Progressive Revival

Aziz Poonawalla: December 2008 Archives

Tuesday December 16, 2008

Categories: Election '08

Why does public campaign financing matter?

An editorial in the Washington Post argues, counter-intuitively, that Barack Obama's fundraising success over the internet is not a death-knell for the public financing system, but rather all the more reason to reform it:

According to an analysis by the nonpartisan Campaign Finance Institute of the fundraising totals through August 2008, the percentage of people whose total donations to Mr. Obama aggregated to $200 or less was 26 percent. That almost matches President Bush's 25 percent in the 2004 election. But Mr. Obama relied less on donors who gave $1,000 or more (47 percent) than Mr. Bush (60 percent).

[...]

Mr. Obama must lead a serious conversation about the role of the public financing system and how Internet fundraising should affect its structure. In an op-ed last month in The Post, Democracy 21 President Fred Wertheimer championed a new campaign finance system centered around the Internet. He proposed matching funds for small donations up to $200 per donor, increasing the campaign spending limit to $250 million, reducing the individual contribution limit and closing the loophole for joint fundraising committees, which allowed supporters of Mr. Obama and his Republican opponent, Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), to skirt the current $2,300 limit.
A few notes here. First, Obama's percentage of small-dollar (sub-$200) donors may have been comparable to Bush's, but in absolute dollars Obama raised far more, because Obama attracted so many more new, first-time donors overall. Obama's campaign really was The Perfect Storm predicted by Joe Trippi and prototyped by the Howard Dean campaign.

Second, the requirement that sub-$200 donors be made public, and also forcing bundlers to be public, is a good one. But that has very little to do with the public finance system; these are general reforms that would apply regardless of where a candidate is getting their money from. The need for more donor transparency is essentially orthogonal to the question of public finance.

But finally, why exactly do we need to have any public financing system at all? As John McCain can attest, any candidate who submits to the system will be at a severe financial disadvantage, and what's more will be forced to run a much less internet-aware campaign (Obama's lavish spending on Internet outreach, especially the crown jewel of his YouTube channel, was only because he could afford to spend money and take that risk. McCain had a much more modest online operation partly because he simply needed to hoard his funds for the expensive media markets). Even putting into place all of Wertheimer's proposed reforms would still leave a candidate who accepted public funding at a severe disadvantage.

The one truly innovative idea though is small-dollar matching of donations under $200. However, this has the potential to balloon out of control, and really is not compatible with the proposed spending limit of $250 million (Obama raised $750 million total; if %25 of that was small-dollar donations, then we are talking about $188 million right there!). A better solution would be for candidates who accept public funding to be restricted to sub-$200 donations online. That way, a candidate who opts into the system would not be prevented from raising organic money to compete, but would also not be chasing after the bundlers.

There is a role for public finance, but it can never again be the sole source of a viable candidate's funding. Every candidate must be free to raise money online directly from the people. There's simply no better expression of free speech and personal democracy than the principle of the Perfect Storm that such online donations represent.

(cross-posted at Nation-Building Blog, formerly Dean Nation, the unofficial weblog of the Howard Dean campaign)

Friday December 12, 2008

Categories: Homosexuality, Muslims

muslims and proposition 8

As this is my first post on Progressive Revival, let me take a moment to thank the Powers that Be at Beliefnet for inviting me to participate here. It's an honor to be blogging alongside the rest of you! My main blogging outlet is my blog on Islam, politics and culture, City of Brass, so I look forward to generating some cross-blog discussion.

I wanted to touch on the matter of California's Proposition 8 (gay marriage) which was passed successfully despite record turnout and Barack Obama's long liberal coattails. I was intrigued by this angry comment by parallelsidewalk, who was raised Mormon and briefly entered the fold of Islam for a few years:

A lot of people here distrust American Muslims because they think of them as an alien presence with morals and prejudices that are incompatible with our way of life. I've come to distrust American Muslims because they're exactly as petty, mean, and self-serving as any other group of Americans. And for all the whining and carping they do about how hard it is to be a Muslim here, oh how eager many of them were to join up with the people who call them devil-worshipping terrorists to deliver a Brooklyn-style beatdown to someone a little lower on the social ladder. I'm talking of course about support for propositions 8, 2, and 102, which most muzzies couldn't wait to vote on.

Of course, as there are plenty of intelligent and conscientious followers of Muhammad, a few spoke up, said that this was wrong, and either for practical or ethical reasons (or both), opposed the measures. And good for them. But you know what? Fuck the rest of them. Seriously, I never want to hear again, even once, from anyone who supported props 8 or 102, that they're a victim of discrimination. Boo fuckin hoo. How d'ya like them apples?

Muslims are far from alone here. Mormons are upset now because the same people they spent thousands of dollars disenfranchising are showing up at their doorstep to call them on it. Wait, it's RELIGION. You have to respect it and not punch back when it punches you, right? Wrong. Every Mormon who voted for or contributed money to 8 is liable, and angry gays (and their straight allies) were absolutely within their rights to go back to the source and confront them.

I'm curious about the assumption that muslims voted generally for proposition 8. I don't have any assumptions either way, nor do I have any evidence. I will note that Nate Silver had a post after the election about some Prop 8 myths, specifically about Black and Latino support:

the notion that Prop 8 passed because of the Obama turnout surge is silly. Exit polls suggest that first-time voters -- the vast majority of whom were driven to turn out by Obama (he won 83 percent [!] of their votes) -- voted against Prop 8 by a 62-38 margin. More experienced voters voted for the measure 56-44, however, providing for its passage.

Now, it's true that if new voters had voted against Prop 8 at the same rates that they voted for Obama, the measure probably would have failed. But that does not mean that the new voters were harmful on balance -- they were helpful on balance. If California's electorate had been the same as it was in 2004, Prop 8 would have passed by a wider margin.

Furthermore, it would be premature to say that new Latino and black voters were responsible for Prop 8's passage. Latinos aged 18-29 (not strictly the same as 'new' voters, but the closest available proxy) voted against Prop 8 by a 59-41 margin. These figures are not available for young black voters, but it would surprise me if their votes weren't fairly close to the 50-50 mark.

At the end of the day, Prop 8's passage was more a generational matter than a racial one. If nobody over the age of 65 had voted, Prop 8 would have failed by a point or two. It appears that the generational splits may be larger within minority communities than among whites, although the data on this is sketchy.

I haven't seen any exit poll data that broke down the vote for/against Prop 8 by religion, so it's hard to make an analogy, but support for gay mariage is probably just as generational among muslims as it is for blacks and latinos (and note that blacks do include a significant muslim fraction).

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Diana Butler Bass and Paul Raushenbush both stand firmly within the Mainline Protestant tradition and, along with guest bloggers of all religious backgrounds are dedicated to the revival of religious progressivism and its influence in American politics.

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Diana Butler Bass
Diana Butler Bass is a commentator and scholar in American religion. She is the author of seven books including A People's History of Christianity: The Other Side of the Story (HarperOne, 2009).
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Moderator of the Progressive Revival blog and the Associate Dean of Religious Life at Princeton University.
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