2004 election results among white Catholics: Bush 56%, Kerry 43%
Latest Quinnipiac polls:
Ohio: McCain 47%, Obama 48%
Pennsylavania: McCain 47%, Obama 45%
Florida: McCain 51%, Obama 43%
Interestingly, Obama is also doing quite a bit better among white evangelicals in Ohio and Pennsylvania than he is in the rest of the country (including Florida).

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