the earth. We should do everything we can so that we can give it to our children in the best shape possible. I just can not agree with the wackos that promote and scare people. Let us improve our way of life and how we manufacture goods etc without causing harm to the economy. I believe that we can make it so that corp. america will want to clean up because it is their best interest to do so. not throw the baby out with the bath.
Posted by: moderatelad | February 9, 2007 2:44 AM
When you are done with the current flavor of the day issue, maybe your groups could . . . I don't know . . . perhaps share the Gospel of Jesus Christ? You know, the part where He came to save lost sinners?
Seriously, you guys are getting suckered into pure politics as badly as your enemy the "religious right" ever did.
Posted by: Neil | February 9, 2007 2:45 AM
"So the best you can come up with for politicization is that some conclusions were leaked in advance? " They weren't leaks to my knowledge, it was a summary released to the press by the organization itself. Correct me if I am wrong. Does it impact their conclusions? No. Does it impact how they present their conclusions? Of course. "because we've ignored it for years." We certainly ignored it during the Clinton administration. We'll ignore it again if a Democrat is elected in 2008. Perhaps we should elect a Republican so that people can get mad enough about this to continue to care. "The latter are nameless volunteers. Do you know the names of any of the authors of the ICCC (sp?)report? I doubt it." No. Do you know the names of the contrarians? I doubt it. I don't. Doesn't mean both sides aren't making money off this issue. "Am I advocating government intervention? No, I am advocating a change in consciousness." Really? Then I stand (implicity) corrected. But you should understand that what Wallis is advocating (again, implicitly) is governmental intervention.
On this, perhaps we agree. People should care about the contributions they make to the destruction of the environment. To this end, we should take the steps available to us to clean up our act (e.g. buying a Ford Focus instead of a Chevy Tahoe).
We can use our faith to convince others to rebel against the trend of living 35 miles from our city centers, and encourage people to recycle.
But when it comes to governmental action, we must be more calculated in our approach.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 9, 2007 6:46 AM
"I just can not agree with the wackos that promote and scare people." moderatelad | 02.08.07 - 9:49 pm | # With all due respect, these scientists are not trying to scare people. The conclusions that are generated from the research they perform is what is so scary. In contrast, the American public has been experiencing real scare-tactics in the form of administration propaganda for the last 6 years. We are just now able to reasonably conclude that Iraq was a mistake, but it's taken too long.
Posted by: Chris C | February 9, 2007 4:32 PM
Chris C | 02.09.07 - 11:37 am | #
You know - I thought that this was about 'global warming' and you bring it around to Bush Bashing. Grow up and keep on topic. It is not about IRAQ - it is not about the current admin. It is about the theory of Global Warming. .
Posted by: moderatelad | February 9, 2007 6:22 PM
Neil | Homepage | 02.08.07 - 9:50 pm | #
I think that is more or less agreed upon that the people that post here are people of faith or they understand what faith is. I understand you heart - just is that we are past the John 3:16 talk. Many of us express our faith in our postings - just not evangelizing for the most part. (Unless the topic lends itself to it) .
Posted by: moderatelad | February 9, 2007 6:28 PM
moderatelad: i just tried to post a response and it got lost in cyberspace. I don't see the "ice-age" scare as the equivalent of global-warming fear. the ice-age thing came and went in a few short years. global warming, on the other hand, has been a public issue for some 15 years and the subject of serious scientific research for even longer.
Posted by: Carl Copas | February 9, 2007 6:47 PM
Well, global warming came, then, went, and now is back again. Those who advocate major policy changes should hold politicians accountable to change even when a Republican isn't president.
But there is a fair point to be made that global cooling did evoke the same sort of breathless responses among the scientific community. Were scientists not scientists then? Or can we examine science under the lens of its fallibility?
Posted by: kevin s. | February 9, 2007 8:09 PM
Carl Copas | 02.09.07 - 1:52 pm | #
Yes - but there are other 'theories' out there that are not being given the press because they do not fit the agenda. There is a '1500 Year Warming' where core drillings of the artic ice cap validates this theory. Every 1500 or so years the earth experiences a 'warming' and they say that is what is happening currently. Many of the scientists that promote the global warming theory are tied to the gov't with major grants and so have a reason to not shoot the cash cow. Let's be responsible - not Wacko. .
