It’s true Oregon has an unusually high percentage of people who say they’re unaffiliated or not religious, and Obama did very well with that group (a point emphasized by William Schneider last night on CNN). One imagines a massive movement of tree hugging Wiccans and Taoists flooding the polls. But the novelty of that can obscure a few other interesting points about the religious breakdown in Oregon.
First, Obama did just as well among the religious as he did among the irreligious. Among weekly churchgoers, Obama won 57% to 42%, almost exactly the same results as among those who never went to church (58% to 42%)
Second, for the first time since Maryland, he won the Catholic vote in a major state. He had lost 70%-30% in Pennsylvania, narrowed the gap to 59%-41% in Indiana and last night won Catholics 51%-49%.
Third, he won Protestants who attend church weekly, 54%-45%. Since the exit pollsters don’t ask about the evangelical vote in Democratic primaries — because everyone knows there’s no such thing as a Democratic evangelical — we don’t know for sure whether part of his appeal was to evangelicals. But, according to the Pew Religion Forum’s Religious Landscape Survey, Oregon has more evangelical Christians than the national average. More evidence that Obama may do well among evangelicals in the fall?
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posted May 21, 2008 at 1:16 pm
It is also possible that there is something in the broader culture of Oregon that transcends all of these number-crunching differences.
posted May 22, 2008 at 10:39 am
Perhaps for Catholics it’s the belief that life does not begin at conception and end at birth. What is done to those who are already born also matters.
posted May 23, 2008 at 10:56 am
” because everyone knows there’s no such thing as a Democratic evangelical”
Evangel means the Gospel.
The Democrats see the Gospel as a hate crime.
posted June 8, 2008 at 5:08 pm
We were discussing this very issue at the Evangelical church in Texas I attend. Not everyone in our Sunday School class voted for Obama, of course, several voted for Hillary, and one even supported He-Whose-Name-We-Do-Not-Speak, the presumptive Republican nomineee. But yes, it is possible Obama will pick up Evangelical support as more and more Evangelicals realize all political issues are not defined by televangelists.