Gospel Soundcheck

American Idol Top 3 - My Predictions For Tonight's Results Show

Wednesday May 13, 2009

Last night the remaining Idols - Kris Allen, Danny Gokey and Adam Lambert - sang their little hearts out, with both a personal song choice and a judge's song choice. All three knocked their personal choices out of the park, but were a little iffy on the judges' choices, proving that they know their talents better than the judges.

The judges made a clear and blatant pitch for Adam, Simon going so far as to ask people to vote for Adam.

A few weeks ago I went out on a limb and predicted Kris Allen to win the competition. I thought I'd explain my thoughts a little more and then we'll see tonight if I'm right.

1) I think the judges' blatant bias may work against Adam tonight. Fans have proven again and again that they'll vote for another contestant just to prove the judges wrong.

2) Adam probably isn't winning any new fans. Yes, he's extremely talented, but unless you like his style of rock music, you probably aren't going to pick up the phone and vote.

3) Adam has been in the bottom three; but it's likely he picked up Allison's voters after she was sent home last week.

4) I think Kris has been the underdog in this competition, and I think he's going to make it through tonight. In fact, I think they'll call him first and let the audience sweat out whether Danny or Adam is through while we sit through Katy Perry singing.

5) I think that Kris has a better chance of winning than the other contestants, and here's why:

If it comes down to an Adam/Kris finale, Kris picks up Danny's votes and wins.
If it's a Danny/Kris finale, (which is still a possibility), Kris picks up Adam's votes and wins
If it's a Danny/Adam finale they split Kris' votes and Adam wins.

Based on some informal reader polling I've done, I think Danny and Adam both have very, very strong fan bases that are so different that neither's fans will vote for the other. Kris, on the other hand, appeals to both fan bases. So Kris really has the edge.

But we'll see tonight!

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Comments
Jo Ann
May 13, 2009 7:18 PM

Whether Adam wins or not - He will become a BIG STAR. He is absolutely the most talented.

3 amigos
May 13, 2009 8:03 PM

The sound mix was appalling last night. The band were so off & the backing singer screaming over Adam was unnecessary, cringe-worthy and you could see it totally threw him off guard. He yanked his ear piece out during the performance & looked so miffed doing so. He had the loud band in one ear & the backup singer in his other ear, it's crazy he even managed to stay remotely focused. You'd think after all these years, they'd manage to get it perfect. Wth.

ashley
May 13, 2009 8:32 PM

As far as record sales go, Simon Cowell who is behind all of this is going to go for who's going to pull in the most money, and although I'm a huge Danny fan, Kris is going to make them the most money, thus he'll be going to the finals and more than likely winning the whole competition.

boo
May 13, 2009 11:30 PM

I think Adam should sing CRAZY ON YOU BY HEART omg he would definitely win then kris (or is it chris) is good but can get boring Adam is never boring he is the ultimate entertainer, the ultimate performer the ultimate singer who can hit notes without effort he is the find of the decade chris ia fun and cute and nice and i like his style from time to time but Adam is perfect ALL the time i love his soulful ballads best of all i love his old stuff too i love that song he sang in 2004 or so, when he played Joshua in Ten Commandments omg he took my breath away

Viv in NZ
May 13, 2009 11:33 PM

Looks like you`re right on te money! I`m BIG kris fan and I think you prolly right, KRIS will pick up the Danny votes next week. Love Kris ` musical abilty and his interpretations of popular songs. Heartless was the best version last night! I will buy his records anyway despite what happens next week. Wonder how many people have seen the movie 'Once" after his heartfelt rendering of "Falling slowly". Just beautiful! GO KRIS!

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Award-winning freelance writer and columnist Joanne Brokaw covers entertainment for The Christian Examiner newspapers, The Minnesota Christian Chronicle, and The Ozarks Christian News. Her other writing credits include Breakaway and Brio Magazines, OnCourse Magazine, ChristianMusicPlanet.com, BuddyHollywood.com and AGreaterFreedom.com. Her humor column, A Big Slice of Life, appears monthly in the Christian Voice Magazine and she pens a regular humor column on The Writing Life for ByLine Magazine. Joanne lives in Western New York with her darling husband David, their Border collie Scout and their cat Murphy. Their almost adult daughter Cassie drops by often. Find out more about Joanne at JoanneBrokaw.com.

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