Steven Waldman

Palin & The Risk for Evangelicals

Sunday August 31, 2008

Evangelicals Christians exerted enormous influence on McCain's decision -- for better or worse.

John McCain had wanted to appoint Joe Lieberman, his close friend, but religious conservatives protested so vehemently that McCain felt he couldn't go that way, The New York Times reported. Paul Weyrich, a leading conservative, apparently pushed hard for Palin, according to the National Journal. James Dobson, who once said he might not vote for McCain, now feels she was a God-send: "A lot of people were praying, and I believe Sarah Palin is God's answer."

The choice has thoroughly energized religious conservatives. They especially love that she not only is pro-life but decided to carry to term a Down's Syndrome baby -- a point mentioned repeatedly in the Palin announcement.

If Palin is the spark that helps carry the ticket to the White House, the influence of religious conservatives will be enormous. Reports of the demise of the old Religious Right will prove to have been highly premature. In fact, religious conservatives will have helped reformed the Republican party, promoted conservative values and energized the pro-life movement.

If, however, she proves a drag on the ticket, the risks to religious conservatives could be significant. If she proves unequipped for high office, it will look like religious conservatives sacrificed all other considerations to abortion. If she proves dishonest or if the compelling story of her Downs Syndrome baby ends up being not what if first appeared* then religious conservatives will be viewed as gullible.

Just as important, the growing group of evangelicals - especially the young - who feel that evangelical leaders had become too political, too hitched to the Republican party, will view Palin as the ultimate example of how easily duped religious conservative leaders are.


*link deleted

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Comments
yarrrrrr
September 1, 2008 7:58 AM

""""""
If she proves dishonest or if the compelling story of her Downs Syndrome baby ends up being not what if first appeared -- as is now being charged by some liberal bloggers -- then religious conservatives will be viewed as gullible.
""""""

http://www.flickr.com/photos/30076181@N02/2814199887/in/photostream/

http://www.polartrec.com/node/3944

I'll be voting for McCain-Palin, but you're right about the risks if she tanks. I think they should keep their distance but it's hard because the personal is the political.

Reaganite in NYC
September 1, 2008 10:59 AM

"If, however, she proves a drag on the ticket, the risks ....
"If she proves unequipped for high office, it will look ...
"If she proves dishonest or if the compelling story of her Downs Syndrome baby ends up ..."


Interesting post, though the outcome hinges on three big "ifs" -- the third one of which has already been debunked as a disgusting DailyKos smear. As for the first two "ifs" -- we simply don't know.

Given the focus of this website, I appreciate your interest in the aspect of Palin's candidady that appeals to social conservatives.

However, her candidacy also appeals to economic conservatives and -- this is the most important aspect -- supports McCain's long-range project of reshaping the GOP to make it reformist in the image of his hero, TR. In the end, I think it was this last aspect that put Palin "over the top."

Hoping For the Best
September 2, 2008 7:52 PM

If Obama or McCain had a pregnant teenaged daughter, what do you think James Dobson would say about that? No doubt that Dobson would cast (more than) a few stones at the offending Democrat along the lines of "if you cannot keep your family in order, how can you manage a nation?"

But no. Palin has a pregnant teenager and Dobson says she is a "god send".

Do you think we are stupid, Dr. Dobson?

JJan
September 2, 2008 10:50 PM

Sarah Palin herself married Todd Palin after she got pregnant. "The Palins eloped on Aug. 29, 1988, and their first son, Track, was born eight months later, a fact that Maria Comella of the McCain campaign, declined to elaborate on."

source: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/02/us/politics/02palin.html?ex=1378094400&en=08416b90c76fa503&ei=5124&partner=digg&exprod=digg

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