Posted by: moderatelad | February 9, 2007 9:31 PM
Moderatelad, There are a great many scientists (vast majority) that were headed by the UN. They say global warming was caused by higher emissions in the air and air polution. They got paid nothing. p
Posted by: Payshun | February 10, 2007 12:47 AM
Here are some links: http://www.ictsd.org/weekly/07-02-07/story5.htm http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6321351.stm p
Posted by: Payshun | February 10, 2007 12:52 AM
Payshun | Homepage | 02.09.07 - 7:52 pm | #
Yes - and some of these same scientist 15+ years ago were blaming the deterioration of the Ozone layer on cows farting. There just seems to be too many wackos that will say anything and their science is flawed at best. Yes - lets take care of the earth because that is the responsible thing to do. Let's not let turn everything upside down on some theory like global warming. Later -
Posted by: moderatelad | February 10, 2007 3:36 AM
Payshun | Homepage | 02.09.07 - 7:52 pm | #
by the way - 'headed by the UN' means nothing to me. They have shown themselves to an untrustworthy group. later -
Posted by: moderatelad | February 10, 2007 3:39 AM
It would be interesting to see someone engage a sort of cost/benefit analysis w/r/t environmental policy in America. What will it cost and how can we expect to benefit? Can we engage this question at a deeper level than
Cost = Any means necessary. Benefit = Saving the world. ???
Posted by: kevin s. | February 10, 2007 5:57 AM
Carl Copas | 02.09.07 - 1:52 pm | #
just a thought - maybe the 'ice age' came and went to quickly because it was not the 'cash cow' that they needed? later -
Posted by: robstur | February 10, 2007 3:08 PM
Robstur,
I think if you look at the history, the "ice age" came and went quickly because the science wasn't there to back it up. Indeed, I've looked at it a little and think there was some shoddy, sensationalistic journalism that inflated the danger to begin with. Moreover, the public was ripe for the "ice age" scare because the late-60s-early 70s marked the first time there was widespread environmental (usually called "ecological" in those days) consciousness. Think of first Earth Day in 1970, the first Club of Rome report in, I think, 1974, Lady Bird Johnson's "Keep American Beautiful" campaign, oil embargo, etc
My point being that the public was very receptive to climate scares.
Posted by: Carl Copas | February 10, 2007 7:24 PM
Oh, Robstur, good to see you pal.
Posted by: Carl Copas | February 10, 2007 7:24 PM
moderatelad, My impression is that the US and other wealthy nations pollute on a much higher per capita basis than do developing nations. Many of the wealthy nations signed on to the Kyoto treaty. My impression is that the president was speaking out favorably and that Christie Todd Whitman thought he was going to accept it. Something caused him to change his mind, and Christie Todd Whitman as EPA administrator was left in an awkward position. After she left the position, she wrote "It's My Party Too". I've not read that, but my impression is that she resented the amount of control of the Republican party by persons who are very conservative. My gut feeling is that the very conservative members of the administration persuaded the president to not support the Kyoto treaty.
Posted by: Mike Hayes | February 10, 2007 7:58 PM
Mike, George Bush is only following the precedent set by the Clinton administration. In 1997 the Senate approved a resolution 95-0 that stated that the US should not sign a treaty with binding limits unless those limits included both developed and developing nations. The Clinton adminstration decided shortly thereafter not to submit the treaty to the Senate. Wolverine
Posted by: Wolverine | February 11, 2007 12:28 AM
Wolverine. You can't say that! It's GW's fault. Everything is. GW is satan's prototype of the antichrist! America never polluted until 2000. Once the Repulicans gained power they began spewing greenhouse gasses like nobody's business!
---tongue removed from cheek.
Posted by: fasternu426 | February 11, 2007 1:25 AM
"My impression is that the US and other wealthy nations pollute on a much higher per capita basis than do developing nations." That is changing rapidly. Any effort we engage in must bring India and China to the table, or it will do nothing to solve the problem.
"Many of the wealthy nations signed on to the Kyoto treaty." And one (the U.K.) is adhering to it, which is a major problem.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 11, 2007 1:41 AM
Wolverine, Thanks for the information. fasternu, Were you being sarcastic? Kevin, I'm not sure that everything has to be lined up to account for growing pollution in the most populous parts of the world before the treaty is signed. The US hesitancy to participate is not helping its ability to influence other nations, generally.
