Reformed Chicks Blabbing

Reformed Chicks Blabbing

Kerry leads in early voting in Iowa

posted by Susan Johnson | 8:44am Saturday October 25, 2008

Another blast from the past to put today’s news in historic context.

The Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll “shows 48% of Iowans likely to vote in Tuesday’s election, or who have already voted by absentee ballot,” support Sen. John Kerry and 45% back President Bush.
“Twenty-seven percent of Iowa adults surveyed said they had already voted. Kerry leads Bush, 52 percent to 41 percent, among that group of early-bird voters.”

Yet Bush carried the state in 2004.

Here’s the current version of this story
. Same report different candidate.
To my Republican brethren: don’t worry about early reports of Obama winning this thing, the MSM always tries to tamp down our participation. Don’t buy the hype. Don’t give them the satisfaction of winning this thing from Obama.
(via)
Update: Bill Dyer has some good advice regarding the polls: illegitimi non carborundum.



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posted 4:39:08pm Mar. 25, 2010 | read full post »

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Comments read comments(19)
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Robert

posted October 25, 2008 at 12:41 pm


Thanks, Michelle, for motivating Obama supporters to be sure to get out to vote.



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Larry Parker

posted October 25, 2008 at 12:47 pm


Is this your ostensibly non-racial attempt to speculate at a Bradley Effect?
Yawn.



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Karen Brown

posted October 25, 2008 at 12:50 pm


I know. Every one of those ‘the polls could go every way, don’t be so cocky’ actually works in our favor.
The worst thing that could happen is overconfidence, since the US voter’s default is apathy, and given the percentage of eligible voters who actually cast a ballot in any given year, we need the motivation of uncertainty to make sure they go out and actually vote.
Thanks for doing your part, Michele.



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MzEllen

posted October 25, 2008 at 12:53 pm


motivating Obama supporters to be sure to get out to vote.
At least once.



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Karen Brown

posted October 25, 2008 at 1:42 pm


Do we REALLY have to go through the difference between a few clowns filling out voter registration forms so obviously wrong that they have things like ‘Jive Turkey’ on them, and actual attempts of people to vote either more than once, or when they aren’t allowed to?
And we hope they are going to be allowed to vote that once.
That, on the other hand, is an actual possibility.



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Charles Cosimano

posted October 25, 2008 at 2:55 pm


Given the average intelligence of the Iowa voter, when I read the tag line I thought it was a report from today, not four years ago.



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Michele McGinty

posted October 25, 2008 at 3:35 pm


“Thanks, Michelle, for motivating Obama supporters to be sure to get out to vote.”
You’re welcome.



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Michele McGinty

posted October 25, 2008 at 3:39 pm


“Is this your ostensibly non-racial attempt to speculate at a Bradley Effect?”
If I wanted to blog about the Bradley Effect, I would. There is no subtext to this post, I said what I meant.



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Michele McGinty

posted October 25, 2008 at 3:43 pm


“Given the average intelligence of the Iowa voter, when I read the tag line I thought it was a report from today, not four years ago.”
The name “Kerry” didn’t tip you off?



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MzEllen

posted October 25, 2008 at 4:10 pm


Do we REALLY have to go through the difference between a few clowns filling out voter registration forms so obviously wrong that they have things like ‘Jive Turkey’ on them,
IF those were the only cases, no.
But we have O’jahnae Smith and Gloria Guidry (who voted in the Texas primary 10 months after she died) and two of 17 people who were registered by a convicted felon in Michigan who said they had not registered (again).
These are real people who have been fraudulently registered. Does that not cause any concern for you? Or is it only that it’s ACORN, and so likely Democrat?
That, on the other hand, is an actual possibility.
I (for one) believe that if a person is not eligible to vote, they should not be allowed to vote. I don’t have a problem with voter verification.



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non-metaphysical stephen

posted October 25, 2008 at 4:27 pm


If all the stories about McCain aides already giving up the election as lost, sending out resumés, publicly blaming Palin for their expected defeat and even leaving McCain and endorsing Obama — if all these stories are true, it suggests they’re not as convinced by the Kerry-was-ahead-in-2004 argument.
Honestly, if McCain wins even after his campaign disintegrates around him, I’d expect a very messy 4 years — why would there be so much public dissension in his camp if they think they have a shot?



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peter A

posted October 25, 2008 at 5:20 pm


Most aren’t concerned unfortunaatly. Dead people in Boston have been voting for years! What a machine. who coined the phrase vote early and vote often? Its happening people! .



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peter A

posted October 25, 2008 at 5:22 pm


Most aren’t concerned unfortunaatly. Dead people in Boston have been voting for years! What a machine. who coined the phrase vote early and vote often? Its happening people! .



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peter A

posted October 25, 2008 at 5:25 pm


Most aren’t concerned unfortunaatly. Dead people in Boston have been voting for years! What a machine. who coined the phrase vote early and vote often? Its happening people! .



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peter A

posted October 25, 2008 at 5:26 pm


Most aren’t concerned unfortunaatly. Dead people in Boston have been voting for years! What a machine. who coined the phrase vote early and vote often? Its happening people! .



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RG

posted October 25, 2008 at 5:34 pm


The Republicans these days are the biggest whiners that ever lived.
If anybody says anything they don’t like, they pout and whine about the liberal media.
The same liberal media that they gleefully quote when it says what they want to hear.
What a great gig! They have it both ways, all the time.
When Obama wins, they will blame the ‘liberal media’ (that they largely own) and ACORN (that’s why the non-existent claims of voter fraud are being spun now). They always have to have a scapegoat and somebody to hate.
In fact, the number of actual voter fraud cases in America, that are actually proven, number about 27.
Over the last FOUR YEARS.
But the examples of Republican vote suppression, caging, and manipulation number in the thousands. And that’s just in Ohio. Where , IN DEFIANCE OF A COURT ORDER, about 30 counties destroyed their ballots so they couldn’t be recounted.
Now that is vote theft, and the admission of guilt could not be clearer.
The modern Republican party is so crooked they have to screw their socks on.



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non-metaphysical stephen

posted October 25, 2008 at 6:20 pm


I checked the archives at the site Michele posted — just one day prior to the Iowa poll she mentions, the site has this announcement:
“A new Fox News poll shows President Bush’s lead slipping to just two points over Sen. John Kerry. [...] Both campaigns can find something to like in the latest polls, but the race is still essentially a tie. Mystery Pollster says undecided voters will start breaking in the next day ot two.”
So, the Iowa early-vote tally for the state may have been way off, but in 2004 the polls showed a much closer race than they currently show for this election. (And by the by, Bush barely carried Iowa that year!)



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MH

posted October 25, 2008 at 7:34 pm


I saw the headline in the recent posts nav box and thought “Did they find a lost box of 2004 absentee ballots?”



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Anonymous

posted November 1, 2008 at 4:06 pm


When obama wins?? Got news for ya lib… The majority of the country is not as dumb as you!! Remember the last 2 elections??? I love how you all claim victory after a handful of people vote, lol You never learn do you? That’s another reason obama is going to lose!! We have a reason to complain… We don’t want a socialist who will take our salaries, surrender to our enemies, agree with voter fraud, and pal around with terrorists, you do!! That’s the difference between people like us and whackos like you! That’s why you can be lead to the slaughter and we can’t, get it???bush was doing great until you libs took over congress and it’s been a disaster ever since!!!



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