
To the left, a May 17 NASA photo of the oil slick, e-mailed by a reader (thanks Randy). I have been wondering why we haven’t seen beaches and marshes along the Gulf Coast inundated with oil. Didn’t you expect that too, when this thing first happened? Apparently it’s how Gulf currents work. Alarmingly, the photo image showing the long tendril of oil streaming southward indicates that the oil slick is coming very close to entering the Loop Current, which could send the oil straight to Florida and up the East Coast. But Gulf coast residents shouldn’t relax; experts say that given the massive amount of oil involved here, landfall in their region is inevitable. Meanwhile, consider this information from an Associated Press report:
And marine scientists are worried even more of the deep-sea reefs could be damaged as the thick goo creeps into two powerful Gulf currents. The oil has seeped into areas that are essential to underwater life, and the reefs tend to be an indicator for sea health: when creatures in the reefs thrive, so do other marine life.
The loop current could carry oil from the spill east and spread it about 450 miles to the Florida Keys, while the Louisiana coastal current could move the oil as far west as central Texas.
The depth of the gushing leaks and the use of more than 560,000 gallons of chemicals to disperse the oil, including unprecedented injections deep in the sea, have helped keep the crude beneath the sea surface. Marine scientists say diffusing and sinking the oil helps protect the surface species and the Gulf Coast shoreline but increases the chance of harming deep-sea reefs.
“At first we had a lot of concern about surface animals like turtles, whales and dolphins,” said Paul Montagna, a marine biologist at Texas A&M University Corpus Christi who studies Gulf reefs. “Now we’re concerned about everything.”
Do we have any freaking idea how bad this is going to be? Bueller? Bueller?
UPDATE: Read this interview with the head of British Petroleum. Very revealing, especially this bit:
So BP passed your tests. The organization has shown you that that the changes you have put into place were successful?
I would say successful in terms of the capability of the response. I don’t hear anyone faulting us on our response. We’d like to get the lynch off (laughing), but you know the intensity of the response is enormous. We’re going to have Ken Salazar and Steven Chu here again tomorrow to …
To put their boots on your neck?
There’s a bit of public rhetoric, what’s actually happening in real life is something different.
Yeah, I guess!
UPDATE.2: John Robb, speculating on the deeper strategy in play here:
So far, this information operations is working. The lower estimates have successfully beaten the media cycle. In the first week of the crisis, most news analysis of the spill downplayed its importance due to lowball estimates. As a result of this news analysis, coverage of the crisis has dropped and the continual denial of information required for analysis has prevented any resurgence of coverage. From the perspective of the government and BP, this information operation has achieved its objectives: it has drastically limited political damage and criticism of previous decisions, which is in stark contrast to the damage generate by the media coverage of Katrina.
Of course, this type of behavior is extremely bad over the longer term. Why is it so bad? For an increasing number of people it is yet another example of an approach, reinforced by ongoing global financial disasters, that uses media manipulation and confidence as a substitute for real solutions. It fails to punish bad behavior due to the need for collusion between the government and the offending corporations to construct the information campaign. It fails to construct real solutions since the facts are not known and the number of people able to address the problem is extremely limited. Also, since these people are the same people that caused the crisis, real solutions are avoided to prevent adverse publicity. Most importantly, it is yet another body blow to the government and the global market system as legitimate organizational constructs, since it proves they can’t be trusted.
UPDATE.3: Yves Smith does not mince words (below the jump):
In other words, the only reason for BP NOT to want to have this information is that:
1. Its remediation efforts to date have some reasonable odds of success only if the outflow is not that much above its 5000 barrel a day estimate
2. Higher outflows and pretty much zilch odds of success of current public-placating dorking around would lead to much greater pressure to Do Something Now.
3. The effective Do Something Now options (like the radical one of using a nuclear weapon to collapse the ocean floor into the leak) would likely also result in making it difficult for BP to ever get oil from that site
4. The BP strategy is thus very likely all about trying to maximize oil extraction by minimizing the appearance of damage and buying time while it drills a relief well
Now let us get to part 2: why is Team Obama enabling this nonsense? I come up with two possibilities:
1. Team Obama believes the BP BS
2. Obama does not want to look impotent. Revealing that the leak is really bad and not having a quick solution is an Obama PR disaster. Obama has to work through BP unless he can implement an action plan using only government resources or by working with another oil company with deep ocean expertise. Given the lead times for government contracting, this would take quite a while.
If the leak is as serious as I fear, this is environmental equivalent of the Iran hostage crisis. Team Obama recognizes this, and therefore wants to create the impression as long as possible that everything that could possibly be done is being done. Note that the Administration is behaving with BP exactly as it did vis as vis the banksters in early 2009: believing that the problem is too complex and scary for them to assert control, casting its lot in with the people who caused the problem in the first place (while calling them bad names often enough to create plausible deniability). And enabling BP’s coverup of how bad the leak means, as Obama did with the financial services industry, of having to support, or at least not undermine too much, its PR efforts.