Posted by: Mike Hayes | February 11, 2007 3:52 AM
"The US hesitancy to participate is not helping its ability to influence other nations, generally." So we should participate in a charade in the hopes that it might convince other countries to care? I don't understand this logic. If we get involved, then it seems they will have even less incentive to meet their goals, especially if we fall short.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 11, 2007 6:59 AM
Kevin If we pollute less that would be a good thing? If other countries pollute more and we stay the same just so we can have economic parity I think that will be a bad thing, regardless of what climate change occurs or doesn't. We as the wealthiest nation on earth can lead the way. If we do the "good thing" and others do not, are we being cheated? If we continue to pollute at the rate we are now just because everybody else does, what is that, a good thing? Now, what is your complaint again?
Posted by: Wayne | February 11, 2007 2:49 PM
kevin, I just think that the president is being very determined to stick by the recommendations of his advisors on a number of issues and that the US is becoming isolated. It is time for the US to do some compromising with our allies and expect that there will be additional opportunities in the future to persuade other countries to compromise with us. Wayne, I agree.
Posted by: Mike Hayes | February 11, 2007 3:38 PM
"If we pollute less that would be a good thing?" Yes. "If other countries pollute more and we stay the same just so we can have economic parity" I'm not sure how this is related to the issue of economic parity. Can you explain? "We as the wealthiest nation on earth can lead the way." I agree. I just don't think the Kyoto protocol was the way to do it (95 senators and two presidents back me up on this).
" If we do the "good thing" and others do not, are we being cheated? " Absolutely. If we make (governmentally mandated) sacrifices, which do not render tangible results, we will absolutely be cheated. It's only a "good thing" to do if we think it will work. Otherwise it is in arbitrary and stupid thing. "Now, what is your complaint again?" I don't have one.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 11, 2007 6:15 PM
" It is time for the US to do some compromising with our allies and expect that there will be additional opportunities in the future to persuade other countries to compromise with us." Fine, but if this is what you are left with in terms of an argument for the Kyoto treaty, would you consider the possibility that another course of action might be more suitable? Incidentally, do you think the personal actions of Nancy Pelosi and Ted Kennedy (I'm talking windmills here, not drownings and the rest) reflect poorly on us before the international community?
These are supposed to be the champions of radical environmental policy, and they seem not to care at a personal level. Would you consider them "green" or morally superior on this issue?
Posted by: kevin s. | February 11, 2007 6:21 PM
kevin s: "Incidentally, do you think the personal actions of Nancy Pelosi and Ted Kennedy (I'm talking windmills here, not drownings and the rest) reflect poorly on us before the international community?" kevin, can you be specific? I hope you're not going to bring up the Pelosi jet thing--talk about a non-issue. and yes, if she were Republican, i'd still say it's a non-issue. May the Lord bless everyone on the list on this beautiful Lord's day. I am thankful for all of you (even Donny).
Posted by: Carl Copas | February 11, 2007 7:51 PM
moderatelad: "Yes - and some of these same scientist 15+ years ago were blaming the deterioration of the Ozone layer on cows farting." ROTFL: Talk about confusing global warming gases (including methane) with ozone depletion chemicals such as chlorofluorocarbons... Actually, the relationship between human-produced compounds and the depletion of the ozone layer is pretty well established. Furthermore, the removal of CFCs from the market in the '80s seems to be slowing ozone depletion and the ozone layer appears headed for recovery in the mid- to late-decades of this century. As for the "winter" scares of the earlier decades: That was never the concensus view of most atmospheric/climate scientists, in contrast to current research results on global warming. elsewhere... Many of the scientists that promote the global warming theory are tied to the gov't with major grants and so have a reason to not shoot the cash cow. On the whole I don't find that a strong argument. Many scientists don't have a vested interest in either direction. And most have a thing called "professional integrity". If you're a scientist and make a habit of slinging pure BS, it eventually comes back to haunt you -- Scientific careers live or die depending on the quality of one's work. It's hard to run away from bad papers because everyone in the field reads and remembers them. The fact that so many scientists in the same field can actually reach a broad consensus on such a previously contentious subject leads me to suspect that they're really on to something.
Posted by: Unsympathetic reader | February 11, 2007 9:25 PM
Kevin The point on economic parity is that in regards to us and everyone else there is none. If we cut back on our polluting and other nations do not it would still be a drop in pollution. If they produce even more pollution and we produce less that is still a drop. Polluting less is a good thing. If they make more money from pollution causing manufacturing and we somehow make less, apart from our already being the richest country the planet has ever seen, and would have far to fall before we came close to losing that status, we still benefit. Are you just saying Kyoto won't decrease any pollution? I am not trying to attack you. I am trying to understand. If our representatives have to be morally logical before we find ways to decrease our "footprint" I would guess pollution will just continue regardless of the consequences. If any plan to reduce pollution has to be perfect and fair (from everyones viewpoint) I would suppose pollution will just continue. If we can find somoethings to agree on and then do those things maybe we can at least reduce the overall effect. I have always heard how we are being cheated by these treaties, going back to every arms reduction treaty and NAFTA etal. Overall it seems we do a pretty good job of being fair to ourselves and then complain about it anyway. Thanks Carl I just don't see your arguement. You seem to be saying Kyoto won't do anything so we should just keep on polluting.
Posted by: wayne | February 12, 2007 12:01 AM
Mike Hayes | 02.10.07 - 3:03 pm | #
Maybe C. T. Whittman went out on a limb that the adm. told her not to? Would not be the first time and won't be the last. later .
Posted by: moderatelad | February 12, 2007 12:15 AM
Unsympathetic reader | 02.11.07 - 4:30 pm | #
well - not if you get your info from the Washington Post - ABC - CNN and the Old York Times. There are many science publications that are not influenced by the political winds and have differing opinions - you can google and find them yourself. .
Posted by: moderatelad | February 12, 2007 12:19 AM
"On the whole I don't find that a strong argument. Many scientists don't have a vested interest in either direction. And most have a thing called "professional integrity"." Is professional integrity unique to scientists? Are they somehow immune to the promise of job security? Analyzing global climate change is tremendously complex. The manner in which these enormous complexities are reduced to simple statements (e.g. "shocking people") is very subjective.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 12, 2007 12:25 AM
Mike Hayes | 02.11.07 - 12:10 am | #
3rd or 4th - so who would be 1st, 2nd and 3rd?
If we are 4th - does that mean we don't have to be the major contributor to the UN financially? We don't have to be the world bread basket? We don't have to be the world's police? This might be an OK... Later .
Posted by: moderatelad | February 12, 2007 12:31 AM
"kevin, can you be specific? I hope you're not going to bring up the Pelosi jet thing--talk about a non-issue. and yes, if she were Republican, i'd still say it's a non-issue." I don't have an issue with the jet thing (other than her playing the gender card). I do have an issue with her clamoring for her own jet while her party is benefitting from their supposedly "green" stances. This is why I have trouble tying morality to opinions on enivronmental policy.
Ted Kennedy, and a number of other famous liberals, including Walter Cronkite, famously opposed the placement of windmills in the Nantucket Sound (where they often reside), for aesthetic reasons. Again, I'm sympathetic to the argument, but what kind of statement does it send internationally? "Are you just saying Kyoto won't decrease any pollution? I am not trying to attack you. I am trying to understand." My point about Kyoto (and I bring it up because it is the only policy proposal I have seen advanced on this board) is that the cost/benefit ratio is horrendous.
The goal of Kyoto was to raise the temperature by 0.07 degrees Celsius by 2050. This nominal correction would have cost billions of dollars and thousands of jobs. Further, it would not have been achieved, because the other participating countries are showing little interest in adhering to the treaty they shame us for not signing.