posted May 20, 2010 at 11:56 am
The smarmy, smug Brit CEO of BP makes me want to puke everytime I see or hear him on TV. He emits the impression that HE alone knows more than everyone else and in his eyes (flashing those old Hanna-Barbara $$$$ for pupils), this is just a minor slip-up. No biggie and thoase dang Yanks are overeacting. Besides, BP had this “deal,” you know, behind closed doors (not the Charlie Rich song either) with the Bid Dick … Cheney, that is.
And have you noticed his presence at the Gulf is noticeably absent. I firmly believe he stays away for fear of being tarred and feathered … with his own tar.
posted May 20, 2010 at 11:57 am
Now let us get to part 2: why is Team Obama enabling this nonsense? I come up with two possibilities:
Have you looked a third possibility square in the eye:
The Federal Government and Big Industry and Big Media form an interlocking directorate for the purpose of obtaining profits at public expense.
posted May 20, 2010 at 12:12 pm
I don’t have anything to add, but the Captcha was “hoaxes intellectuals,” so I thought I’d throw that out there just so the Captcha AI is heard.
posted May 20, 2010 at 12:47 pm
Blogger “Al Fin” has had, by far, the best coverage of the oil spill of any I’ve seen on the net. He has had highly technical and detailed news for the past 2 weeks. I recommend his blog:
http://alfin2100.blogspot.com/
posted May 20, 2010 at 12:54 pm
There are probably enough tinfoil hats used by the Cheney Did It crowd to plug the hole in a New York minute. Someone should start gathering them up…the hats, that is.
posted May 20, 2010 at 12:58 pm
The first sentence of that blog repeats BP’s absurd propaganda that the spill is just 5,000 barrels per day.
posted May 20, 2010 at 1:03 pm
Hey, a two-fer! I get to sneer at both those who ignore NPR for being “too liberal” and those who want to paint all news media with the same conspiracy brush. As the linked article shows, NPR has been covering the BP cover-up for over a week.
While you’re there, check out the Grand Trunk Road stories from southern Asia. 8 to 10 minute stories about cultures we only get to hear about when someone commits suicide with a bomb.
posted May 20, 2010 at 1:23 pm
“it is yet another body blow to the government and the global market system as legitimate organizational constructs, since it proves they can’t be trusted.”
Or, one could look at it from the point of view that it is a “body blow” to the anti-regulation folk. The “drill baby drill” side are against government regulating even this hyper-dangerous industry, even in matters of human saafety, nevermind our environment (or should I say your children’s environment?).
Profit is king, and big-business profit is about to become eeven more in your face with the SCOTUS decisionn to allow them to spend unlimited amounts of money to bombard y’all with major political spin.
posted May 20, 2010 at 1:56 pm
People are talking about using a nuke to seal up the hole?!?!
posted May 20, 2010 at 2:29 pm
I vote for the nuke option. We’ve set them off underground/water near populated areas before right?
posted May 20, 2010 at 6:47 pm
The time to prepare for such a spill was when the offshore drilling began. At best, we can hope for a solution that will take months to come to fruition. I suspect BP is looking ahead to future litigation and that is their primary reason for suppressing the size of the leak. When fishing drops off in Florida or Soth Carolina, they want plausible deniability.
Steve
posted May 21, 2010 at 1:01 am
Yeah, it’s REALLY bad, and BP has downplayed it bigtime, AND the media
is doing THE GREAT ONE a big favor by backing off.
This “spill” is actually a GUSHER, and it’s a federal emergency.
It will turn out to be the worst environmental disaster that we have ever had.
posted May 21, 2010 at 3:48 pm
Looks like we are seeing some landfall for the oil spill now, followed very closely by law enforcement making sure pictures do not get out.
posted May 23, 2010 at 6:13 am
This spill is a catastrope and what is the most frustrating is that these mega companies have no thoughtout safeguards to prevent such a horrendous event…their irreverant attitude to the environment and the population is mind boggling…in comparison to their greed…how many more sites just as this one are out there ?? The extent of this devastation is inconceivable…I am outraged…and still it continues to spill after over a month….the Bible states the sea will be dead and these profiteers are making sure of that…
posted May 26, 2010 at 2:58 am
Why do they not just clamp the pipes shut, from the surface? Here in America, we have so many big machines and hardware at our disposal, why don’t we use big mesh nets to gently scrape the oil from the top? Who knows, maybe we could even recycle the saved oil…or even better- resort to clean energy? It would help the environment a heck of a lot more than what we are doing [or rather, NOT doing] now! Anyone can contact me for further ideas.
posted May 27, 2010 at 8:00 am
Where’s the media!!! We’re not hearing how really bad it is. Is the President telling you not to report. Of course he is!!! If it was President Bush you’d be all over it!!!
I bet this email probably won’t even be posted.
Come on media, report what’s really going on!
posted June 6, 2010 at 10:53 pm
With the toxic dispersant’s keeping the bulk of the oil submerged and seeing the satellite photo on this page this could very well be the biggest man mad disaster in history. Adding the parameter of the ocean loop currents with what we know as reality it really does make it awful to imagine what the future could bring. When will this event finally get ranked up as a national emergency with what the negative impact on our natural resources will be.
posted June 8, 2010 at 5:23 pm
Why don’t they just drop a bomb on it like the russians did? Are they more concerned with saving oil than saving…..life?