Reducing pollution is merely a means to an end. If it does not result in a reversal of global warming, then it is not inherently "good", particularly if it costs money, jobs, and (as a consquence of the former) lives.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 12, 2007 12:39 AM
I'm sorry moderatelad, I'm not sure what you were addressing in your recent reply. I really don't get my basic information about scientific subjects from any of the sources you cited. Nature and Science are the journals I typically read for general articles and commentaries of science. In fact, the Feb 8th issue of Nature has their Climate Change special. Definitely worth investigating if you are interested.
kevin s: Is professional integrity unique to scientists? Are they somehow immune to the promise of job security? Analyzing global climate change is tremendously complex. The manner in which these enormous complexities are reduced to simple statements (e.g. "shocking people") is very subjective. I'm sorry kevin s. but I don't believe it's prudent to continue the discussion along the lines of casting aspersions about the motivations of hundreds of researchers to settle scientific disputes. It reminds me of the aphorism: "If you have the facts on your side, pound the facts. If you have the law on your side, pound the law. If you have neither on your side, pound the table." Or pound the scientists. Scientists aren't perfect, but they are basically honest and the level of 'collusion' suggested is simply laughable. Yes, I agree that climate models are extremely complex. Yes, there are uncertainties. That is the nature of human understanding. The IPCC's 1000+ page document produced by many working groups doesn't make it seem like the complexities are being reduced to simple "shock" statements but probabilities. Better to discuss the data, discuss the papers and debate the actual science involved. Everything else is hot air and idle, baseless speculation.
Posted by: Unsympathetic reader | February 12, 2007 3:06 AM
Along the lines of politicians and wind farms: Note that former MA governor Romney also opposed the wind generators off the cape and finagled the right to veto the project.
Posted by: Unsympathetic reader | February 12, 2007 3:09 AM
The US by its stance on Kyoto and the war in Iraq is appearing to ignore the opinion of other nations, which otherwise would likely participate with the US in deciding how to approach these and other issues. The US ought to be more willing to partner with other nations, but so far it is ignoring them.
Posted by: Mike Hayes | February 12, 2007 5:21 AM
Unsympathetic Reader: "Actually, the relationship between human-produced compounds and the depletion of the ozone layer is pretty well established. Furthermore, the removal of CFCs from the market in the '80s seems to be slowing ozone depletion and the ozone layer appears headed for recovery in the mid- to late-decades of this century." I would like to see this information. Where is it? I have worked in the refrigeration industry most of my life and I have yet to see any data to substantiate that the so called ozone layer hole is anything but a natural phenomenon. It occurs every year when the south pole is turned away from the sun because ozone is produced through a catalytic reaction with sun light. No sun light, no production of ozone, ozone content drops. Furthermore, this idea of the ozone layer being depleted by CFC's is bogus for one simple reason. CFC's are heavier than air. No one ever bothers to mention that the models used to prove the dangers of CFC did not include density of the materials involved. If you dug a hole and vented a bottle of CFC's or HFC's (the CFC replacement) they would stay in the hole because they are heavier than air.
There were two reasons we shifted from CFC's. First, a bunch of scientists needed to justify their funding. Second, Dupont and other refrigerant producers saw it as major chance to improve their margins. The switch from CFC's to HFC's put billions of dollars from the sale of the new materials and equipment into their pockets. It also caused the escalation of prices for all refrigerants especially R12 which is currently at $20.00/lb versus about $2.00/lb ten years ago.
Posted by: David B. | February 12, 2007 1:27 PM
"Scientists aren't perfect, but they are basically honest and the level of 'collusion' suggested is simply laughable." I'm not suggesting collusion. You haven't addressed my argument. "Better to discuss the data, discuss the papers and debate the actual science involved. Everything else is hot air and idle, baseless speculation." I agree. Have you read the data and the actual science involved? I'll bet you haven't, because the 1,000+ pages (which you are not going to read anyway) have not been released yet. Rather, statements have been made that arae specifically designed to guide policy. Those ought not be mistake for facts.
"Everything else is hot air and idle, baseless speculation." My point exactly. The facts are largely undetermined, and we're seeing a lot of hot air.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 12, 2007 2:46 PM
"The US by its stance on Kyoto and the war in Iraq is appearing to ignore the opinion of other nations, which otherwise would likely participate with the US in deciding how to approach these and other issues." Setting Iraq aside, are you saying that we should have signed the Kyoto treaty even though it would have cost us between $100-$400 billion dollars, and even though none of the other signers (save one) had any intention of keeping their end of the bargain?
Kyoto was a bad idea. Bill Clinton (and just about everyone else) realized this. Should we embrace bad ideas in hopes that it will allow for future compromises?
David B. has a perfect illustration of how money can influence science, btw. The banning of DDT is another.
"Along the lines of politicians and wind farms: Note that former MA governor Romney also opposed the wind generators off the cape and finagled the right to veto the project." As I said, I have no problem with the opposition to wind energy. I think the windmills are unsightly, and I wouldn't want them near my property, either. But Mitt Romney isn't running on environmental issues (though I'm sure he pays lip service to alternative fuels) and certainly isn't enjoying the support of environmentalists, or receiving praise from Jim Wallis for being "green".
Posted by: kevin s. | February 12, 2007 2:59 PM
kevin s, I didn't know about the windmill thing. thanks for the info. California's coastal range, which i live near, has some large windmill farms (for lack of a better term). They are not that unsightly, but then again, typically there are not residential areas nearby.
Posted by: Carl Copas | February 12, 2007 4:04 PM
David B. I would like to see this information. Where is it? I have worked in the refrigeration industry most of my life and I have yet to see any data to substantiate that the so called ozone layer hole is anything but a natural phenomenon." Where have you looked? A quick Google pulled out papers well back to the 1990's. Some starting websites: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csd/assessments/ http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csd/assessments/2006/chapters/twentyquestions.pdf http://www.nas.nasa.gov/About/Education/Ozone/ http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/chemistry/ It occurs every year when the south pole is turned away from the sun because ozone is produced through a catalytic reaction with sun light. No sun light, no production of ozone, ozone content drops." Correct, the formation of ozone there has a seasonal component and there is year-to-year variation. But sunlight and "natural" mechanisms are not the only factor in the cycle of ozone creation and depletion. With the introduction of chlorofluorocarbons an additional ozone depleting reaction was added, shifting the steady-state toward reduction of ozone concentrations. The hole over the Antarctic used to be smaller and would refill more quickly. Now, it's larger and no longer rebounds as far. Natural causes were investigated and appear to be insufficient to account for the magnitude of change. In contrast, ozone depleting compounds were measured in the upper atmosphere and from the chemistry we know, it probably does contribute to the increased loss. Over the last couple decades there has been a measurable loss in global ozone levels, not just over the Antarctic. "Furthermore, this idea of the ozone layer being depleted by CFC's is bogus for one simple reason. CFC's are heavier than air. No one ever bothers to mention that the models used to prove the dangers of CFC did not include density of the materials involved." That would be a good point if there were no wind or flow. But it turns out that most stable chemical species become pretty well distributed via convection and turbulent mixing. Unfortunately, there are transport mechanisms in the atmosphere that allow ozone destroying CFC and its byproducts to reach the upper atmosphere. It can take a while to make it up there (even in the neighborhood of 15 years), but CFC molecules last a long time. BTW - This seems a perennial question: I also found a FAQ describing this info that dates back over a decade. There were two reasons we shifted from CFC's. First, a bunch of scientists needed to justify their funding...DuPont... As I mentioned to kevin s., I'm not going to respond to conspiracy theories.
Posted by: Unsympathetic reader | February 12, 2007 6:17 PM
I wrote: "Everything else is hot air and idle, baseless speculation." kevin s. My point exactly. The facts are largely undetermined, and we're seeing a lot of hot air. Agreed. kevin s., if you got hold of the report, would even you be able to evaluate most of the details for scientific content and validity in a reasonable amount of time? I'm not sure I could. So when you suggest that the complexity of the models are daunting, can you say you've actually investigated them in sufficient detail to properly evaluate them? This is part of the hot air I think I'm seeing.
Posted by: Unsympathetic reader | February 12, 2007 6:25 PM
And I am seeing hot air in statements such as "I hope that this will shock people". The truth is that the IPCC is backing off many of the more drastic claims from the same report years ago.
If you are unwilling to engage in a discussion of the different motives at play in these scientific investiagtions, and how results are interpreted, you are simply missing part of the discussion.
Posted by: kevin s. | February 12, 2007 8:40 PM
"If you have the facts on your side, pound the facts. If you have the law on your side, pound the law. If you have neither on your side, pound the table."
Or pound Pelosi or Cinton or anything that changes the subject. That's ticket it's Romney or Kennedy. Wait it's "White Water", all we need is 40-50 million to investigate that again, yeal that's the ticket! We have to change the subject, come on guys we can do it, it's my fault because I can recognize a Republi-Nazi a mile away. I don't want them in front of my house blowing wind!
Posted by: Butch | February 12, 2007 8:56 PM
I'm not sure I could. So when you suggest that the complexity of the models are daunting, can you say you've actually investigated them in sufficient detail to properly evaluate them? This is part of the hot air I think I'm seeing. Unsympathetic reader | 02.12.07 - 1:30 pm | #
Unsym, this is so well reasoned and stated, if you were dealing with someone with a concience it would cut to the quick. You are dealing with people paid to disrupt the discussion and keep this blog off balance.
Posted by: Butch | February 12, 2007 9:04 PM
what motives could so many scientists have Kevin? p
Posted by: Payshun | February 12, 2007 9:06 PM
Pay, that is read meat for the Republi-Nazi's. They've moved you off topic, the scientist have spoken with one voice and they are clear. If someone has different proof otherwise then that might be worth looking at. But changing the subject to "questioning their motives" is a clever dodge. If you want to question motives then question those here who change the subject from any issue that is at odds with the Neo-Cons.
Posted by: Butch | February 12, 2007 9:19 PM
'...scientist have spoken with one voice...' 'some' scientist have spoken. Some have made an argument for 'global warming'. It is still a theory - and only a theory. later .
Posted by: moderatelad | February 12, 2007 9:49 PM
"It is still a theory - and only a theory." So is gravity. So is the germ theory of disease. So is evolution. So is quantum physics. You might look up the scientific definition of "theory." Scientists use this word in a very different way than does the general public.
Posted by: Carl Copas | February 13, 2007 12:27 AM
kevin s.:'And I am seeing hot air in statements such as "I hope that this will shock people". ' I absolutely agree. That's why I try to stick to details that I can verify or at least reference. There are clearly a lot of false impressions w.r.t. the decrease in the ozone layer and global warming. "The truth is that the IPCC is backing off many of the more drastic claims from the same report years ago." Could you describe the level of certainty to which the general report held those earlier projections? If you are unwilling to engage in a discussion of the different motives at play in these scientific investiagtions, and how results are interpreted, you are simply missing part of the discussion. I am interesting how data are interpreted scientifically but I cannot say I have any regrets missing discussions about motives. I think that latter aspect is neither productive nor terribly germane in addressing the scientific question of global warming and the various mechanisms behind climate change. A more interesting question perhaps is how one can evaluate a technically challenging subject when one has no firm background in the area. This happens to us all the time. For example, I would find it very difficult to evaluate many of research papers and modeling used in climate prediction. I could probably get up to speed eventually but seriously, I doubt I will actually make the effort to become a competent, high-level, climate researcher. Short of developing and acquiring that essential knowledge, what is a person to do? What are reliable means can we use for making (or going along with) a decision about an area we cannot evaluate ourselves? Most options, I suspect, are pretty poor substitutes, thin gruel indeed, compared to being scientifically competent in the area. Butch: "You are dealing with people paid to disrupt the discussion and keep this blog off balance." I would be extremely surprised if that were the case. And I certainly cannot and will not comment on the motives of others. Better to discuss things on the level, honestly, and keep to the point.
Posted by: Unsympathetic reader | February 13, 2007 2:04 AM
Unsym, you miss my point which is that Republi-Nazi's change the subject to anything other than the subject. If I were certain industries negatively affected by restraints on emissions I would pay lobbyist to interrupt any on line group that might get wheels. If Kevin and others are doing what they do here for free then they are wasting valuable ability that lobbying firms pay big money for. Also I don't need help pointing my finger, I know why I'm doing it and will support those positions anytime you want a reference. I do appreciate asking someone challenging scientist for the references to support those challenges, except it is a waste of time, they just dodge and turn the question to something else anything to keep off topic.
Posted by: butch | February 13, 2007 3:34 AM
Unsym you don't question motives of someone who questions the motives of a scientist (rather many scientist) without any expertise in the field but I do. I don't offer any great reasoning ability but it isn't necessary to reach such a simple conclusion.
Posted by: butch | February 13, 2007 3:49 AM
Carl Copas | 02.12.07 - 7:32 pm | #
But with 'theory' - there are more than one. In talking about what the issue is you take into consideration the differing theories and give them equal weight so that discussion can happen.
Al Gore - An Inconvenient Nut Later .
Posted by: moderatelad | February 13, 2007 4:07 AM
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